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Iran war exposes big market concentration risk. It isn’t in US stocks

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Why Latin America could be the next international market to watch
Why Latin America could be the next international market to watch

Investors have poured money into emerging markets in recent years as the search for big stock gains has migrated overseas and as they look for diversification beyond the concentrated S&P 500. But the U.S.-Iran military conflict has reframed the concentration question, highlighting the level of risk in emerging markets when it comes to gains being dependent on a select number of stocks, many tied to the AI boom.

The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) has had strong performance over the past few years and into 2026, up 29% in 2025 and still holding onto a small gain this year. However, its holdings remain largely tilted toward Asia, with large exposure to China, South Korea, India, and Taiwan, together representing over three-quarters of the index weight, and many of the top stocks tied to tech, including Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung.

“If you look at the index within emerging markets, it’s still roughly 80% Asia,” Malcolm Dorson, senior emerging markets portfolio manager and senior v.p. head of the active investment team at ETF company Global X said on CNBC’s “ETF Edge” earlier this week. “That gives you a lot of concentration risk,” he said.

Overall, the EM index has a 30%-plus tech sector weighting.

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South Korean stocks have experienced extreme volatility this week. The market posted its worst single-day move ever on Wednesday as the escalating war in the Middle East resulted in concerns about energy supplies to Asia, where top stocks in the memory sector fueling the AI boom rely on energy-intensive processes. After its worst day ever, the South Korean index rebounded on Thursday for its best day since 2008. The iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) is still down close to 13% this week.

Some of the enormous volatility in South Korean stocks is tied to how well they have performed recently, and how many retail investors have seen big gains from holding them. SK Hynix, a top holding in the broad emerging market indexes, gained 274% last year, while Samsung gained 125%.

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Performance of the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF over the past one-year period.

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A huge spike in oil prices since the outbreak of the military conflict has rattled global markets. On Friday, Brent crude futures topped $90 and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were closing in on that range, up more than 30% this week, while Brent has advanced nearly 26%.

The energy squeeze in Asian nations can be seen in China’s reported decision this week to tell domestic oil refining companies to stop any exports of fuel, and more Asian nations may follow with similar moves to retain energy stockpiles, energy market experts have said.

It isn’t time to abandon emerging markets, according to ETF investing strategists, and some macroeconomic factors may sustain outperformance in these markets over the longer-term. But Dorson said a “barbell approach” to investment strategy may be wise, balancing exposure between different types of emerging markets rather than relying on one region. He says thinking this way should lead investors who want to maintain international exposure to look at Latin America as a balance against Asian markets.

“I think you need to have both,” Dorson said.

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Countries like Argentina, Brazil, and Colombia are heavily linked to energy and commodities market, and he said rising oil prices can provide an additional tailwind for those economies. “I’d say 25 to 33% of the story should be that attractiveness of getting exposure to commodities,” he said. He added that there are also political reform efforts in Latin American nations that could serve as additional tailwinds for economies. “All eyes are on political change that could drive fiscal reform,” he said, and he added that may benefit financial services sector stocks across the region.

Equities in several Latin America markets also trade at significant discounts to U.S. stocks, with many price-to-earnings ratios roughly half those in the S&P 500. For example, Vanguard’s S&P 500 ETF, VOO, currently trades at a P/E ratio of 28, while its emerging markets ETF, VWO, trades at a P/E ratio of 18.

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Crypto World

Strike Receives BitLicense, Money Transmitter Approval in New York

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Strike Receives BitLicense, Money Transmitter Approval in New York

Payments company Strike received a virtual currency license and a money transmitter license (MTL) from the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS), allowing the company to offer its Bitcoin services to residents and businesses in New York.

Granted in February, the approvals authorize Zap Solutions, Inc., which does business as Strike, to operate under New York’s digital asset regulatory framework, the company said in a Thursday release.

New York residents can now use Strike to buy and sell Bitcoin (BTC), set recurring or price-targeted purchases and convert direct-deposited paychecks into Bitcoin. The platform also allows users to pay bills from Bitcoin balances and withdraw funds to self-custody wallets.

“Receiving our BitLicense is a defining milestone for Strike,” founder and CEO Jack Mallers said in a statement, adding that the approval allows the company to expand its Bitcoin-based financial services in a major financial market.

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Zap Solutions, Inc appears on the regulated entities list. Source: NYDFS

A BitLicense allows companies to conduct digital currency business with New York residents, but does not by itself authorize nationwide operations.

Companies looking to operate across the US must typically obtain MTLs in other states as well.

Related: MoonPay to operate in all 50 US states after NY BitLicense approval

The framework requires companies to maintain capital reserves, implement Anti-Money Laundering (AML) controls and undergo regular regulatory examinations.

NY approvals remain a key step for US crypto companies

The approvals are another step in Strike’s US expansion, with New York’s stringent licensing framework often serving as a benchmark for crypto companies seeking regulated market access.

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Others holding BitLicenses in New York include MoonPay, Coinbase, eToro, Robinhood and Circle, according to NYDFS records.

New York regulators have also taken enforcement action against license holders. In 2024, Genesis Global Trading agreed to surrender its BitLicense and pay an $8 million penalty to the regulator after investigators found failures in its AML and cybersecurity programs.

In 2025, Adrienne Harris, former superintendent of the New York State Department of Financial Services, said the state has an “outsized role to play” in the crypto ecosystem and that lawmakers frequently consult the regulator when drafting digital asset legislation.

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