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Is Tether IPO Just A Pipe Dream?

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Is Tether IPO Just A Pipe Dream?

Tether, issuer of the $185 billion USDT stablecoin, has dramatically scaled back its private fundraising ambitions.

It raises doubts about a potential IPO once fueled by speculation from crypto insiders like BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes.

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Investor Pushback Forces Tether to Reassess Funding Ambitions

Tether was initially exploring a $15–20 billion raise at a $500 billion valuation. The figure would have placed the stablecoin issuer among the world’s most valuable private firms.

However, according to the Financial Times, Tether is now considering as little as $5 billion, or potentially no raise at all.

The latest pullback follows a year of heightened market chatter. In September 2025, Hayes reignited Tether IPO speculation, suggesting a public listing for the stablecoin issuer could overshadow Circle’s successful USDC debut.

At the time, Tether’s valuation was pegged at over $500 billion. This positioned it alongside tech and finance giants such as SpaceX, OpenAI, and ByteDance.

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Hayes framed the potential listing as a strategic move, with Tether’s USDT circulation of $185 billion and its revenue-generating structure giving it a competitive edge over Circle.

Yet investor sentiment has tempered the hype. Backers reportedly balked at the lofty $500 billion valuation, citing:

  • Regulatory scrutiny
  • Reserve transparency concerns, and
  • Past allegations of illicit use.

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Tether Stays Profitable Amid Market Headwinds, Keeping IPO Optional

A recent S&P Global Ratings downgrade highlighted Tether’s exposure to riskier assets, such as Bitcoin and gold, further heightening caution.

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“S&P said there had been an increase in high-risk assets in Tether’s reserves over the past year, including bitcoin, gold, secured loans, corporate bonds, and other investments, all with limited disclosures and subject to credit, market, interest-rate, and foreign-exchange risks. Tether continues to provide limited information on the creditworthiness of its custodians, counterparties, or bank account providers,” Reuters reported, citing S&P.

The broader crypto market’s decline over the past six months further dampened enthusiasm for sky-high valuations, even for the sector’s most profitable player.

Ardoino, however, remains confident in Tether’s fundamentals. He described the $15–20 billion figure as a misconception. According to Ardoino, the company would be “very happy” raising zero capital.

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“That number is not our goal. It’s our maximum, we were ready to sell…If we were selling zero, we would be very happy as well,” read an excerpt in the report, citing Ardoino.

Tether reported $10 billion in profits for 2025, down about 23% from the prior year due to Bitcoin price declines but offset by strong returns on gold holdings.

With profitability firmly intact, Tether has little operational need for additional funds. This suggests the fundraising drive is as much about credibility and strategic partnerships as it is about cash.

Tether IPO: Just a Pipe Dream?

The retreat also reshapes expectations for the Tether IPO. While a public listing is no longer imminent, regulatory tailwinds and strategic initiatives keep the option alive.

US stablecoin legislation under President Trump, along with Tether’s new US-compliant USAT token, could provide a pathway for legitimacy in the domestic market.

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Therefore, groundwork could be laid for a potential 2026 IPO if market conditions improve, though the valuation may need to be recalibrated.

Still, Tether’s cautious pivot carries a broader signal for the crypto ecosystem. As the market’s de facto reserve currency with massive Treasury and gold holdings, the company’s retreat highlights a growing emphasis on profitability and transparency over hype.

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For other high-valuation crypto firms eyeing public markets, Tether’s experience may serve as a blueprint: sustainable growth and strong fundamentals are increasingly critical to investor confidence, even for marquee names in the industry.

It is also worth noting that Tether CEO Paolo Arodino once articulated that the firm does not need to go public. However, he did not rule it out either.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Depot Struggles With Regulatory Pressure and Weak 2026 Outlook

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Bitcoin Depot Struggles With Regulatory Pressure and Weak 2026 Outlook

Bitcoin Depot, a publicly traded cryptocurrency ATM provider, is facing mounting regulatory pressure in the US amid a steep stock decline and a weak revenue outlook.

The Connecticut Banking Commissioner, through the Consumer Credit Division, issued a temporary cease-and-desist order against Bitcoin Depot on March 9, summarily suspending its money transmission license in the state.

The order cites multiple alleged violations of the Connecticut Money Transmission Act, including failure to maintain minimum net worth, excessive fees and incomplete refunds to consumers who fell victim to scams.

The company lowered its 2026 revenue outlook in its fourth-quarter 2025 and full-year financial results released on Monday. It reported a 56% year-to-date stock decline and staff layoffs. Bitcoin Depot is one of the largest kiosk operators in the US. Its earnings release says it had more than 8,400 kiosk locations as of year-end 2025.

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Revenue outlook darkens for 2026

The company reported full-year 2025 revenue of $615 million, up 7% from 2024, though net income fell to $5.1 million from $7.8 million.

Q4 revenue dropped to $116 million from $136.8 million a year earlier, driven by newly enacted state regulations and enhanced compliance measures, the company said.

Bitcoin Depot also warned of a weaker revenue outlook for 2026, citing ongoing regulatory changes and compliance requirements that could reduce transaction volumes:

“The Company expects revenue for the core business in 2026 to be down in the range of 30% to 40%. This estimate reflects the uncertainty presented by the dynamic regulatory environment and enhanced compliance standards.”

In a separate March 11 filing, Bitcoin Depot disclosed that chief operating officer Elizabeth Simer had resigned. The company did not give a reason.

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Bitcoin Depot faces actions in multiple states

Connecticut’s cease‑and‑desist order comes as Bitcoin Depot already faces enforcement actions in other states, including a Massachusetts Attorney General lawsuit in February, which alleged facilitation of crypto scams.

Bitcoin Depot was also sued in Iowa in February 2025, when Attorney General Brenna Bird accused the company and CoinFlip of failing to protect consumers from crypto ATM scams.

Related: Minnesota to weigh ban on crypto kiosks after scam reports

In January, Bitcoin Depot entered a $1.9 million consent agreement with the Bureau of Consumer Credit Protection in Maine to compensate consumers scammed via its Bitcoin kiosks and comply with state licensing rules.

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Bitcoin Depot (BTM) price chart in the past year. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin Depot’s shares (BTM) have declined since mid-2025, losing 91% of their value since hitting $45.4 in June. The stock has tumbled 56% year-to-date, closing at $4.06 on Tuesday, according to TradingView.

Cointelegraph contacted Bitcoin Depot for comment regarding the regulatory actions, but had not received a response by publication.

Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026