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Is XRP’s Bottom In? The Answers Were Promising

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We Asked 4 AIs How Low XRP Could Fall This Bear Cycle


The conclusion was quite bullish, indicating that XRP could be on its way to a massive price reversal soon.

The broader scale shows that Ripple’s cross-border token has been quite volatile ever since the current cycle began after the US presidential elections in late 2024. At the time, it traded at around $0.60, but exploded to match its 2018 all-time high by January 2025 and eventually broke it in July, setting a new one at $3.65.

The bears took control in the following months, and XRP plunged below $3.00 and $2.00 by the end of the year. After a brief surge to $2.40 on January 6, the asset resumed its downtrend and plunged to a 15-month low on February 5 at $1.11 (on most exchanges).

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It reacted well to this decline and even challenged the $1.65 resistance a few weeks later, but to no avail. Although it was stopped there, it still trades at around $1.45 as of press time, which is 30% higher than its local low seen a month ago. Given the resurgence of the crypto market over the past several days, the question now is whether XRP has already bottomed out and, if so, what its next targets are.

ChatGPT Says…

To gain some perspective, we consulted three of the most utilized AI chatbots, starting with OpenAI’s solution. It noted that XRP found solid support at the “panic low” of $1.10-$1.15, and its ability to rebound decisively should encourage the bulls. It now trades above another significant structural support located at $1.30-$1.35, which should be a proper line of defense if there’s another leg down.

It placed the odds for a “bottom is in” scenario at 50%, saying that if $1.30 holds and crypto sentiment continues to improve, the cross-border token could be on its way to reclaim the first obstacle on its path to redemption at $1.65. If broken, the next target would be the psychological $2.00 line, followed by the January $2.40 peak.

“XRP could reach $2.50-$3.00 within 6-12 months if the crypto market enters a new expansion phase,” ChatGPT predicted.

In addition, it gave a 30% chance that XRP is currently in a long accumulation phase, which would mean trading within a tight range between $1.20 and $1.90 for the next up to 9 months. The bearish scenario (20%) is the least likely for now, ChatGPT added, and another drop to and below $1.10 is not overly expected unless there’s a major black swan event.

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Gemini and Grok – Do You Agree?

Gemini’s short answer supported ChatGPT’s belief, saying, “It is highly likely that the $1.11 local bottom is in.” It indicated that higher lows are holding now after that flash crash, even though the asset was stopped at $1.65.

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Grok also weighed in on the matter, and it had a similar opinion. However, it outlined some of the recent key developments within the Ripple ecosystem that could further boost the underlying token. One of the latest was a major adoption move as the US Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) added Hidden Road Partners CIV US LLC to its NSCC Market Participant Identifiers directory.

This meant that the NSCC update allowed Ripple Prime to route institutional post-trade volumes directly onto the XRP Ledger. Grok added that if these moves continue and impact XRP, the asset could target $2.00-$2.15 in the near term and $2.80-$3.30 by the end of the year.

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One of the biggest bitcoin (BTC) sellers this year is a tiny Asian country

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(Arkham/CoinDesk)

Bhutan has sold a part of its BTC stash again, and the pace is accelerating.

The Royal Government of Bhutan moved 519.707 BTC worth $36.75 million on Wednesday to an external address, according to Arkham Intelligence data. The transfer continues a drawdown that has intensified sharply over the past two weeks, with approximately $152 million in total outflows in 2026 alone.

The week before Wednesday’s move was the most active period in the kingdom’s bitcoin history. Arkham’s outflow data shows a cluster of transfers totaling roughly $72 million in a single week, headlined by a 595.848 BTC transfer worth $44.44 million, the largest single move of the year.

That was followed by 205.53 BTC ($15.14 million) and 150.047 BTC ($11.14 million) sent to external addresses, plus 20.506 BTC ($1.52 million) to QCP Capital’s merchant deposit address.

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(Arkham/CoinDesk)

In January, Bhutan moved 184 BTC ($14.09 million) to an external wallet, sent 100.818 BTC ($8.31 million) to QCP Capital, and transferred $1.5 million in USDT to a Binance hot wallet. In February, another 100 BTC ($6.77 million) went to QCP. Two weeks ago, 175 BTC ($11.85 million) went out. Then last week’s $72 million burst. Then Wednesday’s $36.75 million.

The pattern shifted from $5-15 million clips in January and February to $35-45 million transfers in March.

QCP Capital has been the most consistent counterparty, receiving three separate transfers totaling roughly $16.6 million this year. The Singapore-based trading firm’s repeated appearance as a destination suggests an OTC relationship for structured selling rather than ad hoc liquidations.

Bhutan’s stack peaked at roughly 13,000 BTC in late 2024, built over several years through state-backed hydroelectric mining where the cost basis is effectively zero.

(CoinDesk)

Every coin sold is profit for the country, whose economy depends heavily on hydroelectric exports to India.

The drawdown began after October 2024 and has been steep. Current holdings sit at 4,453 BTC worth $315 million, a 66% reduction in coins from peak. The Arkham balance chart shows the portfolio value peaked near $1.88 billion and now sits at $315 million, hit on both sides by the selling and bitcoin’s decline from $119,000 to $70,000.

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In December, Bhutan unveiled a Bitcoin Development Pledge committing up to 10,000 BTC to fund Gelephu Mindfulness City. At the time that was worth roughly $860 million. The government now holds fewer than 4,500 coins. The pledge in its original form is mathematically impossible to fulfill without reversing the drawdown entirely.

CoinDesk has reached out to Druk Holding & Investments, the government’s commercial arm, for comment on the recent transfers and whether the Gelephu commitment remains active.

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XRP volatility hits cycle lows as $1.40 support comes into focus

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XRP volatility hits cycle lows as $1.40 support comes into focus

The XRP token is trading in one of its tightest ranges in months, and these quiet phases often don’t last. With price sitting just above $1.40 after a failed bounce, traders are watching closely for the next big move.

News Background

  • XRP volatility has dropped to its lowest level since January, a setup that historically precedes sharp moves.
  • A recent attempt to push above $1.43 failed, with sellers stepping in aggressively on higher volume.
  • Regulatory clarity and rising institutional interest continue to build in the background, even as price action stays muted.

Price Action Summary

  • XRP slipped slightly to around $1.40 after trading in a narrow ~$0.03 range
  • Rejection near $1.43 capped upside
  • Support around $1.40-$1.405 is now being tested repeatedly
  • Late-session selling pushed price below short-term support before stabilizing

Technical Analysis

  • XRP is in a classic “compression” phase — price is tightening, volatility is low, and a breakout is likely coming.
  • The short-term structure is weakening, with failed attempts to reclaim $1.41 and sellers controlling rallies.
  • However, buyers are still defending the $1.40 area, keeping the range intact for now.
  • This creates a pressure build-up where the next move could be sharp once support or resistance breaks.

What traders should watch

  • If $1.40 holds, XRP could bounce back toward $1.43 and potentially $1.45
  • A clean break below $1.40 opens downside toward $1.35
  • The key signal will be volume — whichever side breaks with strong participation likely sets the next trend

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RBA Projects $16.7B Annual Gain from RWA Tokenization

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RBA Projects $16.7B Annual Gain from RWA Tokenization

The Reserve Bank of Australia is putting its support behind the real-world asset tokenization sector, citing recent analysis that it could contribute 24 billion Australian dollars ($16.7 billion) to the economy per year.  

Australia’s central bank assistant governor Brad Jones shared findings from Project Acacia on Wednesday, commenting that tokenized finance and related infrastructure upgrades will be “revolutionary,” according to advocates. 

He said that potential gains for the Australian economy from RWA tokenization were on the order of $16.7 billion per year, “and larger still if new markets emerged.” 

“First, we no longer see the main question as whether tokenization has a future in Australia’s financial system, but rather, how.”

Global consulting firm McKinsey & Company has forecasted that the value of tokenized assets could hit nearly $2 trillion by 2030. The head of Australia’s securities regulator, Joe Longo, in November urged the country to “seize the opportunity” or be left behind. 

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Project Acacia is the RBA’s collaborative research project run with the Digital Finance Cooperative Research Centre and industry groups.

It was built on a previous central bank digital currency pilot and explored whether tokenized assets could improve the functioning of Australia’s wholesale financial markets.

New digital finance sandbox to be explored 

Jones said the RBA will partner with agencies and industry groups to explore a “new digital financial market infrastructure (DFMI) sandbox.”

He added that this could allow industry and policymakers to build on the learnings from Project Acacia.

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Related: Major Australian pension fund mulls crypto offerings amid growing demand

It could also “smooth the path to practical implementation by providing a safe space for the testing and scaling of tokenized money, assets, and new infrastructure in a longer-term, stage-gated environment,” he said, adding that it could be tied in with a CBDC. 

“The interaction of wholesale CBDC with bank deposit tokens and stablecoins, and the synchronisation of tokenized asset ledgers with RITS [Reserve Bank Information and Transfer System], will be particular areas of interest.” 

RWA onchain value surges 234% in a year

Jones concluded that ensuring Australia’s payments, monetary and financial infrastructure arrangements are “fit for purpose” in the digital age is a “strategic priority for the RBA.”

The total RWA market onchain value hit a record high of $27.5 billion last week, excluding stablecoins, according to RWA.xyz. The sector has seen huge growth, surging by 234% over the past 12 months despite the broader crypto asset bear market. 

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The RWA sector has seen explosive growth over the past year. Source: RWA.xyz 

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