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NEAR Protocol (NEAR) jumps 12.4% over weekend

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9am CoinDesk 20 Update for 2026-03-02: vertical

CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.

The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 1907.12, up 0.3% (+5.99) since 4 p.m. ET on Friday.

Eight of the 20 assets are trading higher.

9am CoinDesk 20 Update for 2026-03-02: vertical

Leaders: NEAR (+12.4%) and SOL (+2.1%).

Laggards: DOT (-7.3%) and BCH (-4.5%).

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The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.

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Bitcoin and WW3: 5 Key Indicators as BTC Eyes Global Liquidity Surge

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Bitcoin and WW3: 5 Key Indicators as BTC Eyes Global Liquidity Surge

Bitcoin (BTC) acts as a barometer for global fear, but the latest geopolitical flare-up, which has many fearing for WW3, has failed to break the asset’s bullish prospects.

While headlines scream conflict, Bitcoin is holding the $60,000 line, eyeing a liquidity-driven breakout rather than a capitulation event.

Traders are now pricing in resilience, looking past the initial volatility to the underlying supply mechanics that favor the bulls.

The market climaxed with a sharp dip near $63,000 over the weekend before buyers stepped in, rejecting lower lows.

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This price action suggests the market is desensitizing to headline risk, shifting focus back to the monetary drivers that typically fuel Q4 rallies. It is a clash of narratives: geopolitical uncertainty versus undeniable on-chain strength.

Key Takeaways:
  • Bitcoin Exchange Reserves have dropped to levels not seen since 2018, creating a significant supply shock as demand creates a floor.
  • Spot BTC ETF Inflows are absorbing retail panic selling, with institutional players treating dips as accumulation opportunities.
  • Global Liquidity M2 is expanding again, historically a primary driver for crypto asset repricing regardless of news cycles.

Indicator 1: Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Signal Supply Shock

The most critical on-chain metric currently is the rapid depletion of Bitcoin Exchange Reserves. According to data from CryptoQuant, reserves have fallen to approximately 2.6 million BTC, the lowest level since 2018. This is a structural supply squeeze that cannot be ignored.

Bitcoin and WW3: 5 Key Indicators as BTC Eyes Global Liquidity Surge
Source: CryptoQuant

When coins leave exchanges, they move to cold storage or custody solutions, effectively removing them from the immediate sellable supply.

The implication is straightforward: fewer coins available for sale means it takes less buy volume to push prices higher. In previous cycles, sharp declines in exchange balances often preceded supply shock rallies.

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This drain on liquidity suggests that while weak hands are selling into headline fear, long-term holders are moving assets off the ledger. We are witnessing a transfer of wealth from impatient retail traders to high-conviction entities who understand the scarcity mechanics of the halving year.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

Indicator 2: Bitcoin (BTC) ETF Inflows vs. Spot Selling

Institutional demand continues to act as a massive buffer against spot market volatility. Despite the bearish sentiment on social media, Spot BTC ETF Inflows tell a different story.

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Recent weeks have seen net inflows effectively neutralizing the selling pressure from short-term holders, with the last week generated net inflows of $787.3 million, according to data by SoSoValue.

So, funds like BlackRock’s IBIT continue to attract capital even as price action chops sideways. This divergence of falling price against rising inflows is a classic accumulation signal. Institutional accumulation is not slowing down; it is accelerating during dips.

Adding to this institutional bedrock, major financial players are deepening their infrastructure. Morgan Stanley has moved to hold client crypto directly, signaling that the smart money thesis remains focused on long-term adoption rather than short-term geopolitical noise.

Indicator 3: How Bitcoin is Breaking the Downtrend Despite WW3 Fears

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Technically, Bitcoin is respecting critical levels. The weekend dip found support before reaching the psychological $60,000 barrier, a level many traders had eyed for aggressive longs.

Trader CrypNuevo noted on X that a trip to anywhere between $60,000 and $61,000 would be a prime long entry, but the market front-ran that level, showing eagerness to buy.

A clean break above $70,000 would invalidate the downtrending structure that has plagued the chart since March.

Bitcoin and WW3: 5 Key Indicators as BTC Eyes Global Liquidity Surge

Support at $60,000 is the line in the sand; lose that, and the conversation shifts to $55,000 or lower. If Bitcoin can hold the line, the path back to six figures by Summer remains open.

Indicator 4: Global Liquidity and Central Bank Easing

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Bitcoin is, above all else, a liquidity sponge. The current expansion of Global Liquidity M2, a measure of global liquidity that takes into account cash, checking and savings deposits, money market securities, and other near-cash assets, is the macro tailwind that bearish traders are overlooking.

As central banks from the ECB to the Fed signal or enact rate cuts, the cost of capital decreases, forcing money out of risk-free assets and into growth vehicles.

Historically, Bitcoin’s parabolic runs align perfectly with cycles of M2 expansion. We are currently in the early stages of a global easing cycle. While inflation data may cause temporary pauses in the Fed’s roadmap, the broader trend is clear: money printers are warming up.

Given the historic lag between M2 liquidity expansion cycles and Bitcoin bull markets, the injections hitting the system now will likely reflect in asset prices in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025.

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Traders betting on a crash are effectively betting against the central bank liquidity cycle, a wager that rarely pays off in the crypto markets.

Discover: The best crypto to buy now

Indicator 5: Bitcoin Sees Geopolitical Resilience Despite WW3 Fears

The market’s reaction to recent Middle East tensions reinforces the “digital gold” narrative, albeit with high beta volatility.

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While the initial reaction was a sell-off, Bitcoin rebounded swiftly after the shock, erasing nearly all losses within 48 hours. This V-shaped recovery is a hallmark of a resilient bull market structure.

Analyst consensus is shifting away from “World War Three” scenarios toward a contained conflict narrative, limiting the downside risk for risk assets.

However, the connection between energy prices and crypto remains tight. As oil prices react to Iran tensions, inflation expectations could tick up, complicating the Fed’s pivot. Yet, Bitcoin has shrugged off this correlation for now, trading more on idiosyncratic crypto flows than petrodollar dynamics.

Data from CoinGlass shows that the initial dip flushed out over-leveraged longs, resetting open interest to healthier levels. The market is now lighter, cleaner, and ready for organic price discovery without the weight of excessive leverage.

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Ultimately, with institutional accumulation quietly putting a floor under price and Bitcoin Exchange Reserves draining, the path of least resistance appears to be upwards despite WW3 fears. The Bitcoin market has already priced in the conflict shock. Now it waits for the liquidity surge.

The post Bitcoin and WW3: 5 Key Indicators as BTC Eyes Global Liquidity Surge appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bitcoin miner turned Ethereum treasury firm stakes over $6B in ETH as BMNR shares slide and ether dips.

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Tom Lee sees bitcoin rebound, ether bottoming below $1,800

Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) on Monday reported purchasing nearly 51,000 more ETH tokens last week, increasing its holdings to 4.474 million.

“In the midst of this ‘mini crypto winter,’ our focus continues to be on methodically executing our treasury strategy and steadily acquiring ETH and in turn, optimizing the yield on our ETH holdings,” said Chairman Tom Lee.

The company said it now has 3,040,483 ETH staked, worth about $6 billion at current prices. Lee said annualized staking revenue stands at $172 million. At full scale, staking rewards could reach $253 million annually based on a 2.86% yield over the last seven days, Lee continued.

The company holds 4,473,587 ether (ETH), valued at $1,976 per token, along with 195 bitcoin and $868 million in cash, as well as a $200 million stake in Beast Industries and a $14 million investment in Eightco Holdings. Bitmine said its ether position represents 3.71% of Ethereum’s 120.7 million token supply.

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Lee added that the firm is developing its Made in America Validator Network, or MAVAN, a staking platform slated for launch in early 2026. Bitmine said it is working with three staking providers as it builds the network.

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BTC takes aim at $69,000 as stocks shrug off Iran strikes

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BTC takes aim at $69,000 as stocks shrug off Iran strikes

Crypto prices are rebounding from their worst weekend levels in early U.S. trading on Monday alongside a sizable bounce in U.S. equity indices.

Roughly one hour into the session, the Nasdaq is down just 0.1% after futures at one point overnight had indicated a plunge of more than 2%. The S&P 500 and DJIA are also posting just very modest losses.

Gold remains higher by 2% and crude oil by 7%. The U.S. dollar index is having one of its strongest sessions in weeks, gaining 1%.

Bitcoin has moved up to $68,600, ahead 2.3% over the past 24 hours. Ether (ETH) is higher by 1.4%, with solana (SOL) and XRP (XRP) up similar amounts.

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Crypto-related stocks are posting even larger gains, led by Circle’s (CRCL) 12% advance. Strategy (MSTR) is higher by 6% and Galaxy Digital (GLXY) by 4.7%.

On the macro side, the ISM manufacturing PMI came in at 52.4, for February, marking another month of sector expansion and the first consecutive run of prints above 50 since the fourth quarter of 2022. This follows Friday’s Chicago Business Barometer, which rose to 57.7 in February 2026 from 54 previously and well above expectations of 52.8. The reading signals only the second expansion since November 2023 and reflects the strongest pace of US activity growth since May 2022.

Against the backdrop of conflict in the Middle East, reaccelerating manufacturing activity, hotter-than-expected PPI data last week, and higher oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions, a March rate cut now appears effectively off the table ahead of the Federal Reserve’s March 18 meeting.

Normally, that might be considered a headwind for crypto prices, but it’s quite possible that markets had already priced in tighter than previously expected U.S. monetary policy.

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Brent Crude Hits $82 as But Risk Looms

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High Volume for brent futures

The oil price surged sharply this week after conflict in the Middle East pushed Brent crude futures (ICEEUR:BRN1!) to $82, marking its biggest shock in months. Brent is the global oil benchmark, widely used to price international crude, which makes it the clearest measure of the oil price reaction to geopolitical risk.

The breakout is tracked on the CFD (Contract for Difference) charts, which reflect price structure but not actual positions. However, futures data from ICE Futures Europe confirmed real traders entered the market, validating the oil price surge as both a geopolitical and positioning-driven move.

Oil Price Surge and Rising Dollar Create Early Stress at $82

The oil price jumped from around $72 to $82 after US-Israeli strikes on Iran. The retaliation raised fears of supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route carrying nearly one-fifth of global oil flows. This sudden repricing added a war premium, meaning traders pushed the oil price higher due to expected supply risk rather than immediate shortages.

This shock triggered a gap-up opening in Brent crude oil. Such moves often face early stress because markets tend to retest part of the jump before continuing higher.

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That stress appeared near $82, as Brent crude oil corrected to $79.

The latest candle closed red with elevated volume. Volume in red indicates more trading occurred as the oil price corrected post-gap-up, indicating active selling pressure.

High Volume for brent futures
High Volume: TradingView

At the same time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks dollar strength against major currencies, has also been rising. Since oil trades globally in dollars, a stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for international buyers. A bearish sign.

DXY Rising
DXY Rising: TradingView

But another key indicator shows the full picture. Open interest, often called OI, has risen sharply on Brent futures (ICEEUR:BRN1!). Rising open interest means new traders are entering the market rather than closing positions. This validates the short-term bullish bias.

Oil Price And Open Interest
Oil Price And Open Interest: TradingView

This shows the oil price is not falling due to a lack of interest. Instead, the market is absorbing selling while new positions continue building. However, traders need to keep an eye out for the flattening open interest.

Price rising while open interest is flat means the move is likely driven by short covering, not new buying, so the trend is weaker and may not sustain.

OPEC Supply Increase Adds Future Risk Even as War Drives Current Price

At the same time, OPEC, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, announced it would increase production by 206,000 barrels per day starting in April. OPEC is a group of major oil-producing nations that control a large share of global supply.

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Normally, a higher supply reduces the oil price because more oil becomes available.

However, the oil price continued rising because war risk affects supply immediately, while OPEC’s production increase happens later. This creates a conflict between short-term supply fears and longer-term supply growth.

The Strait of Hormuz remains central to this risk. Even the possibility of disruption is enough to keep traders cautious and maintain upward pressure on the oil price. This also explains why open interest has started to flatline and why selling pressure emerged after the gap-up opening, as traders remain cautious about chasing the oil price higher while the risk of sudden supply and macro shifts remains elevated.

Futures Positioning Shows Market Is Preparing for a Larger Oil Price Move

Futures positioning shows the oil price breakout is attracting strong participation. The sharp rise in open interest on Brent crude oil futures (ICEEUR: BRN1!), seen earlier, confirms that traders are actively opening new positions as volatility increases.

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This positioning trend is spreading beyond traditional markets. Platforms like Aster, a crypto-based derivatives exchange, have launched oil perpetual futures.

The rise in oil trading on crypto platforms shows how widespread the positioning has become. It reflects broad positioning across financial markets.

Key oil price levels are tracked using the Brent crude CFD, while the Brent crude oil Futures are used to track volume and open interest.

Key Resistance
Key Resistance: TradingView

Per the chart, the first resistance remains $82, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement (mentioned later).

If the oil price breaks above $82, the next target becomes $85, based on the ascending channel breakout projection. Above that, the next resistance levels appear at $93 and $104 if geopolitical risk continues. Adding to this current strength is the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) positioning.

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This measures the average price over time while giving more weight to recent data, and recently confirmed a golden crossover where the 50-day EMA crossed above the 200-day EMA, a signal that previously preceded the latest upward move. The 100-day EMA is now rising toward the 200-day EMA, showing strengthening trend support.

EMA Patterns
EMA Patterns: TradingView

If that bullish crossover confirms, the $85 target, based on the ascending channel’s projection, might show up first.

However, the most important support level is $75.

Crude Oil Price Analysis
Crude Oil Price Analysis: TradingView

If the oil price falls below $75, it could decline toward $73 and $71. However, the bullish structure only weakens on possible peace talks and a dip under $67.

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Samar Sen on Institutional Crypto Adoption: Regulation & Controls

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Samar Sen on Institutional Crypto Adoption: Regulation & Controls

Institutional engagement with digital assets is no longer a uniform story. In recent years, major financial institutions have taken markedly different approaches to blockchain-based markets. Some have focused on tokenization, putting traditional instruments into programmable form. Banks, meanwhile, have explored tokenized deposit models and internal settlement rails as well as issuing their own digital assets like stablecoins.

Amid the growing wave of institutional capital entering digital assets, the more revealing question is not who participates, but how participation is governed inside the institution. Regulatory requirements, operational standards, and internal conviction often determine whether a strategy moves forward or stalls.

Speaking exclusively with BeInCrypto at Liquidity Summit 2026 in Hong Kong, Samar Sen, Head of International Markets at Talos, shared how those internal dynamics play out when institutions evaluate digital asset opportunities.

Adoption Requires More Than Rules

According to Sen, regulatory clarity remains the most decisive factor in institutional participation. He noted that progress across jurisdictions has helped reduce uncertainty, but clear rules remain essential for large-scale adoption.

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“We’ve seen a lot of advancements in regulation all over the world,” Sen acknowledged.

While once the dominant concern, infrastructure has matured significantly. Institutional-grade custody, execution platforms, and portfolio management systems now operate across major markets, addressing many of the operational gaps that previously slowed adoption.

Yet even where regulatory frameworks have advanced, and infrastructure is in place, in many institutions, the remaining hurdle is internal. He said:

“There may be management that is still evaluating the underlying tech or still need some time to get around understanding the potential of the tech to revolutionize finance.”

That hesitation often reflects unfamiliarity rather than outright resistance, he added. For institutions built on decades of precedent, conviction takes time. As a result, digital asset initiatives can stall even when the external conditions appear favorable.

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The Compliance Checklist Behind Institutional Trust

When asked what signals actually build trust for institutions evaluating crypto counterparties, Sen pushed back on the idea that visibility alone carries weight. While he acknowledged that industry gatherings and brand presence may help with awareness, institutional trust is earned differently.

“Typically, what builds trust will be, first of all, licensed or regulated entities within their jurisdictions,” Sen said.

He also added that institutions look for demonstrable internal controls, such as SOC 2 Type II certifications, audit trails, and operational safeguards. Track record also matters, particularly if leadership has experience in traditional finance and has built a reputation for delivering under regulatory scrutiny.

Peer adoption plays a role as well. Institutions often look outward, assessing who else is using the same infrastructure and how widely it has been adopted across the industry. He explained:

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“If you’re a big bank, and you go to talk to a vendor to provide you with technology, if that vendor is providing that technology to some of your peers and competitors, that’s another way that can establish some kind of trust.”

Not All Institutions Move at the Same Speed

Although regulatory clarity and operational safeguards form the foundation, institutions are not entering digital assets uniformly. Sen described three distinct profiles emerging in the market.

Some organizations act as early movers. These firms understand the structural shift underway in capital markets and are willing to commit resources ahead of full certainty. They tend to invest in building internal digital asset teams and engage proactively with new infrastructure providers.

Others take a more measured approach. These fast followers prefer to wait for clearer regulatory direction or proof of concept before scaling exposure. Their risk appetite is lower, and they often rely on external validation before committing capital.

Then there are institutions that remain behind the curve. In some cases, leadership has yet to develop conviction around the underlying technology. In others, digital asset initiatives exist but lack internal coordination, resulting in fragmented or misaligned strategies.

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Sen noted that institutions should not be expected to move in lockstep. He added that different risk tolerances and internal mandates shape the pace of adoption.

“And that’s okay because with digital assets and the underlying technology, there are many entry points to participate in the asset class, to get comfortable with the new providers and ecosystem participants. We are here to help navigate that.”

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Chinese banks freeze accounts over crypto memos

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Chinese banks freeze accounts over crypto memos

While regulation continues to loosen around crypto in the United States, largely thanks to a president who accepts bribes via his own meme and stablecoins, the opposite is occurring in China.

Indeed, dozens of Chinese nationals have taken to social media to report that just putting “Dogecoin” or “USDT” in the memo field of a transfer ends with the bank account being frozen — and the individuals have almost no recourse for their money getting unfrozen thereafter.

Drastic difference in banking regulations

Despite the near total normalization of buying, selling, trading, and creating cryptocurrencies in the US — including a stablecoin endorsed and partially owned by the president — China and its retail banks have taken on a much stricter set of rules and regulations.

In one instance, according to a site called Techub.info in China, two clients of China Construction Bank (the third largest bank in the world) had their accounts frozen after transferring a mere 250 yuan, or $35, between one another with the memo “Dogecoin this week.”

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After sending the money the bank flagged the transfer under its virtual currency control risk management program.

Rednote users warn Chinese citizens

On Rednote, users are sharing the story with words of warning for others in China: never put bitcoin, virtual currency, any memecoin, or USDT as the reason for a fund transfer or you will absolutely face an account freeze.

Rednote users are warning others to never put BTC or any memecoin as the reason for a fund transfer.

Read more: China’s Regulation 42 forces Tether to kill its CNHT stablecoin

They add that the only way to get one’s bank account unfrozen is to prove to to bank officials that money wasn’t in fact used to purchase cryptocurrencies, write a statement as to why a cryptocurrency was referenced, and wait for the statements to be reviewed.

The entire process can take weeks to occur, if the account is unfrozen at all.

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Needless to say, Chinese citizens are being more cautious than ever before when it comes to using their bank accounts for cryptocurrency trading.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Which Crypto Would Suffer the Most? (4 AIs Respond)

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Which Crypto Would Suffer the Most? (4 AIs Respond)


Check out which tokens may plummet by 90% if such a scenario unfolded.

The global geopolitical tension escalated over the weekend after the USA and Israel carried out mutual attacks on Iran, creating a sudden surge of uncertainty that quickly spread across the region and beyond.

The military operation struck many targets and eventually led to the liquidation of Ali Khamenei (the supreme leader of the Asian country). Iran retaliated against several nations in the region, including the UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia. The American president, Donald Trump, warned that the war may continue for up to four weeks, while leading European economies (some of which are nuclear powers), such as France, Germany, and the UK, have hinted that they may “defend their interest” and join the conflict soon.

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Right now, the world is watching the Middle East with growing concern, as the risk of a wider conflict and even a potential World War III seems more real than it has in years. Beyond the countless human lives this devastating event would claim, it would also send shockwaves through global financial and crypto markets. To explore the potential impact, we asked four of the most popular AI-powered chatbots which digital assets would be hit the hardest if such a scenario unfolded.

Small Alts, Memes, and More

ChatGPT started with a disclaimer, stating that a world war will not be just “bad news” but cause a “systemic liquidity shock.” It predicted that such a conflict would lead to immediate market panic, with equities dumping and credit freezing. In that kind of environment, crypto would get hit just as hard as everything else.

The chatbot suggested that small-cap altcoins are at the highest risk because they have thin liquidity, few real buyers, and heavy retail exposure. It alerted that cryptocurrencies, whose market capitalization is under $100 million and whose use-cases are dubious, may collapse by up to 90% in a World War III scenario.

Another sector that may experience a real carnage is the meme coin niche. According to ChatGPT, tokens like PEPE, BONK, WIF, and FLOKI can plummet to zero since they are sentiment-driven and notorious for their enhanced volatility:

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“In a true risk-off event like a global war, speculative appetite collapses first, and liquidity in meme tokens can disappear within hours.”

Google’s Gemini agreed with ChatGPT’s assumption. It forecasted that such a major conflict could have a devastating effect on small and mid-cap altcoins and meme coins due to mass panic selling and total lack of buyers.

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Perplexity focused specifically on the biggest meme coins by market cap, Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB), estimating they would likely suffer the most due to their “extreme sensitivity to risk-off sentiment and lack of fundamental utility.”

Grok, the chatbot integrated within X, presented a rather different thesis. It claimed that stablecoins like Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC could be among the biggest victims due to their connection to the American dollar:

“Stablecoins are pegged 1:1 to fiat currencies like the USD, backed by reserves in banks, Treasuries, or other assets. In WW3, if major economies like the US face hyperinflation, debt defaults, or banking freezes (as seen in historical wars), these reserves could become worthless or inaccessible. In a global war, peg breaks could lead to total devaluation, turning them into “digital IOUs” for a collapsing dollar.”

How About BTC?

All four chatbots we consulted argued that Bitcoin would plunge substantially immediately after a potential announcement of a global war, but would remain the most resilient asset in the crypto sector. They also suggested that, despite the initial shock, BTC could recover its losses relatively quickly compared to the rest of the market.

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“BTC would likely drop sharply alongside other risk assets as investors rush to liquidity. However, if the conflict leads to monetary instability or aggressive money printing, BTC could recover faster than most altcoins as its decentralziation and “digital gold” narrative regain strength,” ChatGPT stated.

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US margin debt reached all-time highs as crypto lost $2 trillion

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US margin debt reached all-time highs as crypto lost $2 trillion

The highest level of margin utilization by US traders in history has, unfortunately, led to historic underperformance in crypto prices as speculators re-learned timeless wisdom: leverage works both ways.

After spending 2025 through January 2026 building their largest leveraged positions in history, bets on digital assets have unraveled with unnerving speed.

In January 2026, US margin debt had surged to a record $1.28 trillion — its ninth consecutive monthly increase and a 50% rise from April 2025. That financial leverage added bids to crypto assets which made new all-time highs in May, July, August, and October 2025.

Then, despite investors continuing to pile on more margin debt than ever, prices collapsed 47% and shed $2 trillion in combined market capitalization as a sector rotation to AI and precious metals ensued.

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Crypto losses since October are staggering.

Chart of total crypto market cap, April 2025 to present. Source: TradingView

US margin debt increased $53 billion from December to January alone. Worse, the ratio of margin to real disposable personal income exceeded 6.0% in January for the first time on record.

That ratio measures more financial leverage in January 2026 relative to income than the dot-com mania.

Leverage-fueled demand flows into crypto instruments like bitcoin (BTC) futures, spot and leveraged ETFs, call options, and publicly traded crypto companies. Although more leverage can amplify gains, it also amplifies crashes.

Although traditional margin statistics are an incomplete measure of total systemic risk on crypto, which has vast quantities of opaque exchanges and trade data APIs controlled by offshore entities with little to no regulatory oversight, it can nonetheless inform some analysis about the causes of crypto volatility.

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A supernova of crypto leverage that wiped out $2 trillion

Some crypto derivatives traders spent mid-2025 building their largest leveraged positions in history, then watched all of their paper gains evaporate.

Aggregate crypto futures open interest peaked above $220 billion on October 6, 2025. Within a week, the industry began to crash and never looked back.

October 10 produced more than $19 billion in total liquidations across exchanges, according to CoinGlass data — the single largest day of forced closures in crypto history.

Many saw Binance as a convenient scapegoat.

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Read more: Crypto traders consider lawsuits after $600B market meltdown

Record-setting volatility continued amid record-setting margin levels. On February 5, 2026, another flash-crash drove BTC from $73,000 to $62,000 and wiped out 10-figure position values within a single day. 

Worst day of realized losses from BTC liquidations

Glassnode estimated that February 5’s crash produced $3.2 billion in realized losses from liquidated BTC trades — the largest single-day realized loss in Glassnode’s recorded history that surpassed even October 10, 2025, the FTX bankruptcy in November 2022, or the May 2022 collapse of Terra/Luna.

By late February, crypto’s margin trading hangover had set in.

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CoinGlass’ Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to five out of 100 — a never-before-seen rating that exceeded its Three Arrows Capital bankruptcy low of six in June 2022, and its COVID-19 low of seven in March 2020.

As of writing, the index still remains near historic lows at nine, or “extreme fear.”

Losses amid record margin levels have also drawn out spot BTC from US ETFs. Specifically, spot BTC ETFs lost $4.5 billion in net outflows through the first eight weeks of 2026, according to Investing.com.

The leveraged unwind of Strategy 

Adding insult to injury, software company-turned-leveraged BTC acquirer Strategy became the most-shorted large cap stock in the US last month, according to data from FactSet cited by multiple outlets.

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The company held 717,722 BTC over this weekend, purchased at an average cost near $76,020 per coin. With BTC trading in the mid-$60,000s, the company faces unrealized losses in the billions.

Margined short-sales against Strategy and its BTC, in this case, have actually stood out as a rare success story amid crypto’s margin mania of January 2026.

Leverage always works both ways. Although US margin debt at $1.28 trillion is an incredible headline, the real story is that leverage has seeped into every layer of crypto valuations — from listed securities in brokerage accounts to perpetual swap venues in tax havens.

With losses liquidating collateral and forcing cascading sales, each layer’s losses have been feeding the next since October.

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Aave’s “Aave Will Win” Proposal Passes Temp Check, Advancing Governance Shift

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Aave’s “Aave Will Win” Proposal Passes Temp Check, Advancing Governance Shift

The “Aave Will Win” governance proposal has successfully passed the Temp Check vote, garnering 52.58% support, and is now progressing to the Aave Request for Final Comment (ARFC) stage, marking a significant step for Aave’s future development.

In a closely watched governance decision for one of DeFi’s largest protocols, the “Aave Will Win” framework has passed its initial Temp Check vote, moving the proposal forward in Aave DAO’s multi-stage governance process.

The off-chain Snapshot vote, designed to gauge community sentiment ahead of more binding stages, closed with approximately 52.58% in favor, 42% against, and roughly 5% abstaining. This approval clears the first formal hurdle and advances the framework to the Aave Request for Final Comment (ARFC) phase, where structural and implementation details will be refined based on community feedback before any on-chain vote occurs.

A Token-Centric Model

The “Aave Will Win” framework proposes a fundamental shift in how Aave’s economic value is distributed and how Aave Labs is funded: it would direct 100% of product revenue generated by Aave products to the AAVE token and DAO treasury, aligning incentives between token holders and the protocol’s builders.

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Stani Kulechov, founder of Aave and long-time steward of the protocol, confirmed the result on social media shortly after the vote closed, framing the outcome as a step toward a fully token-centric model for the ecosystem.

“Temp Check for the Aave Will Win proposal has passed,” Kulechov wrote. “This brings Aave Labs closer to a fully token-centric model, directing 100% of product revenue to the $AAVE token,” he wrote, underscoring the strategic shift.”

Kulechov followed up with additional remarks reaffirming the protocol’s direction and the DAO’s role in shaping the final structure as the proposal progresses.

Governance Debate and Split Vote

Despite the ultimate approval, the vote exposed ongoing tensions within Aave’s governance community. The margin was relatively narrow, and earlier debate on the forums and in governance reports highlighted deep divisions over funding levels, the size of token allocations to Aave Labs, and how decentralized authority should evolve.

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Following the vote, Marc Zeller, founder of the Aave Chan Initiative, published a detailed post-mortem analyzing the Temp Check results, noting that when excluding votes from several large Aave Labs–linked addresses, the broader community actually tilted against the proposal.

Zeller’s analysis argued that while many delegates support the general direction of “Aave Will Win,” concerns remain about fiscal guardrails, capital deployment phases, and independence from Labs’ influence.

What Comes Next

With the Temp Check cleared, the Aave Will Win proposal now enters the ARFC stage, where community feedback will be folded into a more detailed governance proposal that may ultimately be put to an on-chain Aave Improvement Proposal (AIP) vote. Only through an AIP vote would any commitments become binding.

If the framework ultimately garners approval in that final vote, it could reshape Aave’s economic and governance model, formalizing revenue alignment with token holders and setting V4 as the long-term technical foundation for future growth.

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With the proposal’s advancement, the focus now shifts to the ARFC stage, where further community input will shape the final outcome. The proposal’s progress is a testament to the robust governance framework that empowers Aave’s community to steer its future direction.

This article was generated with the assistance of AI workflows.

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Crypto World

Strategy Adds 3,015 Bitcoin as Holdings Top 720,737 BTC

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Strategy Adds 3,015 Bitcoin as Holdings Top 720,737 BTC

Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the world’s largest public holder of Bitcoin, completed its 101st Bitcoin purchase, pushing its total holdings above 720,000 BTC.

The company acquired 3,015 Bitcoin (BTC) for $204.1 million last week, according to a US Securities and Exchange Commission filing on Monday.

Source: SEC

The average buy price of its latest purchase was $67,700 per BTC, marking another purchase well below the company’s average acquisition price of $75,985.

The purchase brings its holdings to 720,737 BTC, acquired for a total cost of about $54.8 billion, the company disclosed.

Another buy below Strategy’s cost basis

The latest buy is one of a small number of Strategy purchases made below the company’s average cost basis, according to data compiled by SaylorTracker, a website that tracks Strategy’s bitcoin acquisitions.

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The first such purchase occurred on Feb. 9, when the company bought 1,142 BTC as market prices dipped below $76,051 during the week. Strategy reported the average acquisition price of that batch at $78,815, above the market price at the time.

Source: SaylorTracker

Strategy encountered a similar situation around 2022-2023, when BTC price dipped below its cost basis of around $30,600. The company completed a total of seven purchases of 28,560 BTC during that below-cost period.

MSTR shares rise modestly while Bitcoin trades near $65,800

Strategy (MSTR) shares saw some upward momentum last week, rising from around $125 on Monday to nearly $130 by Friday, according to TradingView.

Bitcoin, however, remained largely flat over the same period. The crypto asset started the week near $65,000, briefly surged above $69,000 on Wednesday, and dipped below $64,000 before stabilizing. At the time of publication, Bitcoin was trading at $65,834, according to TradingView.

Related: Strategy yield wrapper lands in Europe as 21Shares lists STRC ETP

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The news came after Strategy chairman Saylor announced on Sunday that the company is raising the dividend on its STRC preferred stock, also known as “Stretch,” to 11.50% for March 2026, from the previous 11.25%.

The capital raised through the stock can be used for corporate purposes, including potential Bitcoin acquisitions.

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