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Nevada Takes Aim at Kalshi: What This Means for Crypto Prediction Platform Legal Battles

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • Kalshi’s emergency motion to halt Nevada enforcement action was rejected by the Ninth Circuit Appeals Court
  • The platform faces a likely temporary restraining order that would suspend Nevada operations for a minimum of 14 days
  • Nevada regulators issued a cease-and-desist order in March, claiming Kalshi operates unlicensed sports wagering
  • The platform maintains its products are federally regulated by the CFTC, not subject to state gambling laws
  • Multiple states including Connecticut, New York, and New Jersey are pursuing parallel enforcement actions against Kalshi and competing platforms

The Ninth Circuit Appeals Court has rejected Kalshi’s urgent petition to prevent Nevada from pursuing enforcement action against the platform’s sports-event trading products. This decision opens the door for state authorities to move forward with regulatory measures.

https://twitter.com/coinbureau/status/2024026094609768527?s=20

Back in March, Nevada’s Gaming Control Board delivered a cease-and-desist notice to Kalshi. State regulators contend that the platform’s sports-event trading products constitute illegal sports wagering operations without proper licensing.

According to gaming attorney Daniel Wallach, a temporary restraining order appears virtually certain at this point. Because Nevada statute prohibits appealing a TRO, Kalshi would be forced to suspend state operations for no less than 14 days.

https://twitter.com/WALLACHLEGAL/status/2034674972522680587?s=20

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“Since a TRO is not appealable under Nevada law, Kalshi would be required to exit the state in the interim,” Wallach explained.

In its court filings, Kalshi has contended that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission holds exclusive regulatory authority over its products. The company asserted that preventing these contracts from operating would inflict “imminent harm” on its business operations.

With the emergency appeal denied, the matter heads back to federal district court as Nevada prepares its enforcement measures.

Platform Highlights Risk of Contradictory Judicial Decisions

Through a March 13 legal filing, Kalshi emphasized that permitting Nevada’s action to proceed alongside ongoing federal proceedings could result in conflicting judicial outcomes.

The company warned that both forums might arrive at “exactly the opposite conclusion” regarding whether federal commodities regulations preempt state gaming statutes. Kalshi characterized this scenario as potentially generating “jurisdictional chaos.”

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At the heart of the dispute lies a fundamental question: whether federal authorities or state gaming regulators hold ultimate jurisdiction.

Multi-State Campaign Targets Prediction Trading Platforms

Nevada’s regulatory offensive is part of a broader pattern. Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, and additional jurisdictions have launched similar challenges against sports-event trading contracts on prediction market platforms.

Kalshi isn’t the sole platform under scrutiny. Crypto.com, Polymarket, and Coinbase are similarly entangled in legal confrontations with various state authorities over comparable offerings.

The prediction markets sector has experienced explosive expansion. Weekly transaction volumes across platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket routinely exceed $2 billion, per Dune Analytics data.

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This rapid growth has attracted regulatory attention from officials concerned about potential insider trading violations and market manipulation schemes.

Throughout these legal confrontations, Kalshi has consistently argued that state regulators lack jurisdiction to restrict event contracts already supervised by federal authorities.

The critical next phase involves a preliminary injunction hearing, which will decide whether Kalshi can maintain Nevada operations during the extended litigation process.

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Crypto World

senators flag conflict of interest

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senators flag conflict of interest

The DOJ crypto conflict reached a formal accusation this week when six Democratic senators told Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche he had a “glaring conflict of interest” after ProPublica reported he held between $158,000 and $470,000 in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana when he issued the memo disbanding the National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team.

Summary

  • Blanche signed an ethics agreement in February 2025 promising to divest within 90 days and not to participate in matters affecting his digital asset interests, then issued the enforcement rollback memo in April 2025 before divesting, during which window his Bitcoin holdings alone appreciated 34 percent
  • When Blanche eventually divested, he transferred holdings to his adult children and a grandchild rather than liquidating them outright, a move ethics experts told ProPublica is technically legal but against the spirit of conflict of interest law
  • Senators Warren, Hirono, Durbin, Whitehouse, Coons, and Blumenthal set a February 11 deadline for Blanche to produce all communications with ethics officials and the crypto industry around the time of the memo; the Campaign Legal Center simultaneously filed a complaint with the DOJ Inspector General

ProPublica’s investigation documents that Blanche’s memo, titled Ending Regulation by Prosecution, disbanded the NCET, halted Biden-era investigations into crypto companies, and directed the DOJ to assist Trump’s crypto working group. The memo benefited the crypto industry broadly, including Blanche’s own portfolio. A DOJ spokesperson told ProPublica the actions were “appropriately flagged, addressed and cleared in advance,” without specifying who cleared them or how. The senators wrote directly to Blanche: “At the very least, you had a glaring conflict of interest and should have recused yourself.”

The NCET was established in 2022 and led the Binance investigation that resulted in a $4.3 billion settlement. Blanche’s memo disbanded it entirely and directed the Market Integrity and Major Frauds Unit to cease cryptocurrency enforcement in order to focus on other priorities including immigration and procurement fraud. Going forward, the DOJ would only pursue crypto cases involving terrorism, narcotics, human trafficking, hacking, and cartel financing. The senators cited a January 2026 Chainalysis report showing illicit crypto activity surged 162 percent the prior year, arguing their predictions about the consequences of the rollback had proven correct.

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The Divestiture Problem

When Blanche transferred his crypto holdings to family members rather than selling them outright, ethics experts told ProPublica this approach was at odds with the spirit of the law. The Campaign Legal Center argued the transfers did not eliminate his potential financial interest because his family retained the appreciated assets. ProPublica calculated his Bitcoin holdings rose 34 percent between the date of the memo and the date he divested, a gain that reached approximately $105,000 on that position alone.

What the Senators Demanded and What Comes Next

As crypto.news has reported, the DOJ conflict question has become a live variable inside CLARITY Act negotiations, where Democratic senators are pushing for ethics language barring government officials from profiting from crypto. As crypto.news has noted, the federal regulatory framework is being rebuilt through financial regulators rather than criminal enforcement, a structural shift Blanche’s memo accelerated. The Inspector General complaint filed by the Campaign Legal Center remains open, and the DOJ has not responded publicly to the senators’ demand for documentation.

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Circle Stock Falls Amid Downgrade as Drift Exploit Fallout Spreads

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Circle Stock Falls Amid Downgrade as Drift Exploit Fallout Spreads

Shares of stablecoin issuer Circle Internet Group fell sharply Thursday following a Wall Street downgrade and reports tied to a legal probe connected to a recent crypto exploit.

Circle’s stock price closed near session lows in Nasdaq trading, falling 9.9% to $85.10.

The decline adds to a broader slide in the company’s shares, which are down nearly 24% over the past month and about 43% over the past six months, reflecting continued volatility after Circle’s high-profile public debut last year.

Circle Internet Group (CRCL) stock. Source: Yahoo Finance

However, the latest pullback may also reflect profit-taking after Circle shares surged between February and March, driven largely by growing stablecoin adoption.

Nevertheless, some analysts are urging caution. On Thursday, Compass Point downgraded Circle to “sell” from “neutral” and issued a $77 price target, implying roughly 9% downside from current levels.

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Circle has also faced pressure from regulatory uncertainty in the United States. Progress on market structure legislation has stalled, while banking industry groups continue to lobby against yield-bearing stablecoins.

Analysts at Bernstein said the concerns are overstated, noting that Circle’s underlying business remains unaffected and pointing to growing USDC (USDC) adoption and strong reserve income.

Related: Crypto investor sentiment will rise once CLARITY Act is passed: Bessent

Fallout from Drift Protocol exploit continues to weigh on crypto markets

Separately, legal scrutiny tied to the recent exploit of decentralized exchange Drift Protocol has added another layer of uncertainty to the broader crypto market, indirectly weighing on sentiment toward Circle.

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According to a notice circulated this week, investors affected by the $280 million Drift exploit are being urged to contact the Oakland, California law firm Gibbs Mura for potential financial recovery. The outreach signals the early stages of a possible class-action investigation tied to losses from the incident.

Source: Cointelegraph

While Circle is not directly implicated in the exploit, the episode has renewed concerns about counterparty risk and the stability of decentralized finance platforms — an overhang that can spill over into publicly traded crypto-linked equities.

The perpetrator of the Drift exploit moved the stolen assets into USDC, prompting speculation over whether the funds could have been frozen by Circle, though no action was taken.

Related: Crypto hacks fall to $49M in February as attackers shift to phishing scams