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Perpetual futures changed how retail traders perceived risk in 2025

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Why futures risk is no longer about price swings — and how time itself became the biggest threat to traders.
Why futures risk is no longer about price swings — and how time itself became the biggest threat to traders.
  • Perpetual futures allow positions to stay open indefinitely, letting risk build over time.
  • Losses increasingly stem from prolonged exposure, not sudden price moves.
  • Contract design now plays a bigger role in risk than traditional entry and exit timing.

In 2025, many retail traders realized that futures risk no longer followed a familiar lifecycle.

Positions were no longer defined by clear start and end points, and losses were increasingly shaped by how long exposure was carried rather than by individual market moves.

As non-expiring futures became the default contract type, traders began encountering risk that developed through persistence instead of resolution.

This shift introduced a structural contradiction. Traditional futures contracts expire, forcing positions to be closed or rolled at predetermined intervals.

That process limits how long exposure can accumulate without intervention.

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Perpetual futures remove this constraint. By design, they allow positions to remain open indefinitely, provided margin requirements are met.

While this simplifies participation, it also allows risk to build continuously, often without clear signals on price charts.

Educational coverage from Leverage.Trading focused on the structural mechanics of perpetual futures, detailing how the removal of contract expiry allows exposure to persist and why risk can deteriorate over time even when price movement remains subdued.

Risk that accumulates through duration, not volatility

Similar structural patterns have been observed in institutional research on derivatives markets.

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For example, the BIS has reported that rising notional exposure and gross market values in derivatives markets reflect how risk can accumulate as positions persist over time, even without dramatic price movements.

As traders adjusted to this structure, several defining properties of non-expiring futures became more widely understood.

These properties did not describe market outcomes, but the conditions under which exposure is allowed to persist:

  • Futures contracts without expiry do not force risk to reset
  • Exposure remains active until manually reduced or automatically closed
  • Structural costs and pressures continue to accrue over time
  • Position vulnerability increases through duration, not only volatility

Understanding these properties changed how futures risk was assessed.

Instead of evaluating trades solely on entry quality or short-term price expectations, traders increasingly examined whether a position could withstand ongoing structural pressure over extended periods. 

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From contract expiry to continuous exposure

This distinction mirrors the contrast between traditional futures markets, such as those operated by the CME Group, and perpetual contract models that dominate crypto derivatives, where contract duration is theoretically unlimited.

The educational explanations focused on how perpetual futures remain aligned with spot prices through continuous adjustment mechanisms, how funding and exposure interact across time, and why prolonged duration can erode position stability even in relatively calm markets.

By considering contract design alongside exposure and time, traders were better equipped to judge whether a futures position was structurally sound before entering it. 

Regulatory bodies such as the ESMA have also warned that prolonged leveraged exposure can magnify losses even when price fluctuations appear modest, reinforcing the importance of understanding contract mechanics rather than relying solely on price signals.

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Why futures risk became a time problem

As futures markets expanded and participation broadened, isolated price outcomes became an unreliable way to interpret risk.

Education that clarified how non-expiring contracts carry exposure forward became necessary for understanding why positions often deteriorate gradually rather than failing abruptly.

This emphasis on contract structure reflects a broader shift toward risk-first explanations, a role increasingly associated with Leverage.Trading’s coverage of futures and leveraged markets.

Recognizing that futures risk now accumulates through continuity rather than expiration marked a meaningful change in retail trading behavior.

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Explanations that clarify how contract design, exposure, and time interact help traders understand not just how futures positions are opened, but how and why they degrade without a defined endpoint.

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Crypto World

Truth Social Files for Digital Asset ETFs

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Truth Social Files for Digital Asset ETFs

Truth Social Funds has filed with the SEC to launch two digital asset ETFs, aiming to integrate cryptocurrencies into traditional financial markets and attract new investors.

Truth Social Funds has filed a registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for two digital asset exchange-traded funds (ETFs) – the Truth Social Cronos Yield Maximizer ETF and the Truth Social Bitcoin and Ether ETF.

The Truth Social Cronos Yield Maximizer ETF will provide exposure to CRO, the native cryptocurrency of the Cronos ecosystem, while the Truth Social Bitcoin and Ether ETF will hold BTC and ETH. Both ETFs will also offer staking rewards.

The funds will be advised by Yorkville America Equities with a management fee of 0.95%.

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“We are excited to launch our initial two Digital/Crypto offerings under Truth Social ETFs. In partnership with Crypto.com, we plan to provide an investment platform for investors covering multiple aspects of digital and crypto investing with both capital appreciation and income opportunities,” said Steve Neamtz, President of Yorkville America Equities.

According to the announcement, the introduction of these digital asset ETFs is expected to enhance market liquidity. It provides a more structured, regulated avenue for investing in cryptocurrencies, which is particularly appealing to those who have been hesitant due to volatility and regulatory uncertainty incrypto markets.

The move by Truth Social Funds is part of a broader trend in the financial industry, where traditional financial institutions are increasingly exploring the inclusion of digital assets.

This article was generated with the assistance of AI workflows.

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Crypto World

BlackRock Increases Bitmine Stake to Over 9 Million Shares: What’s Next?

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If you think the institutional appetite for crypto ended with the ETF approvals, look again. In a move that signals massive long-term conviction, the world’s biggest asset manager, BlackRock, has reportedly increased its stake in Bitmine to over 9 million shares, according to a recent 13H-FR filing surfaced on X.

While retail traders are distracted by red candles, the world’s largest asset manager is actively seizing more infrastructure.

This isn’t just a passive buy; it’s a statement. When Larry Fink’s firm moves millions of shares in a crypto-native company, it changes the liquidity map for everyone involved.

Context: The Wall Street Pivot Continues

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This accumulation comes hot on the heels of BlackRock’s dominance in the spot ETF market.

Their iShares Bitcoin (BTC) Trust has already shattered growth records, surpassing $70 billion in assets faster than any ETF in history.

Now, by significantly increasing exposure to Bitmine, the world’s biggest asset manager is doubling down on the operational side of the blockchain ecosystem.

While headlines often focus on spot price, smart money follows the institutional hedging and whale positioning deeper in the stack.

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BlackRock holding over 9 million shares suggests it sees mining and infrastructure not as a risky bet, but as a critical asset class worthy of its balance sheet.

Discover: The best new crypto on the market

BlackRock and Bitmine: Strategic Accumulation or Just a Hedge?

Why buy the miners when you already own the coin? This is the question savvy traders need to answer.

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Owning equity in operations like Bitmine offers BlackRock a strategic leveraging of Bitcoin’s success without the custody fees associated with direct coin holding.

This stake increase indicates that BlackRock believes the sector is currently undervalued relative to its future cash flow potential.

Furthermore, this aligns with a broader trend of incumbents staking claims in the digital asset space. We are seeing similar aggressive moves elsewhere, such as Goldman Sachs revealing significant crypto holdings.

Wall Street is no longer dipping a toe in; they are buying the swimming pool.

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What Traders Should Watch Next

If you are holding crypto-linked equities or spot BTC, this is a bullish signal for the medium term. Institutional accumulation usually precedes a supply squeeze.

Watch for two things in the coming weeks:

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  • Sector Correlation: Does Bitmine’s stock price begin to decouple from daily BTC movements due to this institutional support?
  • Global Sentiment: This Western accumulation parallels bullish crypto sentiment emerging in Hong Kong, suggesting a coordinated global bid for crypto assets is forming.

Ignore the minute-by-minute candles and watch the whales. When BlackRock buys 9 million shares, they aren’t planning to sell next week.

Discover: The ultimate crypto for portfolio diversification

The post BlackRock Increases Bitmine Stake to Over 9 Million Shares: What’s Next? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Eyes $80K as Traders Expect A Short-term BTC Price Rebound.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity

Bitcoin (BTC) charged above $69,000 on Friday as US CPI data showed cooling inflation, leading traders to hope for a short-term BTC price recovery.

Key takeaways:

  • Traders favor a short-term BTC price relief rally, but bulls must first take out the resistance at $68,000 to $70,000. 

  • Bitcoin market analysis forecasts a short squeeze toward $80,000 if bulls succeed in confirming the $65,000 level as support.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity
BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin price must take out resistance at $68,000

Bitcoin attempted a breakout on Thursday but “got slammed back down at the $68K level,” said analyst Daan Crypto Trades in a Friday post on X, adding:

“That’s the area to watch if BTC wants to see another leg up at some point.”

An accompanying chart showed the BTC/USD pair consolidating within a falling wedge in the one-hour time frame. 

Related: Bitcoin ETFs bleed $410M as Standard Chartered slashes BTC target

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The pattern projected a short-term rally to $72,000 once the price breaks above the wedge’s upper trendline at $68,000.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades

Fellow Ted Pillows said that the “chances of a deeper correction would increase” if the $65,000-$66,000 support does not hold.

 “To the upside, if Bitcoin reclaims the $70,000 level, it could rally 8%-10% really quickly.”

BTC/USD two-day chart. Source: Ted Pillows

From a technical perspective, BTC’s price action has been forming a V-shaped recovery chart pattern on the four-hour chart, as shown below.

The BTC/USD pair is retesting a key area of resistance defined by the 20-period EMA at $67,500 and the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) at $68,000. 

Bulls need to push the price above this level to increase the chance of a rally to the pattern’s neckline at $72,000.

BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

As Cointelegraph reported, if Bitcoin breaks $72,000, it will revive the hopes of a recovery toward the 20-day EMA at $76,000 and eventually, the 50-day simple moving average above $85,000, bringing the total gains to 26%.

Liquidation risk builds near $80,000

Exchange order-book liquidity data from CoinGlass showed Bitcoin’s price pinned below two walls of asks centered just below $75,000 and around $80,000.

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“$BTC liquidations are stacking well above $72K, and around the area from $77K to $80K,” Bitcoin analyst ZordXBT said in his latest post on X.

Below the spot price, bid orders were lying down to $64,500, “where I have my limit orders placed,” the analyst said, adding:

“If the market holds itself here, it can very easily eat those liquidity bubbles.” 

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity
Bitcoin liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass

The chart above suggests that if the $72,000-$75,000 level is broken, it could spark a liquidation squeeze, forcing short sellers to close positions and driving prices toward $80,000, which is the next major liquidity cluster.

Zooming in, Ted Pillows highlighted significant bid clusters at $65,000 and ask orders around $68,000, saying that the price is likely to revisit these areas to wipe out the liquidity.

“I think a revisit of $65,000 and a pump to $68,000 will both happen soon.”

Bitcoin exchange liquidation map. Source: CoinGlass