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Pi Network price gets oversold ahead of a big unlock and potential Kraken listing

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Pi Network price

Pi Network price continued its strong downward trend this week and is nearing its lowest level on record as traders anticipated a big token unlock this week.

Summary

  • Pi Network price continued its strong downward trend last week.
  • The network will unlock 82 million tokens in the next seven days.
  • A potential catalyst for the coin is Kraken listing.

Pi Coin (PI) token was trading at $0.1450 on Sunday, a few points above the all-time low of $0.1305. It has dropped by over 90% from its all-time high, erasing billions of dollars in value.

Pi token may come under pressure this week as the network unlocks over 82 million coins in the next seven days. At the current price, these coins are valued at over $11 million. These coins are part of the 206 million tokens that come online this month. 

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Token unlocks are risky for a cryptocurrency because they boost the circulating supply. Soaring supply at a time when demand is not rising will always put pressure on the price.

Pi Network’s supply will also jump in March when the team will issue the validator rewards. In a recent note, they said that they had completed the design and were currently testing it, with the implementation happening in March.

While many validators will hold their tokens, some will dump, leading to lower prices over time. 

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On the positive side, Pi Network has a major catalyst in that it was added on Kraken’s roadmap list. In most cases, this is usually the first stage before the company lists a token. A Kraken listing would be highly bullish for Pi because of its scale as the second-biggest American crypto exchange after Coinbase.

Pi Network price prediction: technical analysis

Ethereum price
Pi Coin price chart | Source: crypto.news

The daily timeframe chart shows that the value of Pi has remained under pressure in the past few months. It recently crossed the crucial support level at $0.1520, its previous all-time low.

The coin has remained below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages. It also sits below the Supertrend indicator, a highly bearish sign in technical analysis. 

On the positive side, the coin has become highly oversold, with the Relative Strength Index remaining below 30. Therefore, the most likely scenario is where it remains in this range this week. A move above the key resistance at $0.1520 will invalidate the bearish outlook and point to more gains. 

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Bear Market Comparison Sparks New $50,000 BTC Price Prediction

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Bitcoin Bear Market Comparison Sparks New $50,000 BTC Price Prediction

Bitcoin (BTC) gained up to 3% Sunday, but some traders refused to believe that the BTC price crash was over.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin price comparisons warn that new macro lows are due if the 2022 bear market continues to repeat.

  • Moving averages and the cost basis of the US spot Bitcoin ETFs are in focus.

  • Analysis says that a carbon copy of 2022 is not a certainty.

Bitcoin capitulation “hasn’t happened yet”

Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD crossing $71,000, now up 20% versus Friday’s 15-month lows.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

As the weekly close neared, Bitcoin added characteristic volatility, while market participants remained highly skeptical that the rebound would last.

Uploading a chart to X which compared current BTC price action to the 2022 bear market, independent analyst Filbfilb had no good news for bulls.

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“Im not going to try to dress it up any way other than how it looks,” he commented alongside a chart showing spot price versus the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) at $95,300.

BTC/USD one-week chart. Source: Filbfilb/X

Analyst Tony Severino held similar ideas, contributing multiple price indicators and concluding that new lows were all but guaranteed.

“$BTC final capitulation hasn’t happened yet,” trader BitBull agreed, like Filbfilb referencing 2022. 

“A real bottom will form below $50,000 level where most of the ETF buyers will be underwater.”

US spot Bitcoin ETF data. Source: Checkonchain

The US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) currently have an average buy-in cost of $82,000, per data from monitoring resource Checkonchain.

BTC price deja vu continues

Earlier, Cointelegraph reported on a key bear market feature for Bitcoin based on two other trend lines: the 200-week simple (SMA) and exponential moving averages. 

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Related: What crashed Bitcoin? Three theories behind BTC’s trip below $60K

Together, they form a “cloud” of support between $58,000 and $68,000.

In one of his latest market takes at the weekend, Caleb Franzen, creator of analytics resource Cubic Analytics, argued that here too, the ghost of 2022 was in play.

“In May 2022, Bitcoin retested its 200-week MA cloud. Bulls said ‘that’s it, we’ve retested the long-term moving average & can continue higher now.’ Price immediately rebounded on that zone, produced a long wick, & closed above the midpoint of the weekly range,” he summarized.

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“But then that rally faded… Price came back into the 200W MA cloud a few weeks later, failed to rebound, then sliced through the cloud in June 2022. What are we seeing right now? The first retest of the 200W MA cloud with a long wick.”

BTC/USD one-week chart with 200 SMA, 200 EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Franzen note that the market may not replicate the previous bear market “perfectly.”

“The reality is that no one knows what happens next,” he acknowledged.