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Polkadot price forms a bullish flag ahead of tokenomics overhaul on March 12

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polkadot price

Polkadot price will be in the spotlight this month as the layer-1 network makes one of its biggest changes since its inception.

Summary

  • Polkadot price has formed a bullish flag pattern pointing to an eventual rebound this month  
  • The network will implement new changes to its tokenomics next week.
  • It will also introduce a new approach to its staking approach.

Polkadot (DOT) token was trading at $1.5223 on Wednesday, up by 37% from its lowest point in February. Its market capitalization has jumped to $2.5 billion.

DOT price will be in focus next week as the developers implement the new tokenomics framework that will cap the number of tokens to 2.1 billion.

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It will also reduce its emissions immediately by 53.6% and eliminate treasury burns, replacing it with a new Dynamic Allocation Pool. Instead of burning tokens, the network fee generated from transactions, slashes, and coretime sales will go to a new permanent on-chain pool available for governance allocation.

The governance will be free to allocate the DOT tokens to validator rewards, staking incentives, treasury budgets, and strategic reserves.

The other big change will be on staking, where validators will have to lock at least 10,000 DOT tokens as self-stake. On top of this, the minimum validator commission will move to 10%, while unbonding will be slashed from 28 days to between 24 and 48 hours.

Polkadot’s tokenomics changes come after the network completed the move to Polkadot 2.0, which involved three core parts: asynchronous backing, agile coretime, and elastic scaling. 

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Asynchronous backing reduced its block time from 12 seconds to 6 seconds, while agile coretime replaced parachain auctions with a more flexible model. Elastic scaling enabled vertical scalability by allowing parachains to access multiple cores in real time.

Still, a major challenge for Polkadot is that its ecosystem growth has been relatively limited, with developers opting for other popular chains like Solana and Ethereum.

Polkadot price prediction: Technical analysis 

polkadot price
DOT price chart | Source: crypto.news

The daily timeframe chart shows that the DOT token price has rebounded in the past few days, moving from a low of $1.2260 to the current $1.550.  This rebound happened after forming a double-bottom pattern at $1.2260 and a neckline at $1.4300.

Polkadot price then pulled back, forming a bullish flag pattern, which often leads to a bullish breakout. It has also flipped the Supertrend indicator from red to green.

Therefore, the most likely DOT price forecast is bullish, with the next initial target being last month’s high of $1.7445. A move above that level will point to more upside, potentially to $2.

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However, there is also a risk that it will retreat after the tokenomics changes as investors sell the news.

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Crypto World

ECB Says Stablecoins and Tokenized Deposits Need Central Bank Money

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Central Bank, Europe, ECB, European Union, Tokenization, Policy

Tokenized deposits and stablecoins need tokenized central bank money as a public settlement anchor if Europe’s tokenized financial markets are to scale, Piero Cipollone, a member of the European Central Bank’s Executive Board, said on Monday.

Cipollone pointed to Pontes, the Eurosystem’s distributed ledger technology (DLT) settlement initiative, which is designed to connect market DLT platforms with the Eurosystem’s TARGET Services and provide settlement in central bank money.

“Without tokenised central bank money, a seller of a tokenised security may receive payment in an asset they are not comfortable holding – one exposed to price volatility or credit risk – which limits the market’s ability to scale,” Cipollone said in a speech at the House of the Euro in Brussels on Monday.

The ECB said Pontes is due for an initial launch in the third quarter of 2026, allowing market participants to settle DLT-based transactions in central bank money. The comments build on the ECB’s broader Appia initiative, published on March 11, which is intended to produce a blueprint for a future European tokenized financial ecosystem by 2028.

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Related: ECB opens digital euro work on ATMs and payment terminals

Europe’s tokenized markets need legal clarity

Beyond settlement in central bank money, Cipollone said Europe also needs closer public-private cooperation and a legal framework that matches the technology.

One of Appia’s building blocks serves as an interoperability standard for assets, ensuring that tokenized assets can be transferred across different DLT platforms via a compatible data format and smart contract standards.

Central Bank, Europe, ECB, European Union, Tokenization, Policy
High-level timeline for Pontes and Appia. Source: ECB

Cipollone urged market infrastructure operators, banks, custodians and technology providers to explore and submit feedback related to the Appia roadmap, seeking to foster more public-private partnerships.

Related: Sweden’s H100 eyes Europe’s No. 2 Bitcoin treasury with 3,500 BTC deal

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Cipollone also said Europe may ultimately need a dedicated legal framework to support the seamless issuance and transfer of tokenized assets across the bloc.

He called the European Commission’s proposal to extend the DLT Pilot Regime an “important development,” but cautioned that the absence of a holistic tokenization framework introduces the risk of “building advanced settlement infrastructure on a patchwork of regulations, leaving us unable to fully reap the benefits.”

The comments come days after stablecoin issuer Circle submitted feedback to the European Commission’s Market Integration Package on March 20, urging lawmakers to expand the existing DLT Pilot Regime and provide e-money token (EMT) cash account services to authorized crypto-asset service providers.