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Q4 loss as revenue contribution climbs

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Crypto Breaking News

Hut 8 (EXCHANGE: HUT) posted a stark transformation in its fourth-quarter results, reflecting the struggle of a hash-rate focused miner navigating volatile digital-asset markets and a pivot toward AI-driven infrastructure. The company reported a quarterly net loss of $279.7 million, a sharp reversal from an income of $152.2 million in the prior-year period, underscoring the hit from asset valuations and impairment charges. Revenue for the quarter ended December 31 stood at $88.5 million, evidence of growth from the year-ago $31.7 million, while compute revenue climbed to $81.9 million from $19.2 million. Yet the quarter’s bottom line was weighed down by a $401.9 million impairment on digital assets, a larger drag than the $308.2 million impairment increase logged a year earlier. In the context of a crypto market that has cooled from earlier-year highs, Hut 8’s numbers crystallize a transition away from pure mining toward a broader data-center and AI infrastructure strategy.

The quarter’s figures come as Hut 8 also highlighted a robust liquidity position. The company ended the year with about $1.4 billion in cash and Bitcoin reserves, along with up to $400 million in revolving credit capacity. That liquidity cushion is notable given the negative earnings impact from asset impairment, and it provides the runway for the company’s expansion plans in high-performance computing and AI hosting. Against a backdrop where Bitcoin’s price has softened from its 2021-2022 peak, Hut 8 appears intent on diversifying revenue streams beyond block rewards into service-based income tied to AI workloads and data-center capacity.

Among the strategic moves shaping Hut 8’s trajectory, a 15-year lease for 245 megawatts of AI data-center capacity at its River Bend campus stands out. Valued at about $7 billion, the deal is financed in part by a substantial Google-backed funding package that covers around $1.8 billion of the lease obligations and includes warrants for roughly 41 million WULF shares, representing about 8% of the company’s equity under the arrangement. This arrangement underscores a broader industry push to pair crypto mining infrastructure with AI and HPC capabilities, leveraging established cloud and AI ecosystems to extract incremental value from spare data-center capacity. The lease is positioned as a cornerstone of Hut 8’s pivot toward AI-hosting services that can ride secular demand for AI training and inference workloads. The full details of the arrangement are covered in prior disclosures and linked references.

In parallel with the River Bend project, Hut 8 completed the sale of a 310 MW natural gas portfolio in February, freeing additional capital for expansion bets. The company also announced the launch of American Bitcoin Corp., a separately listed vehicle focused on Bitcoin accumulation, a move designed to create a dedicated vehicle for holding and potentially monetizing crypto assets as part of its capital-allocation strategy. These steps reflect a broader trend among miners to monetize non-core assets and redeploy capital into platforms that can scale with AI-driven demand.

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Hut 8’s Bitcoin holdings remain a point of attention for investors. Data from BitcoinTreasuries.NET shows Hut 8 holds 13,696 BTC, positioning the company among the larger publicly traded Bitcoin holders by ordinary metrics. The market response to the earnings release was tepid, with shares down about 4.5% in early trading on Wednesday, a reflection of the mixed signal from the quarterly results—heightened impairment on assets even as liquidity and strategic leverage appear to expand. Market participants watched how the company’s stock would translate liquidity into tangible AI/data-center revenue over the coming quarters, particularly as the AI lease with Google-backed financing adds a long-horizon revenue stream.

Beyond Hut 8’s numbers, the sector’s narrative has shifted toward AI and HPC infrastructure. Even as Bitcoin traded around $68,150—a retreat from its early-year highs near $87,500 (CoinGecko data)—several of the largest publicly traded Bitcoin miners have posted year-to-date gains. TeraWulf (EXCHANGE: WULF) has rallied more than 50% year-to-date, while Riot Platforms (EXCHANGE: RIOT) and Hut 8 have advanced roughly 30% and 29%, respectively, according to industry data. The performance differential suggests investors are valuing miners not only for their Bitcoin exposure but also for the quality of their energy infrastructure, data center real estate, and strategic diversification into AI and HPC capabilities. The ETF landscape also moves in step with this narrative; the Bitcoin Mining ETF WGMI has posted gains as investors rotate toward AI- and data-center-enabled plays.

The divergence in outcomes across miners highlights a broader market reality: investors are increasingly discounting crypto price alone and pricing in operational leverage tied to energy and compute capacity. In August, for example, TeraWulf signed a 10-year colocation lease with Fluidstack valued at $3.7 billion, with Google backing about $1.8 billion of the lease obligations and warrants issued for a substantial stake in WULF. Industry observers point to these kinds of long-duration commitments as proof that AI-focused infrastructure will serve as a more durable revenue anchor than mining alone, a trend echoed in Starboard Value’s push for Riot Platforms to accelerate its AI/HPC data-center ambitions.

In short, Hut 8’s quarterly report reads as a case study in a sector at a crossroads. The company’s balance sheet remains robust enough to sustain a multi-year capex plan, but the immediate earnings picture is clouded by asset impairments that reflect the price volatility of digital assets and the challenge of timing asset valuations. As Hut 8 leans into AI and HPC, investors and analysts are watching for how much of the River Bend project’s incremental revenue will filter into the bottom line, and how the company manages the horizon of interest payments, revolver usage, and equity-linked incentives tied to the Google-backed warrants. The press materials and related coverage in the period provide a roadmap for investors to evaluate Hut 8’s capacity to monetize AI-ready capacity while managing the traditional crypto mining business.

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Why it matters

The Hut 8 story matters because it encapsulates a broader industry transition from pure cryptocurrency mining to diversified data-center and AI infrastructure. The ability to monetize large-scale compute capacity through AI workloads could redefine the economics of publicly traded miners, offering a more predictable revenue stream than mining rewards alone. The River Bend lease, backed by Google’s financing and a long-term obligation framework, demonstrates how strategic partnerships can de-risk capital-intensive expansions while aligning mining operators with the growing demand for AI training and inference power. This shift matters for investors who are weighing balance-sheet strength, capital allocation, and the quality of a miner’s ancillary assets beyond crypto price exposure.

Another implication is the emphasis on liquidity and asset management as a core strategic tool. Hut 8’s move to divest non-core assets, such as the 310 MW natural gas portfolio, and its spin into a dedicated Bitcoin accumulation vehicle signal a willingness to separate asset classes to fund AI infrastructure without diluting core mining operations. For users and builders in the crypto ecosystem, this signals a maturation of the sector where capital is allocated toward resilient, scalable infrastructure that can weather crypto cycle volatility while supporting the broader AI ecosystem.

Finally, the findings reinforce how public markets value the intersection of crypto assets, energy infrastructure, and data center capacity. The market’s appetite for AI-oriented data centers—evidenced by equities’ relative outperformance versus Bitcoin’s price trajectory—suggests investors are factoring both energy efficiency and compute density into growth assumptions. If Hut 8 can translate its River Bend investment into meaningful, recurring revenue, it could set a benchmark for other miners seeking to monetize AI and HPC opportunities without sacrificing their core mining businesses.

What to watch next

  • Updates on River Bend AI data-center capacity utilization and revenue contribution (dates pending) and any further updates on Google-backed financing terms.
  • Progress of American Bitcoin Corp. as a separate vehicle and its impact on Hut 8’s overall capital structure.
  • Bitcoin price trends and miner-specific hedges or debt facilities that influence liquidity and burn rates.
  • Additional asset divestitures or acquisitions by Hut 8 or peers that signal a broader industry shift toward AI-ready infrastructure.

Sources & verification

  • Hut 8 reports fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results and related press materials (PR Newswire).
  • Details of the River Bend data-center lease, Google backstopping, and warrants linked to WULF.
  • BitcoinTreasuries.NET data on Hut 8’s BTC holdings.
  • Yahoo Finance price data for Hut 8 and peer miners to contextualize stock performance.

Hut 8’s Q4 results, AI expansion, and investor outlook

Hut 8’s latest earnings picture reflects a deliberate pivot toward AI-enabled infrastructure while balancing the realities of asset impairment that accompany a cyclic industry. The quarter’s numbers show revenue expansion driven by compute services even as the company records a large impairment charge on its digital assets. The liquidity position remains a critical asset for pursuing long-horizon data-center deployments, including the River Bend project, which positions Hut 8 among the few publicly traded miners with substantial exposure to AI and HPC workloads. As the sector navigates macro headwinds and fluctuating crypto prices, Hut 8’s strategy will be tested by the speed at which AI-driven demand scales and the company’s ability to monetize its existing capacity efficiently.

From a market perspective, the sector’s navigation of risk is increasingly about infrastructure resilience and partnerships rather than price exposure alone. The broader mining cohort has seen notable stock performance in 2024–2025, with WULF, RIOT, and WGMI among the names cited by analysts and traders as beneficiaries of a shift toward compute-centric revenue streams. Hut 8’s ongoing initiatives—asset sales, a major long-term data-center lease, and a dedicated Bitcoin accumulation vehicle—signal a structural change in how crypto miners approach growth, funding, and risk management. As always, investors will be watching for further disclosures on cash burn, debt maturities, and the pace at which AI and HPC services translate into earnings in future quarters.

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Overall, Hut 8’s quarterly report is less a single-figure story about a loss and more a narrative about retooling a mining company for longer-term value creation in a data-driven AI economy. The path ahead will depend on the company’s ability to extract stable streams of revenue from its AI data-center contracts, to manage impairment risks effectively, and to sustain liquidity that underwrites future expansions. While the near-term bottom line remains under pressure, the strategic bets—particularly the River Bend lease and the American Bitcoin Corp. launch—could redefine Hut 8’s competitive edge if executed with disciplined cost control and a clear path to profitability in AI-enabled services.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Whales Wage $51 Million Bitcoin Battle as Iran Ceasefire Fractures Over Lebanon

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Two Bitcoin (BTC) whales have taken massive opposing leveraged positions worth a combined $51 million, as the fragile US-Iran ceasefire showed signs of fracturing over Lebanon.

The high-stakes bets reflect the extreme uncertainty now gripping crypto markets, with BTC trading near $71,500 after a 4.5% overnight rally tied to the ceasefire announcement.

Whale Showdown Puts $51 Million on the Line

On-chain tracker Lookonchain flagged two whale wallets taking polar opposite positions. Wallet 0x2fc3 opened a 30x leveraged long on 325.88 BTC, worth approximately $23.22 million, with a liquidation price of $70,092.

In the opposing corner, wallet 0xedf2 opened a 40x short on 400 BTC, worth roughly $28.5 million, with liquidation at $72,183.

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The tight spread between both liquidation zones and BTC’s current price makes this one of the most compressed whale standoffs in recent weeks.

A move of just 2% in either direction could trigger millions in forced liquidations.

Ceasefire Cracks Threaten the Rally

The macro picture is equally unstable. The Kobeissi Letter reported that Iran warned it would withdraw from the two-week ceasefire if Israel continued its military operations in Lebanon.

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Minutes later, the White House reportedly told Axios the agreement does not include Lebanon at all.

Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif urged all parties to exercise restraint, noting that violations had already been reported.

“Violations of ceasefire have been reported at few places across the conflict zone which undermine the spirit of peace process,” stated Sharif.

Trump Slams Unauthorized Ceasefire Claims

Adding another layer of confusion, US President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that numerous unauthorized agreements and letters were circulating from parties with no role in the negotiations.

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He called the authors “total Fraudsters” and “Charlatans,” warning that a federal investigation would expose them.

Trump stressed that only one set of meaningful points formed the basis of the ceasefire, and those would be discussed behind closed doors.

He also took aim at CNN for headlining a source he said had no authority to claim involvement.

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The statement adds further ambiguity to what the ceasefire actually covers. With Iran threatening withdrawal, Israel pressing ahead in Lebanon, and Trump dismissing rival frameworks, the truce appears fragile at best.

The implications are direct for Bitcoin. Shorts worth $252 million were liquidated within 24 hours of the initial truce announcement.

Bitcoin Liquidations. Source: Coinglass

Whether the rally holds may depend less on whale positioning and more on what happens next in Beirut, Islamabad, and Washington.

The post Whales Wage $51 Million Bitcoin Battle as Iran Ceasefire Fractures Over Lebanon appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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OpenAI launches paid Safety Fellowship

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OpenAI launches paid Safety Fellowship

The AI news out of OpenAI this week has a sharp edge: the company launched a paid Safety Fellowship offering $3,850 weekly stipends to external researchers studying what could go wrong with advanced AI — announced within hours of a New Yorker investigation reporting that OpenAI had dissolved its internal safety teams and quietly removed the word “safely” from its IRS mission statement.

Summary

  • The OpenAI Safety Fellowship, announced April 6, runs from September 14, 2026 through February 5, 2027; fellows receive a $3,850 weekly stipend, approximately $15,000 in monthly compute resources, and mentorship from OpenAI researchers, but will not have access to the company’s internal systems
  • Priority research areas include safety evaluation, ethics, robustness, scalable mitigations, privacy-preserving methods, agentic oversight, and high-severity misuse — applications close May 3, with fellows notified by July 25
  • The New Yorker’s Ronan Farrow reported the same week that OpenAI had dissolved its superalignment team, its AGI Readiness team, and its Mission Alignment team since 2024, and that an OpenAI representative responded to a journalist asking about existential safety researchers with: “What do you mean by existential safety? That’s not, like, a thing.”

OpenAI announced the fellowship on April 6 as “a pilot program to support independent safety and alignment research and develop the next generation of talent.” The program pays $3,850 per week, over $200,000 annualized, plus roughly $15,000 in monthly compute and mentorship from OpenAI researchers. Fellows work from Constellation’s Berkeley workspace or remotely, and applications close May 3. The fellowship is not limited to AI specialists — OpenAI is recruiting from cybersecurity, social science, and human-computer interaction alongside computer science.

The timing is the story. Ronan Farrow’s investigation in The New Yorker, published the same day, documented that OpenAI had dissolved three consecutive internal safety organizations over 22 months. The superalignment team was shut down in May 2024 after co-leads Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike departed. Leike wrote on his way out that “safety culture and processes have taken a backseat to shiny products.” The AGI Readiness team followed in October 2024. The Mission Alignment team was disbanded in February 2026 after just 16 months. The New Yorker also reported that when a journalist asked to speak with OpenAI’s existential safety researchers, a company representative replied: “What do you mean by existential safety? That’s not, like, a thing.”

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The fellowship explicitly does not replace internal infrastructure. Fellows receive API credits and compute resources but no system access, positioning the program as arm’s-length research funding rather than a rebuild of the dissolved teams.

What the Fellowship Requires Fellows to Produce

The research agenda spans seven priority areas: safety evaluation, ethics, robustness, scalable mitigations, privacy-preserving safety methods, agentic oversight, and high-severity misuse domains. By the program’s end in February 2027, each fellow must produce a substantive output — a paper, benchmark, or dataset. Specific academic credentials are not required; OpenAI stated it prioritizes research ability, technical judgment, and execution capacity.

Why This Matters Beyond the AI Industry

As crypto.news has reported, confidence in frontier AI companies’ stated safety commitments is a market signal that affects capital allocation across AI infrastructure, AI tokens, and the DePIN and AI agent protocols sitting at the intersection of crypto and artificial intelligence. As crypto.news has noted, OpenAI’s spending trajectory and the credibility of its operational priorities are tracked closely by investors evaluating the AI infrastructure sector — a sector with growing overlap with blockchain-based systems. Whether external fellows working without internal access can meaningfully influence model development is a question the first cohort’s research will begin to answer in early 2027.

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Meta cuts 200 in California amid AI push

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Meta cuts 200 in California amid AI push

The AI jobs picture at Meta is contradictory on paper: the company is eliminating 198 California positions via state WARN Act filings effective May 2026, even as it projects $115 billion to $135 billion in 2026 capital expenditure with a large share directed at AI infrastructure.

Summary

  • California WARN Act filings show Meta is cutting 124 jobs at its Burlingame office on Airport Boulevard, effective May 22, and 74 jobs at its Sunnyvale office on Discovery Way, effective May 29 — all permanent per the filings, first reported by the San Francisco Chronicle
  • The May round brings Meta’s confirmed 2026 California WARN total to 519, following a January round of 219 at Burlingame and additional March reductions; job functions at both offices have included hardware, augmented reality, and infrastructure work, though the WARN filings do not break down cuts by role
  • CEO Mark Zuckerberg has called 2026 “a turning point for AI in the workplace”; Meta’s projected capex of $115 billion to $135 billion for the year is being directed toward data centers, servers, and AI model infrastructure even as headcount in California continues to fall

The California Employment Development Department’s WARN Act database is the primary public record for the cuts. The filings identify the affected locations as Meta’s Burlingame campus on Airport Boulevard and its Sunnyvale campus on Discovery Way, with effective termination dates of May 22 and May 29, respectively. Meta’s spokesperson described the reductions as “standard operational planning,” without specifying the roles or teams affected.

The 198 May positions are not an isolated event. When added to the 219 cut in January at the same Burlingame campus and additional reductions in March, Meta has now eliminated 519 confirmed California positions via WARN filings in the first four months of 2026. WARN filings only capture mass layoffs at covered locations that meet statutory thresholds, meaning the actual total of Meta’s California workforce reductions in 2026 is likely higher than what the public record reflects. The pattern across four months is one of continuous restructuring rather than a single defined reduction event.

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The Paradox of Rising Capex and Falling Headcount

The tension in Meta’s labor strategy is not unique to the company. As crypto.news has reported, a broad wave of technology firms in 2026 has cited AI integration as a driver of workforce reductions, framing cuts as efficiency gains rather than financial distress. In Meta’s case, Zuckerberg’s own language has been explicit: if AI can handle tasks previously requiring large teams, the company needs fewer humans. Even as California headcount shrinks, the company says it is hiring actively for specialized technical roles in AI development.

What Comes Next for Affected Workers

The WARN Act requires 60 days’ written notice before mass layoffs, meaning the filings made public this week reflect decisions finalized around late March. Workers at both locations are entitled to notice rights and may have claims if the notice period was not properly observed. As crypto.news has noted, competition for AI talent between Meta and frontier labs has been intense throughout 2025 and 2026, and some affected workers may find themselves immediately recruited by other companies in the AI buildout. Meta has not indicated whether the May round represents the end of California reductions for 2026.

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Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF Goes Live With Massive Inflow

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Morgan Stanley’s spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETF began trading on NYSE Arca under the ticker MSBT, logging 1.6 million shares and roughly $34 million in inflows on its first day.

The launch makes Morgan Stanley the first major US bank to issue a spot Bitcoin ETF under its own name.

Cheapest BTC ETF Enters a Crowded Field

MSBT charges a 0.14% expense ratio, undercutting BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) at 0.25%.

The fund joins more than 10 spot Bitcoin ETFs launched over the past two years, which collectively command over $85 billion in assets.

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Morgan Stanley's MSBT Among Bitcoin ETFs
Morgan Stanley’s MSBT Among Bitcoin ETFs. Source: Farside Investors

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas projected MSBT could reach $50 million in first-day volume. He placed it among the top 1% of all ETF launches in the past year.

Distribution Power vs. Liquidity

Morgan Stanley employs approximately 16,000 wealth management advisors overseeing $9.3 trillion in client assets.

That network gives MSBT a distribution advantage no previous Bitcoin ETF issuer has matched.

Nate Geraci, president of NovaDius Wealth Management, called distribution “king in the ETF space” and said Morgan Stanley’s advisor network combined with the lowest fee creates a strong formula.

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The bank also plans to launch retail crypto trading on E-Trade in the first half of 2026, creating a multi-channel approach to digital asset access.

Whether MSBT can sustain momentum against IBIT’s deep liquidity and options market dominance will determine if Wall Street’s entry reshapes the competitive balance.

The post Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF Goes Live With Massive Inflow appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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ICE shoots man in California stop

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ICE shoots man in California stop

The immigration news out of California on Tuesday drew national attention within hours: ICE agents shot a man during a targeted traffic stop near Interstate 5 in Patterson, California, dashcam footage of the incident was obtained and published by KCRA Sacramento, and the FBI immediately took over as the primary investigating agency.

Summary

  • Acting ICE Director Todd Lyons identified the target as Carlos Ivan Mendoza Hernandez, describing him as an undocumented immigrant and alleged 18th Street Gang member wanted in El Salvador for questioning in connection with a murder; Lyons said Hernandez “weaponized his vehicle in an attempt to run an officer over,” prompting agents to fire in self-defense
  • Dashcam footage shows at least three law enforcement agents surrounding a black vehicle before it reverses and strikes another car, then moves toward agents; the footage does not include audio and does not clearly show the exact moment shots are fired — Hernandez was transported to a hospital in critical condition
  • Hernandez’s attorney said ICE may have targeted “the wrong man”; California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s office called for federal agents to “appropriately collaborate with state and local law enforcement”; FBI Special Agent in Charge Eugene Wu issued a public plea for additional witness video

KCRA Sacramento was first to obtain the dashcam footage; KTVU Fox 2 also published the video alongside detailed reporting on the sequence of events. The Stanislaus County Sheriff’s Office confirmed it was assisting the investigation but was not involved in the original stop. ICE officers say they were executing a targeted arrest operation. The shooting happened at the intersection of Sperry Avenue and Rogers Road in Patterson, approximately 90 miles south of Sacramento, and closed the intersection for several hours.

The footage obtained by KCRA shows at least three agents positioned around a black SUV near Interstate 5. The vehicle reverses, with its passenger-side door striking another car on the road. Agents raise their firearms. The car then turns left across a lane divider while one agent moves out of its path. The footage does not contain audio and does not clearly capture the moment gunfire occurs. Multiple news organizations published the video Tuesday afternoon. ICE’s account — that Hernandez drove toward agents — is broadly consistent with the visible movement in the footage, though the full sequence of events is now subject to an FBI investigation rather than a DHS one.

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Why the FBI’s Role Matters

DHS has faced a credibility problem in 2026 following incidents where its initial accounts of ICE use-of-force were contradicted by independent video. Most visibly, the Minneapolis shooting of a Venezuelan man in January 2026 — originally described by DHS as occurring after he attacked officers with a shovel — was directly contradicted by new video released by the city. Two ICE officers were subsequently suspended, with the agency stating they “appeared to have made untruthful statements.” The FBI’s immediate assumption of primary investigative authority in Patterson reflects the heightened scrutiny now applied to federal use-of-force incidents involving immigration enforcement, and removes DHS from controlling the evidentiary record.

What the Patterson Shooting Adds to the 2026 Immigration Enforcement Debate

As crypto.news has reported, immigration enforcement policy is one of several US political pressures contributing to economic uncertainty in 2026, with broader market effects tracked across sectors. As crypto.news has noted, political volatility from the Iran war and domestic enforcement controversies has been a consistent factor in the bitcoin price consolidation that has kept BTC range-bound below $73,000 through the first quarter. The FBI investigation is ongoing and no charges have been filed; the full sequence of events on Tuesday remains under active review.

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Bitcoin’s Ceasefire Rally Dies Fast as War Chaos Returns

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Bitcoin briefly touched $72,700 on Wednesday as traders cheered a US-Iran ceasefire deal, only to retreat below $71,000 within hours as fresh Middle East violence shattered the optimism.

The rally was real — but it didn’t last long enough to matter.

Hormuz Still Blocked, Oil Bounces Back

Israel launched its largest assault on Lebanon yet, striking over 100 Hezbollah sites across Beirut in under ten minutes. Iran’s parliament speaker declared that three ceasefire clauses had already been violated, sending WTI crude up 2.8% to $97.03 and Brent up 2.5% to $97.14 a barrel, reversing most of the previous session’s 16% plunge.

The Strait of Hormuz, which normally sees around 135 ships daily, recorded just three transits on Wednesday. Over 800 vessels remain stuck in the Gulf, awaiting clarity on safe passage.

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Ether dropped 1.1% to $2,185, tracking Bitcoin’s retreat amid broadly weakening risk appetite. Gold edged slightly lower to $4,713, while the dollar held steady, suggesting markets were cautious but not in full panic mode.

Market analysts noted the rally had been driven largely by algorithmic and momentum strategies rather than genuine fundamental improvement. The rebound lacked staying power once geopolitical pressure returned.

Fed Adds Another Layer of Pressure

Minutes from the US Fed’s March meeting, released Wednesday, showed growing concern among policymakers about persistent inflation. Some officials argued the Fed should keep rate hikes on the table if oil prices stay elevated.

A prolonged Hormuz blockade would keep energy costs high, delaying any Fed pivot that crypto markets have been counting on. Higher rates historically weigh on risk assets like Bitcoin, making war uncertainty and hawkish Fed signals a tough combination for bulls.

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For Bitcoin, the macro backdrop remains uncomfortable — caught between fading hopes of a ceasefire and a Fed in no rush to ease.

The post Bitcoin’s Ceasefire Rally Dies Fast as War Chaos Returns appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Worldcoin price risks new all-time low at $0.24

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Will Worldcoin price set a new all-time low as descending channel lower boundary converges on $0.24 support? - 1

Worldcoin price is trading at $0.2602, down 3.77% on the day, with the lower boundary of a six-month descending channel now pressing directly on price — and the all-time low at $0.2415 offering the only remaining floor before uncharted territory.

Summary

  • Worldcoin price is trading at $0.2602, down 3.77% on the day, with the lower boundary of a six-month descending channel now converging directly on price near the all-time low of $0.2415.
  • The daily Supertrend at $0.3088 has acted as a rolling resistance ceiling rejecting every recovery attempt, while the MACD line at -0.0263 and signal at -0.0375 both remain below zero despite a marginally positive histogram of 0.0012.
  • A confirmed daily close below $0.2415 would mark a new all-time low and open the next downside target at the $0.20 psychological level, with no prior support between the two.

The descending channel has been defined by two parallel downward-sloping trendlines since October 2025. The upper boundary sits near $0.4052, and the lower boundary is pressing toward the $0.24 zone. The daily Supertrend at $0.3088 has acted as a rolling resistance ceiling throughout the channel structure, rejecting every recovery attempt in recent weeks. Worldcoin (WLD) has not produced a sustained daily close above the Supertrend since late 2025.

The chart pattern is unambiguous. WLD has produced a textbook descending channel on the daily timeframe across six months, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. The lower trendline is now converging with the all-time low at $0.2415, creating a critical confluence zone. A daily close below $0.2415 would confirm a new historic low for WLD and open a path toward territory the token has never traded on a closing basis.

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The daily MACD histogram has crept to 0.0012, barely above zero, while the MACD line at -0.0263 remains above the signal at -0.0375, producing a tentative early crossover. Both lines are still below zero, which means no confirmed bullish reversal signal has printed. The marginally positive histogram indicates only that downward momentum has slowed, not reversed.

Analyst @bpaynews noted on X that WLD “eyes a move near $0.30 as momentum stays bearish on MACD,” adding: “Watch for key level at $0.30 or $0.25.”

Key Levels and Price Targets

Immediate support: $0.2415, the all-time low. A confirmed daily close below this level represents structural deterioration, with no prior support below it on a daily close basis.

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Will Worldcoin price set a new all-time low as descending channel lower boundary converges on $0.24 support? - 1

Extended downside target: $0.20, the psychological level that aligns with the projected lower boundary of the descending channel over the coming weeks.

Bull case: a daily close above the Supertrend at $0.3088 is the minimum required for a structural shift in bias. A sustained recovery from that level opens the medium-term path toward the upper channel boundary at $0.4052. Invalidation: $0.3088.

On-Chain and Fundamental Pressure

Nansen data shows the total balance of WLD held across centralised exchanges rose over 25% to approximately $742 million in the week ending March 27, as the Worldcoin team moved roughly $26 million in WLD to exchange wallets. Elevated exchange balances increase near-term selling risk, and that dynamic has not meaningfully reversed.

Binance announced the delisting of COIN-M futures for WLD in early April, removing a key leveraged trading venue and reducing derivatives liquidity. Nasdaq-listed Eightco Holdings disclosed a 277 million WLD position worth approximately $326 million on April 2, yet the disclosure produced no sustained upside response, reflecting the depth of sell-side pressure the market continues to absorb.

A daily close below $0.2415 opens a direct path to $0.20. Until WLD reclaims the Supertrend at $0.3088, the descending channel structure keeps the bias firmly bearish.

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Bitcoin Breaks $72K as $280M Bear Liquidations Test Fragile Truce

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin extended a sharp intraday move higher on Tuesday, rising about 6% within four hours as risk appetite improved in tandem with a broader rally in global equities after news of a two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran. The swift price surge coincided with a wave of liquidations in Bitcoin futures, totaling roughly $280 million, as traders repriced risk in a volatile macro environment. Yet despite the immediate bounce, derivatives data indicate that the market has yet to establish a durable uptrend above key levels.

Bitcoin’s move has been closely correlated with S&P 500 futures, underscoring how macro headlines continue to drive crypto sentiment. President Donald Trump emphasized that Iran’s nuclear program could be deactivated in exchange for tariff and sanctions relief, a narrative that helped tilt sentiment toward risk-on assets. Still, observers warn the rally may be constrained by ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and a fragile ceasefire, with some voices labeling the truce a temporary pause rather than a lasting resolution. In a separate signal, Vice President JD Vance described the Iran ceasefire as a “fragile truce,” reinforcing the sense that the path forward remains uncertain.

Key takeaways

  • The ceasefire between the US and Iran helped lift Bitcoin and global equities, but traders remain sensitive to the durability of that diplomatic development.
  • Bitcoin futures saw a $280 million forced liquidation event during the rally, a reminder of the market’s leverage-driven risks even as prices move higher.
  • Derivatives metrics show only modest bullish momentum: the two-month futures annualized premium sits near 3%, below the neutral 4% line that has held since late January.
  • Put options dominate the options market recently, indicating persistent demand for downside protection even as the price rebounds.
  • Regulatory and geopolitical headwinds — from the PARITY Act debates to ongoing energy and inflation dynamics — cap enthusiasm and leave room for abrupt reversals if the ceasefire falters.

Market dynamics: risk-on impulse meets fragile macro footing

Bitcoin’s roughly 6% jump in a matter of hours followed a broad upshift in risk assets after the announced two-week ceasefire. TradingView data illustrate a visible divergence between S&P 500 futures and Bitcoin, with BTC mirroring equities’ risk-on tone rather than moving decisively on the basis of crypto-specific catalysts alone. The immediate move, while sizable, appears tied to headlines rather than a broad change in fundamentals for the asset class.

In the futures market, activity highlighted the fragility of the move. According to data tracked by Coinglass and summarized by Cointelegraph, about $280 million of leverage-driven liquidations occurred as traders rushed to chase the rally. Open interest in Bitcoin futures rose 2.5% to roughly 593,930 BTC, underscoring continued appetite for premium exposure but also exposing participants to sharp reversals if funding dynamics shift. On the day, liquidations of $200 million to $300 million are not unusual in this regime, a pattern observed at several points over the past three months, though this $280 million instance is small relative to the overall futures market, which has hovered around tens of billions in notional exposure.

Two-month Bitcoin futures were priced with an annualized premium of about 3% over spot on Wednesday, a level that has lingered below the longer-run neutral zone of about 4% since late January. The muted premium indicates constrained willingness to fund aggressive bullish bets, even as spot markets gained momentum. In parallel, the options market has shown sustained demand for downside protection; put options have held the lead over call options over the past two weeks, though the gap has retreated from the fear extremes observed in late March.

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Regulatory and geopolitical uncertainties temper the glow

Even with the current relief rally, the longer-term trajectory for Bitcoin remains entangled with policy and regulatory developments. The PARITY Act’s latest draft did not include tax exemptions for small Bitcoin payments or deferral options for mining-related gains, a setback that could limit wider mainstream adoption or create friction in payments and mining economics. At the same time, the administration’s regulatory posture continues to evolve, with ongoing scrutiny over crypto markets and tax treatment.

In a broader sense, inflation dynamics and energy prices loom as important macro drivers. Brent crude has held near the mid-$90s per barrel, contributing to persistent inflationary pressure that complicates the Federal Reserve’s policy path. The Fed has signaled caution on rate cuts amid mixed labor-market signals, reinforcing the need for the market to watch macro indicators alongside crypto-specific catalysts. These tensions help explain why even a positive geopolitical development may not translate into a sustained, long-term Bitcoin rally until inflation pressures ease and policy clarity improves.

Beyond policy, market participants balanced claims of de-escalation with the real possibility that any halt in hostilities could be fragile or temporary. The mix of headlines, from potential strategic accommodations to regulatory ambiguity, has kept the downside risk intact while offering only a tentative basis for higher confidence in a durable uptrend.

What to watch next: potential forks in the road for BTC

The coming weeks will be pivotal in determining whether the ceasefire translates into a lasting macro tailwind for Bitcoin or whether the bear case remains intact. Key signals to monitor include: the trajectory of oil prices and broader inflation indicators, any concrete regulatory provisions that offer tax clarity or mining relief, and ongoing diplomatic developments that could alter risk premia across both traditional markets and crypto assets. The two-week ceasefire is a logistical pause, not a cure for structural risks hanging over BTC, making a move to higher levels contingent on more durable macro and policy shifts.

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As the market digests these layers, traders will likely keep a close eye on whether Bitcoin can sustain price action above notable levels without becoming vulnerable to an abrupt shift in sentiment. The current data suggests the market remains susceptible to macro-driven reversals even as the near-term risk-on impulse lingers.

Looking ahead, observers should watch for a more decisive break in either direction. If de-escalation takes hold and inflation pressures ease, the case for a broader crypto rally strengthens. If not, the combination of regulatory headwinds and geopolitical risk could reintroduce pressure on Bitcoin and keep the 68,000 level in play as a potential corrective target should sentiment deteriorate again.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bittensor price risks $297 after double rejection

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Will Bittensor price drop to $297 as double rejection at descending trendline triggers bearish MACD crossover? - 1

Bittensor price is trading at $325.1, down 3.04% on the day, after rejecting a multi-month descending trendline for the second time in two weeks — and the daily MACD has now confirmed a bearish crossover that shifts the near-term bias toward the downside.

Summary

  • Bittensor (TAO) is trading at $325.1, down 3.04% on the day, after rejecting a multi-month descending trendline twice near the $355 to $371 zone within two weeks.
  • The daily MACD has confirmed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line at 19.6 crossing below the signal at 22.0 and the histogram printing at -2.4.
  • Immediate support sits at $297.5, and a confirmed break below that level opens a path to the daily Supertrend at $263.7, while a daily close above $371 invalidates the bearish setup.

Bittensor (TAO) has produced two consecutive failures at the $355 to $371 resistance zone in the past two weeks, forming a lower high on the second attempt and reinforcing the strength of the descending trendline that has capped every recovery since November 2025.

The first rejection came near $371 on March 25, following Bittensor’s halving event and reports of Grayscale Investments raising its TAO weighting to 43.06% in its AI-focused fund. The second attempt reached $355 on April 7, produced a lower high, and reversed. Both rejection points are visible as circled pivots on the daily chart, and TAO has since retraced to $325.1 without recovering above either level.

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The daily MACD has confirmed the setup. The MACD line has crossed below the signal, reading 19.6 against a signal of 22.0, with the histogram at -2.4. Both lines remain above zero, which limits the severity of the crossover, but the signal confirms that momentum built during March’s AI-sector rally is fading.

Will Bittensor price drop to $297 as double rejection at descending trendline triggers bearish MACD crossover? - 1

On the 4H chart, the MACD remains technically bullish, with the MACD line at 6.8 above the signal at 5.8 and a histogram of 1.0. The 4H Supertrend at $313.8 continues to act as dynamic support. However, the 4H histogram has compressed sharply from earlier sessions, and a bearish crossover on that timeframe would add meaningful confluence with the daily signal.

Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe stated on X that TAO is “approaching one of those regions for dip buying in the coming weeks,” framing the current pullback as “just normal price behavior” following a triple-digit monthly rally. That view supports a base case in which $297.5 holds as a staging ground, not a breakdown level.

Key Levels and Price Targets

Immediate support: the 4H Supertrend at $313.8, followed by the structural demand zone at $297.5, visible on both the 4H and daily charts and flagged as a key floor during the March accumulation phase.

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Extended downside target: $263.7, the daily Supertrend. Previous analysis flagged a potential corrective move toward $200 if the pattern repeats from prior golden-cross fractals, though that scenario requires a sustained close below $263.7 to come into scope.

Bull case: a confirmed daily close above $371 invalidates the double rejection and opens the path toward $400. Bear case: a break below $297.5 targets $263.7. Invalidation: $371.

Derivatives and Institutional Context

Coinglass data shows TAO open interest has declined alongside price in recent sessions, consistent with long-side deleveraging rather than aggressive fresh short positioning. That configuration reduces the probability of a sharp squeeze near current levels and suggests the next directional move is more likely to be supply-driven than forced.

Grayscale has also filed with the SEC to convert its Bittensor Trust into a spot ETF and increased TAO’s weighting to 43.06% in its AI fund, making it the fund’s dominant holding. Neither development provides a near-term price floor, but both reduce the probability of a sustained breakdown below key support if broader risk appetite stabilises.

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If $297.5 holds on a daily close basis, the base case is a re-test of the $355 trendline. A confirmed break below $297.5 shifts the primary target to $263.7.

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ZachXBT Exposes North Korean IT Workers Running $1M/Month Crypto Fraud Network

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • ZachXBT obtained leaked data from 390 accounts on a North Korean internal payment server via infostealer. 
  • Over $3.5M moved through network wallets since late November 2025, with one Tron address frozen by Tether. 
  • Three OFAC-sanctioned companies — Sobaeksu, Saenal, and Songkwang — appeared directly in the breached data. 
  • Workers received IDA Pro cybersecurity training modules, pointing to capabilities beyond basic financial fraud.

A major breach of an internal North Korean payment server has revealed a sophisticated fraud network generating nearly $1 million per month.

On-chain investigator ZachXBT obtained data from an unnamed source, including 390 accounts, chat logs, and crypto transactions.

The leaked data exposed fake identities, forged legal documents, and crypto-to-fiat conversion methods. Since late November 2025, over $3.5 million moved through the network’s payment wallet addresses.

How the Payment Network Operated

The breach originated from a compromised device belonging to a DPRK IT worker infected by an infostealer. Data extracted from the device included IPMsg chat logs, fake identity documents, and browser history.

Investigators traced activity to a site called luckyguys[.]site, described as an internal payment remittance platform. The platform functioned similarly to a messaging app, allowing workers to report payments back to handlers.

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Ten users on the platform still had the default password, 123456, unchanged. The user list included roles, Korean names, cities, and coded group names consistent with known DPRK IT worker operations.

Three sanctioned companies appeared in the data: Sobaeksu, Saenal, and Songkwang, all currently under OFAC sanctions.

ZachXBT posted on X that the remittance pattern was consistent across users. Workers transferred crypto from exchanges or services, or converted funds to fiat through Chinese bank accounts via platforms like Payoneer.

An admin account, PC-1234, then confirmed receipt and distributed credentials for various exchanges and fintech platforms.

One user identified as “Rascal” had direct message logs with PC-1234 detailing payment transfers and the use of fraudulent identities from December 2025 through April 2026.

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Hong Kong addresses appeared in billing records, though their authenticity could not be confirmed. Two payment addresses were identified: one Ethereum address and one Tron address, the latter frozen by Tether in December 2025.

Using the full dataset, ZachXBT mapped the complete organizational structure of the network, including payment totals per user and group. He published an interactive org chart covering the December 2025 through February 2026 data range.

Training Modules and Broader Threat Context

Beyond financial fraud, the data revealed cybersecurity training activity within the group. According to ZachXBT’s post, the admin sent 43 Hex-Rays and IDA Pro training modules to the group between November 2025 and February 2026.

Topics covered disassembly, decompilation, local and remote debugging, and various cybersecurity subjects. One link sent on November 20 referenced using an IDA debugger to unpack a hostile executable.

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A compromised device belonging to a worker identified as “Jerry” showed usage of Astrill VPN and multiple fake personas applying for jobs.

An internal Slack message showed a user named “Nami” sharing a blog post about a DPRK IT worker deepfake job applicant. Another screenshot showed 33 workers communicating on the same network through IPMsg.

Jerry also discussed plans to steal from a project called Arcano, a GalaChain game, with another worker through a Nigerian proxy.

Whether that attack proceeded remains unclear. The investigator noted this cluster is less sophisticated than groups like AppleJeus and TraderTraitor.

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ZachXBT stated in a post that DPRK IT workers collectively generate multiple seven figures per month, and this data supports that estimate.

He added that threat actors are missing an opportunity by not targeting these lower-tier DPRK groups, citing minimal competition and low repercussion risk. He confirmed plans to continue publishing findings through his investigation platform.

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