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Riot, Core earnings, U.S. jobs report: Crypto Week Ahead

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Riot, Core earnings, U.S. jobs report: Crypto Week Ahead

Earnings reports are still rolling in. This week Riot Platforms, the fourth-largest bitcoin miner by market cap, is due to report, as is Core Scientific, the No. 6.

Like many of their peers, the two are using their experience running large data centers and negotiating power-supply deals to expand into AI. Core, whose proposed $9 billion purchase by CoreWeave (CRWV) failed in October, barely mentions digital asset mining on its homepage. It will be interesting to see how much of its business still comes from that source.

Also due this week is the U.S. jobs report for February. The world’s largest economy is forecast to have added 60,000 nonfarm positions last month, according to the consensus estimate on Trading Economics.

Traders will also be monitoring the war in the Middle East, which has seen the U.S. and Israel strike Iran in what President Donald Trump called “major combat operations” targeting the country’s missile, naval and nuclear infrastructure.

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Iran has retaliated with attacks on various countries in the region that host U.S. military bases. The conflict has been escalating with Iran-backed militias joining in. Trump has said it’s expected to last “four to five weeks,” so an earlier-than-expected truce could bring risk appetite back.

What to Watch

(All times ET)

  • Crypto
    • March 2: SuperRare to release Delirium, a new collection by artist Xer0x
    • March 2: Mantra’s OM token to change to MANTRA with a 1:4 coin split as the Mantra chain upgrades from v6 to v7.
    • March 3: SolCex mobile app to debut on Google Play and Apple’s App Store.
    • March 4: Qubic begins testing parallel dogecoin mining and AI training
  • Macro
    • March 2, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI for February est. 52.3 (Prev. 52.6)
    • March 3, 5:00 a.m.: Eurozone inflation rate YoY flash for February (Prev. 1.7%); Core YoY (Prev. 2.2%)
    • March 3, 7:30 p.m.: Australia GDP growth rate QoQ for Q4 (Prev. 0.4%)
    • March 3, 8:30 p.m.: China NBS manufacturing PMI for February (Prev. 49.3)
    • March 4, 8:15 a.m.: U.S. ADP employment change for February (Prev. 22K)
    • March 4, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. ISM services PMI for February (Prev. 53.8)
    • March 4, 2:00 p.m.: U.S. Fed Beige Book
    • March 5, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. initial jobless claims for week ending Feb. 28 (Prev. 212K)
    • March 5, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. nonfarm productivity QoQ prel for Q4 (Prev. 4.9%)
    • March 5, 4:30 p.m.: U.S. Fed balance sheet update for period ending March 4
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. nonfarm payrolls for February Est. 60K (Prev. 130K)
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. unemployment rate for February (Prev. 4.3%)
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. average hourly earnings MoM for February (Prev. 0.4%)
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. retail sales control group MoM for January (Prev. 0.0%)
    • March 8, 8:30 p.m.: China inflation rate YoY for February (Prev. 0.2%)
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • March 2: Riot Platforms (RIOT), post-market, -$0.32
    • March 2: Core Scientific (CORZ), post-market, -$0.18
    • March 6: Metalpha (MATH), pre-market
    • March 9: Sharplink (SBET), pre-market, $0.31
    • March 11: Exodus Movement (EXOD), pre-market, $0.14

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
    • PoolTogether DAO is voting to manually resubmit and execute the remaining actions for the PTBR-35 governance shutdown after a previous execution error. Voting ends March 2.
    • Angle DAO is voting on an orderly wind-down of the EURA and USDA stablecoins, providing users a one-year 1:1 redemption period followed by a final settlement airdrop. Voting ends March 2.
    • GMX DAO is voting to transition to a defined leadership model by hiring a CEO with performance-tied compensation and forming an interim leadership committee to guide the restructuring. Voting ends March 2.
    • ShapeShift DAO is voting to appoint PTT as the Tokenomics Workstream Leader for a six-month term, compensated entirely in FOX tokens to eliminate stablecoin costs. Voting ends March 3.
    • Decentraland DAO is voting to explore the automatic execution of approved proposals and soft term limits for signer keys while maintaining emergency oversight. Voting ends March 3.
    • Uniswap DAO is voting across two linked proposals to expand v2 and v3 protocol fees to eight layer-2 networks and enable a new tier-based fee system across all v3 pools. Voting ends March 4 and 5.
    • ENS DAO is voting to replace three DNSSEC oracle algorithms to patch a critical RSA signature forgery vulnerability and significantly reduce gas costs. Voting ends March 4.
    • Gnosis DAO is voting to provide a grant to fund the continued support, infrastructure and maintenance of the Revoke.cash security platform. Voting ends March 5.
  • Unlocks
    • March 5: Ethena (ENA) to unlock 2.24% of its circulating supply worth $18.35 million.
    • March 6: Hyperliquid (HYPE) to unlock 2.72% of its circulating supply worth around $288.77 million.
  • Token Launches
    • March 8 or earlier: Chiliz (CHZ) to deploy revenue from the protocol to buyback and burn CHZ tokens.
    • March 8 or earlier: WhiteBit Token (WBT) to be listed on Kraken.

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Prediction market boom spurs new VC fund backed by Polymarket, Kalshi CEOs

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Prediction market Kalshi raises $1 billion at double its December valuation: Bloomberg

A new venture capital firm focused on prediction markets is launching with backing from Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan and Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour, Bloomberg reported.

The firm, called 5c(c) Capital (named after a section of the Commodity Exchange Act that governs prediction markets) may be the first venture fund built specifically to invest in companies shaped by that regulatory and market structure.

“We want to capitalize on the second-, third-, and fourth-order effects of what we built ourselves,” the founders wrote in a document viewed by Bloomberg.

The launch comes as prediction markets shift from a niche corner of finance into a more visible part of how people track events. Since the U.S. presidential election, trading volumes have climbed and new users have entered the space. Platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi now host contracts tied to politics, economic data and cultural events, turning public opinion into tradable signals. Polymarket’s trades run on the blockchain. Many crypto-native companies, including Coinbase (COIN) and Kraken, as well as Robinhood (HOOD), have also entered the space in recent months.

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That growth has created new business openings beyond the platforms themselves. Startups are beginning to build data tools, liquidity services and compliance systems that support these markets.

5c(c) Capital plans to raise up to $35 million and invest in about 20 portfolio companies over the next two years, according to the document. The strategy centers on early-stage bets tied to infrastructure and services around prediction markets rather than the exchanges alone.

Early backing includes more than twenty investors, among them a portfolio manager at Millennium Management, several crypto-focused venture firms and founders of other prediction market platforms such as PredictIt.

Polymarket declined to comment. Kalshi did not respond in time for publication.

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SIREN Crypto Risks ‘Structural Correction’ After 150% Surge to All-Time High

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SIREN Crypto Risks ‘Structural Correction’ After 150% Surge to All-Time High

Siren crypto (SIREN) just ripped 156% to a new all-time high of $3 driven by the exploding AI Agents narrative. But the rally is showing immediate signs of exhaustion.

A massive bearish divergence on the Money Flow Index (MFI) suggests the top is in, and a $22 million liquidation event has left leverage traders exposed to a sharp reversal.

The token outperformed Bitcoin by over 80% in the last 24 hours. Yet, the on-chain data presents a clear warning: volume is thinning on the way up. The breakdown is confirmed until price proves otherwise.

Key Takeaways
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  • Rally: SIREN hit an ATH of $3.00 after a 156% daily surge.
  • Signal: MFI spiked to 82.96, a level that has triggered three prior corrections.
  • Support: Bulls must hold the $2.07 level to prevent a drop to $1.50.

SIREN Price Analysis: Can SIREN Hold $2.07 Support After the ATH Breakout?

The chart structure is screaming caution despite the parabolic move. The Money Flow Index (MFI) is currently pegged at 82.96. Historically, this is the kill zone for SIREN rallies. Vertical lines on the daily chart mark February 7, February 27, and March 15—every time the MFI breached the 80 threshold, price collapsed shortly after.

The $3.00 high triggered a sharp rejection, validating the bearish thesis. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) printed a lower high of 0.14 while price made a higher high. This implies a (Price Correction) is imminent, as capital is leaving even as price pushes up.

Source: SIRENUSD / TradingView

Structure is fragile here. Traders are watching the $2.07 level closely. Lose that, and the 38.2% retracement level comes into play quickly.

A breakdown below $2.00 opens the path to $1.50. This aligns with risks seen elsewhere, such as recent whale shorting activity on Bitcoin, which often precedes altcoin weakness. The only path higher requires a daily close above $2.60 to invalidate the divergence. Until then, the bears are in control.

Discover: The best new crypto in the world

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XRP hits a snag after Monday’s relief rally, active addresses down 40%

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xrp price outlook
xrp price outlook
  • Active XRP addresses dropped over 40% in four days.
  • XRP price remains stuck between a tight trading range.
  • Retail holders have grown, but overall network activity is slowing.

XRP has entered a tight and uncertain phase after a brief rally following an announcement by US President Donald Trump that the United States will pause strikes on energy and power installations in Iran after the expiry of the 48-hour ultimatum on opening the Strait of Hormuz.

The momentum that initially lifted prices following Trump’s announcement now appears to be fading as the market struggles to find direction.

At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.43.

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The price has moved within a narrow range between $1.36 and $1.46, reflecting hesitation among traders after a week where XRP slipped by about 5%, extending its broader downward trend over the past year.

While the recent rally gave traders hope, the follow-through has been weak.

XRP Ledger activity drops sharply

One of the most notable developments is the sharp decline in XRP Ledger (XRPL) network activity.

Notably, XRP’s active addresses have fallen by more than 40% within just a few days, according to the data obtained from CryptoQuant.

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XRP Ledger Active Addresses
Source: CryptoQuant

This drop signals a slowdown in user engagement, which often reflects reduced demand in the short term.

Fewer active participants usually translate to less transaction volume and weaker momentum.

This decline contrasts with the earlier optimism that surrounded XRP’s growing number of wallet holders.

While more people may be holding XRP, fewer are actively using it.

This gap between ownership and activity suggests that investors are choosing to wait rather than act.

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Such behaviour is common during uncertain market conditions.

Retail growth continues despite the slowdown

Even as activity drops, the number of smaller XRP holders continues to grow steadily.

This trend points to increasing retail interest in the asset.

A rising base of small holders often signals long-term confidence, even if short-term sentiment is mixed.

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It also suggests that XRP is becoming more widely distributed rather than concentrated in a few large hands.

However, growing ownership alone does not guarantee price growth.

Without strong network activity to support it, price movements can remain limited.

This is the situation XRP appears to be facing now.

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XRP price outlook

XRP’s current price movements reflect a market caught between opposing forces.

On one hand, there is optimism driven by broader adoption and past rally attempts.

On the other hand, there is clear evidence of weakening participation and fading momentum.

The asset remains well below its previous peak, showing that recovery is still incomplete.

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Short-term price action suggests consolidation rather than a decisive move in either direction, with the immediate support level at near $1.33 holding for now.

XRP price chart
Source: TradingView

At the same time, resistance around $1.54 to $1.60 continues to limit upward movement, creating a narrow trading range that traders are watching closely.

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SEC Sends Proposed Crypto Interpretation to White House for Review

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Cryptocurrencies, Law, SEC, White House

The financial regulator’s plan to reinterpret how federal securities laws apply to crypto assets is ”pending review” by the White House’s Office of Management and Budget.

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has forwarded its proposal to have most crypto assets not treated as securities under federal law to the White House’s Office of Management and Budget.

According to information available through the US General Services Administration, on Friday the SEC sent two proposed rules to the White House for review, including its interpretative notice from last week regarding which digital assets the agency could consider a security under federal law.

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As of Monday, government records showed the proposal as “pending review” by the White House, potentially changing how the SEC handles regulation and enforcement of digital assets.

Cryptocurrencies, Law, SEC, White House
Source: Reginfo.gov

In a notice issued by the SEC last week, Chair Paul Atkins said that the agency would not consider four types of digital assets as securities under its purview: digital commodities, digital tools, digital collectibles — including non-fungible tokens — and stablecoins. The interpretation said that it would provide the agency with a “coherent token taxonomy” for the four types of assets and address how a “non-security crypto asset” may or may not be considered an investment contract.

The SEC rule, if finalized, would provide a bridge to crypto regulation until Congress were to pass a market structure bill to clarify comprehensive regulations of digital assets. The interpretation of federal securities laws followed the signing of a memorandum of understanding with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) — the other federal financial regulator expected to regulate digital assets under the proposed market structure bill — earlier this month.

Related: CFTC staff clarify expectations on using crypto as collateral

White House reportedly reached “agreement in principle” on crypto bill

Politico reported on Friday that representatives from the White House and Congressional lawmakers reached a deal on stablecoin yield that could advance the market structure bill in the Senate Banking Committee. The panel indefinitely postponed its markup of the bill, called the CLARITY Act, in January following Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong saying the exchange could not support the legislation as written.

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As of Monday, the banking committee had not publicly announced a new date for the bill’s markup. Senate Majority Leader John Thune reportedly said in March that the chamber intended to prioritize a vote on the SAVE America Act — legislation that would require voters to provide proof of US citizenship in person to register — before bills with bipartisan support, such as CLARITY.

Magazine: Are DeFi devs liable for the illegal activity of others on their platforms?