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Solana risks repeating 95% crash seen in 2022 while funding in Mutuum Finance nears $21m

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Solana risks repeating 95% crash seen in 2022 while funding in Mutuum Finance nears $21m - 1

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

As Solana shows technical signals reminiscent of its 2022 downturn, investors are increasingly watching emerging DeFi projects like Mutuum Finance.

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Summary

  • Despite strong network metrics and growing on-chain activity, Solana remains in a long-term descending channel with indicators such as the monthly SuperTrend flashing a sell signal similar to conditions preceding its 2022 crash.
  • Mutuum Finance is developing a non-custodial lending protocol on Ethereum that supports both Peer-to-Contract and Peer-to-Peer lending models.
  • The project has raised over $20.7 million from more than 19,000 holders, with smart contracts audited by Halborn Security and the token reviewed by CertiK, while its V1 protocol is live on the Sepolia testnet.

Solana (SOL) is trading at levels that have prompted comparisons to its 2022 cycle, when the token declined roughly 95%. The current price structure has shown signs of weakness, with resistance zones capping upside attempts and momentum remaining fragile. Meanwhile, Mutuum Finance (MUTM) has seen funding approach the $21 million mark. The project operates a non-custodial lending and borrowing protocol within the decentralized finance sector, and the capital inflow reflects continued investor participation during a period of uncertainty for larger-cap assets.

Solana bearish trend persists

Solana’s real-world asset ecosystem reached $1.66 billion in tokenized value, reflecting increased on-chain capital movement and institutional participation. The network ranked among the leading Layer 1 chains in dApp revenue and recorded a rise in app revenue capture ratio from 262% to 375%, supported by strong network activity and spot ETF inflows. 

Despite these metrics, SOL remains in a long-term descending channel on the weekly chart. Analysts identify price imbalances up to $140 that could be filled before a potential test of the $47.9 extension level. The monthly SuperTrend indicator has flipped to a “sell” signal, a condition last seen in 2022 before a 95% decline. While network fundamentals show growth, the prevailing technical structure remains bearish. Meanwhile, Mutuum Finance sees strong growth.

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Solana risks repeating 95% crash seen in 2022 while funding in Mutuum Finance nears $21m - 1

Mutuum Finance lending 

Built on the Ethereum network, Mutuum Finance is a new decentralized lending and borrowing protocol. It is a non-custodial platform, allowing users complete control over their funds. The project offers flexibility through its dual lending model, supporting both Peer-to-Contract (P2C) and Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending. In the P2C system, users can deposit widely used assets like USDT or ETH into shared liquidity pools and earn interest automatically; for example, a $50,000 USDT deposit at 8% APY would grow to $54,000 over a year without additional action, while borrowers provide overcollateralized assets at dynamic rates based on pool demand. 

The P2P model, on the other hand, caters to high-volatility tokens, allowing direct negotiations between borrowers and lenders; for instance, an investor holding $25,000 in a meme coin like PEPE could obtain a $13,800 USDC loan at 14% APY with 180% overcollateralization, preserving exposure to potential gains in PEPE while providing the lender $966 in interest in 6 months. 

Security and community engagement

Mutuum Finance’s lending and borrowing smart contracts recently underwent a full audit by Halborn Security. The project team incorporated all recommendations highlighted by the security firm before the protocol’s testnet debut. The MUTM token itself has also been audited by CertiK, achieving a token scan score of 90/100. MUTM is priced at $0.04, with more than 19,070 holders and over $20.72 million committed to the project.

Solana is currently down 73% from its $294 ATH, following sharp downturns since Q4 2025. Frequent whale selling and profit-taking have further eroded confidence in the token. Meanwhile, Mutuum Finance shows steady development. Its V1 Protocol is live on the Sepolia testnet, allowing users to test the protocol’s core features, including staking, borrowing, and lending. Users can borrow and lend ETH, USDT, LINK, and WBTC, which are the supported test tokens. The testnet also includes an automated liquidator bot, which maintains protocol health. 

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As Solana risks repeating its 95% crash from 2022, with bearish technical signals and a sell signal on the monthly SuperTrend, investors are cutting their losses to seek alternative market plays. Meanwhile, strong capital inflows are being reported for Mutuum Finance (MUTM), whose funding is approaching $21 million. Built on Ethereum, MUTM offers a non‑custodial lending protocol with a dual‑market structure, live on Sepolia testnet, audited by Halborn and CertiK.

Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.

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First Crypto Firm with Direct Fed Access

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First Crypto Firm with Direct Fed Access

Crypto exchange Kraken has become the first digital asset company to secure access to the Federal Reserve’s core payments infrastructure.

This marks a watershed moment in the integration of crypto into the U.S. financial system, even as the exchange eyes a public listing.

Kraken Becomes First Crypto Firm to Win Access to Fed’s Core Payments System

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, Kraken’s Wyoming-chartered banking arm, Kraken Financial, has been granted a so-called “master account” at the Federal Reserve.

The approval gives the firm direct access to the same payment rails used by thousands of U.S. banks and credit unions to move money across the financial system.

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The move allows Kraken Financial to settle U.S. dollar transactions directly through the Fed’s infrastructure, rather than relying on intermediary banks.

Notably, the firm will not receive the full suite of services traditional banks enjoy, such as earning interest on reserves held at the central bank.

Still, the approval represents a significant breakthrough for an industry that has long struggled to access core banking plumbing.

“This is a watershed milestone in the history of digital assets,” WSJ reported, citing Senator Cynthia Lummis, a vocal advocate for crypto innovation.

From Wyoming Bank Charter to Fed Master Account: Kraken’s Long March Toward Wall Street Legitimacy

The development builds on groundwork laid in 2020, when Kraken became the first digital asset company in U.S. history to receive a bank charter recognized under federal and state law.

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The firm obtained a Special Purpose Depository Institution (SPDI) charter from Wyoming. This enabled it to offer regulated deposit-taking, custody, and fiduciary services tailored to blockchain companies.

“Our vision is to become the world’s trusted bridge between the crypto economy of the future and today’s existing financial ecosystem,” Kraken said at the time.

Access to a Fed master account significantly advances that vision.

Direct settlement capability could allow Kraken to handle transactions more quickly and seamlessly for institutional clients and professional traders. This reduces counterparty risk and operational friction.

The approval also lands at a politically favorable moment. Under President Donald Trump, who has pledged to make the U.S. the “crypto capital of the world,” regulatory attitudes toward digital assets have shifted markedly compared to prior years.

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Now, there are more industry-friendly appointments and legislative momentum around crypto frameworks.

What It Means for Kraken’s Prospective IPO

Strategically, the milestone could strengthen Kraken’s positioning ahead of a widely anticipated initial public offering.

The exchange has been expanding aggressively, completing six acquisitions in roughly a year. The company is reportedly targeting a $500 million raise at a valuation of around $15 billion.

Direct access to the Fed’s payments system enhances Kraken’s institutional credibility at a pivotal time.

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For prospective IPO investors, the combination of a bank charter, expanding product suite, and now direct integration with U.S. monetary infrastructure may make the exchange’s public debut more compelling.

Still, questions remain over whether quick acquisition-driven growth translates into durable revenue momentum.

Notwithstanding, with Fed access secured, Kraken has undeniably crossed a line that crypto firms have spent years trying to reach. It has brought digital assets one step closer to the heart of the U.S. financial system.

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Bitcoin price climbs above $71k as Middle East tensions fail to trigger fresh sell-off

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Bitcoin price climbs above $71k as Middle East tensions fail to trigger fresh sell-off - 1

Bitcoin price pushed back above $71,000 on Wednesday, defying geopolitical jitters tied to escalating Middle East tensions and a spike in global oil prices, as on-chain data suggests selling pressure may be drying up.

Summary

  • Bitcoin rose above $71,000, gaining over 5% and challenging the upper end of its recent consolidation range.
  • Exchange inflows dropped to 28,235 BTC, a level historically linked to reduced selling pressure and potential accumulation phases.
  • Technical indicators such as Balance of Power turning positive suggest short-term buyer momentum is strengthening.

Bitcoin seller exhaustion? Exchange flows fall to near-cycle lows

According to analysis from CryptoQuant, the recent military intervention in Iran sent shockwaves through energy markets, with WTI crude jumping above $75 and Brent topping $82 after successive 6% gains. While the broader macro backdrop remains fragile and the bear market structure technically intact, Bitcoin has shown notable relative strength.

At the time of the CryptoQuant assessment, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading near $68,637 and approaching what analysts describe as an accumulation zone. A key metric backing that thesis is Exchange Inflow, the amount of BTC transferred to exchanges, often a precursor to selling.

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Historically, readings below 40,000 BTC have coincided with weak selling pressure and market bottoms, while levels above 90,000 BTC have marked cycle tops.

On March 3, 2026, exchange inflows registered just 28,235 BTC, dramatically lower than prior cycle highs that ranged between 97,587 BTC and 134,619 BTC. The subdued inflow suggests sellers may be exhausted, even as global instability persists.

Bitcoin price action and key levels

Based on the attached daily chart, Bitcoin is currently trading around $71,795 after posting a strong green daily candle, up more than 5%. The move follows a sharp correction from late January highs near $95,000, with price finding a local bottom in early February around the $63,000–$65,000 region.

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Bitcoin price climbs above $71k as Middle East tensions fail to trigger fresh sell-off - 1
Bitcoin price analysis | Source: Crypto.News

Since that capitulation-style drop, Bitcoin has been consolidating in a broad range between roughly $65,000 support and $72,000 resistance. The recent breakout attempt above $71,000 puts price back near the upper boundary of this consolidation band.

Immediate resistance now sits around $72,000–$73,000, followed by the heavier supply zone near $78,000–$80,000, where prior breakdown momentum accelerated. On the downside, first support lies at $68,000, with stronger structural support near $65,000.

A loss of that level would reopen the path toward the February low near $63,000.

Volume has picked up modestly on the recent rebound, though it remains below the spike seen during the early February sell-off.

Meanwhile, the Balance of Power indicator has turned positive, currently reading around 0.77, signaling buyers are gaining short-term control after weeks of sideways churn.

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While the broader macro picture remains uncertain, Bitcoin’s ability to rally through geopolitical stress, combined with low exchange inflows, suggests the market may be transitioning from distribution to early-stage accumulation.

A decisive daily close above the $72,000–$73,000 zone would strengthen the case for a broader recovery attempt.

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FATF Highlights Risks in Stablecoin P2P Transfers via Self-Custody Wallets

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FATF Highlights Risks in Stablecoin P2P Transfers via Self-Custody Wallets

Peer-to-peer transfers made through self-custody crypto wallets are a key weak point in the stablecoin ecosystem because they can take place without a regulated intermediary, the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) said in a new report urging countries to tighten oversight as stablecoins spread into payments and cross-border transfers.

In its targeted report on stablecoins, unhosted wallets and P2P transactions, the global anti-money laundering watchdog said transactions conducted directly between users through unhosted wallets can occur without regulated intermediaries such as exchanges or custodians.

The FATF said this structure can create gaps in Anti-Money Laundering (AML) oversight because the transactions occur outside entities required to monitor activity and report suspicious transfers. The report highlighted growing regulatory attention on stablecoins as their use expands across trading, payments and cross-border transfers. 

The watchdog called on jurisdictions to assess the risks created by stablecoin arrangements and apply “proportionate” mitigation measures, which can include enhanced monitoring when self-custody wallets interact with regulated platforms and clearer AML and counterterrorism financing obligations for entities involved in issuing and distributing stablecoins.

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