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Trend Research Slashes Ether Holdings After Market Crash to Repay Loans

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Trend Research Slashes Ether Holdings After Market Crash to Repay Loans

Crypto treasury firm Trend Research has sharply reduced its Ether position following the recent market downturn, moving large amounts of ETH to exchanges as it works to service outstanding debt.

Key Takeaways:

  • Trend Research sold over 400,000 ETH and moved large holdings to exchanges to manage debt after the price drop.
  • Ether’s nearly 30% weekly decline pushed leveraged positions close to liquidation thresholds.
  • The downturn is also hitting other corporate ETH treasuries, highlighting risks of concentrated crypto holdings.

Blockchain data shows the firm held roughly 651,170 Ether on Sunday in the form of Aave-wrapped ETH. By Friday, the balance had fallen to about 247,080 ETH, a drop of more than 404,000 tokens in less than a week.

Onchain analytics platform Arkham reported that 411,075 ETH has been transferred to Binance since the start of the month.

Ether Drops Nearly 30% in a Week Before Partial Rebound

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The movements coincided with a steep decline in Ether’s price, which slid nearly 30% over the past week to a low near $1,748 before recovering to around $1,967.

Trend Research built its position using a leveraged strategy. The company, linked to Liquid Capital founder Jack Yi, purchased Ether and posted it as collateral on the lending protocol Aave to borrow stablecoins, then used the borrowed funds to buy additional ETH.

The falling market has placed the position under pressure. According to Lookonchain, the firm faces several potential liquidation levels between $1,698 and $1,562, meaning further price declines could trigger automatic collateral sales on the lending platform.

Yi acknowledged in a post on X that his earlier call on the market bottom came too soon but said he remains optimistic and will continue managing risk while waiting for a recovery.

Trend Research first drew attention after the $19 billion crypto liquidation cascade in October 2025, when it began aggressively accumulating Ether.

At one point in December, the firm would have ranked among the largest holders of ETH globally, although it does not appear on most public corporate treasury trackers because it is privately held.

BitMine’s $7B Paper Loss Tests Corporate Ethereum Treasury Strategy

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BitMine Immersion Technologies, led by Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, is also under pressure after Ether’s sharp decline pushed the company deep into unrealized losses.

With roughly 4.28 million ETH on its balance sheet, the firm is sitting on more than $7 billion in paper losses after the token fell near $2,100.

The company had accumulated its holdings at much higher prices, making it one of the largest single-asset corporate bets in crypto.

The firm shifted from Bitcoin mining to an “Ethereum-first” treasury model in 2025, buying ETH at an estimated $3,800–$3,900 average.

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The market downturn has dragged down both its portfolio and stock price, drawing comparisons to Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin-heavy Strategy, which is also facing sizable unrealized losses.

Analysts say both companies highlight the risk of concentrated crypto treasury strategies tied to volatile assets.

Despite the drawdown, Lee remains confident. He argues Ethereum’s fundamentals are strengthening, pointing to record transaction activity and rising active addresses.

The company now holds about 3.55% of Ethereum’s supply and is targeting 5% while expanding staking operations.

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Nearly $6.7 billion worth of ETH is staked, and BitMine plans to launch its Made in America Validator Network in 2026.

The post Trend Research Slashes Ether Holdings After Market Crash to Repay Loans appeared first on Cryptonews.

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DeFi lending platform Compound Finance hijacked again

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DeFi lending platform Compound Finance hijacked again

DeFi users reported suspicious functionality on the website of lending platform Compound Finance on Sunday.

The incident is the latest in a string of website hijackings that have affected Maple Finance, OpenEden and Curvance.

It’s the second time attackers have compromised Compound’s front end in less than two years.

Read more: Compound Finance and Celer Network websites compromised in ‘front-end’ attacks

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Compound’s security provider later published an update on the project’s governance forum, reassuring users that the incident had been rectified and “all other credentials on the affected infrastructure account have been rotated.”

The post explains that the project’s website redirected users to “a phishing site hosted on a lookalike domain (‘compOOnd’),” but “no user loss of funds [was] identified.”

Compounding errors

Previously, the Compound front end was hacked in July 2024, along with other Squarespace-based DeFi domains.

There are worries that such attacks may become more common as AI tools lower the bar for would-be phishing scammers.

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Read more: AI just bypassed the Cloudflare protection that DeFi needs

Luckily, any users of Compound were better protected yesterday.

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According to the forum post, the app.compound.finance subdomain, on which users connect wallets and make transactions, “is served via IPFS, allowing [security providers] to independently verify its integrity.”

Sunday’s incident is the latest in a string of blunders for what was once one of DeFi’s top protocols.

Last year, the Compound DAO came under scrutiny over conflict-of-interest concerns related to service provider Gauntlet.

In 2022, an operational error bricked the cETH market (worth over $800 million at the time) for a week while a fix was implemented. The previous year, almost $150 million of excess rewards were distributed, also by mistake.

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Mastercard and Google Team Up to Build Trust for AI-Powered Shopping

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Mastercard and Google Team Up to Build Trust for AI-Powered Shopping

Verifiable Intent creates a tamper-resistant, cryptographic record of what a user authorized when an AI agent acts on their behalf.

Mastercard has unveiled Verifiable Intent, a new open, standards-based trust framework co-developed with Google, designed specifically for “agentic commerce” — a world where artificial intelligence (AI) systems don’t just assist shoppers, but actively plan, decide, and complete purchases autonomously.

The core problem Verifiable Intent aims to solve is visibility: when a consumer delegates a purchase to an AI agent, the clear “click buy” or “tap to pay” moment that traditionally signals intent disappears. Mastercard’s Chief Digital Officer Pablo Fourez argues that this creates a new challenge for every party involved — consumers need assurance their instructions were followed, merchants need confirmation an agent is authorized to buy, and issuers need to distinguish legitimate activity from fraud.

To address this, Verifiable Intent creates a tamper-resistant, cryptographic record of what a user authorized when an AI agent acts on their behalf — linking identity, intent, and action into a single, privacy-preserving audit trail.

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The framework uses Selective Disclosure, a privacy control technique, to ensure that only the minimum necessary information is shared between parties and only when needed, allowing merchants and issuers to verify transactions without access to sensitive consumer data.

It leverages widely adopted standards from the FIDO Alliance, EMVCo, the Internet Engineering Task Force, and the World Wide Web Consortium, and is designed to work across agentic protocols, devices, wallets, and platforms. Mastercard says Verifiable Intent will be integrated into its Agent Pay APIs in the coming months.

Crypto Rails Join the Fray

Not everyone sees traditional payment networks as the right foundation for AI-driven commerce, however, highlighting a growing debate about whether AI agents will ultimately transact through incumbent networks like Mastercard or bypass them entirely in favor of crypto-native infrastructure.

“Very soon there are going to be more AI agents than humans making transactions. They can’t open a bank account, but they can own a crypto wallet. Think about it,” Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong posted on X today.

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In September, EigenCloud, Ethereum’s largest restaking protocol with nearly $9 billion in total value locked, announced a partnership with Google Cloud to serve as the verifiable backbone for AI agent payments.

Meanwhile, the Ethereum Foundation launched a dedicated AI initiative called the dAI Team, with a stated mission to make Ethereum the preferred settlement and coordination layer for the emerging “machine economy.”

The following month, attention turned to x402 protocols, which enable AI agent payment systems and increase the practicality of agentic AI-led finance.

Taken together, these developments paint a picture of an industry racing to solve the same core problem from two very different directions. Mastercard and traditional finance are building trust layers on top of existing payment rails, while crypto proponents are betting that blockchain infrastructure is better suited to a world where AI agents are first-class economic actors.

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140,000 BTC Exit Short-Term Holders as Capitulation Pressure Builds in Bitcoin

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Net Metrics Miss the Real Story as Long-Term Holders Spend 370,000 BTC Monthly


Short-term holders are currently facing about 24% unrealized losses.

Bitcoin’s short-term holders have continued to realize losses, as on-chain data found sustained selling pressure across most of the past week.

According to the latest analysis by Axel Adler Jr., the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR), a metric that measures whether coins held for less than 155 days are being sold at a profit or loss, remained below the neutral level of 1.0 for seven of the last eight days between March 2 and March 9.

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A reading below 1.0 indicates that the cohort is selling at prices lower than their acquisition cost.

Bitcoin’s Weak Hands Are Selling

As of March 9, the intraday average STH SOPR stood at 0.987, and only six out of 35 observed blocks, or about 17%, closed above the 1.0 threshold. The 7-day moving average for the metric remained near 0.992, which further supports the view that loss realization among short-term holders has persisted for several consecutive days rather than appearing as a single isolated event.

During the same period, the metric crossed above 1.0 only once, on March 4, when the price of Bitcoin briefly reached $74,000 before returning to loss-selling territory. The lowest weekly reading occurred on March 6 at 0.979, while March 8 registered 0.991. Both of these instances confirm that most transactions from this cohort were executed below cost basis.

Adler explained that the first clear signal of a change in market conditions would be STH SOPR closing above 1.0 for several consecutive days alongside rising prices.

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Capitulation

In addition to the profitability metric, Adler examined changes in terms of the overall supply held by short-term investors. Over the past two weeks, the total volume of coins within the short-term holder cohort declined from approximately 6.06 million BTC to about 5.92 million BTC. This essentially indicated that roughly 140,000 BTC left the cohort.

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Such a reduction reflects either capitulation through realized losses or the natural aging of coins into long-term holder status after surpassing the 155-day holding threshold. At the same time, the cohort’s realized price remained around $89,028, while the market price traded near $67,000 during the period analyzed.

The difference represents an unrealized loss of roughly 24% for the average short-term holder. Adler observed that this gap between the realized price and the current market value creates a structural supply overhang in the market. As prices recover, some short-term investors who purchased at higher levels may use rallies as opportunities to exit positions without losses, and would potentially add supply and reduce the strength of upward moves.

The combination of the two indicators points to an ongoing “cohort cleansing,” in which the more price-sensitive segment of the market is gradually exiting through selling pressure rather than through a recovery in profitability.

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Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ETFs flash red as prices stay resilient

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Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ETFs flash red as prices stay resilient

U.S. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ETFs saw rare same‑day outflows on March 9, but positive weekly flows and steady spot prices point to rotation, not capitulation.

Summary

  • Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ETFs all booked one‑day net outflows, signaling a sharp but concentrated de‑risking across major U.S. spot products.
  • Weekly flows remain positive for BTC, ETH, and SOL, suggesting ETF desks are rotating risk within crypto rather than exiting the asset class.
  • Despite red ETF prints, Bitcoin trades in the high‑$60K band, Ethereum near $2,000, and Solana just under $90, underscoring a resilient spot tape.

U.S. crypto ETFs flashed a rare warning signal on March 9 as spot products for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana all recorded simultaneous net outflows, even as underlying prices held firm near recent ranges.

ETF flows: risk-on, but defensive

On-chain analytics firm Lookonchain reported that U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw a one-day net outflow of 5,409 BTC, while Ethereum ETFs shed 36,599 ETH and Solana products lost 68,933 SOL, underscoring a sharp but concentrated bout of de-risking across majors. A separate summary of the same dataset framed the move as a short-term shock inside a still-positive weekly trend, noting that “Bitcoin ETFs experienced a one-day net outflow of 5,409 BTC… however, the seven-day net inflow stood at a positive 8,154 BTC,” with Ethereum and Solana showing similar one-day outflows but net inflows over seven days.

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In that analysis, Solana stood out as the most volatile leg of the trade: “Solana ETFs displayed the most dramatic shifts… with a one-day net outflow of 68,933 SOL… Contrarily, the seven-day net inflow reached +266,247 SOL,” a pattern more consistent with fast money rotation than structural capitulation.

Macro structure: liquidity, not faith

The flows come against a macro backdrop where crypto still trades as a high‑beta expression of global liquidity rather than a simple tech proxy.

As one ETF strategist put it in the Lookonchain-linked commentary, recent moves “could influence trading strategies, as traders monitor whether these outflows represent profit-taking or a shift in investor confidence amid broader market volatility,” highlighting that desks are treating ETF flows as a real‑time barometer of positioning, not a referendum on the asset class itself.

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Price action: resilient tape

Despite the ETF outflows, majors held up. Bitcoin recently traded around the high‑$60K band, with multiple spot dashboards placing it near $68K–$69K and up roughly 1–3% over the last 24 hours at press time.
Ethereum changed hands near $2,000–$2,050, gaining about 3–4% on the day, while Solana hovered around $85.20, up 3.69% in 24 hours as it continued to “grind sideways just under $90.”

For traders, the message is blunt: ETF red prints are back, but as long as weekly flows stay positive and spot refuses to break, the underlying market structure still looks like rotation within a risk bucket rather than an exit from it.

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Crypto Traders Ignore High Oil Prices As BTC, Altcoins Rally

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Crypto Traders Ignore High Oil Prices As BTC, Altcoins Rally

Key points:

  • Rising oil prices have not hurt crypto sentiment as buyers attempt to push Bitcoin above $69,000

  • Buyers are attempting to propel several major altcoins above their overhead resistance levels, indicating demand at lower levels.

A sharp rally in oil prices failed to deter cryptocurrency buyers who pushed Bitcoin (BTC) above $69,000 on Monday. Although the spot BTC exchange-traded funds witnessed outflows on Thursday and Friday, the week saw net inflows of $568.45 million per SoSoValue data.  That was the second successive week of net inflows, a first in five months.

While some analysts believe that BTC may have bottomed out, on-chain analyst Willy Woo said in a post on X that BTC was solidly in the middle of a bear market from a long-range liquidity perspective and was forming a bull trap. 

Crypto market data daily view. Source: TradingView

Usually, when negative news fails to sink the price to a new low in a bearish trend, it suggests that the selling may be drying up. That doesn’t guarantee a sharp rally in the near term, as markets tend to consolidate in a range for a while before starting the next leg higher. 

Could buyers push BTC and major altcoins above their resistance levels? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out. 

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S&P 500 Index price prediction

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) closed below the 6,775 level on Friday, indicating that the bears are attempting to take charge.

SPX daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The moving averages have completed a bearish crossover, and the relative strength index (RSI) has dipped into the negative territory, indicating the path of least resistance is to the downside. The next crucial support to watch out for on the downside is 6,550. If the level cracks, the correction may deepen to 6,147.

Buyers will have to drive the price above the moving averages to signal strength. That improves the prospects of a rally to the 7,290 level.

US Dollar Index price prediction

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is facing resistance near the 99.50 level, but the bulls have kept up the pressure.

DXY daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The upsloping 20-day exponential moving average (98.17) and the RSI above the 63 level suggest that the bulls are in command. If the price closes above the 99.50 level, the index may retest the critical overhead resistance at the 100.54 level. A close above the 100.54 resistance suggests the start of a new up move.

Sellers will have to tug the price below the moving averages to retain the index inside the 95.50 to 100.54 range.

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Bitcoin price prediction

BTC fell below the 20-day EMA ($68,553) on Friday, but the bears could not sink the price below the support line. That suggests demand at lower levels.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price maintains above the 20-day EMA, the likelihood of a break above the $74,508 resistance increases. Such a move suggests that the BTC/USDT pair may have bottomed out in the short term. The Bitcoin price may then soar to $84,000, where the bears are expected to mount a strong defense.

This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the support line. The pair may then drop to the vital support at $60,000.

Ether price prediction

Ether (ETH) broke below the 20-day EMA ($2,018) on Friday, but the bears could not sink the price to the $1,750 level.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

That suggests selling dries up at lower levels. The bulls are attempting to push the price back above the 20-day EMA. If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair may climb to the 50-day SMA ($2,249). Sellers will attempt to halt the relief rally at the 50-day SMA, but if the bulls prevail, the pair may jump to $2,600.

Contrary to this assumption, if the Ether price turns down from the $2,111 level and breaks below $1,916, it signals that the pair may remain inside the range for a while longer.

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BNB price prediction

BNB (BNB) fell below the 20-day EMA ($633) on Friday, but the bears could not pull the price to the $570 level.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

That attracted buyers who are trying to push the price back above the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the BNB/USDT pair may retest the overhead resistance at $670. Sellers are expected to fiercely defend the $670 level, as a close above it opens the doors for a rally to $730 and then $790.

Instead, if the BNB price turns down from the current level or the $670 resistance, it suggests that the range-bound action may continue for a few more days. Sellers will have to yank the pair below the $570 level to start the next leg of the downtrend toward $500.

XRP price prediction

XRP (XRP) has been trading just below the 20-day EMA ($1.39) for several days, indicating that the bulls continue to exert pressure.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

A close above the 20-day EMA will be the first sign of strength. The XRP/USDT pair may then rally to the $1.61 level and subsequently to the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern. Buyers will have to break and sustain the XRP price above the downtrend line to signal a short-term trend change.

Conversely, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA and breaks below $1.27, it suggests that the bulls have given up. That may sink the pair to the support line, which is likely to attract buyers.

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Solana price prediction

Solana (SOL) has been consolidating between $76 and $95 for several days, indicating a balance between supply and demand.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The flattish 20-day EMA ($85) and the RSI just below the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. 

The next trending move is expected to begin on a close above $95 or below $76. If buyers drive the Solana price above $95, the rally may reach $117. Alternatively, a break and close below $76 suggests that the bears have overpowered the bulls. The SOL/USDT pair may then slump to the Feb. 6 low of $67.

Related: Bitcoin at $67K despite oil shock is ‘strongest indicator’ bottom may be in

Dogecoin price prediction

Dogecoin (DOGE) fell below the $0.09 support on Sunday, but the bears could not sustain the lower levels. The bulls bought the dip and are attempting to reclaim the level.

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DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the relief rally turns down from the 20-day EMA ($0.09), it suggests that the bears remain in control. That heightens the risk of a drop to Feb. 6 low of $0.08. 

Buyers are likely to have other plans. They will attempt to push the Dogecoin price above the moving averages. If they can pull it off, the DOGE/USDT pair may surge to the breakdown level of $0.12. Buyers will have to achieve a close above the $0.12 resistance to suggest that the pair may have bottomed out at $0.08.

Cardano price prediction

Cardano (ADA) slipped below the $0.25 support on Sunday, but the bears are struggling to sustain the lower levels.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls will attempt a recovery, which is expected to face selling at the 20-day EMA ($0.27). If the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, the bears will strive to sink the ADA/USDT pair to the support line of the descending channel pattern. If the Cardano price rebounds off the support line with strength, it suggests that the pair may remain inside the channel for some more time.

The bulls will have to drive and maintain the price above the downtrend line to signal a potential short-term trend change.

Bitcoin Cash price prediction

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has been witnessing a tough battle between the bulls and the bears at the $443 level.

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BCH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls are attempting a relief rally, but the bears are likely to halt any recovery attempt at the 20-day EMA ($478). If the Bitcoin Cash price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, it increases the likelihood of a break below the $443 level. 

If that happens, the BCH/USDT pair will complete a bearish head-and-shoulder pattern. That may start a downward move to $375.

Contrarily, a close above the 20-day EMA suggests that the selling pressure is reducing. The pair may then rally to the 50-day SMA ($525).