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Trump nominates Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve chair to succeed Jerome Powell

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Trump nominates Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve chair to succeed Jerome Powell
Trump nominates Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve chair to succeed Jerome Powell

President Donald Trump on Friday named Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair, ending a prolonged odyssey that has seen unprecedented turmoil around the central bank.

The decision culminates a process that officially began last summer but started much earlier than that, with Trump launching a fusillade of criticism against the Powell-led Fed almost since Powell took the job in 2018.

“I have known Kevin for a long period of time, and have no doubt that he will go down as one of the GREAT Fed Chairmen, maybe the best,” Trump said in a Truth Social post announcing the selection.

The pick of Warsh, 55, likely won’t ripple markets because of his past Fed experience and Wall Street’s view that he wouldn’t always do Trump’s bidding.

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“He has the respect and credibility of the financial markets,” said David Bahnsen, chief investment officer of The Bahnsen Group, on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”

“There was no person who was going to get this job who wasn’t going to be cutting rates in the short term. However, I believe longer term he will be a credible candidate,” added Bahnsen.

Stock market futures nevertheless were slightly negative Friday morning, though off their lows since Warsh’s appointment became clear.

Warsh now faces Senate confirmation. If approved, he will take over the position in May, when Powell’s term expires.

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‘Regime change’ coming?

Since Powell’s confirmation in 2018, during Trump’s first term, the president has persistently hectored policymakers to lower interest rates aggressively. Even with three successive reductions in the latter part of 2025, Trump kept up the attack, pressing for lower rates and criticizing Powell for cost overruns at the Fed’s massive renovation of its Washington, D.C., headquarters.

Beyond interest rates, Warsh comes to the Fed at a time when policymakers have taken a looser hand on banking regulations. Among the changes, pushed by Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman, herself once in the running for Fed chair, are lower capital requirements, reducing supervision and supervisory staff, and backing the Fed out of ancillary efforts like pushing banks to prepare for climate events.

For his part, Warsh in a CNBC interview last summer called for “regime change” at the Fed.

“The credibility deficit lies with the incumbents that are at the Fed, in my view,” he said during the July interview. It’s a position that could put him in an adversarial role at an institution where consensus building is key to policy implementation.

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Trump’s decision to nominate Warsh comes at one of the most precarious moments for the U.S. central bank in decades — with inflation not fully defeated, government borrowing escalating and the Fed itself facing unusually direct political pressure over how it conducts monetary policy.

Most recently, the Justice Department subpoenaed Powell regarding the construction project. In an uncharacteristically blunt response, Powell charged the move was a “pretext” to push the Fed into following Trump’s orders and ease policy further.

To that end, the nomination comes as questions about Fed independence, a bedrock of central bank credibility, have moved from academic debate into concern. Trump and other administration officials have floated ideas ranging from tighter White House oversight to changes in how the central bank sets rates, including forcing the chair to consult with the president on rate decisions.

The nomination ends a competitive derby that at one point included 11 candidates. They spanned from former and current Fed officials to prominent economists and Wall Street pros in an interview process led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Ultimately, the field was winnowed to five then four, with Trump last week hinting to CNBC that he had arrived at his choice. Among the finalists were current Governor Christopher Waller, BlackRock bond chief Rick Rieder and National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett.

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“Christopher Waller, Rick Rieder, and others, were interviewed for the Fed position. They all would have been outstanding, and have a great and unlimited future with “TRUMP.” Such amazing talent in our Country,” Trump said in a separate Truth Social post.

Rieder, thought to be the favorite as recently as Thursday afternoon, congratulated Warsh on the nomination.

“This has been an incredible honor for me,” Rieder said in a statement to CNBC. “I congratulate Kevin on his nomination and think he will serve the institution and our nation very well.”

Political challenges

From here, the nominee faces a tough road.

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Republican Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina has indicated he will block any Fed nominees until the Justice Department probe is finished.

“Kevin Warsh is a qualified nominee with a deep understanding of monetary policy. However, the Department of Justice continues to pursue a criminal investigation into Chairman Jerome Powell based on committee testimony that no reasonable person could construe as possessing criminal intent,” Tillis posted Friday on social media site X.

“My position has not changed: I will oppose the confirmation of any Federal Reserve nominee, including for the position of Chairman, until the DOJ’s inquiry into Chairman Powell is fully and transparently resolved,” he added.

The nomination gained support elsewhere in Congress. Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., who chairs the Senate banking committee, praised Warsh’s “deep knowledge of markets and monetary policy that will be essential in this role.”

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“The Federal Reserve’s decisions touch every American household, from mortgage rates to retirement savings, and President Trump has been clear that bringing accountability and credibility to the Federal Reserve is a priority, and his nomination of Kevin Warsh reflects that focus,” Scott said.

The issues, though, are more than political.

Though Trump has insisted that inflation has been vanquished, it remains a good deal from the Fed’s 2% target. At the same time, the labor market has slowed, with the economy current in a no-fire, no-hire climate that poses another challenge to Fed policy.

In any event, markets don’t expect much action from the new chair: Traders are pricing in at most two more cuts this year before the benchmark fed funds rate lands around 3%, which policymakers have indicates is the long-run “neutral” rate that neither boosts nor hinders economic growth.

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Then there’s the issue of what happens with Powell.

Though chairs historically have resigned their Fed positions after being removed as chair, that may not be the case this time around. Powell has two years remaining in his governor term, and he could choose to serve it as a bulwark against Trump’s efforts to compromise Fed independence. The Supreme Court already is weighing Trump’s move to unseat Governor Lisa Cook, a case that ultimately could decide what powers a president has over Fed board members.

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Crypto World

BTC gives up early gains, XRP, SOL, DOGE follow suit

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Bitcoin's weekly price swings in candlestick format. (TradingView)

Bitcoin has fallen back below $75,000, highlighting the fragility of its early Asian session rally to six-week highs.

Prices rose to $75,912 early Tuesday, the highest since Feb. 4, according to CoinDesk data. 10x Research pointed to activity in the derivatives market as the main driver of that rally. Specifically, closure of large bearish bets tied to $60,000 put options likely powered gains.

Further, as those puts were closed, market makers who had taken the other side of the trade needed to rebalance their exposure. That process can involve buying bitcoin, which likely created flows that pushed BTC’s spot price quickly above $75,000.

But the rally faded just as quickly, suggesting the move was driven more by the removal of downside hedges than by fresh conviction from buyers. According to 10x Research, the early gains weren’t accompanied by significant upside call buying, which is usually a sign that traders are positioning for further upside.

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The broader market has followed suit, with major tokens such as ether (ETH), XRP (XRP), solana (SOL), BNB , and others receding from their respective Asian session highs. The CoinDesk 20 Index now trades at 2,162 points versus 2,202 early Tuesday.

Resistance holds

BTC’s quick pullback marks a failure to hold gains above $74,400, a former support level from early April last year that is now acting as resistance. That level had previously stalled selling in early April 2025 and paved the way for a fresh rally to record highs above $126,000 by October.

Bitcoin's weekly price swings in candlestick format. (TradingView)
Bitcoin’s weekly chart. (TradingView)

The inability to stay above $74,400 suggests traders are watching this level closely, and it may serve as a short-term ceiling for the market.

This behavior highlights how technical reference points from previous market cycles continue to influence trader psychology. Even a brief breach of $75,000 triggered selling pressure, showing that market participants remain cautious about chasing rallies without a clear catalyst.

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SEC has Proposed Narrowing Rule 15c2-11 to Equity Securities Only

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SEC has Proposed Narrowing Rule 15c2-11 to Equity Securities Only

The US Securities and Exchange Commission is pushing to clear up years of confusion over a key broker-dealer reporting rule that prevented certain assets from being quoted by broker-dealers on the over-the-counter (OTC) market. 

The SEC Rule 15c2-11 was first adopted in 1971, aimed at reducing fraud in the penny stock market. It requires broker-dealers to maintain up-to-date public information about an issuer before it can publish over-the-counter quotes.

In 2021, the rule was reinterpreted to also include fixed-income securities (such as government or corporate bonds), which saw backlash from the market. There have also been questions about whether it applies to crypto securities.

In a statement on Monday, the SEC proposed an amendment to Rule 15c2-11 that would limit the scope of reporting requirements for over-the-counter broker-dealers to “equity securities,” reversing the interpretation from 2021. 

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SEC announces its proposal. Source: SEC

Hester Peirce, SEC commissioner and leader of the agency’s crypto task force, also welcomed the proposal, explaining that the SEC had created years of uncertainty via an amendment under the previous leadership in 2020, which went into effect in 2021.

“By its terms, the text of Rule 15c2-11 always has applied to quotations of a ‘security.’ Market participants and other observers including me, however, understood the rule to apply only to quotations of over-the-counter (‘OTC’) equity securities,” she said, adding: 

“The Commission should have granted long-term no-action relief while we assessed whether the application of the rule to the fixed income market was appropriate and then amended the rule as necessary. Instead, the Commission… granted several rounds of limited relief, sometimes for as short a period as three months… fostering uncertainty in this market.”

SEC to seek comment about application to crypto

The SEC defines an equity security as any stock, similar security or convertible security that represents an ownership interest in a company. 

Related: SEC drops case against BitClout founder with prejudice

Despite the SEC’s recent proposal, there is no decision yet made on whether “equity securities” could include crypto assets. The SEC has opened a 60-day period for public comment. 

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“I am particularly interested in commenters’ views as to the questions about the definition of ‘equity security,’ the rule’s application to crypto assets, and the appropriate next steps with respect to the formation of an ‘expert market,’” she said.