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Why Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT) Stocks Just Crashed into Bear Market Territory

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Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS)

TLDR

  • Amazon and Microsoft have entered bear market territory, both down over 20% from recent highs due to concerns about heavy AI spending without matching cloud revenue growth.
  • The Magnificent Seven ETF has dropped nearly 11% from its October peak as investors rotate away from big tech stocks.
  • Apple fell 5% on Thursday after reports emerged that its planned AI upgrade to Siri may face delays.
  • Alphabet is down 6.4% over the past month, while Meta has given up all post-earnings gains and Tesla is down 7.3% year-to-date.
  • UBS downgraded the U.S. technology sector to Neutral, citing concerns about AI capital expenditure outpacing current revenue generation.

The Magnificent Seven technology stocks are experiencing a downturn driven by investor concerns about artificial intelligence spending. The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF closed Thursday in correction territory, down nearly 11% from its late October high.

Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS)
Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS)

Amazon and Microsoft have been hit hardest among the group. Both companies have now entered bear market territory, meaning they are down more than 20% from their recent highs. Investors have penalized the two tech giants for ramping up AI infrastructure investments without delivering proportional cloud computing revenue growth.

The selloff has spread beyond the initial leaders. Alphabet, which received praise for its Gemini AI platform and cloud unit growth, has declined 6.4% over the past month. Meta Platforms erased all gains from its recent earnings report, which had highlighted AI-driven revenue growth.

Apple Faces Delay Concerns

Apple experienced its worst single-day performance since April 2025, falling 5% on Thursday. Reports indicated that the company’s planned AI upgrade to its digital assistant Siri may be delayed. The news raised questions about whether new AI features will drive the next iPhone upgrade cycle.

The company also faces headwinds from rising memory chip prices. These cost pressures come as investors wait for clearer signs of AI adoption in Apple’s product lineup.

Broader Market Rotation Underway

UBS recently downgraded the U.S. technology sector to Neutral from its previous rating. Mark Haefele, chief investment officer for global wealth management at UBS, recommended investors diversify across sectors and geographies. He noted that AI value creation is occurring beyond the information technology sector.

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Mark Hawtin of Liontrust Asset Management highlighted the rising capital expenditure across the Magnificent Seven companies. He pointed to Amazon as an example, noting that much of the company’s expected cash flow this year could be absorbed by increased capital spending on AI infrastructure.

Other Magnificent Seven Members

Nvidia has traded in a range for several months without breaking out. The chip maker continues to face questions about sustaining its AI-driven growth trajectory. Tesla remains an outlier in the group, moving based on investor sentiment around CEO Elon Musk’s robotaxi and robot deployment plans rather than AI trends.

Tesla is down 7.3% year-to-date. Meta Platforms sits just above the threshold that would place it in bear market territory alongside Amazon and Microsoft.

The collective decline reflects a shift in investor sentiment toward the market’s most concentrated positions. The Magnificent Seven stocks have driven a large portion of market gains over the past two years. Weakness in these companies now weighs on broader market indexes.

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Investors are not reacting to weak earnings reports. The concern centers on future growth prospects, specifically how quickly artificial intelligence investments will convert into profits. Companies across the group are spending heavily on AI infrastructure while current revenue from the technology remains limited compared to the capital outlays.

Wall Street analysts maintain that Microsoft has the most upside potential among the group. The average price target for Microsoft stock stands at $593.38 per share, implying 47.7% upside from current levels.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Eyes $80K as Traders Expect A Short-term BTC Price Rebound.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity

Bitcoin (BTC) charged above $69,000 on Friday as US CPI data showed cooling inflation, leading traders to hope for a short-term BTC price recovery.

Key takeaways:

  • Traders favor a short-term BTC price relief rally, but bulls must first take out the resistance at $68,000 to $70,000. 

  • Bitcoin market analysis forecasts a short squeeze toward $80,000 if bulls succeed in confirming the $65,000 level as support.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity
BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin price must take out resistance at $68,000

Bitcoin attempted a breakout on Thursday but “got slammed back down at the $68K level,” said analyst Daan Crypto Trades in a Friday post on X, adding:

“That’s the area to watch if BTC wants to see another leg up at some point.”

An accompanying chart showed the BTC/USD pair consolidating within a falling wedge in the one-hour time frame. 

Related: Bitcoin ETFs bleed $410M as Standard Chartered slashes BTC target

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The pattern projected a short-term rally to $72,000 once the price breaks above the wedge’s upper trendline at $68,000.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades

Fellow Ted Pillows said that the “chances of a deeper correction would increase” if the $65,000-$66,000 support does not hold.

 “To the upside, if Bitcoin reclaims the $70,000 level, it could rally 8%-10% really quickly.”

BTC/USD two-day chart. Source: Ted Pillows

From a technical perspective, BTC’s price action has been forming a V-shaped recovery chart pattern on the four-hour chart, as shown below.

The BTC/USD pair is retesting a key area of resistance defined by the 20-period EMA at $67,500 and the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) at $68,000. 

Bulls need to push the price above this level to increase the chance of a rally to the pattern’s neckline at $72,000.

BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

As Cointelegraph reported, if Bitcoin breaks $72,000, it will revive the hopes of a recovery toward the 20-day EMA at $76,000 and eventually, the 50-day simple moving average above $85,000, bringing the total gains to 26%.

Liquidation risk builds near $80,000

Exchange order-book liquidity data from CoinGlass showed Bitcoin’s price pinned below two walls of asks centered just below $75,000 and around $80,000.

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“$BTC liquidations are stacking well above $72K, and around the area from $77K to $80K,” Bitcoin analyst ZordXBT said in his latest post on X.

Below the spot price, bid orders were lying down to $64,500, “where I have my limit orders placed,” the analyst said, adding:

“If the market holds itself here, it can very easily eat those liquidity bubbles.” 

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Liquidity
Bitcoin liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass

The chart above suggests that if the $72,000-$75,000 level is broken, it could spark a liquidation squeeze, forcing short sellers to close positions and driving prices toward $80,000, which is the next major liquidity cluster.

Zooming in, Ted Pillows highlighted significant bid clusters at $65,000 and ask orders around $68,000, saying that the price is likely to revisit these areas to wipe out the liquidity.

“I think a revisit of $65,000 and a pump to $68,000 will both happen soon.”

Bitcoin exchange liquidation map. Source: CoinGlass