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Why are Cardano holders down 43%: is ADA near a bottom now?

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Cardano price rose slightly to above $0.31 on Tuesday but remains under pressure as 43% of ADA wallets sink into loss
Cardano price rose slightly to above $0.31 on Tuesday but remains under pressure as 43% of ADA wallets sink into loss
  • Cardano price hovers near $0.30 as altcoins eye gains.
  • ADA is down 74% since peaking above $1 in early 2025.
  • Downturn sees 43% of holders in the red.

Cardano has dropped out of the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization amid downside pressure.

Meanwhile, on‑chain data reveals that average wallets currently sit deep in the red, with roughly a 43% loss over the past year.

This drawdown has impacted investor sentiment, leaving ADA facing potential bearish acceleration towards new multi-year lows.

Cardano wallets in red amid ADA price decline

According to analytics firm Santiment, average wallets active on the Cardano network over the last 12 months are sitting on a return of about -43%.

This marks substantial unrealized losses across the Cardano ecosystem, and aligns with ADA’s steep price declines over the past year.

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Notably, the cryptocurrency’s value has shed roughly 74% of its gains since hitting highs of $1.19 in January 2025.

The combination of higher entry levels and prolonged bearish price behavior has left many holders “underwater.”

In this case, any little uptick has become an immediate incentive to book profits.

Currently, sentiment‑driven indicators highlight the negative terrain bulls are trying to navigate. Data also shows the token’s MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) metric has dropped sharply.

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In practical terms, a negative MVRV suggests that, on average, selling all ADA at current prices would crystallize a loss for the typical investor.

While not the best of predicaments, the metric has historically meant market capitulation gives way to long‑term accumulation.

In recent months, ADA has seen long‑term believers step in, with whales taking advantage of dips for discounted price levels.

ADA price analysis

From a price analysis standpoint, ADA trades in a broad downtrend that has been in place since its 2025 peak.

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Bulls have failed to take control as repeated attempts to reclaim key resistance levels hit supply walls around the $0.30-$0.33 mark.

The lack of sustained upside momentum is what’s helping sellers keep the broader structure bearish.

But could the bottom be in following recent lows?

Cardano Price Chart
Cardano price chart courtesy of Santiment on X

As noted above, on‑chain metrics and technical indicators do paint a more nuanced picture.

The deeply negative MVRV readings, coupled with oversold readings on traditional oscillators, suggest that Cardano could be on the cusp of a key bounce.

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Many short‑term traders and weak‑hand holders have already exited.

“In a zero-sum game, when average returns are severely negative, this is an indication of a looming turnaround with coins always averaging 0% on MVRV’s (average trading returns) across any timeframe,” Santiment posted on X.

If the broader market conditions improve, recovery could follow. This puts the $0.33 level out here as a key bullish reversal level.

Short-term targets on the upside include $0.50 and $0.75.

The current pain for average wallets, however, means buyers could yet eye profits. The $0.22 area offers a crucial demand reload zone.

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Dogecoin price targets $0.15 despite bulls’ struggles

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Post ETF Approval Rallies May Be Q4 Play as Investors Buy DOGE, SOL, Remittix
Post ETF Approval Rallies May Be Q4 Play as Investors Buy DOGE, SOL, Remittix
  • Dogecoin price was around $0.094, up 4% in the past 24 hours.
  • Bulls continue to show resilience as the technical picture suggests a potential breakout.
  • Despite geopolitical headwinds, the $0.15 target remains in play.

Dogecoin (DOGE) is holding near the psychologically important $0.09–$0.10 range, as the broader crypto market navigates the geopolitical tensions linked to Iran.

The digital asset space has shown pockets of resilience, with Bitcoin remaining close to the $70,000 level, helping support sentiment.

Dogecoin had briefly climbed to around $0.15 in early 2026, and that level could remain relevant if buying interest returns, despite continued selling pressure over the past month.

DOGE eyes $0.10 retest

Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading around $0.094 at the time of writing, having slipped below the $0.10 level after a roughly 9% decline over the past week.

The $0.092 area has continued to provide near-term support through much of February and March.

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The token is slightly higher on the day, after recently testing the lower band of its daily Bollinger Bands.

Broader market direction remains key. Bitcoin is attempting to stabilise near $70,000 despite ongoing geopolitical pressures, a level closely watched by market participants.

A sustained move higher in Bitcoin could support sentiment across altcoins.

For DOGE, the $0.10 mark remains a critical inflection point.

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A break above this level could shift momentum in favour of buyers, while continued macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty may test the token’s ability to hold current support levels.

Dogecoin price outlook: $0.15 target remains

From a technical perspective, the case for Dogecoin (DOGE) revisiting the $0.15 level in the near term rests on two key factors.

First, the token has continued to hold above the $0.090 support zone.

Second, the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart are tightening, a setup that often precedes a stronger directional move.

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These conditions have coincided with repeated rebounds from the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting that the $0.09–$0.10 range is acting as an intermediate support area.

Some analysts view this price action as indicative of a potential double bottom formation.

This structure implies that, for now, a sharp breakdown into a sustained free-fall scenario appears less likely.

At present, DOGE is trading close to the middle band of its Bollinger Bands, hovering near a key psychological level that has defined recent price action.

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The continued contraction in the bands points to building pressure, with a breakout likely to determine the next directional move.

Dogecoin DOGE Price

Dogecoin price chart by TradingViewIf the squeeze resolves upward, DOGE could retest the upper band and potentially post a sharp directional move.

Fundamentally, strong trading volume that’s up 120% in the last 24 hours to $1.69 billion suggests buyer interest.

This, aligned with whale accumulation, indicates a structural floor just beneath the current price.

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As long as Dogecoin avoids an extended breakdown below $0.08–$0.09, the $0.15 target continues to appear technically plausible.

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What institutions now want from crypto

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What institutions now want from crypto

Institutional investors aren’t just betting on ‘number go up’ strategy for crypto anymore, they are shifting to hunting for steady sources of income.

Many institutions already hold bitcoin and ether (ETH) on their balance sheets. While they are holding these assets for the long-term price appreciation, investors are increasingly seeking to put them to work to earn income while waiting, said Brett Tejpaul, Coinbase’s (COIN) head of institutional, in an interview with CoinDesk, noting that this is how the next phase of institutional money entering the digital asset sector will look.

“The second wave of institutions… is underway. It’s happening.”

That shift is shaping a new wave of products, he said. Coinbase last week launched a tokenized share class of its Bitcoin Yield Fund on Base in partnership with Apex Group, a $3.5 trillion fund services provider. The fund aims to generate yield through strategies such as selling call options or lending bitcoin, with target returns in the mid-single digits, depending on market conditions.

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The push for yield is not limited to just crypto-native firms.

BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has also moved in this direction. The firm recently launched the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHB), giving investors exposure to rewards generated by helping secure the network. The product signals that demand for yield-bearing crypto strategies is spreading across traditional finance.

This is a similar strategy to what traditional investors call ‘structured products.’ These financial instruments include assets with options that are designed to deliver certain returns or yields. With many options and yield-generating strategies now available in the digital assets sector, traditional investors are seeking similar products in crypto, especially as lawmakers set clearer regulations for the sector.

Read more: Regulation, derivatives helping drive TradFi institutions into crypto

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Moving money faster

This “second wave” of institutional money is also focusing on how to use blockchain technology for payments, settlements, cost and transparency.

The structure reflects a broader trend: tokenization. By putting fund shares onchain, asset managers can make ownership easier to track and transfer while opening the door to round-the-clock markets. For institutions used to waiting days for settlement, the appeal is practical.

He said almost half the conversations with institutions right now include stablecoins and tokenization, pointing to a surge in interest following recent regulatory movement in the U.S. Large financial firms are exploring how to use blockchain systems to move money faster and at lower cost, especially across borders.

That interest is gaining momentum as policymakers move to set clearer rules. The passage of the GENIUS Act has already provided a framework for stablecoins, while the proposed CLARITY Act is expected to further define how digital assets and tokenized products can be issued and traded. Together, they are giving institutions more confidence to commit capital and build products tied to blockchain-based systems.

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The appeal is straightforward. Tokenization allows traditional assets such as bonds, funds, and private credit to be represented onchain, enabling faster movement and quicker settlement. Stablecoins, often pegged to fiat currencies, offer a way to move value globally at low cost without relying on legacy payment rails.

Some of the largest firms in traditional finance are already moving in this direction. BlackRock has launched a tokenized Treasury fund, while JPMorgan has tested tokenized deposits and blockchain-based payments. Franklin Templeton has also brought tokenized money market funds onchain, signaling growing comfort with the model among asset managers.

As a result, both traditional financial institutions and crypto-native firms are racing to build or integrate stablecoin infrastructure, seeing it as a foundation for the next phase of financial markets.

This is directly tied to what Tejpaul called the ‘second wave’ of institutional money entering crypto. The first wave of institutional money came from hedge funds, endowments and wealthy investors seeking exposure or arbitrage. But this next group looks different. It includes banks and payments firms building products on top of crypto rails.

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That shift ties closely to yield. Stablecoins, often backed by short-term government debt, can produce income streams that resemble traditional cash management products. Tokenized funds extend that idea to a wider set of assets.

At the same time, institutions are paying closer attention to market structure. Around-the-clock trading and near-instant settlement are becoming part of the pitch, with the two largest stock exchanges in the U.S., the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, soon bringing 24/7 trading to their clients. In traditional markets, trades can take days to settle, leaving capital tied up and exposed to counterparty risk.

Blockchain-based systems aim to reduce that friction, thereby increasing transparency and lowering costs.

“People want to know where their capital is at all times, and they don’t want it to be in transit or be lost in the settlement process,” Tejpaul said.

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Still, adoption is uneven.

Most institutional capital remains concentrated in a small set of major tokens, with limited appetite for smaller assets after recent market volatility. And large firms tend to move slowly, often taking years to evaluate new technologies.

But the direction is becoming clearer. Institutions are no longer asking only how to buy crypto. They are asking what it can do for their portfolios and their businesses. And with more regulations coming to clear that path, it will likely open the door to more institutional money in the future.

“All of a sudden, all the dots are connecting… what was opaque is becoming clear,” Tejpaul said.

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Seven Methods for Finding and Closing AI Services Clients When You’re Starting from Zero Followers and Zero Case Studies

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Crypto Breaking News

Host a Local AI Meetup

Business owners feel curious about AI but overwhelmed. They distrust strangers offering solutions. When you host a community event, you’re automatically positioned as the local authority.

Find free venues: libraries, coworking spaces, coffee shops with meeting areas. Create a simple event page. Post in local business groups and LinkedIn. Keep the format straightforward: a 20-minute presentation on how local businesses currently leverage AI, followed by questions.

Critical element: demonstrate something live. Open your computer. Show a workflow executing. Display a lead arriving and receiving an automatic response. When people witness value operating in real-time, the conversation fundamentally shifts.

Collect email addresses. Follow up within 24 hours. That becomes your pipeline.

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Direct Outreach to Local Markets

Traditional. Proven. Underutilized. Walk into 10 local businesses this week: dental offices, real estate brokerages, law firms, contracting companies. Or send 20 LinkedIn messages daily to business owners managing 10-50 employees in your geography.

Don’t lead with your solution. Begin with diagnosis: what’s the most expensive bottleneck in your daily operations? Start conversations about their specific problems, not your services. Those who respond are self-selecting—they already know something requires fixing.

Withhold pitches in initial outreach. Understand their situation completely. Propose solutions mapped directly to their stated problems. This approach converts 3-5x more consistently than leading with I build AI automations.

The Speed-to-Response Diagnosis

This technique is exceptionally effective for speed-to-lead sales. Select a niche. Use Google to identify local businesses. Find ones with website contact forms. Submit test inquiries. Track response time.

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Most respond after hours. Many after days. Some never respond. You’ve collected data. Now email them: I submitted an inquiry through your website 3 days ago. Still waiting. How many leads do you estimate you’re losing? I build systems responding within 60 seconds, 24/7.

This isn’t a cold pitch. It’s a diagnosis. You identified and quantified a problem, then offered a solution. Completely different conversation.

Free Discovery Audits

You know business owners: colleagues, acquaintances, former coworkers, gym contacts. Offer complimentary 20-minute audits. I’ll review your current processes and identify automation opportunities. No charge—I’m building my portfolio.

Yes, you’re working for free initially. But you gain practical experience, they receive legitimate value, and they’ll recommend you. The audit itself becomes your sales conversation. By its conclusion, you understand their problems better than they do. The proposal writes itself.

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After establishing case studies, start charging for audits. The audit becomes a paid service.

Partner with Service Providers

Other service providers already possess your target clients. Marketing agencies, business coaches, accountants, web developers—they consult with business owners constantly. Many get asked about AI and lack confidence answering.

Approach them: I specialize in AI automation for small businesses. When your clients ask about AI, I’d appreciate being your referral partner. Happy to split revenue on closed deals. You just built a sales team without employment. In tight-knit industries, one solid partnership generates sustained pipeline.

The best partnerships are with providers whose services complement AI but aren’t competitive. Web developers, accountants, and business coaches all have hungry clients who need automation.

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Coworking Community Office Hours

Contact local coworking spaces. Volunteer to host free weekly AI Office Hours for members. Two hours weekly. Members arrive with questions. You provide solutions on the spot.

You gain credibility as the resident AI expert, access to warm prospects who already trust you, and content fodder—every question becomes potential social media material. Most spaces accept because it adds member value. Paying clients develop naturally.

The implicit positioning is powerful: you’re the person who knows AI in this community. When someone needs help, they think of you first.

Consistent Social Documentation

Document every client success. Built a lead response system for an HVAC contractor. 2 hours setup. Now responds to every lead within 60 seconds. Automated appointment reminders for a dental practice. Reduced no-shows 40%. Runs entirely on autopilot.

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You don’t need massive following. You need consistency. Post 3-5 times weekly for 90 days. Mix wins with educational content. The objective isn’t virality. It’s staying top-of-mind so when someone needs AI implementation, they think of you first.

Post everywhere: LinkedIn, Twitter, even TikTok or YouTube if that fits your style. Different platforms reach different people. Consistency matters more than platform choice.

Building Your Personal Sequencing

Start with methods 2 and 4: direct outreach and free audits. These generate first clients fastest with zero infrastructure required. You can start today.

Once you have case studies, add method 3: the speed-to-response diagnosis. This is most effective once you have a success story to reference.

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As you establish credibility, layer in methods 1, 5, and 6. These take more setup but generate steady referrals.

Use method 7 throughout. Social documentation works best when you have wins to document, but you can start immediately.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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But the $3 Billion Liquidation Risk Hasn’t Gone Away

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Crypto Breaking News

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin briefly surged to $71,200 after President Trump announced a five-day pause on strikes against Iran, pulling it further from the critical $65,000 liquidation zone.
  • Over $400 million in crypto positions were liquidated within hours as markets swung sharply on conflicting headlines between Washington and Tehran.
  • With BTC now hovering around $70,000, the $3 billion in long positions clustered below $65,000 remains a live threat as geopolitical uncertainty persists.

Bitcoin caught a brief but significant boost on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a five-day pause on military strikes targeting Iran’s energy infrastructure, describing the move as the result of “very good and productive” talks aimed at a complete resolution of hostilities. The announcement sent Bitcoin surging from $67,500 to above $71,200 within hours, temporarily widening the distance between BTC’s price and a critical $65,000 liquidation zone.

The move followed a weekend of geopolitical threats and a subsequent de-escalation, with broader asset classes and benchmark indices reacting together. For Bitcoin bulls sitting on leveraged positions, the rally offered a moment of relief.

Relief, Then Reversal

The rally did not hold. Iran’s Foreign Ministry denied any communication had taken place with the United States, framing the five-day suspension as a retreat rather than diplomacy. Bitcoin, shown at $70,464 in one snapshot, retreated to levels seen in early February after multiple failed attempts to convincingly surpass $75,000. The $400 million in liquidations indicates positions were both sizable and tightly clustered around optimistic breakouts toward $75,000. Bitcoin settled back around $70,000, although still above $65,000, but not a comfortable price level. Investors also weighed the potential impact on other risk assets.

The $3 Billion Risk Remains

Before Monday’s geopolitical headlines, Coinglass data had already flagged a dangerous build-up of over $3 billion in long positions concentrated below the $65,000 level across Binance, OKX, and Bybit. That exposure has not disappeared. Bitcoin has traded between $70,533 and $64,700 since early February, forming a tight range. Heavy liquidation clusters remain around $70,500 on the upside and $65,000 on the downside.

Analysts describe such concentrations as “liquidation magnets,” that is, price levels where a large volume of forced closures can compound selling pressure once breached. The October 10 event, which saw $19 billion wiped from the crypto market in a single day, followed a near-identical pattern of heavy leveraged build-up before a key level broke.

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What Comes Next

As traders watch whether Bitcoin can reclaim $70,000 and fill the CME gap, one open question persists: will current liquidity and geopolitical developments allow BTC to return to breakout attempts near $75,000, or has this episode reset expectations for a lower, more volatile trading band?

For now, the Trump ceasefire announcement has bought the market some breathing room. But with Iran denying any talks and a break above $70,000 still needed to signal renewed bullish momentum toward $75,000.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Silver Price Analysis: XAG to XAU Ratio Drops as Metals Fall

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Silver price has retreated sharply in the last 48 hours, defying last week's prediction and analysis of $200.

Silver price has retreated sharply in the last 48 hours, defying last week’s prediction and analysis of $200. While the metal had climbed 161% year-over-year from $33 area, recent sessions saw XAG/USD slump as real yields surged and the dollar strengthened, widening the gold-to-silver ratio toward a precarious 63:1.

This pullback comes despite supply constraints from imminent China export restrictions effective 2026, which many analysts expected to floor prices.

Silver price has retreated sharply in the last 48 hours, defying last week's prediction and analysis of $200.
Silver/Gold Ratio, Goldprice

The market is currently wrestling with contradictory signals: safe-haven bids from geopolitical tensions versus industrial demand fears triggered by inflation. Is the structural deficit enough to hold the line? As silver price forecasts recalibrate for a “higher-for-longer” rate environment, traders are eyeing critical support levels that could define the trend through Q2.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

Silver Price Analysis: Can It Reclaim $100 Amid PPI Volatility?

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As of today, prior to the PPI shock, silver traded at $69 level. The metal is currently falling but might be hitting a bottom at the same time, testing the patience of bulls who bought near the January peak above $120.

Crucial support lies here, and a break below this level could expose the widely watched $58 magnet, a psychological floor for institutional accumulation. Conversely, reclaiming the $90 resistance is essential to target.

Silver price has retreated sharply in the last 48 hours, defying last week's prediction and analysis of $200.
XAG USD, TradingView

Institutional outlooks remain divergent, creating a complex landscape for position traders. While J.P. Morgan forecasts a conservative 2026 average of $81/oz, others are eyeing significantly higher ceilings. Bank of America has set a target of $135/oz by 2026, and aggressive models from analysts like Rashad Hajiyev point toward targets as high as $240–$260.

The disparity suggests that while short-term downside risks persist, the long-term supply deficit remains a potent catalyst for commodities investors willing to weather the volatility.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

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LiquidChain Targets Early Mover Upside as Silver Consolidates

While silver arguably offers a safe hedge against currency debasement, its recent heavy price action highlights the limitations of commodities in a high-yield environment.

Capital seeking aggressive multipliers is increasingly rotating out of stagnant traditional assets and into infrastructure plays that solve fragmentation issues in the crypto economy. Enter LiquidChain ($LIQUID), a Layer 3 protocol gaining traction by unifying liquidity across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.

LiquidChain distinguishes itself with a “deploy-once” architecture, fusing the three largest ecosystems into a single execution environment. This effectively eliminates the friction of cross-chain bridging—a multi-billion dollar headache for developers.

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The project is currently in a presale phase that has raised more than $600K at the moment. Early participants are securing tokens at $0.0143, and enjoying more than 1700% APY of staking rewards.

For those tired of waiting for silver to break $100, LiquidChain represents a high-beta pivot into the plumbing of the next bull cycle.

The LiquidChain presale is open now for investors researching unified liquidity layers.

Disclaimer: This article is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency and commodities markets are highly volatile. Do your own research before investing.

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The post Silver Price Analysis: XAG to XAU Ratio Drops as Metals Fall appeared first on Cryptonews.

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HYPE jumps as Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest sets record

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Arthur Hayes calls Hyperliquid his top ‘shitcoin’ as HYPE target hits $150

Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 market has reached a new high as demand for tokenized asset trading continues to grow. 

Summary

  • Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $1.74 billion after rising 25% in just one week overall.
  • Tokenized oil and silver pairs led trading volume as Trade.xyz posted new activity records Monday.
  • HYPE gained as Hyperliquid generated $14 million in weekly fees and expanded market products further.

Open interest across HIP-3 markets climbed to $1.74 billion on Sunday, up 25% from $1.39 billion a week earlier. The move shows rising activity in perpetual futures linked to tokenized traditional assets.

Aggregated open interest across Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 markets hit a record $1.74 billion on Sunday. By Monday, that figure eased slightly to $1.73 billion, but it still stayed near the platform’s peak level.

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The rise extends the growth of Hyperliquid’s permissionless perpetual futures market for tokenized traditional assets. HIP-3 launched about six months ago, and it has quickly become one of the main areas of activity within the broader Hyperliquid ecosystem.

Trade.xyz remains the largest HIP-3 market platform. Built by Hyperliquid’s tokenization arm, Hyperunit, Trade.xyz accounts for $1.58 billion in open interest, or 91.3% of the total HIP-3 market.

That level of concentration shows how much of the current activity sits on one venue. It also shows that tokenized real-world asset trading is becoming a major part of the platform’s expansion.

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Trade.xyz also posted new records in daily activity on Monday. The platform reported $5.6 billion in 24-hour trading volume and 45,300 unique daily traders.

The most active pairs on the platform are tied to tokenized traditional assets. WTI oil led with $1.27 billion in 24-hour volume, followed by Brent oil at $1.04 billion and silver at $1.01 billion.

This pattern shows that traders are using the platform to gain exposure to commodities through perpetual markets. The product allows them to trade these assets at any hour rather than waiting for standard market sessions.

That round-the-clock structure has become more relevant during periods of market stress. Recent tension in the Middle East increased volatility in oil prices, and that pushed more traders toward platforms offering “24/7 trading capability” for ongoing price discovery.

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HYPE gains as ecosystem growth continues

Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, has also moved higher as activity on the platform increased. At the time of reporting, HYPE traded at $38.3, up 2.8% over the past 24 hours and 30.6% over the past 30 days.

The token’s move has come alongside rising platform revenue. As Crypto News reported, Hyperliquid is generating about $14 million in weekly fees, while some analysts say HYPE still trades below levels seen in comparable centralized exchange-style businesses.

The platform is also preparing for another product expansion. Hyperliquid recently introduced HIP-4, which would allow “permissionless prediction market listings” and could widen the range of tradable markets on the network.

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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BTC finds stability at 2023 investor cost basis, echoing past cycle

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Realized Price (Glassnode)

Bitcoin recently found support at a key onchain metric — the average realized price for a specific year — in this case the 2023 cost basis.

The 2023 average realized price currently sits around $63,700. During the local bottom in early February, when bitcoin dropped roughly 50% from its October all-time high, to roughly $60,000, price effectively tested and held this level as support.

This behavior mirrors the previous cycle. In early 2023, as the bull run began, bitcoin experienced several small corrections and repeatedly used the 2023 realized price as support. This can be observed in March, July, and September 2023, when price consolidated in the $20,000 to $26,000 range.

Looking at newer cohorts, the 2026 average realized price started the year near $90,000 and has since declined to around $77,000. With bitcoin currently trading just above $70,000, the average 2026 buyer is underwater. Notably, this cohort’s cost basis has also fallen below both the 2024 cohort at $81,500 and the 2025 cohort at $96,400.

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Zooming out further, the aggregate realized price, which represents the average cost basis of all coins in circulation, is currently around $54,360. Historically, bitcoin has traded below this level in every major bear market, including 2011, 2015, 2019, and 2022.

So far in this cycle, bitcoin’s lowest price has been around $60,000. If that level fails, it becomes the next key support to watch, with the realized price at $54,000 acting as a deeper historical floor.

Realized Price (Glassnode)
Realized Price (Glassnode)

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Hesai Group (HSAI) Stock Rallies as Company Achieves Milestone Profitability in 2025

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Highlights

  • Company achieves milestone profitability with RMB436M net income for 2025.

  • Unit deliveries surge to 1.6M, with projections surpassing 4M for 2026.

  • Partnerships with leading Chinese automakers drive multiple-lidar vehicle designs.

  • Robotics sector expansion accelerates through Unitree, Dreame, and MOVA alliances.

  • FMC500 chip launch and NVIDIA partnership advance technological capabilities.

Hesai Group (HSAI) experienced upward momentum, closing at $23.58 with a 3.19% increase. Trading activity pushed shares toward $23.80 before pre-market sessions revealed a decline to $22.57, representing a 4.28% drop. The fluctuation occurred after Hesai disclosed comprehensive 2025 earnings data and outlined production targets for 2026.

Hesai Group, HSAI

The company reached its inaugural year of GAAP-compliant profitability, propelled by robust sales performance and disciplined expense control. Unit deliveries expanded threefold beyond 1.6 million, generating total revenues that surpassed RMB3 billion (approximately US$433 million). Financial disclosures revealed GAAP net earnings of RMB436 million (roughly US$62 million) alongside non-GAAP earnings reaching RMB551 million (about US$79 million).

Balance sheet strength improved with net assets climbing to approximately RMB9 billion (US$1.3 billion), while the organization maintained positive operating cash generation for its third consecutive year. Manufacturing capacity is slated to exceed 4 million annual units throughout 2026. This aggressive scaling addresses both autonomous vehicle ADAS requirements and emerging robotics applications, accommodating increased lidar sensor density per platform.

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Automotive and Robotics Sector Momentum

Design contracts were secured with China’s entire top-tier automotive manufacturer roster, encompassing more than 160 vehicle platforms. Multiple-sensor configurations for brands including Li Auto, Xiaomi, and Changan are scheduled for manufacturing launch between 2026 and 2027. This strategic positioning establishes Hesai as a frontrunner in the industry’s shift toward multi-sensor lidar architectures.

The company successfully penetrated the affordable vehicle segment targeting models under RMB100,000, substantially widening its total addressable marketplace. Sensor technology enables autonomous navigation, collision avoidance, and driver assistance functionality across diverse platforms. Strategic objectives emphasize increasing per-vehicle sensor integration while pursuing international market penetration.

Within robotics applications, Hesai captured top rankings across humanoid systems, quadruped platforms, autonomous taxis, delivery vans, and automated lawn maintenance equipment. Strategic agreements with Unitree, Dreame, and MOVA generated significant order volumes, demonstrating robust automation sector demand. These developments signal substantial long-term revenue opportunities as global deployment volumes accelerate.

Technological Advancement and Global Alliances

November 2025 marked the debut of the FMC500 system-on-chip architecture, consolidating MCU, FPGA, and ADC components for superior operational capabilities. The redesigned ATX sensor incorporating FMC500 technology enters production during April 2026. Proprietary “Photon Isolation” technology mitigates cross-channel laser interference, elevating safety standards and system dependability.

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International expansion included designation as principal lidar provider for NVIDIA’s DRIVE Hyperion 10 reference platform. Southeast Asian market access expanded through collaboration with Grab. An intellectual property portfolio exceeding 2,071 lidar-related patents reinforces technological leadership and competitive positioning.

Management projects 2026 sensor deliveries ranging between 3 million and 3.5 million units, indicating sustained growth trajectory. Upcoming product introductions target substantial market opportunities while strengthening international presence. These coordinated strategic moves underscore organizational commitment to production scalability and application diversity across automotive and robotics verticals.

 

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Invesco (IVZ), a $2.2 trillion asset manager, joins BlackRock and peers in tokenized fund push

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Invesco (IVZ), a $2.2 trillion asset manager, joins BlackRock and peers in tokenized fund push

Invesco, a U.S.-based asset manager overseeing $2.2 trillion in assets, will take over management of Superstate’s tokenized U.S. Treasury fund in a move that brings a large traditional asset manager deeper into blockchain-based finance.

The USTB fund holds short-term U.S. government securities and represents more than $900 million in assets. It ranks among the largest tokenized Treasury funds, a fast-growing corner of the market bringing money market funds onto blockchain rails.

After the transition, expected in the second quarter of 2026, the fund will be renamed to Invesco Short Duration US Government Securities Fund while keeping its ticker and token setup.

The move marks Invesco’s formal entrance in the fast-growing, $12 billion tokenized U.S. Treasuries market, joining rival global asset managers such as BlackRock (BLK), Franklin Templeton and Fidelity Investments.

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Unlike traditional financial infrastructure, blockchain-based tokens allow near-instant settlement, transparent reserves and round-the-clock access. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has said in its annual letter that tokenization could make investing faster, cheaper and more accessible by recording ownership on digital ledgers.

“Invesco has been strategically building the capabilities required to support institutional-grade digital asset products,” said Kathleen Wrynn, Invesco’s global head of digital Assets. “Superstate’s onchain infrastructure pairs naturally to support Invesco’s ambitions to scale tokenized offerings over time.”

The USTB tokenized fund will keep its structure and strategy under Invesco’s banner, while Superstate will continue to run the fund’s technology layer. That includes issuing fund shares as tokens, settling transactions onchain and maintaining a digital transfer agent system.

Invesco will handle day-to-day investment decisions through its global liquidity team, which manages over $200 billion in short-term assets.

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Read more: BlackRock is betting billions that tokenized funds will do for Wall Street what the internet did to mail

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Central-bank money needed to scale stablecoins, tokenized deposits

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European Central Bank Executive Board member Piero Cipollone warned that tokenized deposits and stablecoins in Europe will only scale if they rest on tokenized central bank money as a public settlement anchor. In remarks delivered in Brussels, Cipollone pointed to Pontes, the Eurosystem’s distributed ledger technology settlement initiative, which aims to connect market DLT platforms with the Eurosystem’s TARGET Services and settle transactions in central bank money.

The ECB has signaled that Pontes could be launched in the third quarter of 2026, enabling market participants to settle DLT-based transactions using central bank money. The comments extend the ECB’s broader Appia initiative, which the central bank outlined on March 11 as a blueprint for a future European tokenized financial ecosystem by 2028.

Related: The ECB has been advancing work on tokenization and digital finance, including efforts around the digital euro and related settlement infrastructure.

Key takeaways

  • Tokenized financial assets in Europe would require tokenized central bank money to serve as a low-risk settlement anchor, reducing exposure to price volatility or credit risk.
  • Pontes, the Eurosystem’s DLT settlement initiative, aims to interlink market DLT platforms with central bank payment rails, with a planned initial launch in Q3 2026.
  • The Appia roadmap seeks to establish interoperability standards so tokenized assets can transfer smoothly across different DLT ecosystems, supported by standardized data formats and smart contract protocols.
  • Beyond technology, Cipollone underscored the need for a coherent legal framework and stronger public-private collaboration to support tokenized markets at scale.
  • Regulatory progress is underway, but industry participants—along with issuers of stablecoins—are pressing for broader guidance, including expansion of the DLT Pilot Regime and related cash account services for authorized providers.

Tokenized markets hinge on central bank settlement rails

In his Brussels address, Cipollone framed the issue around the core risk that currently limits scale: when a seller of a tokenized security is paid in an asset they would rather not hold, the resulting counterparty risk and volatility can chill adoption. He emphasized that central bank money can serve as a stable, trusted settlement asset, mitigating liquidity and credit concerns that might otherwise deter market participants from embracing tokenized instruments. The stance aligns with a broader ECB push to anchor tokenized finance in public money while maintaining market resilience.

As part of this vision, Pontes is described as a bridge between private market platforms and the Eurosystem’s settlement rails. If successful, the project would make it feasible to settle tokenized trades directly in central bank money, enhancing finality and reducing settlement risk across Europe’s growing tokenized ecosystem.

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Appia: interoperability as the backbone of a tokenized Europe

The Appia initiative, introduced by the ECB, is designed to provide a blueprint for a European tokenized financial infrastructure through 2028. A central pillar is an interoperability standard for assets, enabling cross-platform transfers of tokenized securities and other instruments. In practice, this means harmonizing data formats and smart contract standards so that tokenized assets can move between DLT networks without bespoke bridge solutions.

Cipollone urged market infrastructure operators, banks, custodians and technology providers to engage with the Appia roadmap, offering feedback to help foster broader public-private partnerships. The underlying expectation is that a shared standard will reduce fragmentation, lower integration costs and accelerate adoption across European markets.

Legal clarity and the regulatory path forward

Beyond technology, Cipollone argued that Europe needs a more explicit legal framework to support tokenized issuance and transfer across the bloc. He flagged that while Appia and other initiatives push the technical envelope, a coherent regulatory foundation is essential to prevent a patchwork of rules that could hinder scalable settlement infrastructure.

The European Commission’s proposal to extend the DLT Pilot Regime was described as an important step, yet Cipollone cautioned that without a comprehensive tokenization framework, the region risks building high-value settlement infrastructure atop inconsistent rules. In this context, a dedicated legal framework for tokenized assets could help harmonize issuance, transfer and custody across member states.

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Industry response and the next steps

The interview comes on the heels of industry activity responding to Europe’s tokenization push. Recently, stablecoin issuer Circle submitted feedback to the European Commission’s Market Integration Package, urging lawmakers to broaden the DLT Pilot Regime and to allow e-money token cash accounts for authorized crypto-asset service providers. The broader takeaway from market participants is a call for practical, scalable paths to tokenized finance, rather than piecemeal reforms that complicate cross-border settlement.

Looking ahead, the ECB’s public-private collaboration around Appia, the Pontes settlement rails, and the evolving legal framework will be in focus for institutions seeking to participate in Europe’s tokenized finance era. As with any large-scale infrastructural shift, progress will likely hinge on coordinated industry input, regulatory clarity and tangible pilot outcomes.

Readers should watch upcoming updates on Pontes’ pilot milestones and the Appia roadmap’s public consultation cycles. While the Q3 2026 launch window is a concrete near-term milestone, the broader question remains: can Europe converge on a unified framework that makes tokenized central bank money the default settlement anchor for tokenized markets?

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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