Crypto World
Why Critics of Hyperliquid and Its Rivals Keep Facing Backlash
An analysis by Coinglass comparing perpetual decentralized exchange (perp DEX) data has sparked fierce debate and, in the process, highlighted rifts within the crypto derivatives sector.
The study exposed marked discrepancies in trading volumes, open interest, and liquidations across Hyperliquid, Aster, and Lighter. Users are left asking what qualifies as genuine trading activity on these platforms.
Coinglass Data Sparks Debate Over Authentic Trading on Perpetual DEXs
Coinglass is facing backlash after publishing a comparison of perp DEXs, questioning whether reported trading volumes across parts of the sector reflect genuine market activity.
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A 24-hour snapshot comparing Hyperliquid, Aster, and Lighter shows that:
- Hyperliquid recorded approximately $3.76 billion in trading volume, $4.05 billion in open interest, and $122.96 million in liquidations.
- Aster posted $2.76 billion in volume, $927 million in open interest, and $7.2 million in liquidations
- Lighter reported $1.81 billion in volume, $731 million in open interest, and $3.34 million in liquidations.
According to Coinglass, such discrepancies can matter. In perpetual futures markets, high trading volume driven by leveraged positions typically correlates with open-interest dynamics and liquidation activity during price moves.
The firm suggested that, rather than organic hedging demand, the combination of high reported volume and relatively low liquidations may indicate:
- Incentive-driven trading
- Market-maker looping, or
- Points farming.
Based on this, Coinglass concludes that Hyperliquid showed stronger internal consistency across key metrics.
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Meanwhile, the volume quality of some competitors warrants further validation using indicators such as funding rates, fees, order-book depth, and active trader counts.
“Conclusion…Hyperliquid shows much stronger consistency between volume, OI, and liquidations — a better signal of real activity. Meanwhile, Aster/Lighter’s volume quality needs further validation (vs fees, funding, orderbook depth, and active traders),” the analytics platform indicated.
Critics Push Back, but Coinglass Defends Its Position
However, critics argue that conclusions drawn from a single-day snapshot could be misleading. Specifically, they suggest alternative explanations for the data, including whale positioning, algorithmic differences between platforms, and variations in market structure that could influence liquidation patterns without implying inflated volume.
Others questioned whether liquidation totals alone are a reliable indicator of market health, noting that higher liquidations can also reflect aggressive leverage or volatile trading conditions.
Meanwhile, Coinglass rejects accusations that its analysis amounted to speculation or fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD), emphasizing that its conclusions were based on publicly available data.
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“Coinglass simply highlighted a few discrepancies based on publicly available data. We didn’t expect that a neutral, data-driven observation would trigger such hostile reactions,” the firm wrote, adding that open discussion and tolerance for criticism are essential for the industry to improve.
In another response, Coinglass stressed that disagreements should be addressed with stronger evidence rather than accusations.
The firm also argued that higher leverage ceilings on some platforms could make them structurally more prone to forced liquidations. This outlook shifts the debate away from raw numbers toward exchange design and risk management.
A Pattern of Backlash in the Perp DEX Sector: What Counts as “Real” Activity?
The controversy comes amid a broader wave of disputes surrounding Hyperliquid and the perpetual DEX market.
Earlier, Kyle Samani, co-founder of Multicoin Capital, publicly criticized Hyperliquid, raising concerns about transparency, governance, and its closed-source elements.
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His remarks triggered strong reactions from traders and supporters of the platform, many of whom dismissed the criticism and questioned his motives.
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes further escalated the feud by proposing a $100,000 charity bet, challenging Samani to select any major altcoin with a market cap above $1 billion to compete against Hyperliquid’s HYPE token in performance over several months.
The dispute highlights a deeper issue facing crypto derivatives markets: the lack of standardized metrics for evaluating activity across DEXes.
Trading volume has long served as a headline indicator of success. However, the rise of incentive programs, airdrop campaigns, and liquidity-mining strategies has complicated the interpretation of those figures.
As new perp DEX platforms launch and competition intensifies, metrics such as open interest, liquidation patterns, leverage levels, and order-book depth are becoming central to assessing market integrity.
This Coinglass incident mirrors how data itself has become a battleground amid a sector driven by both numbers and narratives. Therefore, the debate over what those numbers truly mean is likely to intensify as the perpetual futures market continues to grow.
A wallet linked to the $50 million Infini exploit has become active again nearly a year after the breach, snapping up Ether during last week’s market downturn before routing the funds through a crypto mixing service.
The Infini exploiter-labelled wallet address bought $13.3 million worth of Ether (ETH) as the price dropped to $2,109 before sending the funds to crypto mixing protocol Tornado Cash, according to blockchain data platform Arkham.
“He seems very good at buying low and selling high,” blockchain tracking service Lookonchain said in a Monday X post.
The activity marked the wallet’s first known transactions since August 2025, when the same address sold about $7.4 million worth of Ether near $4,202, close to the asset’s yearly high at the time.
Infini exploiter buys ETH dip after massive liquidations
The renewed activity comes against the backdrop of a sharp market selloff. Crypto markets logged their 10th-largest liquidation event on record last week, with roughly $2.56 billion in leveraged positions wiped out, according to data from Coinglass.
Related: Wallet linked to alleged US seizure theft launches memecoin, crashes 97%
Ether’s price briefly sank to $1,811 on Thursday, marking a nine-month low last seen at the beginning of May 2025, TradingView data shows.
The acquisition comes a year after stablecoin payment company Infini lost $50 million in an exploit suspected to have been conducted by a rogue developer who retained administrative privileges after project delivery, Cointelegraph reported in February 2025.
The stolen USDC (USDC) was immediately swapped for Dai (DAI) stablecoins that have no freeze function. The latest transactions show that the attacker is still at large with the $50 million, using it to chase more profits through cryptocurrency trading.
The ETH purchase suggests the exploiter is still actively trading the proceeds of the attack, rather than exiting entirely into stablecoins.
Related: Bitcoin dips to $60K, TRM Labs becomes crypto unicorn: Finance Redefined
Infini launches Hong Kong lawsuit against developer
A month after the exploit, Inifini filed a Hong Kong lawsuit against a developer and several unidentified individuals suspected of involvement in the $50 million breach.
In a March 24 onchain message to the attacker, Infini named developer Chen Shanxuan and three unidentified persons with access to wallets involved in the exploit as defendants in the lawsuit.
The Hong Kong court also sent an injunction order via an onchain message to the attacker’s wallet, including a writ of summons for the defendants.
Infini previously offered 20% of the bounty to the hackers responsible for the attack, upon return of the stolen funds. The protocol claimed it had gathered IP and device information about the exploiters.
Cointelegraph reached out to Infini for comment on progress related to the legal dispute and the recovery of the stolen funds, but had not received a response by publication.
Magazine: Meet the onchain crypto detectives fighting crime better than the cops
January’s “fake rally” ended with Bitcoin losing its $84k floor as smart money sold into ETF euphoria, rebuilt stablecoin war chests, and shifted to defensive accumulation, according to a new monthly report published by Finestel.
Summary
- Finestel says tourists chased “Trump QE” ETF flows as BTC spiked toward $98k, before Fed and Iran shocks sent Bitcoin crashing while gold hit new highs.
- BTC’s close near $77,195 trapped ~1.2m coins at a loss, while ETH broke $2,900 support, saw a 26% January drop, and on-chain realized losses topped $400m per day.
- Pro desks raised stablecoin allocations from ~5% to 28% and now favor a 55% BTC, 35% stables mix, treating $75k–$77k as support and $84k as the line to re-risk.
According to a new monthly report published by Finestel, January’s “great decoupling” was brutal, but it was not blind chaos. It was a month in which retail chased the “digital gold” myth while smart money quietly sold into them and raised cash at the top.
From Trump QE euphoria to Warsh shock
The year opened with what Finestel calls a “fake rally,” as roughly $1.42 billion rushed into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs on the back of “Trump QE” hopes and easy-money fantasies. “This was just tourists chasing a trend, not believers,” the report notes, as BTC ripped back toward $90,000 and briefly tested $98,000. Then came the double hit: Kevin Warsh emerging as Fed Chair favorite and rapidly escalating Iran tensions, which flipped the tape from risk-on to full risk-off almost overnight. Gold powered to fresh highs above $5,500 while Bitcoin “acted like a risky tech stock and crashed,” shattering the digital gold story for now.
Broken floors and forced sellers
Technically, the key event was the loss of the long‑defended $84,000 floor in Bitcoin. By month-end, BTC closed near $77,195, effectively trapping about 1.2 million coins at an unrealized loss and turning that supply into heavy overhead resistance. “We are no longer in a ‘buy the dip’ environment; until proven otherwise, we have entered a ‘sell the rip’ structure,” Finestel warns. Ethereum fared worse, ending January down 26% as the ETH/BTC ratio slid to multi‑year lows and the $2,900 support gave way, opening “the door to lower prices around $2,200” despite a $104 million ETH buy from Bitmine that the market simply faded. On‑chain, the reset was violent: short‑term holders were dumping at roughly $400 million in daily realized losses, while Jan. 31 alone saw $2.53 billion in liquidations, 88% from longs.
Smart money’s defensive rotation
Against this backdrop, Finestel’s asset‑manager data show professionals were not caught flat‑footed. “While the broader market chased the $95,000 breakout, professional desks on Finestel were already executing a quiet exit,” the report states. Stablecoin balances that had been run down to 5.2% in early January were methodically rebuilt, climbing to 18.5% as ETF inflows peaked and then to 28.4% by the time the late‑month liquidation cascade hit. “This wasn’t luck; it was a disciplined execution of ‘selling the rip,’” Finestel writes, arguing that January “transferred wealth from weak ETF hands to strong corporate balance sheets.”
Policy tailwinds beneath the pain
Ironically, January’s price carnage arrived as the regulatory backdrop turned more constructive. In Washington, the White House signaled support for a “Bitcoin Strategic Reserve,” indicating it plans to stop dumping seized BTC and instead hold it as a strategic asset. Japan moved to cut crypto investor taxes toward 20%, while South Korea lifted its ban on corporate crypto investing and layered in stronger consumer protections, steps Clifford Chance described as part of a broader “global crypto regulatory maturation” through January. Even privacy assets caught a bid, with softer rhetoric around privacy coins helping tokens like NIGHT “perform better than the rest of the market” despite the broader drawdown.
February: defensive accumulation, not hero trades
With leverage flushed and “tourists” blown out, Finestel’s playbook for February is deliberately dull: “Defensive Accumulation.” Top managers favor keeping roughly 55% in Bitcoin, 35% in cash‑like stablecoins, and a small residual for selective altcoin exposure, treating the $75,000–$77,000 band as the institutional line in the sand and $84,000 as the trigger to re‑risk. “The bottom is a process, not a single moment,” they argue, advising investors to “stay liquid, stay patient, and let the price come to you.”
Meanwhile, spot action reflects that bruised but functioning market. Bitcoin (BTC) trades near $70,746, with a 24‑hour range between roughly $60,256 and $71,604 and about $132.2B in volume. Ethereum (ETH) changes hands close to $2,062, with 24‑hour turnover over $64.1B and intraday prints between roughly $1,756 and $2,085. Solana (SOL) sits around $86, essentially flat on the day after a 35% monthly drawdown and a seven‑day range of roughly $75.76–$104.98 as derivatives activity and open interest grind lower.
Crypto exchange BingX spends $300m on AI tools to turn macro, gold, and crypto volatility into personalized, multi-asset trading decisions.
Summary
In a year when crypto markets trade at macro speed, BingX is betting that the next edge will come from artificial intelligence woven into the plumbing of the exchange, not bolted on as an afterthought. The platform has committed $300 million to AI over the long term, positioning itself as what it calls an “all‑in AI” venue that treats automation as core infrastructure rather than marketing gloss.
BingX’s internal suite runs across multiple models, coordinated by specialized agents mapped to distinct points in the trading process.
Two flagship tools, BingX AI Bingo and BingX AI Master, are designed as decision‑support layers rather than execution engines, with AI Bingo acting as a conversational “trading idea generator” that scans more than 1,000 market pairs and surfaces scenarios, support and resistance levels, and probability forecasts.
“The outcome is an experience that feels less like software and more like a companion who understands you,” BingX product leadership has said of AI Master’s adaptive design, which learns risk tolerance and adjusts recommendations in real time.
This pivot is unfolding just as crypto venues pull in traditional instruments like precious metals and tokenized equity exposure, allowing traders to watch gold, oil, and Bitcoin from a single AI‑powered interface around a major macro release.
UBS has recently raised its gold price target to $6,200 per ounce for March, June and September 2026, while still expecting prices to ease slightly to $5,900 by year‑end, underscoring sustained institutional demand for precious metals even as tokenized versions migrate onto exchange rails. BingX argues that routing these assets through blockchain settlement improves traceability, while AI helps traders read macro‑driven moves across asset classes rather than in isolated order books.
The scale is already non‑trivial: BingX reports more than $2 billion in 24‑hour trading volume in its traditional‑market products alone and says its AI tools have attracted millions of users, with a broader ecosystem now claiming over 40 million accounts globally. As analysts frame AI‑supported, multi‑asset environments as a baseline expectation for 2026, the competitive battlefield is shifting away from raw speed toward interpretation, risk assessment, and personalization. In that contest, BingX’s wager is blunt: the exchanges that win the next decade will be those that turn correlated, cross‑asset noise into usable decisions—secure, simple, and responsive enough to keep pace with markets that no longer sleep.
Broader crypto market reactions
This parabolic move comes as digital assets continue to trade as the purest expression of macro risk appetite. Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering around $70,961, with 24‑hour turnover near $42.3B. Ethereum (ETH) changes hands close to $2,095, on roughly $20.9B in 24‑hour volume. Solana (SOL) trades around $87.6, with about $3.6B in day‑long activity. For BingX and its rivals, those flows are the proving ground for whether AI‑native exchanges can genuinely help traders keep up.coinmarketcap+3
Related coverage: BingX’s rollout of AI Master as a crypto trading “strategist,” a deep dive into the exchange’s AI Bingo and AI Master stack, and the latest UBS upgrade to its 2026 gold price targets as macro demand for safe‑haven assets accelerates.
Bitcoin plunged early this month to nearly $60,000, wiping out large chunks of value across the crypto market and vaporizing some trading funds.
Most observers pinned the slide on macro forces, including the capitulation of spot ETF holders (and potential rumors of funds blowing out their positions). Yet another, quieter force, one that typically keeps trading running smoothly, likely played a major role in crashing the spot price lower.
That force is the market makers, or dealers, who continuously post buy and sell orders in the order book when you trade, keeping liquidity strong so trades happen smoothly without significant delays or price jumps. They are always on the opposite end of investors’ trades and make money from the bid-ask spread, the small gap between the buy price (bid) and the sell price (ask) of an asset, without gambling on whether prices will rise or fall.
They hedge their exposure to price volatility by buying and selling actual assets (such as bitcoin) or related derivatives. And sometimes, these hedging activities end up accelerating the ongoing move.
That’s what happened between Feb. 4 and Feb. 7 as bitcoin fell from $77,000 to nearly $60,000, according to Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research.
This episode shows bitcoin’s options market increasingly swaying its spot price, mirroring traditional markets where market makers quietly amplify volatility.
According to Thielen, options market makers were “short gamma” between $60,000 and $75,000, meaning they held bags of short (call or put) options at these levels without enough hedges or protective bets. This left them vulnerable to price volatility around these levels.
As bitcoin fell below $75,000, these market makers sold BTC in the spot or futures markets to rebalance their hedges and stay price-neutral, injecting extra selling pressure in the market.
“The presence of approximately $1.5 billion in negative options gamma between $75,000 and $60,000 played a critical role in accelerating Bitcoin’s decline and helps explain why the market rebounded sharply once the final large gamma cluster near $60,000 was triggered and absorbed,” Thielen said in a note to clients Friday.
“Negative gamma means that options dealers, who are typically the counterparties to investors buying options, are forced to hedge in the same direction as the underlying price move. In this case, as Bitcoin declined to the $60,000–$75,000 range, dealers became increasingly short gamma, which required them to sell bitcoin as prices fell to remain hedged,” he explained.
In other words, hedging by market makers established a self-feeding cycle of falling prices, forcing dealers to sell more, which further pushed prices lower.
Note that market makers’ hedging isn’t always bearish. In late 2023, they were similarly short options above $36,000. As Bitcoin’s spot price rose past that level, they bought BTC to rebalance, sparking a rapid rally above $40,000.
TLDR
- Cliff token unlocks from CONX, AVAX, APT, and STRK will inject over $56 million into the market this week.
- STRK leads cliff unlock volume with 127 million tokens valued at $6.28 million.
- RAIN dominates linear unlocks, releasing $86.65 million in value, 2.59% of its total supply.
- SOL and CC follow with daily token unlocks valued at $41.52 million and $32.34 million, respectively.
- Combined cliff and linear token unlocks exceed $278 million, impacting short-term liquidity across multiple assets.
This week, the market will brace for token unlocks from February 9 to February 16 across Cliff and Linear token unlocks. These unlocks will introduce over $278 million worth of tokens into circulation, potentially impacting short-term market behavior.
Cliff Token Unlocks Set to Inject Over $56 Million
According to a summary prepared by Wu Blockchain, in the cliff token unlocks category, four major projects will release notable token volumes. CONX will unlock 1.32 million tokens worth $15.72 million, accounting for 1.56% of its adjusted released supply.
AVAX will release 2.37 million tokens, valued at $21.51 million, increasing its supply by 0.45%. APT is scheduled to unlock 12.46 million tokens worth $13.32 million, contributing 0.76% to circulation. STRK will release the largest amount by volume, unlocking 127 million tokens valued at $6.28 million, which equals 4.61% of its supply.
Linear Token Unlocks to Release Over $221 Million
On the other hand, linear token unlocks began today and will continue until February 16. RAIN will unlock 9.45 billion tokens worth $86.65 million, representing 2.59% of its supply. SOL will release 477,990 tokens, valued at $41.52 million, representing only 0.08% of its supply.
CC will unlock 191.71 million tokens valued at $32.34 million, adding 0.46% to circulation. TRUMP will release 6.33 million tokens worth $21.26 million, equal to 1.30% of the supply.
RIVER will inject 1.25 million tokens, worth $15.77 million, into the market, representing 3.17% of the adjusted supply. WLD will release 37.23 million tokens valued at $14.8 million, representing 0.80% of the total supply. DOGE rounds off the list with 94.8 million tokens worth $9.16 million, impacting only 0.06%.
These token unlocks signal an increase in liquid supply for multiple assets. Cliff token unlocks introduce abrupt liquidity events, while linear unlocks apply steady distribution pressure. RAIN, SOL, and AVAX dominate in terms of value, while STRK and RIVER lead in percentage impact.
Crypto discussions often default to token price, market cap, and short-term performance. But if tokens are taken out of the equation entirely, what actually remains valuable?
In an interview with BeInCrypto, Ryan Chow, CEO and co-founder of Solv Protocol, said that if tokens stopped mattering tomorrow, priorities would snap back to fundamentals. He also shared 3 crypto protocols he believes would still clearly matter in 2026, even if tokens no longer existed.
Are Token Prices a Reliable Measure of Value in Crypto?
Crypto is often defined by its tokens and volatile price swings. Much of the industry conversation revolves around price speculation.
What top coins will do next, when altcoin season might begin, or which token could be the next 100x winner? These narratives dominate headlines, social media, and market sentiment.
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While prices dominate mindshare, what do they actually say about whether a project is actually working, being used, or delivering real value?
Chow mentioned that price can be informative when it’s backed by sustained usage and revenue. However, most of the time, he described it as a “lagging, noisy proxy.”
The real test, he said, is when it’s backed by sustained usage and revenue, and becomes infrastructure that people build on, and institutions can trust, regardless of market charts.
“Token price tells you what the market feels, not whether the system works,” he stated.
According to Chow, price movements often run ahead of fundamentals or diverge from them entirely. Tokens can rally on expectations alone, while protocols that are steadily gaining adoption may see little immediate price reaction.
He added that a project’s real progress is better measured by the strength of its infrastructure, the security of its operations, and its ability to earn trust from institutional participants. Chow explained that if tokens are removed:
“Value then comes down to adoption, usability and security. Metrics like onchain adoption, integration with other protocols, compliance readiness and the ability to scale reliably for institutions are far stronger signals of impact than market cap alone.”
What User and Developer Behavior Looks Like Without Crypto Tokens
But if tokens, and with them trading, were to disappear, would users leave as well? Chow suggested that without the ability to profit from holding or trading tokens, most speculative activity would vanish almost immediately.
This includes momentum trading, airdrop, points farming, mercenary liquidity, and governance.
“What would remain is purely instrumental use: stablecoins for payments and treasury, onchain credit for capital efficiency, and institutions using verifiable rails for issuance and collateral. I am seeing genuine demand in crypto for capabilities, settlement, custody, verification, distribution, and risk-managed yield, not for tokens. This tells us that real utility is what sustains a project beyond price incentives,” he told BeInCrypto.
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The executive also stressed that such a theoretical scenario would fundamentally shift developer priorities. According to Chow, token performance has pushed builders to focus on short-term gains rather than long-term infrastructure.
The current structure rewards what is easiest to market, such as new narratives, incentives, points programs, and short-term total value locked (TVL), rather than what is hardest to build: security, risk controls, reliability, and clear unit economics.
“If tokens stopped mattering tomorrow, priorities would snap back to fundamentals. Builders would focus on systems that earn trust, such as verifiable reserves and accounting, execution and management, auditability, uptime, governance, and compliance-ready workflows. You’d see more work on distribution rails across wallets, exchange integrations, settlements, identity, and business models that work on fees,” he remarked.
Lending, Settlement, and Custody as Core Crypto Use Cases
Chow also argued that crypto would continue to exist even in the absence of tokens.
“In a token-agnostic world, crypto survives as paid infrastructure, with revenue tied to measurable work,” he commented.
He pointed to several business models that are already operating sustainably. These include usage-based fees for settlement, execution, minting, and routing, as well as financial primitives such as lending protocols. According to him,
“One of the most proven sustainable revenue models in DeFi is lending protocols. Well-designed lending protocols generate revenue through interest rate spreads and borrower fees, with income scaling based on utilisation and risk management rather than token emissions.”
Chow noted that even during periods of market volatility, demand for leverage, hedging, and liquidity tends to persist, allowing these systems to continue generating revenue.
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Chow also highlighted infrastructure designed for institutional use as among the most resilient segments of the industry. Services such as custody, compliance, reporting, and payments are typically paid for in fiat or stablecoins and are adopted to reduce operational and regulatory risk. In weaker market conditions, he said, these services often remain the primary bridge between traditional finance and crypto.
“Another sustainable revenue model is to incorporate transactional infrastructure fees. Blockchains and settlement layers that charge for real activity, such as processing transactions or facilitating cross-chain transfers, generate revenue regardless of the market sentiment, making it sustainable even in the face of speculation, hedging, or arbitrage,” he remarked.
Ultimately, Chow argued that any system capable of reliably solving real-world problems and integrating into enterprise workflows can sustain itself, regardless of token performance or market cycles.
Which Crypto Projects Would Still Matter in 2026 Without Tokens?
The question now becomes which crypto protocols would still clearly matter in 2026 if tokens were removed entirely. Chow told BeInCrypto that the answer lies in identifying projects that have built real economic infrastructure that solves actual problems. He pointed to 3 protocols:
1. Chainlink
First, Chow pointed to Chainlink. He detailed that it would remain essential because it provides critical data infrastructure underpinning much of the crypto ecosystem.
DeFi protocols rely on accurate and secure price feeds to function properly. Without reliable oracles, basic activities such as liquidations, derivatives settlement, and asset pricing become unsafe.
He claimed that Chainlink has emerged as the de facto standard for oracle services, processing billions of dollars in transaction value. Chow emphasized that even without the LINK token, protocols would continue paying for these services in stablecoins or Ethereum (ETH).
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“Because the alternative is building inferior oracle systems themselves or facing catastrophic failures from bad data. Institutions and protocols would continue paying for Chainlink’s verifiable, tamper-proof data feeds because the cost of not having them is existential.”
2. Canton Network
Second, Chow highlighted the Canton Network. He argued that its relevance is driven by institutional demand for privacy combined with regulatory compliance.
According to Chow, Canton provides a regulated settlement layer where BTC-backed positions can move without exposing sensitive counterparties or proprietary strategies. The executive revealed that its value is still clear, institutional coordination, and settlement funded by enterprise usage and validator/service fees.
“It would survive because its demand is structural (regulated workflows don’t disappear in bear markets) and its economics are usage-funded (enterprise adoption and validator/service fees), not dependent on speculation,” he suggested.
3. Circle
Third, Chow said Circle would continue to matter in a tokenless crypto space. USDC, he noted, has become foundational infrastructure for crypto payments, treasury management, and cross-border settlement.
For banks and enterprises seeking a reliable and regulated digital dollar, USDC has emerged as a trusted settlement option. Without a native token to manage or distribute, Chow described Circle as essentially a modern financial utility that earns spreads on deposits.
As demand for instant, programmable dollars capable of moving globally around the clock continues to grow, he argued that Circle could potentially thrive in a token-agnostic world by continuing to solve real financial problems.
Overall, Chow’s comments present an alternative framework for assessing value in crypto that places less emphasis on token price and more on usage, infrastructure, and operational reliability.
His views suggest that, in the absence of token-driven incentives, projects with sustained adoption, clear revenue models, and institutional relevance would be better positioned to remain relevant over time.
Tom Lee’s Bitmine has moved closer to its goal of acquiring 5% of the total supply with its latest 20K ETH purchase. But a bearish flag pattern confirmed on the weekly ETH/USDT chart suggests a potential price correction for Ethereum may be imminent.
Summary
- Tom Lee’s Bitmine has acquired 20,000 ETH for $41.98 million.
- Market demand generated from spot Ethereum ETFs remains weak.
- A bearish head and shoulders pattern was confirmed on the weekly chart.
Bitmine, the tech-focused infrastructure company run by renowned market strategist Tom Lee, had acquired another 20,000 ETH worth $41.98 million over the weekend. The move follows its acquisition of over 40,000 ETH in late January, valued at approximately $117 million at that time.
Following Bitmine’s latest purchase, the company’s total reserves now stand at nearly 4.29 million ETH, making it nearly 71% complete with its goal of owning at least 5% of the total circulating supply.
In contrast to the debt-fueled acquisition strategy popularized by Michael Saylor’s Strategy, Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) maintains a pristine, zero-debt balance sheet bolstered by over $586 million in cash and short-term liquidity.
The company’s most strategic pivot, however, is the transition to active Ethereum staking. By putting its massive ETH treasury to work, Bitmine is positioned to generate over $500 million in annual high-margin revenue, provided staking yields hold above the 2.5% threshold.
When large institutional players like Bitmine continue to gobble up supply, it typically tends to create a supply shock, which helps support price floors in the long run.
However, the overall outlook for Ethereum still remains precarious as a number of bearish catalysts may continue to overshadow any optimism generated by big buys.
First, the Ethereum (ETH) price has remained in a steady downtrend since mid January, dropping over 45% to nearly $1,800 last week. This decline came about as the broader market remained gripped by fear, as macroeconomic and geopolitical volatility combined with massive recurring liquidations continued to keep investor appetite at bay.
Second, spot Ethereum ETFs, which had previously served as a primary bullish driver, have been witnessing back-to-back outflow months since November of last year. These investment products have shed over $2.5 billion in that period alone, and any further outflows could erode retail confidence and often make traders reevaluate their positions.
Third, the total value locked on the Ethereum network has fallen to $57 billion, which is significantly lower than the $98 billion recorded in October of last year. Declining TVL means reduced on-chain utility and could likely sour the sentiment of traders and hence further dampen the recovery.
On the weekly chart, Ethereum price has confirmed a head and shoulders pattern as it fell below a key support level at $2,800 last month. The pattern is formed of three distinct peaks, where the middle peak is the highest, and the two outside peaks are relatively equal in height. It is widely considered one of the most popular bearish reversal patterns in technical analysis.
At press time, the Ethereum price was trading close to $2,000, which is another key psychological support level that could largely dictate market sentiment for weeks to come.
A sharp drop below this crucial floor could trigger a deeper slide toward $1,000, which represents the next major historical support. Prices could even fall as low as $800, a bearish target calculated by subtracting the total height of the head from the point at which the price broke below the neckline of the pattern.
Several technical indicators seem to support this grim prediction. Notably, the MACD lines remain stuck under the zero line and are currently pointing downward, indicating strong selling momentum, while the supertrend indicator has flashed a clear red signal.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Bitcoin traders are heading into a macro-heavy week, with four US economic events expected to shape sentiment across crypto markets.
With Bitcoin trading in a volatile range and macro narratives dominating market psychology, traders are increasingly treating economic releases as short-term catalysts that can trigger sharp moves in both directions.
Which US Economic Signals Should Bitcoin and Crypto Investors Watch This Week?
A Federal Reserve (Fed) governor’s media appearance, key labor-market data, weekly unemployment claims, and January inflation figures could all influence expectations around interest rates and liquidity—two of the strongest drivers of Bitcoin’s price cycles.
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Fed Governor Stephen Miran Interview in Focus
Markets will first look to comments from Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran, who is scheduled to appear in a podcast interview on Monday, February 9. Ahead of the 5:00 p.m. ET. appearance, there is already mixed sentiment across the crypto community, especially amid broader market caution.
Some market participants point to Miran’s relatively constructive view on stablecoins, arguing that regulatory clarity and dollar-linked digital assets could indirectly support Bitcoin by strengthening the broader crypto ecosystem and institutional participation.
Others see risk. Speculation that Miran could play a larger role in future Fed leadership has already coincided with bouts of volatility in both precious metals and crypto. This reflects fears that tighter policy could weigh on inflation-hedge narratives.
At the same time, some macro analysts have described Miran as more dovish than many of his peers, citing past arguments in favor of substantial rate cuts to support the labor market.
Any signals in that direction could lift sentiment in risk assets, particularly Bitcoin, which remains highly sensitive to liquidity expectations.
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US Employment Report Could Drive “Bad News Is Good News” Narrative
Attention will shift on Wednesday, February 11, to the US employment report, one of the most closely watched indicators of economic health and monetary-policy direction.
Forecasts suggest relatively modest job growth, potentially reaching 55,000 from the previous 50,000. Weaker-than-expected data could paradoxically support Bitcoin. Cooling labor conditions would increase pressure on the Fed to ease policy, potentially improving liquidity conditions for risk assets.
Recent labor-market indicators have already pointed to signs of slowing. Reports of rising layoffs and a slowdown in hiring have strengthened expectations that rate cuts could arrive sooner than previously anticipated.
However, the employment report also carries downside risk. A sharp deterioration in job data could spark broader growth fears, prompting investors to move toward defensive positions. Such an outcome could trigger short-term selloffs in crypto, as seen during previous macro shocks.
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Jobless Claims May Reinforce or Challenge the Trend
Thursday’s initial jobless claims release will provide a more immediate snapshot of labor-market conditions. As such, it could reinforce the narrative set by the employment and unemployment reports on Wednesday.
Recent spikes in claims have coincided with risk-off reactions in crypto markets, including liquidation events and rapid price swings. Some traders interpret rising claims as a signal that economic conditions are weakening enough to force monetary easing, a longer-term positive for Bitcoin.
Others warn that in the short term, deteriorating employment data can unsettle markets, especially when liquidity is thin and leverage is elevated.
That dynamic has made jobless-claims releases a growing source of volatility, even though they rarely move markets in isolation.
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CPI and Core CPI Seen as the Week’s Decisive Catalyst
The most consequential data point may arrive on Friday, February 13, with the release of January’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI figures.
Inflation data remains the primary driver of Fed policy expectations and, therefore, a key determinant of crypto market sentiment.
Cooler-than-expected readings in recent months have supported risk assets by weakening the “higher for longer” rate narrative.
Another soft inflation print could accelerate expectations for rate cuts in 2026, potentially reinforcing bullish momentum in Bitcoin and strengthening the case for a move toward six-figure price levels over time.
However, sticky or rising inflation would likely have the opposite effect, pushing Treasury yields higher and pressuring speculative assets, including cryptocurrencies.
“If data comes in hot, rates will likely stay higher, and risk assets may struggle. If data cools, rate cut expectations could return, and markets may breathe. This week will tell us what comes next,” remarked analyst Kyle Chasse.
Taken together, the week’s events represent a concentrated test of the macro narratives currently driving Bitcoin: inflation, employment, and the timing of monetary easing.
While long-term adoption trends, such as ETF flows, institutional participation, and stablecoin growth, continue to underpin bullish projections, short-term price action remains closely tied to economic data.
Crypto investment products logged a third straight week of outflows, though the pace of selling eased markedly as digital asset prices steadied after a sharp downturn.
Crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) recorded $187 million in outflows during the week, a sharp drop from the $3.43 billion seen over the previous two weeks, CoinShares reported on Monday.
The slowdown came as Bitcoin (BTC) fell to its lowest level since November 2024, with the price touching $60,000 on Coinbase last Thursday.
“While flows typically move in line with crypto prices, changes in the pace of outflows have historically been more informative, often signaling inflection points in investor sentiment,” said James Butterfill, CoinShares’ head of research.
Bitcoin ETPs only to post major losses, while XRP leads inflows
Bitcoin investment products were the only ETP group to suffer significant losses last week, with outflows totaling $264.4 million.
XRP (XRP) funds led inflows, attracting $63 million, while other altcoin ETPs, such as those tracking Ether (ETH) and Solana (SOL), posted modest gains of $5.3 million and $8.2 million, respectively.
Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) accounted for a large portion of Bitcoin ETP outflows last week, amounting to $318 million, according to SoSoValue data.
ETP volumes hit record $63 billion in weekly trading
Addressing last week’s slowdown in outflows, Butterfill suggested that a “potential market nadir may have been reached,” implying that a possible bottom could have formed for ETPs.
Despite the easing of outflows, last week marked a milestone in trading activity. According to Butterfill, ETP volumes reached a record $63.1 billion, surpassing the previous high of $56.4 billion set in October last year.
Related: BlackRock’s IBIT hits daily volume record of $10B amid Bitcoin crash
Assets under management (AUM) in Bitcoin ETPs stood at $102.7 billion by the end of the week, while ETF AUM fell below $90 billion.
Meanwhile, global crypto ETP AUM declined to $129 billion, the lowest level since March 2025, Butterfill noted.
Following three consecutive weeks of outflows, crypto ETPs have lost a total of $1.2 billion year-to-date, compared with $1.9 billion of outflows in Bitcoin ETFs.
In other industry news, major crypto fund issuer 21Shares filed last week with the US Securities and Exchange Commission for an ETF tracking Ondo (ONDO).
Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026
Concerns that quantum computing could one day break Bitcoin’s cryptography have resurfaced. Yet, a new report by CoinShares argues that the quantum risks remain distant, with only a fraction of Bitcoin’s supply potentially vulnerable.
The report frames quantum computing as a long-term engineering challenge. It argues that Bitcoin has ample time to adapt well before quantum machines reach a cryptographically relevant scale.
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The Quantum Threat Assessment For Bitcoin
In the report titled “Quantum Vulnerability in Bitcoin: A Manageable Risk,” CoinShares’ Bitcoin Research Lead Christopher Bendiksen explained that Bitcoin relies on elliptic-curve cryptography to secure transactions.
In theory, a sufficiently powerful quantum computer could use Shor’s algorithm to derive private keys from public keys. This could enable unauthorized spending.
However, Bendiksen noted that such an attack would require quantum machines with millions of stable, error-corrected qubits. This is far beyond today’s capabilities.
“Breaking secp256k1 within a practical amount of time (<1 year) needs 10-100,000 times the current number of logical qubits; relevant quantum tech at least 10 years off. Long-term attacks can take place over years—could become feasible within a decade; short-term (mempool attacks) need <10-min computations—infeasible in anything but the very long term (decades),” the report read.
The report also examined the scope of Bitcoin’s real exposure. According to Bendiksen, only about 1.6 million BTC, roughly 8% of the total supply, resides in legacy Pay-to-Public-Key (P2PK) addresses where public keys are already exposed. However, the true practical risk is significantly smaller.
Of that amount, the report estimated that only around 10,200 BTC could plausibly be targeted in a way that would have an impact. This represents less than 0.1% of Bitcoin’s total supply.
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“The remaining ~1.6 million all sit in 32,607 individual, ~50 btc UTXOs, that would take millennia to unlock even in the most outlandishly optimistic scenarios of technological progression in quantum computing,” Bendiksen stated.
The remaining vulnerable coins are dispersed across tens of thousands of addresses. This distribution would make large-scale exploitation slow and operationally impractical even for advanced quantum systems, according to the analysis.
This limited exposure exists because of modern address types. Pay-to-Public-Key-Hash (P2PKH) and Pay-to-Script-Hash (P2SH) do not reveal public keys until coins are spent, sharply reducing the attack surface.
While post-quantum cryptographic proposals exist, Bendiksen cautioned against premature or forced changes. He warned they could introduce new risks, weaken decentralization, or rely on cryptographic schemes that have not yet been sufficiently tested in adversarial environments.
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“For the perceivable future, market implications appear limited,” Bendiksen added. “The greater concern is preserving Bitcoin’s immutability and neutrality, which could be jeopardised by premature protocol changes.”
Meanwhile, this outlook aligns with views previously expressed by other industry figures, including Casa co-founder Jameson Lopp and Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson. Both of whom have argued that quantum computing poses no near-term threat to Bitcoin’s cryptography.
Quantum Risk No Longer Ignored as Investors and Developers Prepare
That said, not all market participants share this view. Some institutional investors are increasingly factoring quantum computing risk into their Bitcoin exposure rather than dismissing it as a distant concern.
BeInCrypto reported that strategist Christopher Wood reduced a 10% Bitcoin allocation from Jefferies’ model portfolio, reallocating capital toward gold and mining equities. This move came amid concerns that future advances in quantum computing could threaten Bitcoin’s security.
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At the same time, several blockchain projects are already taking proactive steps. Coinbase, Ethereum, and Optimism have publicly outlined efforts to prepare for a post-quantum future.
Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments has also suggested that Bitcoin’s price may need to decline further before the network attracts sufficient attention to the issue of quantum security. He framed market pressure as a potential catalyst for broader technical discussion.
“$50K not that far away now. I was serious when I said last year that price would need to go lower to incentivize proper attention to Bitcoin quantum security. This is the first promising progress we have seen to date,” he said.
Edwards added that substantial work still lies ahead, warning that Bitcoin’s quantum preparedness efforts would need to accelerate in 2026.
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