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Why This Could be Good News for Bitcoin (BTC)?

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BTC MVRV


“When gold cools, profits rotate. That’s when capital flows from gold into BTC,” one X user argued.

The prices of many precious metals, including gold, have declined recently, with some analysts viewing this trend as bullish for Bitcoin (BTC).

Other factors, such as recent whale accumulation, reinforce the theory that the primary cryptocurrency could be ready to take off soon.

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Gold Leads, BTC Follows

The yellow metal experienced a major pump at the start of the year, reaching a new historical peak of around $5,600 in late January. Since then, though, it has declined by roughly 11%, and today (February 17) the price dipped once again below the psychological level of $5,000.

According to some industry participants, there is an interesting correlation between the performance of gold and that of BTC. Earlier this month, X user Merlijn The Trader noted that in recent years, pullbacks in the precious metal have often been followed by an upswing in the cryptocurrency.

“Gold always leads. Bitcoin follows. When gold cools, profits rotate. That’s when capital flows from gold into BTC,” he argued.

Ash Crypto spotted the same parallel. The X user revisited mid-2020, a period when gold went through a sharp correction, and shortly after, the leading digital asset kicked off a bull run.

Other market observers who believe that liquidity rotates into BTC after the precious metal loses momentum include Crypto Fergani and Gargoyle.

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The latter presented a pattern in which the cryptocurrency tends to mirror gold’s movements, albeit with its own timing. In their view, both assets pass through three stages: base building, accumulation, and pump. According to the chart, gold has completed these phases, whereas BTC has yet to enter the last one.

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More Bullish Factors

Recent actions by large investors, known as whales, support an optimistic outlook for BTC, whose price has declined by almost 30% over the past month. As CryptoPotato recently reported, these market participants remain unfazed by the asset’s negative performance and continue to increase their exposure.

Whales are known as experienced players who may have insider information about forthcoming events. For that reason, some believe that their selling or buying efforts are neither random nor irrational.

Certain indicators and price formations are also worth observing. Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), for instance, has been steadily declining recently and currently stands at approximately 1.25. It compares the current value of all BTC to the price at which people originally paid to acquire their holdings. According to CryptoQuant, ratios below 1 indicate bottoms, while anything above 3.7 signals that the top is in.

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BTC MVRV
BTC MVRV, Source: CryptoQuant

Meanwhile, the popular analyst Ali Martinez claimed that the asset might have formed an “Adan & Eve” pattern on its price chart, in which a break above $71,500 could fuel a jump to as high as $79,000.

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Hayden Davis Resurfaces After LIBRA Crash, But His Latest Trades Are Deep in the Red

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Hayden Davis Resurfaces After LIBRA Crash, But His Latest Trades Are Deep in the Red


Bubblemaps found that Hayden Davis, who was involved with LIBRA and YZY tokens, has resumed on-chain trading, but recent Solana meme coin bets resulted in nearly $3 million losses.

A year after Bubblemaps first detailed the on-chain mechanics behind the LIBRA meme coin collapse, the blockchain analytics firm has released a new update tracking the renewed trading activity of the project creator Hayden Davis.

This time, it has highlighted significant trading losses rather than insider gains.

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From Insider Wins to Meme Coin Losses

According to Bubblemaps’ latest findings, Davis has resumed on-chain activity after a period of wallet inactivity, but is now down roughly $3 million after trading multiple Solana-based meme coins, such as PUMP, TROVE, and PENGUIN.

The update stated that Davis had largely disappeared from on-chain trading following Bubblemaps’ August 2025 investigation, which showed he had made millions by sniping the hip-hop star Kanye West’s YZY token shortly after launch. After those profits, the wallets linked to him went dormant.

However, Bubblemaps reports that new wallets within the same cluster have become active again this year. In fact, over the past 30 days, the firm identified several large transfers into a deposit address linked to Davis, labeled CPGZ1i, which ultimately led to six active wallets under the same cluster.

Transaction analysis further indicated that Davis was trading as recently as five days ago and focused primarily on trending Solana meme coins. Unlike previous episodes, the majority of these trades were unprofitable. Bubblemaps estimated losses of approximately $2.5 million on PUMP, $100,000 on PENGUIN, $29,000 on KABUTO, and smaller losses on tokens such as LOUD and BAGWORK.

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LIBRA Fallout Didn’t End It

The findings show Davis did not exit the market following the LIBRA collapse, which had previously been linked to over $100 million in insider profits, according to Bubblemaps’ report published exactly a year earlier. That earlier investigation mapped a network of wallets connected to LIBRA and MELANIA token launches, and demonstrated coordinated sniping activity, cross-chain fund transfers, and quick cash-outs tied to addresses associated with Davis and related entities.

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On Monday’s update, Bubblemaps observed that instead of disappearing, Davis’ financial position evolved in other ways. For instance, a judge unfroze $57 million of his assets, he continued to generate profits through opportunistic trades such as YZY, and he received a sizable MET airdrop. The latest data now shows Davis engaging in routine on-chain trading activity again.

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MicroStrategy Expands Bitcoin Holdings to $50 Billion Despite Market Woes

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Crypto Breaking News

MicroStrategy, now known as Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR), expanded its Bitcoin holdings last week amid continued market challenges. The company purchased 2,486 Bitcoin, bringing its holdings to over 717,000 coins. This purchase, valued at nearly $50 billion, reflects Strategy’s unwavering commitment to Bitcoin, despite bearish market conditions.

Last week, Strategy bought 2,486 Bitcoin, spending $168 million. With this latest acquisition, its Bitcoin stash now exceeds 717,000 coins. This purchase came as the company continued using its stock sales to fund the Bitcoin buys, causing shareholder dilution.

The company has sold over $7.8 billion in shares and is set to sell more. In addition to the stock sales, Strategy holds over $20 billion in preferred STRK. The number of outstanding shares now surpasses 312 million, a significant rise from previous years. As the company’s Bitcoin strategy endures, Michael Saylor, the firm’s former CEO, pledged to keep purchasing Bitcoin indefinitely. He also mentioned plans to swap company debt for additional shares in the future.

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Technical Indicators Point to Bitcoin’s Potential Decline

Bitcoin’s price continues to struggle, showing a bearish pattern in the charts. Analysts are concerned that Bitcoin may drop further before any potential rebound. The technical setup suggests a bearish pennant pattern, signaling a price drop.

Bitcoin’s price is moving toward a potential crash, with projections hinting at a fall to $60,000. The bearish pattern emerges from a confluence of a vertical line and a symmetrical triangle. If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $80,000 resistance, the negative outlook will remain intact.

In the past, Bitcoin’s behavior has shown vulnerability to market sentiment shifts. Standard Chartered recently adjusted its Bitcoin price forecast, lowering it from $150,000 to $100,000. The bearish sentiment comes as Bitcoin struggles to break above critical resistance levels, keeping the coin under pressure.

Geopolitical Risks Amplify Bitcoin’s Struggles

Bitcoin faces additional pressure from geopolitical concerns, which weigh heavily on its performance. Tensions in the Middle East, including rising conflict risks between the U.S. and Iran, could impact Bitcoin’s price. Despite negotiations between the U.S. and Iran, ongoing military movements create uncertainties for the market.

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The ongoing geopolitical uncertainty has contributed to Bitcoin’s volatility, as the coin fails to establish itself as a safe-haven asset. Bitcoin’s price has been closely linked to broader market sentiment, especially during times of conflict. This ongoing instability is likely to exacerbate the challenges faced by Bitcoin in the short term.

As the Middle East crisis develops, it is unclear how Bitcoin will respond. While some might view it as a hedge against traditional markets, Bitcoin has proven to be vulnerable to large-scale geopolitical events. With global events continuing to influence cryptocurrency prices, Bitcoin’s future remains uncertain.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin Traders Say Watch These BTC Price Levels Next

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Bitcoin Traders Say Watch These BTC Price Levels Next

Bitcoin (BTC) analysts mapped out the key BTC price levels to watch as the market’s focus shifted to the $58,000 to $65,000 zone as the last line of defense.

Bitcoin price is wedged between two key levels

Bitcoin is currently wedged between the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) at $68,300 and the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) at $58,400.

Generally, in Bitcoin’s trading history, major BTC bottoms have formed between the 200-week SMA and EMA, according to analyst Jelle. This suggests that Bitcoin is possibly forming a bottom between these trendlines.

Related: Bitcoin accumulation wave puts $80K back in play: Analyst

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While Bitcoin has produced a weekly close above the 200-week EMA for the second week in a row, “this doesn’t mean it is now in the clear,” trader and analyst Rekt Capital said in a Monday X post, adding:

“The absence of any meaningful upside from here going forward, there is a risk that BTC loses the 200-week EMA in time, triggering additional downside.”

BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: Rekt Capital

Crypto investor and entrepreneur Ted Pillows had an expanded view, focusing on $71,000 for a bullish breakout.

In a Tuesday post on X, Ted Pillows said that Bitcoin needs a daily close above the $71,000 level to increase the chances of an upside rally, adding:

 “And if a breakdown happens below $66,000, BTC might revisit $60,000.”

BTC/USD two-day chart. Source: Ted Pillows

Cointelegraph reported that the CME gap between $80,000 and $84,000 could act as a magnet, representing the upper price target for Bitcoin. With nine out of 10 CME gaps filled since August 2025, the $80,000–$84,000 range stands out as the key level to watch on the upside.

Bitcoin bulls must hold the price above $65,000

After turning away from $72,000 last week, Bitcoin found support at $65,000. Glassnode’s cost basis distribution heatmap reveals a significant support area recently established between $63,000 to $65,000, where long-term holders recently acquired approximately 372,240 BTC.

A decisive break below this level “would likely open the path toward the realized Price” around $55,000, Glassnode said in a Monday post on X.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin cost basis distribution heatmap. Source: Glassnode

Current analysis suggests that the bears may aim to hold BTC price below $65,000 to remain in control. If they succeed, the BTC/USDT pair may then retest the critical $60,000 level. If the $60,000 support cracks, the next stop is likely to be $52,500.