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Will the crypto market recover as the sell-off intensifies?

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Will the crypto market recover as the sell-off intensifies?

The crypto market crash accelerated on Saturday as the futures open interest dipped and liquidations soared to over $1.6 billion, the highest level in weeks. This article explores whether the crypto industry will recover as the sell-off intensifies.

Summary

  • The crypto market crash intensified on Saturday.
  • The drop continued as liquidations jumped to over $1.6 trillion.
  • The crash will likely continue and then recover later this year.

Why the crypto market crash is happening

The crypto market crash is being triggered by a few factors. One of the most notable ones is the fact that the odds that Donald Trump will attack Iran soon continued rising on Polymarket. These odds have now jumped to over 80%, with his armada nearing Iran.

Bitcoin (BTC) and other altcoins are dropping because such an attack will lead to higher oil prices and volatility in the financial market. This fear is notable now that Bitcoin’s role as a safe-haven asset have continued falling.

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The crypto crash is also happening as memories of the October 10 liquidation event remain. That event happened after Trump warned of potential tariffs against China. Since then, leverage in the crypto industry has largely disappeared, with the futures open interest moving from $255 billion to $113 billion. 

The other reasons for the ongoing crypto crash is that Trump appointed Kevin Warsh, an inflation hawk as the next Federal Reserve Chair. Market participants were expecting BlackRock’s Rick Rieder to be mentioned.

Will the crypto market recover?

The question among investors is whether the crypto market will recover in the near term. Tom Lee, the popular analyst and BitMine Chairman, believes that the ongoing crypto crash will end soon. He noted that historically, Bitcoin always emerges from major dives. 

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For example, Bitcoin dropped by over 30% between its highest point in March and its lowest point in August. It then rebounded and moved to a record high in November. It also plunged below $16,000 in December 2022 and then rebounded.

There are some potential catalysts for the crypto market to recover eventually. For example, the US dollar index continues falling, which often leads to more demand for risky assets. Also, the Federal Reserve will likely resume cutting interest rates soon.

Additionally, there are signs that Bitcoin and top altcoins have become bargains as their MVRV indicators have slumped. 

Therefore, the most likely scenario is where the crypto crash continues and then rebounds later this year.

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Crypto World

Price Falls While Network Activity Surges

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Successful payment on XRP Ledger. Source: XRPScan

XRP Ledger recorded multiple breakthrough metrics in February. These figures reflect Ripple’s effectiveness in attracting attention and accelerating adoption on its underlying blockchain.

However, XRP’s price remained stuck below $1.4 during the final week of February, despite several positive signals that predicted an upcoming recovery.

Activity on XRP Ledger Increased in February After Upgrades

Data from XRPscan shows that the number of successful payments on the XRP Ledger has continuously increased over the past month. The figure rose from a low of 1 million payments at the end of December last year to more than 2.7 million in February. This marks the highest level in 12 months.

Successful payment on XRP Ledger. Source: XRPScan
Successful payment on XRP Ledger. Source: XRPscan

On the XRP Ledger, a successful payment is a transaction that validators have confirmed and recorded on the distributed ledger.

Therefore, this increase reflects the growing vibrancy of the XRP Ledger. A higher number of successful transactions proves that users genuinely use the network for payments, transfers, DeFi, or other applications.

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“XRP network activity stays strong. Around 2M transactions per day and roughly 40K active addresses. That is real usage. While most chains chase narratives, XRPL keeps moving value. Payments. Settlements. This kind of consistency is what institutions look for,” crypto investor CryptoSensei said.

In addition, the Automated Market Maker (AMM) on the XRPL DEX showed signs of a breakout, with more than 14,000 deposits. This development provides XRPL with additional decentralized liquidity and reduces trading slippage.

AMM Deposit on XRP Ledger. Source: XRPScan.
AMM Deposit on XRP Ledger. Source: XRPscan.

Notably, AMM activity has never been this before. This breakout occurred after the Permissioned Domains upgrade was activated in early February. The network enabled the Permissioned DEX two weeks later.

Investors expect the Permissioned DEX to pave the way for banks, payment providers, and financial institutions to trade within a controlled liquidity environment on XRP Ledger.

Despite these positive signs, XRP’s price continued into its fifth consecutive month of decline, and the final week of February closed in the red. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.33, down 45% from its early-year high.

XRP Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Price
XRP Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Price

A recent report from BeInCrypto shows that rising whale inflows to exchanges continue to create selling pressure. Realized losses have reached their highest level since 2022.

However, historical signals also suggest that such extreme negativity often precedes a price bottom and a strong recovery. The latest analysis from BeInCrypto clarifies that XRP now needs confirmation through a breakout above the $1.47 resistance level.

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Nansen to Set up Bhutan Entity in Gelephu Mindfulness City

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Bitcoin Adoption, Bhutan

Blockchain analytics company Nansen will establish a local entity and build a Bhutan-based team in Gelephu Mindfulness City (GMC), expanding into the kingdom as its Special Administrative Region advances its digital asset strategy.

According to a joint announcement shared with Cointelegraph, Nansen plans to incorporate within GMC and develop on-the-ground analytics capabilities to provide blockchain data and market intelligence to industry participants operating in the region.

GMC is a purpose-built Special Administrative Region in southern Bhutan focused on long-term economic development. The region has previously announced digital asset initiatives spanning custody infrastructure, tokenization, institutional liquidity and regulatory frameworks.