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XRP Sees $315M CVD Recovery on Binance as Leverage Ratio Hits Lowest Since 2024

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XRP Sees $315M CVD Recovery on Binance as Leverage Ratio Hits Lowest Since 2024

TLDR:

  • XRP’s combined spot and perpetual CVD on Binance recovered by $315M between March 23 and March 25.
  • Binance open interest held between $185M and $192M, showing buying returned without added leverage pressure.
  • XRP’s Estimated Leverage Ratio dropped to 0.134 on Binance, marking the lowest reading recorded since 2024.
  • Multi-exchange OI delta averaged -$14M daily from March 18–22, preceding the two-day CVD rebound on Binance.

XRP is showing renewed buying activity on Binance, with key derivatives and spot metrics improving over a two-day window.

Between March 23 and March 25, combined spot and perpetual cumulative volume delta recovered by $315 million.

At the same time, the estimated leverage ratio dropped to its lowest point since 2024. These developments suggest a shift in market structure that traders are closely watching.

Binance CVD Recovers Across Spot and Perpetual Markets

XRP’s perpetual CVD on Binance moved from -$2.12 billion to -$1.88 billion between March 23 and March 25. That represents a net improvement of roughly $240 million within just two days. Alongside this, spot CVD climbed from -$202 million to -$127 million over the same period.

The spot CVD improvement added another $75 million to the overall recovery. Together, these two figures account for the $315 million combined rebound seen across both markets. This kind of recovery across both segments tends to reflect broader participation from buyers.

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What adds weight to this move is how open interest behaved during the same window. Binance open interest stayed within a narrow band of $185 million to $192 million throughout this period. That range shows buying pressure picked up without a notable rise in leverage.

As analyst Amr Taha noted, the broader derivatives market had already gone through a cooling phase before this rebound appeared.

On the Multi Exchange Open Interest Delta chart, negative readings dominated from March 18 to March 22, averaging around -$14 million daily. The CVD recovery therefore followed a multi-day period of reduced activity.

XRP Leverage Ratio Drops to Levels Not Seen Since 2024

The Estimated Leverage Ratio for XRP on Binance recently fell to approximately 0.134, coinciding with XRP trading near $1.41.

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According to analyst Arab Chain, this marks the lowest reading since 2024. It reflects a clear change in how traders are positioning themselves in the derivatives market.

Source: Cryptoquant

During 2025, the ELR climbed above 0.50 at several points, which aligned with periods of heightened price swings.

Starting in early 2026, the ratio began a steady decline before reaching its current level. The drop points to an ongoing deleveraging phase across the market.

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Lower leverage generally reduces the risk of large-scale liquidations. Liquidation events often cause sudden price swings and short-term volatility. A reduction in open leverage therefore tends to stabilize price action over time.

The decline in leverage also appears to coincide with a price drop from higher levels seen in recent months. This pattern often reflects a rebalancing phase, where over-leveraged positions are unwound. Historically, such phases have preceded stronger and more sustained price movements.

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Bitcoin Depot taps ex-MoneyGram CEO amid tightening state scrutiny

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin Depot has appointed Alex Holmes—already a member of the company’s board—as chief executive and chair, replacing Scott Buchanan who stepped down after less than three months in the top role. The move comes as the crypto ATM operator faces growing regulatory pressure across multiple U.S. states over alleged scams and money-laundering concerns tied to its kiosks. In the company’s regulatory filing, Bitcoin Depot stressed that Buchanan’s departure “was not due [to] a disagreement.”

Holmes, a veteran MoneyGram executive who spent 16 years at the payments firm in roles including chief financial officer and CEO, is known for his emphasis on regulatory compliance. He said his priorities center on stabilizing operations, advancing regulatory progress, and accelerating the company’s evolution into a broader fintech platform. Mintz, the founder and former CEO, will shift from executive chair to non-executive board member and serve as an adviser to Holmes.

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin Depot appoints Alex Holmes as CEO and chair, with founder Brandon Mintz moving to a non-executive advisory role.
  • The leadership transition comes as U.S. states intensify scrutiny of crypto ATMs amid concerns about scams and money laundering.
  • Connecticut suspended Bitcoin Depot’s money transmission license and issued a cease-and-desist order; Massachusetts has sued the company; Maine paid $1.9 million to a consumer protection bureau; Missouri opened an investigation; Iowa filed a lawsuit against Bitcoin Depot and another operator.
  • The company lowered its 2026 revenue outlook amid a “dynamic regulatory environment.”
  • Bitcoin Depot’s stock traded around the low-dollar range, with a recent intraday reaction reflecting the ongoing regulatory headwinds.

Regulatory pressure frames the leadership shuffle

The executive transition arrives at a time when Bitcoin Depot faces heightened regulatory risk across several states. Connecticut’s banking regulator announced a suspension of the company’s state money transmission license and issued a temporary cease-and-desist order, citing multiple alleged violations of state money transmission laws, including excessive fees and refunds to scam victims. The action underscores the ongoing tension between fast-growing crypto kiosk networks and traditional consumer protections frameworks.

Earlier in the year, Massachusetts prosecutors filed suit accusing Bitcoin Depot of overcharging consumers, facilitating scams, and failing to issue refunds. The legal actions across New England reflect a broader pattern of state attorneys general and regulators scrutinizing crypto ATM operations for consumer harm and compliance shortcomings.

Widening regulatory net and what it means for operators

Beyond Connecticut and Massachusetts, Bitcoin Depot has encountered regulatory actions in Maine, Missouri, and Iowa. Maine’s consumer protection agency announced a settlement in January, requiring the company to pay $1.9 million to compensate consumers for fraudulent transactions. In Missouri, the attorney general opened an investigation into Bitcoin Depot and four other crypto ATM operators in December, focusing on potentially deceptive fees and the misuse of kiosks by unscrupulous actors. Iowa followed with a lawsuit filed in February against Bitcoin Depot and rival CoinFlip, accusing the firms of enabling scams and costing Iowans more than $20 million.

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These actions illustrate a pattern: as crypto kiosks proliferate, state regulators are increasingly willing to pursue enforcement actions tied to fees, refunds, and the overall integrity of the customer experience. The regulatory backdrop has translated into operational and financial headwinds for Bitcoin Depot, contributing to a broader reassessment of how crypto-access points are governed in the United States.

As Cointelegraph reported in related coverage, the sector has seen a notable uptick in losses and fraud linked to crypto ATMs, a trend that underscores the tension between rapid expansion and consumer protection. The industry’s evolving risk profile makes leadership choices at public or near-public operators all the more consequential for investors and users alike.

Financial outlook and investor reception

Bitcoin Depot disclosed in its 2025 results that it had reduced its 2026 revenue outlook, projecting a decline of roughly 30% to 40% due to what it described as a dynamic regulatory environment. The update was a frank acknowledgment that the path to growth in a highly regulated landscape will require careful navigation of state-by-state compliance regimes, alongside the ongoing need to secure consumer trust.

Market reaction to the leadership change and regulatory developments has been modestly negative in the immediate term. The company’s shares closed lower on the latest trading session, then recovered slightly after hours, a reflection of investor caution in light of the mounting legal and regulatory pressures. Bitcoin Depot (BTM) has been under severe pressure this year, with the stock down significantly from its 2022–2023 highs as state actions and corporate governance scrutiny mounted.

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Strategic implications for a diversified fintech play

Holmes’ appointment signals a potential shift in Bitcoin Depot’s strategy toward a broader fintech platform, leveraging his deep experience in payments compliance. If executed well, the pivot could help the company balance growth in crypto-enabled services with stronger risk controls, potentially broadening its appeal to financial partners and retailers wary of compliance exposure. Yet the immediate priority remains stabilizing operations amid a tightening regulatory environment that could influence licensing, fee structures, and consumer protections across multiple jurisdictions.

In the near term, observers will be watching how Bitcoin Depot renegotiates its licensing posture in states where enforcement actions were initiated and whether it can restore consumer confidence through transparent refunds, clearer fee disclosures, and robust anti-scam measures. The outcome of ongoing investigations and lawsuits will also be a bellwether for the broader blockchain kiosk sector, which has seen rapid expansion but uneven regulatory clarity.

What to watch next

Investors and users should monitor how Holmes reshapes the operational backbone of Bitcoin Depot, including any concrete steps to strengthen regulatory compliance, refine fee policies, and improve dispute resolution processes. State regulators’ ongoing actions will continue to play a decisive role in determining the company’s ability to scale its network and sustain revenue growth in a constrained regulatory landscape. As the sector evolves, further clarity on a national framework for crypto kiosks could either ease the path for expansion or impose new guardrails that reshape a still-nascent market.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Texas Court Dismisses Crypto Dev Lawsuit Seeking Clarity

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Texas Court Dismisses Crypto Dev Lawsuit Seeking Clarity

A Texas court has dismissed a lawsuit filed by crypto developer Michael Lewellen, seeking a declaratory judgment that his software, Pharos, which facilitates donations to charitable crowdfunding campaigns, won’t be prosecuted for violating money-transmission laws. 

Chief US District Judge Reed O’Connor dismissed the case on Wednesday, finding that Lewellen had failed to demonstrate a credible threat of imminent prosecution. 

“Disappointed to see the court dismiss my suit today,” said Lewellen on X on Wednesday. 

In its dismissal, the court also cited a Department of Justice memo stating that it will no longer target virtual currency exchanges, mixing and tumbling services or offline wallets for the acts of their end users or for unwitting violations of regulations.

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“A non-binding DoJ memo is no substitute for real legal certainty,” added Lewellen.

Crypto software developers are increasingly seeking legal protections to shield themselves from criminal liability over the software they create.

Other crypto software developers prosecuted 

Lewellen, a fellow at crypto advocacy group Coin Center, which backed the suit, argued in his legal complaint last January that developers of software similar to his product, such as those behind Tornado Cash and Samourai Wallet, have faced prosecution under these laws.

Source: Michael Lewellen

Tornado Cash co-founder Roman Storm was convicted last year on charges of conspiracy to operate an unlicensed money-transmitting business. The co-founders of privacy-focused Bitcoin wallet Samourai Wallet were found guilty on the same charge — both cases cited by Lewellen as evidence of a real legal threat to developers like himself.

However, Judge O’Connor argued that the “core conduct of those cases is money laundering.” 

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“By contrast, the core conduct here would be running a business. And Lewellen disclaims any knowing transmission of criminal funds, which is central to the prosecutions he invokes,” Judge O’Connor wrote.

Case dismissed for now but it might not be over  

Lewellen said his lawyers are exploring all options for a path forward. 

Judge O’Connor dismissed the case without prejudice, meaning Lewellen could pursue the same action again with certain corrections or modifications.

Related: SEC sends proposed crypto interpretation to White House for review

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Peter Van Valkenburgh, the executive director at Coin Center, said the memo cited by Judge O’Connor “has not provided meaningful protection to developers, given the outcomes in the Tornado Cash and Samourai Wallet cases.”

Both Valkenburgh and Lewellen have now called for Congress to pass the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act of 2026.

Introduced by Senator Cynthia Lummis in January, the legislation aims to clarify that developers and providers of non-custodial software who do not control user funds are not subject to money transmitter laws.

Source: Peter Van Valkenburgh

“So while I hope the court is right that non-custodial software developers are not at real risk, the Blanche memo is not enough to secure their rights. It is a vague enforcement signal, not a durable limit on government power,” Valkenburgh added.

“Worse, the court has now used that vague signal as a reason not to provide actual judicial clarity on the scope of developer liability. Instead of a clear rule, developers get a revocable memo and a court telling them not to worry.” 

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