Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter.
The inclusion of the far-right Freedom party (FPÖ) in a governing coalition in Austria in 2000 sent shockwaves across Europe. Today’s more muted response to the FPÖ topping a national Austrian election for the first time reflects the extent to which the hard right has normalised itself though its gains since then — from the AfD in Germany to Geert Wilders in the Netherlands to Marine Le Pen in France. Other parties have said they will not allow FPÖ leader Herbert Kickl to become Austrian chancellor in a coalition, which may leave it outside government. But the FPÖ’s latest breakthrough crystallises the dilemmas for countries grappling with a rising hard right across the continent.
Like populists elsewhere, Kickl’s FPÖ owes its success in part to disillusionment with mainstream parties that have dominated government in Austria since the 1950s. The centre-right People’s party (ÖVP) has been dogged by recent corruption scandals; the Social Democrats (SPO) have taken an inward-looking turn under a leftist leader. The bedrock of FPÖ support, too, is discontent with immigration, in a 9mn-strong country where 1.8mn were born abroad.
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Record net immigration in the past two years has surpassed levels even during the mass inflow of migrants to Europe from Syria and elsewhere in 2015-16 — though many this time have been refugees from Ukraine. (The FPÖ, long sympathetic to Moscow, wants to end Austrian aid via the EU to Kyiv.)
Kickl has skilfully added an extra constituency, however, especially among young people — by channelling resentment of Covid lockdowns and an abortive mandatory vaccination law from 2022. The FPÖ casts itself as defender of personal liberties against an authoritarian establishment. And, by flirting with taboos from Austria’s political past — election posters called him the Volkskanzler, a phrasing used by Hitler — Kickl has deployed a provocative politics designed to enrage the mainstream and consolidate support among anti-establishment voters.
Austria faces the risk that excluding the FPÖ from government might only strengthen it. Either way, its success sends warning signals to the EU. It shows trying to “tame” extreme-right parties by exposing them to government has no guarantee of success. Since its hard-right turn under Jörg Haider in the 1990s, the FPÖ has twice been in a governing coalition. It crashed out of its latest spell in government in 2019 after its then leader Heinz-Christian Strache was filmed offering sleazy deals to a woman posing as a Russian oligarch’s niece. Now a new leader has delivered its best ever election result.
It achieved its breakthrough, moreover, not by appearing to moderate its politics, like Le Pen and Italy’s Giorgia Meloni, but by tacking further rightward. Like Germany’s AfD, it has dabbled with identitarian ideas including “remigration”, or deporting people of immigrant origin.
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The FPÖ’s electoral success will bolster the outsized role it has long played in European politics. Kickl was an architect of a new rightwing movement this summer, Patriots For Europe, with Hungary’s illiberal Viktor Orbán and former Czech premier Andrej Babiš. It has taken in the parties of Wilders and Le Pen, Spain’s Vox and others to become the third-largest faction in the European parliament.
Though not all its members are in government, through its own activities and the hard right’s tendency to drag centre-right parties rightward, the group is set to exert influence on issues ranging from support for Ukraine to immigration policy to climate scepticism. In 2000, the FPÖ’s breakthrough seemed a temporary aberration. For all Europe’s efforts since then to domesticate the hard right or keep it outside a cordon sanitaire it is now clear that, for the foreseeable future, it will be a fixture on the political landscape.
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The cooling UK labour market is continuing to bring down wage growth, according to new data that will help to reassure the Bank of England that price pressures are easing.
The median pay award in the private sector fell from 4.4 per cent in the three months to July to a two-year low of 4.1 per cent in the three months to August, according to new figures published on Wednesday by Incomes Data Research.
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A pick-up in public sector pay growth meant the median award across the economy as a whole remained stable — a rise of 4 per cent.
Zoe Woolacott, senior researcher at IDR, said the public sector was “currently in the catching-up phase, after a lengthy period in which pay awards lagged behind those in the private sector”. But she added that if inflation fell further, “pay awards are likely to follow it, eventually”.
IDR’s figures corroborate similar data published by the research group Brightmine last week, which showed most annual pay awards were bunched around the 4 per cent mark in the three months to August, with fewer employers handing out bumper payouts.
Sheila Atwood, content manager at Brightmine, said this was due not only to the recent fall in inflation, but also reflected a weaker labour market where “the number of under- or unemployed individuals is starting to outpace the number of job openings”.
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The BoE is keeping a close watch on these indicators of pay growth, as well as on official earnings data and its own business surveys, as it seeks to gauge how far inflationary pressures in the economy are easing.
UK inflation held steady at 2.2 per cent in August — far below its 2022 peak above 11 per cent and close to the BoE’s 2 per cent target. But services price inflation has edged up and this week’s increase in regulated energy prices means headline inflation is also likely to rise at the end of the year.
The BoE left interest rates unchanged last month, after August’s cut to 5 per cent, with governor Andrew Bailey arguing that for inflation to stay low, “we need to be careful not to cut too fast or by too much”.
The more hawkish members of the Bank’s monetary policy committee worry that the pandemic and energy crisis might have triggered a lasting change in the way the UK labour market behaves, with workers able to bargain harder against a backdrop of staff scarcity, and businesses better able to pass on costs to consumers.
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Official data shows that UK average earnings growth, excluding bonuses, slowed to 5.1 per cent in the three months to May — down from last year’s peak, but still well above recent norms.
However, the labour shortages that fuelled wages over the past two years have now dissipated. Adzuna, the job search engine, said last week that competition for jobs was at its highest level in three years, with more than two jobseekers for every vacancy after the number of jobs advertised in August fell 17.5 per cent compared to a year earlier.
Tony Wilson, director at the Institute for Employment Studies, said that with competition for jobs “returning to more normal levels” and employers “filling their jobs pretty quickly”, this “should give the Bank of England a bit more confidence on future interest rate cuts”.
Economists at Goldman Sachs said on Tuesday that there was “significant room for private sector pay growth to normalise now that price inflation has fallen” but that it was still likely to remain above long-run averages, with public sector wage growth also set to remain firm on the back of recent pay deals.
Nigel Blow, a long-serving former Harrods executive, has decided not to become the boss of department store Fenwick despite being due to start in the role this month, the BBC has learned.
Mr Blow worked at Harrods for 14 years from 1992 to 2007, a period when the luxury London store was owned by Mohamed Al Fayed.
It comes after the BBC broadcast a documentary last month based on the accounts of more than 20 women who said they had been sexually assaulted or raped by Al Fayed while working at Harrods.
Following the allegations against Al Fayed, Mr Blow declined to answer multiple requests for comment. A day after contacting Fenwick, however, the BBC was told he would not be taking up the post.
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The BBC first attempted to contact Mr Blow on 21 September – and received no response to multiple subsequent requests.
On 30 September Fenwick was contacted to ask if it had any comment to make about the documentary and Mr Blow’s long-standing links with Harrods.
About 24 hours later, Fenwick told the BBC: “In July 2024, we announced that we would be appointing Nigel Blow as CEO of Fenwick. Nigel Blow has informed us that he will no longer be taking up this position.”
No reason for the decision has been given.
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Fenwick is best known for its 140-year-old store in Newcastle, and has eight stores around the UK. It closed its branch on Bond Street in London earlier this year.
Mr Blow has been the chief executive of the privately-owned department store chain Morleys since 2019.
The BBC was told “no comment” when it called Morleys on Tuesday to ask if Mr Blow would retain his position at the firm. He is still listed as chief executive of Morleys on the LinkedIn social networking site.
He joined Harrods as a merchandise controller in 1992, rising to chief merchant of the store, with a seat on the board, in 2003.
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There were media reports of Al Fayed’s alleged abuse of women during this period – a profile in Vanity Fair in 1995 alleged sexual misconduct against staff, then a documentary in 1997 and a book in 1998 alleged sexual assaults.
Al Fayed died last year aged 94.
Mr Blow left Harrods in 2007 to join the Irish retailer Brown Thomas.
In 2013 he took up a post with another Fayed company – this time as managing director of Turnbull and Asser, the shirt-maker with a Royal Warrant from Prince Charles.
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It is owned by the Fayed family and chaired by Ali Fayed, Mohamed’s brother, where he stayed until 2017.
The BBC has been contacting as many former directors of Harrods as possible to ask what they knew about Al Fayed’s behaviour and ask for their reaction to the BBC’s investigation.
Another former Harrods executive, Andre Maeder, was recently announced as the new chief executive of the department store Selfridges.
He told the BBC he was “horrified” to watch the documentary about Al Fayed, but added he “never saw or heard anything” about his “abhorrent” behaviour.
Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter.
Sir Keir Starmer will take his mission to “reset” Britain’s relations with the EU to Brussels on Wednesday, but European capitals are warning that the UK prime minister should not expect an easy ride.
Although Starmer has improved the mood between London and its former EU partners, member states warn that familiar issues such as fisheries, a youth mobility deal and an objection to British “cherry picking” will loom over future talks.
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The UK premier, who opposed Brexit, has insisted Britain will not rejoin the EU single market or customs union, prompting some member states to question whether Starmer’s plans amount to a full reset of relations.
Downing Street said Starmer would discuss his ambitions for the next few months with European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen, European Council president Charles Michel and president of the European parliament Roberta Metsola.
He is focused on the idea of a wide-ranging EU/UK security pact, covering issues such as defence, migration and security, with a view to a summit between the two sides next spring, according to UK officials.
Starmer also wants to agree a veterinary deal to cut border friction on agrifood trade, an agreement on professional qualifications and a deal to help touring musicians from Britain to travel easily across the bloc, they added.
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His chancellor Rachel Reeves has also suggested that Britain could become a rule taker for EU regulations covering established industries, such as chemicals, although both sides are sceptical about whether such a regime could work.
EU ambassadors, meeting ahead of the Brussels talks, said the commission should block what they said was a British tendency for “cherry picking” access to the EU single market, according to people briefed on the discussions.
While Starmer’s broad concept of closer ties with Brussels has widespread support among the EU’s 27 member states, stances diverge on what specific areas should be targeted.
A degree of confusion also prevails over what London wants in areas such as youth mobility and whether the UK is prepared to accept “dynamic alignment” with EU rules in order to secure a veterinary agreement.
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Officials from von der Leyen’s office told member states at a hastily arranged briefing to ambassadors on Monday that the EU would prioritise areas such as citizens’ rights, fisheries and youth mobility.
Starmer has ruled out a return to “free movement”, but British ministers believe a compromise could be found with Brussels to allow greater opportunities for young people to move between the EU and UK.
The ambassadors also named their own wish lists of focus areas, according to the people, not all of which overlapped with the core priorities of either side, confirming the potential complexity of any future EU/UK deal.
“Everyone wants to see things improve,” said one of the people briefed on the meeting. “But until we know exactly what we are talking about, it’s hard to get too excited.”
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Some countries urged von der Leyen to be cautious about any new initiatives, pointing out that the UK had been clear on its “red lines” and reminding the commission it should always put the EU’s interests first, the people said.
Any changes to the EU’s relationship with the UK will almost certainly require unanimity among its member states, many of whom still harbour grievances over London’s failed attempt to divide the bloc with bilateral approaches during the Brexit negotiations.
Starmer and von der Leyen’s meeting comes two weeks after UK and EU official advisory groups on the post-Brexit Trade and Cooperation Agreement called for greater co-operation between the two sides.
“The EU and the UK should co-operate over their respective legislation that has an impact on trade,” they wrote, citing new EU directives to monitor the effects of deforestation and sustainability.
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They also called for “enhanced mobility” for businesses and citizens as well as “pragmatic” implementation of border checks that will be introduced this year by both London and Brussels.
Meanwhile Reeves is planning to revive talks with China over improved economic and financial ties, with UK Treasury officials saying initial discussions were under way including a possible visit by the chancellor to Beijing.
Formal talks between London and Beijing on financial co-operation last took place in 2019 but were frozen once previous Conservative prime ministers toughened their stance on China.
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Reeves has signalled she wants to improve trade with China as part of the new government’s drive to boost growth and the idea of a meeting next year — first reported by Sky News — will provide a focus for those efforts.
AN OUTDOOR clothing chain with over 300 branches has launched a huge closing-down sale as they prepare to shut one of its stores for good.
The major clothing brand has put up huge signs saying “Everything Must Go” after confirming the branch’s permanent closure.
Trespass revealed that they would be closing their only store in Coventry.
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The popular high-street retailer has not yet announced whether jobs will be affected.
The Sun has contacted Trespass for comment.
The Activewear brand employs more than 1500 people in the UK but has shut around half a dozen stores this year.
Trespass confirmed back in July 2023 that six of its UK outlets would shut down soon.
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A year later, the branch in Norwich’s Chantry Palace shopping centre would shut, with “closing down” signs appearing in the windows.
The date of the closure was not specified at the time, but local media reported that the shutters came down for the last time on September 13.
Customers took to social media to share their sadness at the end of the store.
One wrote: “The days of high street shopping are over unless you are a coffee shop, restaurant or some large store with a good national reputation.”
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However, all is not lost for the shop, as bosses announced it would move to a new location for the brand to maintain a presence in the city.
Why are so many big shops closing stores?
The new location will be in the Castle Quarter, with an opening date to be confirmed.
As for the now-vacant unit in Chantry Place, general manager Paul McCarthy said: “Trespass is leaving the centre and we are in talks with other retailers about the space.
“Just last week we welcomed Pop Specs to the centre and Ben & Jerry’s will be opening very soon too.”
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The new tenant for the site has not yet been confirmed.
What is happening to the high street?
The Trespass news comes amid a wave of store closures across the UK.
Retailers are being squeezed by spiralling rents and mortgage rates as well as spikes in running costs.
That, combined with the rapid march towards online shopping as the dominant model in the sector, is leaving physical stores on the brink.
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Retailers opening stores
IT’S not all bad news on the high street as several retailers are bucking the trend and opening shops.
German discounter Aldi has announced it will open 35 new UK stores this year. The openings form part of Aldi‘s long-term target of operating 1,500 stores in the UK.
Purepay Retail Limited , the parent company of Bonmarché, Edinburgh Woollen Mill (EWM) and Peacocks, Purepay Retail Limited, has said it wants to open 100 new high street stores over the next 18 months.
The openings form part of Aldi‘s long-term target of 1,500 stores in the UK.
The supermarket is set to invest £550million in expanding its UK footprint this year alone.
Aldi said each new store opening will create around 40 new jobs on average.
In recent months, Asda has been opening hundreds of convenience stores as it seeks to rival major players Tesco and Sainsbury’s.
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B&M plans to open “not less than” 45 brand new stores across the UK in each of the next two consecutive years.
Purepay Retail Limited, the parent company of Bonmarché, Edinburgh Woollen Mill (EWM), and Peacocks, has said it wants to open 100 new high-street stores over the next 18 months.
It has yet to give the exact locations where it will open the 100 stores or when they will open.
The brand opened two new stores in March, and a further three new shops opened last month.
Retailers closing stores in 2024
RETAILERS have been hit by soaring inflation and a downturn in spending due to the cost of living crisis.
High energy costs and a move to shopping online are also taking their toll.
Some high street shops have closed due to businesses opening up in different locations such as larger retail parks.
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Shops may also close due to a number of other reasons, such as rising rents.
We explain which retailers are closing in 2024:
Argos – The brand announced plans to close 100 standalone UK branches last year as it looks to move away from the high street and focus on expanding its presence in supermarkets.
B&Q – The chain has over 300 shops across the UK, with two stores closing this year due to leases not being renewed. It has plans to open more in 2024 too.
Boots – The health and beauty chain announced that it would be closing 300 stores last July. Closures are ongoing and this will see the retailer’s estate reduced from 2,200 to 1,900 shops.
Clintons – Clintons mulled plans to close 38 shops in a bid to avoid insolvency late last year. We’ve listed the stores affected.
Costa Coffee – The caffeine giant has around 2,000 sites nationwide, so chances are you’ll have one near you. The chain has shut the doors to dozens of its sites recently. We’ve revealed which stores are due to close this year.
M&S – M&S, which runs 405 stores across the country, has been closing a string of branches across the country in a blow for shoppers. It’s not all bad news, though, because the chain also has big plans to open dozens of new shops.
Trespass – The firm announced in July last year that it was closing six branches, but more are on the way.
WHSmith – The retail giant, which runs over 1,100 stores, has shut eight stores since March 2023, but more are coming.
Sub-postmasters impacted by the Horizon IT scandal will not all receive compensation payments by March next year, the government’s Post Office minister has said.
Gareth Thomas said it would be “difficult” to achieve such a deadline, after calls from former sub-postmaster and campaigner Sir Alan Bates.
Sir Alan urged the government to set a March 2025 deadline to pay financial redress for all the sub-postmasters involved in the initial legal action against the Post Office which uncovered the scandal.
Thomas said he agreed with Sir Alan that faster progress on compensation payments to all victims was needed.
“I wish I could commit to Sir Alan’s time frame,” he told BBC Breakfast, adding: “I think we will have made substantial progress by next summer.”
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Sir Alan has been heavily critical of the length of time it is taking for victims of what has been described as the biggest miscarriage of justice in British legal history to receive financial redress.
Between 1999 and 2015, more than 900 sub-postmasters were wrongly prosecuted after the faulty Horizon IT accounting system made it look like money was missing from branch accounts.
Some sub-postmasters ended up going to prison, while many more were financially ruined and lost their livelihoods. Some died while waiting for justice.
Sir Alan leads the Justice for Sub-postmasters Alliance, campaigning for financial redress for the 555 victims who took part in the landmark group legal action against the Post Office that culminated in 2019.
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Their compensation was, however, swallowed up by the huge legal costs involved in bringing their case.
The government went on to set up a specific compensation fund involved in the Group Litigation Order (GLO) to give these sub-postmasters the redress like others affected, but progress has been slow.
Last month, Sir Alan said the Department for Business appeared to be trying to get away with paying out as little as possible to victims while maximising the income for the legal firms involved.
He questioned whether the government was dragging the “issue out to exhaust victims until their deaths” and if the scheme has become a “gravy train” for its lawyers.
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A total of £265m has been spent on lawyers relating to the Post Office scandal from 2014 to 2024.
Sir Alan said said the March deadline was needed for the GLO redress as it was three years since that particular compensation scheme was announced.
‘Keep holding feet to fire’
Post Office minister Thomas, who was appointed following Labour’s general election victory, told the BBC: “I agree with him, [Sir Alan] we need to make faster progress.
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“We are trying to unblock the blockages and speed up the process of compensation,” he added.
“There are four compensation schemes in place, two of which the government runs, and two of which the post office runs. I have looked at whether we should just start afresh but that would lead to further delays in getting money out of the door.”
Deadlines for payments have previously been ruled out for fear that some sub-postmasters might be timed out of claiming compensation.
There isn’t a single compensation scheme for sub-postmasters to apply to and eligibility is dependant on the circumstances of an individual’s case. The four main schemes are aimed at groups of victims who had different experiences of the scandal.
Of the hundreds of members of the GLO group, 63 had criminal convictions and therefore are not eligible for this scheme but they are eligible for other compensation – depending on how their convictions are being overturned.
Sir Alan has said he would be prepared to go back to court if “excuses” were made around further delays to financial redress, adding he would be meeting with new law firms to discuss the matter.
Thomas, the Post Office minister said: “My message…to him [Sir Alan] is keep holding our feet to the fire.”
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