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Kamala Harris raises nearly $1bn but Donald Trump catches up in swing states

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Kamala Harris raises nearly $1bn but Donald Trump catches up in swing states

This article is an on-site version of our FirstFT newsletter. Subscribers can sign up to our Asia, Europe/Africa or Americas edition to receive the newsletter every weekday. Explore all of our newsletters here

Today’s agenda: EY fires staff for “cheating”; Mubadala Capital’s private equity push; Chinese share buybacks soar; Navalny’s memoir; and the use and abuse of Orwell


Good morning. We start with the latest updates on the US presidential race, with a Financial Times analysis showing Kamala Harris raised $971mn in the past three months, more than the Trump campaign’s entire haul of $894mn since the start of January 2023.

Who’s donating? The vice-president has received contributions from more than three times the number of individual donors as Donald Trump since she entered the race in July. The Republican former president has been more reliant on billionaires giving through so-called super political action committees, which unlike political candidates can raise unlimited amounts from individuals. Nearly half of Trump’s money has come from super Pacs, and four billionaire donors combined — Timothy Mellon, Miriam Adelson, Elon Musk and Richard Uihlein — have given $395mn to four pro-Trump super Pacs.

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Why it matters: A recent poll shows Trump has all but erased the slender lead Harris had built up in crucial swing states. The poll found that about a quarter of registered voters described themselves as “uncommitted” to either candidate. With just two weeks to go until the November 5 vote, both candidates are criss-crossing the country and splashing out on expensive advertising in the battleground states that could decide the outcome.

We have more on the money race here, and further analysis below:

  • Harris’s economic team: The Democratic candidate is expected to bring in her own people if she wins. We explore her potential choices for Treasury secretary and key policy advisers.

  • Global impact: Strongman leaders around the world would welcome a victory for the Republican former president, writes Gideon Rachman.

Sign up for our US Election Countdown newsletter for the latest updates on the final stretch of the White House race. And here’s what else I’m keeping tabs on today:

  • Economic data: The IMF publishes its latest world economic outlook and its global financial stability report. The UK has data on public sector finances, and the US has labour figures, both for September.

  • Brics summit: Leaders of the group gather in Kazan, Russia. Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping are set to attend after India yesterday said a deal was reached with China on patrols at their disputed border.

  • Companies: Chanel is expected to announce a deal with the Oxford-Cambridge annual boat race. General Motors, Kimberly-Clark, Lockheed Martin, Moody’s, Philip Morris International are among those reporting results. Full list in our Week Ahead newsletter.

Five more top stories

1. Exclusive: EY has fired dozens of US staff for what it called cheating on professional training courses. The dismissals took place last week after an investigation found that some employees had attended more than one online training class at a time during the “EY Ignite Learning Week” in May. Several of the fired employees told the FT they did not believe they were violating EY policy.

2. Exclusive: An arm of Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth fund is preparing a push into private equity markets, spotting what it believes is an opportunity to take over large holdings as buyout groups race to sell assets and return cash to investors. Mubadala Capital has raised $3.1bn for its latest private equity fund, surpassing a $2bn target. Antoine Gara has more details.

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3. Iran’s currency and stocks have declined and most foreign airlines have suspended flights in anticipation of an Israeli retaliatory attack on the Islamic republic. While regime loyalists insist that Tehran is not afraid of a potential war with Israel, many fear that the country’s sanctions-hit economy can ill-afford another cycle of escalation.

4. Share buybacks on mainland China’s biggest exchanges have soared to a record high of Rmb235bn ($33bn) so far this year, more than double last year’s total and far surpassing the previous record of Rmb133bn in 2022. The rush comes amid policymakers’ attempts to revive a flagging stock market.

  • Beijing’s U-turn: After resisting calls for fiscal stimulus for years, today’s Big Read explores why Xi Jinping changed his mind — and whether it will be enough.

5. PureGym plans to make the US its second-biggest market, with more than 300 sites by 2030, as it pursues a $105mn deal to buy dozens of outlets from collapsed chain Blink Fitness. The UK’s largest gym operator has offered to buy “a substantial portion” of Blink’s estate after it was put into Chapter 11 by owner gym group Equinox in August. Read the full story.

News in-depth

Montage shows UK health secretary Wes Streeting against images of an NHS nurse, pound notes, a hospital wall and a frail, elderly person
© FT montage/Reuters/Bloomberg/Getty

Launching a “national conversation” about the future of England’s NHS yesterday, health secretary Wes Streeting admitted it was in the midst of “the worst crisis in its history”. As health leaders press for a substantial funding injection in the UK’s Budget on October 30, the latest data underlines the scale of the strains on the taxpayer-funded system.

Think you can run the UK economy? Step into the chancellor’s shoes and play the FT’s new Budget game.

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We’re also reading . . . 

  • Moldova’s EU bid: Here’s how Russia won over the former Soviet country’s south to deliver an unexpected upset for President Maia Sandu’s referendum to join the bloc.

  • Immersive fashion: Vogue’s next event will go beyond the runway to become a theatrical light show. Is immersive entertainment more than a passing fad?

  • Alexei Navalny: Patriot, the memoir of Vladimir Putin’s murdered opponent, is a worthy testament to his courage, defiance and humour, writes FT Moscow bureau chief Max Seddon.

  • Victims of success: While challenging, the prevalence of today’s mental and physical conditions may actually be a good sign for the human race, writes Stephen Bush.

Graphic of the day

Long regarded as more science fiction than reality, low-cost, high-energy laser weapons are getting renewed attention from the defence sector, as militaries around the world look to the cutting-edge technology as one of the ways to counter cheap new missile threats such as drones.

Graphic explainer showing The DragonFire laser-directed energy weapon/

Take a break from the news

For years, journalists, critics and columnists have vied for George Orwell’s posthumous approval, writes Irish novelist Naoise Dolan for the FT Magazine. How did one of Britain’s greatest writers become the single answer to so many questions, in so many different subjects, for so many people?

An illustrated portrait of a man standing in a cosy room with a typewriter on the table, cricket bats leaning against the wall, and a woman riding a bicycle outside
© Sophia Martineck

Additional contributions from Gordon Smith and Benjamin Wilhelm

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Business

HSBC chief Elhedery unveils sweeping overhaul of lender

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HSBC chief Elhedery unveils sweeping overhaul of lender

Bank plans to separate east from west and replace three units with four in a move it says will simplify its business

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Business

Tokyo Metro gets retail investors on board Japan’s biggest IPO since 2018

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Tokyo Metro gets retail investors on board Japan’s biggest IPO since 2018

Capital’s underground railway network has raised $2.3bn in heavily oversubscribed listing

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Business

Government borrowing for September third highest on record

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Government borrowing for September third highest on record

Government borrowing rose last month, marking the third-highest September since records began in January 1993.

Official figures show that borrowing – the difference between spending and tax revenue – reached £16.6bn last month.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the figure was £2.1bn more than September last year.

This is the last official set of public finance figures until the Budget next week, with the Treasury expected to change its own self-imposed debt rules.

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The monthly figure was lower than expected by economists, who had collectively predicted borrowing of £17.5bn for September.

“While tax revenue increased, this was outweighed by increased spending, partly due to higher debt interested and public sector pay rises,” said Jessica Barnaby, deputy director for public sector finance at the ONS.

However, the figure is still higher than was previously forecast by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which monitors the UK government’s spending plans and performance.

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Money

How to challenge an overpayment demand from the DWP

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DWP issues PIP update to help clear huge payment review backlog

IF you get a letter from the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) saying that you’ve been paid too much money, it can be very stressful.

Overpayments can happen for lots of reasons including system errors, changes in your circumstances, and even mistakes made by the government itself.

The government has the right to ask for overpaid money back

1

The government has the right to ask for overpaid money backCredit: Alamy

The bad news is that if you have been overpaid you almost always need to pay the money back, even if you didn’t notice and have spent it already.

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However, you can usually speak to the DWP to work out a monthly payment plan, or there will be a deduction in future benefit payments until the debt is repaid.

The benefit office will determine how much money you should have received, what needs to be paid back, and whether you need to pay a penalty (for instance if you lied about your circumstances).

However, if you think that your payments were correct and you shouldn’t owe DWP anything, then you can challenge the decision. 

We revealed earlier this year that some people are being sent overpayment demands, but after we intervened, it turned out they didn’t owe a penny – so it’s worth checking.

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Single mum Penny Davis managed to get a £12,382 bill wiped after she challenged a Universal Credit overpayment demand – and found she was actually owed £2,000.

What to do if you get a letter saying you’ve overpaid

You should get a letter from the benefit office explaining why they think you’ve been overpaid. If you haven’t been given the reasons in writing, ask for them.

If you still think there’s a mistake, start by phoning up the benefit office and explaining the issue.

Give them any evidence you’ve got that supports your belief that you’ve not been overpaid. This might resolve the problem quickly.

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If that doesn’t work and you still disagree, you can formally dispute an overpayment by asking for a free mandatory reconsideration. You must do this within a month of receiving your original letter.

You might be able to get an extension in some circumstances, for instance if you’ve been in hospital or had a bereavement.

Don’t forget, someone will look at your whole benefit claim again. This means your benefit could stop, stay the same, increase or decrease.

If you’re not sure, you can contact a charity such as Citizens Advice, Advicenow, or StepChange for help. They can also provide advice if you’ve been accused of benefit fraud. You can also seek advice from a legal professional.

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The government says you can ask for mandatory reconsideration if any of the following apply:

  • you think the office dealing with your claim has made an error or missed important evidence
  • you disagree with the reasons for the decision
  • you want to have the decision looked at again

What benefits qualify for a mandatory reconsideration?

You can ask for mandatory reconsideration for most benefits including:

  • Attendance Allowance
  • Bereavement Allowance
  • Carer’s Allowance
  • Carer’s Credit
  • child maintenance (sometimes known as ‘child support’)
  • Compensation Recovery Scheme (including NHS recovery claims)
  • Diffuse Mesotheliomia Payment Scheme
  • Disability Living Allowance (DLA)
  • Employment and Support Allowance (ESA)
  • Funeral Expenses Payment
  • Income Support
  • Industrial Injuries Disablement Benefit
  • Jobseeker’s Allowance (JSA)
  • Maternity Allowance
  • National Insurance credits
  • Pension Credit
  • Personal Independence Payment (PIP)
  • Sure Start Maternity Grant
  • Universal Credit (including advance payments)
  • Winter Fuel Payment

Before making a request for a mandatory reconsideration, make sure you understand why the decision was made. Being clear will help you to explain your case.

If you need help understanding the reason for your benefit decision, call the benefits office. They should be to explain and answer any questions you might have. 

You can ask for a written explanation from the benefits office – known as a ‘written statement of reasons’. You can still ask for mandatory reconsideration after that but must do so within 14 days from when you get the statement.

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How to ask for mandatory reconsideration

To ask for a mandatory reconsideration, you need to contact the benefits office. If you get Universal Credit, you can do this via your journal. Other ways to ask for one include by letter, by phone, or by filling in and returning a form.

The contact details may vary depending on which benefit the dispute refers to, but they should be on your overpayments letter.

If you want to dispute a Housing Benefit or Council Tax Reduction overpayment, you’ll need to contact your local authority.

For tax credits or Child Benefit, you need to contact HMRC.

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What you need to provide

When asking for a mandatory reconsideration, you’ll need to provide:

  • The date of the initial decision
  • Your full name and address
  • Your date of birth
  • Your National Insurance number

You need to say which part of the decision you think is wrong and provide supporting evidence to prove it.

For example, this could be medical evidence or bank statements and payslips. The government says you should only include evidence you have not already sent, and that you should not include general information about your condition or unrelated appointment details.

Make sure you write your name, date of birth and National Insurance number at the top of each bit of evidence so it’s clear it relates to your claim. Unfortunately, you can’t claim back the costs of providing evidence.

If you’re not sure what evidence to send, read the guidance on the form for asking for mandatory reconsideration. You can also ring the benefits office, or speak to a charity or legal adviser.

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What happens next?

The benefits office will reconsider its decision about your overpayment. You’ll then get a letter called a ‘mandatory reconsideration notice’ telling you whether they’ve changed their minds.

This letter should explain the reasons for the decision and the evidence it was based on.

If you disagree with the outcome, you can appeal to the Social Security and Child Support Tribunal. This must be done within one month of getting the letter, unless you have a good reason.

This body is independent of government, and a judge will listen to both sides of the argument before making a final decision.  

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If you were overpaid

You can usually try to negotiate to make sure that your repayments are affordable.

If you think the repayments will leave you in serious hardship, you should let the benefits office know as they may be able to help.

You can also ask the DWP if it will “exercise its discretion not to recover an overpayment”, which means writing off what you owe.

They don’t have to say yes, and if they refuse you, it can’t be challenged.  You need to give as much evidence as possible about how the payments will affect you and your family.

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Even if you have very good reasons, bear in mind it is extremely rare for the DWP to decide you don’t need to pay back the money if you genuinely owe it.

Do you have a money problem that needs sorting? Get in touch by emailing squeezeteam@thesun.co.uk

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Travel

Aloft Istanbul Karaköy to open in winter 2025

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Aloft Istanbul Karaköy to open in winter 2025

Aloft Hotels has announced that the Aloft Istanbul Karaköy – the second property from Aloft Hotels in Türkiye – is scheduled to open by winter 2025

Continue reading Aloft Istanbul Karaköy to open in winter 2025 at Business Traveller.

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Business

The long end keeps on rising

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The long end keeps on rising

And emerging markets in a no-landing scenario

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