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Kamala Harris’s worldview comes into frame

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This is an on-site version of the US Election Countdown newsletter. You can read the previous edition here. Sign up for free here to get it on Tuesdays and Thursdays. Email us at electioncountdown@ft.com

Good morning and welcome to US Election Countdown! Today let’s dig into:

If Kamala Harris wins the White House, she will enter the Oval Office with one of the least articulated foreign policy visions of any incoming president in modern US history.

But a sketch of her philosophy has started to appear [free to read]. The vice-president is a “realist” or “pragmatist”, according to people familiar with her thinking, though she doesn’t like being pigeonholed.

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As tensions in the Middle East escalate, Donald Trump has claimed that Harris would be unprepared to lead the country. Her allies, however, are excited about Harris’s potential to bring in the perspective of a younger generation.

“I don’t think there’s any president that implements the prior president’s foreign policy wholesale,” Democratic senator Chris Murphy told the FT’s Alec Russell and Felicia Schwartz. “It’s likely she has departures from [Joe] Biden’s foreign policy in the Middle East.”

Yesterday, on the first anniversary of Hamas’s October 7 attack, Harris reiterated her staunch support for Israel and its right to defend itself, as she did following Iran’s ballistic missile strike on the country last week. But her remarks on the scale of civilian deaths in Gaza have led to speculation that she could be tougher on Israel than Biden.

It’s considered unlikely that Harris would do something such as withhold loan guarantees to Israel, as the then president George HW Bush did in 1991. But one lawmaker said she could turn up the pressure on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu or consider sanctioning some of his far-right cabinet members.

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If there is a ceasefire in Gaza, Harris’s advisers have suggested she might push to restart talks on a two-state solution — something the Biden administration had largely given up on.

There would be one key continuation of Biden’s worldview, though, according to lawmakers who have worked with Harris: she sees the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as part of a larger regional puzzle that encompasses Arab states — especially Saudi Arabia. “It’s not a two-state solution, it’s a 23-state solution,” said Democratic US senator Chris Coons.

Campaign clips: the latest election headlines

Behind the scenes

Donald Trump with Howard Lutnick, co-chair of the Republican presidential candidate’s transition team, in New York last month
Donald Trump, left, with Howard Lutnick, co-chair of the Republican presidential candidate’s transition team © AFP via Getty Images

As co-chair of Trump’s transition team, billionaire investor and Republican megadonor Howard Lutnick has put potential administration officials on notice, saying appointees must prove their “loyalty”.

Lutnick, who is the chief executive of investment company Cantor Fitzgerald, is one of two people in charge of finding candidates to fill the roles in a second Trump administration, including key posts such as defence and Treasury secretaries. He is also drafting policy.

The investor told the FT’s Alex Rogers of any future hires:

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They’re all going to be on the same side, and they’re all going to understand the policies, and we’re going to give people the role based on their capacity — and their fidelity and loyalty to the policy, as well as to the man.

Trump’s first term was plagued by infighting and staff turnover, including senior advisers who quit and in some cases spoke out against their former boss, but Lutnick said “those people were not pure to his vision”.

Lutnick compared his transition job with overseeing Cantor Fitzgerald’s hiring spree in the aftermath of the September 11 2001 terrorist attacks, which killed 658 Cantor Fitzgerald employees.

The billionaire, who has raised $75mn for the campaign, including more than $10mn to elect Trump and $500,000 for the transition effort, also called the Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025 “radioactive”. Harris has made the radical conservative agenda a central part of her attacks against Trump.

Datapoint

Map showing cumulative rainfall along the path of Hurricane Helene between September 26 and 28

Getting swing state voters to turn out on election day is a top priority for both the Harris and Trump campaigns. The issue has come into sharp focus in North Carolina, as it reels from Hurricane Helene. In 2020, Trump took the state by fewer than 75,000 votes.

Voting patterns and turnout in the western part of the state are in question following the devastation wrought in more than two dozen counties. “Communities were wiped off the map,” North Carolina governor Roy Cooper said last week.

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Voter relocation, as well as broader perceptions of recovery efforts, could factor into ballot choices — or whether some North Carolina residents vote at all.

Late last month, Biden declared a federal disaster in 25 North Carolina counties. In 2020, Trump won 23 of these counties, suggesting that Republican turnout could take a hit in November. On the other hand, Harris risks being lumped into anger over the Biden administration’s response, especially as misinformation swirls — at times fanned by Trump himself. 

The state received 43,448 requests for absentee ballots from those 25 counties, and only 2,023 have been returned, according to yesterday’s tally from the state board of elections — with so much destruction, it’s possible many of those ballots won’t get filled out.

Plus, the deadline to register to vote in the state is coming up this Friday, though in-person registration is still possible during the early voting period that runs from October 17 to November 2.

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Trump is leading Harris in North Carolina by 1.3 percentage points, according to the FT’s poll tracker.

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Tupperware of Ashes theatre review — Meera Syal stars in an immensely poignant drama

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From Lear stripping off in the storm, to André, in Florian Zeller’s The Father, lamenting “I’m losing all my leaves”, drama has powerfully portrayed the heartbreaking destruction of dementia. Now it’s the turn of Queenie in Tanika Gupta’s immensely poignant new play: a brilliant, tough Bengali matriarch (movingly portrayed by Meera Syal) whose fierce dismissal of her adult children’s concerns over her increasing forgetfulness is rapidly undermined by the onset of Alzheimer’s.  

It’s a painful subject, but theatre is a great space to discuss it. Here story can offer companionship to affected audience members and bridge the gap between the outside world and the world of the mind.

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Gupta deftly feels her way along this tightrope. As Zeller does with The Father, she uses stagecraft to bring us into Queenie’s experience. But while Zeller deploys confusing shifts in time and character to express the disorientation of dementia, here Queenie’s experience is more varied. Certainly it’s grim. There is shock and bewilderment as Queenie, owner of a successful Michelin-starred restaurant in London, suddenly realises that she is planning for an event that took place months earlier. Then there’s denial and rage as she refuses to accept what’s happening. Finally there is terrifying confusion as her grip of who and where she is disintegrates.

But although the play is unflinchingly honest, there are also sharp shafts of humour and solace in the elision between memory and reality. Queenie’s long-deceased husband Ameet comes to visit her — episodes that we, like she, experience just as vividly as everything going on around her in the present day. As we skip back to Queenie’s early married life in Calcutta, we see her as she was: clever, passionate, determined. These scenes are often suffused with warmth, but Zubin Varla also makes Ameet an ambivalent figure as he coaxes Queenie to plunge with him into the sea of oblivion.

On a misty stage, a man clad in towels stands to one side while two women wearing bathrobes celebrate with a bottle of champagne
From left, Zubin Varla, Meera Syal and Shobna Gulati © Manuel Harlan

Pooja Ghai’s fluid staging guides us through this seesawing landscape, with Rosa Maggiora’s subtly lit, stratified backdrop rippling with blue like the sea, glowing red like the sunset, or flashing like electrical brain impulses.  We see what Queenie sees but also what her distressed children (Raj Bajaj, Natalie Dew and Marc Elliott) witness as they cope with her volatile mood swings and sometimes deeply hurtful behaviour.

There are many references to Lear, not least in the painful issue of who should look after the ailing parent — a question that highlights both clashing cultural expectations and the current crisis in care for the elderly. A desolate scene, with the family standing outside Queenie’s care home window mid-pandemic, reminds us of how many died, isolated, at that time. Stephen Fewell’s lovely performance as a gentle carer pays quiet tribute to this critical workforce.

It’s a play that tries to cover a few too many areas, but it’s honest, tender and moving. Syal is superb: an indomitable spirit to begin with, she dwindles before our eyes into a silent, crumpled shell. But she, Gupta and Ghai leave us with a version of rebirth, an image of Queenie in her prime. It’s a potent reminder that inside every frail elder is stacked a whole life: a person still to be cherished.

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★★★★☆

To November 16, nationaltheatre.org.uk

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Paragon Bank provides £25m refinancing facility for Essex resi scheme

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Paragon Bank provides £25m refinancing facility for Essex resi scheme

The residential scheme’s initial phase includes 87 units, of which 19 were already sold at the point of refinance.

The post Paragon Bank provides £25m refinancing facility for Essex resi scheme appeared first on Property Week.

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Can a crypto ETF die of apathy?

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Forever and ether, amen

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Huge pension scheme shake up could boost retirement savings for millions of workers

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Huge pension scheme shake up could boost retirement savings for millions of workers

A HUGE shake up of pension schemes could boost retirement savings for millions of workers.

A new type of workplace pension, known as Collective Defined Contribution (CDC), recently launched and could soon be expanded.

A huge pension scheme shakeup could mean millions of workers across the UK benefit

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A huge pension scheme shakeup could mean millions of workers across the UK benefitCredit: Alamy

Currently ,there are two main types of pensions through employers – defined benefit (DB) and defined contribution (DC).

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DB pensions pay you a guaranteed income in retirement based on your salary, while with DC pensions, you build up a pot of money and then take an income from it after you stop working.

CDC pension schemes, on the other hand, are where employer and member contributions are pooled together into a collective fund and invested, with the aim of growing this pool of money over time.

Workers are then given a target pension income they will be able to take once they retire.

Companies in the UK have been able to offer CDC pensions since 2022, when new rules gave them the go ahead, and Royal Mail this week became the first company to launch one.

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Now, the scheme could be expanded so that millions more workers can take advantage after the Government launched a new consultation.

It’s proposing that access should be broadened by allowing a wider range of businesses and employees to sign up.

As it stands, only single companies, or companies connected to them, can set up CDC schemes.

But the Government wants schemes to be open to multiple, unconnected employers, making the schemes more accessible.

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Minister for Pensions, Emma Reynolds, said: “We are seizing this exciting opportunity to modernise our pensions market to deliver better outcomes for millions of workers.

“People work hard to put money aside for their pension with every pay cheque. This significant innovation will offer a more predictable income and greater finance security for future pensioners.”

How to track down lost pensions worth £1,000s

The consultation is calling for views from employers, industry experts, pension providers and the public on draft regulations and their potential impact.

It will run for six weeks – until November 19.

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It comes after Chancellor Rachel Reeves launched a huge review of pension schemes that aims to add over £11,000 extra to a typical retirement pot.

What do the experts say?

Experts and others in the industry are being encouraged to take part in the consultation, and many see it as a positive for the UK workforce.

Nausicaa Delfas, chief executive of The Pensions Regulator, said: “Multi-employer CDC pension schemes offer the potential to deliver better outcomes for thousands of UK pension savers, turning a pension pot into a retirement income.

“I encourage industry to take part in the consultation and we look forward to working with Government to develop an appropriate regulatory regime.”

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Others say that the announcement of the consultation shows the current government is putting CDC schemes in the spotlight.

And David Brooks, head of policy at independent consultancy Broadstone, said: “Today’s consultation and the rhetoric from the Pensions Minister suggests CDC will be a core pension policy for the current Government.

“They seem clear that CDC could be an answer to many of the issues in the current pension system – including greater investment in the UK economy – and are looking to replace the reliance on individual DC pots with pooling of collective pots.

“However, if CDC is to gain a foothold in the UK’s pension provision, then there has to be an allowance for unconnected employers to work together. If not, CDC will remain the domain of only the very largest employers.”

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However, Mr Brooks pointed out that launching a new model of pension saving will likely prove a huge operational and financial challenge for smaller employers who also went through the auto-enrolment reforms in the past.

He added that there’s uncertainty over how the “club” approach – where multiple employers pool together – would work in reality.

“The design, regulation and authorisation of these schemes will also need to be implemented correctly, and the current consultation will form the bedrock of this,” he added.

In terms of what the shakeup could mean for workers, Steve Webb, former pensions minister and current partner at LCP, said it should be a good idea for many.

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“In principle, these schemes could be good news for people who are looking for something more than an individual pot of money which they have to manage at retirement,” he said.

“Similar schemes have worked reasonably well in other countries such as Netherlands, Scandinavia and Canada, though with local variations in exactly how they worked.”

How does a CDC scheme differ?

Previously, workers only had two types of pensions to choose from.

DB pensions are where what you get in retirement is decided based on your salary, and you’ll be paid a set amount each year on retirement.

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These schemes are not usually offered to new workers any more, apart from in some public sectors such as the NHS and teaching.

DC schemes are where contributions from you and your employer are invested and then your retirement pension depends on the size of your individual final pension pot.

CDC schemes are seen as sitting between the two, but with a CDC pension, you don’t get your own pot.

Instead, workers in your business will put money into a collective pot – with your employer contributing too.

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This pot is shared between workers, with each employee drawing an income from this big fund when they reach retirement.

Mr Webb explained: “The idea of a collective DC scheme is that it falls somewhere between the two extremes of old-style Defined Benefit (DB) pensions where there is a hard promise and the employer has to bear all the risks, to new-style individual DC pensions where the risks around investment performance, inflation and how long you live are all on the individual.”

He pointed out that in a CDC you are given a target pension figure for each year you are in the scheme, and while it’s not guaranteed, it’s what you’re aiming for.

Mr Webb added: “If everything goes well you may get a bit more. If things go badly then workers and pensioners might get a bit less. This could be, for example, lower annual inflation increases than they were expecting or even – in extreme cases – a cut in pension.

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“The idea is that you do all of this collectively – this means at scale (which could improve cost-effectiveness) and by pooling risks across large numbers of members of all ages.”

He also said that a particular advantage is that a CDC pension lasts as long as you do – so you don’t have to manage an individual pot in your seventies and eighties and hope it doesn’t run out.

What are the different types of pensions?

WE round-up the main types of pension and how they differ:

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  • Personal pension or self-invested personal pension (SIPP) – This is probably the most flexible type of pension as you can choose your own provider and how much you invest.
  • Workplace pension – The Government has made it compulsory for employers to automatically enrol you in your workplace pension unless you opt out.
    These so-called defined contribution (DC) pensions are usually chosen by your employer and you won’t be able to change it. Minimum contributions are 8%, with employees paying 5% (1% in tax relief) and employers contributing 3%.
  • Final salary pension – This is also a workplace pension but here, what you get in retirement is decided based on your salary, and you’ll be paid a set amount each year upon retiring. It’s often referred to as a gold-plated pension or a defined benefit (DB) pension. But they’re not typically offered by employers anymore.
  • New state pension – This is what the state pays to those who reach state pension age after April 6 2016. The maximum payout is £203.85 a week and you’ll need 35 years of National Insurance contributions to get this. You also need at least ten years’ worth to qualify for anything at all.
  • Basic state pension – If you reach the state pension age on or before April 2016, you’ll get the basic state pension. The full amount is £156.20 per week and you’ll need 30 years of National Insurance contributions to get this. If you have the basic state pension you may also get a top-up from what’s known as the additional or second state pension. Those who have built up National Insurance contributions under both the basic and new state pensions will get a combination of both schemes.

Can I get more cash through a CDC scheme?

In theory, you could get more money when you retire under a CDC scheme.

Hargreaves Lansdown’s senior pensions and retirement analyst, Helen Morrissey, previously told The Sun that this is because workers of different ages will invest into a collective pot of money.

This allows cash to be invested in “higher risk investments that might not be otherwise possible for older workers”, she said.

This is because there is a much bigger pot of money to invest, compared to your own individual pot.

The bigger the amount you invest, potentially the bigger the profit you could make – but you are in no way guaranteed a return.

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“If times are tough on the stock market, or people – especially those in ill health – transfer out, then the scheme may have to reduce the income it aims to pay out,” she said.

How can I sign up?

Your employer will have to set up a CDC scheme before you can apply to it.

Employers can set themselves up with a CDC scheme if it’s currently an option for them.

It’s worth getting in touch with your company to see whether it is planning to offer this option or not.

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Top tips to boost your pension pot

DON’T know where to start? Here are some tips from financial provider Aviva on how to get going.

  • Understand where you start: Before you consider your plans for tomorrow, you’ll need to understand where you stand today. Look into your current pension savings and research when you’ll be eligible for the state pension, and how much support you’ll receive.
  • Take advantage of your workplace pension: All employers are legally required to provide a workplace pension. If you save, your employer will usually have to contribute too.
  • Take advantage of online planning tools: Financial providers Aviva and Royal London have tools that give you an idea of what your retirement income will be based on how much you’re saving.
  • Find out if your workplace offers advice: Many employers offer sessions with financial advisers to help you plan for your future retirement.

Do you have a money problem that needs sorting? Get in touch by emailing money-sm@news.co.uk.

Plus, you can join our Sun Money Chats and Tips Facebook group to share your tips and stories

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UK Christmas market named one of Europe’s best – with over 100 stalls, live bands and a singing festive moose

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Birmingham Frankfurt Christmas Market is located in front of Brimingham's beautiful civic buildings

A CHRISTMAS market in the UK has been named one of the best in Europe.

Taking 8th place is none other than the UK’s Birmingham Frankfurt Christmas Market.

Birmingham Frankfurt Christmas Market is located in front of Brimingham's beautiful civic buildings

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Birmingham Frankfurt Christmas Market is located in front of Brimingham’s beautiful civic buildingsCredit: Alamy
The market has over 100 stalls, a wide selection of German food and drink and free live music

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The market has over 100 stalls, a wide selection of German food and drink and free live musicCredit: Alamy

Set against Victoria Square and the new Street shopping district, the market is the largest authentic German Christmas market outside of Austria and Germany.

It’s organised by Birmingham’s sister city of Frankfurt with over 100 stalls selling traditional toys, ornaments, arts and crafts.

There’s also a wide selection of traditional German food and drink on offer, including bratwurst, pretzels, schnitzels, roasted almonds, glühwein, weissbeer, and hot chocolate. 

And a free live music programme with performances from German and Birmingham musicians takes place.

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Rides and attractions include a Big Wheel, a Carousel, Danters AIR (a swing, spin and loop ride), and an ice rink.

But perhaps the most famous attraction of them all is a singing moose called Chris Moose.

The Christmas moose, a faux deer head, become quite the sensation over the years by belting out Christmas classics during the festivities.

He even has his own X profile, where he keeps followers entertained with hilarious pun-based jokes.

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Some of his best posts include: “I had a great joke about German Christmas cake but someone’s stollen it.”

And: “What are the best Christmas jumpers made from? Fleece Navidad!”

People who have visited the market over the years have taken to Tripadvisor to share their thoughts.

One person wrote: “Had a wonderful time on our overnight visit to Birmingham Market.

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“Lots of traditional German food and drink to try, with plenty of festive entertainment around. Queue’s were not too long either.”

Another said: “Look forward to this every year, gluwein music and fun.

‘I’ve been visiting the Christmas market in Birmingham for nearly two decades’

Travel reporter Hope Brotherton has been going to the market for nearly two decades – and can confirm it’s one of the best in the country.

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As a young girl, my siblings and I enjoyed riding on the twinkling merry-go-round, sliding down the colorful helter skelter, and begging our parents for sweets at our favourite market stall.

The grub was another tantalising draw, with typical German dishes like pretzels, schnitzels, bratwursts, and roasted almonds, all vying for our pocket money.

And, as a student in the city, my friends and I often indulged in a weissbier (wheat beer), or two, at one of the traditional German beer halls.

A quick flash through the last 20 years of my jaunts to the Christmas market proves one thing: it has a little something for everyone, including a singing moose.

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Perhaps the most famous attraction at the Birmingham Christmas market is a singing moose called Chris Moose

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Perhaps the most famous attraction at the Birmingham Christmas market is a singing moose called Chris MooseCredit: @thechrismoose/X

“Also plenty of others bars around once you’ve had your German wurst and a pint or two.”

The city’s Christmas market was given a place in the top 10 by European Best Destinations.

The list comprises of 20 markets, which were ranked based on more than 590,000 votes of worldwide travellers.

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Advent Feast at the Basilica in Budapest, Hungary was awarded the top spot, for its beautiful location, unique festive atmosphere, gastronomic adventures, and heart-warming musical and charity programmes.

Two more Christmas markets in Europe also made the list – London’s Hyde Park Winter Wonderland and Manchester’s Christmas market.

Birmingham Frankfurt Christmas Market will return to the city centre from Friday, November 1 and run until December 24.

In the mean time, here is Butlin’s ‘ultimate Christmas holiday weekend’ launching this year.

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And here are some affordable December city breaks you can still book.

Best Christmas Markets in Europe 2024

  1. Budapest, Hungary – Advent Feast at the Basilica
  2. Craiova, Romania
  3. Metz, France
  4. Poznan, Poland
  5. Montbeliard, France
  6. Riga, Latvia
  7. Govone & Asti, Italy
  8. Birmingham, UK
  9. Madeira, Portugal
  10. Valkenburg, The Netherlands
  11. Brussels, Belgium
  12. Trier, Germany
  13. Edinburgh, Scotland
  14. Vienna, Austria
  15. Saranda, Albania
  16. London, UK
  17. Dresden, Germany
  18. Prague, Czech Republic
  19. Bruges, Belgium
  20. Manchester, UK

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Oil prices sink on worries over Chinese demand

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Oil prices sank sharply on Tuesday, falling by more than 5 per cent on worries over the Chinese economy and extending the recent series of wild swings to hit the market. 

Benchmark Brent crude fell 5.4 per cent to $76.56 a barrel after rising by 10 per cent in the four trading days following Iran’s missile strike on Israel on October 1. 

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The move was triggered by a lack of new spending commitments from Beijing, following more than a week of frenzied speculation that significant economic stimulus measures were on the way, sparking concerns over the strength of demand from the world’s second-largest economy and forcing traders to exit their bullish bets.

“It’s an overbought market correcting,” said Jorge Montepeque at Onyx Capital Group. After falling below the $70-a-barrel threshold in September on worries over the Chinese economy and the prospect of Opec increasing its production in December, the tensions in the Middle East, coupled with a promise of stimulus from Beijing, re-energised the market, he said. 

“Prices rallied on a combination of buying from day traders, retail and professional traders. The latter group had scoped out the opportunity created by too many shorts and pounced on them,” he said. But with Israel yet to counter attack Iran, and in the absence of strong fiscal measures by China, the “market will deflate again”.

In a sign of lowered tension over a potential Israeli attack on Iran, TankerTrackers.com said it had spotted three supertankers loading an estimated 4.7mn to 4.9mn barrels of oil at Iran’s Kharg Island oil terminal. Previously, ships had moved away from the terminal, fearing that it might be hit by Israel.

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Samer Mosis, head of fundamentals at Energy Aspects, also said traders were taking profits and added that the strengthening of Hurricane Milton in Florida could reduce demand for petrol in the state. “Given the lack of damage to refineries or upstream platforms, the hurricane will probably be net bearish for oil markets by hurting demand,” he said. 

Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS, said he expected prices would stabilise around current levels until there was clarity over Israel’s reaction to Iran.

“I do not see the geopolitical risk premium disappearing. If Israel attacks, we do not know whether Iran will counter attack, so that’s a reason to keep the risk premium in the price,” he said.

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