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Keir Starmer addresses first Labour conference as PM

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This article is an on-site version of our The Week Ahead newsletter. Subscribers can sign up here to get the newsletter delivered every Sunday. Explore all of our newsletters here

Hello and welcome to the working week.

We start with something already under way, but leading UK news agendas this week: Labour’s annual conference in Liverpool.

As an alumnus of the city’s original red-brick university, I have many happy memories of days out at the rejuvenated Victorian waterfront, where Labour party apparatchiks, lobbyists and journalists will gather until Wednesday. Sir Keir Starmer, set to give his first address to delegates as prime minister on Tuesday, may not remember the next few days on the banks of the Mersey so fondly as I do given that controversy swirls about his personal ethics concerning Labour donor Lord Waheed Alli’s largesse.

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There is also much chatter about what will and will not be announced in the October Budget as chancellor Rachel Reeves gives her conference speech on Monday. For some insights into Labour’s plans with regards to business, read FT political editor George Parker’s interview with business secretary Jonathan Reynolds.

On the other side of the planet, we begin the week digesting results of Sri Lanka’s presidential election. Read more about that here.

Meanwhile Japan’s Liberal Democrats are gearing up for a “wild west” vote to elect a new leader, and therefore prime minister, on Friday. Could they appoint the country’s first female PM? Read this to find out more about the various contenders in this unusually wide-open contest.

Austria goes to the polls on Sunday with recent polls showing a clear lead for the far-right Freedom party.

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The new earnings season has yet to kick into gear, but the companies news diary includes British tech firm Raspberry Pi announcing its first results as a company listed on the London market on Tuesday. Also of note on the earnings schedule are the world’s largest clothing retailer H&M and global professional services business Accenture.

After last week’s deluge of rate-setting meetings, several central bankers will be out on the speaking circuit this week. There is also a more modest flow of economic data reports than last week, though we will get G7 economic comparisons from the latest PMI data on Monday and the final US GDP estimate for the second quarter on Thursday. More details on all of these elements below.

One more thing . . . 

First, thank you to my colleagues David and Melody for holding the fort these past four weeks, and thank you also to those of you who wished me well, and even worried that I might not be returning from this brief sabbatical to rest, reflect and plan some new projects. The highlight was our family adventure across the US, by plane, train and automobile, which was even better than my (work) trip taking part in a guitar retreat in Turkey for the FT Travel section — I mention this because the piece, which you can read here, came out while I was away.

Wherever you find yourself this week, I hope it proves fruitful. Please share your thoughts about the highlights for this week by emailing me at jonathan.moules@ft.com or, if you are reading this from your inbox, hitting reply.

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Key economic and company reports

Here is a more complete list of what to expect in terms of company reports and economic data.

Monday

  • Eurozone, India, France, Germany, UK, US: HCOB/S&P Global September manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ index data

  • Japan: Autumn Equinox Day observed. Financial markets closed.

  • Results: Oxford BioMedica HY

Tuesday

  • Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem provides a fireside chat at the Institute of International Finance and Canadian Bankers Association Canada Forum in Toronto

  • Banca d’Italia/G7 workshop titled “Building a quantum safe financial system: what role for authorities and for the private sector?” The event will include introductory remarks by Banca d’Italia senior deputy governor Luigi Federico Signorini

  • Australia: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision announced

  • Germany: Ifo Business Climate Index

  • Japan: flash PMI data (AM local time)

  • Nigeria: Monetary Policy Committee interest rate decision announced

  • UK: average household income statistics

  • Results: AutoZone Q4, AG Barr HY, Card Factory HY, Fonix FY, HSS Hire HY, Raspberry Pi HY, Smiths FY, SThree Q3 trading update, Tui pre-close trading update

Wednesday

  • Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Megan Greene speaks at event hosted by Newcastle’s Chambers of Commerce

  • Philippine central bank governor Eli Remolona speaks at a forum of the Asian Development Bank on capital markets in Manila

  • Meta Connect developer conference begins, bringing together engineers, designers, and creatives to discuss virtual reality, with a keynote address by Meta chief executive Mark Zuckerberg

  • OECD Interim Economic Outlook Report

  • Australia: August consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate data

  • France: September INSEE consumer confidence survey

  • US: August new home sales figures

  • Results: Co-operative HY, De La Rue AGM trading update, DFS Furniture FY, Micron Technology Q4

Thursday

  • Shoib Khan, director of insurance supervision at the Bank of England’s Prudential Regulation Authority, speaks at the 29th Bank of America Financials CEO conference

  • Germany: GfK consumer climate survey

  • Japan: Bank of Japan publishes its monetary policy meeting minutes

  • UK: Financial Conduct Authority annual public meeting. Also, August capital issuance statistics

  • US: final Q2 GDP data

  • Results: Accenture Q4, Costco Wholesale Q4, CVS FY, H&M Q3, Pantheon Infrastructure HY

Friday

  • France: September CPI and PPI inflation rate data

  • Germany: monthly labour market statistics

  • US: University of Michigan monthly consumer sentiment survey

World events

Finally, here is a rundown of other events and milestones this week.

Monday

  • Austria: International Atomic Energy Authority board meeting in Vienna

  • France: Paris Fashion Week begins, running until October 1

Tuesday

  • UK: Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer addresses MPs and other delegates at the Labour party conference in Liverpool

  • US: UN General Debate opens in New York

Wednesday

Thursday

  • Germany: first plenary session of the Thuringian State Parliament following Alternative for Germany’s victory in the regions recent elections

  • Italy: G7 agriculture ministers’ meeting begins in Syracuse

  • Luxembourg: Pope Francis commences a four-day visit to the north European nation and its neighbour Belgium

  • US: World Bank/IFS/ODI Public Finance Conference begins in Washington

Friday

  • Japan: Liberal Democratic party holds a leadership vote, in effect deciding the new prime minister, after current premier Fumio Kishida said last month he would not seek re-election

  • UK: Scottish Conservatives due to announce the winner of their leadership ballot to replace Douglas Ross

Saturday

Sunday

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European steelmakers plead with Brussels to tackle flood of Chinese exports

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European steelmakers have appealed to trade officials to tackle a surge in Chinese steel exports that has driven European prices below the cost of production.

A new, comprehensive system of tariffs is needed to address the market-distorting effects of global overcapacity and protect domestic manufacturers battered by weak demand and high energy costs, producers and Europe’s main trade body told the Financial Times.

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China, the world’s largest producer of steel, is expected to export more than 100mn tonnes of the metal this year, more than any year since 2016. The surge has already raised trade tensions and prompted several countries to introduce tariffs on imports.

Direct Chinese exports to Europe are small since the introduction of safeguards on certain steel products in 2018, but the industry has said it is suffering the knock-on effects of higher imports from elsewhere.

The volume of exports from China was “huge”, said Genuino Christino, chief financial officer at ArcelorMittal, Europe’s biggest producer. He said the industry was “back to the crisis that was led by the high exports from China in 2015 and 2016”.

The flood of “subsidised, below-cost Chinese steel exports” was threatening the sustainability of Europe’s steel industry and its low-carbon transformation, said German steelmaker Salzgitter.

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Column chart of  showing China’s steel exports are forecast to rise this year

Russell Codling, director of marketing and business development in the UK for India’s Tata Steel, said current market conditions were a “huge issue” for the industry, especially with “demand on the floor”.

“The [European] commission needs to take bold measures such as a tariffication scheme to tackle the root causes of the problem, which are huge excess capacities in China and other countries,” said Salzgitter.

Regulators should introduce a more “global, tariff-like measure” to help European producers, which were suffering the knock-on effects of Chinese sales to other markets, said Axel Eggert, director-general of Eurofer, the trade body.

Europe’s existing safeguards had lost their effectiveness and were unable to absorb the volume of imports, he added.

“Chinese export prices today are below production costs,” said Eggert. 

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Several countries have already taken action to address market problems, including Canada. In July, the US announced a 25 per cent duty on any steel coming from Mexico that had not been melted and poured in North America. India said last week it was in talks to tackle rising steel imports.

Imports of flat steel products to the EU rose 30 per cent in the first four months of 2024, according to Thyssenkrupp Steel, Germany’s largest producer. That trend, along with poor demand and high energy costs, was “putting significant pressure” on the European industry, the company said.

It was also jeopardising investment in the sector’s green transition, it added.

The EU market is “pretty weak”, said Bastian Synagowitz, global head of steel research at Deutsche Bank, adding that “imports are still rising”.

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Arcelor’s Christino said the situation in Europe was “particularly challenging” given the combination of weak demand, high energy costs and the rise in imports. He pointed out that the continent used to be a net exporter of steel.

“Now we are a net importer,” he said.

With Europe’s existing safeguards due to expire in two years, Christino said it was even more important that the EU “gets right” its proposed carbon border adjustment mechanism, which will tax products based on their carbon content. The levy should be expanded to cover a wider range of products, the company said.

Matthew Watkins, principal steel analyst at CRU Group, said an additional challenge for Europe’s steelmakers was a rise in imports of Chinese steel-containing goods, notably electric vehicles, which “then compete with European manufacturing industry — in other words, with the domestic European demand source for steel”.

The EU already has more than 40 investigations into dumped or subsidised Chinese goods exports of all types. In metals, there are punitive duties on organic coated steel products, aluminium foil and radiators, iron and steel pipes and tubes and fasteners, such as screws.

The commission is investigating complaints about Chinese exports of tin plate, steel track shoes and pipe fittings. A probe is under way into hot rolled flat steel from Egypt, India, Japan and Vietnam.

However, one commission trade official said there was no appetite for a fight with China on steel, while Brussels was trying to get member states to approve tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles. That process has already prompted trade retaliation from Beijing.

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The commission declined to comment.

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This $25,000 Bucket List NYC Experience Sells Out a Year in Advance

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(credit: courtesy of The Ritz-Carlton New York Central Park)

Situated on the corner of 59th St and 6th Ave just across the street from Central Park, The Ritz-Carlton New York, Central Park offers a yearly suite package not to be missed. Its location along the parade route of the iconic Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade makes it an idyllic location to wrap guests in the magic of the parade. 

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The hotel offers a $25,000-per-night Thanksgiving Specialty Suite package that includes unparalleled parade views from your room and brunch for up to eight guests in the Artists’ Gate Suite. Located on the 3rd floor, the suite offers exceptional views of Central Park and Sixth Avenue from its 13 large windows, providing a perfect viewpoint to the parade below. Designed for entertaining, the suite features two separate living rooms, a guest bathroom, billiards room and a dining room which seats eight. 

(credit: courtesy of The Ritz-Carlton New York Central Park)

Along with an overnight stay for you and four guests in the Artists’ Gate Suite, this package includes other perks such as a $250 room credit, gourmet treats, luxury airport transfers and more. Due to the popularity of the three-hour parade in Manhattan and the hotel’s perfect vantage point to see the giant balloons, fabulous floats and great entertainers, the package is so popular that it sells out a year in advance! So if you and your friends and family are looking to celebrate Thanksgiving in true splendor, make sure to call the hotel to reserve for next year.

The property also offers a Thanksgiving Package for stays in rooms or suites with exceptional parade views, or regular non-parade view rooms, early reservations and special amenities designed to create lasting memories for families and loved ones. Rates vary but start at $3,000 per night for non-parade view rooms, with parade-view rooms also booking out a year in advance. 

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Guests who stay at the hotel will also have access to on-property restaurant Contour, numerous wellness experiences – including the first stateside La Prairie Spa and innovative Movement Studio – and an unrivaled starting point for an incomparable luxury retreat in the city. 

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Your Royal Rocky Mountain Getaway

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Have you ever stayed in a hotel or resort before and can’t believe it actually exists, let alone you are setting foot in such a magical place? That was the experience I had while visiting Fairmont Banff Springs; a castle-like historic hotel that makes fairytale dreams come true.

Banff National Park, adjacent to the property, was designated as a UNESCO World Heritage site in 1984, and when you visit, you understand why. The soaring craggy mountains, glacially-fed bright blue rivers and lakes, thick forests and picturesque meadows are all jaw-droppingly beautiful. Amidst the natural splendor, the Fairmont Banff Springs prominently reaches for the pristine blue skies, a bastion of architecture, historic significance, luxury accommodations and fine dining.

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Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

A great way to orient yourself to the property is to take a history tour. Our guide, Ewen, was from Scotland and gave great insights to the property’s history, which itself is speckled with Scottish thistle motifs, European-inspired design and over 130 years of remarkable history. The tour helps to add the layers of appreciation to the space, from the fossil-speckled Tyndall stone flooring, to the explanation of the hotel’s footprint being 180 degrees off from the architect’s original orientation. Stories of original guests staying for a 3-4 month season and having their bank accounts verified at check in, to a hidden lounge behind a bookshelf in the Rundle Bar. A fascinating peek into the property’s past, the well-timed tour is a great orientation.

Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

The Fairmont Gold Experience is a hotel-within-a-hotel luxury offering for guests, which I highly recommend. A private check-in desk as well as lounge with dedicated concierge staff only accent the beautifully appointed rooms and large lounge space which is home to an impressive breakfast spread, canapes and cocktails throughout the day. A quiet area lounge is backed by a large fireplace; ideal for curling up with a good book and enjoying a comfy afternoon.

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Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

Vermillion dining room

Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

Dining experiences abound at Fairmont Banff Springs, and you should try them all. The Vermillion Room is home to French-inspired cuisine. Sweeping views of the surrounding mountains can be enjoyed from the dining room and bar areas. Open for breakfast, lunch, dinner and Sunday brunch (which I enjoyed thoroughly with an impressive array of fare and perhaps the best profiterole I’ve ever had), Vermillion Room is charming and delightful.

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Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

1888 Chop House fare

Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

1888 Chop House is the award-winning steakhouse on property. Known for their Alberta beef, wild game and oceanwise seafood, no stay at Fairmont Banff Springs is complete without a meal at this storied steakhouse. Details and touches such as the nasturtium butter to go with the 1888 house bread, a delectable bison tenderloin, or a wagyu beef tenderloin with accompaniments such as Quebec blue cheese, lobster tails or foie gras will have you begging to return. Desserts such as the Textures of Chocolate or Forest Berries and Cream are worth saving room for as well.

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Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

Another aspect to the resort that isn’t to be missed is the 40,000 sf spa. Dip into the mineral pool surrounded by various temperature waterfall whirlpools, or head outside for a hot tub that overlooks the valley beyond while birds sing in the branches above. While there, I tried the 60-minute Signature Rockies Rehydration service; an assortment of dry-brushing skin technique, relaxing massage and top-tier spa product treatments that my only wish was wanting to stay longer.

Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

The indoor and outdoor pools are ideally situated to take in the view of the surrounding mountains, with lounge areas available in both. Paramount to this destination is the great outdoors; so whether strolling or biking into town, taking a horseback canter, riding the scenic gondola, or playing a round of golf, there is something for everyone.

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Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

The hotel may have been opened in 1888 by the Canadian Pacific Highway, but there is no lack of luxury and memorable experiences to be had at this hotel and resort today. Enjoy one of the 739 hotel rooms, the opulent dining opportunities, 27 holes of internationally acclaimed golf, and spacious spa in the Rocky Mountains. For rates and reservations, visit https://www.fairmont.com/banff-springs/

Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

Fairmont Gold loung food offerings

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Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

The Rundle Bar

Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

The Rundle Bar fare

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The Rundle Bar patio

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Deluxe room

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Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

The Rundle Bar quiet lounge

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Crown Suite bathroom

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Courtesy of Fairmont Banff Springs

Junior Suite

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Yoga on outdoor patio

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Walk into town

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Running on trails in Banff

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Enjoy golf in the stunning mountain setting





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Bitcoin price strength extends to AVAX, SUI, TAO and AAVE — Are altcoins back?

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Bitcoin price strength extends to AVAX, SUI, TAO and AAVE — Are altcoins back?


Bitcoin’s rally to $64,000 increased traders’ interest in altcoins like AVAX, SUI, TAO and AAVE.



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Missy Mazzoli on turning the Hum into an opera with sociopolitical resonance

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A strange phenomenon has brought together a diverse group of people in a US suburb. For weeks or months, a persistent, low hum has been heard by each of them, but not by their families and friends. It has been causing headaches, nosebleeds, insomnia and — increasingly — panic. Some people have moved out of the family home. Others have lost their jobs.

What is this hum? One of the group suggests a kind of seance to see if, collectively, they can control it. Another blames the “deep state”, government surveillance or conspiracies by the Democrats. A cult-like atmosphere develops as the group looks desperately for leadership.

This is the plot of Jordan Tannahill’s The Listeners, which began life as the outline plot for an opera but first appeared as a novel in 2021, before being realised as an opera in 2022. Now it is being turned into a BBC television mini-series, starring Rebecca Hall, by Tannahill himself. Meanwhile, the opera, composed by Missy Mazzoli, will have its first US performances this month by Opera Philadelphia, which co-commissioned it.

The timing is not coincidental. With the US election less than two months away, the subject of how a group of people can fall under the influence of one individual with a strong personality is again likely to be scrutinised in the media.

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A woman with long brown hair in a brown top and white overshirt stands underneath trees as sunlight shines through
Composer Missy Mazzoli, who says ‘The Listeners’ opera was first conceived when Donald Trump became US president in 2016 © Daniel Dorsa/New York Times/Redux/Eyevine

“We conceived this idea initially in 2016, when [Donald] Trump was elected,” says Mazzoli, American composer of a series of successful operas. “We were asking what Trump offers Americans — a sense of belonging, of being listened to by a leader — and, on the darker side, whether he is exploiting people to his own end. The pluses and minuses of having a charismatic leader have certainly been more in the conversation in the last eight years. That election revealed a lot about America, about how people were frustrated, feeling alone and unheard.”

Mazzoli says she has long been fascinated by cults. “At the time there were a lot of documentaries about cults, from Wild Wild Country, about Bhagwan Shree Rajneesh’s community in Oregon in the 1980s, to The Vow, on the cult NXIVM in upstate New York. All these organisations tend to follow the same pattern, in that there is eventually some sort of betrayal, in which one person comes forward and says there is abuse from the leader, and within days or weeks the cult will disintegrate.”

The basic idea was presented to Tannahill, the Canadian playwright and author, who produced a seven-page outline for an opera. From there to a full libretto was still a sizeable undertaking and that fell to Royce Vavrek, who had already worked with Mazzoli on her opera Proving Up. Meanwhile, Tannahill went his own way writing the novel, so The Listeners has a complex family tree.

Vavrek says he was not involved in Tannahill’s dramaturgical journey, and Tannahill was not involved in theirs: “When you plant two seeds, they’re the same genus of flower and yet they grow in different ways in different environments.”

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He says that watching Trump and Kamala Harris develop their campaigns has taken on extra resonance. “Even though [the opera] is not a direct allegory to the political climate we’re living in, it is interesting to compare the rhetoric coming out of the two presidential candidates with that of Howard [the cult leader in The Listeners] and see how they are encouraging people to fall in line with their platform.”

What neither the opera nor the book does is offer easy answers as to why people are drawn into cults. It may often be politics or religion that is the conduit, but those who feel the attraction are not easily categorised.

The story that Tannahill proposed brings them together through the allegorical symbol of “the Hum”, a real-life phenomenon felt by an estimated 4 per cent of the world’s population. Here it signifies an unquantifiable human need in search of a solution. One of music’s unique strengths is that it can be ambiguous, and Mazzoli’s opera makes the most of that quality, suggesting a powerful but unknown force at work, drawing the audience into another world.

A group of about 30 people mainly dressed in blue standing on an opera stage with windows and an ox head with horns on the wall behind them
The cast for the opera of ‘The Listeners’, showing from this month at Opera Philadelphia © Erik Berg

“That is the true mysteriousness of the Hum,” says Lileana Blain-Cruz, the opera’s director. “People are asking themselves: ‘Am I going crazy? What is reality? Am I alone in this?’ It’s wonderfully dense and complex. Missy and Royce like to go deep into the subterranean layers of our consciousness, and that’s why I love this opera. Yes, it’s the politics, but it’s also psychology. What makes us people?”

We follow the human story through the character of Claire, the role taken by Hall in the TV series. A middle-class wife and mother, she finds her life upended by the unceasing hum, losing her job as a teacher and leaving her family. In group meetings at Sequoia Crescent she starts to find solace — until it all goes wrong.

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For Mazzoli, the moral ambiguity of Claire’s character adds to the many-layered story. We are rooting for her and yet she starts down a questionable path in her relationship with Kyle, one of her students, who also hears the Hum. It is a measure of how isolated they feel that they gravitate towards the cult.

“In this incredibly divided nation each side is finding a sense of identity with a certain party,” says Mazzoli. “I think that’s, in part, because we don’t have a social safety net. The idea of individualism, of being able to take care of yourself and not have the government intervene, means that people often don’t have a sense of community.

“But a need for community is part of human nature. We just have to go to greater extremes to find it, whether that means joining a cult or finding some extreme community online. America seems ripe for that scenario just now.”

Missy Mazzoli’s opera ‘The Listeners’ runs September 25-29, operaphila.org

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Election day is already here for some US voters as states open the polls early

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For a growing number of Americans, election day is already here.

Polling day may be officially set for November 5, but in several states early voting is under way, with tens of millions of Americans expected to cast their ballots before then.

In-person voting began on Friday in three states — Minnesota, South Dakota and Virginia. A handful of others, including Alabama and Wisconsin, have started mailing absentee ballots to voters who have requested them, and several more will follow suit in the coming weeks.

“Happy voting season!” declared one Democratic party activist outside a government building in Arlington, Virginia, on Friday, where several hundred voters lined up before the polls opened at 8am to be among the first in the country to cast their ballots for the White House.

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“We want to win in October, not November 5,” said Rose Fabia, a 65-year-old Democratic party volunteer wearing an “I VOTED” sticker on her lapel.

“It is psychological, showing to the other side that we have the numbers.”

Campaign billboards outside a polling station in Arlington, Virginia, on Friday
Campaign billboards outside a polling station in Arlington, Virginia, on Friday © Lauren Fedor, FT

About 20 miles, or 32km, away, outside a polling station in nearby Fairfax, Virginia, Mary Lyn Field-Nguer, 76, was also leafleting for the Democrats after casting her own ballot for Kamala Harris.

“I really wanted to be the first person in line,” Field-Nguer added. “Anything could happen, and if anything prevented me from voting I would never forgive myself.”

Voters have long been able to request absentee ballots in advance of US elections. But the practice of early voting — either in person or by mail — exploded four years ago in the Covid-19 pandemic. A record of more than 100mn Americans exercised their franchise before election day in 2020.

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While it remains unclear whether a new record for early voting will be set this election cycle, there are strong signs that the practice remains popular in many parts of the country.

According to the US Census Bureau, just under half of people casting ballots in the 2022 midterms voted before election day — a trend experts say is likely to continue this year.

On Friday morning in Arlington, a queue of waiting voters had already stretched on to a second floor of the government building within the first hour of the polls being open.

Gretchen Reinemeyer, who has been general registrar and director of elections for Arlington county since 2019, said the precinct could “easily be on track” to match the number of early votes seen on the first day of voting in 2020, when some 1,400 people cast ballots.

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“Any October surprise is probably going to have less potency because so many early votes have already been banked,” said J Miles Coleman, a non-partisan analyst at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.

Arlington, just outside Washington DC, is a heavily Democratic area: the county backed Joe Biden by an 81-17 margin over Donald Trump there in 2020. Biden won statewide in Virginia by a 10-point margin.

A small but critical share of the electorate swung to the right the following year in an off-year governor’s election to support the more-moderate Republican Glenn Youngkin, and on Friday morning several Republican volunteers were also outside the polling station encouraging people to back Trump over Harris.

The Financial Times poll tracker shows Harris with a lead of more than seven points over Trump in Virginia, but some recent surveys of the state have suggested the race may be closer.

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GOP volunteers in Arlington were also urging people to vote early.

“You never know what is going to happen on election day,” said Matthew Hurtt, chair of the Arlington Republicans, who added that “from a campaign perspective,” voting early also helped organisers better target their efforts in the run-up to polling day.

While people’s votes are kept secret, records are updated in near real-time showing how many ballots have been cast and who has already voted. That allows campaigns and both political parties to stop reaching out to people who have cast ballots, and focus their resources on those who have not.

“It takes you off the list to receive mailers and to receive other campaign materials, so you save the campaign money and you save your mailbox,” Hurtt added.

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Still, early voting has emerged as a divisive issue among Republicans in particular, who have tended to favour voting in person on election day over early voting in recent cycles.

Trump has sowed distrust in the electoral system and continued to maintain, without evidence, that the 2020 election was “rigged” and “stolen” from him. The former president has repeatedly claimed that mail-in voting in particular is a major source of fraud, and earlier this month he vowed that if elected president again, he would prosecute anyone who “cheats” in this year’s ballot.

Katie Gorka
Katie Gorka questions the need for early voting now that the pandemic is over. © Martha Muir, FT

In Fairfax, Katie Gorka, chair of the Fairfax County Republican Committee and a former Trump administration official, questioned why voters needed access to expansive early voting now that the pandemic was over.

“But as long as these are the rules we encourage Republicans to abide by them so that we can win,” she added.

“The whole Republican party is trying to get people to vote early because the Dems vote early,” said Bart Marcois, a 60-year-old consultant who cast his ballot for Trump in Fairfax. “We show up on election day and say ‘yay we had a big turn out’ but theirs is already in the bag.”

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“They’re harvesting ballots and carrying them in,” Marcois added, in an apparent reference to Trump’s unsubstantiated claims that Democrats are submitting illegal ballots. “Every Republican is worried about fraud.”

Other Republican voters, however, were more optimistic.

“Voting is just one of the most important gifts our Founding Fathers gave to this country,” said Mariam Bell, a 69-year-old retiree holding a “Women for Trump” sign in Fairfax.

“This is not about Republicans or Democrats, though, it’s about elites versus the average American,” she added. “Trump understands this and has changed the paradigm.”

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