CryptoCurrency
China says will ‘significantly increase’ debt to revive economic growth
By Kevin Yao and Joe Cash
BEIJING (Reuters) -China said on Saturday it will “significantly increase” government debt issuance to offer subsidies to people with low incomes, support the property market and replenish state banks’ capital as it pushes to revive sputtering economic growth.
Without providing details on the size of the fiscal stimulus being prepared, Finance Minister Lan Foan told a news conference there will be more “counter-cyclical measures” this year.
“There is still relatively big room for China to issue debt,” said Lan.
The world’s second-largest economy faces strong deflationary pressures due to a sharp property market downturn and frail consumer confidence, which have exposed its over-reliance on exports in an increasingly tense global trade environment.
A wide range of economic data in recent months has missed forecasts, raising concerns among economists and investors that the government’s roughly 5% growth target this year was at risk and that a longer-term structural slowdown could be in play.
Data for September, which will be released over the coming week, is expected to show further weakness, but Zheng Shanjie, the chairman of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), China’s state planner, said he was “fully confident” that the target will be met.
Fiscal stimulus measures in China have been the subject of intense speculation in global financial markets after a September meeting of the Communist Party’s top leaders, the Politburo, signalled an increased sense of urgency about mounting economic headwinds.
Chinese stocks reached two-year highs, spiking 25% within days since that meeting, before retreating as nerves set in given the absence of further details on the government’s additional spending plans.
Reuters reported last month that China plans to issue special sovereign bonds worth about 2 trillion yuan ($284.43 billion) this year as part of fresh fiscal stimulus.
Half of that would be used to help local governments tackle their debt problems, while the other half will subsidise purchases of home appliances and other goods as well as finance a monthly allowance of about 800 yuan, or $114, per child to all households with two or more children.
Separately, Bloomberg News reported that China is also considering injecting up to 1 trillion yuan of capital into its biggest state banks to increase their capacity to support the economy, primarily by issuing new sovereign bonds.
Additional debt issuance in China is typically subject to formal approval by its rubber-stamp parliament, which is expected to meet in coming weeks.
STIMULUS STEP-UP
The central bank in late September announced the most aggressive monetary support measures for the economy since the COVID-19 pandemic, including numerous steps to help pull the property sector out of a multi-year slump, including mortgage rate cuts.
However, while the measures have lifted Chinese share prices, many analysts say Beijing also needs to firmly address more deeply-rooted structural issues such as boosting consumption and reducing its reliance on debt-fuelled infrastructure investment.
Most of China’s fiscal stimulus still goes into investment, but returns are dwindling and the spending has saddled local governments with $13 trillion in debt.
Lan said Beijing will support local governments to resolve their debt issues, adding that they still have a combined 2.3 trillion yuan ($325.5 billion) to spend in the last three months of this year, including debt quotas and unused funds.
Local governments will be allowed to repurchase unused land from property developers, Lan said.
Low wages, high youth unemployment and a feeble social safety net mean China’s household spending is less than 40% of annual economic output, some 20 percentage points below the global average. Investment, by comparison, is 20 points above.
A private report by recruiting platform Zhaopin showed that average pay offered by recruiters in China’s 38 major cities fell 2.5% in the third quarter from the second.
Swedish furniture retailer IKEA, whose 39 stores in China have felt the spillovers from the property crisis, urged Beijing on Thursday to deploy further stimulus.
(Reporting by Joe Cash, Kevin Yao and Ellen Zhang; Writing by Eduardo Baptista and Marius Zaharia; Editing by Kim Coghill)
CryptoCurrency
3 Dividend Stocks That Reward You Through Thick and Thin
This year, some notable companies have cut or eliminated their dividends. For example, former stalwarts Walgreens and 3M ended decades-long streaks of dividend growth with deep cuts to their payouts. It’s a situation that can make some investors want to give up altogether on income investing.
However, while some formerly reliable companies have disappointed investors on the dividend front in recent years, others have continued to make their payments no matter what. Enterprise Products Partners (NYSE: EPD), Oneok (NYSE: OKE), and NextEra Energy (NYSE: NEE) stand out to a few Fool.com contributors for their dividend stability. Here’s why you should consider adding them to your portfolio.
Enterprise Products Partners is built to pay you well
Reuben Gregg Brewer (Enterprise Products Partners): For 26 consecutive years, midstream energy giant Enterprise Products Partners has increased its distributions. That’s a huge commitment to its unitholders, but there’s more for income investors to like here than just the distribution history. It all starts with its master limited partnership structure, which is designed to pass income on to investors in a tax-advantaged manner. (A portion of the distribution is usually return of capital.) So down to its foundation, Enterprise is about paying its investors well.
Then, factor in its business model. Enterprise owns energy infrastructure like pipelines, storage, refining, and transportation assets that are vital to the energy sector’s operation. However, unlike other segments of the industry, the midstream segment is largely fee driven. Enterprise generates reliable cash flows based on the use of its assets, so the often-volatile prices of oil and natural gas don’t really have that big an impact on its financial results. Demand for energy, which is usually strong even when oil prices are weak, is the key determinant of Enterprise’s success.
Then there’s the fact that Enterprise has an investment-grade rated balance sheet. Moreover, its leverage is normally toward the low end of its peer group, so it is conservative on both an absolute and relative basis. Lastly, the partnership’s distributable cash flow covers its distribution 1.7 times over.
All in all, a lot would have to go wrong before Enterprise Products Partners would need to cut its distribution. It is far more likely that it will continue to grow those disbursements, albeit slowly, as its capital investment plans pan out. But slow and steady distribution growth combined with a huge 7% yield will probably sound like music to most dividend investors’ ears.
Over a quarter century of growth and stability (and more growth coming down the pipeline)
Matt DiLallo (Oneok): Pipeline giant Oneok has proven its dividend durability over the decades. It has achieved more than a quarter century of dividend stability. While it hasn’t increased its payment every year during that period, it has a strong track record on payout hikes. Since 2013, Oneok has produced peer-leading total dividend growth of more than 150%. That’s impressive, considering that the world experienced two notable periods of oil price volatility during that period.
Oneoke has delivered sustainable earnings growth over the years. Its portfolio of pipelines and related midstream infrastructure generates predictable fees backed by long-term contracts and government-regulated rate structures. Its earnings grow as the volumes flowing through that infrastructure increase due to production growth, organic expansion projects, and acquisitions.
The company has been on an acquisition-fueled expansion binge in recent years. Last year, it bought Magellan Midstream Partners in a transformational $18.8 billion deal that increased its diversification and cash flow. The highly accretive deal will add an average of more than 20% to its free cash flow per share through 2027. That supports management’s view that Oneok will be able to grow its dividend by 3% to 4% annually during that period while also repurchasing shares and reducing its leverage ratio.
Oneok followed that up with a $5.9 billion deal to buy Medallion Midstream and a meaningful interest in EnLink Midstream this August. The transaction will be immediately accretive to its free cash flow and capital allocation strategy. After closing that deal, Oneok plans to buy the rest of EnLink, further boosting its cash flow per share. The company also expects to complete additional organic expansion projects, further enhancing its growth rate.
The midstream giant’s investments will help fuel its dividend growth for the next several years, even if there’s another market downturn. Those features make Oneok a great stock to buy for those seeking reliable dividends.
A steady dividend grower
Neha Chamaria (NextEra Energy): NextEra Energy, which has a yield of 2.6% at its current stock price, has rewarded its shareholders through thick and thin, and management is determined to continue doing so. The utility and clean energy giant has paid regular dividends for decades, but more importantly, increased them steadily over time. Between 2003 and 2023, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of NextEra Energy’s dividend was nearly 10%, backed by a 9% CAGR in its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and an 8% CAGR in operating cash flow during the period.
NextEra Energy operates two businesses — Florida Power & Light Company (the largest electric utility in Florida) and clean energy company NextEra Energy Resources (the world’s largest generator of wind and solar energy). So while its regulated utility business generates stable cash flows, clean energy is where its growth largely comes from.
NextEra Energy expects its adjusted EPS to grow at an annualized rate of 6% to 8% through 2027, and expects annual dividend hikes of around 10% through 2026 as it pumps billions of dollars into both businesses.
More specifically, NextEra Energy plans to spend over $34 billion on Florida Power & Light between 2024 and 2027 and more than $65 billion on renewable energy over the next four years. That’s massive, and if done right, should steadily boost NextEra Energy’s earnings and cash flows to support bigger dividends for years, regardless of how the economy fares.
Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity
Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.
On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:
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Amazon: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2010, you’d have $21,022!*
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Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.
*Stock Advisor returns as of October 7, 2024
Matt DiLallo has positions in 3M, Enterprise Products Partners, and NextEra Energy. Neha Chamaria has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Reuben Gregg Brewer has positions in 3M. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends NextEra Energy. The Motley Fool recommends 3M, Enterprise Products Partners, and Oneok. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Don’t Give Up on Dividends: 3 Dividend Stocks That Reward You Through Thick and Thin was originally published by The Motley Fool
CryptoCurrency
Could Buying SoundHound AI Now Be Like Buying Nvidia in 2023?
Nvidia‘s (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock has been an absolutely incredible performer recently. Since the start of 2023, it rose by more than 800%. Most investors would be thrilled to own a stock that delivered returns like that, but not every company has the potential. It requires a massive growth catalyst to justify such gains.
SoundHound AI (NASDAQ: SOUN) is one company that could have this potential. It’s a key player in one niche of the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, and has a massive backlog for its products.
SoundHound’s product is gaining momentum
SoundHound AI’s technology can parse human speech and perform various tasks based on what it hears. Among the ways it’s already being used most are in processing restaurant orders and improving digital assistants in vehicles, but its capabilities extend far beyond those two use cases.
In the automotive segment, SoundHound partnered with Stellantis; the giant automaker will integrate SoundHound’s tech into its vehicles across Europe and Japan. This will give people access to generative AI functions while they’re driving — an improvement from the voice assistants that are available on vehicles today. If SoundHound can win business with other automakers and break into other regions, this segment of its business alone could provide it with a huge amount of growth.
SoundHound also worked with several companies in the restaurant sector to automate telephone and drive-thru orders, which saves restaurants on wages. According to the company, these AI assistants actually outperform humans in terms of order speed and accuracy, so the customer doesn’t feel like the experience declined. Some of SoundHound’s restaurant customers, among them White Castle and Jersey Mike’s, are fairly big, but there’s serious room for it to grow if it can capture some of the largest fast-food businesses.
SoundHound AI could achieve even greater success if its solutions are utilized in new applications.
But is that potential enough to make its stock the next Nvidia?
Nvidia has one key advantage that SoundHound does not
In the second quarter, SoundHound generated $13.5 million in revenue, which was up 54% year over year. That’s quite small compared to other AI businesses.
However, the key figure investors should focus on is SoundHound’s backlog, which totals $723 million. This figure doubled from a year ago, showing that rising demand has outpaced SoundHound’s capability to integrate its product with its customers’ systems.
This is factoring into SoundHound’s current valuation, as Wall Street has high hopes for the company.
Trading at 23 times sales, SoundHound stock already carries a premium valuation. By contrast, Nvidia traded for around 15 times forward earnings at the start of 2023. That was a dirt-cheap price, and also a far cry from the forward earnings ratio of 47 it trades at today.
SoundHound already has a premium price tag, which detracts from its growth potential from here. But if it can mature into a business that generates $100 million in revenue per quarter, Nvidia-like performance for the stock is still possible.
If SoundHound achieved that and carried a valuation of 20 times sales, it would be worth $8 billion, up 370% from its market cap today. That would be a solid return, but still far less than what Nvidia produced.
SoundHound stock’s premium price tag may prevent it from delivering Nvidia-like returns from here, but that doesn’t mean it won’t be a great investment. However, it’s a bit of a long shot considering the niche use cases for its product and the company’s small size. It could make investors some serious money, but don’t expect Nvidia-like returns.
Should you invest $1,000 in SoundHound AI right now?
Before you buy stock in SoundHound AI, consider this:
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Keithen Drury has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends Stellantis. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Could Buying SoundHound AI Now Be Like Buying Nvidia in 2023? was originally published by The Motley Fool
CryptoCurrency
China warns EU against separate EV price negotiations
BEIJING (Reuters) -China urged the European Union on Saturday not to conduct separate negotiations over the price of China-made electric vehicles sold in the EU, warning that this would “shake the foundations” of bilateral tariff negotiations.
“If the European side, while negotiating with China, conducts separate price commitment negotiations with some companies, it will shake the foundation and mutual trust of the negotiations … and be detrimental to advancing the overall negotiation process,” China’s Ministry of Commerce said in comments published on its website.
It didn’t cite any evidence for the EU carrying out these separate talks beyond saying there had been “relevant reports”.
The comments come days after Brussels rejected a Chinese proposal for EVs made in China to be sold within the bloc at a minimum price of 30,000 euros ($32,000), a move Beijing hoped would avert EU tariffs being imposed next month.
Various manufacturers including European-owned companies in China have authorized the China Chamber of Commerce for Machinery and Electronics to propose a price commitment plan that represents the overall position of the industry, the commerce ministry said.
“This is the basis for the current China-EU consultations,” it added.
(Reporting by Eduardo Baptista; Editing by William Mallard and David Holmes)
CryptoCurrency
The bull market is 2 years old. Here’s where Wall Street thinks stocks go next.
The bull market in the S&P 500 (^GSPC) began two years ago and is showing few signs of slowing.
Backed by the rise of artificial intelligence euphoria and a surprisingly resilient US economy, the S&P 500 has gained more than 60% in the past two years and is hovering near an all-time high.
Wall Street strategists who spoke with Yahoo Finance believe the bull can keep running wild. Barring any unexpected shocks, the path higher appears to be clear, with earnings growth expected to keep accelerating and the economy on seemingly solid footing as the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates.
A bull market for the S&P 500 was officially declared in June 2023 when the index rose 20% from its recent bear market low. History says this bull market still has legs. At two years, the bull market is well shy of the average run of 5.5 years. And the total return thus far, about 60%, is a far cry from the average 180% gain, per research from Carson Group chief market strategist Ryan Detrick.
In the past few weeks, several Wall Street equity strategists have made the case for the benchmark index to rise further into both year-end and into 2025, supported by accelerating earnings for the S&P 500.
“We continue to be surprised by the strength of market gains and decided yet again that something more than an incremental adjustment was warranted,” BMO Capital Markets chief investment strategist Brian Belski wrote in a September note when raising his year-end price target for the S&P 500 to a Street high of 6,100 from a previous target of 5,600.
On Oct. 4, Goldman Sachs boosted its year-end target to 6,000 and initiated a 12-month target of 6,300. Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist David Kostin did note, though, that already high valuations could limit the upside for how far the index can reach in 2025.
Risks to the rally
Strategists who spoke with Yahoo Finance agreed with Kostin that already stretched valuations present a challenge to how much higher stocks can go. Charles Schwab senior investment strategist Kevin Gordon noted that dating back to the mid-1960s, the only time valuations have been this stretched on a trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio were 2021 and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s.
“This would tell you that the bull is much older or somewhat near the end of this life,” Gordon said.
But strategists often warn that a high valuation itself isn’t a proper tool for calling the end of a bull market. Stocks can trade at what are considered to be expensive valuations for longer than expected. What that does tell investors is that much of the good news that could push stocks higher might’ve already been priced in.
“If you look at what the market’s discounting right now, we’d say front and center, a big chunk of what’s being priced in is a soft landing sentiment,” Citi equity strategist Scott Chronert told Yahoo Finance.
Piper Sandler chief investment strategist Michael Kantrowitz noted that high valuations themselves aren’t why bull markets end. There needs to be a catalyst. He explained there are two common reasons market drawdowns happen: a spike in interest rates or a rise in the unemployment rate.
With inflation well off the boil of 2022 and the recent increase in unemployment stalling out, neither of the two downside catalysts are clearly in view.
There could, of course, be a surprise no one sees coming. But “it’s a little bit harder to see where the shock comes from,” Chronert said. “If things continue to play out incrementally, investors can handle a little bit of a change [to the economic narrative] here, a little bit of a change there … It’s when you get a more immediate unraveling, and it’s hard to really say that immediate unraveling is going to come.”
This sets the market up for a narrative shift. To Kantrowitz, the currently expensive valuations show that the bull market is likely moving from a macro-driven environment, where factors like inflation falling and other signs of economic resilience have pushed stocks higher, to one that is more based on the fundamentals.
“For this market to continue moving higher, and particularly to determine what stocks lead, it’s going to be all about earnings,” Kantrowitz said.
The bar for earnings remains high. Consensus estimates project earnings to grow nearly 10% in 2024 and almost 15% in 2025. The key for investors remains finding which sectors are seeing earnings growth accelerate rather than just staying steady.
And , according to Chronert, part of that story could come down to the two letters that defined the first part of the bull market: AI.
Chronert, who said his team is still a holder of the “Magnificent Seven” tech cohort, doesn’t doubt that the AI narrative will continue to manifest itself in the market. But after significant gains seen in those tech stocks over the past two years amid large earnings growth, focus may continue to shift to the broadening impact of AI on companies that aren’t making the AI chips or the cloud servers operating the new technology.
For AI to continue to have broader impact on the market and keep pushing earnings growth for the index above expectations, “you’ve got to have more companies delivering on the AI promise via margins [and] profitability metrics,” Chronert said.
He added, “It would be that sort of thesis that has to play out, and that’s going to take two to five years.”
Josh Schafer is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X @_joshschafer.
Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices
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Scroll lists on Binance, sparking debate over centralization concerns
Scroll’s Binance listing has sparked community debate, with critics raising concerns about centralization, while Scroll’s co-founder has highlighted global growth strategies.
CryptoCurrency
Cardano hosts first legally enforceable contract in Argentina
The milestone moment comes 10 months after the country legalized crypto for payments in commercial contracts last December.
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