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Is This Stock-Split a Buying Opportunity or a Trap?

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Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) is a pretty complicated investment right now. On one hand, it makes server components and entire servers that are in massive demand thanks to artificial intelligence (AI). On the other hand, there are accounting malpractice accusations and a Department of Justice (DOJ) probe that is investigating those concerns.

Right now, the bear case outweighs the bull one, which is why shares of Supermicro (as the company is known) are down 60% from their all-time high set in March. Furthermore, the company has recently undergone a 10-for-one stock split, a catalyst that usually causes a stock price to rise, not fall.

So, is this a stock to stay away from? Or is it a chance to own an undervalued and potentially massive winner?

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Supermicro’s product is at risk of being commoditized

Let’s start with the business itself — and there may be other concerns to consider here, too. The space for Supermicro’s products is rather saturated today as a result of many competitors.

However, Supermicro has one key advantage: It has the most energy-efficient technology available. With energy being a significant operating cost for these servers, companies are considering the total cost of operation for them. This is pushing a massive amount of demand Supermicro’s way.

However, this isn’t without its own problems. Supermicro’s gross margin has collapsed due to its new liquid-cooled technology, as its supply chain has been bottlenecked for key components in these new systems. Management expects its gross margins to increase throughout fiscal 2025 (ending June 30, 2025), driven by its customer mix and manufacturing efficiencies as it scales up manufacturing in Malaysia and Taiwan, which should alleviate the bottlenecks it’s currently experiencing.

SMCI Gross Profit Margin (Quarterly) Chart

SMCI Gross Profit Margin (Quarterly) Chart

While this may be true, something else could be happening here. When a product becomes commoditized, companies that make it have to start cutting margins to compete. This could be happening with Supermicro’s business, which wouldn’t bode well for the company, even if it has best-in-class products.

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This will be an important trend to watch over the next year as a low gross margin could break the Supermicro investment thesis.

Accounting malpractice allegations have triggered a government probe

Then there are the allegations and government probe. Well-known short seller Hindenburg Research released a report in late August alleging account malpractice at Supermicro, something the Securities and Exchange Commission already fined Supermicro $17.5 million for in 2020. While Supermicro’s management has denied these allegations, it didn’t do itself any favors when it announced it was delaying filing its end-of-year form 10-K with the SEC the day after Hindenburg’s report was published due to assessing “internal controls over financial reporting.”

It’s worth remembering that Hindenburg is a short seller, and so it benefits when the stock price falls. However, these allegations were serious enough that the DOJ initiated a probe into Supermicro to determine whether they had merit. It will be some time before we know the results of this investigation, so investors have a tough choice to make.

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I wouldn’t blame anyone for throwing Supermicro into the “too hard to understand” pile. There’s no shame in this conclusion. One of the greatest investors of all time, Warren Buffett, often does this with businesses he doesn’t understand. With shrinking gross margins and an ongoing DOJ probe, there are certainly a lot of negatives surrounding Supermicro.

But there are some positives too. In fiscal 2025 (ending June 30, 2025), Supermicro expects its revenue to grow between 74% and 101% year over year. That’s massive growth, yet the stock is priced at a dirt cheap level.

SMCI PE Ratio (Forward) Chart

At just 14.2 times forward earnings, Supermicro may be one of the cheapest companies you’ll ever find that’s posting growth rates like that. So, if Supermicro’s management is right and it improves its gross margin and delivers strong growth throughout FY 2025, the stock has massive upside, as it’s far below where the S&P 500 trades (at 23.7 times forward earnings).

I think there’s enough of a compelling investment thesis here that I bought the dip on the stock. However, I only let it take up around 1% of my portfolio, as there’s a lot of risk involved. Supermicro is all about risk tolerance and management. If you’re not OK with this stock losing money on the potential for strong gains, there are still plenty of other AI stocks that are great picks.

But there’s a strong chance this stock could double — if it works out some of its flaws.

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Keithen Drury has positions in Super Micro Computer. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Super Micro Computer: Is This Stock-Split a Buying Opportunity or a Trap? was originally published by The Motley Fool

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Sam Altman-backed energy stock surges amid AI-driven ‘nuclear power renaissance’

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Sam Altman-backed energy stock surges amid AI-driven 'nuclear power renaissance'


Sam Altman-backed nuclear power company Oklo (OKLO) has boomed on the stock market over the past month as investors look to nuclear energy as the next big AI trade.

Shares in the company, which is designing so-called small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs), have surged nearly 140% over the past month on Big Tech’s growing interest in nuclear power. SMRs are designed to produce cheaper, faster, greener energy than traditional nuclear facilities.

Amazon (AMZN) and Google (GOOG) in mid-October announced substantial investments in SMR projects as they look to balance their climate goals with the growing energy demands of the data centers powering their various AI software. Oracle’s (ORCL) Larry Ellison announced in September that the company intends to build a data center powered by SMRs.

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“A nuclear power renaissance is underway with nuclear increasingly viewed as a solution which solves both the increased need for baseload power and the need to decarbonize,” wrote Craig-Hallum analyst Eric Stine in a recent note to investors. Baseload power refers to the day-to-day energy demand on an electrical grid.

Stine said Google and Amazon’s investments are “truly just the beginning of a multi-decade megatrend.”

Goldman Sachs estimates that global data center power consumption will grow 160% by 2030, driven by demand from artificial intelligence. Meanwhile, separate data from the International Atomic Energy Agency shows nuclear power production in North America potentially doubling by 2050.

Stocks of other firms making similar tech to Oklo’s, such as NuScale (SMƒR) and NANO Nuclear Energy (NNE), also surged following news of Google’s and Amazon’s investments on Oct. 14 and Oct. 16, respectively, before paring gains this week.

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“The opportunity is so massive here in the market that there’s going to be a good number of folks that are successful,” Oklo CEO Jacob DeWitte told Yahoo Finance.

In fact, the SMR market could grow to $300 billion by 2040, according to research cited by Citi analysts.

Oklo went public in May through a merger with a special purpose acquisition company, AltC Acquisition Corp., which Altman co-founded. In addition to Altman, Cathie Wood and Peter Thiel are on its list of investors.

Sam Altman owned a 2.6% stake in the company, according to a regulatory filing in June. He became chair of Oklo in 2024 after serving as its CEO for three years.

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Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI speaks during the Italian Tech Week 2024. (Photo by Stefano Guidi/Getty Images)
Sam Altman, co-founder and CEO of OpenAI as well as chairman of Oklo, speaks during the Italian Tech Week 2024. (Stefano Guidi/Getty Images) · Stefano Guidi via Getty Images

While Oklo was founded in 2013, well ahead of the AI boom, the energy needs of artificial intelligence have been a boon to the firm as it builds its client book, DeWitte said.



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Why This Green Bitcoin Miner Could Be the Next Big AI Infrastructure Stock

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Why This Green Bitcoin Miner Could Be the Next Big AI Infrastructure Stock


The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is driving unprecedented demand for energy-intensive data centers. The International Energy Agency projects that data centers may account for up to one-third of the anticipated increase in U.S. electricity demand through 2026.

Major tech companies, like Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet, are racing to secure clean energy power sources, such as nuclear energy, to meet their mounting energy needs. One under-the-radar company with established renewable infrastructure is uniquely positioned to capitalize on this accelerating trend.

Digital oil rigs mining Bitcoin.
Image source: Getty Images.

TeraWulf (NASDAQ: WULF) operates Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) mining facilities powered by approximately 95% zero-carbon energy sources, primarily hydroelectric power. The company’s revenue surged 130% year over year to $35.6 million in the second quarter of 2024, driven by an 80% increase in operational mining capacity and higher Bitcoin prices.

Moreover, TeraWulf has significantly strengthened its financial position by eliminating its debt ahead of schedule. This clean balance sheet positions TeraWulf to fund its ambitious expansion plans in both cryptocurrency mining and AI infrastructure.

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TeraWulf is leveraging its existing clean energy infrastructure to enter the high-performance computing and AI market. The company has already completed a 2.5 megawatt (MW) proof-of-concept project designed for next-generation graphics processing unit (GPU) technology.

Additionally, construction is underway on a 20 MW colocation facility engineered to support AI workloads. The facility includes advanced features, like liquid cooling and redundant power systems typical of premium data centers. It is scheduled to kick off operations in Q1 2025, according to the company.

TeraWulf recently secured $425 million through a convertible note offering at a reasonable 2.75% interest rate, reflecting strong institutional investor confidence. The company plans to use these funds for strategic acquisitions and the expansion of data center infrastructure to support its AI computing initiatives.

Furthermore, TeraWulf’s board recently authorized a $200 million share repurchase program through December 2025, signaling management’s belief that the stock may be undervalued despite rising approximately 165% year to date.

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WULF Chart
WULF Chart

TeraWulf’s clean energy resources give it a unique edge in the rapidly growing AI infrastructure market. Major tech companies are actively seeking sustainable power sources for their energy-intensive AI operations, making TeraWulf’s zero-carbon data centers particularly attractive.



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Why I’m Loading Up on These 3 High-Dividend ETFs for Passive Income

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Why I'm Loading Up on These 3 High-Dividend ETFs for Passive Income


I want to become financially independent. My core strategy is to grow my passive income so that it will eventually cover my recurring expenses. To reach that goal, I’m taking a multipronged approach that includes investing in dividend stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and real estate.

I’m loading up on several dividend ETFs to grow my passive income, including JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium ETF (NASDAQ: JEPQ), SPDR Portfolio High Yield Bond ETF (NYSEMKT: SPHY), and iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NYSEMKT: AGG). Here’s why I like this trio for passive income.

JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium ETF takes a unique approach to generating income. The fund writes out-of-the-money call options on the Nasdaq-100 Index. That strategy generates options premium income each month that the ETF distributes to investors.

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That income has really added up over the past year. The ETF’s dividend yield over the last 12 months is 9.5%. That’s a higher yield than U.S. high-yield junk bonds (7.9%) and the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond (4.4%). However, the payments do ebb and flow based on the options premium income the fund generates, which fluctuates with volatility.

In addition to income, this fund offers price appreciation potential. The ETF also holds a portfolio of stocks the managers select based on data science and fundamental research. The fund’s price rises as that equity portfolio’s value increases. Because of that, the fund offers the best of both worlds: high income and upside potential.

SPDR Portfolio High Yield Bond ETF provides exposure to the high-yield (junk) bond market. These bonds have sub-investment-grade bond ratings because the companies issuing this debt have weaker financial profiles. That puts these bonds at high risk of default.

This fund holds a large basket of these bonds (over 1,900) diversified across sectors, issuers, and maturity. That diversification helps reduce the default risk. If an issuer defaults on its bond, it won’t have a major impact on the ETF. Meanwhile, even if a severe market downturn negatively impacted financially weaker companies, the overall diversification of the fund should help mute the impact on ETF investors.

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Investors get paid well to assume the higher risk profile of these bonds. The fund has a distribution yield currently above 7%. While the monthly distribution payments fluctuate based on interest payments received, the fund offers a relatively steady passive income stream.

The iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF focuses on the other side of the bond market: investment-grade bonds. These bonds have a lower risk of defaulting, making them ideal for those seeking a very low-risk income stream.



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Could Buying This Weight Loss Stock Be Like Investing in Novo Nordisk At The Dawn of The GLP-1 Revolution?

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Could Buying This Weight Loss Stock Be Like Investing in Novo Nordisk At The Dawn of The GLP-1 Revolution?


One of the biggest sensations fueling the healthcare space right now is the medication class of glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) agonists. Even if you aren’t familiar with the term “GLP-1,” you’ve probably heard of Ozempic and Wegovy. Both medications are GLP-1 agonists, used to treat diabetes and obesity, respectively.

These treatments have become blockbuster drugs for their maker, Novo Nordisk, and have helped fuel generous gains for investors in the stock. While Novo Nordisk currently dominates the GLP-1 industry, a number of other players are looking to enter the space.

One leading entrant is Viking Therapeutics (NASDAQ: VKTX). Below, I’ll break down where Viking stands in its pursuit of the weight loss market, and assess whether buying the stock could be like investing in Novo Nordisk at the beginning of the Ozempic revolution.

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Viking has several drug candidates in its pipeline. But the one that investors seem most honed in on is VK2735 — a dual GLP-1 and GIP receptor agonist focused on treating obesity. As a dual agonist, VK2735 could wind up being a more optimal treatment for obesity and diabetes than single-pathway GLP-1 medicines such as Ozempic or Wegovy.

In late October, Viking announced that it will be meeting with the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) during the fourth quarter, about the proper steps and protocols to move VK2735 into a phase 3 clinical trial.

A graphic image of risk and reward balancing each other out
Image source: Getty Images.

Given the information above, you might think buying Viking stock now — prior to phase 3 trials — is a lucrative opportunity. However, there is quite a bit to consider besides anecdotal updates about VK2735.

So far in 2024, shares of Viking have rocketed by a whopping 323% — putting its market cap right around $8.8 billion. Considering that the company doesn’t generate revenue, it’s hard to justify this valuation.

On the bright side, I think Viking is in a pretty solid financial position.

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At the end of the third quarter, it boasted $930 million of cash and equivalents on its balance sheet. Furthermore, the company has spent roughly $105 million in operating expenses through the first nine months of the year. This implies an annual run rate of approximately $140 million in spending on research and development (R&D) and other administrative expenses, suggesting that Viking has ample liquidity to continue funding its operations.

I see Viking Therapeutics as largely a speculative opportunity. While data from its clinical trials so far have been encouraging, there are still plenty of unknowns surrounding the phase 3 study.



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FTX settles lawsuit against the Bybit exchange for $228 million

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FTX settles lawsuit against the Bybit exchange for $228 million


The prices of Bitcoin and other digital assets were significantly lower during the 2022 collapse of FTX compared to current market prices.



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Is SoFi Stock a Buy?

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Is SoFi Stock a Buy?


SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) has done an excellent job expanding its customer base and growing revenue. However, it has contended with sluggish loan growth in the high-interest rate environment, leading to investor skepticism about its short-term prospects. As a result, the stock remains 62% below its all-time high price in 2021.

However, the company has found multiple levers for growth and is seeing encouraging progress in its nonconsumer business. If you’re considering buying SoFi today, here’s what you should know.

In its early days, SoFi focused on helping people refinance their student loan debt. Then in 2020, the pandemic and policies around student loan forbearance forced SoFi to reevaluate its business. One area that helped drive its ongoing growth was personal lending. From 2020 to 2023, SoFi’s personal loan originations grew from $2.6 billion to $13.8 billion.

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The higher-interest rate environment of the past couple of years has been a double-edged sword for SoFi. On one hand, consumers have had to grapple with higher interest rates, which could make it harder for them to pay down their debts.

In the second quarter, SoFi charged off $151.8 million in personal loans, giving it a charge-off ratio of 3.84% on its $15.9 billion personal loan portfolio. This is up from 2.94% one year ago and is one metric that investors have kept a close eye on. Charge-offs have risen across the banking sector over the past couple of years, which many attribute to normalizing conditions rather than systemic weakness across the consumer.

Additionally, SoFi projects that its lending segment revenue will decline 5% to 8% compared to last year. CEO Anthony Noto told investors during the first quarter that the fintech is taking “a more conservative approach in light of macroeconomic uncertainty.”

Conversely, higher interest rates have helped SoFi grow its net interest income significantly. One big reason for this was its 2022 acquisition of Golden Pacific Bancorp, which enabled SoFi to hold deposits and thus, more loans on its books. Since acquiring the bank, its total deposits have grown to nearly $23 billion, thanks to its high-yielding savings accounts offering an annual yield of up to 4.5%.

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Last year, SoFi brought in almost $1.3 billion in net interest income, up over 400% from 2021. This solid growth continued through the first half of this year, with its net interest income increasing 55% to $815 million.



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