CryptoCurrency
Should You Buy Nvidia Stock As Its AI Summit Gets Underway? History Says This Will Happen.
Artificial intelligence (AI) leader Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is set to host its 2024 AI Summit starting Oct. 7. The event will bring together leaders from across the industry to see and hear from some of the foremost minds in AI. It’s a chance to catch a peek at the future of this potentially revolutionary technology.
With such a big event upcoming, you might be asking yourself: Should I invest in Nvidia now? History may give us a clue. Let’s take a closer look at the company.
Nvidia dominates its rivals
There was a time when Nvidia and its longtime rival, Advanced Micro Devices, were neck and neck in their battle to control the gaming market. By and large, there was parity between both of the company’s income statements. That’s changed. After AI hit an inflection point in late 2022, Nvidia is dominating AMD, earning more in profits than AMD does in total revenue. Take a look at this chart, which shows just how monumental the recent shift has been.
That’s what you get when you control 90% of a market as valuable as AI silicon. The great news for Nvidia is that it doesn’t look like the gravy train will stop anytime soon. The messaging from the rest of big tech, the companies that represent most of its business, is that their spending is likely to accelerate in the near future.
This is a race of sorts, and none of the big players can afford to be left behind. As Alphabet‘s CEO, Sundar Pichai, put it in the company’s latest earnings call: “The risk of underinvesting is dramatically greater than the risk of overinvesting for us here.” Alphabet expects to spend roughly $50 billion this year in capital expenditures (capex), up from $32 billion the year before — and it’s not alone.
At present, the bulk of this spending is still flowing through Nvidia as AMD, Intel, and others struggle to match the power and efficiency of Nvidia’s chips. There is still enormous demand for its current generation, and the company’s next generation will likely ship within the next few months. The massive profits Nvidia has enjoyed means it has large amounts to spend on maintaining its edge. Despite already leading the pack, Nvidia outspent AMD in research and development roughly two to one last quarter.
What history has to say
This will be the third year in a row that Nvidia will host an AI event in this vein. The company began these events in 2022 with a virtual event focused on speech in AI. 2023 was supposed to be the first year of a full-fledged, multi-day AI summit, but the event was moved online for a single day. This year’s event will take place in person over three days.
Despite their more modest meeting formats, both of the previous iterations led to a nice bump-up in Nvidia’s stock price. In the week that followed 2022’s event, shares were up as much as 10%. In 2023, they were up as much as 6.5%. So will this year’s conference also lead to a jump in stock price? Maybe.
I know that might be a disappointing answer, but the truth is that we can’t know for sure. First of all, two years is a very small sample size from which to draw firm conclusions. Also, even if we had more years to reference, correlation is not causation. Just because two things can be linked — like an AI summit and a jump in stock price — doesn’t mean one happens because of the other.
But the event is a chance to remember the power that AI holds. Instead of thinking about possible short-term stock movements, focus on the company’s long-term prospects. Don’t lose sight of the forest for the trees. This is a company at the top of its game, enabling the adoption of a potentially revolutionary technology.
Should you invest $1,000 in Nvidia right now?
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Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Johnny Rice has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends Intel and recommends the following options: short November 2024 $24 calls on Intel. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Should You Buy Nvidia Stock As Its AI Summit Gets Underway? History Says This Will Happen. was originally published by The Motley Fool
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Boeing will lay off 10% of its employees as a strike by factory workers cripples airplane production
Boeing plans to lay off about 10% of its workers in the coming months as it continues to lose money and tries to deal with a strike that is crippling production of the company’s best-selling airline planes.
New CEO Kelly Ortberg told staff in a memo Friday that the job cuts, which could total about 17,000 positions, will include executives, managers and employees.
The company has about 170,000 employees worldwide, many of them working in manufacturing facilities in the states of Washington and South Carolina.
Boeing had already imposed rolling temporary furloughs, but Ortberg said those will be suspended because of the impending layoffs.
The company will delay the rollout of a new plane, the 777X, to 2026 instead of 2025. It will also stop building the cargo version of its 767 jet in 2027 after finishing current orders.
Boeing has lost more than $25 billion since the start of 2019.
About 33,000 union machinists have been on strike since Sept. 14. Two days of talks this week failed to produce a deal, and Boeing filed an unfair-labor-practices charge against the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers.
As it announced layoffs, Boeing also gave a preliminary report on its third-quarter financial results — and the news is not good for the company.
Boeing said it burned through $1.3 billion in cash during the quarter and lost $9.97 per share. Industry analysts had been expecting the company to lose $1.61 per share in the quarter, according to a FactSet survey, but analysts were likely unaware of some large write-downs that Boeing announced Friday.
The company based in Arlington, Virginia, said it had $10.5 billion in cash and marketable securities on Sept. 30.
The strike has a direct bearing on cash burn because Boeing gets half or more of the price of planes when it delivers them to airline customers. The strike has shut down production of the 737 Max, Boeing’s best-selling plane, and 777x and 767s. The company is still making 787s at a nonunion plant in South Carolina.
“Our business is in a difficult position, and it is hard to overstate the challenges we face together,” Ortberg told staff. He said the situation “requires tough decisions and we will have to make structural changes to ensure we can stay competitive and deliver for our customers over the long term.”
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Billionaire Ray Dalio Is Skeptical Of The Recent Rate Cuts – These Are The Stocks He’s Holding
Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below.
With a net worth of over $14 billion, Ray Dalio is one of the most respected investors on Wall Street. He founded Bridgewater Associates in 1975, which has grown to become the world’s largest hedge fund, with roughly $97.2 billion in net assets under management.
Notably, Bridgewater Associates is the fourth most profitable hedge fund in terms of absolute dollar returns as the fund’s net gains amounted to approximately $55.8 billion between 1975 and 2023.
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Dalio thinks the U.S. economy is “in a relatively good balance” right now and doesn’t foresee multiple rate cuts. This sharply contrasts with market expectations, which signal at least two more rate cuts in 2024 alone.
Not On Any Preset Course: Powell
Wall Street rejoiced at the September rate cut by 50 basis points, with investors speculating about the magnitude of the next rate cut. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has hinted that future rate cuts might be smaller as the central bank cautiously navigates avoiding a recession while bringing down inflation.
“Looking forward, if the economy evolves broadly as expected, policy will move over time toward a more neutral stance. But we are not on any preset course,” he said. “The risks are two-sided and we will continue to make our decisions meeting by meeting.”
As the risks associated with rate cuts are two-sided, Powell acknowledged, “This [FOMC] is not a committee that feels like it’s in a hurry to cut rates quickly.”
Dalio’s Outlook On The Bond Market
Dalio believes the bond market is in a precarious position and Treasury bonds, particularly, have not been great investments recently.
“Treasury bonds have not been a great investment,” Dalio said at the Greenwich Economic Forum. “We have an interest rate risk in that bond market.”
With institutional investors and central banks holding substantial Treasuries, Dalio thinks the market may be overweighted in these securities.
Furthermore, the erratic fluctuations in Treasury yields this year are a major deterrent as the two-year Treasury yield has swung between 3.5% and 5%, reflecting a market on edge.
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Bridgewater Associates’ Top Holdings
Dalio retired as co-CIO in 2022 and gave up control of Bridgewater Associates. However, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, he still owns a 49.9% stake in the company.
The hedge fund has diversified its holdings across multiple sectors as evidenced by its second-quarter 13F filing.
Alphabet
Bridgewater Associates owns 4.54 million shares of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL), making it its third-largest holding – accounting for 4.32% of the total portfolio. The Magnificent Seven stock has been an investor favorite for a long time.
While the recent probe by the Department of Justice to break up Google’s dominance in the search engine industry has shocked many, industry experts have not reacted sharply to the news.
“We don’t believe there are any major surprises,” stated Doug Anmuth, an analyst at J.P. Morgan. “We don’t believe the high-level framework changes much for Google shares near term.”
In the wake of the DOJ’s court filing, Google wrote in a blog post that the “DOJ’s radical and sweeping proposals risk hurting consumers, businesses and developers.”
Analysts are mostly bullish on GOOGL stock, with a price target of $201.64. This indicates a potential upside of nearly 25%.
Procter & Gamble
Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE:PG) stock is Bridgewater’s fifth-largest holding, accounting for 3.1% of the total portfolio. As of June 30, 2024, the hedge fund’s stake in Procter & Gamble was valued at $592.90 million.
The consumer goods giant’s stable dividend makes it a staple investment for defensive plays. The company has increased dividend payouts for 68 consecutive years, making it a Dividend King. Proctor & Gamble pays $4.03 in dividends annually, yielding 2.39% on the current price.
Wondering if your investments can get you to a $5,000,000 nest egg? Speak to a financial advisor today. SmartAsset’s free tool matches you up with up to three vetted financial advisors who serve your area, and you can interview your advisor matches at no cost to decide which one is right for you.
Keep Reading:
This article Billionaire Ray Dalio Is Skeptical Of The Recent Rate Cuts – These Are The Stocks He’s Holding originally appeared on Benzinga.com
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