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These stocks are best-positioned to gain in the next wave of AI investment, Goldman Sachs says

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These stocks are best-positioned to gain in the next wave of AI investment, Goldman Sachs says


AI robot artificial intelligence money hand

Getty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BI
  • AI enthusiasm has rebounded in recent weeks after investors worried about returns over the summer.

  • In the next wave of investment, Goldman Sachs analysts recommend “platform” stocks like Microsoft and Datadog.

  • Analysts recommend stocks that will build a direct application of AI and allow for more widespread adoption.

Move over, Nvidia.

With artificial intelligence investment rebounding after excitement cooled over the summer, a new set of stocks is set to benefit from the next wave of cash flowing to the burgeoning sector, according to Goldman Sachs.

In the next round of AI investment, Goldman Sachs analysts say investors should look past the obvious picks—Nvidia and AI infrastructure companies—and toward a select set of platforms set to build out a direct application of AI.

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“Our equity analysts believe ‘platform’ stocks, including databases and development tools, are set to be the primary beneficiaries of the next wave of generative AI investments. These platforms allow the best use of AI infrastructure while providing building blocks to construct next generation applications,” the analysts said in a Thursday note.

The analysts name Microsoft, DataDog, MongoDB, Elastic, and Snowflake as the best-positioned platform stocks as they roll out AI-integrated applications.

While many of those platform stocks have plunged this year on near-term fundamental weakness, they have historically low valuations and stabilizing revisions that set them up well as AI investment rebounds, the analysts say.

The analysts’ recommendations come as investors remain focused on Nvidia and the companies that build out AI infrastructure, such as semiconductors, cloud providers, and data center REITs.

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The analysts say the share prices for those stocks will likely continue to increase, but returns will be driven more by earnings than valuations.

“Expected future returns could be constrained by elevated starting valuations, although valuations are historically a poor near-term signal for large-cap equities,” the analysts said, adding that with AI spend surprising less to the upside than before, that could make for more moderate returns for those “phase 2” AI infrastructure stocks.

In general, the platform stocks are the exception among other “phase 3” stocks—those with potential to monetize AI by generating incremental revenues like in software and IT services— because the timing of AI monetization is still uncertain.

The same goes for “phase 4” stocks, or companies that would benefit from widespread adoption in general since that’s likely still years away, the analysts said.

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“We believe the roll-out of applications among Phase 3 stocks is a necessary condition before investors will gain confidence about owning Phase 4 stocks with the largest potential earnings gains from AI-related productivity,” they said.

The analysts’ comments come after flows into AI stocks dwindled over the summer as traders expressed worries over returns on big AI spending. That led to sharp underperformance in July, and in early August, Nvidia tumbled as much as 27% from its all-time high in June.

Now, the stock is back up to trading near its record high as the AI trade has reaccelerated in recent weeks amid interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and strong macro data.

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Buying Medical Properties Trust Taught Me a Costly Lesson

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Motley Fool


Medical Properties Trust (NYSE: MPW) is my largest investment in a single real estate investment trust (REIT). I built that position up over a decade and a half by steadily buying more shares of the healthcare REIT. The main draw was its high-yielding dividend.

That investment paid off for a long time. However, the healthcare REIT has come under tremendous pressure in recent years due to an issue I completely overlooked: tenant concentration. Medical Properties Trust leased a significant percentage of its hospital portfolio to two tenants, which cost the company and its shareholders dearly when it ran into financial troubles. That taught me to pay much closer attention to customer concentration and quality when investing in any company.

Not diversified enough

Medical Properties Trust is one of the largest owners of hospital real estate in the world. It owns several hundred facilities leased to many different hospital operators. However, two tenants comprised a meaningful percentage of its total assets and revenues for many years. For example, at the end of 2022, the REIT’s rent roll consisted of:

Operator

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Properties

Percentage of Total Assets

Percentage of Revenues

Steward Health Care

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41

24.2%

26.1%

Circle Health

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36

10.5%

11.9%

Prospect Medical Holdings

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14

7.5%

11.5%

Priory Group

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32

6.6%

5.3%

Springstone

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19

5%

5.8%

50 Operators

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302

38%

39.4%

Other investments

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0

8.2%

0%

Total

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444

100%

100%

Data source: Medical Properties Trust.

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While the REIT had over 50 tenants, five supplied more than 60% of its revenue. That became an issue as Steward Health Care and Prospect Medical Holdings ran into financial troubles.

Those issues led the REIT to work with these large tenants to help them navigate their financial problems. For example, in May 2023, Medical Properties Trust reconstituted its $1.6 billion investment in properties leased to Prospect Medical Holdings in a series of transactions. It converted some leases into an equity interest in that company’s managed care business. Meanwhile, it temporarily suspended rents in California, with partial repayments resuming last September and full rent commencing this past March.

Medical Properties Trust also tried to keep Steward afloat by providing financial assistance and temporarily reducing its rent. However, those efforts weren’t enough, and Steward filed for bankruptcy earlier this year. The REIT was finally able to sever its relationship with Steward last month, which enabled it to find new tenants for many of the properties it formerly leased to that company.

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The REIT’s issues with two of its largest tenants weighed heavily on its stock price (shares are down nearly 80% from their peak a few years ago). It has had to sell properties leased to financially stronger tenants to repay maturing debt. It also cut its dividend twice.

Lessons learned

The biggest lesson I’ve learned from investing in Medical Properties Trust is to carefully consider customer concentration and quality when investing. The higher the concentration of a single customer, the greater the risk that the client’s issues will become a problem for that investment. Likewise, if a company has a high concentration of financially weaker clients, that could also impact my investment in the future.

Medical Properties Trust has learned this lesson the hard way. That’s led it to focus on diversifying its tenant base by bringing in higher-quality tenants. For example, it agreed to lease its entire Utah hospital portfolio to CommonSpirit Health last year after the healthcare company acquired Steward’s operations at those facilities. CommonSpirit has strong investment-grade credit, which enhances its ability to meet its financial obligations. Securing such a high-quality tenant for those facilities enabled the REIT to sell a majority interest in the real estate to another investor to raise additional cash. Meanwhile, it recently agreed to replace Steward at 15 other properties with four high-quality operators as part of its bankruptcy settlement with Steward.

As a result of that agreement, the REIT has achieved the objectives it laid out in its second-quarter earnings conference call. CFO Steve Hamner stated, “Looking through the calendar to 2025 and into 2026, our expectation is that we will have a stable portfolio of hospital real estate leased to key operators in their respective markets with no exposure to Steward.” With that goal achieved, the REIT can focus on rebuilding its portfolio by adding new properties leased to high-quality operators to continue diversifying its tenant base. That should also enable it to rebuild its dividend.

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It’s important to dig a little deeper

I didn’t pay enough attention to Medical Properties Trust’s tenant concentration as I built my position, which proved costly. However, I learned a valuable lesson: Analyze a company’s client base and quality because that could have a meaningful impact on its future results. Medical Properties Trust learned that costly lesson as well. With its tenant quality improving and its rent roll more diversified, it’s in a much better position to deliver the stable income and growth I initially expected as I built my position. That’s why I plan to continue holding, believing it can eventually make a full recovery.

Should you invest $1,000 in Medical Properties Trust right now?

Before you buy stock in Medical Properties Trust, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Medical Properties Trust wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $826,130!*

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Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 7, 2024

Matt DiLallo has positions in Medical Properties Trust. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Buying Medical Properties Trust Taught Me a Costly Lesson was originally published by The Motley Fool



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3 Dividend Stocks That Reward You Through Thick and Thin

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Motley Fool


This year, some notable companies have cut or eliminated their dividends. For example, former stalwarts Walgreens and 3M ended decades-long streaks of dividend growth with deep cuts to their payouts. It’s a situation that can make some investors want to give up altogether on income investing.

However, while some formerly reliable companies have disappointed investors on the dividend front in recent years, others have continued to make their payments no matter what. Enterprise Products Partners (NYSE: EPD), Oneok (NYSE: OKE), and NextEra Energy (NYSE: NEE) stand out to a few Fool.com contributors for their dividend stability. Here’s why you should consider adding them to your portfolio.

Enterprise Products Partners is built to pay you well

Reuben Gregg Brewer (Enterprise Products Partners): For 26 consecutive years, midstream energy giant Enterprise Products Partners has increased its distributions. That’s a huge commitment to its unitholders, but there’s more for income investors to like here than just the distribution history. It all starts with its master limited partnership structure, which is designed to pass income on to investors in a tax-advantaged manner. (A portion of the distribution is usually return of capital.) So down to its foundation, Enterprise is about paying its investors well.

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Then, factor in its business model. Enterprise owns energy infrastructure like pipelines, storage, refining, and transportation assets that are vital to the energy sector’s operation. However, unlike other segments of the industry, the midstream segment is largely fee driven. Enterprise generates reliable cash flows based on the use of its assets, so the often-volatile prices of oil and natural gas don’t really have that big an impact on its financial results. Demand for energy, which is usually strong even when oil prices are weak, is the key determinant of Enterprise’s success.

ET Financial Debt to EBITDA (TTM) Chart

ET Financial Debt to EBITDA (TTM) Chart

Then there’s the fact that Enterprise has an investment-grade rated balance sheet. Moreover, its leverage is normally toward the low end of its peer group, so it is conservative on both an absolute and relative basis. Lastly, the partnership’s distributable cash flow covers its distribution 1.7 times over.

All in all, a lot would have to go wrong before Enterprise Products Partners would need to cut its distribution. It is far more likely that it will continue to grow those disbursements, albeit slowly, as its capital investment plans pan out. But slow and steady distribution growth combined with a huge 7% yield will probably sound like music to most dividend investors’ ears.

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Over a quarter century of growth and stability (and more growth coming down the pipeline)

Matt DiLallo (Oneok): Pipeline giant Oneok has proven its dividend durability over the decades. It has achieved more than a quarter century of dividend stability. While it hasn’t increased its payment every year during that period, it has a strong track record on payout hikes. Since 2013, Oneok has produced peer-leading total dividend growth of more than 150%. That’s impressive, considering that the world experienced two notable periods of oil price volatility during that period.

Oneoke has delivered sustainable earnings growth over the years. Its portfolio of pipelines and related midstream infrastructure generates predictable fees backed by long-term contracts and government-regulated rate structures. Its earnings grow as the volumes flowing through that infrastructure increase due to production growth, organic expansion projects, and acquisitions.

The company has been on an acquisition-fueled expansion binge in recent years. Last year, it bought Magellan Midstream Partners in a transformational $18.8 billion deal that increased its diversification and cash flow. The highly accretive deal will add an average of more than 20% to its free cash flow per share through 2027. That supports management’s view that Oneok will be able to grow its dividend by 3% to 4% annually during that period while also repurchasing shares and reducing its leverage ratio.

Oneok followed that up with a $5.9 billion deal to buy Medallion Midstream and a meaningful interest in EnLink Midstream this August. The transaction will be immediately accretive to its free cash flow and capital allocation strategy. After closing that deal, Oneok plans to buy the rest of EnLink, further boosting its cash flow per share. The company also expects to complete additional organic expansion projects, further enhancing its growth rate.

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The midstream giant’s investments will help fuel its dividend growth for the next several years, even if there’s another market downturn. Those features make Oneok a great stock to buy for those seeking reliable dividends.

A steady dividend grower

Neha Chamaria (NextEra Energy): NextEra Energy, which has a yield of 2.6% at its current stock price, has rewarded its shareholders through thick and thin, and management is determined to continue doing so. The utility and clean energy giant has paid regular dividends for decades, but more importantly, increased them steadily over time. Between 2003 and 2023, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of NextEra Energy’s dividend was nearly 10%, backed by a 9% CAGR in its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and an 8% CAGR in operating cash flow during the period.

NextEra Energy operates two businesses — Florida Power & Light Company (the largest electric utility in Florida) and clean energy company NextEra Energy Resources (the world’s largest generator of wind and solar energy). So while its regulated utility business generates stable cash flows, clean energy is where its growth largely comes from.

NextEra Energy expects its adjusted EPS to grow at an annualized rate of 6% to 8% through 2027, and expects annual dividend hikes of around 10% through 2026 as it pumps billions of dollars into both businesses.

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More specifically, NextEra Energy plans to spend over $34 billion on Florida Power & Light between 2024 and 2027 and more than $65 billion on renewable energy over the next four years. That’s massive, and if done right, should steadily boost NextEra Energy’s earnings and cash flows to support bigger dividends for years, regardless of how the economy fares.

Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity

Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.

On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:

  • Amazon: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2010, you’d have $21,022!*

  • Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $43,329!*

  • Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $393,839!*

Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.

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See 3 “Double Down” stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 7, 2024

Matt DiLallo has positions in 3M, Enterprise Products Partners, and NextEra Energy. Neha Chamaria has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Reuben Gregg Brewer has positions in 3M. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends NextEra Energy. The Motley Fool recommends 3M, Enterprise Products Partners, and Oneok. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Don’t Give Up on Dividends: 3 Dividend Stocks That Reward You Through Thick and Thin was originally published by The Motley Fool

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Could Buying SoundHound AI Now Be Like Buying Nvidia in 2023?

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Nvidia‘s (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock has been an absolutely incredible performer recently. Since the start of 2023, it rose by more than 800%. Most investors would be thrilled to own a stock that delivered returns like that, but not every company has the potential. It requires a massive growth catalyst to justify such gains.

SoundHound AI (NASDAQ: SOUN) is one company that could have this potential. It’s a key player in one niche of the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, and has a massive backlog for its products.

SoundHound’s product is gaining momentum

SoundHound AI’s technology can parse human speech and perform various tasks based on what it hears. Among the ways it’s already being used most are in processing restaurant orders and improving digital assistants in vehicles, but its capabilities extend far beyond those two use cases.

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In the automotive segment, SoundHound partnered with Stellantis; the giant automaker will integrate SoundHound’s tech into its vehicles across Europe and Japan. This will give people access to generative AI functions while they’re driving — an improvement from the voice assistants that are available on vehicles today. If SoundHound can win business with other automakers and break into other regions, this segment of its business alone could provide it with a huge amount of growth.

SoundHound also worked with several companies in the restaurant sector to automate telephone and drive-thru orders, which saves restaurants on wages. According to the company, these AI assistants actually outperform humans in terms of order speed and accuracy, so the customer doesn’t feel like the experience declined. Some of SoundHound’s restaurant customers, among them White Castle and Jersey Mike’s, are fairly big, but there’s serious room for it to grow if it can capture some of the largest fast-food businesses.

SoundHound AI could achieve even greater success if its solutions are utilized in new applications.

But is that potential enough to make its stock the next Nvidia?

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Nvidia has one key advantage that SoundHound does not

In the second quarter, SoundHound generated $13.5 million in revenue, which was up 54% year over year. That’s quite small compared to other AI businesses.

However, the key figure investors should focus on is SoundHound’s backlog, which totals $723 million. This figure doubled from a year ago, showing that rising demand has outpaced SoundHound’s capability to integrate its product with its customers’ systems.

This is factoring into SoundHound’s current valuation, as Wall Street has high hopes for the company.

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SOUN PS Ratio Chart

SOUN PS Ratio Chart

Trading at 23 times sales, SoundHound stock already carries a premium valuation. By contrast, Nvidia traded for around 15 times forward earnings at the start of 2023. That was a dirt-cheap price, and also a far cry from the forward earnings ratio of 47 it trades at today.

SoundHound already has a premium price tag, which detracts from its growth potential from here. But if it can mature into a business that generates $100 million in revenue per quarter, Nvidia-like performance for the stock is still possible.

If SoundHound achieved that and carried a valuation of 20 times sales, it would be worth $8 billion, up 370% from its market cap today. That would be a solid return, but still far less than what Nvidia produced.

SoundHound stock’s premium price tag may prevent it from delivering Nvidia-like returns from here, but that doesn’t mean it won’t be a great investment. However, it’s a bit of a long shot considering the niche use cases for its product and the company’s small size. It could make investors some serious money, but don’t expect Nvidia-like returns.

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Should you invest $1,000 in SoundHound AI right now?

Before you buy stock in SoundHound AI, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and SoundHound AI wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $826,130!*

Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

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See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 7, 2024

Keithen Drury has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends Stellantis. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Could Buying SoundHound AI Now Be Like Buying Nvidia in 2023? was originally published by The Motley Fool

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China warns EU against separate EV price negotiations

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China warns EU against separate EV price negotiations


BEIJING (Reuters) -China urged the European Union on Saturday not to conduct separate negotiations over the price of China-made electric vehicles sold in the EU, warning that this would “shake the foundations” of bilateral tariff negotiations.

“If the European side, while negotiating with China, conducts separate price commitment negotiations with some companies, it will shake the foundation and mutual trust of the negotiations … and be detrimental to advancing the overall negotiation process,” China’s Ministry of Commerce said in comments published on its website.

It didn’t cite any evidence for the EU carrying out these separate talks beyond saying there had been “relevant reports”.

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The comments come days after Brussels rejected a Chinese proposal for EVs made in China to be sold within the bloc at a minimum price of 30,000 euros ($32,000), a move Beijing hoped would avert EU tariffs being imposed next month.

Various manufacturers including European-owned companies in China have authorized the China Chamber of Commerce for Machinery and Electronics to propose a price commitment plan that represents the overall position of the industry, the commerce ministry said.

“This is the basis for the current China-EU consultations,” it added.

(Reporting by Eduardo Baptista; Editing by William Mallard and David Holmes)

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The bull market is 2 years old. Here’s where Wall Street thinks stocks go next.

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The bull market is 2 years old. Here's where Wall Street thinks stocks go next.


The bull market in the S&P 500 (^GSPC) began two years ago and is showing few signs of slowing.

Backed by the rise of artificial intelligence euphoria and a surprisingly resilient US economy, the S&P 500 has gained more than 60% in the past two years and is hovering near an all-time high.

Wall Street strategists who spoke with Yahoo Finance believe the bull can keep running wild. Barring any unexpected shocks, the path higher appears to be clear, with earnings growth expected to keep accelerating and the economy on seemingly solid footing as the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates.

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A bull market for the S&P 500 was officially declared in June 2023 when the index rose 20% from its recent bear market low. History says this bull market still has legs. At two years, the bull market is well shy of the average run of 5.5 years. And the total return thus far, about 60%, is a far cry from the average 180% gain, per research from Carson Group chief market strategist Ryan Detrick.

In the past few weeks, several Wall Street equity strategists have made the case for the benchmark index to rise further into both year-end and into 2025, supported by accelerating earnings for the S&P 500.

“We continue to be surprised by the strength of market gains and decided yet again that something more than an incremental adjustment was warranted,” BMO Capital Markets chief investment strategist Brian Belski wrote in a September note when raising his year-end price target for the S&P 500 to a Street high of 6,100 from a previous target of 5,600.

On Oct. 4, Goldman Sachs boosted its year-end target to 6,000 and initiated a 12-month target of 6,300. Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist David Kostin did note, though, that already high valuations could limit the upside for how far the index can reach in 2025.

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Strategists who spoke with Yahoo Finance agreed with Kostin that already stretched valuations present a challenge to how much higher stocks can go. Charles Schwab senior investment strategist Kevin Gordon noted that dating back to the mid-1960s, the only time valuations have been this stretched on a trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio were 2021 and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s.

“This would tell you that the bull is much older or somewhat near the end of this life,” Gordon said.

But strategists often warn that a high valuation itself isn’t a proper tool for calling the end of a bull market. Stocks can trade at what are considered to be expensive valuations for longer than expected. What that does tell investors is that much of the good news that could push stocks higher might’ve already been priced in.

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“If you look at what the market’s discounting right now, we’d say front and center, a big chunk of what’s being priced in is a soft landing sentiment,” Citi equity strategist Scott Chronert told Yahoo Finance.

Charging Bull statue by Arturo Di Modica is seen in the Financial District of Manhattan, New York, United States of America, on July 4th, 2024.
 (Photo by Beata Zawrzel/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Charging Bull statue by Arturo Di Modica is seen in the Financial District of Manhattan, New York, on July 4, 2024. (Beata Zawrzel/NurPhoto via Getty Images) (NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Piper Sandler chief investment strategist Michael Kantrowitz noted that high valuations themselves aren’t why bull markets end. There needs to be a catalyst. He explained there are two common reasons market drawdowns happen: a spike in interest rates or a rise in the unemployment rate.

With inflation well off the boil of 2022 and the recent increase in unemployment stalling out, neither of the two downside catalysts are clearly in view.

There could, of course, be a surprise no one sees coming. But “it’s a little bit harder to see where the shock comes from,” Chronert said. “If things continue to play out incrementally, investors can handle a little bit of a change [to the economic narrative] here, a little bit of a change there … It’s when you get a more immediate unraveling, and it’s hard to really say that immediate unraveling is going to come.”

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This sets the market up for a narrative shift. To Kantrowitz, the currently expensive valuations show that the bull market is likely moving from a macro-driven environment, where factors like inflation falling and other signs of economic resilience have pushed stocks higher, to one that is more based on the fundamentals.

“For this market to continue moving higher, and particularly to determine what stocks lead, it’s going to be all about earnings,” Kantrowitz said.

The bar for earnings remains high. Consensus estimates project earnings to grow nearly 10% in 2024 and almost 15% in 2025. The key for investors remains finding which sectors are seeing earnings growth accelerate rather than just staying steady.

And , according to Chronert, part of that story could come down to the two letters that defined the first part of the bull market: AI.

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Chronert, who said his team is still a holder of the “Magnificent Seven” tech cohort, doesn’t doubt that the AI narrative will continue to manifest itself in the market. But after significant gains seen in those tech stocks over the past two years amid large earnings growth, focus may continue to shift to the broadening impact of AI on companies that aren’t making the AI chips or the cloud servers operating the new technology.

For AI to continue to have broader impact on the market and keep pushing earnings growth for the index above expectations, “you’ve got to have more companies delivering on the AI promise via margins [and] profitability metrics,” Chronert said.

He added, “It would be that sort of thesis that has to play out, and that’s going to take two to five years.”

Josh Schafer is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X @_joshschafer.

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Scroll lists on Binance, sparking debate over centralization concerns

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Scroll lists on Binance, sparking debate over centralization concerns


Scroll’s Binance listing has sparked community debate, with critics raising concerns about centralization, while Scroll’s co-founder has highlighted global growth strategies.



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