CryptoCurrency
This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Will Outperform Nvidia Over the Next Decade
A couple of years ago, semiconductor specialist Nvidia attempted to acquire a little-known company called Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: ARM).
Unfortunately for Nvidia, the company abandoned the deal as long-winded court cases revolving around antitrust concerns seemed to have no end in sight. Following the failed acquisition, Arm pursued an initial public offering (IPO) — hitting the Nasdaq last September.
Since going public, Arm stock has surged 138% on the backdrop of the artificial intelligence (AI) movement. But even after such a meteoric rise, I see much better days ahead for Arm. In fact, I think Arm stock will handily outperform Nvidia over the next decade.
Below, I’ll detail why I’m so bullish on Arm and explain how rising competition in the chip realm could ignite Nvidia’s first uphill battle in quite some time.
Why Arm stock might outperform Nvidia
The semiconductor industry has many different components. Not all chip companies make graphics processing units (GPUs) like Nvidia or Advanced Micro Devices. There are far more applications for chips, and Arm dominates a pretty singular pocket of the market.
At its core, Arm designs chip architecture for mobile devices, consumer electronics, networking equipment inside data centers, and other Internet of Things (IoT) devices. The company makes money from licensing out its intellectual property (IP), and earns a royalty based on its various architectures.
As illustrated in the graphic above, Arm’s architecture is deeply embedded across various applications. This provides the company with an enviable level of flexibility regarding new chips hitting the market in the future. In other words, companies running on Arm’s architecture are less inclined to develop a new hardware and software system that is incongruent with Arm’s architecture.
Furthermore, the slide above shows that Arm’s market share has increased across the board over the last two years. With that in mind, I think the company is well positioned to continue benefiting from new chip-based devices, since Arm’s IP is already leveraged across so many devices around the world.
For this reason, I see Arm as less vulnerable to competitive forces in the chip space compared to peers such as Nvidia.
Why Nvidia’s best days may be in the rearview mirror
Like Arm, Nvidia has a massive presence in its core end market. The company’s A100 and H100 chipsets have helped Nvidia acquire an estimated 88% of the GPU market.
However, I see some obvious risks that could expose Nvidia over the next several years, and I would not be surprised to see the company begin to lose market share.
First, companies including Microsoft, Alphabet, Tesla, Amazon, and Meta Platforms are all investing in their own custom chip designs. Moreover, these companies have been labeled by Wall Street analysts as Nvidia’s largest customers — accounting for nearly half of the company’s revenue.
While you could argue that more competition is a good thing for Nvidia, I don’t see it that way in this case. These companies will probably remain customers of Nvidia for the next several years, but the introduction of their own hardware could wind up being a bargaining chip in the long run.
What I mean by that is that more GPUs on the market will likely weaken Nvidia’s pricing power. In turn, I think Nvidia’s revenue and profit growth could have a dramatic slowdown — a dynamic that growth investors won’t want to see.
But rising competition isn’t the only risk facing Nvidia. Given the company’s near-monopoly position, there is a possibility that the Department of Justice (DOJ) could investigate Nvidia’s business practices and force the company to loosen up its ecosystem.
With so many unknowns revolving around Nvidia’s future, I’m skeptical that the stock is a no-brainer at this juncture.
Is Arm stock a buy right now?
There have been many periods of expansion and contraction in Arm’s trading activity. But with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 96, it’s hard to say the stock is cheap.
The forward P/E of the S&P 500 is about 23, less than one-quarter that of Arm.
Here’s how I think about it: The market is clearly placing a premium on Arm stock for a reason. I think there are two core themes to unpack.
At a macro level, AI appears to be here for the long run, and technology’s biggest companies are committed to spending billions on future artificial intelligence initiatives. While spending will change from year to year, the secular tailwinds presented by AI should bode well for Arm.
At a company-specific level, Arm’s unique position in the chip space and its lucrative business model suggest that the company’s growth will remain robust over time.
For these reasons, I see Arm as the superior investment over Nvidia in the next decade. While the stock isn’t a bargain, I think it still looks like a compelling opportunity for long-term investors.
Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity
Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.
On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:
-
Amazon: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2010, you’d have $21,266!*
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Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $43,047!*
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Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $389,794!*
Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.
*Stock Advisor returns as of October 14, 2024
Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Adam Spatacco has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Prediction: This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Will Outperform Nvidia Over the Next Decade was originally published by The Motley Fool
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The Siam Commercial Bank Public Company, founded in 1907, was the first bank established in the South Pacific country.
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Bitcoin bulls are keen to hit $70,000, but a selloff at this level could trigger a sharp downside in BTC and altcoins.
CryptoCurrency
Trump Media stock plunges after weekslong rally
After a weekslong rally that saw shares of Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) roughly triple in value, the stock took an 8% nosedive Tuesday afternoon.
Shares of the company behind former President Donald Trump’s right-wing social media platform Truth Social fell to $26.60 apiece after having been up roughly 10% that morning. Tuesday’s volatility led to the Nasdaq briefly halting trading.
The company’s stock has fluctuated wildly in value in the nearly seven months since it went public under the ticker DJT. Late last month, shares dropped as low as $12.15 each. Since Oct. 1, however, Trump Media shares are up 70%.
This see-sawing comes just weeks before the presidential election, which will see Trump face off against Democratic presidential candidate and Vice President Kamala Harris at the ballot box.
Trump is a majority shareholder of Trump Media, holding roughly 57% of the company’s stock — and he has said he has no plans to let go of his holdings. The stock’s recent rally has added some $2 billion to Trump’s net worth.
Trump Media has been widely considered a “meme stock” or “affinity stock,” with shares trading largely on sentiment about the former president by retail and individual investors, regardless of the company’s actual operating results or prospects.
“It’s purchasing his brand,” John Rekenthaler, vice president of research at Morningstar (MORN), previously told Quartz. He warned that the company’s stock could “go to zero” or close to it if Trump loses the coming election.
Trump Media has said in regulatory filings that its “success depends in part on the popularity of its brand and the reputation and popularity” of Trump and that “adverse reactions to publicity relating to [Trump], or the loss of his services, could adversely affect TMTG’s revenues and results of operations.”
CryptoCurrency
Why Semiconductor Stocks Micron, Applied Materials, and KLA Corporation Plunged Today
Shares of memory leader Micron (NASDAQ: MU), Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT), and KLA Corporation (NASDAQ: KLAC) plunged on Tuesday, down 4.3%, 10.9%, and 15.5%, respectively, as of 3:28 p.m. ET.
Semiconductor stocks largely sold off across the board today after equipment leader ASML Holdings (NASDAQ: ASML) accidentally leaked its third-quarter results and outlook, which were supposed to be published tomorrow.
The results and guidance were highly disappointing, sending fears across the sector.
ASML disappoints on a “slower than expected” recovery
In the leaked press release, ASML showed 11.2% revenue growth and 9.1% earnings-per-share (EPS) growth, which aren’t terrible growth figures by any means, with the top line exceeding the company’s guidance last quarter.
However, the bookings figure and outlook for 2025, also contained in the press release, were more worrisome. Net bookings, which reflect revenue plus or minus the change in orders in backlog, were only 2.6 billion euros (~$2.8 billion), far below expectations of 5.39 billion euros (~$5.87 billion).
Moreover, management gave preliminary revenue guidance for 2025 of between 30 billion and 35 billion euros (~$33 billion to $38 billion). While that still portends mid-teens growth above expected 2024 figures of 28 billion euros (~$30 billion), it was below the 36.3 billion euros (~$39.5 billion) analysts were expecting.
Management noted in the press release:
While there continue to be strong developments and upside potential in AI, other market segments are taking longer to recover. It now appears the recovery is more gradual than previously expected. This is expected to continue in 2025, which is leading to customer cautiousness.
ASML is likely referring to Intel, which has seen lower near-term demand, and Samsung, which has been beset by operational issues and is pushing out its fab expansions. ASML management also noted limited capacity additions for DRAM memory suppliers, as most are converting unused equipment for non-artificial intelligence (AI) memory to production lines for HBM and DDR-5 for AI.
The semiconductor capital equipment sector is very linked. So, if a large fab is pushed out, not only will ASML see slower growth, but so will the etch and deposition equipment supplied by Applied Materials and the metrology and inspection equipment provided by KLA Corporation along with it. Thus, it’s no surprise to see each of those stocks sell off to ASML today by a similar amount.
Micron is also down, given that ASML indicated softer end-demand across non-AI markets. However, it may also be positive for Micron that memory rivals are scaling back their investments in memory capacity. Unlike that of advanced logic chips, memory pricing can fluctuate a lot based on supply and demand. So, the discipline to pull back investments could be a good thing for memory pricing. That’s likely why Micron’s stock is holding up better than the others.
The sell-off may be a good opportunity
This sell-off may be an opportunity for chip investors since the recovery in non-AI markets is very likely to happen at some point, even if a full recovery doesn’t happen as fast as some forecast. After all, the midpoint of ASML’s guidance still points to 16% growth next year. And pushing fab buildouts from 2025 to 2026 should entail more sustained growth beyond 2025.
It seems that 2024 corporate budgets may have been dominated by expensive AI spending, crowding out refreshes of non-AI servers and PCs. However, this aging equipment will have to be refreshed eventually, especially since Windows 10 support will be phased out in October 2025. Furthermore, as more AI-enabled devices come to market, that should be a boon for chip content across all devices in PCs, smartphones, and auto markets that are still lagging today.
So, for those investors with a long-term view, this sell-off based on the medium-term outlook may be an opportunity to pick up high-quality semiconductor names, such as these three, for the long haul.
Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity
Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.
On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:
-
Amazon: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2010, you’d have $21,122!*
-
Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $43,756!*
-
Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $384,515!*
Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.
*Stock Advisor returns as of October 14, 2024
Billy Duberstein and/or his clients have positions in ASML, Applied Materials, Intel, KLA, and Micron Technology. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends ASML and Applied Materials. The Motley Fool recommends Intel and recommends the following options: short November 2024 $24 calls on Intel. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Why Semiconductor Stocks Micron, Applied Materials, and KLA Corporation Plunged Today was originally published by The Motley Fool
CryptoCurrency
Can You Guess What Percent Of People Have $4 Million? Here’s A Look At How Many Reach This Major Wealth Milestone
When you hear “$4 million,” does it sound like a dream retirement nest egg or an actual goal? If you’re thinking, “Yeah, right!” you’re not alone.
Most people are curious about how they compare to others in terms of savings, but few can fathom hitting such a high target. So, how many people have $4 million saved? And more importantly, do you need that much to retire comfortably? According to a study, many people believe you need even more than this for retirement!
Don’t Miss:
The $4 Million Reality
According to data based on estimates from the Federal Reserve, having a net worth of $4 million places you in the top 3% of American households. That’s an elite group, for sure.
Leigh Baldwin & Co. Advisory Services reports about 4,473,836 U.S. households have amassed $4 million or more in wealth. This figure represents roughly 3.44% of all households in the country.
While this is a slim percentage, a recent survey from New York Life found that today’s workers believe they would need an average of $4.3 million to retire comfortably. The idea of having millions tucked away for your golden years might sound ideal, but the reality for most people is quite different.
See Also: Can you guess how many retire with a $5,000,000 nest egg? – How does it compare to the average?
Where Do Americans Stand?
Let’s get real: most Americans are nowhere near that kind of savings. Having $1 million in tax-advantaged retirement accounts could put you in the top 3.2% of retirement savers, but most people find themselves far behind this mark.
According to the Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances, Americans’ average retirement savings is $334,000, while the median – a more accurate picture – is just $86,900. Although people may feel they need millions to retire, they aren’t actually saving millions.
Trending: Studies show 50% of consumers think Financial Advisors cost much more than they do — to debunk this, this company provides matching for free and a complimentary first call with the matched advisor.
The question of how much you need to retire comfortably pops up for savers again and again. In a Forbes article, Michelle Richter-Gordon, co-founder of Annuity Research and Consulting in New York City, explained, “People don’t know how much they need at all. They also don’t know when they will retire.”
The problem is compounded by many people relying on online retirement calculators to figure out their savings needs. While these tools can be helpful, they often overestimate the amount of money required, leaving people feeling overwhelmed or discouraged.
Some of these calculators are provided by investment firms, which may want to boost your contributions to grow their revenues. It’s no wonder that retirement feels like an uphill battle for many.
What Do You Need for Retirement?
It’s important to consider your retirement goals. The amount you need depends on various factors, such as where you plan to live, lifestyle choices and health care costs.
Many experts suggest that aiming for around $1 million to $2 million in retirement savings may be more realistic for most Americans, especially when factoring in Social Security benefits and other sources of income.
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Even if saving millions of dollars seems like a distant dream, losing hope is unnecessary. Start by setting achievable goals, saving consistently and monitoring your long-term financial health. The road to retirement doesn’t have to be intimidating. Ultimately, it’s about making smart financial choices that allow you to live comfortably, not just chasing big numbers.
It’s always a good idea to consult with a financial advisor to ensure you’re on track to retire where you want, without the pressure of hitting some magic number.
Read Next:
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This article Can You Guess What Percent Of People Have $4 Million? Here’s A Look At How Many Reach This Major Wealth Milestone originally appeared on Benzinga.com
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
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