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Private equity’s experiment with worker ownership

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This is an audio transcript of the Behind the Money podcast episode: ‘Private equity’s experiment with worker ownership’

Michela Tindera
Private equity has long held a reputation for being ruthless. A no-holds-barred industry. 

Antoine Gara
These were very scrappy, mercenary dealmakers. And with their really iconic investments of that era, like RJR Nabisco, they had no real compulsion about breaking up a company and selling off different parts, which really struck a nerve in the mainstream of America. 

Michela Tindera
My colleague Antoine Gara says that in the 1980s, the private equity industry relied on deals that use lots of debt. That kind of strategy often led to collateral damage for workers, while PE executives took home massive windfalls. 

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Antoine Gara
In the mid-1980s, the private equity firm KKR did a leveraged buyout of grocery store chain Safeway. And they used a very small sliver of equity to buy what was one of America’s biggest companies. And after they acquired the supermarket, the company went through brutal lay-offs and salary cuts, and it became hugely controversial. 

Michela Tindera
But now a new strategy is gaining some ground that has some firms deciding to share a bit of that wealth with their workers. But why are firms doing this and what’s in it for them?

[MUSIC PLAYING]

I’m Michela Tindera from the Financial Times. Today on Behind the Money, how private equity realised playing nice could be good for business.

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[MUSIC PLAYING]

This particular attempt by private equity to have a softer image begins with a guy named Pete. 

Pete Stavros
I’m Pete Stavros, co-head of global private equity at KKR. 

Michela Tindera
About 15 years ago, Pete took over running KKR as investments in the industrial sector. That’s like manufacturing businesses. And in that role, he noticed a problem. 

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Pete Stavros
In manufacturing, you often come up against the following situation: the workforce, they tend to not like their jobs but at the same time are responsible for much of your success or failure as a company because they are determining the quality of the product, whether the product is delivered on time, things that determine your efficiency as a manufacturer. 

Michela Tindera
So Pete started to think about how he could get workers from different kinds of industries more motivated. 

Pete Stavros
That led to experimenting with: are there different ways to engage with all colleagues, not just the senior folks, but could you engage with the entirety of a workforce, get them more engaged on the job, get them less likely to quit and have the company benefit as well? So could you come up with a programme that was both good for workers and good for companies? 

Michela Tindera
Pete found what he believes is a way to solve this problem. Let me explain. Take, for example, one company called GeoStabilization International or GSI for short. KKR invested in the company in 2018. 

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Pete Stavros
Geo Stabilisation at one point had a 50 per cent worker turnover rate. 

Michela Tindera
Now, GSI is an interesting company. It basically works on preventing landslides from happening or cleaning up after them if they do. 

Pete Stavros
It’s hard work. People sometimes have to be away from home for weeks at a time because it’s an emergency and they have to stay until it’s done. That’s tough. And if you’re not an owner and you don’t really have much of an incentive, you know, maybe you find something easier. 

Michela Tindera
And this is where Pete’s strategy comes into play. To encourage workers to stay, KKR offers GSI’s employees equity in the business as part of their compensation. And Pete says that more employees started to stick around despite the tough work. 

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Pete Stavros
Once you have, you know, more information being shared with you about the business and where we’re headed and why we’re headed there and how you can help — and by the way, you’re going to participate in all the value that you’re helping to create — that quit rate went from 50 per cent to 17 per cent. 

Michela Tindera
Flash forward to today, and many of GSI’s employees are recipients of a sizeable payday. In September, KKR announced that it was going to be selling GSI. The sale meant a $1bn payout and $75mn of that was going to the company’s blue-collar employees. That meant that a lot of GSI employees would be receiving six-figure sums. For many of these employees, this is life-changing money. It’s the chance to put a down payment on a house or to set themselves up for early retirement. And for Pete, it’s been good for KKR, too. 

Pete Stavros
We made five times our money. There aren’t a lot of five X returns in private equity period, but certainly not being exited right now. You know, you can unleash a lot of growth when you suddenly stop losing half your workforce every year. And so when we look at our performance in the deals where we’ve done this, not only has it been the right thing to do and allowed us to deliver wealth for workers and have more engaged people who are happier on the job, less likely to quit, but also deliver better investment outcomes and build stronger companies. 

Michela Tindera
They’ve implemented this employee ownership programme in about 50 KKR portfolio companies and they’ve exited about 10. In that process, they say they’ve generated more than $1.6bn for workers. While this idea of employee ownership got its start at KKR, my colleague Antoine Gara, whom you heard at the beginning of the episode, says that it’s picked up some traction among other big firms, too. 

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Antoine Gara
The industry itself has sort of begun to really adopt this, and it’s really moving ever more into the mainstream. 

Michela Tindera
Pete Stavros from KKR started a non-profit called Ownership Works. That group’s brought other PE firms on board to evangelise this idea of employee ownership and equity. 

Antoine Gara
In a lot of the largest private equity firms in the industry — you know, from Apollo to Advent — have become supporters of ownership works. And then there are other firms that are doing it their own way. So Blackstone is not a part of ownership works, but it’s starting to implement, you know, very broad-based equity awards across all of the large companies it buys in the US. 

Michela Tindera
So KKR, one of the firms that pioneered private equity’s tough image, is charting a new path, and it seems to be catching on among other major firms.

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[MUSIC PLAYING]

Coming up, we’ll take a closer look at why this strategy’s expansion is happening at an opportune time for the industry. 

[SWAMP NOTES PODCAST TRAILER PLAYING]

Michela Tindera
It’s important to note that while KKR has been building out this employee ownership programme, private equity on the whole has been undergoing a lot of changes. Antoine says those heavily leveraged buyouts of the 1980s and 90s are mostly a thing of the past. 

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Antoine Gara
I mean, back in the 1980s, it seems like there was just a lot more low-hanging fruit for your average private equity investor. The secret sauce hadn’t really gotten out and markets weren’t so efficient. 

Michela Tindera
After the financial crisis, the way private equity structured deals shifted.

Antoine Gara
Post-crisis, it’s been much greater amounts of equity, lower ratios of leverage. In an investment case, that’s much more oriented around growing a business. 

Michela Tindera
The equity programme that KKR is offering plays into this idea of business-building that’s now become a key part of PE’s general strategy. 

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Antoine Gara
Now, when you’re doing a buyout, you know, they own companies for five to 10 years and most of the time they’re thinking, how can I double a company’s size? And so they’re much more into business-building now, either using a business to acquire other businesses or figuring out how to grow different business lines or push businesses into new markets all over the world. 

Michela Tindera
But PE firms haven’t only had to change the way they do buyouts in recent years. They’ve also had to change how they present themselves to the world. 

Antoine Gara
Private equity has sort of, you know, morphed from people focused on, you know, deal-by-deal basis to where is their firm going, you know, on a much longer arc of time and how can they continue to build even more broadly into the fabric of the financial system. These firms have grown into large, mainstream financial institutions. They are every bit as powerful as like the largest banks in America now, if not, at times, more powerful.

Michela Tindera
Strategies like offering equity to employees can play a role in softening PE’s image to regulators and lawmakers. 

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Antoine Gara
They can go to Washington when these deals work out and they can say, here are, you know, tens of thousands of happy employees in your state or in your industry. They believe in what we’re doing and that really helps you when, you know, Washington is not a place that can be very friendly to private equity oftentimes. 

Michela Tindera
And there is another factor. Business for PE hasn’t exactly been thriving in recent years. Ever since 2022, when interest rates started going up, PE markets have been in a tough place. 

Antoine Gara
I personally think it’s a test that’s not that far off from what they faced during the financial crisis. They are managing balance sheets that . . . the financing costs have increased substantially. And they’ve also not been able to sell many companies either to other private equity firms or to corporations or taking them public. So investors in private equity funds have not gotten a lot of money back and have seen, you know, almost like a historically bad run of cash coming back to them. And it’s come at a time when the public market just keeps going up and up and up. It’s sort of almost a slow-motion crisis, you know, that gets kind of worse and worse year by year. 

Michela Tindera
So if private equity is looking at some tough years ahead, then there’s a business case for rewarding workers. Motivated workers can help a company perform better and boost its value, which is good for the private equity firms that own them. Plus, it doesn’t actually cost the PE firms any cash. 

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Antoine Gara
The other interesting component of these employee awards is it’s either given as a restricted stock unit or some form of option, which really has no cash value at the very beginning. 

Michela Tindera
Yeah, when they buy the business, they’re handing employees just like a piece of paper that says: we’ll pay you later. 

Antoine Gara
Right. Yeah. So in the case of someone like a GSI, you know, their annual salary, let’s say, it would have been $80,000 a year or something like that. By giving the contract, and this was done in the format of an option, you know, your typical employee was making a payout. You know, if you worked there for three years of $110,000. So that’s a sum of money that the business wouldn’t have been able to afford on an annual basis or even on a three- or four-year rolling basis. But, you know, as the whole deal was paying out very profitably also for KKR and its investors, that $100,000, you know, across the employees who worked three years longer, that didn’t feel painful to KKR or its investors. 

[MUSIC PLAYING]

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Michela Tindera
Of course, workers only get these payouts if deals work out, and that’s not guaranteed. 

Antoine Gara
You know, if a company goes bankrupt, those employees who got the RSU or the equity award or the option, they’re not going to see any money from it. 

Michela Tindera
Pete acknowledges this reality, too. I asked him how KKR would handle that kind of a situation. 

Pete Stavros
It hasn’t happened yet, but it will happen. You know, we invest in lots of companies. I mentioned we’ve got 50 live examples of this and it’s not going to be 50 out of 50 that are home-run investments. It’s just not the way the world works. So that will happen. It hasn’t happened yet. We’re always very upfront and honest with people. This is free to you. You’re not paying for it. It’s not a trade-off for wages or benefits, but it’s also not a guarantee. We have to perform. We got to do our jobs. And if we do, you’ll participate. 

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Michela Tindera
For his part, Antoine wonders how valuable the strategy will be for private equity’s investors. 

Antoine Gara
What I’ll be interested to see is, are the companies with the broad equity awards, do they wind up performing as better investments through this tough period than the companies that don’t have it because the incentives were aligned better and so on? But I’ll be interested to see the sort of cohort analysis from firms like KKR. How did firms with equity awards perform as investments versus those that didn’t have them? 

Michela Tindera
Antoine, what’s your take on all this? I mean, is this just some kind of big PR effort from these firms? 

Antoine Gara
This all seems very practical to me, actually. The idea that you’re giving a worker some broad-based incentives and ownership in a company and that that will cause them to think about how to make the company more profitable or find new business opportunities — that just strikes me as common sense. It’s also not a huge breakthrough in capitalism. There are a lot of tech companies, the Facebooks and Googles of the world, that in their earliest days really incentivised most of their employees, mostly with stock awards and pieces of ownership in their companies because they didn’t have that much cash to just give away with high salaries. So, you know, I almost wonder why didn’t this all happen sooner? 

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Michela Tindera
Now, you might be thinking about what happens next for those workers at GSI. After all, KKR sold the company to new owners. 

Antoine Gara
So KKR is selling GSI to another private equity firm, Leonard Green & Partners, another longtime private equity firm that’s also a part of Ownership Works. So what’s interesting is Leonard Green will create a whole new set of equity awards for GSI employees. And it shows that there can actually be a recurring incentive structure and that, you know, as companies change hands between private equity firms, you know, these equity awards can be fairly consistent. 

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Michela Tindera
Behind the Money is hosted by me, Michela Tindera. Saffeya Ahmed is our producer. Sound design and mixing by Sam Giovinco. Special thanks to Mischa Frankl-Duval. Topher Forhecz is our executive producer. Cheryl Brumley is the global head of audio. Original music is by Hannis Brown. Thanks for listening. See you next week.

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UniCredit raises guidance as profits slip at Commerzbank

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UniCredit raises guidance as profits slip at Commerzbank

Earnings diverge for lenders at centre of Europe’s biggest potential tie-up since financial crisis

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One Four Nine kickstarts next phase of growth with 10th acquisition

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Loyal North completes double acquisition

Financial advice and investment management firm One Four Nine Group has acquired Nottingham-based Castlegate Capital, marking a “crucial step” in its growth journey.

The deal is the 10th acquisition for One Four Nine Group and the first of 2024 following a significant period of focus to integrate all firms into the business fully.

The launch in late 2023 of One Four Nine Wealth was an important moment for the evolution of the business.

It provided a “robust platform” to begin uniting all regional locations under one brand identity and to ensure the delivery a consistent client service proposition across the UK.

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One Four Nine Wealth is the financial planning arm of the business, operating alongside One Four Nine Portfolio Management.

Castlegate is an independent chartered financial planning business established in 2016 catering to private and corporate clients across the UK.

It will rebrand to One Four Nine Wealth upon completion of the transaction taking the group’s client assets to over £1.6bn with over 30 financial planners and around 5,000 clients.

One Four Nine Group, chief executive Gabrielle Beaumont said: “This is an exciting time of growth for One Four Nine Group.

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“Investing heavily in the last 12 months in people, integration and client proposition across our regional locations has put us in a strong position to continue to attract some of the best firms in the market as part of our continued acquisition strategy.”

She said the Castlegate team was a “natural fit” for One Four Nine Group and shares its vision of building an “energetic, forward-thinking” financial planning business with a “clear focus on delivering excellent lifetime financial planning to clients”.

One Four Nine Group corporate development director Sanjay Lukka added: “The acquisition of Castlegate Capital is an important milestone for One Four Nine Group.

“Having joined the Group in August, I’m delighted that my first acquisition marks such a crucial step in our growth journey.

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“This acquisition reinforces our commitment to expanding One Four Nine Group’s footprint in the Midlands and beyond.

“Castlegate Capital’s expertise and strong client focus aligns fully with our own, and I look forward to working alongside their talented team to continue to deliver more value to our clients.”

One Four Nine launched in October 2021 with the acquisition of two advisory firms – Charter Financial Planning and Rice Whatmough Crozier.

The group primarily targets accountancy firms and other professional services firms which own or have a joint venture with financial advice firms.

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It also considers standalone advisory firms which reflect its “collaborative, innovative and professional values”.

This includes advice firms either already or wanting to become experienced in recommending tax efficient alternative investments.

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Marks and Spencer profits beat expectations on strong food sales

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Unlock the Editor’s Digest for free

Marks and Spencer beat first-half profit expectations on strong food and clothing sales as its turnaround plan gathers pace, but it warned of uncertainty because of the Budget and “elevated” cost inflation.

The retailer, which has been seeking to revive its fortunes in recent years after decades of failed reinventions, reported a 17.2 per cent increase in profit before tax and adjusted items to £407mn in the six months to September 30, ahead of analysts’ expectations.

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Food sales were up 8.1 per cent year on year to £4.2bn, while clothing and home goods sales rose 4.7 per cent to £2bn, also ahead of forecasts, although sales in its international division fell 11.6 per cent. Group revenue increased 5.7 per cent to £6.5bn.

The company attributed the performance to winning more customers from rivals and forecast “further progress” in the second half of the year.

M&S shares have soared 74 per over the past year, recently climbing to an eight-year high. It has been closing less profitable or productive stores that sell clothing, home and food products in recent years and opened more of its popular food shops, while modernising its technology, ecommerce operations and supply chain.

The recent UK Budget’s long-term impact on M&S, suppliers and customers was “for now uncertain”, the company said on Wednesday.

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Rachel Reeves last week announced an increase in employers’ national insurance contributions by 1.2p to 15p and a reduction in the earnings threshold at which the tax kicked in, hitting the retail, hospitality and leisure sectors.

The FTSE 100 company, which laid out a five-year growth plan to investors in 2022, also said it would pay an interim dividend of 1p a share, a third of last year’s total dividend. The final dividend would be determined at year-end, it added.

The retailer said in May it was in its best financial position in almost 30 years, having strengthened its balance sheet.

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Richard Chamberlain, a retail analyst at RBC Capital Markets, said M&S “has been making good progress with its food business, helped by an improved value for money perception, while its clothing offer has benefited from a stronger digital offer, third-party brands and a better bought range, with improvements in style, quality and value perception”.

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Europe takes a deep breath as Trump beats a path back to power

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Bar chart of estimated % CO₂ reduction required to reach 2025 targets showing VW is most exposed to CO₂ regulation

This article is an on-site version of our Europe Express newsletter. Premium subscribers can sign up here to get the newsletter delivered every weekday and Saturday morning. Standard subscribers can upgrade to Premium here, or explore all FT newsletters

Good morning. Donald Trump has a significant lead in the still-incomplete results of the US presidential election, and global financial markets are pricing in his return to the White House. Below, I bring you the latest from across the Atlantic and how Brussels and EU capitals are preparing for a result.

Plus, our Berlin correspondent reports on the elected official from the Alternative for Germany (AfD) who has been arrested in a German police swoop on a far-right terror cell.

Trump 2.0 looms

European capitals are waking up to the realisation that Donald Trump is more likely than not to return as US president, after the Republican candidate was predicted to have won the important states of North Carolina and Georgia overnight and built early leads in the counts of almost all other key swing states.

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Context: Trump is a Nato-sceptic who has vowed to force Ukraine to sue for peace and impose blanket tariffs of up to 20 per cent on European imports.

At 7.00am CET, North Carolina and Georgia had been called for Trump by media outlets. He held small leads in the crucial swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania as counting continued. Global currency markets suggested traders were anticipating his victory over vice-president Kamala Harris. His Republican party also won back control of the Senate.

You can find all our US election coverage here.

EU officials who traded hours of sleep for a first look at these preliminary first results stressed that a Brussels response would wait until the final outcome was clear. The result will dominate a two-day meeting of EU and European leaders in Budapest that begins tomorrow.

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“We are not in 2016 where [Trump] was a big surprise . . . We are more confident, we have a clear line on what is our agenda and what to expect [from either candidate],” said a senior EU official involved in discussions among capitals about the result. “We are not panicking.”

EU officials said that regardless of the eventual winner, Brussels would seek to stress both the importance of the transatlantic relationship and a desire to expand it, while making clear the European agenda to be less dependent on the US, defend multilateralism and defend open trade. Overarching all this would be a commitment to ongoing support to Kyiv.

“We should be careful, and keep calm,” the official said. “The lines we are working on will work for both candidates . . . it will be the same: support to Ukraine.”

“I expect leaders to continue on this path,” they added. “Whether there will be 27 [leaders] to continue expressing this position is another question.”

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Chart du jour: CO2 car crash

Bar chart of estimated % CO₂ reduction required to reach 2025 targets showing VW is most exposed to CO₂ regulation

The European car industry is in the middle of a mass pile-up including sluggish demand, faltering electric vehicle sales, fierce competition from China and enduring overcapacity. Having to pay billions of euros in fines for carbon dioxide emissions would only increase the pain, writes Lex.

Plotting in the dark

Another day, another scandal at Germany’s far-right Alternative for Germany.

Hours after prosecutors announced that they had arrested eight young men on suspicion of forming a Nazi-inspired group with plans for racist violence, German media revealed that one of them was an elected official with the AfD, writes Laura Pitel.

Among those detained during a vast police operation yesterday was Kurt Hättasch, an AfD member of the local council in Grimma, a town in the eastern state of Saxony.

Context: The case is not the first example of bizarre but alarming alleged plots by right-wing extremists in Germany. In late 2022, two dozen people — including former and active members of the police and armed forces — were arrested for allegedly planning a coup d’état.

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Federal prosecutors yesterday said the arrested men had “racist, antisemitic and partially apocalyptic ideas” that were driven by Nazi ideology and the belief that Germany was nearing collapse. They are accused of planning to seize parts of the country’s east and carry out ethnic cleansing against “unwanted” groups.

Thomas Haldenwang, head of Germany’s domestic intelligence agency, said the arrests demonstrated “the persistently high danger” posed by rightwing extremism to the country’s security.

Still, members of Olaf Scholz’s teetering coalition can hold little hope that the latest arrests will dent support for the AfD. The party, which performed strongly in this year’s European elections as well as in a trio of votes in east German states in September, has largely shrugged off other revelations including investigations into links to Russia and China.

A spokesman for the AfD’s division in Saxony, which itself has been classified by German intelligence as an extremist organisation, said it supported democracy and that Hättasch would be expelled if the allegations against him were confirmed.

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What to watch today

  1. Czech Prime Minister Petr Fiala meets Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić in Belgrade.

  2. European parliament hearing for EU defence commissioner-nominee Andrius Kubilius.

Now read these

  • Boomers vs Gen Z: A proposed cut to French pension benefits has sparked a fierce debate on intergenerational inequity.

  • Chocolate rebellion: Nestlé, Ferrero and more than 50 other companies have said the delay to the EU’s landmark deforestation law puts investments at risk.

  • Dangerously vulnerable: Europe’s critical infrastructure is at risk and governments must learn lessons from Ukraine, writes Anders Fogh Rasmussen.

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Are you enjoying Europe Express? Sign up here to have it delivered straight to your inbox every workday at 7am CET and on Saturdays at noon CET. Do tell us what you think, we love to hear from you: europe.express@ft.com. Keep up with the latest European stories @FT Europe

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How election day unfolded in the US

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This is an audio transcript of the FT News Briefing podcast episode: ‘How election day unfolded in the US’

Sonja Hutson
Good morning from the Financial Times. Today is Wednesday, November 6th, and this is your FT News Briefing.

Americans closed out a hard-fought election yesterday. And I’ll take you through the numbers of what has been the most expensive presidential contest in US history. Plus, Germany is racing against the clock to pass a new budget. 

Guy Chazan
The problem is that the government has submitted a draft budget to the German parliament, but there is an enormous hole in it. 

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Sonja Hutson
I’m Sonja Hutson, and here’s the news you need to start your day.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Voters across the US yesterday raced to cast their ballots in what has been billed as the most consequential election in decades. 

Jen Eldridge
A lot of different emotions, a lot of different opinions to the point where I can’t talk about it with my friends or family or co-workers. 

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Sonja Hutson
And it has been a political rollercoaster, to say the least. 

Xander Dunn
It’s just such a divisive time. And to be honest, I’m looking forward to everything just being over. 

Sonja Hutson
People in battleground states have faced the most pressure from this election. My colleague Steff Chávez was out talking to voters in Wisconsin yesterday, and she joins me now to tell me what she saw and heard. Hi, Steff. 

Steff Chávez
Hi, Sonja. 

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Sonja Hutson
So how were people feeling about the election in Wisconsin? 

Steff Chávez
I think there were all sorts of emotions and it ranged from, you know, real hope and confidence in, you know, people’s specific candidates, but also genuine anxiety and fear. 

And so how has the vibe been this election? 

Jen Eldridge
Really intense. 

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Steff Chávez
So I went to one polling place in downtown Milwaukee, which is a Democratic stronghold. I met Jen Eldridge, a 44-year-old woman who was casting her ballot for Kamala Harris, and she identified herself as an independent voter. 

Jen Eldridge
So I’m one of those voters that you want on your side because I can go either way. I vote for the candidate that closely represents my values. 

Steff Chávez
She said the most important thing to her in making her choice was reproductive freedom. 

Jen Eldridge
Women’s issues and women’s rights. My reproductive rights are very important to me. 

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Steff Chávez
Which is really getting at a major theme of this election. It is one of the Democrats’ strongest issue, and Harris is counting on women in particular to turn out to vote and maybe even flip their votes to try and get some of their reproductive rights back. 

Sonja Hutson
So, you know, you mentioned that Milwaukee is a Democratic stronghold. Where else did you go in the area to talk to voters who maybe leaned a little bit more Republican? 

Steff Chávez
So I went out to Waukesha county, which is one of the Milwaukee suburbs. While I was there, I met Jeff Powell, a life-long Republican, who had such a hard time deciding who to vote for, that he made a game-time decision in the voting booth. 

Jeff Powell
I kept mulling it back and forth, but I finally voted. 

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Steff Chávez
He said that he really didn’t like either candidate. 

Jeff Powell
For a nation that’s as prosperous and educated as our nation is, we got two delinquents that are running for president. 

Steff Chávez
He wouldn’t tell me who he voted for, but he said that the most important factor in his decision was immigration, but also things like the growing budget deficit and education. 

Jeff Powell
This election is probably the most divisive election. I’ve been voting since I was 21. 

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Steff Chávez
I also met a couple, Drew and Mike, who had their eight-day-old baby with them at the polling place.

They both voted for Trump. They said the most important reasons were the economy and immigration. 

Drew and Mike
Just putting our country first. We got a lot of issues outside of our country that are important, and we need security here first. 

Steff Chávez
The economy and immigration are two of the Republicans’ strongest issues. Despite the fact that Trump has struggled on the abortion topic, Republicans are hoping that can propel him to victory. 

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Sonja Hutson
Now, Steff, one big concern leading up to this day has been acts of political violence. You know, I’m in downtown DC and there are tons of buildings that have been boarded up over the past couple of days. Have we seen reports of violence or intimidation at polling locations around the country? 

Steff Chávez
Yes, there have been. Multiple polling stations in the swing state of Georgia had to close temporarily yesterday while police investigated bomb threats. And the FBI warned of similar threats from Russian email domains to voting sites across the US. And as you said, Washington, DC has also been on high alert. Police arrested a man at the US Capitol who they said was in possession of a torch and a flare gun. 

Sonja Hutson
And, you know, this also makes me wonder how confident people feel in this election process in general. Did you get a sense of that in talking to people in Wisconsin? 

Steff Chávez
Nobody that I talked to really voiced concerns about the safety of their own ballot. However, the concept of election integrity has definitely been a really important issue throughout the country. Randy Marquardt, who is the Republican chair of the Washington County Republicans here in Wisconsin, told me recently that he has had to spend a lot of time reassuring Republican voters in his county that the election system is safe. And also both Democrats and Republicans pushed early-vote campaigns really hard, particularly in Wisconsin. And so a lot of people from both parties voted early here. 

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Sonja Hutson
Steff Chávez is the FT’s Washington reporter. Thanks Steff. 

Steff Chávez
Thanks, Sonja. 

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Sonja Hutson
A record amount of money was spent in this year’s presidential election. Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have burnt through more than $3.5bn combined in the race. That’s according to the FT’s analysis of campaign filings. So, where did all this money go? Well, almost half was spent on ads in seven swing states. The campaigns have flooded Pennsylvania the most. They put over $400mn to work there. To put that into perspective, that is more than all of the non-swing states combined. Filings also show Trump’s campaign groups spent $100mn on the former president’s recent and ongoing court cases. That’s 14 per cent of his total spending. And Harris outspent Trump on media and ad buys by roughly 25 per cent.

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German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is in the middle of a rock and a hard place. He needs to pass a budget by next week. But an argument between his coalition partners over how to do that has threatened to bring down the entire government. My colleague, Guy Chazan, has been following all the drama and he joins me now. Hey, Guy. 

Guy Chazan
Hi. 

Sonja Hutson
All right. So tell me where the budget discussions stand at the moment and what the major sticking points are. 

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Guy Chazan
Well, the problem is that the government has submitted a draft budget to the Bundestag, to the German parliament, but there is an enormous hole in it, because what happened recently is that the government downgraded its economic forecasts for this year and also for next. And that meant that it now expects less tax revenue than it did before when it actually came up with this draft budget. So there’s a big financing gap which no one knows how to plug. Basically, we have three parties in this government — Social Democrats, Greens and liberals. All three have different remedies for how to close this gap, and they’re kind of mutually incompatible. But that’s not the only problem. 

Sonja Hutson
Yeah. Tell me a little bit more about the political landscape here. 

Guy Chazan
Well, what’s happened is that these three parties, they were always sort of uncomfortable, awkward bedfellows. And what we’ve seen in the last couple of days is the rather unedifying spectacle of all three parties presenting their own proposals for how to get Germany out of this current mess. And it’s creating a lot of chaos and a lot of angst in the German political system, but also in German business. And people are just like shaking their heads in disbelief that there can be so much disunity within this government. 

Sonja Hutson
Well, what’s at risk then, if the coalition parties can’t come together ahead of the budget deadline next week? 

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Guy Chazan
Well, I think what will happen is that the coalition will break down if there’s no breakthrough on the budget. Scholz, the chancellor, has been saying, look, we’ve all got to put our heads together and come up with a solution here. We owe it to the country. The economy minister said something very similar. He said, you know, this is really the worst possible time to break up the coalition, with all the insecurity, all the instability in the world right now. But the smaller partner in the coalition, the liberals — it’s a party called the Free Democrats, the FDP — they are really at the end of their tether. And there’s a very, very strong likelihood that the FDP could just abandon the coalition, and then that could trigger the dissolution of the Bundestag, the parliament, and new elections. 

Sonja Hutson
OK. Wow. So there’s definitely a lot of uncertainty right now in Germany, which makes me wonder, what is the wider impact of this instability on the European Union more broadly? 

Guy Chazan
Well, I mean, it has enormous impact because, you know, people have always looked to Germany for leadership in Europe. You know, it’s the biggest economy in the Eurozone. It’s the kind of industrial behemoth of Europe. And what’s happened now is that that anchor of stability has gone. Germany is just now wracked by political instability. And there’s real fear that the country that is so indispensable could be without a government within weeks. 

Sonja Hutson
Guy Chazan is the FT’s Berlin bureau chief. Thanks, Guy. 

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Guy Chazan
Thank you. 

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Sonja Hutson
You can read more on all these stories for free when you click the links in our show notes. This has been your daily FT News Briefing. Check back tomorrow for the latest business news. 

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Wetherspoons boss Tim Martin warns of price rises after Budget tax blow to businesses

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Wetherspoons boss Tim Martin warns of price rises after Budget tax blow to businesses

THE chairman of Wetherspoons has issued a warning regarding impending price increases following Rachel Reeves’ Autumn Budget.

Tim Martin revealed that the pub chain’s tax bill is projected to rise by two-thirds next year.

Wetherspoons anticipates that tax and business costs will increase by approximately £60 million over the next fiscal year

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Wetherspoons anticipates that tax and business costs will increase by approximately £60 million over the next fiscal yearCredit: Getty

Martin said: “Cost inflation, which had surged to high levels in 2022, gradually diminished over the subsequent two years.

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“However, it has now significantly increased again following the budget.

“All hospitality businesses, we believe, plan to increase prices, as a result.

Wetherspoon will, as always, make every attempt to stay as competitive as possible.”

Wetherspoons anticipates that tax and business costs will increase by approximately £60 million over the next fiscal year, including an estimated 67% rise in national insurance contributions.

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Last week, Rachel Reeves said she was raising the headline employer rate of National Insurance (NI) from 13.8% to 15%.

She also announced a reduction to the threshold at which businesses start paying NI contributions from £9,100 to £5,000.

The group, which runs nearly 800 pubs across the UK, said its sales grew by about 6% in the 14 weeks to November 3, compared with the same period last year.

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