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This Tory conference reads like a familiar story, risking a longer spell in opposition

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Good morning from Birmingham. The Conservative party’s first conference since entering opposition finds the party in a state of suspended animation. All four remaining leadership candidates know that a mistake this week, or a particularly good speech, could change the dynamic of the contest. As it stands, though, it looks like a very familiar story.

Inside Politics is edited by Georgina Quach. Read the previous edition of the newsletter here. Please send gossip, thoughts and feedback to insidepolitics@ft.com

Call of the wild

This is the third party conference I have attended in which the party hosting it has just entered opposition: 2010, when Labour’s 13-year period in government had come to a close the previous spring, 2015, when the Liberal Democrats had been reduced to just eight seats in the wake of their five-year stay in coalition, and now 2024.

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And all three of those conferences had a similar mood on their first day. Despite having gone down to a historically bad defeat, each party was surprisingly chipper. All felt that the new government was struggling to find its feet. (And, to be fair, in all of those cases they were right.) All were rather enjoying opposing painful cuts in the new government’s budget. And all hoped that come the next election they would be back in business. (Which they weren’t.)

In 2010 and 2015, the Labour party and Lib Dems respectively picked a leadership candidate who disavowed their record in office and moved the party closer to its activist base. Both parties did pretty poorly in the election that followed. The Labour party lost seats in 2015, and the Lib Dems lost votes.

At Conservative party conference so far, the candidates who are currently leading the pack to succeed Rishi Sunak as Tory leader are offering a similar diagnosis. Robert Jenrick, the bookmakers’ favourite, told party members that they lost the election in part because they lacked “the ballast of knowing what this party believes in”, and said that the Tory party needed to get back “some religion”. His rival Kemi Badenoch is telling members that they lost because they did not lead and became too obsessed with focus groups: the usual message when a party wants an excuse to ignore the voters it lost and vanish into the wilderness. At one fringe meeting, party members were encouraged to purchase hats with the slogan “Make the Tory party Conservative again”.

This is a party that looks pretty set upon doing what first-term oppositions always do: deciding that it lost because it wasn’t sufficiently like itself, and then losing the next election. Now, of course, it’s true to say that this doesn’t always happen. Both Labour in 1970 and the Conservatives in 1974 moved away from the centre and returned to government after a single term in opposition. That happened in part because the 1970s were a period of repeated geopolitical shocks, but you can see how the 2020s might end up being a similar decade.

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At this Conservative conference, and at Labour conferences after their defeats in 2010 and 2015, the success of Margaret Thatcher, whose reaction to defeat was to move the Conservative party away from what was then considered the centre of British politics, has been frequently cited.

But in general, what happens to most opposition leaders who go to bed thinking they are Thatcher is that they wake up and realise they have ended up more like former Labour leader Michael Foot: that their party has lost again and is going to have to wait another five years to get back into office.

Now try this

The trouble with Birmingham is it has any number of terrific restaurants that insist on being closed on Sundays. If it hadn’t been a Sunday, I would have gone to the delightful Adams yesterday, but as it was, I got room service and watched a below-average movie (The Intern) on Netflix.

Top stories today

  • Labour MP resigns over ‘hypocrisy’ | Keir Starmer is to tighten up UK rules on declaring ministerial “freebies” after a Labour MP quit the party denouncing the prime minister’s acceptance of free gifts and his “cruel” decision to cut winter fuel payments.

  • Manoeuvres in the dark | A company funnelling cash to Conservative leadership candidate Tom Tugendhat was set up last November, months before the general election was called.

  • Pension decisions | Rachel Reeves is unlikely to cut pension tax relief for higher earners in her Budget next month because it would hit teachers, doctors and other better paid public sector workers, according to a report released today.

  • Stop the fighting | Rishi Sunak has used a farewell address to party members to warn that the Tories will be consigned to the margins of politics for good unless they end their internecine feuding. The speech came as it emerged Sunak’s key lieutenant Oliver Dowden, former deputy prime minister, has been interviewed in the official investigation into betting on the date of the general election.

  • Row over Kemi comments | Tory leadership contender Kemi Badenoch has suggested that maternity pay in the UK is “excessive” and that people had more children before it was widely introduced, before rowing back on her position.

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Travel

Virgin Atlantic moving to dynamic pricing for reward seat redemptions

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Virgin Atlantic moving to dynamic pricing for reward seat redemptions

Flying Club members will be able to redeem points against any Virgin flight, but pricing will “vary in line with demand, in a similar way to standard tickets”

Continue reading Virgin Atlantic moving to dynamic pricing for reward seat redemptions at Business Traveller.

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Aston Martin and Stellantis shares slump after profit warnings

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Aston Martin and Stellantis shares slump after profit warnings
Getty Images An Aston Martin on an English country roadGetty Images

Luxury carmaker Aston Martin’s share price sank more than 20% after it said profits will be lower than expected this year.

The company, famed for its links to fictional superspy James Bond, has been hit by supply chain issues and falling sales in China.

The share price of Stellantis, the owner of brands such as Peugeot, Citroen, Fiat and Jeep, also plummeted on Monday after a profit warning.

Carmakers across Europe have been suffering lately, with disappointing sales and increased competition from abroad taking a heavy toll on earnings.

Aston Martin is a prestige brand which makes upmarket cars in relatively small quantities.

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Last year, it sold 6,620 vehicles, with about a fifth of those going to the Asia-Pacific region.

However, the company says it has been hit by a fall in demand in China, where a slowing economy has affected sales of luxury cars.

It has also been affected by problems at a number of suppliers, which have affected its ability to build a number of new models.

As a result, Aston says it will make about 1000 cars fewer than originally planned this year.

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Sales, which had originally been forecast to rise, are now expected to be lower than in 2023, and earnings will fall short of current market expectations.

Adrian Hallmark, who became Aston Martin’s chief executive a few weeks ago, said it had become clear that “decisive action” was needed to adjust output.

But he added that he was “even more convinced than before” about the brand’s potential for growth.

Industry giants suffering

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Meanwhile, Stellantis has become the latest large-scale carmaker to revise its financial forecasts, thanks to a deterioration in the industry outlook.

The company has been struggling with weak demand in the US, a key market, where it has been forced to offer discounts in order to shift unsold stock.

It has also been facing increased competition from Chinese brands, which have been expanding aggressively abroad.

As a result, it sais it expects its profit margins to be significantly lower than previously thought this year.

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The announcement sent its shares tumbling. By lunchtime on Monday, the price was down more than 14%.

The problems at Stellantis and Aston Martin reflect a wider malaise in the European car industry.

On Friday, Volkswagen issued its second profit warning in three months, while it has also suggested it might have to close plants in Germany for the first time in its history.

Its German rivals Mercedes-Benz and BMW have also downgraded their profit forecasts in recent weeks.

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Among the common issues are falling sales in China – until recently a highly lucrative market for expensive and profitable high-end models – coupled with growing competition from Chinese brands in other markets.

EV sales falter

Sales of electric cars, which manufacturers have invested huge sums in developing, have been faltering badly in Europe.

According to data from the European Automobile Manufacturers Association, sales of battery-powered cars were down nearly 44% in August compared to the same period a year ago, while their share of the market dropped to 14.4%, compared to 21% in 2023.

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The decline has followed the removal or reduction of incentives for electric car buyers in a number of European markets, including France and Germany.

On Friday, EU nations are due to vote on plans to impose steep tariffs on imports of electric vehicles from China.

The measures are designed to protect local producers from unfair competition. The European Commission claims Chinese manufacturers benefit from illegal subsidies from the Chinese government – and believes tariffs will create a level playing field.

But the plan is controversial, and has received a mixed reception from manufacturers.

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Money

FCA and BoE open applications for Digital Securities Sandbox

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Victims to stage protest outside FCA’s headquarters

The Financial Conduct Authority and the Bank of England have opened applications for their Digital Securities Sandbox (DSS).

In a statement released today (30 September), the FCA and the Bank urged firms that are innovating in financial market infrastructure to apply.

They said the DSS will “reshape” how they regulate by allowing firms to test legislative changes in real-world scenarios before the changes are implemented.

DSS gives firms the opportunity to explore new technologies in traditional financial markets.

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The new tech includes distributed ledger technology (DLT), a system for storing and managing information distributed across participants in a network.

It has the potential to improve efficiency and reduce costs in wholesale markets, benefitting industry and investors.

“We believe the DSS could also lead to a quicker, more effective and collaborative way of delivering regulatory change,” the statement said.

“The DSS supports innovation, helps protect financial stability and strengthens the UK’s leading position as a global and vibrant financial centre, built on globally respected high standards.”

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The authorities said there is a range of support available to firms to help them through the application process.

Firms can arrange pre-application meetings to better understand the DSS requirements.

The DSS is open to legally established firms of all sizes and at all stages of development.

The firms could be an existing financial institution that is already authorised or recognised under current regulation or a new entrant to the market.

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Find out more about the support available here.

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Frasers Group makes £83mn offer for Mulberry

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Mike Ashley’s Frasers Group has made a conditional offer for Mulberry, valuing the UK luxury brand at £83mn, after a “wholly unsatisfactory” response to an initial approach at the weekend.

Frasers, which owns about 37 per cent of Mulberry’s shares, said it had been taken by surprise when Mulberry proposed on Friday to raise almost £11mn from existing shareholders, including its largest investor — the Singapore-based Ong family that holds a 56 per cent stake.

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Frasers said it had not been aware of the plan, which was designed to prop up the luxury group’s balance sheet, until “immediately prior to its announcement”, and would have been willing to fund it on potentially better terms.

Frasers has offered 130p per share, a premium of 11 per cent to the closing price on Friday, and said it was “the best steward to return Mulberry to profitability”. The board provided a “holding response” to its conditional offer on Sunday, a move that Frasers considered inadequate. Mulberry shares rose 11 per cent on Monday.

Mulberry said on Friday that it needed to raise cash to give it financial flexibility, after falling to an annual pre-tax loss of £34mn, from a £13mn profit the previous year, on a 4 per cent drop in revenue to £153mn.

Frasers said that as an existing shareholder it would “not accept another Debenhams situation where a perfectly viable business is run into administration” after Mulberry noted a “material uncertainty related to going concern” in its annual report.

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Debenhams went into administration in 2020, having rejected a last-ditch rescue plan by Frasers — then called Sports Direct — which was a shareholder as part of an acrimonious battle with Debenhams’ board for control of the business.

Mulberry declined to comment on Monday. Frasers has until October 28 to either make a formal offer or walk away.

In July Mulberry appointed Andrea Baldo, the ex-boss of Ganni, as its new chief executive, replacing Thierry Andretta, who left with immediate effect, after the company became the latest luxury brand to warn of a slowdown in spending among affluent shoppers.

In 2020, Frasers, the retail conglomerate controlled by sportswear tycoon Ashley, bought a stake in Mulberry, which is a significant supplier to House of Fraser, the department store group also owned by Frasers following its collapse in 2018.

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Ashley’s group also has a stake in Hugo Boss and owns upmarket department store chain Flannels.

Clive Black, head of consumer research at Shore Capital, said: “No doubt there will be much emotion and potential shenanigans around this illiquid stock that has had to face into well-versed UK luxury market headwinds in recent times.

“Quite whether the two large and dominating shareholders can come to an agreement will be at the heart of the next steps.”

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Major mobile providers promise not to hike bill prices for some customers ahead of proposed mega merger

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Major mobile providers promise not to hike bill prices for some customers ahead of proposed mega merger

TWO major mobile phone providers have promised not to push up monthly bills for millions of customers ahead of their proposed merger.

Three and Vodafone have said that they will maintain certain social tariffs at £10 or less for two years from the date that their merger is complete.

Three and Vodafone announced their £15 billion merger last year

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Three and Vodafone announced their £15 billion merger last yearCredit: Alamy

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These tariffs include some customers on the SMARTY name and social tariffs on both the SMARTY and VOXI For Now brands.

SMARTY is currently owned by Three, while VOXI is a Vodafone brand.

Both companies have not confirmed whether the price of their main tariffs will change as a result of the merger.

Social tariffs are cheaper broadband and phone packages for people who claim Universal Credit, Pension Credit and some other benefits.

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They are provided in the same way as normal packages, just at a lower price.

The companies will also keep measures to protect customers who are registered as vulnerable.

Three and Vodafone announced their £15billion union last year, which will bring 27million customers together under one network.

If the deal goes ahead, it would create the largest mobile network in the UK.

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But last week the competition watchdog issued a warning that the deal could have a negative impact on customers.

The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) flagged a number of concerns about the merger, which included fears that it could push up prices for customers.

It also launched an in-depth investigation into the merger in April over fears that it could “result in a substantial lessening of competition”.

This could mean that there are fewer providers to choose from, forcing customers to settle for more expensive deals than the ones they had previously.

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The CMA also said that it had “concerns that higher bills or reduced services would negatively affect those customers least able to afford mobile services as well”.

Three and Vodafone have said the deal would help to improve network quality and provide faster 5G.

The latest promise not to hike bills has been put forward to ease the CMA’s concerns.

Both firms have said that they will continue to work with the regulator and the merger can only go ahead with its final approval.

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What social tariffs are currently on offer?

The SMARTY social tariff is a low-cost unlimited plan and is available for new and existing customers who are on certain benefits.

It is offered as a one month rolling plan, which can be cancelled at any time.

Once accepted, you can keep the plan for as long as you are eligible.

For £12 customers can make unlimited UK calls and texts, 5G at no extra cost and EU Roaming up to 12GB.

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How to save on your mobile phone bill

NOT happy with your current mobile phone deal?

If you’re outside the minimum term of your contract then you won’t need to pay a cancellation fee – and you might be able to find a cheaper deal elsewhere.

But don’t just switch contracts because the price is cheaper than what you’re currently paying.

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Take a look at how many minutes and texts, as well as how much data you’re using, to find out which deal is best for you.

For example, if you’re a heavy internet user it’s worth finding a deal that accommodates this so you don’t end up spending extra on bundles or add-ons each month.

Also note that if you’re still in your contract period, you might be charged an exit fee.

Ready to look elsewhere? Pay-as-you-go deals are better for people who don’t regularly use their phone, while monthly contracts usually work out cheaper for those who do.

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It’s worth using comparison websites, such as MoneySupermarket and uSwitch.com, to compare tariffs and phone prices.

Billmonitor also matches buyers to the best pay-monthly deal based on their previous three months of bills.

It only works if you’re a customer of EE, O2, Three, Vodafone or Tesco Mobile and you’ll need to log in with your online account details.

There’s also MobilePhoneChecker, which has a bill monitoring feature that recommends a tariff based on your monthly usage.

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If you’re happy with your provider then it might be worth using your research to haggle a better deal.

There are fast eligibility checks and no credit checks.

To apply contact SMARTY and complete its short form.

These details will then be shared with the Department for Work and Pensions to confirm that you are in receipt of the eligible benefits.

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The VOXI For Now is another tariff available to those receiving financial support.

If you are receiving government benefits then you can get unlimited data, calls and texts for £10 a month.

If you are eligible you will get the deal for six months.

After this point you will be switched to the standard £10 a month plan but you will still have access to unlimited social media, calls and texts.

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There is no contract so you can change, pause or cancel the deal at any time.

To be eligible you must be receiving a benefit such as Jobseeker’s allowance, Universal Credit, Employment and Support Allowance, Disability allowance or Personal independence payment.

VOXI will run a quick eligibility check to make sure that you qualify before you are granted the deal.

The company has partnered with Moneyhub to run the security checks and confirm that you do receive government benefits.

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The process is simple and Moneyhub will check your bank account for government benefits and will then advise VOXI if you qualify for the tariff.

Other providers such as EE and Vodafone also offer social tariffs.

You can find a full list of providers and rules on the Ofcom website.

Help if you are struggling to pay your bill

If you are struggling to pay your mobile phone bill or you owe your provider money then there are things you can do.

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You may be able to switch providers or move to a different contract to get a cheaper deal.

Or if you provider has told you they’re increasing the price of your contract then you may be able to cancel.

Some providers will give you 30 days to cancel your contract without a fee if the price is going up.

Always tell your provider if you are struggling to pay so they can tell you about any support they have on offer.

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Most providers will charge you a fee to leave your contract before it ends.

However, some providers will let you leave early without paying a fee if you are struggling to keep up with your payments.

Do you have a money problem that needs sorting? Get in touch by emailing money-sm@news.co.uk.

Plus, you can join our Sun Money Chats and Tips Facebook group to share your tips and stories

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US opposition to Nippon Steel deal ‘very unsettling’, Japan PM hopeful says

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US warned Nippon Steel its U.S. Steel bid risks harming American industry

Business & FinanceEconomy

Reuters exclusively reported that one of the frontrunners to become Japan’s next premier said that any U.S. move to block Japan’s Nippon Steel from buying U.S. Steel on national security grounds would be “very unsettling.” Shigeru Ishiba, a former defence minister, told Reuters in an interview that the move could dent trust between the allies. The White House is close to announcing that President Joe Biden will block the $15 billion deal, Reuters reported this week. 

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