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UK executives dump shares on fears of Labour capital gains tax raid

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Executives have stepped up sales of their shares in UK-listed companies ahead of this month’s Budget, as chancellor Rachel Reeves considers increasing capital gains tax in a bid to bolster public finances.

Since Britain’s July 4 election, directors of listed companies have sold shares at an average rate of £31mn a week, more than double the £14mn pace of the previous six months, regulatory filings show.

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The total value of disposals since election day has reached around £440mn, according to the figures compiled by investment platform AJ Bell.

Government insiders have confirmed Reeves is weighing a CGT increase as part of a multibillion-pound effort to fill a hole in the public finances.

Some business owners are also speeding up plans to offload their companies altogether to avoid the potential CGT rise, according to a survey by wealth manager Evelyn Partners.

At present CGT rates on share disposals or the sales of businesses tend to range between 10 per cent and 20 per cent.

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The chancellor said in an interview with the Financial Times last week that she would not do anything that might hit growth. “We are approaching it in a responsible way and we need to make sure we aren’t reducing investment into Britain,” she said.

On Monday, Reeves and Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer will host a global investment summit in London, insisting that Britain is a great place to do business, but the shadow of a tax-raising Budget hangs over the event.

Several executives who have sold shares told the FT they took the decision due to fears about the October 30 Budget. They cited worries that a move to raise CGT could lead to further investor outflows.

“My sale was purely down to concerns about the CGT changes,” said one executive at a London-listed firm who sold shares in September. “The chancellor’s approach of leaving the whole economy in limbo over potential changes is not at all helpful.”

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Another executive at a company quoted on London’s junior Aim market who also made disposals last month said they were worried changes in CGT could deter future investors. “People will be more reluctant to risk their capital,” they said.

The FTSE Aim All-Share index is down 3.5 per cent so far this year.

Bar chart of Average disposals (£mn) showing Weekly share sales have more than doubled post-election

CGT, which raised £14.4bn in 2022-2023, is paid by about 350,000 people but just 12,000 of them account for two-thirds of the total intake.

The survey by Evelyn Partners also found that nearly a third of the 500 business owners who had fast-tracked their exit plans over the past year had done so because of concerns about a possible rise in CGT.

A fifth of the businesses said they were looking to accelerate an exit due to a potential cut in inheritance tax relief, which meant it could be more expensive to pass on a company to the next generation.

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“People are running out of time to make these decisions ahead of the Budget and the risk is that they panic,” said Chris Etherington, partner at accounting firm RSM UK. “Everyone has October 29 as a hard deadline.”

Independent research published on Friday by the Centre for the Analysis of Taxation suggested a CGT overhaul could raise up to £14bn a year for the government.

The study looked at the possible effects of a comprehensive reform package that broadens the tax base and brings CGT rates into line with income tax.

Anna Leach, chief economist at the Institute of Directors, said businesses were concerned they would bear the brunt of tax changes after Labour ruled out rises for working people. “They have ruled out everybody else,” she said.

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“Ambiguity around tax increases is hitting confidence and all the doom and gloom from government is making businesses ask whether the pain is worth it,” she added.

Portfolio managers and tax planners said that Labour’s silence ahead of a crunch fiscal event that will set the tone of the administration was leading clients to “fill the void”.

Laura Foll, a fund manager at Janus Henderson, added that the “information gap” about Labour’s plans, together with the government’s negative tone about public finances, had led investors to plan for a “worst-case scenario”.

The government says it needs to fill a £22bn “black hole” left by the previous Conservative administration.

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In response to questions about the share sales, the Treasury said it was committed to encouraging companies to grow and list in the UK.

“The chancellor makes decisions on tax policy at fiscal events,” it added. “We do not comment on speculation around tax.”

Additional reporting by George Parker and Sam Fleming

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Bit of blue sky thinking on Nato’s common defence

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Banker all-nighters create productivity paradox

Making Europe safe for democracy will take much more than just maintaining Nato country defence budgets at 2 per cent of GDP, according to the organisation’s outgoing secretary-general Jens Stoltenberg (“So far, we have called Putin’s bluff”, Lunch with FT, Life & Arts, October 5).

Probably. But wouldn’t it be possible to improve the organisation’s weapons, capabilities and troops if the national defence forces of each country were put under one command?

Maybe we could start with the Nordic countries. Why do they each have their national defence forces and not one common defence force? Are they afraid of a future conflict and possible war with each other?

Jan Erik Grindheim
Professor, University of South-Eastern Norway; and Afflliate, Civita Think Tank (Oslo), Notodden, Norway

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Ministers have to mitigate effects of renters’ rights bill

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Banker all-nighters create productivity paradox

The renters’ rights bill, which passed its second reading in the House of Commons this week, is set to be the biggest change to the private rented sector in England for over 30 years with proposed changes to ban Section 21 evictions, the introduction of open-ended tenancies and new requirements for property standards and rent increases (Report, September 12).

Propertymark is the UK’s leading membership body for property agents. While we want to see improved standards, the government must fully understand the impact these changes will have, with agents left wondering how this legislation will help meet the much-needed demand for homes for people to rent.

Our monthly Housing Insight Report shows on average eight registrations for each available property with fewer new properties coming on to the market. The bill in its current form is highly likely to exacerbate this situation with more landlords withdrawing homes from the private rented sector, frequently moving them to short-term lets.

Tax is reducing the investment appetite of new and existing landlords with higher rates of stamp duty on buy-to-let properties and the withdrawal of tax relief on mortgage interest costs. Ministers must recognise the financial implications of this bill and the impact it has on the supply of homes to rent.

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Through the renters’ rights bill, the UK government must commit to reviewing all costs and taxes impacting on private landlords to ensure landlords continue in the market and more landlords can meet the demand for homes to rent.

Additionally, with no security of a rental term for a landlord beyond the proposed two months’ notice period and no long-term guarantee of rent, we would expect to see a significant number of landlords attracted to higher rents in the short-term letting market, which also offers them the advantage of being unregulated.

With landlords exiting the private rented sector, the result would be a reduction in the rental stock available for long-term tenants and increased rents. To help mitigate this, the government must also enact the registration of short-term rental property requirements, as passed in the Levelling-up and Regeneration Act 2023, alongside these reforms to level the playing field for landlords and the long-term rental market.

Timothy Douglas
Head of Policy and Campaigns, Propertymark, Warwick, UK

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Business travel expected to surpass pre-pandemic levels this year

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Business travel expected to surpass pre-pandemic levels this year

A new report by the World Travel & Tourism Council forecasts that global business travel will reach a record US$1.5 trillion in 2024

Continue reading Business travel expected to surpass pre-pandemic levels this year at Business Traveller.

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Indian’s mocking quip on that imperial sunset clause

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Your report (October 4) that giving the Chagos Islands to Mauritius means the sun has finally set on the British empire reminds me of a comment by Krishna Menon, a defence minister in post-independence India. The British empire had reached its zenith on September 29, 1923 having acquired enormous amount of territories following the first world war. It then covered nearly 14mn square miles, 150 times the size of Great Britain. This was a quarter of the world’s land area with 460mn people, a fifth of the world’s population. George V, as King Emperor, could proudly claim that the sun never set on the British empire.

This prompted Menon, then based in London campaigning for India’s freedom, to mockingly say: “The sun never set on the empire because God doesn’t trust the British in the dark.” Now the sun has set on the empire the British will surely regain God’s trust.

Mihir Bose
London W6, UK

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Ordering foreign books in Japan is a postcode lottery

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Why are western — normally American, but in this case British — computer programmers so arrogant as to insist that the rest of the world conform to their organisation (“AI start-ups make money faster than software groups of the past”, Report, September 28)?

I wanted to buy a couple of books by the brilliant and eloquent theologian Father Timothy Radcliffe OP, soon to be Cardinal Radcliffe, an eminent eminence indeed. Bloomsbury publishes the books. Unfortunately, my address takes the form of 3-2-1-1111, Osaka 543-2100. It makes twisted sense in Japan where few of the higgledy-piggledy streets and lanes have names. However, Bloomsbury’s computer insists on rendering my address as 3211111 Osaka 5432100 without allowing any hyphens or even commas — which code I doubt even Bloomsbury’s computers would be able to fathom.

Postcodes in Japan are not as precise as in the UK, and the same code may cover several hundred urban metres. There are ways round, by writing Chōme (city district name), Banchi (block), Gō (house number) and apartment, preceded by the number for each, but this is clumsy, and Japan prefers Chōme etc with hyphens; and I do not know whether my credit card or bank would recognise the address thus rendered. I fear that Global Britain may be lost in foreign lanes where customs are different.

Kevin Rafferty
Osaka, Japan

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How Xi’s crackdown turned China’s finance high-flyers into ‘rats’

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How Xi’s crackdown turned China’s finance high-flyers into ‘rats’
Getty Images Businessman against Chinese flag in double exposure.Getty Images

China has cracked down on businesses including real estate, technology and finance

“Now I think about it, I definitely chose the wrong industry.”

Xiao Chen*, who works in a private equity firm in China’s financial hub, Shanghai, says he is having a rough year.

For his first year in the job, he says he was paid almost 750,000 yuan ($106,200; £81,200). He was sure he would soon hit the million-yuan mark.

Three years on, he is earning half of what he made back then. His pay was frozen last year, and an annual bonus, which had been a big part of his income, vanished.

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The “glow” of the industry has worn off, he says. It had once made him “feel fancy”. Now, he is just a “finance rat”, as he and his peers are mockingly called online.

China’s once-thriving economy, which encouraged aspiration, is now sluggish. The country’s leader, Xi Jinping, has become wary of personal wealth and the challenges of widening inequality.

Crackdowns on billionaires and businesses, from real estate to technology to finance, have been accompanied by socialist-style messaging on enduring hardship and striving for China’s prosperity. Even celebrities have been told to show off less online.

Loyalty to the Communist Party and country, people are told, now trumps the personal ambition that had transformed Chinese society in the last few decades.

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Mr Chen’s swanky lifestyle has certainly felt the pinch from this U-turn. He traded a holiday in Europe for a cheaper option: South East Asia. And he says he “wouldn’t even think about” buying again from luxury brands like “Burberry or Louis Vuitton”.

But at least ordinary workers like him are less likely to find themselves in trouble with the law. Dozens of finance officials and banking bosses have been detained, including the former chairman of the Bank of China.

The industry is under pressure. While few companies have publicly admitted it, pay cuts in banking and investment firms are a hot topic on Chinese social media.

Posts about falling salaries have generated millions of views in recent months. And hashtags like “changing career from finance” and “quitting finance” have gained more than two million views on the popular social media platform Xiaohongshu.

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Some finance workers have been seeing their income shrink since the start of the pandemic but many see one viral social media post as a turning point.

In July 2022, a Xiaohongshu user sparked outrage after boasting about her 29-year-old husband’s 82,500-yuan monthly pay at top financial services company, China International Capital Corporation.

People were stunned by the huge gap between what a finance worker was getting paid and their own wages. The average monthly salary in the country’s richest city, Shanghai, was just over 12,000 yuan.

It reignited a debate about incomes in the industry that had been started by another salary-flaunting online user earlier that year.

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Those posts came just months after Xi called for “common prosperity” – a policy to narrow the growing wealth gap.

In August 2022, China’s finance ministry published new rules requiring firms to “optimise the internal income distribution and scientifically design the salary system”.

The following year, the country’s top corruption watchdog criticised the ideas of “finance elites” and the “only money matters” approach, making finance a clearer target for the country’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign.

Getty Images Shanghai skyline.Getty Images

Shanghai is a financial hub and China’s richest city

The changes came in a sweeping but discreet way, according to Alex*, a manager at a state-controlled bank in China’s capital, Beijing.

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“You would not see the order put into written words – even if there is [an official] document it’s certainly not for people on our level to see. But everyone knows there is a cap on it [salaries] now. We just don’t know how much the cap is.”

Alex says employers are also struggling to deal with the pace of the crackdown: “In many banks, the orders could change unexpectedly fast.”

“They would issue the annual guidance in February, and by June or July, they would realise that the payment of salaries has exceeded the requirement. They then would come up with ways to set up performance goals to deduct people’s pay.”

Mr Chen says his workload has shrunk significantly as the number of companies launching shares on the stock market has fallen. Foreign investment has decreased in China, and domestic businesses have also turned cautious – because of the crackdowns and weak consumption.

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In the past his work often involved new projects that would bring money into his firm. Now his days are mostly filled with chores like organising the data from his previous projects.

“The morale of the team has been very low, the discussion behind the bosses backs are mostly negative. People are talking what to do in three to five years.”

It’s hard to estimate if people are leaving the industry in large numbers, although there have been some layoffs. Jobs are also scarce in China now, so even a lower-paying finance job is still worth keeping.

But the frustration is evident. A user on Xiaohongshu compared switching jobs to changing seats – except, he wrote, “if you stand up you might find your seat is gone.”

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Mr Chen says that it’s not just the authorities that have fallen out of love with finance workers, it’s Chinese society in general.

“We are no longer wanted even for a blind date. You would be told not to go once they hear you work in finance.”

*The names of the finance workers have been changed to protect their identities.

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