Connect with us

Business

US banks ride ‘soft landing’ high

Published

on

This is an audio transcript of the FT News Briefing podcast episode: ‘US banks ride “soft landing” high

Kasia Broussalian
Good morning from the Financial Times. Today is Monday, October 14th, and this is your FT News Briefing.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Russian oil tankers are sailing past western sanctions. And we’re in the middle of earnings season for US banks. Plus, in Argentina, strict currency controls seem to have staying power. I’m Kasia Broussalian and here’s the news you need to start your day.

Advertisement

[MUSIC PLAYING]

A shadow fleet of oil tankers from Russia is thriving. So much so that its capacity to transport oil has grown by over 70 per cent since last year, that’s according to a new report out today. And the increase is in spite of a crackdown on shipping companies and insurers who have essentially allowed Moscow to get around western sanctions. Now, these were first put in place to limit Russia’s ability to generate revenues for its war in Ukraine. And they haven’t been that successful. Now, on top of that, the report also highlights the environmental risks of the fleet. These ships are old and because of the sanctions, under-insured. So oil spills and accidents are more likely to happen.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

We’re in the middle of another earnings season for US banks. JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo both beat expectations when they reported on Friday. The big investment banks, including Bank of America and Goldman Sachs, published later this week. To get the details and some insights, I have my colleague Josh Franklin here. Hey, Josh.

Advertisement

Joshua Franklin
Hi there.

Kasia Broussalian
So break down those two reports from Friday for me. What are some of the top line numbers?

Joshua Franklin
So I think the headline for JPMorgan and Wells Fargo that we saw on Friday was better than expected. Profits were down of both banks, but less than analysts and investors were fearing they would be. And I think a big part of that comes down to credit and loan losses being less severe than analysts were fearing they would be. As we kind of get past this period when a lot of people during the pandemic were sitting on large amounts of savings that have now been spent down and also now borrowers dealing with higher interest rates. And that was all really reflected in how their stocks performed. JPMorgan shares were up around 4.5 per cent on Friday, Wells Fargo was more than 5 per cent. And overall, one of the benchmark banking indexes hit the highest level since before the regional banking crisis with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in 2023.

Kasia Broussalian
All right. So that sounds pretty decent. And now these are the first reports since the Federal Reserve cut interest rates back in September. And that plays a big role in something called net interest income. What’s the outlook there given that rates are, you know, now falling?

Advertisement

Joshua Franklin
Yeah. And that’s been really one of the big concerns for bank investors is the extent to which lower interest rates would start weighing on big bank profits in particular, because these big banks have really benefited from being able to charge more for loans over the last two years without having to pay as high rates for savers on their deposits. And there was kind of a bit of a mixed bag in there for the banks. JPMorgan raised their guidance for net interest income in 2024. Wells Fargo cut their outlook for the final three months of the year. But Wells did lift their outlook for 2025, so being a bit more optimistic on things. JPMorgan didn’t give any outlook for what they expected to get from lending income in 2025, which was a little bit of a frustration on the earnings call. And even Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan, told his CFO, next time, let’s just give them the damn number because they were getting so many questions about what net interest income was going to look like in 2025.

Kasia Broussalian
So we’re just halfway through this earnings season, the big investment banks, they report later this week. What are you looking for to better understand the health of the US banking sector overall?

Joshua Franklin
Well, I think we’re going to get like a different complexion of it. So we’ve got Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley reporting, and that’s gonna give us a little bit more of a flavour of the corporate world, a level of corporate confidence in terms of their willingness to do deals and appetite there. And I think that’s gonna continue to show pretty, from pretty anaemic levels 12 months ago, it’s gonna show pretty good year on year growth. The big theme is just how much of a recovery we’re seeing there and how sustained that’s gonna be.

Kasia Broussalian
Josh Franklin is the FT’s US banking editor. Thanks, Josh.

Advertisement

Joshua Franklin
Thanks very much.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Kasia Broussalian
Concern is ramping up about inflation in Europe, but not in the way that you might expect. Economists are worried about it getting too low now thanks to weak economic growth and lower consumer price pressures. It’s a bit of a whiplash, right? Just last year, the European Central Bank raised interest rates to a record high and needed to bring down inflation that had really taken off after the pandemic. But it looks like things might be cooling too much. Eurozone inflation dropped to 1.8 per cent last month below the ECB’s 2 per cent target. And that’s giving some people a bit of déjà vu. Keeping inflation at 2 per cent has historically been kind of an issue for the bank. The ECB next meets on Thursday and investors are predicting it’ll drop rates by a quarter point. That would be sooner than originally anticipated.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Advertisement

It’s almost been a year since a chainsaw wielding, sideburn rocking, libertarian economist took Argentina by storm. Javier Milei promised to slash spending, get inflation in line and crucially, lift currency controls when he became president. Michael Stott has been checking in on Milei’s progress and he’s here to talk to me about it. Hey, Michael.

Michael Stott
Hey, Kasia.

Kasia Broussalian
So tell me more about Milei’s time in office. What sort of progress has he been making on the economy?

Michael Stott
It’s a mixed picture, Kasia. I mean, I’ve just been in Buenos Aires. We had an interview with Milei and we got a sense of the country as it is now. Inflation has come down quite dramatically from the peak that it hit when he took office. He has also balanced the budgets. But there’s been a recession, too. Poverty rates have gone up. People are really feeling pain and the currency controls are gonna take quite a lot longer. He said that this was not the time to lift them and that he had several conditions that he wanted to see met first. So it’s a mixed picture.

Advertisement

Kasia Broussalian
Yeah. And tell me more about those currency controls. What’s the history with them?

Michael Stott
Yeah. So the currency controls were imposed actually by a centre right government back in 2019. Amid an economic crisis, there was a loss of confidence in the peso. And what they mean is that if you want to buy dollars in unlimited amounts, you’ve got to go to the black market to get them. There’s very strict controls on how many dollars you’re allowed to buy that you can move out of the country. And it was an emergency measure, but they’ve stayed ever since 2019 because the confidence in the peso has not returned. And it’s a high-risk gamble for Milei to lift them. Ideologically, he wants to lift them. He’s a libertarian. He wants economic freedom. But if he lifts them and dollars flat out, the peso’s value could crash. And then there’s a whole other burst of inflation. And his biggest achievement so far is undermined. So he’s very concerned about trying to find a balance there and looking for the right moment to do it.

Kasia Broussalian
Got it. And what are those conditions that Milei wants to see first and what would lifting controls actually do?

Michael Stott
So lifting the controls would help foreign investment. It would give foreign companies confidence that if they invested in Argentina, they could get their money out again. But Milei wants inflation to come down further. It’s still very high, and he wants to see banks lending their pesos out to companies instead of parking them in the central bank. That’s something as well he would see as a sign of money being put to work in the real economy instead of stored up somewhere where it might suddenly turn into dollars. So he’s looking for those sorts of things to happen before he lifts the controls.

Advertisement

Kasia Broussalian
And is this a setback for Milei? Like how much are these controls tied to him declaring, you know, essentially mission accomplished on the economy?

Michael Stott
It’s definitely a setback for him because he’s been so clear about his belief in total economic freedom. So he has to lift them at some point. The problem is that in a way, the longer he delays lifting them, the more the demand for dollars builds up in the system because multinational companies, for example, can’t send their profits back abroad. Some economists are quite concerned that he’s creating a bit of a hostage to fortune by waiting so long.

Kasia Broussalian
All right. But in the meantime here, I can’t help but think about how Argentineans, they’re really struggling. So how long do you think they’ll be willing to put up with Milei’s shock therapy?

Michael Stott
It’s a very drastic economic adjustment, one of the most drastic anywhere in the world. I think what’s helping Milei so far is that he’s doing, on the one hand, what he promised to do in the election campaign. He promised pain, he promised to chainsaw, that’s what people are getting. So he’s being honest in that sense and setting expectations. The other thing that’s helping him is a lack of alternatives. Frankly, the previous government was completely discredited by the huge economic mess it left behind. And nobody else has really articulated any serious alternative to what Milei is doing. The big question, of course, that nobody knows the answer to is how long that patience will last, and it could snap quite quickly at some point.

Advertisement

Kasia Broussalian
Michael Stott is the FT’s Latin America editor. Thanks, Michael.

Michael Stott
Thank you, Kasia.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

[CLIP OF A COUNTDOWN PLAYING]

Advertisement

Kasia Broussalian
SpaceX, the company run by Elon Musk, launched its rocket into the atmosphere on Sunday morning.

[CLIP OF A LAUNCH PLAYING]

But it wasn’t like most take-offs. The excitement was less about what was going up than what might be coming back down.

[NEWS CLIP PLAYING]

Advertisement

Everyone was watching to see if something called a booster would fall from the starship and land directly into the arms of the launch pad. And it worked.

[NEWS CLIP PLAYING]

The catch is crucial in order for SpaceX to reuse its rockets. So pulling it off was a major technical achievement.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Advertisement

You can read more on all of these stories for free when you click the links in our shownotes. This has been your daily FT News Briefing. Make sure you check back tomorrow for the latest business news.

Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Business

Donald Trump’s unimpeded path to trade war

Published

on

Donald Trump’s unimpeded path to trade war

Neither Congress nor the courts would be likely to stop him raising tariffs across the board

Source link

Continue Reading

Money

Can I get a loan with bad credit?

Published

on

What is the Average Credit Score in the UK

 

Can I get a loan with bad credit? 

For those with bad credit, securing a loan can be a long battle as lenders view borrowers with a low credit score as high risk. This can often lead to stricter terms, higher interest rates or even denials. However, finding loans with reasonable terms is crucial for those with bad credit. Finding a loan with fair interest rates and manageable repayment schedules can help them cover necessary expenses without falling further into debt.  

Being able to repay the loan will also provide an opportunity to improve credit scores which can then open the door to more financial opportunities in the future. 

There has been a growing demand for personal loans in the US in 2024 with 93.9 million Americans currently holding personal loans.

This is a 5.3% year-on-year increase. Partly this is due to a rise in accessible loan options for those with bad credit as more lenders are offering bad-credit loans, secured loans, and alternative lending platforms. Navigating your financial choice carefully is essential to avoid high fees and dangerous lending practices.  

Advertisement

You can take out a loan with bad credit but doing so should be carried out carefully. 

 

What is classed as having bad credit? 

Lenders will assume you are a high-risk borrower if you have a FICO score below 580. Credit scores typically range from 300-850 with higher scores indicating strong creditworthiness. Scores below 580 falls into the ‘poor’ category which then makes it challenging to secure a favorable loan. 

If you miss or make your payments late on credit cards, loans or bills you will damage your credit report and could end up with a significantly lower score. High credit utilization or using a large portion of available credit will also negatively impact your score. If a borrower is unable to repay debts this will be recorded, and future lenders will be more wary. 

Advertisement

 

Best loans for bad credit October 2024 

badcredit

When you have bad credit, finding a personal loan can be challenging, but there are several options available, including payday loans, secured loans, and loans from specialized lenders. Personal loans with a bad credit score is possible but should be carefully considered in order to avoid inescapable debt. 

Payday loans 

Payday loans are short-term loans designed to be repaid by your next paycheck. These loans are often marketed to borrowers with bad credit, offering quick cash with minimal application requirements. However, payday loans come with extremely high interest rates, often exceeding 400% APR, and costly fees. While they provide immediate relief, they can easily trap borrowers in a cycle of debt if not repaid on time. Payday loans should only be used as a last resort. Recent regulations in 2024 have introduced more consumer protections, limiting the amount a borrower can take and capping interest rates in some states. Still, they remain risky and should be approached with caution. 

Advertisement

 

Lenders specializing in loans for bad credit 

Several lenders cater specifically to individuals with low credit scores. These loans often have higher interest rates compared to those available for borrowers with good credit, but they offer better terms than payday loans. Loan amounts typically range from $1,000 to $10,000, with repayment terms usually between 12 and 60 months, depending on the lender. 

In October 2024, lenders like Upstart, OneMain Financial, and Avant continue to offer personal loans for bad credit borrowers. Upstart, for example, uses a unique model that factors in education and employment, while OneMain Financial focuses on offering personalized loan terms based on your financial situation. Avant provides flexibility with repayment and has lower credit score requirements. 

Advertisement

 

Secured Loans 

Secured loans are another option for borrowers with bad credit, backed by collateral such as a car or home. These loans reduce the risk for lenders, making it easier for individuals with low credit scores to get approved. Common types include car title loans or home equity loans, where the borrower’s asset is used to secure the loan. The advantage is often a lower interest rate compared to unsecured loans, but the downside is the risk of losing your asset if you default on payments. 

 

Advertisement

Best loan companies for bad credit 

loans (1)

 

How to choose a loan for bad credit 

When choosing the best loan for bad credit, understanding key criteria can help you make a smart financial decision. Here are the factors you should evaluate: 

Interest rates 

This is one of the most important factors when choosing a loan. Borrowers with bad credit often face higher rates, but there can be significant differences between lenders. Look for the APR which includes both the interest rate and any other associated fees. Make sure you compare rates across multiple lenders to ensure you are getting the best offer available. The lower the interest rate, the lower your monthly payments will be, this will help you repay the loan. 

Advertisement

Fees and Penalties 

Loans often come with various fees and penalties that can add up. Watch out for origination fees, which are usually deducted from the loan amount upfront. Some lenders also impose late payment penalties or prepayment penalties for paying off your loan early. Be sure to read the fine print and ask about any additional costs. Lenders who are transparent will clearly outline all fees upfront, so avoid any that seem to hide or gloss over these charges. 

Repayment terms 

Some loans offer shorter terms with higher monthly payments, while others provide longer terms with lower payments but higher overall costs due to interest. Consider how flexible the repayment schedule is, and ensure it aligns with your budget. Look for options that allow early repayments without penalty, especially if you plan to improve your financial situation over time. 

Advertisement

Approval process 

Some lenders offer fast approvals with minimal checks, whereas others may conduct a thorough credit check and verification process. Being approved quickly will be tempting, however they can often come with higher interest rates and fees.  

Check customer feedback and reviews 

During your research it is important to take a look at past customer reviews and feedback. This will tell you how trustworthy the lenders are and whether this is a good decision for you. 

Advertisement

 

Alternative to loans for bad credit 

If you cannot find a loan with favorable terms and you have a bad credit score, there are some other options. 

Credit builder loans 

They are designed to help improve your credit while borrowing money. The lender will hold the loan amount, whilst you make regular repayments. This is a way to prove you can be a low risk, trusted borrower and in the future more lenders will accept you. 

Advertisement

Debt consolidation loans 

For those with multiple debts, a debt consolidation loan can combine them into one monthly payment, often with a lower interest rate. This simplifies repayment and can reduce overall interest costs. 

Secured credit cards 

You will have to provide a cash deposit as collateral, this makes them easier to obtain with bad credit. 

Advertisement

 

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Attacking corporate art sponsorship is pointless

Published

on

Stay informed with free updates

The writer is a former shadow secretary of state for culture, media and sport

There was a clattering of dominoes across UK literature festivals this year when Baillie Gifford was dropped from the commercial sponsorship which supports this world. The asset manager’s exit came after sustained pressure from activists, authors, politicians and others who opposed its funding of the Hay Festival because a small percentage of its investments were in Israel and in oil companies. Elsewhere, the Turner contemporary art gallery in Kent was subjected to protests for not visibly campaigning on Palestine and there were a series of angry protests against oil company sponsorship of museums including the British Museum and the National Portrait Gallery.

Advertisement

Now we find arts organisations are being warned that the government’s proposed tax changes could lead some wealthy people to leave the country, reducing philanthropic donation and putting arts funding at further risk.

Arts organisations are an easy, visible, headline-grabbing target for campaigners. But these bodies do not extract oil or invest in weapons. The consequences of successful campaigns to remove funding does not lead to less oil or fewer arms. It doesn’t end climate change or prevent war. Investment portfolios don’t change. But it does put off sponsors and donors from investing in arts.

I share the aims of getting to net zero, tackling climate change and the nature emergency and transitioning from fossil fuels to renewables. I’m proud of the Labour manifesto I campaigned on during the general election campaign to achieve this. I just don’t think attacking art sponsorship is a valid or productive route and damages our cultural life without helping the cause.

Reduced sponsorship causes financial harm for cultural organisations. This risks livelihoods of staff and creators. Some organisations will simply go bust.

Advertisement

Instead of lying down pretending to be dead in front of gallery visitors, activists could talk with directors about funding and due diligence processes. Better still, talk to the source — the company whose behaviour they object to — or to politicians.

In some cases, it is staff or performers who protest. Yet they have the most to lose and the best chance of entering into constructive dialogue with organisations and sponsors.

Focusing on the oil protests, for example, the private sector is essential for decarbonisation, via direct investment and in manufacturing. More and more companies have net zero strategies. If activists believe these are inadequate, it is the source companies they need to be protesting, not art.

Sponsors and donors need to be willing to explain and discuss their strategies. There may be difficult arguments but they have the capacity to help articulate their goals. Arts organisations frequently do not. At Climate Change Week at the UN General Assembly last month I heard well-informed discussion and interrogation of net zero strategies, investment in new clean tech and more. The private sector is more than capable of explaining what they are doing and be willing to listen to and discuss how they might do more. This should not be left to the cultural world.

Advertisement

I assume activists who are calling on arts organisations to reject money from certain companies nevertheless want the state to continue to tax the same companies to pay for our public services? Why is it OK for the state to take their money but not the arts?

Creative industries are one of the strongest sectors for economic growth in the UK and part of what makes us great. Creators visit public museums for inspiration for costumes for films and TV. People who learnt their craft in the publicly invested cultural worlds go on to start commercially successful production, games and music companies. We need more art and culture, for joy, jobs and growth. Stop picking on art.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Money

Financial Life Planning hires Rebecca Tuck as ops director to drive growth

Published

on

Financial Life Planning hires Rebecca Tuck as ops director to drive growth

Advice business Financial Life Planning has hired Paradigm Norton’s Rebecca Tuck as its new operations director to help drive the expansion of the business.

Kate Shaw launched the firm around 10 years ago and has been running it on her own ever since.

“We both got to the point in our careers where we are ready to do something different,” Tuck told Money Marketing.

“[Kate] could’ve carried on like that indefinitely, I probably could’ve stayed at PN indefinitely, but I just wanted a change.”

Advertisement

Tuck has joined the business to “get it properly ship-shape”. “It’s like phase one in world domination, that’s the plan,” she said.

The first step is to make everything behind the scenes as efficient as possible. This includes making the client journey smooth and enjoyable.

“We are looking to grow, ultimately,” Tuck said. “There is definitely space for more people to join in the not-too-distant future. But by getting me in first, we can just make sure we’ve got that really solid foundation to build on.

The business is also going through a brand refresh and is working on a redesigned website.

Advertisement

“Kate is one of the most genuine people I’ve met in financial services,” said Tuck.

“And she really wants to do what’s best for clients. She is genuinely doing something a bit different.

“It was a really exciting opportunity for me to come in, essentially with a blank sheet of paper, and help design what that looks like and what that experience will be.

Shaw and Tuck first met at the IFW conference in May 2023.

Advertisement

“We got talking and realised we were very much on the same page, and there is a really exciting opportunity to join forces and use each other’s skillsets and do something exciting,” says Tuck.

“Bigger picture, longer term, there is definitely a desire to expand to help more people, to be a place where people can be themselves.”

Shaw said: “We’re very much about doing an absolutely brilliant job for people who don’t feel that they fit into the traditional financial planning firm.

“We want people to land onto our website, which is being updated at the moment, and look at it and go ‘that’s me’.”

Advertisement

She said there are a lot of people, especially Gen X women, who are “quite badly served” by financial services.

“We want there to be a home for everybody,” she added.

In terms of when the business is looking to hire new employees, Shaw said it is to do with when the right person comes along. “If that’s next week, awesome. But we’re keen to make sure it is a very tight ship that we’re running.

“It’s a team effort. We’re onboarding a new client this week and Becca’s going to be involved in that. It’s not just a case of I do the clients, she does the ops, we’re all in it together.

Advertisement

“It’s really important that they know they’ve got a home with us. We’re on their side. We’re independent, we know what we’re doing and we only answer to them.”

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Travel

Capella accepts Digital Payment Tokens for luxury stays

Published

on

Capella accepts Digital Payment Tokens for luxury stays

Capella Hotel Group pioneers luxury hospitality’s digital age by accepting Digital Payment Tokens (DPTs) at flagship properties, Capella Singapore and Patina Maldives, Fari Islands.

Continue reading Capella accepts Digital Payment Tokens for luxury stays at Business Traveller.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Business

Trio of economists win Nobel Prize for work on wealth of nations

Published

on

Unlock the Editor’s Digest for free

The 2024 Nobel Prize for economics has been awarded to academics Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson for their work on wealth disparities between nations.

Acemoglu and Johnson are professors at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, while Robinson is a professor at the University of Chicago.

Advertisement

They were commended for their work on the impact of institutions and the rule of law on countries’ prosperity.

“This year’s laureates have pioneered new approaches, both empirical and theoretical, that have significantly advanced our understanding of global inequality,” said Nobel committee member Jakob Svensson.

“Reducing the huge differences in income between countries is one of our times’ greatest challenges,” he added.

Svensson said the trio’s work had “helped us understand differences in prosperity between nations” by showing that societies with a poor rule of law and institutions that exploit their populations can struggle to generate growth.

Advertisement

Although the laureates did not propose “simple recipes or concrete policy proposals”, their work had a “huge societal impact”, he said.

The Nobel committee added that their insights showed that democracies were “on average, in the long run . . . better for promoting growth”.

The committee emphasised that while all three worked at US universities, none were Americans. Acemoglu was born in Turkey and his two colleagues in Britain.

Speaking from Athens, Greece, after the prize was announced, Acemoglu said the trio’s work could best be summarised as the study of the “natural experiment” created by colonialism.

Advertisement

This had “divided the world into very different institutional trajectories”, he said, with countries set on distinct paths depending on the resources European settlers had brought with them and the strategies they adopted.

“Broadly speaking, the work we have done favours democracy,” Acemoglu said.

He added that while China’s recent success in high-tech sectors was “a bit of a challenge” to their conclusions, “our argument has been that this sort of authoritarian growth is often more unstable”.

Acemoglu was born in Istanbul and studied in the UK, receiving his masters and doctorate from the London School of Economics after undergraduate studies in York. 

Advertisement

The Turkish-American economist began his academic career at LSE before moving to MIT. He won the John Bates Clark Medal, awarded to the most promising American economist under the age of 40 by the American Economic Association, in 2005. 

Acemoglu worked with Robinson on the best-selling book Why Nations Fail

Johnson was born in Sheffield but has spent his working life in the US. Before joining MIT, he worked at the Washington-based Peterson Institute think-tank and served as the IMF’s chief economist from 2007 to 2008.

He received his doctorate from MIT, after completing a masters at the University of Manchester and an undergraduate degree from Oxford university.

Advertisement

Robinson, who holds British and American citizenship, received degrees from the LSE and Warwick before completing a doctorate at Yale.

He has been at the University of Chicago since 2015 and previously worked at Harvard University.

Additional reporting by Claire Jones

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2024 WordupNews.com