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US Treasury yields remain higher after release of Fed minutes

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Wall Street’s benchmark equities index closed at a record high, with investors turning their attention to the release of important inflation data on Thursday.

The S&P 500 gained 0.7 per cent to finish at 5,792.04, surpassing its September 30 peak of 5,762.48.

The technology-dominated Nasdaq Composite ticked up 0.6 per cent, but remained shy of its mid-July record high.

The S&P 500 is now up 21.4 per cent so far in 2024, while the Nasdaq has gained 21.9 per cent.

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Wednesday’s stock moves came after the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting and ahead of inflation data on Thursday that could have an impact on the central bank’s November rate decision.

The yield on the policy-sensitive two-year Treasury climbed 0.04 percentage points to 4.02 per cent.

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FT Crossword: Number 17,864

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FT Crossword: Number 17,864

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Sick pay and parental leave part of major overhaul

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Sick pay and parental leave part of major overhaul
Getty Images Female professional wearing a grey jumper balances her baby while sitting down at a desk at home where she is reading a documentGetty Images

A planned overhaul of workers’ rights would give millions of people the right to claim unpaid parental leave and stronger protections from unfair dismissal from their first day in a job.

The government is set to announce the details of its Employment Rights Bill, which it says would end the “exploitative” use of zero-hours contracts and “fire and rehire” practices.

Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner described this as the “biggest upgrade to rights at work for a generation”.

There are 28 separate measures in the bill to be introduced later, most of which will be subject to further consultation and will not take effect before autumn 2026.

The government is seeking to be pro-worker and pro-business and striking that balance means that much of the detail is still to be decided.

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While some unions have welcomed the announcement, business groups have expressed concerns about how the changes will work in practice.

As part of the plans, the existing two-year qualifying period for protections from unfair dismissal will be removed and workers will have them from their very first day in a new job.

Ministers have said this would benefit some nine million workers who have been with their current employer for less than two years.

What else will change?

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  • Statutory sick pay (SSP): Workers will be entitled to SSP from the first day they are ill, rather than the fourth day
  • Lower earnings limit for SSP: Currently, workers earning less than £123 per week cannot claim SSP. This limit will be removed but the bill will set out a lesser level of sick pay for lower earners
  • Paternity leave: Fathers to be eligible from day one of employment, instead of 26 weeks
  • Unpaid parental leave: Parents to be eligible from day one of employment, instead of one year
  • Unpaid bereavement leave: To become a “day one” right for workers
  • Flexible working: Bosses will be expected to consider any flexible working requests made from day one, and say yes unless they can prove it is unreasonable

Roughly 30,000 fathers or partners will be eligible for paternity leave as a result, while 1.5 million parents will have the right to unpaid leave from day one under the changes.

“Too many people are drawn into a race to the bottom, denied the security they need to raise a family while businesses are unable to retain the workers they need to grow,” Ms Rayner said.

“We’re raising the floor on rights at work to deliver a stronger, fairer and brighter future of work for Britain.”

The government will also consult on a new statutory probation period for new hires.

While Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds had previously suggested the new legislation would mean a maximum probation period of about six months for most businesses, it has proven a tricky subject during discussions.

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Some trade unions are worried that a short period of probation could make firms reluctant to take on new staff, or even cut jobs.

Dominic Ponniah wearing a white shirt and navy jacket standing in front of a number of Henry brand hoover vacuums

Dominic Ponniah says his cleaning firm is delaying hiring plans

Dominic Ponniah, the boss of Cleanology, told the BBC his firm is delaying hiring plans while being more cautious of who it takes on.

The cleaning company he runs has about 1,300 employees located from Scotland to Southampton.

“Hiring people is quite a big thing, costly, and people are concerned about the ramifications after these announcements,” he said.

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“It’s just another thing that businesses have to contend with,” he said, adding that the new rules around sick pay, unfair dismissal and probationary periods would make business “very, very nervous”.

Tina McKenzie, policy chair at the Federation of Small Businesses suggested that the new bill was a “rushed job, clumsy, chaotic and poorly planned”.

She said that smaller firms would be left “scrabbling to make sense” of the changes and called for a full consultation on each individual measure.

The matter of zero-hours contracts has also been hotly debated.

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Under the Employment Rights Bill, bosses will have to offer workers a guaranteed-hours contract based on the hours they have clocked up during a 12-week period.

Workers on zero-hours contracts will also be entitled to “reasonable” notice ahead of any changes being made to their shifts, as well as compensation if a shift is cancelled or ended early.

Zero-hours contracts have come in for criticism in the past as the likes of factory or warehouse workers have missed out on a steady income and certain benefits.

But UKHospitality said it is the preferred policy for workers in their sector.

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Ruby, a first-year university student, told the BBC that she is on a zero-hours contract with her local football club, selling food and drinks on match days.

“In my situation it’s quite good. I can pick up shifts if and when I need a bit of extra money, or if I’m home for the weekend,” she said.

She says that this approach offers her more flexibility than a contract specifying a certain number of hours would.

“If I’m there and I want to do it, I can do it.”

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‘Flexibility’

The business secretary said on Thursday it was “vital” to give employers flexibility to grow, while ending what he described as “unscrupulous and unfair practices”.

Gary Smith, general secretary of the GMB union, described the bill as a “groundbreaking first step to giving workers the rights they’ve been denied for so long”.

But he added that there is a “long way to go”, and called for unions and workers to be involved in the discussions around the new legislation.

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“The legislation must be watertight and without loopholes that could be used by those wanting to delay the rights workers so desperately need,” he said.

Some measures included in Labour’s plan to “Make Work Pay”, issued in the run-up to the General Election, will not feature in the bill either.

The “right to switch off”, for example, will be part of a “Next Steps” document in which the government will set out hopes for further reform.

Conservative shadow business secretary Kevin Hollinrake said that the party would look “closely” at the detail of what Labour has set out.

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“But businesses and the economy needs certainty not the threat of being sent back to the 1970s, unleashing waves of low threshold, zero warning strikes, driving down growth and slowing productivity,” he said.

Additional reporting by Emer Moreau.

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UK ministers fire starting gun on landmark worker rights reform

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UK bosses will be able to fire new recruits after a warning of poor performance during a nine-month probation period, in a last-minute concession to business that will soften the impact of Labour’s flagship reforms to workers’ rights. 

Draft legislation published on Thursday sets out a swath of changes to UK employment law that together constitute the biggest overhaul in a generation. 

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The Employment Rights bill will give shape to 28 of the roughly 70 measures promised by Sir Keir Starmer’s party before the election in its “Plan to Make Work Pay”.

These include a clampdown on zero hour contracts, stronger rights to work flexibly if feasible and curbs on employers’ use of fire and rehire tactics.

But the most contentious provision, day one protection against unfair dismissal, will be softened considerably under government proposals for a statutory probation period during which employers will have to follow only a “lighter touch” process to justify a dismissal. 

Ministers are planning to consult for several months on the maximum length of the probation period but are already minded to opt for nine months, according to officials. 

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Many of the measures will be subject to further consultation to thrash out the details of secondary legislation needed to implement them, while other measures will be added to the bill at a later stage, or pursued separately in future by other means. 

As a result, the majority of the reforms will not take effect any earlier than 2026, the government confirmed.

Angela Rayner, deputy prime minister, is presenting the package as a way to “boost pay and productivity” in an economy “riven with insecurity”. Paul Nowak, general secretary of the Trades Union Congress, the umbrella body for the UK labour movement, described it as a “seismic shift” that would improve working life for millions of people. 

But businesses are alarmed at the cumulative impact of the reforms, and in particular by the scrapping of the current two-year qualifying period for unfair dismissal.

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Tina McKenzie, policy chair at the Federation of Small Businesses trade body, described the bill as “a rushed job, clumsy, chaotic and poorly planned”.

The government has said the changes will help more than 1mn people working on contracts with no or few guaranteed hours, who will gain new rights to a contract reflecting their regular hours, and to notice or compensation when shifts are cancelled. 

An extra 30,000 fathers will benefit from a right to take paternity leave from the first day in a job, scrapping the current qualifying period.

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The bill will also broaden coverage of statutory sick pay, strengthen trade unions’ role in the workplace, pave the way for collective bargaining in the care sector, establish a new agency to enforce employee rights and strengthen protections at work for new mothers, among other changes. 

A nine-month probation period is longer than Rayner initially envisaged and follows intense lobbying from businesses that had the backing of business secretary Jonathan Reynolds and chancellor Rachel Reeves.

While employers will still need to show they have acted fairly in dismissing a new hire, they will not need to follow the lengthy process typical at present when dismissing an employee of more than two years tenure. Giving written notice could suffice, officials suggested.

Details of how a probation period works will be subject to consultation, however, and will need to be set out in both secondary legislation and a separate code of conduct. This means the day one right will take effect in autumn 2026 at the earliest. 

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Other consultations will look at how to determine workers’ regular working pattern, in order to offer them an appropriate contract, and how to ensure businesses only use fire and rehire when they are at genuine risk of going bust. 

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Rachel Reeves ‘must find billions more’ in time for Budget

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Rachel Reeves 'must find billions more' in time for Budget
PA Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves before addressing the Labour Party Conference.PA

Chancellor Rachel Reeves will need to come up with billions of pounds more to meet the government’s pre-election promises, according to calculations by influential think tank the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS).

The government has promised no return to “austerity” for public services and a boost to government investment, designed to kickstart growth.

But to honour those commitments the chancellor will need to “grasp the nettle” and come up with £16bn more on top of £9bn tax rises set out in the Labour manifesto, the IFS said.

The chancellor is finalising details of her first Budget, to be announced on 30 October.

Reeves will set out how she plans to meet a raft of manifesto promises against a tangle of self-imposed restrictions on borrowing, spending and debt.

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It will be the government’s first big set-piece, an opportunity to set out its priorities and values, and to reset the political tone after a backlash over clothing and hospitality donations.

There is an expectation that more of the tax burden will fall on higher earners, following the government’s surprise decision to limit winter fuel payments to the poorest pensioners. Some also hope for an end to the two-child limit for benefit payments.

But Reeves’ first Budget comes against a backdrop of higher debt following the pandemic, higher interest payments to finance that debt and inflation that has only recently returned to normal levels. A growing and ageing population and the climate transition impose additional challenges.

The new government had inherited an “unenviable” situation with the public finances, the IFS said in its regular pre-Budget analysis of the public finances.

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Growing pressures on health and pensions, combined with falling revenues from fuel and tobacco duties made the situation harder, but tough decisions were necessary, IFS director Paul Johnson said.

“If Ms Reeves does not grasp the nettle on 30 October, it could come back to sting her again before the next election,” Mr Johnson said.

Getty images Older man lounging in armchair with crutches to one side, young male nurse seated in another chair filling in form on a tabletGetty images

Protecting services

The IFS, working with economists at investment bank Citi, calculated how much extra revenue the chancellor would need to find to avoid sharp cuts in public services. That is based on her pledge to ensure day-to-day spending is paid for with tax revenues.

Economic forecasting is not precise; stronger than expected growth could give the government greater room for manoeuvre, while weaker growth might mean cuts were still required.

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The IFS said on their own the £9bn tax rises already planned by the chancellor, might be enough to maintain spending at current levels, including taking inflation into account, although the forecast was so tight it was “on a knife edge”.

However, many public services including prisons, higher education and local government are struggling to meet current needs. Pressures are expected to grow, especially in social care and the NHS and the government has pledged additional healthcare staff and other reforms.

To meet that growing need without public services deteriorating and to fulfil manifesto promises, the IFS said real-term spending would need to rise in line with the size of the economy, or around 2.8%, requiring the extra £16bn in funding.

New rules

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Spending increases that simply keep pace with inflation, or even ones that keep steady as a proportion of the size of the economy, would not be enough to transform public services, the IFS warned.

Even the larger increase remains much less generous than the 3.3% increase Rishi Sunak pledged in 2021. When Boris Johnson announced an “end to austerity” in 2020 he pledged a 4.1% increase in average year-on-year spending, the IFS said.

The new government has also pledged to boost investment. However, the chancellor has indicated she is likely to treat spending for investment as separate from day-to-day spending, and consider borrowing more to fund it.

She is also widely expected to change the way the UK’s debt burden is measured and as a result what constraints are made on government borrowing. Before the election Labour said it would stick to Conservative pledges to have debt falling as a proportion of economic output by the fifth year of the forecast.

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The IFS said increased investment was an important component in addressing the UK’s low growth, but said “significant extra borrowing to fund that investment would be risky”.

The UK had elevated debt levels, substantial borrowing and a current account deficit, meaning it imports more than it exports, which left it more vulnerable than the euro area or the US over borrowing pressures.

“Some additional investment may therefore need to be financed through higher taxes,” the IFS said.

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‘Dream come true’ Amazon shoppers flock to grab huge Nestle chocolate box with 69 chocolate bars at 29p each

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'Dream come true' Amazon shoppers flock to grab huge Nestle chocolate box with 69 chocolate bars at 29p each

AMAZON shoppers have flocked to grab a huge Nestle chocolate box where bars are less than 30p each.

The 1.36kg selection box was described as a “dream come true” by fans who had rushed to nab the amazing deal.

Nestle's Big Biscuit Box contains 1.36kg of chocolate for less than £20

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Nestle’s Big Biscuit Box contains 1.36kg of chocolate for less than £20Credit: Amazon

The Nestlé Big Biscuit Box contains a range of “amazing” chocolate biscuits including KitKats, Blue Ribands, and Toffee Crisps.

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In light of the major saving, more than 5000 purchases of the product were made in the past month alone.

The selection box normally costs £21.78 but some lucky shoppers managed to secure 36 per cent off the listed price today.

The set was selling for just £13.99, meaning shoppers got the 69 chocolate biscuit bars for around 20p each.

However, following this rapid buying period, the price has already reverted upwards again, and is now at £19.85.

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With this new 9% saving, the biscuits work out to a still fantastic 29p per bar.

The KitKats in this selection come in three different flavours: Milk Chocolate, Orange Milk Chocolate, and Dark.

The Nestlé Big Biscuit Box currently has a 4.5 star rating on Amazon.

Arthur said: “From the moment I laid eyes on the Nestle KitKat and Friends Big Biscuit Box, I knew I was in for a treat.

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“This colossal treasure trove, boasting a staggering 69 chocolate biscuit bars spanning KitKat, Blue Riband, Toffee Crisp, and more, is a dream come true for any chocolate aficionado.

Shoppers beg Cadbury’s to bring back 2005 recipe on iconic bar – as they moan current one ‘tastes like candle wax’

“Weighing in at an impressive 1.357kg, this bulk chocolate box is not just a purchase; it’s an investment in pure joy.”

Brian commented: “I bought the item for myself and to offer to my friends when they came round the selection was excellent the enjoyment it was fantastic I love keeping my chocolate in my fridge as when you eat it it melts slowly and it wasn’t that expensive.”

Stuart posted: “The Nestlé KitKat and Friends Big Biscuit Box is a delightful assortment of some of Nestlé’s most beloved chocolate biscuits.

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“Perfect for sharing in the office, at home, or during gatherings, this box offers a variety of flavour’s and textures that cater to different tastes.”

Julie wrote: “The selection was lovely. They all tasted amazing. All very good quality. Good variety. Had to hide them from Grandchildren as wanted to eat them all at once.”

Paddy added: “Loved this mixture of chocolates it’s great value for money and perfect for my morning/afternoon coffee breaks…”

However, one shopper said: “I’ve ordered this many times but was very disappointed with this last box as the contents have changed – had I realised this I would not have ordered them as it’s mainly KitKats now.”

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How to save money on chocolate

WE all love a bit of chocolate from now and then, but you don’t have to break the bank buying your favourite bar.

Consumer reporter Sam Walker reveals how to cut costs…

Go own brand – if you’re not too fussed on flavour and just want to supplant your chocolate cravings, you’ll save by going for supermarket’s own brand bars.

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Shop around – if you’ve spotted your favourite variety at the supermarket, make sure you check if it’s cheaper elsewhere.

Websites like Trolley.co.uk let you compare prices on products across all the major chains to see if you’re getting the best deal.

Look out for yellow stickers – supermarket staff put yellow, and sometimes orange and red, stickers on to products to show they’ve been reduced.

They usually do this if the product is coming to the end of its best before date or the packaging is slightly damaged.

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Buy bigger bars – most of the time, but not always, chocolate is cheaper per 100g the larger the bar.

So if you’ve got the appetite, and you were going to buy a hefty amount of chocolate anyway, you might as well go bigger.

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez warns of ‘brawl’ if Kamala Harris removes Lina Khan

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has warned the Democratic party’s Wall Street donors of an “out and out brawl” if Lina Khan, the antitrust progressive who chairs the Federal Trade Commission, is removed from her post.

Ocasio-Cortez, the influential star of the party’s leftwing, suggested billionaires had been putting pressure on Kamala Harris to axe Khan if the Democratic candidate defeats Donald Trump to win the White House in November.

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“Let me make this clear, since billionaires have been trying to play footsie with the ticket: Anyone goes near Lina Khan and there will be an out and out brawl. And that is a promise,” Ocasio-Cortez wrote in a post on X.

Khan “proves this admin fights for working people”, added Ocasio-Cortez, a US congresswoman from New York. “It would be terrible leadership to remove her.”

Ocasio-Cortez’s warning shot comes as Harris mounts a charm offensive on Wall Street and tries to persuade donors that she would be more moderate than President Joe Biden, whose antitrust platform and appointment of officials such as Khan has frustrated many in the business community.

The Financial Times reported last week that finance executives close to Harris said she had reassured them that she could appoint new officials to the FTC and Securities and Exchange Commission.

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Ocasio-Cortez’s comments also point to a brewing dispute within the Democratic party over the shape — and ideological bent — of a potential Harris administration.

A Democratic donor said that the US congresswoman was entitled to her view but would not be calling the shots if Harris won the election. “The party could not be held hostage to the radical progressive wing if it was serious about winning,” the person added.

The FTC declined to comment on Ocasio-Cortez’s post. Harris’s campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment. 

The congresswoman’s post cited comments on Khan made by businessman Mark Cuban, a former supporter of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump turned vocal advocate for Harris.

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The billionaire former star of the popular reality television programme Shark Tank told an event on Tuesday that Harris should replace the FTC chief if she becomes president. “If it were me, I wouldn’t” keep Khan on, Cuban said.

Bernie Sanders, the progressive senator from Vermont, also criticised Cuban’s comments. He wrote on X that Khan, who has sued to block mergers, challenged Big Tech players such as Amazon and Meta, and focused on worker protections, was “the best FTC chair in modern history”.

Cuban on Tuesday criticised Khan’s scrutiny of technology companies and artificial intelligence.

“We have to win globally from a defence perspective and from an economic perspective,” he said. “And by trying to break up the biggest tech companies, you risk our ability to be the best in artificial intelligence in the world.” Cuban has invested in AI companies.

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An FTC spokesperson responded: “History has shown that extreme consolidation weakens our national defence by concentrating risk and that unchecked monopolies reduce innovation since paradigm shifting breakthroughs come from disruptive outsiders, not large incumbents.”

Cuban on Wednesday said in an email that he had not discussed Khan’s future “at all” with Harris’s campaign.

“I don’t make policy for the campaign, I give my suggestions and feedback,” he added. “Some they listen to. Some they don’t. All final decisions are made by the VP.”

The FTC in January launched an investigation of multibillion-dollar investments into generative AI, including Microsoft’s alliance with OpenAI. Khan has warned against dominant companies “distorting innovation and undermining fair competition” in AI. 

Cuban praised Khan’s crackdown on pharmacy benefit managers, the middlemen within the pharmaceutical industry who negotiate rebates from wholesale prices with drugmakers, before passing some of the discount on to consumers and pocketing the rest as profits. Cuban in 2022 launched a digital pharmacy start-up.

The FTC last month sued America’s largest PBMs over allegedly raising insulin prices artificially.

Additional reporting by James Fontanella-Khan in London

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