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With Trump in power, the dollar is likely to rally but then weaken

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With Trump in power, the dollar is likely to rally but then weaken

Over the incoming president’s second term, the risks of crises may unwind the greenback’s strength

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Did the Fed play a part in the Republicans’ triumph?

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Banker all-nighters create productivity paradox

I am grateful for two insightful articles which together throw light on why Americans were ready to re-elect a politician with such a colourful and somewhat unpredictable track record!

John Plender’s The Long View (“Central banks need escape route from boom and bust cycle”, Opinion, November 2) highlights how interest rate cycles have led to recurrent financial crises and increasing interventions, notably quantitative easing which in turn has exacerbated inequality.

In his column Ruchir Sharma (Opinion, November 4) sets out how this inequality has impacted the US.

“A growing number are priced out of homes and falling behind on credit-card debt. The bottom 40 per cent by income now account for 20 per cent of all spending while the richest 20 per cent account for 40 per cent. That is the widest gap on record and it is likely to widen further.”

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He also refers to “a widening wealth gap between the young and old”. It would seem that this part of the US electorate, disadvantaged by monetary policy, contributed significantly to Donald Trump’s comprehensive victory. While immigration and other issues have clearly played an important role, so too it would seem has the US Federal Reserve. So I strongly support Plender’s conclusion that “a debate is urgently needed around monetary policy’s neglect of credit and debt developments”.

This debate should cover all aspects of the monetary policy pursued by the Fed and other central banks since the principles of the monetarists were abandoned in the early 1990s, and especially the repercussions of QE policies. Who better to lead this debate than the FT “as the world’s global newspaper” as we, as FT subscribers, were reminded by the editor yesterday.

Vincent Thompson
Great Dunmow, Essex, UK

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Phrase that embodies so much more than a slogan

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Banker all-nighters create productivity paradox

Early Wednesday morning, following Fox News’s projection that he would win the US election, Donald Trump took to the stage as the crowd chanted “USA, USA” and proclaimed: “We are going to turn our country around. Make it something very special. It lost that little thing called special. We are going to make it so great. It is the greatest country and potentially the greatest country in the world by far . . . We are going to make it the best it has ever been.”

My point here is that Trump speaks to an underlying belief system that I call the hegemonic state of mind. This is embodied in the phrase “make America great again”, which is so much more than a slogan.

Hegemony is used in international relations to describe a country whose power is unrivalled in international affairs. It is, quite simply, the heavyweight champion of the world.

The US has held this position since the end of the cold war, but its influence is waning.

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In 1981 Robert Gilpin, the American political scientist, explained that the most harmful aspect of “hegemonic decay” is that the people within the hegemonic country view their position at the apex of the pyramid as a God-given right. As the natural order of things. From this perspective it is inconceivable to think that the world should be ordered a different way.

Trump’s promise to the American people is that he is the guy to stop the rot and put America back where it belongs — on top. Whether it’s the row over the border, the economy or the Middle East, choose whatever policy issue you like, it all comes back to the same thing — the hegemonic state of mind. The underlying belief that America should lead the world and that Donald Trump is the best chance of delivering such a prospect.

This helps us understand why so many different types of Americans, from all ages and ethnicities, voted for him and why they all share one thing, the hegemonic state of mind.

Adrian Gallagher
Professor in Global Security and Mass Atrocity Prevention, University of Leeds, Leeds, West Yorkshire, UK

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Fears of global trade war as Trump threatens tariffs on foreign goods

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Fears of global trade war as Trump threatens tariffs on foreign goods

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Trump chooses Susie Wiles as White House chief of staff

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Trump chooses Susie Wiles as White House chief of staff

President-elect selects his 2024 campaign manager in first appointment to a major role in his administration

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Nissan to lay off thousands of workers as sales drop

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Nissan to lay off thousands of workers as sales drop

Nissan has said it will lay off thousands of workers as it slashes global production to tackle a drop in sales in China and the US.

The Japanese car making giant says it will cut 9,000 jobs around the world in a cost saving effort that will see its global production reduced by a fifth.

Nissan did not immediately respond to a request from BBC News for details on where the job cuts will be made.

The company employs more than 6,000 people at its manufacturing plant in Sunderland, North East England.

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The company also cut its operating profit forecasts for 2024 by 70%. It was the second time this year that the firm has lowered its outlook.

“These turnaround measures do not imply that the company is shrinking,” said Nissan’s chief executive Makoto Uchida.

“Nissan will restructure its business to become leaner and more resilient.”

Nissan’s shares were trading more than 6% lower on Friday morning in Tokyo.

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Growing competition in China has led to falling prices, which has left many foreign car makers there struggling to compete with local firms like BYD.

In November last year, Nissan and its partners announced a £2bn ($2.6bn) plan to build three electric car models at its Sunderland factory.

The firm said it will build electric Qashqai and Juke models at the plant alongside the next generation of the electric Leaf, which is already produced there.

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Travel

Oberoi to open hotel in London’s Mayfair

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Oberoi to open hotel in London’s Mayfair

The hotel will be housed within a restored listed building on the corner or Brook Street, as part of the wider South Molton development

Continue reading Oberoi to open hotel in London’s Mayfair at Business Traveller.

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