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What the Chicano Movement can teach us about organizing Latinos today

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What the Chicano Movement can teach us about organizing Latinos today

With Donald Trump continuing to demonize immigrants, especially immigrants from Latin America, and with Republicans calling for “Mass Deportation Now,” Latinos in the US find themselves in the crosshairs of a national debate over immigration, border policy, racism, and economic justice. What can the Chicano Movement of the 20th century teach us about how to combat attacks on Latinos and other marginalized groups today? Last week, to mark the 54th anniversary of the Chicano Moratorium, The Marc Steiner Show hosted a retrospective panel on the role of the Chicano Movement in building an anti-imperialist front in the US. For a follow-up discussion on how the lessons of the past can be applied to the future of Latino organizing, longtime Chicano liberation and environmental justice activist Bill Gallegos returns to the show, along with Maricela Guzman of the Mexican Solidarity Project and Eddie Bonilla, professor of history at Boston College.

Studio: Cameron Granadino
Post-Production: Alina Nehlich


Transcript

The following is a rushed transcript and may contain errors. A proofread version will be made available as soon as possible.

Marc Steiner:

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Welcome to The Marc Steiner Show here on The Real News. I’m Marc Steiner. It’s great to have you all with us. Bill Gallegos returns to the Marc Steiner Show today to continue our discussion about the struggles in the Chicano and Mexican American communities. Last time we spoke together, we focused on the Chicano Moratorium against the war in Vietnam when 1970, 30,000 Chicanos took to the streets to oppose the war saying “Hell, we won’t go,” and demanded the needs of the Chicanos be addressed. Bill was one of the organizers of that event and a member of the Brown Berets, which was the Mexican American organization, very much like the Black Panther Party and is still deeply involved in Liberation Road and the fight for Chicano liberation.

In our discussion today, Bill Gallegos, who is co-producing, co-hosting this series, is being joined by Maricela Guzman, who’s a military veteran, suffered through the trauma of war, works at the VA and is deeply involved in the Mexican Solidarity project. And Eddie Bonilla, who is professor of History at Boston College, where he teaches and writes about the interracial left and communist movements and has a book coming out called Homegrown Communists in the Age of Reagan: Multi-Racial Politics and Socialist Revolution. Today, we not only look back at the moratorium, most importantly see what Chicano struggle is today, what this presidential election means for that struggle, and whether Chicano work in America are going.

Bill, Maricela, Eddie, it’s great to have all three of you with us for part two of our conversation since the first one was about the moratorium 50-some years ago. Good to have you all here. So, there’s some places we could begin, but I would like to begin by kind of reflecting on where we find ourselves in 2024, the political changes that have taken place in this country, the continuing state for many people in the Latino population in California who are still suffering in poverty and discrimination and lack of work. And let’s start by just painting a bridge of what it was like then in the ’60s and early ’70s to where we find ourselves now and why you all think we find ourselves in the place that we are. And Bill, just for historical purposes, since you and I are the old guys in this project right now, why don’t you start and then we’ll go to the other two?

Bill Gallegos:

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Well, thank you Marc. As we know that Trump and the MAGA Right have made a special project to demonize Mexicans. And so, that includes Chicanos, Mexicanos, Latinos. But generally, they’ve really focused on our population, which is now around 35 million people in this country. So, it’s a huge population, that would be one of the larger nations in the United Nations if we were in there. And it’s unleashing a wave of exacerbated racism against our community. So, we are not quite back to the days of no dogs or Mexicans allowed, but I think that’s what the MAGA Right intends, to have a fearful and vulnerable community that’s much easier to exploit, to oppress, to keep in our place.

So, I think that’s the idea here, and it’s a crass electoral strategy to appeal to the racism of their white voting population that is the overwhelming part of their base. So, I think that’s what’s going on here. But what’s really terrifying is this threat to unleash a massive campaign of ethnic cleansing, to say that they will do a massive deportation campaign of 12 million undocumented of whom seven or eight million are Mexicans, but all of that population are extremely vulnerable. So, I think that in the 60s and 70s, we were really starting to break down the doors of higher education, ending housing segregation, opening up new avenues for our participation in society.

And what MAGA wants to do is really reverse the 20th century, but we’re in a different position now. We’re a larger community. We have a very educated and activist sector in our community. We’re very active in the union movement now. A lot of the modern, the more contemporary victories in the union movement have been with our participation. We’re a big part of the environmental justice and the educational justice movements, the movement for reproductive rights, the movement to end the genocide in Gaza. So, we’re not without resources to stand up for ourselves, but we need allies and we need support.

Marc Steiner:

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And let’s go back to the perspective of folks who are fighting it now in your world, you’re still fighting too, Bill, but I just mean the younger generation coming in. And Maricela, I know that you spent your time in the military and now as an activist in education, fighting in that community. So, talk about your perspective and what you think, and then please jump right in. I want to get to you in this as well to talk about where you think we are now. What’s the crux of the struggle we’re facing in this moment?

Maricela Guzmon:

I think kind of highlighting what Bill said, the contributions of Latinx, Latinos, Chicanos, I identify myself as a Chicana. We are major players when it comes to the working force, when it comes to the federal government, for example. Even in the military, we are seeing a large influx of Latinos, Chicanos joining in the military. And so, we’ve been part of the tapestry of the American veteran community since early on, American Revolution. And I think people like MAGA forget that and the contributions that we are doing. We are a force to be reckoned for sure. I think what we’re seeing now is that there is a major movement that started with the Chicana moratorium that we saw. Like my brothers in 1980s with 187 go out, thousands of youth said, “We’re not doing this.”

So, we’re starting to see much more youth coming out and saying that they don’t want to be involved with this. And I think that’s the importance of this, that yes, we are dealing with MAGA’s time, but there is a gift within that movement is that we’re starting to see our own movement, our own wave. And for me, there’s a lot of hope with that.

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Marc Steiner:

Eddie.

Eddie Bonilla:

Yeah, no. Thank you, Maricela. I also too was going to kind of bring up Prop 187 because I think so much of how I think about Chicano history, Latino history is, and social movement history in general is kind of this revolution and repression. I don’t want to use the word dialectic, but this kind of change over time where context changes. But then. we still see that kind of nativism throughout the 20th and 21st century, whether we go back to what people talked about with the Brown Scare, which is tied to what others talked about with the Black Scare and also embedded in these anti-immigration, early 20th century policies. You also have anti-communism and anti-red, anti-socialism sentiments.

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So, the early 20th century, the Brown Scare that I see, right? You get McCarthyism in the 50s, but then you have the Chicano movement that I think gives so much inspiration. But then there we also saw COINTELPRO and we saw these kinds of nativist backlash in the 70s and 80s, the English-only movement that I know that Bill and Teresa were a part of, and kind of these attacks on affirmative action, these attacks on bilingual education. And then, we get Prop 187, we get the 2006 immigration marches. And it just always seems to be right that my students like to think about Latino history as a story of resilience. And I think that this is kind of that next chapter right in these responses to nativism. But I think what’s so new right now is a little bit tied into the economy, housing.

I know a lot of my students are graduating, right with thousands of dollars of debt, which is a little bit of a different context than the 60s where Reagan does implement tuition as a way to try to kind of de-radicalize campuses housing, I think of the economy. But I also think of the policing of campuses today just with schools that are coming back today. We have a lot of these kind of new policies that are being implemented about against the ability to create encampments. And so, we’re in this interesting moment of backlash, I think right now as well.

Bill Gallegos:

Marc, I’d like to say a little bit too about…

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Marc Steiner:

Please, Bill, go ahead.

Bill Gallegos:

How this relates to the moratorium and the whole fight against the military industrial complex, because Trump and the MAGA Rights say that they will militarize our communities. He said, “I’ll send the National Guard in.” We’re not going to have these protests and who’s in the National Guard? The National Guard is black and brown folks and poor working-class whites.

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Marc Steiner:

Right.

Bill Gallegos:

That’s who goes into these institutions. And he’s made it very, very clear that he will use this as a major arm of repression throughout the country. But again, singling out Mexicanos in his attack. So, I think this is something for us to think about because the Chicano Moratorium was a lot about our resistance to what was going on in Vietnam and Southeast Asia, what the United States was doing there, the overwhelming disproportionate casualty rate of Chicano soldiers compared to our pitiful rate of high school graduation and our participation in higher education. We were also disproportionately high in mass incarceration. We were in the jails and the prisons.

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So, we were in the jails and we were in the prisons and we were in the military, but you couldn’t get us into the universities and colleges. You couldn’t get us into the good jobs. And that’s the kind of world that Trump and the MAGA Right want to recreate. So, I think that’s why the celebration of this uprising, this peaceful uprising against our oppression and for peace is so significant today.

Maricela Guzmon:

I think it’s really important to look at it. So, for example, when I joined the military, it was in 1998, but I am the oldest of four, and I would always tell this to Bill that I went to the military complex. My brother went to the prison complex. I grew up in South Central LA. We saw our city be militarized during the South Central riots. We saw the National Guard, we saw them policing our streets. When I went to New Orleans a year later after Katrina, I saw the militarization of a community coming out. You saw these private military coming out and taking over the city. So, we have already seen that. But I think what’s interesting is what MAGA wants to do, wants to magnify that. I think that we have to really look at that.

There’s a lot of soldiers who are wearing that uniform who do not want that to be part of their community. They want to protect and defend their country, and they don’t see this as a constitutional thing. So, I think it’s really important that we do talk about these conversations, but a lot of the stuff has already been done, and we see the impact, the traumatic impact of these communities that still exist because of these events.

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Marc Steiner:

I’m going to say it was clear cut because nothing’s to be clear cut. But as you were talking about a moment ago, Billy, the movement 50 years ago was built around something very different and we’re facing something very different, both the war and then the rise of Chicano power and Black power in America, and the fight to push back against the racism in our country. It was glaringly in front of the struggle and we’re facing as I think all of you have alluded to at the moment, over the last 50 years since the moratorium, since the early 70s, we’ve seen this organized rise of the right wing in our country that is a huge threat to the future, to your future, to people who are younger here and to my kids and grandkids, It’s a huge threat. So, I wonder how, from your perspective inside the communities of the moment, inside the Latino and Chicano communities in California and other places, how does that struggle manifest itself? Because in many ways, when I look at how people vote in elections, it’s majority anti-MAGA, but that force is there too, and it’s growing. So, I’m just curious.

Bill Gallegos:

Well, I think this is where Eddie as a historian could talk about because in that period that we’re talking about the Chicano Moratorium, there was a strong and vibrant left.

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Marc Steiner:

Yes, right, exactly.

Bill Gallegos:

A radical left in our communities, we don’t have that situation now. And Eddie can talk about what it looked like for left leadership that’s very, very rarely acknowledged, but also what it means not to have that.

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Marc Steiner:

Good place to start. Thank you, Bill. Great place to start.

Eddie Bonilla:

No pressure there. No, I think one of the things I think about, and I’ve been thinking a lot about with the history of Bill’s activism and Teresa’s activism and so many others from the 60s generation is the Vietnam War being actually one of those early linchpins in creating the context for solidarity where it wasn’t just the Chicano Moratorium, but you also had Asian Americans coming out of the Bay Area with their own Thai war platforms. They also had African-Americans like Amiri Baraka and the African Liberation support Committee who were not only just looking to Vietnam and Latinos were looking to Cuba and this kind of moment of internationalism. I think just seeing decolonization movements in Africa going on. And then, the kind of solidarity that I see going on in the 60s and 70s, some would say that’s a challenge today.

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But I think we do have this beautiful moment around Palestine where there is a lot of comradeship and a lot of solidarity that has been, I think, really beautiful examples of folks who are creating coalitions. I see what the people’s forum and others are doing, and in places like New York City and the turnout, the numbers that they’re putting out with the left platform. So, I think that kind of anti-imperialism is still one of those through lines that continues through from the 60s, but through the 20th and 21st century. And then I also go back to the kind of education as well where like Bill said the opening up of these campuses by youth like himself, African-Americans and others, I think the kind of youth-led movements, that’s always the young folk are always going to be the ones that tend to pull us out of…

Marc Steiner:

Always. Right.

Eddie Bonilla:

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It is a personality we can have. And I think that so much of what I’ve learned in talking to folks like Bill is one, the struggle is a long-distance run. It’s a marathon, it’s not a sprint. And I think that what we’re seeing today is this kind of what I’m curious about today is the way that there will be these bridges built between these movements. And that’s something that I think we could look at the 60s and 70s, the labor unions, folks like Bill and others, trying to make the unions work for them. I think we are seeing a resurgence of the labor movement today, right, with UAW and others. And so, seeing how the UAW and others will implement international policy or implement these kinds of racial justice programming for their non-white union members will be interesting. But those are just some of the things I think about where there are connections and there’s also some differences in terms of organizing.

Marc Steiner:

Maricela, do you want to jump in before I jump back?

Maricela Guzmon:

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No, I want to echo what Eddie is talking about. For me right now, there’s a lot of solidarity, even within the veteran movement around Palestine, a lot of diverse voices before that would not connect are fighting around this. So, we have these international calls. So, we’re talking about not just soldiers, American soldiers, we’re talking about soldiers in the UK, we’re talking about soldiers all over Europe that don’t agree with Palestine. So, there’s this really large movement that is going on, and it has a lot to do also with our American policy. So, they’re looking at how we’re impacting other countries. So, I think that for me, that’s why there’s a lot of hope that what’s going on right now in these elections that yes, there’s a lot of things happening, but the youth are definitely making a big difference and I’m very inspired by them.

And like you said, the youth has always been part of this. From the Chicano Moratorium to my time 187 and over 10,000 youth were marching out of schools. And so, I think it’s really important to look at that and to remember our history. And that’s the issue. The biggest issue is that often in our school systems, we’re not told our history and not having this knowledge impacts the decisions that we’re going to make. Even if I knew this knowledge when I was in high school, I would change my mind and not join the military.

Marc Steiner:

Really?

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Maricela Guzmon:

Yeah. Highly so. I think that it was my military experience joining the military, being stationed in Diego Garcia in the middle of the Indian Ocean, working with, having Filipino workers there. It was me seeing them as, my military experience that taught me that I wanted to be an activist. I don’t want to be a part of this system that we were treating workers like my undocumented parents were being treated in the United States and I was part of that. I was oppression by wearing a uniform. So, it took me joining the military to realize that, that I wanted to be an activist.

Marc Steiner:

Well, and I think of where we find ourselves now, and first of all, let me take another step backwards. We talk in America sometimes and the movement in other places about Latino community, but it’s a diverse community, and people forget that Latinos, this is just not one thing. And it always makes me insane when people do that as if there’s this monolith that exists and that’s it. But given that in the 60s and 70s, during the time of the moratorium, there was a lot of organizing going on in communities. There was a struggle against the Vietnam war as you just talked about, Maricela, and they galvanized the movement around civil rights, the African community in the various Latino communities making that fight in America.

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And we’re in a similar but different place right now. And I’m curious how you see the struggle taking form now. I think one mentioned Palestine a little bit ago, which I cover pretty intensely. And is that something people really can organize around in a mass way in community or does it have to really begin to talk about the conditions that various Latino populations face in America in their fight for full equality, economic as well? What do you think that all fits in?

Eddie Bonilla:

Yeah, I think first on the question of Latino and not being a monolith, but I just had the first day of class yesterday, and so every time I teach Latino history, the first thing we do is what even is the term Latino, right? Because there is, and I go back to that imperialism point. I think that the way I try to teach Latino history is through that kind of anti-imperialist framework where you have Puerto Ricans, Cubans, and so many stories there. And I mentioned this because I’m currently living in Boston in a place that I had not lived before. And for me, it’s always kind of this notion of like, I am California centric. I was born and raised there. I’m Guatemalan. I had the privilege of taking Chicano history in high school.

But what I have found is even in the US, the regionality and the differences, and this goes to the kind of organizing context where here in Boston you get more Puerto Rican, Dominican, now more central Americans. And I don’t actually see that changes much of the organizing itself. The environmental justice groups, at least here in Boston, are creating platforms that are bringing in labor and that are bringing in just these housing questions. So, most of the organizations I see on the ground here, like City Life, Vida Urbana, which is one of the most vibrant, who has connections to the 1960s, they just celebrated their 50th or 60th year anniversary. They are doing that work where they are trying to figure out these kind of multi-issue struggles, where I think Palestine comes in as a, now it’s a consistent stretch of that organizing, but they’re still rooted in housing, economic justice, racial justice.

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And so, I go back to those questions of the current day conditions. And it really is, at least here in Boston, folks can’t pay their rent. They can’t put food on the table even though they have full-time employment. So, I think that that kind of helps to undergird a lot of the activism that I see, at least in regards to what the unions are doing, whether it’s the Massachusetts Teachers Association, but seeing them kind of try to create solidarity with one another. I was at a Palestine protest one day here, and I was marching with what was known as the Asian contingent, some comrades from Bill’s past, we gathered up together and they were carrying Asians for Palestine signs, but then we were linking up with other organizations on the kind of ground and the Asian group that we were with led by Lydia Lowe, she’s the head of the Chinese Land Trust here, which she’s now in charge of helping with low-income housing or with better housing for folks. So yeah, just some things that I’m thinking at the top of my head, but just as far as different conditions, at least here in the city of Boston.

Marc Steiner:

Maricela, you were about to say something I could see, go ahead.

Maricela Guzmon:

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Yeah, I think for me, my activism, I’ve been very fortunate that I’ve been able to go to other countries and talk about the workers’ rights specifically around policy, American policy, which impacts different governments. But I remember when Macri became president in Argentina, and I was there and you saw the big marches where he was just firing people. They went into work and then they had their pink slip and they had no benefits. So, seeing these mass movements come in and seeing workers from going to El Salvador two years ago and working on workers’ rights, and they had a conference where they were connecting with people from South Africa. So, making these connections about these worker rights. So, there’s always these connections in a lot of places.

For me, a couple of years ago too, I went to Mauritius and I was talking about the rights of the people in Diego Garcia, the land rights. So, there’s still a lot of policies are impacting where we can work together as a whole and connect, and we are doing that. I think often we don’t see it because the media doesn’t show it. That’s one of the biggest things. What’s great about now is it’s our media that the youth have. We have a different platform where we can showcase what we’re doing. I think that’s one of our tools that we’re utilizing now. Again, it’s very big. It’s different than five years ago. I’ve seen a big change. We can get contact information, we can get news now from activists in the streets and I think that’s where we’re starting to see that impact. So, I’m inspired by that.

But yeah, I’ve been able to connect not only as a veteran, but as a child of immigrants around labor work and connecting again, which is we talk about the basic human rights, the ability to be able to work, the ability to be able to get food. I can tell you this, I make a lot more money than my parents did, but I don’t have the lifestyle my parents did. My father was a hotel worker. My mother was working at the warehouse, their income, they were able to buy a house. I think a lot of people, professional Chicanos, Latinx, they’re not able to have the American dream. They can’t buy the house. We’re drowning in school debt, we’re drowning in credit card debt, and we’re living paycheck to paycheck.

Marc Steiner:

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So, I mean, we’re facing, there’s a real battle I think within many communities, especially communities of color, some working-class communities within the left itself over how to deal with what we’re facing at the moment, how to address it. I mean, in some ways, during the late 60s, early 70s, it was, you knew exactly what you were confronting. You were confronting the Vietnam war, and everybody was going to Vietnam. And now, it’s only working-class kids who volunteer, who go to fight. The struggle is a little different. And the fight inside of inner=city communities, working class communities had a different intensity at that moment just because of the newness of it all and what we were facing.

And now, as I said earlier, we have this rise of the MAGA Right, and as I refer to it as a kind of this right-wing, neo-fascist, racist movement that is really galvanized. So, in terms of the Mexican American world, the Chicano world, and the Latino world in America, which in some of the communities within the Latino world is actually really split around the whole MAGA or non-MAGA, what do you think the struggle takes us and takes those communities? And how do you confront it? What’s the way to confront it?

Bill Gallegos:

Well, I’ll just say, I know there’s been a number of articles about Chicanos and I Latinos moving to the right and moving to the Republican party, but…

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Marc Steiner:

Right, right.

Bill Gallegos:

The UCLA Latino Policy Institute did a study of actual voting records in the midterm elections. And overwhelmingly, 65 to 70% of Chicano and Latino votes went to the Democrats. Any political party in the world would kill for that percentage voter support.

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Marc Steiner:

I read that this morning, right.

Bill Gallegos:

That doesn’t mean that we should be very concerned about the Republican efforts to court our community in some kind of sleazy ways that they’re doing. And I think some of it is they try to pit us against African-Americans. We share your family values and your work ethic as if there’s some community out there that doesn’t have those family values and doesn’t have that work ethic. It’s a very insidious form of divide and conquer. But I think if we look at the role that our community plays, so we’ve talked about labor, but if we just talk about the electoral arena, Chicano and Latino votes are decisive in California, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Colorado, and probably Illinois and things are even starting to shift in Texas where it’s always been much more conservative.

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So, we’re an extremely important social force for the fight against this neo-fascist movement that you’re talking about, which is out to win the White House and obviously Congress and the Senate. But they already control the number of state governments, and we know what they’re doing in Texas where with that control of the state government, they’d militarize their own border. They put razor wire in the Rio Grande so people can get chewed up as they try in their desperation to escape poverty and violence. In Arizona, they’re talking about legislation that would allow Arizona homeowners on the border to shoot on site anyone that they think is undocumented immigrant coming onto their land.

Marc Steiner:

Unbelievable.

Bill Gallegos:

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So, this is the vision that they have, but our population is, we’re situated in a number of areas where we can really have an impact. I think one of the problems that we face is we need more unity. This is always a problem. I’ll just give you an example. We’re celebrating the 54th anniversary of the Chicano Moratorium. We have four different celebrations going on, not coordinated. I’m doing mine, and I’m the one that, we don’t have the luxury of that, that we do not have the luxury of that kind of disunity, and that applies across the board. We need a lot more unity on the left and a lot of other things. But I think especially in our community, that’s really important. And when we talk about the broader kind of Latino, Latina community, I think we need to look at the populations, the larger populations that tend to be my own bias is to exclude the Cuban-American community because they generally are to the right.

Marc Steiner:

Right.

Bill Gallegos:

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There’s a lot of historical reasons why they tend to do what they do. But for the Puerto Rican population, central American population and the Chicano Mexican population, these are the largest populations. And when they do polling on strong environmental and climate laws, we’re like in 70% in support. Medicare for all, 60, 70% in support, increased funding for public education, 60 or 70% support. I mean, there’s all across the board, our communities tend to lean progressive, tend to lead towards more inclusive policies. The question is how do we mobilize this in a way that can really be effective? And what I’m seeing and what Eddie sees and Maricela sees, and you see Marc, when we see these vibrant social communities out there, the right wing sees that too. It’s no accident that they’ve chosen to focus and target on our communities, partly because we’re vulnerable, of course. But also, they’re watching what’s going on in Mexico that scares them, that scares them.

It’s interesting how the United States and Canada are up in arms because the Moreno party and the AMLO government say, “We’re going to make our Supreme Court justices have to run for office, and they’re going to have term limits. And by the way, they can’t keep making these outrageous salaries.” I wish we had that here. I’m telling you, I wish we had that here. That’s an expansion of democracy. But you would think they had just thrown poop into the punch bowl if you listen to the US Ambassador and the Canadian Ambassador. So, I think these are all the kinds of phenomenon that are really scaring the ruling class in this country, and especially the MAGA Right.

Marc Steiner:

Where do you think that it goes from here, what the organizing on the ground looks like now, where the fight takes your generation, this next generation that we face?

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Maricela Guzmon:

I think for me, working with different organizations, not just locally in the United States, looking at Mexico, looking at what other countries are doing, we need to learn from their lessons. I think that there’s a lot of great organizing happening in South and Central America that we can work with. I think that you can have this international aspect. We see it, again, we keep talking about Palestine, but this is something that it’s really important to look at how we become organizers. So, there’s that connection there. And I also think looking at, for example, we talked about the Cuban-American community, younger Cubanos are shifting to our side that the new generation are starting to see. So, not leaving out the new generation.

I think what happens often that a lot of these activist groups, they don’t target the youth. And I think that’s one of our weakness that we really need to create a space for young activists to play a lead role in this movement. And that’s really important for me as an activist. I know that it’s important to create that space for them too, but it’s continuing learning for me, continuing learning. I can’t go back to the past, but I have to continue to learn in the history, and I have to learn from the young activists that are taking Palestine. They’re doing things that I wasn’t doing that I didn’t even think about. And I think that it’s important to look at that. Technology has been a major play right now to looking at our technology, using our technology. We’re going to do that really well, canvassing. And so, there’s a lot of things that you can do where you don’t need the money that MAGA has. We have a lot of these tools already in place, so utilizing that.

Eddie Bonilla:

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And I just wanted to jump in and I think bring both sets of comments together. I think of our current present moment and with this election on the horizon, and all this conversation about Kamala Harris being a border czar and her new kind of platform, having some immigration policies and some other policies that mirror almost what Trump was trying to do. But I think of the opening, I’ve lately been editing a chapter on electoral politics through the Jesse Jackson campaign that Bill and Teresa and others were key movers in.

But so was the left, the new communist movement and other organizations that were active in this kind of struggle within the Democratic Party, where the history goes that the Democrats, people like Bill Clinton and others behind the scenes pulled some levers and were able to kind of change the rules a little bit in terms of Jesse Jackson’s delegate total in terms of the kind of representation that he would’ve had. It could have been a vice president, president candidate, had they followed some of the rules.

Marc Steiner:

I remember that very well.

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Eddie Bonilla:

Yeah. Yeah. I think about that opening, and I think about that opening with the rhetoric around like, can we push democratic candidates to the left or further to the left. When we saw what happens with Clinton in the 90s is we actually saw the Democratic Party take that right wing swing. Where now that’s the question on my mind is where will Harris lie? And where the uncommitted movement and how others are trying to push, they were trying to push for different, even for speaking time at the DNC and did not receive a chance to speak. But so, I think of the Democratic Party Project 2025 is on my mind lately too. And to tie it back to education as well and these attacks in Florida, we saw the attacks in Arizona against Chicano studies, but I know Teresa and others are in California still fighting to integrate ethnic studies where this is a 65-year struggle or 60-year struggle of people just wanting their stories to be told in historical curriculum.

And so, I often talk to folks from the League of Revolutionary Struggle, these veterans from the new communist movement, and it’s almost like having to reinvent the wheel where capitalism or democracy or whatever ism we want to tie to it, it often makes it hard for us to retell the stories of activists like Bill activists, even Malcolm X, where we want to defang. I think some of the political aspects of others like Martin Luther King Jr. who, Jack O’Dell, who ends up helping lead the Jesse Jackson campaign, has ties to the Communist party and ties to Martin Luther King Jr. So, that’s kind of where I’ve been thinking lately. And I think the popular front component of the right wing.

There’s a new book that just came out by this guy, David Austin Walsh, where he’s talking about the post 50s and how there was actually a right-wing popular front that brought together politicians, educators, students that brought different stakeholders into this kind of right wing movement that gets us to write the new right of the 70s and the 80s. And so, I’m just wondering about what those folks are doing behind the scenes, the project 2025 folks and others in terms of the capital that they’re putting behind everything as low as school board elections.

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So that local state level, I think that’s something different that we have this year than in years past in that I think there has been a lot of successful movements, whether it was in Ferguson, post-Black Lives Matter or in other smaller elections that we do see candidates running with progressive values. And we can talk more about the DSA and kind of those candidates. But yeah, I think that’s it.

Marc Steiner:

In some of that, I think I would like to come back and have that conversation as we watch this election unfold. I think that’d be important to explore that in greater depth.

Bill Gallegos:

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So, Marc, I’d like to say a little bit about this if it’s okay.

Marc Steiner:

Oh, go ahead, please.

Bill Gallegos:

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Yeah, so I’d say there’s a couple of things that I think. One is for oppressed communities like ours, the Chicano Latino community, overwhelmingly working class, overwhelmingly. We have expanded our middle class, our intelligentsia, and so on and so forth, but we’re overwhelmingly working-class populations. Young activists need to go there. That’s where we need organizing for that sector that is the most oppressed and has the least representation. So, I think we need to not, I’m not talking about getting a job as a union staffer. I’m not talking about heading a nonprofit. I’m talking about we did back in the day kind of, a little bit dogmatically, go to the point of production, get a job in a warehouse.

Marc Steiner:

That’s right.

Bill Gallegos:

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And I think one really important area is public education. These unions are growing. A lot of our public schools now are overwhelmingly oppressed students of color. And I think that’s always been a very, very vibrant arena of struggle for oppressed communities and working-class communities. So, that’s one thing. I’d like to see young activists help get our working class organized. I think that would really be something strong. I think second thing, I think we need a proliferation of political education study groups, and we do have, like Amari is mentioning, now we have the social media where we can be much more extensive and much more creative than we were in the past.

Marc Steiner:

Right.

Bill Gallegos:

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But we need to do that kind of political education that helps young activists understand that the root problem is capitalism and imperialism, and that there is a vision of a new society that they can really hold onto and help develop. So, I think those are a couple of the arenas where we need to work. And then, I think we can’t ignore the electoral arena as challenging as it is, and I think we have to help build up the left of that arena, the DSA candidates that have run for office here in Los Angeles, or the squad, or the working families’ party. I think we really need to really begin to build that. And I think we should look at Mexico and France. So, Mexico, because the Morena party, which recently just overwhelmingly won local, state, regional, and the presidential election…

Marc Steiner:

It was mind blowing. Yes, absolutely, yes.

Bill Gallegos:

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That’s a left united front. There are all kinds of left organizations that are part of Morena.

Marc Steiner:

That’s right.

Bill Gallegos:

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All kinds of lefties are part of Morena, and they came together in a common cause. That’s what happened in France where they gave ass thumping to the right. And now of course, Macron doesn’t want to give them the fruits of their victory, but I think we need something similar here. We have a number of left-wing socialist organizations of my own, Liberation Road, but we still have a communist party. We have the New African People’s organization, we’ve got the Red Nation, we’ve got North Star, we’ve got Sections of Democratic Socialists of America. Why can’t we come together as part of an anti-fascist united front?

So, I think these are some of the things that I would like to see come out of this turbulent period that we’re in. But I think especially for these young folks, don’t forget our working people. We got people still out in the fields that are getting burned to death in the heat waves. We’ve got people in the warehouses and public health and healthcare and in public schools. Let’s be there side by side with those [foreign language 00:39:23] and help them get organized and united.

Marc Steiner:

That’s a really important point you’ve just made. So, let me turn to our other guests here, to Eddie and Maricela to kind of pick up on those points from your perspective in the places where you were in the struggle in your generations and close this out with picking up on Bill’s thoughts. Eddie, you want to start? And then we go to Maricela. Let Maricela be the cleanup batter.

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Eddie Bonilla:

Yeah. I’ll just echo the point about education that Bill’s talking about. I think for me, as an educator in the classroom, I often teach these difficult subjects that are under attack across the nation. But for me, it’s finding that beauty and solidarity, so much of what I spend my time thinking about and dealing with is those moments of solidarity. Whether it was the Bakke decision in 1974, which was attacking affirmative action, whether it was Jesse Jackson’s, Rainbow Coalition, presidential campaigns, but that kind of solidarity that was also there for the Chicano Moratorium, the moratorium bringing, it wasn’t just lefties, it was nationalists, it was ultra-nationalists, it was every ism you can think under the sun marching in this.

So, I think having that political education that allows for folks to really grapple with these various different ideas. But I think back to my students, the lived context that they’re graduating in, I do find a receptiveness to some of these more radical histories where I do think there’s a lot of frustration. There is this kind of throwing up your hands in the air and being like, “Well, what do we do now?” Because there is so many fronts that fascism is fighting on. It’s the economy, it’s labor, it’s politics, there’s so much.

Marc Steiner:

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Right.

Eddie Bonilla:

And that it does take a multi-front movement to fight those various fronts. So, just to kind of echo Bill on that, I think that that education is important where you get those stories of Black-Brown coalitions of Asian and Latino coalitions. You get these stories that are rooted in the working class, but also recognize that you have to work with the middle class, you have to work with politicians, you have to work with the intelligentsia. It has to be a multi-front and a multi-people movement. So, I think I have a lot of hope in the young generation. I think that they might not be as, there’s some dogmatism maybe somewhere here and there, but I don’t think they’re as dogmatic in some ways. I think they’re…

Marc Steiner:

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That’s what they said about us too.

Eddie Bonilla:

Yeah, yeah, that’s true. But I think just that kind receptiveness to, I know that we are a few years past the end of the Cold War, and we are seeing Trump weaponizing again, kind of that Kamala as a communist and trying to use that anti-communist kind of rhetoric, which we can laugh at. But I think that it is, because so much of what has been struggled for is basic human rights. I always teach students, I show them the Black Panther platform program, the Young Lords program, the Brown Berets programs, and I’m always kind of like, “Well, what’s radical about this?” And when you read the points, you’re just kind of like, oh, hospitals that actually work, a roof over my head, food for lunch.

Marc Steiner:

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Right, right.

Eddie Bonilla:

And so, I think that the fact that, going back to Maricela’s point, the fact that she and I are in different positions than our parents, and yet we’re still struggling in many of the same ways, I think just shows us that capitalism the same way that activists retool and create new strategies, capitalism also finds new ways to quell those strategies and also finds new ways for us to have to create new approaches. And so, I go back to that dialectic point where there is this kind of moving of battlegrounds, but also this persistent arc of just activism from folks like Bill and Teresa who are still on the front lines after these battles of Reaganism and neoliberalism. They are, I think, indicative of that need for intergenerational conversations, the youth with our elders, with our comrades. So yeah, that’s what I think I would say.

Marc Steiner:

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Maricela.

Maricela Guzmon:

I think for me is I live in East LA, and one of the things that I do is I get to know my neighbors. Because I think when we start looking at local policy, because there’s a lot of working class in my neighbors. There are neighbors, elder neighbors who are 80 years old who want to get involved, who want to have a voice, but don’t feel they’re connected. So, I’ve been very fortunate because I’ve had mentors like Bill and I’ve had mentors, and I kind of helped them navigate through what they want to see in their community as we see in gentrification, as we’re seeing the cost of housing prices and food prices, as we’re seeing the sheriffs at East LA Police more on communities. So, it’s gathering them. A lot of them don’t speak English still. So, kind of helping them translate.

So, for me, that’s what I’m doing locally. What can I do more locally? How can I have these conversations with my neighbors? Because if I can’t have conversations with my neighbors, I’m not going to be able to do the community work that I want to do. So, that’s how I’m starting myself. So that we don’t only look at these elections, presidential elections when I come around. It’s like we want to look at these local elections every time. So that’s one of the things I want to do. And again, I am still learning from the youth. I need to step back and let them take the leadership.

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And one last thing is making sure that there’s going to be times and places with different organizations that we’re going to disagree, but I think it’s important to come together and work on what’s important, because the other side is doing that. MAGA does that really well, and we need to work on that.

Marc Steiner:

Yes, yes.

Maricela Guzmon:

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We can still disagree, we can still work on our different struggles, but there’s struggles that we can connect with where we can fight and defeat MAGA. But that’s the real challenge right now.

Marc Steiner:

So, this conversation in many ways is really important. And it was a good conversation to have on the tales of our conversation about the Chicano Moratorium. And I think that it begs that we should have more conversations with different sectors in the Latino world across this country and dialogue with each other, but also in dialogue with others to really kind of struggle with where this movement goes now and where we take it, and how we face down what we face.

And along with Bill, as one of the two elders in the room, I think it’s really important because I think that we have to really wrestle with what the younger generation is going to face and the future’s going to face and what we’re facing now and the really critical role that the Chicano Latino communities are going to play on that in the fight here in America and across the globe. So, I just wanted to lay that out. And I want to say thank you to all of you and Bill Gallegos, I want to appreciate your co-hosting and co-producing in helping make these first two segments work and I look forward to making many more segments work.

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Bill Gallegos:

Thank you, Marc and thank you Real News Network. This is just a wonderful resource for our communities, and we’re very appreciative and I’m really glad that because I know Mari and Eddie are both really, really busy, and I so much appreciate you taking the time out to be a part of this.

Marc Steiner:

This is great. Yeah, Maricela Guzman and Eddie Bonilla, it was great to meet you both, and I look forward to staying in touch and having many more conversations and really pushing this agenda because we have to figure out where the moving going next, and you are the future pushing that agenda. So, thank all three of you so much for taking your time to hear The Marc Steiner Show on the Real News, and Bill for helping co-host and produce this. Thank you both, all three.

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Eddie Bonilla:

Thank you.

Bill Gallegos:

Thank you.

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Maricela Guzmon:

Thank you.

Marc Steiner:

And thank you to Maricela Guzman and Eddie Bonilla for joining us, and of course, Bill Gallegos for this idea and help you to produce this series. And thanks to Cameron Granadino for running the program today, audio editor, Alina Nehlich, Rosette Sewali for producing the The Marc Steiner Show, and the tireless Kayla Rivara for making an all work behind the scenes, and everyone here at The Real News for making this show possible. Please let me know what you thought about what you heard today, what you’d like us to cover. Just write to me at mss@therealnews.com, and I’ll get right back to you. So, for the crew here at The Real News, I’m Marc Steiner. Stay involved, keep listening, and take care.

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Federal Reserve puts on enormous party hat

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This is an audio transcript of the Unhedged podcast episode: ‘Federal Reserve puts on enormous party hat

Katie Martin
A great moment in history has arrived. Rob Armstrong was right about something. Quite against the run of play — shush, Rob — quite against the run of play, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates — hurrah — from the highest level in decades, and for the first time since the pandemic. And what’s more, it went large, cutting by half-a-point, precisely as my esteemed colleague had predicted.

What kind of voodoo is this? Does the Fed know something horrible we don’t? Cutting by half-a-point is normally a crisis measure, a cry for help. Should we panic about a recession? And really, Rob was right. End times.

Today on the show, we’re going to explain how come investors are ignoring the usual script and taking this bumper cut as a good thing. This is Unhedged, the markets and finance podcast from the Financial Times and Pushkin. I’m Katie Martin, a markets columnist here at FT Towers in London. And listeners, I must tell you, the saddest of things has happened. I’m joined by Rob Armstrong, lord of the Unhedged newsletter. But the sad thing is he’s dialling in from his sickbed. Rob, I’m sorry, you’re poorly.

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Robert Armstrong
I am poorly. It’s terrible. But on a 50-basis-point day, the dead shall rise from their graves. The angels shall sing. And we all . . . we’re all gonna talk about it.

Katie Martin
Yes. Good, strong Barry White vibes I’m getting from this voice you’re busting out today. So, as you say, half a percentage point from the Fed; that’s 50 basis points in market money. Normally central banks love being super boring and they normally move by quarter-point increments. So, I mean, was it the shock of being right about the 50-basis-point thing that pushed you over the edge into sickness?

Robert Armstrong
It could have been. I’m so accustomed to getting this wrong now that it was really paralysing. However, I think, you know, you mentioned earlier, why is the market kind of taking this in stride and seeing this as a good thing? And I think it’s a bit of a communications success by the Fed in that they told the story about this, that they’re not doing this because they have to, because it’s an emergency. They’re doing it because they can.

Katie Martin
So gangster.

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Robert Armstrong
And the reason they can is because they’ve kind of beaten inflation. Right?

Katie Martin
So for people who, unlike us, have a life and don’t sit around watching central bank press conferences, the way this works is they do the decision, they say, here you are, here’s your 25 or 50 whatever basis points, or we’re on hold. This time around, it was 50 basis points.

And then just a little while later, there’s a press conference where the chairman, Jay Powell, gets up in front of like all of the kind of most pointy headed Fed journalists in the world and fields whatever questions. There’s a statement, and then he field whatever questions they want to throw at him. And this for him was the point of highest danger, because the risk of giving the impression somehow that . . . 

Robert Armstrong
Yes.

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Katie Martin
Yeah, we’re really worried. That’s why we’ve done 50. That was a serious risk, right? But instead, what happened?

Robert Armstrong
Well, right from the press release announcing the 50 basis cut, they tweaked the language in the press release so that it was more affirmative and strong on the topic of inflation. We’re really pleased how it’s going on inflation.

Katie Martin
Right, right.

Robert Armstrong
And then in the press release, I mean in the press conference, he just reinforced that point again and again. The line he repeated was the labour market is fine, it’s healthy. It is at a good level. We don’t need it to get any better. We’re not trying to improve it, but we have the freedom to make sure it stays as good as it is.

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And that message seems to have gone through. Markets didn’t move yesterday afternoon. And as a very, you know, opening minutes of trading this morning, stocks are up. So that message seems to have gotten through.

Katie Martin
Yeah. That is skills, actually. You know, I will hand it to them. Because, you know, it’s . . . we’ve said this before on this podcast. Like, it’s so easy to like throw stones and peanuts at the Fed or the European Central Bank, the Bank of England or whatever and say they messed this up. But, like, this stuff is hard. Getting the markets to come away with that sort of impression is not to be taken for granted.

Robert Armstrong
It’s not to be taken for granted. I agree. However, I will note any time you’re trying to spin a narrative and you want people to believe it, one thing that really helps is if the narrative is true. And in this case, I think it broadly is.

I think inflation really does look like it’s whipped. It’s really either at or very close to 2 per cent. And look, with an unemployment rate of 4.2 per cent and basically no increase in lay-offs and the economy is still adding jobs, I think the economy is pretty good. So it’s not like he had to spin a magical tale of unicorns and wizards here. He just had to, you know, make a case based on the facts.

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Katie Martin
Yeah. And and that kind of goes back to the fact that the Fed is not quite like all the central banks in that it has to look after inflation, but it also has to look after the jobs market. And so, you know, again, the risk is that you come away from a decision like this and think, well, you know, those little cracks that we’ve seen in the jobs market, maybe they’re the start of something really big and hairy and awful, but he seems to have massaged this one away.

Robert Armstrong
Indeed. Impressive performance.

Katie Martin
And so the other thing they do in this press conference is they give the general public and sad nerds like us a little bit of a taster about what’s coming next from the Fed, right. So they’re always, like, central bankers are at pains to say none of this stuff is a promise. This is just our kind of best current understanding of the state of the universe. But so, then you end up with this thing called — drumroll — the dot.

Robert Armstrong
The dot plot.

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Katie Martin
The dot plot. Explain for normal people what the dot plot is.

Robert Armstrong
OK. So it’s kind of a grid. And along the bottom are the years 2024 through 2027, and then another column for the infinite future. And then there’s a range of interest rates going up and down on the side. And every member of the monetary policy committee puts a little dot in each year column where they think the rate is gonna be in that year. Cue much speculation about what all this means, how they’ve changed their mind since the last dot plot and, you know, the implications of all of this.

Katie Martin
Whose dot is whose? We’ll never know.

Robert Armstrong
They don’t reveal whose dot is whose. That’s an important point. And by the way, Katie, according to everything we hear out of the Fed, having invented this device, which was supposed to increase clarity and make everyone’s life easier, everyone in the Fed now hates it and wishes it would go away . . . 

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Katie Martin
Damn you, dot plot!

Robert Armstrong
Because it just causes endless, idiotic little niggling questions from people like me and you. But once you’ve invented something like this, if you take it away, people get upset.

Katie Martin
So you look at the dots and you look at what Jay Powell was saying at the press conference and what does it all add up to? Does it mean that, like, OK, they’ve started with 50 basis points, so like 50 is the new 25? Get used to it, boys and girls?

Robert Armstrong
If you look at the dot plot and their kind of aggregate expectations of where rates are gonna go, it is not that 50 is the new 25. The implication is that the rate of cuts is going to be very measured — or might I say stately, from here until they reach their target.

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Katie Martin
Right, right.

Robert Armstrong
And, you know, another point to mention here is where they think they need to go is very important. That’s the kind of last part of the dot plot is, like, where should interest rates be when everything is normal again?

Katie Martin
Because that will happen one day. And . . . 

Robert Armstrong
Yeah, that will happen. They think it’s gonna happen sometime around 2026, 27. We’ll get to where it’s about normal and they’re looking for about 3 per cent rates in the long run and that . . . so that’s where we’re going to. Just to set the context, we cut from 5.5 per cent to 5 per cent yesterday. And the map of the dot plot shows us moving towards a little under 3 per cent over time. And it’s a matter of how quickly are we going to get there, and along the way, are we going to change our mind and decide we have to go somewhere else?

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Katie Martin
Yeah. So is there a kind of joyful hope that maybe the Fed could be, like, boring again and it can just sort of do 25 basis points here and there and just take this kind of glide path lowering rates that doesn’t get people excited any more?

Robert Armstrong
Well, this is the problem about the future is that it is hard to predict and particularly hard to predict with interest rates. The issue is that the economy, the structure of the economy has changed a lot in the last couple of years because of the pandemic and for other reasons. So that final destination point I talked about, which economists call the neutral rate, which is the just normal, everything is boring and steady rate of interest in the economy where everyone has a job, there’s no inflation, everything’s cool, the neutral rate. We don’t know what that number is.

And Jay Powell has this line about it. We know it by its works. And what that means, stated less calmly, is we know it when we screw it up. In other words, we hit it, we go past it. We push interest rates above the neutral rate and stocks have a big puke and the economy starts to slow down and people get fired or we travel too far below it and inflation starts again. So like the Fed over the next couple of years is like walking down this passage in the complete dark and it knows it can’t touch the wall on its left or the wall on its right. Right? But it doesn’t know the shape of the passageway, what direction it’s supposed to go. So it’s just like, well, I sure hope we’re going this way. Dee-dee-dee. And hope it doesn’t hit too low or too high along the way.

Katie Martin
Hope it doesn’t just walk into a wall.

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Robert Armstrong
The history of interest rates is history of feeling your way along in the dark.

Katie Martin
Rob, that’s the most lyrical thing I’ve ever heard you say.

Robert Armstrong
Isn’t it? It’s poetry. It’s because I’m so ill. These could be the final words of a dying man.

Katie Martin
What meds are you on for this cold you’ve got?

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Robert Armstrong
This could be my legacy, Katie. (Laughter)

Katie Martin
I feel like we should kind of wrap up quite soon before you just like expire during the recording.

Robert Armstrong
I do. As much as I like you, I’d like to have a few words with my wife before I shove off.

Katie Martin
But I will ask you, are we ever going back to like zero interest rates, do you think? Or are we gonna look back on that…

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Robert Armstrong
I feel like I’ve been asking a lot of questions. This is a great question, Katie, but let me push it back on you. We had this wild period in the last decade where there was like a gajillion dollars of sovereign bonds issued at a negative interest rate.

Katie Martin
I think that was something like $18tn or something.

Robert Armstrong
Money was free. It was bonkers. And it was like the Fed funds rate was up against zero. Money was free. We were all in Silicon Valley inventing start-ups whatever, doing our thing. Do you think we’re going back to that? Like once this incident, the pandemic and everything after is over, are we going back?

Katie Martin
I mean, I can’t see it. I buy the narratives that are kicking around about inflation now being structurally higher, right? There’s a climate emergency. There’s a global defence emergency. There is all sorts of things that governments need to spend lots of money on, borrow lots of money for, all things being equal. And then there’s the whole supply chain thing after COVID and with geopolitics yada-yada.

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Robert Armstrong
And the world is getting older, right? And so when old people create demand for savings, that drives interest rates up, right?

Katie Martin
Ah, old people. Yeah.

Robert Armstrong
Old people.

Katie Martin
But I think also before we wrap up, we should note that although you were right, about 50 basis points, I was right about the timing. I said on this here very podcast back in, I think it was June 2023, the . . . Not 24. 23. That the Fed is not gonna cut rates till the third quarter this year. So what I’m saying is I’m the genius here. You’re just like a (overlapping speech) took a coin flip.

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Robert Armstrong
You’re basically Cassandra. Doomed to see the future and not be believed.

Katie Martin
I’m going to . . . 

Robert Armstrong
Do I have the right mythological figure there? I think that was Cassandra.

Katie Martin
Absolutely no idea. But I’m going to set up a hedge fund called like hunch capital where I can invest your money for two and 20. (Laughter) Based on nothing but pure hunches. Do you want in? Because like my hunch on that, your hunch on the other. I think we’re going to make good money.

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Robert Armstrong
We could. We could be rich people, Katie. But I will answer your question seriously. I think interest rates are higher now. We’re not going back to zero. I will end on that serious point.

Katie Martin
Yeah, yeah.

Robert Armstrong
Governments are spending too much. They have to spend too much. There’s loads of old people. There’s the green stuff has to be funded. Productivity might be rising possibly because of AI. We are going into a higher interest rate world. And by the way, the Fed thinks that. If you look at the history of the Fed’s view of what the long term normal interest rate is, that has been steadily ticking higher over the last year and a half or so.

Katie Martin
So rates have come down already pretty hard, but don’t get yourself carried away with thinking that we’re going back to zero, because ain’t . . . I mean.

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Robert Armstrong
No. Ain’t gonna happen. Nope.

Katie Martin
Ain’t gonna happen.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

On that bombshell, we’re going to be back in a sec with Long/Short.

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[MUSIC PLAYING]

OK, now it’s time for Long/Short, that part of the show where we go long a thing we love, short a thing we hate. Rob, I feel like you should go first before you completely lose your voice. (Laughter)

Robert Armstrong
Well, I’m going to go short wellbeing. And I say this not because my wellbeing is poor right now, but because of an article our colleague Joshua Franklin, wrote in the Financial Times yesterday that says, I’m quoting here, JPMorgan Chase has tasked one of its bankers with overseeing the company’s junior banker program, a response to renewed concerns about working conditions for young employees. And it goes on that this poor person is gonna have to make sure all these young investment bankers are happy and have work-life balance. I think investment bankers owe it to the rest of us to be miserable.

Katie Martin
Right.

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Robert Armstrong
They make a lot of money. They are the lords of the universe. They should not be happy. Their wellbeing should be awful. And that’s what you’re getting paid for. So I think JPMorgan Chase is doing the wrong thing here. And they need to appoint a banker to oversee the what’s the opposite of wellbeing. Unwell being of their junior bankers.

Katie Martin
You’re a very, very mean person and you just want everyone to be sad like you.

Robert Armstrong
No, if you want to be happy, become a journalist and make no money. If you want to be rich, become a banker and like get divorced and have your kids hate you. It’s just the normal way of life. (Laughter)

Katie Martin
Well, I am long European banking merger drama. So if you’ve missed it, the German government is, like, quite scratchy and unhappy about a potential takeover of Commerzbank by Italy’s UniCredit. It’s the talk of the town. Everyone is kind of, you know, huddled around in bars in the city asking like, how the hell did UniCredit manage to amass like a nine per cent stake in this thing? Like that doesn’t seem like a good strategic move. There’s a lot of excitement over the motives. My interest here is that this is just like the good old days of European banking mergers with like very important European bankers wearing gilets under their jackets going around in like big fast cars and, you know, chatting away on their mobile phones and being masters of the universe.

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Robert Armstrong
I just wish they would get along with it. As far as I know, in continental Europe, there’s actually more banks than people.

Katie Martin
Yeah, it’s like sheep in New Zealand. You’ve just got . . . (Laughter)

Robert Armstrong
They just need. I mean, as long as I’ve been in finance, people have been rattling on about how banking in Europe was going to consolidate. The industry was finally going to make some. They just need . . . I mean, as long as I’ve been in finance, people have been rattling on about how banking in Europe was going to consolidate. The industry was finally going to make some money and it was going be able to compete with the US. And then it’s like, you know, some Germans get mad at some Italians, it never happens and the cycle turns again.

Katie Martin
Yeah, it’s like we want consolidation, but no, no, no, no, no. Not like that.

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Robert Armstrong
Not like that.

Katie Martin
Anything but that.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

And I am here for the drama is all I’m saying.

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Robert Armstrong
Right on. I love it.

Katie Martin
OK, listeners, we are going to be back in your feed on Tuesday if Rob makes it that long, but listen up anyway, wherever you get your podcasts.

Unhedged is produced by Jake Harper and edited by Bryant Urstadt. Our executive producer is Jacob Goldstein. We had additional help from Topher Forhecz. Cheryl Brumley is the FT’s global head of audio. Special thanks to Laura Clarke, Alastair Mackie, Gretta Cohn and Natalie Sadler. FT premium subscribers can get the Unhedged newsletter for free. A 30-day free trial is available to everyone else. Just go to FT.com/unhedgedoffer. I’m Katie Martin. Thanks for listening.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

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Republicans assess potential fallout for Trump from North Carolina bombshell

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Republicans assess potential fallout for Trump from North Carolina bombshell

Republicans in North Carolina and nationally are assessing the potential fallout for former President Donald Trump from a bombshell report alleging that Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, the party’s gubernatorial nominee, posted disturbing and inflammatory statements on a forum of a pornographic website.

CNN reported Thursday that Robinson, behind an anonymous username he allegedly used elsewhere, made the comments more than a decade ago, including supporting slavery, calling himself a “black NAZI” and recalling memories of him “peeping” on women in the shower as a 14-year-old.

ABC News has not independently verified the comments were made by Robinson, and he insisted in a video posted to X prior to the story’s publication that “those are not the words of Mark Robinson.”

But Robinson, a Donald Trump ally, already has a history of incendiary remarks about Jews, gay people and others, and elections in North Carolina, one of the nation’s marquee swing states, rest on a knife’s edge, raising questions of how much the latest news will impact his race and other Republicans on the ballot with him — including the former president.

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“I think this only heightens the level of toxicity that the Robinson campaign has, and the real question becomes, what’s the radioactive fallout at the top of the ticket along with down the ballot for Republicans here in North Carolina?” asked Michael Bitzer, the Politics Department chair at Catawba College.

“This cannot be something that the voters aren’t going to recognize and probably play more into softening the Republican support. Is it isolated only to Robinson’s campaign, or does it start to impact Trump? Does it impact other statewide executive Republicans as well? We’ll just have to wait and see, but this feels like a pretty significant event in North Carolina politics.”

MORE: Republicans step up effort to change Nebraska’s electoral vote process to benefit Trump

Robinson, who casts himself as a conservative family man and is running for North Carolina’s open governorship against Democratic state Attorney General Josh Stein, is already behind in the polls.

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PHOTO: Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, R-NC., speaking on the first day of the Republican National Convention, July 15, 2024, in Milwaukee. (J. Scott Applewhite/AP)

PHOTO: Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, R-NC., speaking on the first day of the Republican National Convention, July 15, 2024, in Milwaukee. (J. Scott Applewhite/AP)

While he holds statewide office and has broad name recognition, Robinson boasts a highly controversial record, including calling the Holocaust “hogwash” and homosexuality “filth,” and he drew claims of hypocrisy when he admitted this year that he had paid for his wife to get an abortion, seemingly in contrast with his stated opposition to the procedure, which he’d previously likened to “murder” and “genocide.”

North Carolina’s gubernatorial race is still considered competitive given the state’s tight partisan divide, but Republicans in the state told ABC News they had already viewed him as trailing, and that Thursday’s report won’t help.

“He’s already got a lengthy history of publishing comments like that on the internet. These are perhaps a little more graphic. In terms of does this by itself serve as a guillotine, I don’t know. But it feels like the cumulative weight is starting to add up now,” said one North Carolina GOP strategist. “It flies in the face of everything he presents of himself publicly. So, cumulatively plus the hypocrisy of this, it’s obviously hurtful to him.”

Republicans were more divided on what it means beyond Robinson’s own candidacy.

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North Carolina is a must-win state for Trump, and losing it would impose significant pressure on him to perform in other swing states.

Trump is already running ahead of Robinson — while polls show Robinson trailing, they also show a neck-and-neck race in the state between the former president and Vice President Kamala Harris. The main question now is whether the news depresses Republican turnout in a state where even a small nudge in turnout one way or the other can make decide the victor.

“[Robinson] was already toast. The question is if it hurts Trump, something the campaign is very worried about,” said Doug Heye, a veteran GOP strategist with experience working in North Carolina. “It doesn’t directly cost him voters, but his endorsed pick continues to be a big distraction and has no money to drive out the vote.”

“He’s a baby blue anchor around Trump’s chances in the Tar Heel State,” added Trump donor Dan Eberhart. “This is not good news for Trump’s campaign at all.”

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PHOTO: North Carolina Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson speaks at the Faith and Freedom Road to Majority conference at the Washington Hilton on June 21, 2024 in Washington, D.C. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images, FILE)

PHOTO: North Carolina Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson speaks at the Faith and Freedom Road to Majority conference at the Washington Hilton on June 21, 2024 in Washington, D.C. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images, FILE)

Democrats are already seizing on the news to try to connect Robinson to Trump, who has repeatedly praised him, even calling him at one point “Martin Luther King on steroids.”

Kamala HQ, an X page that serves as one of the Harris campaign’s rapid response tools, posted a slate of videos featuring Trump speaking positively about Robinson.

“His campaign was toast before this story, so the real impact is on all of the Republicans who have endorsed and campaigned alongside him,” said Bruce Thompson, a North Carolina Democratic fundraiser.

However, Trump has been able to navigate his own headwinds, including felony convictions in New York, questioning Harris’ race and more to remain the leader of his party and a viable presidential candidate, leading some Republicans to doubt that Robinson’s struggles will impact the presidential campaign.

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MORE: Uncommitted movement declines to endorse Harris, but encourages against Trump, third-party votes

“Doubt it impacts at all down-ballot,” said Dave Carney, a GOP strategist who chairs a pro-Trump super PAC.

“I don’t think it helps, but it won’t hurt,” added Sean Spicer, Trump’s first White House press secretary.

PHOTO: Mark Robinson, Lt. Governor of N.C. and candidate for Governor, delivers remarks prior to Republican presidential nominee former President Trump speaking at a campaign event at Harrah's Cherokee Center on Aug. 14, 2024 in Asheville, N.C. (Grant Baldwin/Getty Images)

PHOTO: Mark Robinson, Lt. Governor of N.C. and candidate for Governor, delivers remarks prior to Republican presidential nominee former President Trump speaking at a campaign event at Harrah’s Cherokee Center on Aug. 14, 2024 in Asheville, N.C. (Grant Baldwin/Getty Images)

Trump campaign spokesperson Karoline Leavitt sounded a confident note, saying in a statement that the former president’s team would “not take our eye off the ball.”

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“President Trump’s campaign is focused on winning the White House and saving this country. North Carolina is a vital part of that plan. We are confident that as voters compare the Trump record of a strong economy, low inflation, a secure border, and safe streets, with the failures of Biden-Harris, then President Trump will win the Tarheel State once again,” she said.”

Still, sources familiar with the matter said the Trump campaign was bracing for a story to come out about Robinson and is planning on putting more distance between the former president and the embattled nominee Robinson — but initially did not have plans to call on him to drop out.

“He seems to not be impacted by what’s going on down-ballot underneath him,” the North Carolina Republican strategist said of Trump. “There’s no way it helps him. But does it hurt him? I don’t know, I think that’s an open question.”

Republicans assess potential fallout for Trump from North Carolina bombshell originally appeared on abcnews.go.com

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A Global Crackdown on Freedom of Expression

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By Robin Andersen, Nolan Higdon, and Steve Macek

According to a 2022 report by Article 19, an international organization that documents and champions freedom of expression, 80 percent of the world’s population lives with less freedom of expression today than did ten years ago. The eradication of basic freedoms and rights is partly due to the pervasive normalization of censorship. Across media platforms, news outlets, schools, universities, libraries, museums, and public and private spaces, governments, powerful corporations, and influential pressure groups are suppressing freedom of expression and censoring viewpoints deemed to be unpopular or dangerous. Unfortunately, physical assaults, legal restrictions, and retaliation against journalists, students, and faculty alike have become all too common, resulting in the suppression of dissenting voices and, more broadly, the muffling and disappearance of critical information, controversial topics, and alternative narratives from public discourse.

We collaborated with an accomplished group of international scholars and journalists to document this disturbing trend in Censorship, Digital Media and the Global Crackdown on Freedom of Expression (Peter Lang 2024). Our collective work analyzed contemporary and historical methods of censorship and anti-democratic impulses that threaten civil society, human rights, and freedoms of information and expression around the world today. The collection explains how a rising tide of political tyranny coupled with the expansion of corporate power is stifling dissent, online expression, news reporting, political debate, and academic freedom from the United States and Europe to the Global South.

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The Assault on Press Freedom

Our volume reveals an epidemic of censorship and attacks on journalists and free speech around the globe. Although completed prior to the horrifying atrocities of October 7, 2023, in Israel, the text provides context for understanding that Israeli violence against Palestinians since October 7, including the murder of journalists, has been decades in the making. This strategy initially took hold with the assassination of the veteran Al Jazeera reporter Shireen Abu Akleh, a Palestinian-American, as she documented Israel’s occupation of Jenin. The world has now witnessed the full flowering of the Israeli-state aggression against Palestinians that led to her murder. To date, Israel has killed more than 100 media workers in Gaza, raising the concern and outrage of numerous press freedom organizations and seventy UN member states that have now called for international investigations into each one of the murders. As the International Federation of Journalists reported, “Killing journalists is a war crime that undermines the most basic human rights.”

Journalists around the globe are repeatedly targeted because their profession, which is protected constitutionally in many nations, exists to draw attention to abuses of power. Thus, it is no surprise that the rise in global censorship has entailed the targeting of journalists with violence, imprisonment, and harassment. In Russia, journalists are jailed and die in custody, as they do in Egypt, Saudi Arabia, China, and Hong Kong. In Mexico, there are “silenced zones,” controlled by a deadly collaboration between drug gangs and government corruption, where journalists are routinely killed. In 2022, Mexico was the most dangerous country for journalists outside of a war zone.

The assault on press freedom has also been normalized in self-proclaimed democracies such as the United Kingdom, where WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange has been imprisoned for more than five years, and in the United States, which has targeted Assange with espionage charges simply for promoting freedom of information. Although US presidents and other national figures often refer to the United States as “the leader of the free world,” the United States now ranks 55th in the world on the Reporters without Borders 2024 World Press Freedom Index.

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Repression of Artists and Academics

News outlets and their workers are not the only targets of the current wave of repression. Hollywood has long been shaped—and censored—by government and corporate power. For example, our book includes a chapter on the Pentagon’s long-standing influence on Hollywood, which has resulted in the film industry abandoning production of hundreds of films deemed unacceptable by the military.

In addition to media, educators and academics are increasingly subject to repressive measures that muzzle freedom of information and expression. Scholars and institutions of higher education sometimes produce research that challenges the myths and propaganda perpetuated by those in power. And even when they don’t, autonomy from micromanagement by government authorities and private funders is a prerequisite for the integrity of scholarly research and teaching, which tends to make elites exceedingly nervous. This is why universities and academic freedom are increasingly under siege by autocratic regimes and right-wing activists from Hungary to Brazil and from India to Florida.

Alarmingly, the latest Academic Freedom Index found that more than 45 percent of the world’s population now lives in countries with an almost complete lack of academic freedom (more than at any time since the 1970s). In Brazil, the government of right-wing president Jair Bolsonaro attempted to ban education about gender and sexuality,  slashed budgets for the country’s universities, and threatened to defund the disciplines of philosophy and sociology. In 2018, Hungary’s conservative Fidesz government shut down graduate programs in gender studies, forced the country’s most prestigious university, the Central European University, to relocate to Austria, and sparked months of protests at the University of Theater and Film Arts in Budapest by making unpopular changes to the school’s board of trustees. Something similar happened in Turkey, where, since 2016, the ruling regime has suspended thousands of professors and administrators from their university posts for alleged ties to the outlawed Gülen movement and shut down upwards of 3,000 schools and universities. Meanwhile, in the United States, several Republican-controlled state legislatures have enacted draconian laws prohibiting or severely limiting teaching about race, sexuality, and gender in college classrooms. Under the influence of its arch-conservative governor, Ron DeSantis, Florida eliminated sociology as a core general education course at all of its public universities.

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Big Tech Censorship

Censorship is nothing new, but the pervasive influence of the internet and the development of so-called artificial intelligence (AI) have created new, more nefarious opportunities to crack down on freedoms around the globe. So-called smart platforms and tools have created new forms of Big Tech control and content moderation, such as shadowbanning and algorithmic bias. Regimes have set up a form of quid pro quo with tech companies, demanding certain concessions such as removing unfavorable content in exchange for government access to otherwise private information about tech platforms’ users. For example, in the United States, tech companies depend on large government contracts and, as a result, often work with government officials directly and indirectly to censor content. Nor do they block only false or misleading content. Social media platforms have also been found to censor perfectly valid scientific speculation about the possible origin of COVID-19 and instances of obvious political satire.

These restrictive practices are at odds with Big Tech PR campaigns that trumpet the platforms’ capacity to empower users. Despite this hype, critical examination reveals that privately controlled platforms seldom function as spaces where genuine freedom of information and intellectual exchange flourish. In reality, Big Tech works with numerous national regimes to extend existing forms of control over citizens’ behaviors and expression into the digital realm. People are not ignorant of these abuses and have taken action to promote freedom across the globe. However, they have largely been met by more censorship. For example, as social media users took to TikTok to challenge US and Israeli messaging on Gaza, the US government took steps to ban the platform. Relatedly, Israel raided Al Jazeeras office in East Jerusalem, confiscated its equipment, shuttered its office, and closed down its website.

Our book also details the complex history and structures of censorship in Myanmar, Uganda, and the Philippines, and popular resistance to this oppression. To this catalog of examples, we can add India’s periodic internet shutdowns aimed at stifling protests by farmers, the blocking of websites in Egypt, and the right-wing strongman Jair Bolsonaro’s persecution of journalists in Brazil. Each of these cases is best understood as a direct result of a rise in faux populist, right-wing authoritarian politicians and political movements, whose popularity has been fostered by reactionary responses to decades of neo-liberal rule.

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What Is to Be Done? 

Censorship is being driven not only by governments but also by an array of political and corporate actors across the ideological spectrum, from right-wing autocrats and MAGA activists to Big Tech oligarchs and self-professed liberals. Indeed, when it comes to censorship, a focus on any one country’s ideology, set of practices, or justifications for restricting expression risks missing the forest for the trees. The global community is best served when we collectively reject all attempts to suppress basic freedoms, regardless of where they emerge or how they are implemented.

To counter increasing restrictions on public discourse and the muzzling of activists, journalists, artists, and scholars, we need global agreements that protect press freedom, the right to protest, and accountability for attacks on journalists. Protection of freedom of expression and the press should be a central plank of US foreign policy. We need aggressive antitrust enforcement to break up giant media companies that today wield the power to unilaterally control what the public sees, hears, and reads. We also need to create awareness and public knowledge to help pass legislation, such as the PRESS Act, that will guarantee journalists’ right to protect their sources’ confidentiality and prevent authorities from collecting information about their activities from third parties like phone companies and internet service providers.

Moreover, widespread surveillance by social media platforms and search engines, supposedly necessary to improve efficiency and convenience, ought to be abandoned. All of us should have the right to control any non-newsworthy personal data that websites and apps have gathered about us and to ask that such data be deleted, a right that Californians will enjoy starting in 2026.

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In addition, we should all support the efforts of organizations such as the American Association of University Professors, Article 19, and many others to fight back against encroachments on academic and intellectual freedom.

Supporters of free expression should also vigilantly oppose the ideologically motivated content moderation schemes Big Tech companies so often impose on their users.

Rather than trusting Big Tech to curate our news feeds, or putting faith in laws that would attempt to criminalize misinformation, we need greater investment in media literacy education, including education about the central importance of expressive rights and vigorous, open debate to a functioning democracy. The era of the internet and AI demonstrates the urgent need for education and fundamental knowledge in critical media literacy to ensure that everyone has the necessary skills to act as digital citizens, capable of understanding and evaluating the media we consume.

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How the EU can reset foreign policy for the western Balkans

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Steven Everts makes numerous important and laudable points on the need for the EU to seriously recalibrate both its capacities and posture in foreign policy (Opinion, September 12).

It’s worth adding that in a foreign policy area on the bloc’s very borders, the EU has led the west into a dead end of failure, in which official pronouncements have never been more at variance with the on-the-ground reality.

The western Balkans is the only region in which the US consistently defers to a democratic partner’s leadership — that of the EU.

Nowhere else does the west, if united, wield greater leverage or have a wider array of policy instruments. Yet for far too long, the EU has addressed the region almost solely through its enlargement process, neglecting its foreign policy commitments — including a deterrent force in Bosnia and Herzegovina mandated by the Dayton Peace Agreement and authorised under Chapter 7 by the UN Security Council.

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This force remains well below the brigade-strength required to pose a credible deterrent to threats to the peace and territorial integrity. In addition, the EU states it will support local authorities, who have primary responsibility to maintain a secure environment — defying the reason the mandate exists to begin with: namely to thwart attempts by local authorities to upend the peace.

The desire to maintain the fiction that the Belgrade-Pristina Dialogue is still alive compels the EU into all sorts

of contortions which in effect reward Serbia, despite allegations of Serbian involvement in recent violence, and periodic (and ongoing) threats of invasion. By straying from its original declared purpose to achieve mutual recognition between Serbia and Kosovo, as well as serving as a shield for Serbia’s authoritarian president, Aleksandar Vučić, the dialogue serves as a diversion from genuine problem- solving.

Incoming EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas has demonstrated leadership and vision for Europe and the wider west as Estonia’s prime minister, particularly with regard to the response to Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine.

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One hopes she will undertake the overdue task of making the policies of the EU and the wider west more consistent with the values of democracy and human dignity we proclaim to hold dear. She can begin by leading the west to a restoration of credible deterrence in the Balkans, and start to counter the backsliding of democracy long visible there.

Kurt Bassuener
Co-Founder and Senior Associate, Democratization Policy Council, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina

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An Amazing Site With Rich History

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man

It’s early summer in Moldova, and the cherries are already ripe. Fellow journalist Marian Männi and I pick and pop them into our mouths as we follow our chosen tour guide up a hill. We are exploring Old Orhei, a famous Moldovan landmark and archaeological site. It consists of three villages: Trebujeni to the north, Butuceni to the west and Morovaia to the east. The area is built on a green field, and the Răut River runs through it.

Following the guide’s lead, we climb a hill to find one of many cave monasteries. This one is rather hidden, so most tourists miss it entirely. 

My guide showcases a cave monastery above the Răut River, where tourists rarely find their way. Author’s photo.

A picture from the inside of the cave looking out. Author’s photo.

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The surrounding area is an unusual sight. The sloping bank of the Răut River emerges from a perfectly flat field, looking almost man-made. However, it is a natural reminder of how landscapes evolve. You can find perfect seashells on the limestone bank in a country with no coastline, much like on a sandy beach. Millions of years ago, the Răut River was part of the ancient Sarmatian Sea, just like the lands of today’s Moldova.

Scenic views of Old Orhei. One can barely see the river under the hill. Author’s photo.

My guide, Professor Sergiu Musteață, knows this site incredibly well. He is a renowned historian from Moldova and a professor at the Faculty of Philology and History at “Ion Creangă” State Pedagogical University. He has worked to educate locals about the history of Old Orhei and how to develop tourism businesses. He has also guided them in creating guesthouses and writing proposals for funding to build flushing toilets in their homes.

Old Orhei has been one of the main subjects of his research since 1996. “I know everyone in Orheiul Vechi [the Romanian version of the name]!” he laughs. He also knows all of the approximately 300 caves in the area and has personally researched many of them.

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Professor Sergiu Musteață says that people working in Moldovan tourism need to understand that the basis of it is history and heritage. Author’s photo.

A scenic journey through unknown sites

Musteață leads us along a hidden path lined with cherry trees from an old student’s base. Researchers have been excavating this area for decades, as the unique landscape reveals layers of settlements dating back to prehistoric times.

“When we come here with students, we usually clean the neighborhood and cut the grass first,” Musteață says, pushing branches away from the path. If only tourists knew about this shortcut hidden in nature.

Professor Musteață peers through a rustic gate. Author’s photo.

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“We have organized 20 years of summer camps for the locals during the excavations, including summer schools for local kids. Lots of students, both locals and internationals, participated!” he states emphatically.

Despite many efforts, only a few locals have made a name for themselves in the tourism sector. “I don’t know why. There is not so much interest. It should be the most prominent place among tourists,” Musteață comments.

Unlike other visitors, we walk past the Peștera cave monastery, the main tourist attraction of Old Orhei. The current underground tunnels date back to 1820. However, the caves in these limestone hills have existed since the 14th century. Orthodox monks found solitude and a place for spiritual retreat in this isolation.

“There is another cave monastery here. Locals know about it, but only a few tourists will visit it,” says Musteață. This is where we are heading.

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We walk past the Peștera cave monastery and head off-road to find another lesser-known monastery. Author’s photo.

We walk on the bank, passing through the Church of Ascension of St. Mary. The view of the valley and fields is breathtaking. Turning left, the professor leads us onto an almost unrecognizable road downhill from the bank. Our slippers aren’t ideal footwear for this leg of the journey, but nevertheless, we climb down the limestone bank to a land of grazing cows.

Musteață guides us onto a new path, leading down the limestone bank. Author’s photo.

After walking, we climb again to another obscure cave monastery of Old Orhei, built above the Răut’s waters. There isn’t a single soul up here now, but historically, monks isolated themselves in this cave. As a result, the monastery is covered in signs of human habitation.

The church’s facade is engraved with Slavonian writing: “This church was built by the slave of Bosie, pircalab (Chief Magistrate) of Orhei, together with his wife and his children, to cherish God, to forgive his sins.”

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The professor shows us around. We see where the monks would sleep and where they built their fireplace. All the caves are in remarkably good shape, with few signs of dripping rocks.

We view the monastery’s exterior, which has endured for centuries. Author’s photo.

This structure often goes unexplored by tourists. “It’s a bit too far and difficult to access. That’s why people don’t know much about it and wouldn’t end up here,” Musteață explains.

Musteață teaches us about the monastery. Author’s photo.

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On the whole, Old Orhei is a fascinating, history site. And its antiquity is richer than one might expect.

Mankind has loved this region since ancient times

The surroundings have been populated since the Paleolithic era due to good location — the river protects Old Orhei from three sides. The land is suitable for agriculture and flowing water is nearby.

Archaeological findings suggest that the Getians built some fortresses and settlements in this region during the 4th to 3rd centuries BCE, taking advantage of the natural fortifications provided by the rocky outcroppings and riverbanks.

In the 14th century CE, Old Orhei became part of the medieval state of Moldova (Țara Moldovei) after the collapse of the Golden Horde, a Mongol-Tatar state that controlled this territory as well.

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After the Tatar period in the 12th to 14th centuries, an Orthodox Christian community developed during medieval times. Political stability and the protective embrace of nature made Old Orhei an important center. Moldovan hero and ruler Stephen the Great, whose rule lasted from 1457 to 1504, appointed his uncle, Peter III Aaron, to rule there. The area was fortified with strong defensive walls and towers.

Life in Old Orhei slowly faded in the 17th century. The administration moved to neighboring New Orhei, and gradually, the monastic community began to disappear. The last monks are believed to have left Old Orhei at the beginning of the 19th century. By this time, many monastic communities in the region faced significant challenges due to political changes, invasions and pressures from the expanding Ottoman Empire. The decline in monastic life at Old Orhei was part of a broader trend affecting many religious sites in the region.

At the beginning of the 20th century, a new Virgin Mary Church was built atop the bank near a cave monastery to revitalize the area’s spiritual significance. It serves as a symbol of Old Orhei’s continued religious heritage, even after the original monastic community dispersed.

Though the region’s religiosity remains, Old Orhei’s authenticity, unfortunately, has recently declined.

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The loss of authenticity in a historic land

Many historical sites in Old Orhei face the problem of random preservation efforts, which are not concerned with preserving the site’s authentic look.

In 2023, the road from Butuceni village in the Cultural-Natural Reserve was asphalted, which led to an investigation by the Ministry of Culture. It ruined the village’s authenticity but gave locals more logistical freedom.

Climbing on the bank, we notice a brand-new red-roofed dwelling that, from a logical viewpoint, should not have been built in the reserve. But there it is, like the newly constructed path to the Peștera cave monastery and the asphalted road in Butuceni village.

This modern tampering is one thing preventing Moldova from having its first United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) World Heritage Site.

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“There is too much industrialization in a place where authenticity is worshiped,” Musteață laments. The Old Orhei Reserve has been on the UNESCO tentative list for years but is not moving forward any time soon. “I don’t think there is much hope at the moment,” Musteață admits honestly.

The situation saddens him. He and other researchers have worked for years to put this site on the world map as a part of humanity’s historical cradle, to no avail.

“The landscape and the density of settlements since prehistory is special. You can see the changes in this part of the world, moving from East to West. The Golden Horde, the Islamic period, Christians — there is a huge variety of artifacts describing how people lived in this area,” Musteață explains.

Life has moved on from this relic. The Orthodox Church still holds significant power in the small country of Moldova, but only traces of the glory the church once had in Old Orhei remain. In the 1940s, the Soviet Union started excavations in the region, which also disrupted the old sites; they built a new road through the Golden Horde citadel and cut it in half.

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“A historic road should go around the citadel. It’s completely doable,” Musteață says.

The professor feels that many of Moldova’s stories remain untold, even that of such a landmark as Old Orhei. “It is frustrating. We need to tell our story!” Musteață suggests.

He thinks the country itself should put Orhei at the top of the list of tourist destinations in Moldova. After all, it’s the most important tourist site in the country. “It should be declared a state priority, a national strategy,” he says. “People working in this field in Moldova need to understand that the basis of tourism is history and heritage.”

That is another reason why Moldova’s Old Orhei is not on the UNESCO list. “Our country overall is underrepresented,” Musteață believes.

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According to UNESCO, the organization is not in a position to comment on what is missing for Old Orhei to receive its World Heritage Site title. Moldova first proposed the area as a UNESCO World Heritage Site in 2008 but withdrew its nomination the following year.

In September 2015, Moldova submitted a new version of the nomination dossier as “Orheiul Vechi Archaeological Landscape,” a cultural site. Following the evaluation process and a recommendation by the International Council on Monuments and Sites, Moldova withdrew the nomination again.

Luckily, Moldova appears on the UNESCO list as part of a group of countries with the Struve Geodetic Arc, a chain of survey triangulations spanning ten countries and over 2,820 kilometers. This chain reaches from the world’s northernmost city — Hammerfest, Norway — to the Black Sea. The listed site includes 34 points across all ten countries, one of which is in Moldova. The country is eager to earn its very own World Heritage Site title, even if it isn’t Old Orhei.

[Lee Thompson-Kolar edited this piece.]

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The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Fair Observer’s editorial policy.

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