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Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutet preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction & betting tips

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Match Details

Fixture: Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutet

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Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Tournament: ATP Mexican Open 2026

Round: First Round

Category: ATP 500

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Surface: Hard (outdoor)

Venue: Arena GNP Seguros, Acapulco, Mexico

Prize Money: US$2,469,450 (total prize pool)

Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Sky Sports | Canada – TSN

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Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutet preview

Zverev in action at the 2026 Australian Open (Source: Getty)Zverev in action at the 2026 Australian Open (Source: Getty)
Zverev in action at the 2026 Australian Open (Source: Getty)

Alexander Zverev is set to get his 2026 Mexican Open campaign underway with a potentially tricky first-round outing against Corentin Moutet.

The World No. 4 German is the top seed in Acapulco, and the ATP 500 hardcourt event will mark his first competitive outing since his heartbreaking loss to Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinals of the Australian Open. Zverev finished as the runner-up in Acapulco back in 2019, but two years later, managed to win the title by defeating Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final.

Moutet, the World No. 35 from France, like Zverev, was beaten by Alcaraz in Melbourne. The crafty Frenchman then took a short break before featuring in ATP Tour-level action once more at the recently-concluded Delray Beach Open. Here, eventual runner-up Tommy Paul dashed his hopes in the very first round.

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Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutet head-to-head

Moutet in action at the 2026 Delray Beach Open (Source: Getty)Moutet in action at the 2026 Delray Beach Open (Source: Getty)
Moutet in action at the 2026 Delray Beach Open (Source: Getty)

Zverev and Moutet have locked horns twice in the past and on both occasions, the German has come out on top. Their first meeting, at the ATP 250 tournament in Stuttgart last year, resulted in a straight-set win for Zverev. However, their second clash, at last year’s China Open, went the distance, with the German ultimately downing the Frenchman 7-5, 3-6, 6-3.


Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutet odds

Player Name Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Alexander Zverev -500 -4.5 (+105) Over 21.5 (-125)
Corentin Moutet +340 +4.5 (-150) Under 21.5 (-115)

(Odds via BetMGM)


Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutet prediction

Zverev is a heavy favorite to defeat Corentin Moutet in their upcoming first-round match at the 2026 Mexican Open. The German, the 2021 champion in Acapulco, has started 2026 strongly, reaching the semifinals of the Australian Open and boasting a 5-1 record in his recent matches.

Conversely, Moutet has struggled with form, losing four of his last six matches, and has never defeated the German. Zverev’s superior power, consistent serving, and experience on the hard courts of Mexico make him far too strong for the Frenchman.

While Moutet is talented, he is unlikely to break through Zverev’s defense. Expect a dominant performance from Zverev, cruising to a straight-sets victory.. The match should confirm Zverev’s status as a top contender for the 2026 Acapulco title.

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Pick: Zverev to win in straight sets.


Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutet betting tips

Tip 1: An upset is possible given Zverev’s return from a break, making ‘Corentin Moutet +4.5 Games’ a potential alternative for those expecting a closer contest than the straight-set prediction.

Tip 2: Zverev to win all his service games.