Science & Environment
Prince William says make peace with nature
The Prince of Wales has issued an urgent call to end environmental destruction and to “make peace with nature”.
“We are living at odds with the natural world – and it is buckling under the pressure of our actions,” he said, in a video message played at a Campaign for Nature event at the General Assembly of the United Nations, in New York.
Prince William said climate change and the prospect of a million species facing extinction represented the most pressing “existential threat”.
His speech followed the announcement of the finalists for the fourth year of the prince’s Earthshot awards for international ideas to improve sustainability.
“If we are to keep this planet liveable for our children and grandchildren, we must act urgently,” the prince said, in a speech that had echoes of the eco-campaigning of his father, King Charles III.
“We can and must change our relationship with the natural world.”
Such a reset in the relationship would mean economic changes, “realigning financial flows from destruction to regeneration”.
“It means change,” the prince said, calling on international leaders “to halt the unsustainable production and consumption of natural resources”.
“We must act to save our rivers, oceans, savannas, mangroves and forests, as well as the communities that protect and live alongside them,” he said.
The 15 finalists for this year’s Earthshot awards were also announced in New York, recognising innovative ways of protecting the environment, drawn from 2,500 nominations, including:
- a project to reduce waste and cut air pollution in Ghana
- building a social enterprise around farming seaweed in the Philippines
- solar-powered refrigeration in Kenya
- earthquake-resilient bricks in Nepal
- a scheme in Kazakhstan to protect a type of antelope on the brink of extinction
- a project in Scotlant to feed fish using a by-product from distilling whisky
The five winners, to be revealed at an event in Cape Town, South Africa, in November, will receive £1m each.
Meanwhile, the Princess of Wales is continuing her return to work, after the end of her chemotherapy.
On Tuesday, she held a meeting in Windsor Castle, to plan her annual Christmas carol concert in Westminster Abbey.
Science & Environment
X-rays reveal half-billion-year-old insect ancestor
The internal anatomy of a prehistoric creature the size of a poppy seed has been revealed in “astonishing detail”.
Researchers used powerful X-rays to scan the 520-million-year-old fossil.
The results, published in the journal Nature, reveal its microscopic blood vessels and nervous system.
It is a peek inside the body of one of the earliest ancestors of modern insects, spiders and crabs.
Lead researcher Dr Martin Smith said this was a dream fossil, in part because it was preserved in its larval, or immature, stage – when its body was still developing.
“Looking at these early stages really is the key to understanding how those adult [body shapes] are formed – not just through evolution but through development.
“But larvae are so tiny and fragile, the chances of finding one fossilised are practically zero – or so I thought.”
Dr Smith’s colleagues found the fossil in a pile of “prehistoric grit” during a study of half-billion-year-old rock deposits in the north of China known to contain microscopic fossils.
“Our collaborators in China have large amounts of this stuff, which they dissolve it in acid and these little bits fall out,” Dr Smith said.
A team of technicians at Yunnan University spent years sifting through the material and picking fossils out of the dust.
After examining this particular specimen under the microscope during a trip to China, Dr Smith said, he had realised it was “something very special” and asked if he could bring it back to the UK to have a closer look.
The team mounted the fossil on the head of a pin in order to scan it with intense X-rays at Oxford’s Diamond Light Source facility. That is where its internal secrets were revealed.
“When I saw the amazing structures preserved under its skin, my jaw just dropped,” Dr Smith said.
Researchers generated three-dimensional images of miniature brain regions, digestive glands, a primitive circulatory system and even traces of the nerves supplying the larva’s simple legs and eyes.
Its brain cavity, which is divided into segments, has revealed the ancestral “nub” of the specialist, segmented heads of modern insects, spiders and crabs that later evolved their various appendages, such as antennae, mouthparts and eyes.
Study co-author, Dr Katherine Dobson, of the University of Strathclyde, said the natural fossilisation had “achieved almost perfect preservation”.
Dr Smith said this might have been caused by high concentrations of phosphorus in the ocean where this larva briefly lived and died.
“It’s washed into the oceans when rocks erode on land,” he said.
“And that phosphorus seems to have flooded the tissues of our fossil,” essentially crystallising its tiny body.
Science & Environment
Earth will briefly gain asteroid as second moon, scientists say
Get ready for a cosmic surprise this autumn – Earth is about to get a second moon, according to scientists.
A small asteroid is going to be captured by Earth’s gravitational pull and temporarily become a “mini-moon”.
This space visitor will be around from September 29 for a couple of months before escaping from Earth’s gravity again.
Sadly the second moon is going to be too small and dim to be seen, unless you have a professional telescope.
The asteroid was first spotted by NASA’s Asteroid Terrestrial-Impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) on 7 August.
Scientists worked out its trajectory in a study published in Research Notes of the American Astronomical Society.
The asteroid, which scientists refer to as 2024 PT5, hails from the Arjuna asteroid belt, which contains rocks that follow an orbit quite similar to Earth’s.
Occasionally, some of these asteroids get relatively close, getting as near as 2.8 million miles (4.5 million kilometers) from our planet.
According to the researchers involved in the study, if an asteroid like this is moving at a relatively slow speed of around 2,200mph (3,540km/h), Earth’s gravitational field can exert a strong influence, enough to trap it temporarily.
Which is exactly what’s about to happen – starting this weekend, this small asteroid will spend about two months orbiting Earth.
Dr Jennifer Millard, astronomer and host of the Awesome Astronomy podcast, told the BBC’s Today programme that the asteroid would enter orbit on the 29th of September and then was predicted to leave on 25 November.
“It’s not going to complete a full revolution of our planet, it’s just going to kind of have its orbit altered, just twisted slightly by our own planet and then it’ll continue on its merry way,” she said.
The asteroid is approximately 10 meters long, which is tiny in comparison to Earth’s moon, which has a diameter of approximately 3,474 kilometers.
Because it is small and made of dull rock it will not be visible to people on earth even if they use binoculars or a home telescope.
“Professional telescopes, they’ll be able to pick it up. So you’ll be able to look out for lots of wonderful pictures online of this little dot kind of moving past the stars at great speed,” said Dr Millard.
Mini-moons have been spotted before, and it’s thought many more are likely to have gone unnoticed.
Some even come back for repeat visits, the 2022 NX1 asteroid became a mini-moon in 1981 and again in 2022.
So don’t worry if you miss this one – scientists predict 2024 PT5 will also return to Earth’s orbit again in 2055.
“This story highlights just how busy our solar system is and how much there is out there that we haven’t discovered, because this asteroid was only discovered this year.
“There are tens of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands, of objects out there that we haven’t discovered and so I think this highlights the importance of us being able to continually monitor the night sky and find all of these objects,” said Dr Millard.
Science & Environment
10 things to watch in the stock market Wednesday, including automaker downgrades
Top 10 things to watch Wednesday, Sept. 25
— Today’s newsletter was written by the Investing Club’s director of portfolio analysis, Jeff Marks.
1. The S&P 500 is on track for a muted open Wednesday following another record close Tuesday. Club holding Nvidia helped lift the market Tuesday but earnings loom from fellow chipmaker Micron. Our trusted momentum indicator, the S&P Short Range Oscillator, remains very overbought.
2. Morgan Stanley’s well-known auto analyst Adam Jonas downgraded his view on the U.S. auto industry to “in line” from attractive while also lowering his ratings on Ford, General Motors and Rivian. Jonas cited a range of factors for his sector downgrade, including Chinese competitors and vehicle affordability in the U.S. We sold out of Ford earlier this year.
3. Tyson Food was downgraded to a sell-equivalent underweight at Piper Sander on worsening beef margins and rising chicken supply. Shares, down more than 4% over the past month, were lower Wednesday.
4. KeyBanc upgraded DoorDash to an overweight buy and lifted its price target on the food delivery platform to $177 a share. Analysts said they’ve become more confident in DoorDash’s ability to sustain gross order volume growth and demonstrate operating leverage. The firm also raised its price target on Uber to $90 on a belief that cost discipline can further boost earnings.
5. Wells Fargo upgraded oilfield services provider Baker Hughes to overweight from a hold-equivalent, citing its diversified business model. It lowered its price targets on peers Halliburton and SLB to reflect a more muted macro outlook. Despite a lift Tuesday on China stimulus news, oil prices have been trending lower since the spring.
6. Baird analysts added Foot Locker to their “Bearish Fresh Pick Trading Call” list through November, which means they are negative on the stock over that stretch. They cited what they see as signs of softer spending trends and lower near-term sales visibility. CNBC’s Gabrielle Fonrouge had a nice look at Foot Locker’s turnaround efforts earlier this week.
7. Hewlett Packard Enterprise was upgraded to a buy-equivalent overweight at Barclays on growing AI server revenues, improvement in storage, and accretion from the Juniper Networks deal. The server makers like HPE, Super Micro Computer and Dell Technologies have been a closely followed group this year.
8. Evercore ISI downgraded Union Pacific to a hold-equivalent in line rating from outperform. Analysts think the railroad stock looks fully valued at around $249 a share based on its medium-term earnings outlook.
9. Expedia was downgraded to hold at Cowen on a slower turnaround in its business-to-consumer operations, which include vacation rental platform Vrbo and Hotels.com. Those brands have been losing share, according to analysts.
10. Oppenheimer cut its price target on Club holding Alphabet to $185 a share due to uncertainty on the Department of Justice’s antitrust pursuits. The company lost a case last month over its Google Search business and is in currently in court to defend its advertising business against monopoly allegations.
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Science & Environment
Sam Altman-backed nuclear startup Oklo to start site work for Idaho microreactor
An artist rendering of the Oklo powerhouse, called the Aurora. Image credit: Gensler
Image courtesy Oklo
Nuclear startup Oklo is moving closer to initial construction of its first commercial microreactor, CEO Jacob DeWitte told CNBC in an interview.
Oklo has received the greenlight from the Department of Energy to conduct site investigations for the planned reactor at Idaho National Laboratory in Idaho Falls, the company announced on Wednesday.
“This sets the stage for doing all the initial site … prep work, and what I would call initial construction activities,” DeWitte said. He expects Oklo to break ground at the Idaho site in 2026, with plans to have the reactor up and running by the following year.
Oklo, however, still needs approval from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to build and operate the plant after its first application was rejected in 2022. The CEO acknowledged there’s a risk the 2027 start date gets pushed out depending on how long the NRC review takes.
Oklo, which aims to build, operate and directly sell power to customers under long-term contracts, went public in May through a merger with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s SPAC, AltC Acquisition Corp. Altman serves as Oklo’s chairman.
Electric demand is projected to surge. The tech sector has been feverishly building data centers to handle the power-intensive computations needed for artificial intelligence, while domestic manufacturing is expanding and the economy becomes increasingly electrified.
The company’s microreactors, called Aurora, promise smaller and simpler designs that will range in size from 15 megawatts to as much as 100 megawatts or more. The average nuclear reactor in the current U.S. fleet is around 1,000 megawatts, according to the Department of Energy.
‘Industry has radically fallen short’
Oko’s stock has gained nearly 26% since Constellation Energy unveiled plans Friday to restart Three Mile Island nuclear plant to help power Microsoft’s data centers. Its shares are down 54% since its NYSE debut.
DeWitte said the Three Mile Island restart is a “testament” to how much the tech sector sees “energy going up and how important it is to lock-in secure supplies of it.”
“What we’re seeing is hyperscalers taking the approach of trying to secure large capacity from existing plants to the greatest extent that they can, which makes sense, because some of that can be the nearest-term power delivery,” DeWitte said.
But the nuclear “industry has radically fallen short of its ability to keep up with the market interest,” DeWitte said. “The challenge has just been the industry’s offerings in terms of product, the business model and ability to execute, have just been horrible,” he said.
“All of that is elements around which disruption has needed to take place to sort of change the paradigm,” he said. “And that’s where we really taken a different angle.”
NRC review crucial
Oklo, however, has faced its own challenges. The NRC rejected Oklo’s first license application due to missing safety information. It plans to file its application again in 2025, DeWitte said. It is currently in a pre-application review process, he said.
DeWitte attributed the denial of Oklo’s first application to disruptions caused by the Covid-19 pandemic that prevented in-person audits. Oklo submitted its application on March 11, 2020, the day the World Health Organization declared a pandemic.
“Everything changed,” DeWitte said of the pandemic’s impact on the review process. “This missing information was largely missing through communication challenges,” he said.
The CEO acknowledged the NRC review could delay the 2027 start date for the Idaho microreactor: “There’s definitely risk. At the end of the day, we can’t control the NRC review timeline,” he said.
Oklo could get a tailwind from the recently enacted ADVANCE Act, which directs the NRC to speed up decisions on license applications to build and operate reactors.
Future business
DeWitte said Oklo’s business is not contingent upon when the Idaho plant goes online. The company has 1,350 megawatts of interest through letters of intent with potential customers, a 93% increase from 700 megawatts in July 2023, according to the company’s recent earnings presentation.
The CEO said Oklo aims to bring plants online “in multiples per year” starting in 2028 to 2029. “From there, it’s really a game about scaling up the supply chain accordingly,” he said.
Oklo’s microreactors are a good fit for data centers, which are built out in individual halls with energy needs of less than 50 megawatts, about the size of the company’s plants, he said.
“They kind of build them out in modules that are pretty similar to what we power, that’s very much on purpose, and so we can build up with them,” DeWitte said.
Nuclear fuel has been a big constraint on Oklo, DeWitte said. In May, the U.S. banned uranium imports from Russia, which made up about 35% of the U.S. nuclear fuel imports. The Biden administration is investing $2.7 billion to stand up domestic production.
Oklo has a partnership with Centrus Energy, a U.S.-based nuclear fuel supplier. Centrus began enrichment operations in Piketon, Ohio, last October, but the domestic supply chain isn’t producing at the scale needed today, DeWitte said. However, Oklo has secured the fuel it needs for the Idaho plant.
The company’s rectors will have the ability to recycle fuel, which will help to diversity its supply chain, DeWitte said. But recycled fuel likely won’t be available in meaningful quantities until 2029 or beyond, he said.
Oklo posted a net loss of $53 million for the six months ended June 30. The company has not generated any revenue yet. That will come when it generates power at its first plant.
“Once we turn on that revenue operation, you’re usually locked into a 20-year — and in some cases, potentially longer — power purchase agreements,” CEO said. “You’re going to be getting the revenues for the next 20 years and then growing from there.”
Science & Environment
Europe’s deadly floods offer glimpse of future climate
Central Europe’s devastating floods were made much worse by climate change and offer a stark glimpse of the future for the world’s fastest-warming continent, scientists say.
Storm Boris has ravaged countries including Poland, the Czech Republic, Romania, Austria and Italy, leading to at least 24 deaths and billions of pounds of damage.
The World Weather Attribution (WWA) group said one recent four-day period was the rainiest ever recorded in central Europe – an intensity made twice as likely by climate change.
On a positive note, the storm was well forecast, meaning some regions were better prepared for it, likely avoiding more deaths.
Scientists at WWA work out how much of a role climate change played in an extreme weather event by comparing it with a model of how bad that storm, drought or heatwave might have been in a world where humans hadn’t been burning fossil fuels for nearly 200 years.
The kind of rainfall unleashed by Boris is thankfully still rare – expected to occur about once every 100-300 years in today’s climate, which has warmed by about 1.3C due to greenhouse gas emissions.
But if warming reaches 2C, similar episodes will become an extra 5% more intense and 50% more frequent, the WWA warned.
Without more ambitious climate action, global warming is expected to reach around 3C by the end of the century.
“This is definitely what we will see much more of in the future,” said Friederike Otto, senior lecturer in climate science at Imperial College London and co-author of the WWA study.
“[It] is the absolute fingerprint signature of climate change […] that records are broken by such a large margin.”
The record rains fit into the broader pattern of how Europe’s climate is changing in a warming world.
Europe is the fastest-warming continent. The last five years were on average around 2.3C warmer than the second half of the 19th Century, according to the Copernicus climate service.
This not only brings much more frequent and intense heatwaves, but also more extreme rainfall, particularly over north and central Europe. The picture is more complicated in southern Europe, due to shifts in large-scale weather patterns.
The simplest reason for more intense rainfall in a hotter world is that a warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture – about 7% for every 1C. This extra moisture can lead to heavier rainfall.
‘Stalling’ weather systems
One reason Boris has produced so much rain is that the weather system got ‘stuck’, dumping huge amounts of water over the same areas for days.
There is some evidence that the effects of climate change on the jet stream – a band of fast-flowing winds high up in the atmosphere – may make this ‘stalling’ phenomenon more common. But this is still up for debate.
Even if we don’t get more ‘stalled’ weather systems in the future, climate change means that any that do get stuck can carry more moisture and therefore be potentially disastrous.
“These weather patterns occurred in a warmer climate because of our greenhouse gas emissions, [so] the intensity and volume of rainfall was larger than it would have otherwise been,” explains Richard Allan, professor in climate science at the University of Reading.
Weather forecasts are continually improving, and in this case the huge levels of rainfall that triggered the floods were forecast several days in advance.
That meant flood preparations could be put in place.
That’s partly why the death toll was not as bad as previous major flooding in 1997 and 2002, even though the recent rain was heavier in many places and the floods covered a larger area.
“There has been a lot of money spent after the previous two floods to [install and update] the flood defences,” explains Mirek Trnka of the Global Change Research Institute in the Czech Republic, one of the countries most affected by the flooding.
In the city of Brno, for example, where Prof Trnka is based, not all of the flood defences had been completed, but the advanced warning allowed authorities to strengthen areas where there was still work to be done.
Not everywhere in Europe has been as fortunate. The EU has pledged €10bn (£8.3bn) in emergency repairs to help affected areas.
“It shows just how expensive climate change is,” says Dr Otto.
Over recent decades, improved flood protection has largely shielded communities from increased impacts.
But there are concerns that rising temperatures – and so ever increasing extreme rainfall – could make them ineffective.
“The [severity of the] flood events is going to increase considerably in the future, so if you keep the flood protections at the same level as they are today, the impacts may become unbearable for societies in Europe,” explains Francesco Dottori of IUSS in Pavia, Italy.
There is of course a clear way to stop these rainfall events from getting ever worse – cutting emissions of planet-warming gases such as carbon dioxide.
“Our simulations show that if you are able to keep future global warming below 1.5C, which is one of the targets of the Paris agreement, then future flood damage will be cut by half compared to the [business as usual] scenario,” Dr Dottori adds.
Otherwise, we know what will happen to these events in the future, Prof Allan says.
“The intensity of rainfall and these weather events will only get worse.”
Map by Muskeen Liddar.
Science & Environment
Bankman-Fried accomplice Caroline Ellison sentenced in FTX fraud
Caroline Ellison, former chief executive officer of Alameda Research LLC, right, arrives at court in New York, US, on Tuesday, Sept. 24, 2024.
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Caroline Ellison, the star witness in the prosecution of her former boyfriend, FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, was sentenced Tuesday in New York federal court to two years in prison and ordered to forfeit $11 billion for her role in the massive fraud and conspiracy that doomed the cryptocurrency exchange once valued at $32 billion.
The prison term was significantly stiffer than the recommendation by the federal Probation Department that Judge Lewis Kaplan sentence Ellison to three years of supervised release, with no time at all behind bars. Ellison’s lawyers also had asked for a no-prison sentence.
Ellison, who had run Alameda Research, a hedge fund connected to FTX, agreed to a plea deal in December 2022, a month after FTX spiraled into bankruptcy.
Ellison, 29, pleaded guilty to conspiracy and financial fraud charges.
Bankman-Fried, in contrast, chose to stand trial and was convicted of all seven criminal fraud charges against him in U.S. District Court in Manhattan.
He was sentenced to 25 years in prison in March and ordered to pay $11 billion in forfeiture.
Bankman-Fried since then has appealed his conviction, and requested a new trial and a different judge, arguing that Kaplan was biased against him.
Late Monday, Ellison’s attorneys in a court filing said they had finalized financial settlements with prosecutors and the FTX debtor’s estate.
Both Bankman-Fried and Ellison had faced the same statutory maximum sentence of about 110 years in prison for their crimes.
But defendants in criminal cases who cooperate with prosecutors instead of fighting the charges particularly in white-collar cases such as FTX, often receive leniency when they are sentenced.
This is breaking news. Check back for updates.
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