Science & Environment
WTI rebounds after steep selloff
U.S. crude oil futures jumped more than 2% on Monday, reclaiming some of the losses from last week’s steep sell-off.
The U.S. benchmark finished last week more than 8% lower as traders increasingly believe Israel-Iran tensions will not lead to an oil supply disruption in the Middle East.
Prices rose Monday after China cut its benchmark lending rate. Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said he remains “fairly bullish” on demand in the world’s second largest economy.
Here are Monday’s energy prices:
- West Texas Intermediate November contract: $70.82 per barrel, up $1.60, or more than 2%. Year to date, U.S. crude is oil has fallen about 1%.
- Brent December contract: $74.50 per barrel, up $1.44, or 2%. Year to date, the global benchmark has declined more than 3%.
- RBOB Gasoline October contract: $2.043 per gallon, up 2.1%. Year to date, gasoline has pulled back nearly 3%.
- Natural Gas October contract: $2.326 per thousand cubic feet, up 3%. Year to date, gas has tumbled more than 7%,
The oil market has shifted focus back to supply and demand fundamentals, with consumption in China softening as supplies are expected to rise.
Morgan Stanley is forecasting a surplus of 1.3 million barrels per day in 2025 as demand in China softens, OPEC plans to bring barrels back to the market in December, and the U.S. continues to produce crude at a strong clip.
Science & Environment
Solving Stephen Hawking’s black hole information paradox has raised new mysteries
In March 1974, Stephen Hawking published the paper that made his name. It contained the revelation that black holes – gravitational giants from which nothing, not even light, can escape – don’t grow and grow until the end of time, but instead slowly shrink as they release particles in a phenomenon now called Hawking radiation.
The implications were mystifying. Hawking’s calculations showed that the radiation should be random, offering no way to predict what types of particles will emerge. The problem was that anything that falls into a black hole contains information – what sorts of particles it is made of, their configurations, their quantum states – and if what comes back out is random, that information is lost forever as soon as the object is sucked in. But physics operates on the idea that, if we know all the information about a system, we can reconstruct its past and predict its future.
Can black holes really do the impossible, destroying anything and everything they pull in? That prospect is called the black hole information paradox. It has occupied physicists for decades, not only because it highlights the profound disconnect between general relativity, Albert Einstein’s theory of gravity, and quantum theory – but also because it offers the hope of a reconciliation.
Now, 50 years after its inception, the paradox is all but solved. And yet physicists aren’t celebrating as you might expect because their solution hasn’t resulted in a long-sought quantum theory of gravity. In many ways, it has only deepened the mystery of what happens inside black…
Science & Environment
Ripple founder has given more than $11.8 million to Harris campaign
Chris Larsen, the co-founder and chairman of Ripple, contributed nearly $9.9 million to Future Forward in September, in addition to more than $800,000 to the Harris Victory Fund, according to FEC data compiled by Breadcrumbs crypto market and blockchain analyst James Delmore and independently verified by CNBC.
Including Larsen’s August contribution of $1 million worth of XRP tokens, the billionaire has given more than $11.8 million to PACs supporting the Harris campaign, making him one of the crypto industry’s largest individual donors this cycle.
Larsen, who’s backed candidates across the aisle the last few years, told CNBC in an interview that his comfort level with Harris comes from conversations he’s had with people inside the campaign and what he’s seen from the vice president since she replaced President Biden at the top of the ticket in July.
It helps that Harris is from the Bay Area.
“She knows people who have grown up in the innovation economy her whole life,” Larsen previously told CNBC. “So I think she gets it at a fundamental level, in a way that I think the Biden folks were just not paying attention to, or maybe just didn’t make the connection between empowering workers and making sure you have American champions dominating their industries.”
Larsen’s affection for the Democratic nominee isn’t new. In February, he gave the maximum personal contribution of $6,600 to Harris (which would cover the primary and general election), about five months before she became the Democratic presidential nominee, FEC filings show. At the same time, he contributed $100,000 to the Harris Action Fund PAC.
Larsen, 64, has a net worth of $3.1 billion, according to Forbes, primarily from his ownership of XRP and involvement in Ripple, which provides blockchain technology for financial services companies.
He’s part of an industry that’s become suddenly prominent in political fundraising, though more heavily in support of Republicans. Nearly half of all the corporate money flowing into the election has come from the crypto industry, according to a recent report from the nonprofit watchdog group Public Citizen.
The Trump PAC has raised about $7.5 million crypto donations since early June.
Fairshake, which is one of the top spending PACs this year, is targeting close House races. The committee gave out nearly $29 million in September.
Of that sum, $20 million went to two affiliated PACs — $15 million to the Defend American Jobs PAC, a single-issue committee focused on cryptocurrency and blockchain policy that’s favored Republicans, and $5 million to Protect Progress, which has only supported Democrats.
The remaining $8.8 million spent by Fairshake last month mostly went to House races in New York, Nevada and California, according to FEC data compiled by crypto market and blockchain analyst James Delmore and verified by CNBC.
Several of those races are considered toss-ups by the Cook Political Report. Among the recipients were Southern California Republicans David G. Valadao and Michael Garcia, who are in tight contests to keep their seats. They’ve received $1.3 million and $1 million, respectively.
For the 2024 cycle, political donations from or supporting the crypto industry reached around $190 million and so far, crypto groups have spent over $130 million of that cash in congressional races for this year’s election, including the primaries.
Science & Environment
The laws of physics appear to follow a mysterious mathematical pattern
A strange pattern running through the equations of physics may reveal something fundamental about the universe or could be a sign that human brains are biased to ignore more complex explanations of reality – or both.
This insight comes from a physicist’s version of Zipf’s law, an observation by linguists that the most common word in a language appears twice as often as the second most common word, three times as often as the third, and so on. In…
Science & Environment
Millions in Cuba remain without power as Hurricane Oscar makes landfall
HAVANA — Millions remained without power in Cuba for a third consecutive day as slow progress is made in restoring electricity following multiple major grid failures.
Power is expected to be restored to everyone on the island by Tuesday, the minister of energy and mines, Vicente de la O Levi, told reporters at a news conference Sunday. The announcement, however, came before the Energy and Mines Ministry reported a fourth grid failure.
Levi warned that even with the power restored, “we will continue to have blackouts because we continue with the lack of fuel.” He said the government is “in conversations” to acquire fuel.
Hurricane Oscar, a Category 1 storm, made landfall on eastern Cuba’s northern coast Sunday evening with sustained winds of 80 mph. The storm could put an end to the power recovery efforts if it affects the plants in its path.
Levi blamed the U.S.’ “brutal blockade” for the financial difficulties in acquiring fuel and spare parts for Cuba’s power plants, as well as for the current electric power crisis. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel and other top leaders have also blamed the U.S. embargo on Cuba.
Cuba’s electric grid collapsed Friday morning, plunging the entire population of 10 million into darkness. As technicians slowly made progress with repairs, a second grid collapse occurred early Saturday, followed by another one late Saturday, as well as the collapse Sunday.
Colombia, Mexico, Venezuela and Russia have offered help, according to Levi, and Cuba remains in communication with their governments.
“The Cuban government has not requested assistance at this time,” a U.S. State Department spokesperson told NBC News in an emailed statement.
“The Unites States obviously is not to blame for today’s blackout on the island, or the overall energy situation in Cuba,” the statement said.
In the statement, the spokesperson blamed Cuba’s economic conditions on “long-term mismanagement of its economic policy and resources,” adding that they have “increased hardships” on the Cuban population.
The spokesperson added that the U.S. “is closely monitoring today’s blackout on the island, and we are concerned about the potential humanitarian impacts on the Cuban people.”
Some protests, or “cacerolazos,” broke out in different parts of the island Saturday night, with people demonstrating by banging on pots. Levi said the protests were “isolated incidences” and called them “incorrect” and “indecent.” Protesting is rare and not usually tolerated in Cuba.
“The people and culture of Cuba are not accustomed to that,” he said about the protests.
In the capital, Havana, with a population of 2 million, power had been restored to 260,000 homes at 3:30 p.m. local time, according to the state-run news site Cuba Debate. But some residents whose power was connected said it was a short while before they lost power again.
Blackouts have been chronic in Cuba for years and have worsened in recent months. The communist-run country’s aging and crumbling infrastructure requires constant maintenance.
In the past, Cuba’s government has cited increasing energy demand and shortages of fuel used to power its plants as causes of constant blackouts. In some provinces outside Havana, many people have grappled with power outages that last up to 20 hours a day.
The supply of oil has been greatly limited since Cuba’s ally and main oil supplier, Venezuela, decreased the shipments it sends to the island. Other countries that have supplied oil in the past, like Russia and Mexico, have also diminished shipments.
Cuba has been in an economic crisis spurred by tightened U.S. sanctions during former President Donald Trump’s administration and the devastating effects the pandemic had on tourism on the island, one of the most lucrative sources of revenue for the government.
The state-dominated economy relies mostly on imports, and with the lack of hard currency, Cubans have been dealing with shortages of food, medicine, water and fuel.
Cuba’s economic crisis has spurred massive migration. Over 1 million people, or 10% of the population, fled the island from 2022 to 2023, according to the country’s national statistics office.
Orlando Matos reported from Havana and Carmen Sesin from Miami.
Science & Environment
Crypto PAC Fairshake targets close House races as election nears end
“Make Bitcoin Great Again” hats displayed for sale at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville, Tennessee, US, on Saturday, July 27, 2024. Former US President Trump used to be a crypto critic but in recent weeks adopted a much friendlier stance alongside the sector’s emergence as an influential player in the 2024 presidential election through big donations to a political action committee.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
With the 2024 election hitting its homestretch, the leading pro-crypto super PAC has funneled a big chunk of its final donations to close House races as part of an effort to push candidates favorable to the group’s agenda over the top.
Fairshake, which has been one of the top spenders across any industry this election cycle, doled out nearly $29 million in September, according to Federal Election commission data released to the public on Sunday. Of that sum, $20 million went to two affiliated PACs — $15 million to the Defend American Jobs PAC, a single-issue committee focused on cryptocurrency and blockchain policy that’s favored Republicans, and $5 million to Protect Progress, which has only supported Democrats.
The remaining $8.8 million spent by Fairshake last month mostly went to House races in New York, Nevada and California, according to FEC data compiled by crypto market and blockchain analyst James Delmore and verified by CNBC.
Several of those races are considered toss-ups by the Cook Political Report. Among the recipients were Southern California Republicans David G. Valadao and Michael Garcia, who are both in tights contests to keep their seats. They’ve received $1.3 million and $1 million, respectively.
“The Fairshake donations to the California candidates in toss-up districts are important not only to get pro-crypto candidates elected in House seats that could go either way, but also because a lot of crypto companies are still located in California,” Delmore said. “California needs all of the pro-crypto politicians they can get.”
Additionally, Fairshake gave more than $1.9 million to Rep. Patrick Ryan (D-NY), over $1.7 million to Rep. Steven Horsford (D-Nev.) and almost $1 million to Rep. Angela Dawn Craig (D-Minn.). The remaining cash went to a mix of candidates in Illinois, Colorado, Oregon, Iowa and Arkansas.
Of the House donations, $6.2 million went to Democratic candidates and $2.3 million to Republicans. In the September window, Protect Progress gave more than $10 million apiece to Democrats running for Senate in Arizona and Michigan.
For the 2024 cycle, political donations from or supporting the crypto industry reached around $190 million, with contributions coming from some of the biggest names in the sector. A report from Public Citizen in August found that crypto companies have accounted for nearly half of all donations made by corporations this election cycle.
Crypto groups have spent over $130 million in congressional races for this year’s election, including the primaries, according to FEC data.
Delmore told CNBC that donations to Fairshake have been tepid the last few months.
In September, the group added around $1.1 million, with $800,000 coming from crypto firm Consensys, which was sued by the SEC in June, and $1,000 from Moonsong Labs CEO Derek Yoo.
In total, Fairshake has raised more than $160 million and disbursed over $37 million to support House candidates and to run ads opposing Democrat Katie Porter, who lost in the California Senate primary. More than $84 million was transferred to Fairshake’s affiliate PACs.
WATCH: Crypto PAC money backs Utah Senate candidate and others across U.S.
Science & Environment
Scientists say they’ve made a breakthrough in efforts to bring back the extinct Tasmanian tiger
It’s been decades since Australia’s thylacine, known as the Tasmanian tiger, was declared extinct and scientists say they’ve made a breakthrough as they research ways to bring back the carnivore.
Colossal Biosciences in a Thursday press release said its reconstructed thylacine genome is about 99.9% complete, with 45 gaps that they’ll work to close through additional sequencing in the coming months. The company also isolated long RNA molecules from a 110-year-old preserved head, which was skinned and kept in ethanol.
“The thylacine samples used for our new reference genome are among the best preserved ancient specimens my team has worked with,” said Beth Shapiro, Colossal’s chief science officer and the director of the UCSC Paleogenomics Lab, where the samples were processed. “It’s rare to have a sample that allows you to push the envelope in ancient DNA methods to such an extent.”
Efforts to bring back the Tasmanian tiger
The preservation of a complete Tasmanian tiger head meant that scientists could study RNA samples from several important tissue areas, including the tongue, nasal cavity, brain and eye. It will allow researchers to determine what a thylacine could taste and smell, along with what type of vision it had and how its brain worked, according to Andrew Park, a member of Colossal’s Scientific Advisory Board and a researcher at the University of Melbourne’s TIGRR Lab.
“We’re getting closer every day to being able to place the thylacine back into the ecosystem – which of course is a major conservation benefit as well,” Pask said.
Pask, speaking with 60 Minutes earlier this year, said researchers were working with the closest living relative of the Tasmanian tiger — a small marsupial called the fat-tailed dunnart — as a way to bring the animal back.
“But that little dunnart is a ferocious carnivore, even though it’s very, very small,” Pask said. “And it’s a very good surrogate for us to be able to do all of this editing in.”
Scientists have been comparing the DNA of the dunnart and the thylacine, Pask told 60 Minutes. From there, it’s a matter of going in and editing the DNA to turn a fat-tailed dunnart cell into a thylacine cell.
Colossal Biosciences on Thursday said it had edited more than 300 unique genetic changes into a dunnart cell, making it “the most edited animal cell to date.”
“We are really pushing forward the frontier of de-extinction technologies,” Pask said, “from innovative ways of finding the regions of the genome driving evolution to novel methods to determine gene function. We are in the best place ever to rebuild this species using the most thorough genome resources and the best informed experiments to determine function.”
Efforts aiding the revival of the Tasmanian tiger are not confined to Australia. Last year, scientists recovered and sequenced RNA from a 130-year-old Tasmanian tiger specimen preserved at room temperature in Sweden’s Museum of Natural History.
How the Tasmanian tiger died off
Thylacines roamed Tasmania for thousands of years. Despite the Tasmanian tiger moniker, the carnivores were marsupials, like kangaroos, koalas and Tasmanian devils.
The local government in the late 1800s paid out bounties to hunters presenting carcasses of Tasmanian tigers because the animals had been eating farmers’ sheep, 60 Minutes previously reported. By the mid-1930s, the Tasmanian tiger population had dwindled to a single thylacine at the Beaumaris Zoo in Hobart, Tasmania’s capital. It died there in 1936.
Australia has similarly allowed the culling of Kangaroos, approving the deaths of thousands of kangaroos over the years. Officials have said the kangaroo population was eating through grassy habitats of endangered species. Officials have also warned in the past that there isn’t enough food available to sustain large kangaroo populations.
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