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Timestamps:
0:00 – intro
0:09 – Fear & Manipulation
0:42 – Bottom
1:25 – huge mispricing
3:18 – Epstein Link
3:49 – What comes next?
6:15 – Ethereum is bullish?
7:43 – Trade & get $10k sign-up bonus
8:21 – Cathie Wood on BTC, ETH, & SOL

**Note: My overall opinion is that the name of the game is to accumulate as much Bitcoin as possible. Alts are interesting but a lot more speculative. I use them to accumulate more Bitcoin & Ethereum.

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***NOT FINANCIAL, LEGAL, OR TAX ADVICE! JUST OPINION! I AM NOT AN EXPERT! I DO NOT GUARANTEE A PARTICULAR OUTCOME I HAVE NO INSIDE KNOWLEDGE! YOU NEED TO DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS! THIS IS JUST EDUCATION & ENTERTAINMENT! USE ALTCOIN DAILY AS A STARTING OFF POINT!

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Most of my crypto portfolio is Bitcoin, then Ethereum, but I hold many cryptocurrencies, possibly ones discussed in this video.

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Where does Bitcoin find its bottom? This past week we’ve seen a significant Bitcoin selloff with BTC crashing from $97K to $66K in just a few weeks. So how far will Bitcoin drop? Today I’m covering my thoughts on the latest Bitcoin and Crypto market crash, key price levels I’m watching, and I’ll share why I plan on buying the fear.
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—————————————————–
Chapters
00:00 Bitcoin crash intro + what we’ll cover
01:38 Why I’m calm: bear markets are the best allocation window
02:25 Macro setup: liquidity and why BTC is decorrelating
04:45 TGA explains the liquidity drain
07:13 Midterm elections + tariff dividend timing (why chop lasts)
15:18 Fed balance sheet into April + new Fed Chair uncertainty (May 15)
21:27 Cycle timing: when a bear market typically bottoms
24:39 Midterm-year analogs: 2014 / 2018 / 2022 bottom behavior
28:40 What changed: BTC vs gold correlation break (10/10/2025)
33:31 Bottom levels: prior ATH (~65k) and 200-week SMA (~58k)
40:35 Tail risk: capitulation scenario (40k) vs just buying 58k
44:04 Plan: buy spot into 58k zone + closing thoughts
—————————————————–
📜 Disclaimer 📜

The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial, legal, or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses a considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.

#btc #bitcoinnews #bitcoincrash #cryptocrash #eth #ethereum #solana #sol #bitcoin #crypto #altcoins #memecoins #cryptoinvesting #cryptotrading #personalfinance #money #investing #finance #cryptonews #virtualbacon #xrp

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In this value-packed episode, we are joined with Peeyush Chitlangia from @FinShiksha to give a practical walkthrough of how financial modeling works — from forecasting Maruti Suzuki’s revenue to linking balance sheets, P&L, and cash flow statements. Learn how to source real data, make correct assumptions, and use Excel to model company performance and valuation.

The conversation also sheds light on how financial modeling acts as a non-negotiable skill for roles in equity research, PE/VC, and investment banking, and how professionals from diverse backgrounds (CAs, MBAs, engineers) can master it and command top salaries. From job market realities to projection techniques, this is a must-watch for every finance aspirant.

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Timestamp:
00:00 Intro
02:05 Financial modeling and its importance
04:55 What’s the average package in financial modeling?
09:40 How a financial model is created
11:41 Maruti financial data model example
25:14 How to predict future revenue
44:45 5-year revenue projection of Maruti
56:25 How the range affects future revenue
1:10:19 How to calculate the valuation of a company
1:18:29 What is capital work in progress?
1:30:00 Why does a company borrow?
1:59:53 Common mistakes in a balance sheet
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2:30:49 Cash flow statement of Maruti
2:52:48 College incident during financial modeling classes
2:54:20 Want to learn financial modeling in depth?

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Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code GRAHAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/graham | Let’s talk about Bitcoin, why the price is falling, and what this means for the future – Enjoy! Add me on Instagram: GPStephan

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BITCOIN REALITY CHECK
After being the best-performing asset of 2024 and the last decade, Bitcoin is now down roughly 45% from its all-time high. Liquidations are wiping out leveraged investors, sentiment has flipped fast, and even the largest holders are sitting on paper losses.

THIS SELLOFF IS NOT RANDOM
The decline is being driven by a mix of macro and structural forces rather than retail panic. Investors are moving risk-off as valuations across markets remain stretched, interest rates stay higher for longer, and speculative assets lose appeal. Bitcoin, which benefited from optimism and liquidity, is now behaving like a leveraged risk asset rather than a defensive hedge.

A STRONGER DOLLAR IS A PROBLEM FOR BITCOIN
Bitcoin is often bought as protection against inflation and money printing. When the U.S. dollar strengthens, that narrative weakens. As the dollar gains purchasing power, demand for alternative stores of value drops, putting additional pressure on Bitcoin prices.

ETFs ARE ACCELERATING THE DOWNSIDE
Bitcoin ETFs amplify both rallies and crashes. When money flows in, ETFs buy Bitcoin and push prices higher. When investors exit, ETFs are forced to sell Bitcoin, pushing prices lower and triggering a feedback loop. This creates faster, more aggressive drawdowns than in prior cycles.

THE GOOD NEWS IS ALREADY PRICED IN
Much of the bullish narrative has already played out. ETF approvals, regulatory optimism, and expectations of easy money are no longer new catalysts. At the same time, regulatory uncertainty and political risk remain, limiting upside enthusiasm and reducing speculative demand.

CONFIDENCE IN BITCOIN’S ROLE IS FADING
Bitcoin has not reliably acted as a hedge during market stress. While gold surged, Bitcoin fell, leading many investors to question its role in a portfolio. Analysts increasingly describe the selloff as a loss of conviction rather than a one-off shock.

THE CORE RISKS ARE REAL
Critics like Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger argue Bitcoin produces no cash flow, has no intrinsic yield, and relies purely on someone else paying more. Others warn it could eventually become obsolete or heavily regulated. These criticisms explain why Bitcoin remains highly speculative, regardless of past performance.

BUT OPINIONS HAVE SHIFTED OVER TIME
Some former skeptics now acknowledge Bitcoin’s potential as a financial instrument, while prominent bulls still project massive long-term upside. The divide highlights the uncertainty. Bitcoin’s future depends on adoption, regulation, and relevance within a changing financial system.

HISTORY SHOWS EXTREME VOLATILITY IS NORMAL
Bitcoin has repeatedly fallen 50–90% before recovering. These cycles follow a familiar pattern: hype, parabolic growth, collapse, long periods of boredom, then renewed interest. Past recoveries do not guarantee future ones, but they explain why extreme drawdowns are not unusual.

MICHAEL SAYLOR AND QUANTUM FEARS ARE OVERSTATED
MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings are funded largely through long-term convertible debt, not margin loans, making forced liquidation unlikely. Quantum computing remains a theoretical risk far in the future, and Bitcoin could adapt long before it becomes a real threat.

A RATIONAL APPROACH TO BITCOIN
The most disciplined strategy is small position sizing, long-term thinking, and emotional control. Overconfidence, greed, fear, and regret are the biggest threats to returns. Bitcoin can offer asymmetric upside, but only if losses are survivable and expectations are realistic.

THE BOTTOM LINE
Bitcoin is not dead, but it is not a safe haven or a shortcut to wealth. It is a volatile, speculative asset with no guarantees. Discipline matters more than conviction, position size matters more than predictions, and patience matters more than timing. If it succeeds, the upside can be meaningful. If it fails, the damage should be contained. That balance is how investors stay in the game long enough for any outcome to matter.

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Bitcoin tumbled below $61,000, as the unwinding of leveraged bets and broader market turbulence deepened a selloff that has wiped out all of the gains since President Donald Trump’s election set off a speculative rush into cryptocurrencies.

The token sank as much as 4.8% to $60,033 in early Asia trade Friday, extending a sharp selloff to plunge to its lowest since October 2024. The rout has erased half of Bitcoin’s value since it reached a record four months ago and has spread to other tokens, related ETFs and companies like Strategy Inc. that hold vast sums of coins.

#bitcoin #crypto #trump

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“Tahun depan aku nak simpan RM10k!” Tapi baru bulan Mac, planner dah berhabuk, duit simpanan pula dah jadi tiket flight atau sport rim baru. Bunyi macam familiar?

Masalahnya bukan azam tu tak logik, tapi korang yang tak ada sistem. Korang terlalu bergantung pada ‘semangat’ atau ‘willpower’ yang sebenarnya macam bateri telefon – pagi penuh, petang dah kong

Dalam episod ni, kita akan bedah kenapa azam korang selalu gagal setiap tahun dan kenapa korang patut berhenti fokus pada ‘Garis Penamat’ dan mula fokus pada ‘Sistem’

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Penafian: Segala kandungan yang dikongsi adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja dan tidak boleh dianggap sebagai nasihat kewangan. Sebarang keputusan pelaburan adalah tanggungjawab anda sendiri dan perlu dibuat berdasarkan situasi kewangan peribadi anda. Saya tidak bertanggungjawab atas sebarang kesilapan, peninggalan atau akibat daripada penggunaan kandungan ini, termasuk komen atau tindakan pihak ketiga di platform ini. Segala pandangan yang dikemukakan adalah pandangan peribadi saya semata-mata.

00:00 Intro
01:41 Goal Fatigue
03:00 Kekurangan Willpower
04:05 Change your system
05:16 Atomic Habits
06:18 Focus on the identity
07:44 Conclusion
09:07 Penutup

#financialfaiz #newyear #azamtahunbaru #kewangan

Kenapa azam tahun baru selalu gagal?

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