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Stablecoin Uncertainty Could Hit Banks More Than Crypto Firms

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Regulatory ambiguity around stablecoins is constraining traditional banks from fully deploying their digital-asset infrastructures, even as the industry remains bullish about the potential to streamline payments and treasury operations. Industry observers say banks have already invested heavily in the rails needed to support tokenized money, but official classifications—whether stablecoins are treated as deposits, securities, or a distinct payment instrument—continue to hold back scale. Colin Butler, executive vice president of capital markets at Mega Matrix, argues that the hesitation is real: without clear guidance, counsel and boards hesitate to authorize large capital expenditures for infrastructure that might have to be rebuilt in response to evolving rules.

The reality on the ground is nuanced. Several heavyweight banks have already laid down significant groundwork. JPMorgan has advanced its Onyx blockchain payments network, a pathway for faster, blockchain-enabled transfers. BNY Mellon has rolled out digital asset custody services, signaling a move toward custody-ready digital money. Citigroup has tested tokenized deposits, a step toward integrating digital representations of cash into traditional banking workflows. Yet even with this progress, the broad deployment of these systems across the balance sheet remains tempered by the regulatory fog over classification and treatment of stablecoins. As Butler notes, “the infrastructure spend is real, but regulatory ambiguity caps how far those investments can scale because risk and compliance functions will not greenlight full deployment without knowing how the product will be classified.”

Beyond the bank wall, the broader market continues to reflect the tension between stablecoin infrastructure investment and regulatory clarity. The article’s context notes that stablecoins remain the backbone of a growing segment of digital payments, with ongoing attention from policymakers and industry groups about how to codify their use in everyday commerce. Among the tangible signals cited are the large-scale efforts by institutions to build the rails that would support stablecoins, juxtaposed with the lack of a final decision on their status—that is, whether they should be treated as deposits, as securities, or as a new category altogether. In the meantime, the industry’s posture remains one of cautious progress rather than wholesale transformation.

On the macro side, executives and analysts point to a persistent yield gap between stablecoins and traditional bank deposits. The article highlights that exchanges commonly offer roughly 4%–5% yields on stablecoin balances, while a typical U.S. savings account yields less than 0.5%. That divergence matters because it shapes deposit flows and risk appetite. The historical reference to the 1970s—when investors rotated into money market funds in search of higher yields—serves as a reminder that capital can be nimble when returns are attractive enough and the transfer process is frictionless. Today, the transfer from a bank account to a stablecoin wallet can be completed in minutes, amplifying any yield-driven migration across the ecosystem. Still, observers caution against expecting a sudden, destabilizing wave of deposits. Fabian Dori, chief investment officer at Sygnum, cautions that trust, regulation, and operational resilience remain prerequisites for large-scale shifts, even as the yield differential creates meaningful competitive pressure.

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As regulators weigh policy options, one potential consequence is a shift toward alternative structures that aim to preserve yield even when stablecoins themselves face tighter rules. The article discusses synthetic dollar tokens and derivatives-based yield mechanisms as possible complements or substitutes for traditional stablecoins. Ethena’s USDe, for instance, is cited as a product that can generate yield through derivatives markets rather than through traditional reserves. If policymakers tighten the no-yield rules for stablecoins, some market participants might gravitate toward these more opaque, offshore-style structures. Butler warns that such a shift could have the opposite of the intended effect: capital seeking returns may migrate to less-regulated spaces, potentially diminishing consumer protections in the process. The dynamics imply that regulators must weigh not only the benefits of limiting certain activities but also the possibility that overreach could inadvertently channel funds into riskier, harder-to-track corners of the market.

Key takeaways

  • Banks have built significant stablecoin infrastructure, but deployment is throttled by unresolved regulatory classifications that block full-scale capital expenditure.
  • Major financial institutions have progressed in tokenized money workflows (Onyx by JPMorgan, digital asset custody by BNY Mellon, and tokenized deposits explored by Citi), signaling readiness to scale pending rules.
  • The yield gap between stablecoins and bank deposits could incentivize faster deposit migration, particularly among corporates and fintechs, if risk controls remain manageable.
  • Policy moves to restrict yields could unintentionally drive activity into less-regulated or offshore structures unless safeguards are strengthened.
  • As the debate evolves, the most consequential outcomes will hinge on how regulators articulate the treatment of stablecoins and related digital assets within the existing financial framework.

Tickers mentioned: $USDC

Market context: The debate over stablecoin classification sits at a crossroads of regulation, institutional treasury strategy, and crypto-market liquidity. With banks edging toward production-ready digital rails but awaiting a definitive policy framework, market participants are watching how policy shapes the economics of stablecoins and their utility in everyday payments.

Why it matters

The central question is whether stablecoins can function as bridges between fiat and digital cash within a regulated banking system. If policymakers settle on a formal, bank-like treatment—as deposits or a payment instrument—banks could deploy full-scale digital-cash rails, reducing settlement times, lowering counterparty risk, and enabling more efficient treasury operations. The potential for widespread adoption could reshape wholesale payments and cross-border settlement, offering a path to faster, cheaper, and more auditable transfers.

At the same time, the industry faces the risk that overly restrictive interpretations could dampen innovation or push activity into less transparent channels. The interplay between regulation and technology will likely define whether stablecoins act as productive digital cash or remain a niche instrument for speculative trading and yield optimization. For users and builders, the key takeaway is that the value of stablecoins in the real economy depends on a clear, risk-balanced framework that preserves consumer protections while enabling scalable infrastructure.

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For bankers, the alignment of regulatory expectations with practical deployment is a gauge of whether digital assets become a mainstream tool for corporate treasuries and consumer payments. If the rules cohere with how banks already operate—risk controls, capital requirements, and compliance protocols—the adoption curve could accelerate. If not, the industry may endure a bifurcated market in which banks proceed cautiously while crypto-native firms continue to operate under a lighter regulatory regime.

What to watch next

  • Regulatory proposals or legislation clarifying how stablecoins will be classified and treated for capital, deposits, and securities.
  • Announcements from major banks on scaled deployments of Onyx-like rails or custody services as guidance becomes clearer.
  • Any shifts in yield restrictions or supervisory expectations that could influence stablecoin issuer strategies and investor behavior.
  • Emergence of synthetic-dollar products or derivatives-driven yield mechanisms and how regulators respond to these alternatives.
  • Broader adoption signals from corporates and fintechs evaluating stablecoin-based treasury solutions or payment rails.

Sources & verification

  • Colin Butler, executive vice president of capital markets at Mega Matrix, comments on regulatory ambiguity and bank deployment constraints.
  • JPMorgan’s Onyx payments network development and its role in supporting stablecoin infrastructure.
  • BNY Mellon’s digital asset custody services and the OpenEDEN initiative for tokenized assets.
  • Citi’s SDX tokenization efforts for private markets and related pilot programs.
  • Notes on the yield differential between stablecoins (4%–5%) and traditional bank deposits (<0.5% on average savings accounts).

Regulatory uncertainty and the bank-stablecoin battleground

Regulatory clarity remains the linchpin for accelerating or curbing the evolution of stablecoins in the banking system. Banks have signaled readiness by building the infrastructure to support faster settlement, improved liquidity management, and more versatile treasury operations. Yet without a concrete policy framework, risk and compliance teams cannot greenlight expansive deployment. The balance sheet implications—capital requirements, risk-weightings, and liquidity rules—depend on how regulators categorize these digital currencies. If stablecoins are designated as a form of payment instrument, banks could treat them similarly to short-term cash equivalents. If they are securities, the implications would shift toward investor protection and custody standards. A distinct category might offer a hybrid path but would require new supervisory guidance. In practice, the industry is waiting for a decision that could unlock or constrain tens of billions in investment that have already been mobilized toward digital-asset rails.

Meanwhile, market participants are testing the waters with what is already permissible. JPMorgan’s Onyx initiative demonstrates how far large institutions have progressed in integrating blockchain-enabled transfers into mainstream banking workflows. BNY Mellon’s digital custody ventures underscore the demand for secure, regulated storage of tokenized assets. Citi’s exploration of tokenized deposits signals a broader interest in tokenized cash within the regulated banking ecosystem. Taken together, these signals show that the infrastructure is not theoretical: it exists and is ready for scale, contingent on regulatory clarity.

As the debate continues, the risk-reward calculus for banks hinges on whether yields in the stablecoin space can be managed alongside traditional cash-management objectives and risk controls. If policymakers move toward a framework that favorably accommodates stablecoins as digital cash or as a permissible payment instrument, the banking sector could accelerate collaboration with crypto-native entities to deliver faster, cheaper, and more auditable payment flows. If, however, the rules dampen commercial incentives or impose heavy restrictions on yield and liquidity management, the incentive to invest in these rails could wane, slowing the migration of treasury functions to digital assets. In that scenario, crypto-native platforms may continue to operate under different risk regimes, while banks maintain a cautious stance until policy aligns with their risk appetite and capital planning. The stakes are high because the outcome will shape not only the speed of adoption but also the degree to which the broader financial system embraces or resists tokenized money as a core component of modern finance.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Remittix Has Real Utility As Dogecoin & Pepe Traders Snap Up $RTX Tokens As Presale Set To End

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Remittix Has Real Utility As Dogecoin & Pepe Traders Snap Up $RTX Tokens As Presale Set To End

Capital rotation is becoming increasingly visible across the meme coin sector as traders reassess where the next major opportunities may emerge. Dogecoin remains far below its 2021 peak, still trading near the $0.09 level after losing more than 75% of its all-time high value. Pepe is facing similar pressure, with recent market activity highlighting that PEPE continues to trade deep below its previous highs as sentiment across meme tokens cools.

As volatility continues to shake confidence in purely momentum-driven assets, many investors are beginning to look toward projects built around real-world utility. One project drawing increasing attention is Remittix, whose RTX token is currently in the final stage of its presale. With a live PayFi platform targeting the $50 billion global remittance fee market and only $6 million remaining in the current allocation, the shift in investor focus is becoming more noticeable. Here’s how Dogecoin, Pepe, and Remittix currently compare as the market narrative begins to evolve.

Dogecoin: Bearish Structure Despite Whale Accumulation

The Dogecoin price opened 2026 around $0.118 and has since fallen to about $0.095 in an extended downtrend that began after DOGE failed to get back above $0.25 in early 2025. Technical indicators are still bearish. 19 of 28 signals are flashing red and the Fear and Greed Index for Dogecoin price movement is at 18.

There are counterpoints. Whales purchased 1.7 billion DOGE worth $285 million in early March, and analyst Javon Marks has identified a bullish reversal on the monthly chart with targets as high as $1.25. The beta launch of X Money on Elon Musk’s platform also briefly lifted the Dogecoin price. But sustained momentum has not followed.

Dogecoin price predictions range from $0.10 to $0.19 and these are conservative scenarios offering limited upside for traders accustomed to parabolic rallies. That tepid outlook is one reason former DOGE holders now buy RTX tokens instead.

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Pepe News: Liquidity Drains as the Meme Fades

The news about Pepe just now proves what many dreaded. PEPE is trading at approximately $0.0000033 which is lower as compared to its highest point of $0.0000280. The market cap has been shrinking to $1.4 billion and 22 out of 30 technical indicators are bearish. Liquidity has been meager with reserved spirit extending to Q4 2025.

Optimistic Pepe news entails long term projections. Changelly is projecting a recovery to $0.0000098 by December 2026 should the conditions improve. CoinPedia expects to get between $0.0000037 and $0.0000073 this year.

But without utility or a revenue model, PEPE remains dependent on social media cycles. That fragility is why Pepe news headlines mention capital rotation into utility tokens and why traders are instead buying RTX tokens as a hedge against meme fatigue.

Remittix: The Utility Play Drawing Meme Coin Profits

While meme-coin speculation continues to dominate social feeds, a growing number of traders are quietly reallocating profits into projects with clearer utility. That shift has become particularly visible among Dogecoin and Pepe holders, many of whom are now accumulating Remittix  as the project’s presale moves toward its closing phase.

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The interest is not purely speculative. Remittix is positioning itself within the rapidly emerging PayFi sector, focusing on infrastructure that allows cryptocurrencies to interact more seamlessly with traditional financial systems. Instead of relying on hype cycles, the platform is designed to enable direct crypto-to-fiat settlement, a function that addresses one of the most persistent frictions in digital asset adoption.

Five Core Remittix features explain why:

  •  Crypto-to-Fiat Bridge Across 30+ Currencies. Users send payments in over 100 cryptocurrencies and recipients receive local bank deposits with same-day processing.
  •  CertiK Grade A Security. Remittix ranks number one among pre-launch tokens on CertiK Skynet with full team verification.
  • Zero Foreign-Exchange Fees. A flat-rate model eliminates the hidden charges that traditional remittance providers depend on.
  • Staking Yields Up to 18% APY. No buy or sell tax on RTX, zero vesting for presale buyers, and tiered staking from 4% to 18%.
  • Confirmed Exchange Listings. BitMart and LBank are locked in, with a third major listing expected at the $30 million milestone.

For traders watching the Dogecoin price stagnate and reading Pepe news about contracting liquidity, the chance to buy RTX tokens represents a fundamentally different proposition.

Remittix Opportunity: Where DOGE and PEPE Stand Today

Analysts have expressed optimism that Dogecoin price may recover if whale accumulation translates into buying pressure, and positive Pepe news could surface if meme sentiment cycles back. But neither asset offers the structural utility that investors increasingly demand.

Investors currently buying RTX tokens are betting on a different thesis: that a working payments platform with audited security and confirmed listings will outperform speculation over the medium term. With the presale in its final stage, a limited-time 15% affiliate bonus paid in USDT and claimable every 24 hours, gives participants an additional reason to act before the window closes.

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Discover the future of PayFi with Remittix by checking out their project here:

Website: https://remittix.io/

Socials: https://linktr.ee/remittix


Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.

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Analysts weigh in on Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan’s $1 million bitcoin call

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Analysts weigh in on Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan’s $1 million bitcoin call

Bitcoin could eventually reach $1 million per coin if it captures a larger share of the global store-of-value market currently dominated by gold and government bonds, according to Bitwise Asset Management CIO Matt Hougan.

In a report earlier this week, Hougan said bitcoin’s long-term upside depends less on short-term market cycles and more on how much of the world’s wealth preservation market the cryptocurrency absorbs over time.

“One million sounds crazy,” said Hougan. “It implies bitcoin will rise 14x from today’s price.”

He pointed to several factors supporting that forecast, among them the rapid growth of the global store-of-value market, including gold, government bonds and other defensive assets, which has expanded from roughly $2.5 trillion in 2004 to nearly $40 trillion today. Bitcoin currently represents only about 4% of that market by value.

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If the largest cryptocurrency were to capture roughly half of that market under current conditions, its price could approach that $1 million mark within roughly a decade, Hougan said. If the broader store-of-value market continues expanding, bitcoin would require a smaller share to reach that level.

The $1 million price fixation

The $1 million forecast has become a recurring theme across the crypto industry. President Donald Trump’s son Eric recently doubled down on his $1 million BTC call. In August, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said bitcoin could reach that price by 2030.

Jack Dorsey, who ran X (formerly Twitter) until 2021 and co-founded payments firm Block (formerly Square), said bitcoin could reach $1 million in five years. Arthur Hayes, former BitMEX CEO, believes it could come as soon as 2028. Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest projected that bitcoin could reach $3.8 million by the end of the decade. Bernstein in 2024 forecast $1 million by 2033.

So why has the $1 million target become such a widely cited benchmark for bitcoin? CoinDesk asked several market analysts.

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“It’s a clean headline and shorthand for the idea that Bitcoin could rival gold as a store of value. The exact number matters less than the share of global wealth Bitcoin captures,” said Mati Greenspan, market analyst and Quantum Economics founder.

For Jason Fernandes, also a market analyst and an AdLunam co-founder, the milestone is more psychological than a precise valuation target, reflecting the belief that bitcoin could ultimately win the store-of-value debate.

However, he also believes part of the narrative is driven by marketing dynamics. “Some of the narrative is promotional because round numbers travel well and align with holder incentives,” Fernandes said, though he added that the underlying thesis is not purely hype.

“I think many investors make a ‘static denominator’ mistake, valuing bitcoin against today’s store-of-value market instead of a much larger future one,” he said.

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For Fernandes, the real question is not whether $1 million bitcoin is theoretically possible, but whether institutional adoption compounds long enough to justify that price.

Analysts agree on direction, but not the timeline

Some of the analysts who shared their comments with CoinDesk said Hougan’s projection is plausible over the long term, though most frame it as a decade-scale adoption story rather than a near-term forecast.

“Geopolitical tension strengthens the Bitcoin thesis,” said Greenspan. “In uncertain times, investors look for neutral stores of value, and Bitcoin increasingly sits in that bucket alongside gold.”

Greenspan said the milestone is possible but would likely take a decade or more, requiring continued institutional adoption and broader regulatory clarity.

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Fernandes said Hougan’s argument is essentially a market-share thesis. Bitcoin does not need to replace gold outright, he said; it only needs to capture a portion of a growing global store-of-value market.

“A $1 million bitcoin assumes long-term adoption and market-share gains within the global store-of-value market,” Fernandes said. “It’s a thesis about bitcoin’s end state if it matures into a major global monetary asset.”

Institutional adoption remains the key driver

Hougan has argued that bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins and its decentralized network give it characteristics similar to those of traditional stores of value, such as gold.

Fernandes said the long-term $1 million thesis depends largely on continued institutional adoption and growth in the global store-of-value market.

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“BTC doesn’t need to replace gold or fiat; it only needs to capture about 17% of a projected $121 trillion store-of-value market over the next decade to justify a $1 million price,” Fernandes said.

Greenspan said geopolitical uncertainty could further strengthen bitcoin’s appeal as a neutral asset.

“In uncertain times, investors look for neutral stores of value, and bitcoin increasingly sits in that bucket alongside gold,” he said, though he added that reaching such a valuation would likely take years of sustained adoption.

Nima Beni, founder of Bitlease, said the timeline could accelerate if confidence in traditional financial assets weakens.

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“Bitcoin reaches $1 million when confidence in traditional ‘safe’ assets breaks,” he said, pointing to potential sovereign debt crises or disruptions in the gold market as possible catalysts.

Despite the bullish projections, analysts said bitcoin’s path toward such valuations would depend more on long-term adoption and macroeconomic conditions than on short-term market cycles.

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Draft $5M Deal Linked to Milei’s Libra Promotion Found on Lobbyist’s Phone

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Draft $5M Deal Linked to Milei’s Libra Promotion Found on Lobbyist’s Phone

New forensic findings from the phone of crypto lobbyist Mauricio Novelli have revealed a draft document suggesting a possible $5 million agreement connected to Argentine President Javier Milei’s promotion of the Libra token, according to local media reports.

The document, recovered from Novelli’s iPhone during a judicial investigation into the Libra crypto scandal, outlines a three-part payment structure totaling $5 million. Screenshots of the note surfaced after expert materials held by prosecutor Eduardo Taiano since November were made public, Argentine outlet El Destape reported.

The draft note was reportedly written in English on Feb. 11, 2025, just three days before Milei posted about the Libra token on X. “Hello friends, this is the final agreement discussed with H,” the text begins, which is believed to refer to crypto entrepreneur Hayden Davis.

The document then details the payment structure. “$1.5M of liquid tokens or cash as an advance. $1.5M in liquid tokens or cash = Milei announces on Twitter that his advisor is Hayden Davis/Kelsier/the Davis family. $2M in tokens or cash = contract signed in person with Milei for blockchain/AI consulting for the Argentine government and/or Javier Milei and review with Javier and Karina,” the text reads.

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An excerpt of the draft document. Source: El Destape

Notably, the draft note does not specify who would receive the funds.

Related: Argentina turns up the heat in Libra scandal with sweeping asset freeze

Another note outlines crisis message after scandal

Investigators also recovered a separate note drafted on Feb. 16, 2025, two days after the Libra controversy erupted online. The message appears to outline a public statement intended to calm the situation.

“This is what I want for the tweet. This is the only thing that saves him, me, and us,” the note’s translation from Spanish reads. The draft message then states support for the Libra project while denying any financial involvement and attributing accusations of wrongdoing to political opponents.

Authorities believe the message may have been prepared for Milei to post on social media or reference in an interview, according to local media reports.

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Novelli was in Dallas during the token’s launch. Call records show he communicated with Milei and his sister Karina shortly before and after the president’s social media post about the token. As the controversy spread online, Novelli also held multiple calls with presidential adviser Santiago Caputo while the government managed the crisis.

Related: Argentine exchange Ripio bets on peso stablecoins amid cautious 2026 outlook

Libra hit $4 billion after Milei post before crashing

In February last year, Milei posted on X about the Libra (LIBRA) memecoin, which briefly reached a $4 billion market capitalization before plunging 94% within hours.