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Trillions in options set to expire Friday as quadruple witching tests crypto resilience

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BVIV (TradingView)

On Friday, global markets will face a trillions-of-dollars quarterly derivatives event known as quadruple witching.

The event occurs on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December, when four major types of derivatives expire simultaneously. These include stock index futures, stock index options, single-stock options, and single-stock futures.

Because traders must close, roll or settle these positions simultaneously, trading activity often surges, and price swings can intensify in the traditional markets.

Exact figures for the March 2026 expiry have not yet been published, though recent events illustrate the scale. In March 2025, roughly $4.7 trillion worth of equity and index derivatives expired during the quarterly event. According to TradeStation, that session saw the highest S&P 500 trading volume of the entire year, while other witching days also recorded above-average activity.

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Large expiries like this often force institutions to rebalance portfolios, unwind hedges and adjust risk exposure within a short window. Much of the activity tends to concentrate in the final hour of trading, when liquidity spikes and volatility can increase rapidly.

This quarter’s expiration arrives during an already volatile trading environment. Conflict in the Middle East recently pushed oil prices to $120 per barrel, while gold slipped below $4,600 and bitcoin fell below $69,000. Meanwhile, the VIX volatility index jumped above 35 last week, the highest level in a year, signalling heightened stress in financial markets.

Although quadruple witching originates in traditional finance, it can spill into crypto markets. Bitcoin increasingly trades alongside broader risk assets, meaning sharp moves in equities often ripple into digital markets.

Cole Kennelly, CEO of Volmex Finance, said tomorrow’s event could drive volatility in crypto markets, noting that “quadruple witching could trigger a spike in cross-asset volatility as large derivatives positions expire. This may already be showing up in crypto, with the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility (BVIV) Index trending higher into the event.”

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BVIV (TradingView)
BVIV (TradingView)

How did bitcoin perform on quadruple witching days in 2025

On March 21, bitcoin was slightly down on the day, but the more significant move came later, with prices bottoming a few weeks afterward around $76,000 following the market reaction to President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs.

On June 20, bitcoin declined 1.5% and continued drifting lower, reaching a local bottom near $98,000 just two days later. On September 19, Bitcoin fell over 1% on the day, but the real move unfolded in the following week, with a sharp drop from $177,000 to $108,000. Then, on December 19, bitcoin finished roughly 3% higher at around $85,000, though it remained in a broader drawdown from the October highs.

While price action on the day itself tends to be relatively muted, a consistent pattern of weakness emerges in the days to weeks that follow.

Even if the quad-witching doesn’t add to bitcoin’s volatility on Friday, crypto traders have another event, specifically for digital assets, to keep in mind.
Crypto derivatives face their own major quarterly expiry the week after, on March 27, with $13.5 billion set to expire on Deribit, where positioning points to elevated demand for volatility strategies rather than strong directional bets.

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Crypto World

Can XRP price recover above $1.60 as a bullish reversal pattern forms?

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XRP price has formed an Adam and Eve pattern on the daily chart.

After rallying to a multi-week high of $1.60, XRP price crashed amid a market-wide downtrend triggered by escalating geopolitical and macroeconomic tensions.

Summary

  • XRP fell over 8% from its weekly high to $1.46 amid a broader crypto market downturn driven by geopolitical tensions and hawkish Fed signals.
  • Network fundamentals strengthened, with XRP wallet addresses hitting a record 7.7 million and daily active users rising to a five-week high.
  • Technical indicators point to a potential bullish reversal, with an Adam and Eve pattern forming, though a break below $1.44 could invalidate the setup.

According to data from crypto.news, XRP (XRP) price fell 4.4% over the past 24 hours to $1.46 at the time of writing, extending its losses to over 8% from its weekly high of $1.60.

XRP price dropped amid deteriorating market sentiment for risk assets as Bitcoin fell below the $70,000 support, sparking market concerns of a potential drop to $60,000 next. This occurred as investors turned cautious amid rising oil prices that followed Israel’s drone strike against one of Iran’s largest gas facilities at South Pars.

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The altcoin’s drop also follows bearish macroeconomic signals after the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest speech cast doubt on further interest rate cuts over this year, as the central bank intends to maintain a data-driven approach amid stubbornly sticky inflation.

While the market has not yet recovered from the shock, with the crypto market cap still struggling at the time of writing, a few metrics that have strengthened seem to point to a long-term silver lining for XRP.

Notably, on-chain tracker Santiment recently shared that XRP holders have climbed to a new all-time high of 7.7 million wallets, a sign of growing adoption despite the price volatility. 

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At the same time, daily active addresses on the network have risen to a 5-week high of 46,767 active addresses this week.

Together, these metrics mean the underlying utility and network participation are robust, which could sustain demand once the broader market stabilizes.

As reported by crypto.news earlier, whales have also entered an accumulation phase after months of distribution. Typically, such shifts often precede broader market recoveries as retail investors follow smart money flows.

On the daily chart, XRP price has formed an Adam and Eve pattern, a highly reliable bullish reversal pattern in technical analysis. XRP price touched the neckline of the pattern at $1.60 earlier this week but has since pulled back. A confirmed breakout could spark a massive rally, at least in the short term.

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XRP price has formed an Adam and Eve pattern on the daily chart.
XRP price has formed an Adam and Eve pattern on the daily chart — March 19 | Source: crypto.news

The 20-day SMA appears to be closing in on a bullish crossover with the 50-day SMA. At the same time, the MACD lines have pointed upwards, suggesting that bullish momentum is quietly building beneath the surface.

For now, traders will be keeping an eye on the $1.50 psychological resistance, a break above which could embolden bulls to target a breach of $1.60, which would also confirm the Adam and Eve pattern. The next potential target would be the 100-day SMA at $1.70.

On a bearish note, a drop below $1.44, the 50-day SMA, could invalidate the bullish prediction.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Crypto.com to Cut 12% of Workforce due to Enterprise AI Integration

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Crypto.com to Cut 12% of Workforce due to Enterprise AI Integration

Singapore-headquartered cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com is set to cut up to 12% of its workforce due to company-wide artificial intelligence (AI) integrations, joining a growing list of companies announcing AI-linked mass layoffs, according to the exchange’s founder and CEO, Kris Marszalek.

Crypto.com recently expanded its AI offering and launched the AI agent platform ai.com on Feb. 9, which it positioned as a core business. The company also said it was the first crypto platform to receive the ISO/IEC 42001:2023 certification for AI system management in February.

“We are joining the list of companies integrating enterprise-wide AI,” Marszalek said in a Thursday X post, warning that companies that don’t pivot will fail.

Crypto.com lists around 1,500 employees, meaning that the 12% layoff would affect about 180 staff members. It marks the latest AI-linked large-scale layoff in the crypto and tech space, underscoring concerns over AI replacing more of the human workforce.

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Source: Kris Marszalek

“We are joining the list of companies integrating enterprise-wide AI,” a spokesperson for Crypto.com told Cointelegraph, adding that the layoffs are part of the platform’s plans to “prioritize resources around key growth areas.” The spokesperson declined to comment on the roles that were affected by the layoffs.

Crypto and tech companies stage AI-linked mass layoffs

Other large crypto and tech companies have also announced AI-linked mass layoffs in recent months.

On Monday, blockchain analytics platform Messari announced more staff cuts as part of its pivot to an AI-first company. The company previously laid off roughly 15% of its full-time employees in January 2025 and made a similar workforce reduction in February 2023. 

On Wednesday, the Algorand Foundation, the organization behind Layer-1 blockchain Algorand, also announced a 25% staff reduction, citing macroeconomic uncertainty and the current crypto market slump.

On Feb. 26, Jack Dorsey’s payment company Block announced cutting about 40% of its staff, citing the rapid acceleration of AI. However, some of the 4,000 fired workers have already returned to the company, according to multiple employees who were part of the initial layoffs.

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Related: Nvidia’s Huang: AI will boost jobs as it needs trillions in infrastructure

Large tech companies have also announced AI-linked mass layoffs. On Jan. 27, visual discovery engine Pinterest announced it was cutting up to 15% of its staff to pivot to an AI-centric approach.

On March 11, software company Atlassian announced it was cutting 10% of its staff, or about 1,600 employees, as part of a restructuring to self-fund further AI investments.

Meta, Facebook’s parent company, is also reportedly planning a workforce cut of up to 20%, seeking to enable AI efficiencies and offset the costs of AI infrastructure, insiders familiar with the matter told news outlet Reuters on Saturday.

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