Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Crypto World

Major League Baseball signs prediction markets pacts with CFTC, Polymarket

Published

on

Major League Baseball signs prediction markets pacts with CFTC, Polymarket

The U.S. federal regulator of prediction markets has secured a formal information-sharing arrangement with Major League Baseball in the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s first such deal with a professional sports governing body, according to a Thursday statement.

The “landmark” collaboration will allow the U.S. derivatives regulator to swap information with the organization that oversees professional baseball, even as the CFTC is still immersed in a legal debate with several U.S. state gaming regulators on who should have jurisdiction over bets on sporting events. The new memorandum of understanding will allow the federal agency to get a better handle on shielding the markets and their users from “fraud, manipulation, and other abuses,” according to a statement from CFTC Chairman Mike Selig.

“The MOU is a collaborative step towards promoting the integrity and resilience of the prediction markets relating to professional baseball,” he said.

“Protecting the integrity of the game on the field is our top priority,” MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred said in a Thursday statement. “By engaging in this community, we are able to work together to create clear boundaries with the goal of mitigating risk while providing fan engagement opportunities.

Advertisement

At the same time, popular platform Polymarket announced that MLB had named it the league’s official “exclusive prediction market exchange partner.”

The prediction markets — led by such companies as Polymarket and Kalshi — have erupted into sports, politics and other current events, leaving state and federal regulators trying to address their growing popularity. Though the CFTC had previously resisted the sector’s arrival and challenged some of its activity on legal grounds, the agency’s new management set by President Donald Trump embraced the technology.

To that end, Selig has been waging a rhetorical battle with state regulators, claiming that his agency’s authority supersedes the states’ reach on sports gambling.

Manfred told ESPN he saw the federal regulator having jurisdiction as marking the chief distinction that sets prediction-markets activity apart from state-based sports gambling regulations.

Advertisement

“The fact that you have a federal regulatory scheme makes our life a lot easier as opposed to … take for example, sports betting, where you’re going state by state,” he told the news outlet.

The CFTC is moving forward with its oversight of the sector despite a lack of regulations, which Selig said are coming. Proposing rules to govern prediction markets — a space that overlaps with his wider crypto agenda — is among the chairman’s top agenda items, he’s said.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

Listings And On-Ramps Are Ending, As Intent Protocols Make Access Native

Published

on

Listings And On-Ramps Are Ending, As Intent Protocols Make Access Native

Opinion by: Jason Dominique, co-founder and CEO of ONCHAIN® Labs

For years, whenever we explain what we’re building, the reaction is familiar. There’s curiosity, some skepticism, and then the question that almost always follows:

“If this is such a big problem, why hasn’t it been fixed already?”

The answer is not that the industry failed to notice it, nor that the technology was too immature to address it. Access remained broken because fixing it correctly required rearchitecting how coordination, execution and settlement work together, while leaving it broken was both easier and profitable.

Advertisement

By “access” we mean the path between intent and ownership: the rules, intermediaries and detours that determine whether someone can reach an onchain asset directly or only through a platform that controls the route.

For most of the industry’s history, access has been treated as something users must earn or purchase before participating. Assets must be listed. Wallets must support them.

What began as a pragmatic workaround hardened into a durable economic structure.

If an asset is listed, access is monetized directly. If it isn’t, the native asset required to reach it is still monetized. Either way, the detour pays, regardless of user intent.

Advertisement

In practice, this has created a vast, largely invisible rerouting of value. Today, significant onchain volume is not executed directly against the assets users intend to reach, but is first detoured through intermediary-controlled native assets required to transact on each network.

Access scarcity became an economic artifact

As onchain asset creation accelerated, platforms encountered a real constraint. No exchange, wallet or custodial ramp could realistically surface everything. Scarcity did not appear in liquidity or settlement. It appeared in distribution.

Listings became gates. Routing decisions determined reachability. Once these detours proved profitable, they stopped being temporary.

This was not a moral failure. It was an incentive-driven outcome. Monetizing access required far less coordination, capital and risk than redesigning how users reach onchain assets directly. Once intermediaries realized the detour itself could be priced, there was little reason to remove it, especially when removal required deep architectural changes few teams could afford.

Advertisement

Over time, users were trained to accept the detour as normal. Acquiring intermediary-controlled native assets unrelated to intent. Bridging value across chains. Approving opaque transactions. These steps stopped feeling like friction and started feeling inevitable.

What emerged was an unspoken economic tax on participation, charged not in explicit fees, but in prerequisite assets, extra steps, delayed execution and abandoned intent.

Execution matured but access did not

While access remained economically gated, the execution layer matured rapidly. Automated market makers, permissionless liquidity and composable smart contracts turned execution into a largely solved problem.

These systems were never meant to be destinations. They were plumbing. Early on, interfaces were necessary, so decentralized exchanges became places users “went,” and on-ramps became gateways. Over time, the industry confused those interfaces with the infrastructure itself.

Advertisement

Related: An overview of intent-based architectures and applications in blockchain

That confusion is now unraveling. People are no longer consciously navigating execution venues. Trading increasingly happens inside wallets and applications, with execution abstracted away.

The data reflects this shift. In 2025, the DEX-to-CEX spot volume ratio crossed 21% and peaked above 37% earlier in the year. Centralized platforms still matter, but decentralized execution is becoming the default regardless of where users interact.

As execution fades into the background, the remaining bottleneck becomes impossible to ignore.

Advertisement

Builders are running into a ceiling

For builders, access has quietly become the limiting factor. Reaching users often requires relationships, listing approvals, or forcing users through native assets unrelated to the product’s core value.

This distorts incentives. Innovation slows not because ideas dry up, but because permission becomes the bottleneck. Teams optimize for gatekeepers rather than users. Distribution depends on capital and relationships instead of relevance.

Scale amplifies the problem. Even after issuance slowed in 2025, tens of thousands of tokens continued launching each day. Listing-based access cannot keep up with permissionless creation.

Permissionless issuance paired with permissioned access does not produce open markets. It produces fragmentation.

Advertisement

Access is moving to the transaction layer

The alternative is not another marketplace or aggregator. It is a redefinition of where access lives.

In intent-based and abstracted systems, users express outcomes rather than routes. Transactions dynamically source liquidity, assets and execution at the protocol level. Access stops being something granted by platforms and becomes something enforced by the network itself.

This shift is structural. Solving access at the transaction layer requires deep changes to coordination, execution and settlement, changes that were expensive, risky and slow to implement. That is precisely why monetized detours persisted for so long.

Once access becomes native to the network, the economics of the stack change. Listings lose leverage. Discovery becomes emergent rather than negotiated. Liquidity competes on execution quality rather than placement.

Advertisement

Execution works. Settlement scales. Value moves instantly and globally. The remaining question is whether access continues to be routed through detours users did not choose.

A quiet but irreversible transition

This transition will not arrive with a single protocol launch or headline-grabbing announcement. Systems built on structural friction rarely unwind overnight.

Access is moving closer to execution. When it does, the center of gravity in crypto shifts away from intermediaries and back toward networks.

The change will not be loud. It will be structural. By the time access feels “solved,” the old gates will already be impossible to justify.

Advertisement

Opinion by: Jason Dominique, co-founder and CEO of ONCHAIN® Labs.