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Memecoin crash leads to death threats

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Memecoin crash leads to death threats

Hailey Welch, known as the “Hawk Tuah girl,” recently spoke about the fallout from the failed launch of the “HAWK” memecoin in 2024, which she promoted. 

Summary

  • Hailey Welch was cleared of wrongdoing after promoting HAWK memecoin despite facing backlash and death threats.
  • The HAWK memecoin, valued at $490M, collapsed to $41M in hours, triggering legal action.
  • Despite FBI clearance, Welch faced emotional struggles and continued public criticism after the memecoin’s failure.

Despite cooperating fully with an FBI investigation that cleared her of wrongdoing, Welch faced immense social backlash and personal distress following the memecoin’s collapse.

In December 2024, the HAWK memecoin launched with great fanfare, quickly surging to a market capitalization of over $490 million. However, within hours, the coin’s value dropped sharply, losing over 90% of its value. By the following day, the market cap had fallen to about $41 million. The event was widely described as a rug pull, where investors were left with significant losses.

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Welch, who had publicly promoted the token, said that she was unaware of the technical details behind the launch and had no control over the funds. She added that the financial losses for investors were relatively small, estimating the total at around $200,000. However, the social and emotional toll was much greater.

Following the HAWK memecoin’s collapse, Welch received death threats and experienced heightened public scrutiny. 

“I was starting to get death threats and everything else. People telling me I owe them all this money, and I’m like, ‘I didn’t do this,’” Welch explained

She admitted that the backlash took a significant toll on her mental health, causing her to retreat from social media and try to maintain a low profile for months.

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Welch’s lawyer emphasized that she had fully cooperated with the FBI investigation, which ultimately found no evidence of fraud or intentional wrongdoing on her part. Despite this, the public backlash continued, with many in the crypto community blaming her for promoting the memecoin.

Legal action and public reactions

After the HAWK memecoin’s collapse, an investor lawsuit was filed against the team behind the launch. The lawsuit accused the entities of selling unregistered securities, but Welch was not named as a defendant. The legal action pointed to the alleged mismanagement and fraudulent nature of the memecoin’s promotion.

Despite Welch’s claims of being a victim of the situation, not all observers were sympathetic. Onchain investigator ZachXBT criticized her involvement in the project, stating

“She starts posting about meme coins. The entirety of [crypto Twitter] tells her ‘do not launch a token.’ She launches a memecoin anyway, and after, she blames partners and disappears off social media, with followers losing funds.”

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David Schwartz joins XRP-Solana meme war on X

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Ripple launches Ripple Treasury to help Arc Miner modernize its enterprise cash and digital asset management

Ripple’s CTO emeritus David Schwartz recently engaged in an interesting exchange on X, responding to a post about XRP with a meme and supporting comments. 

Summary

  • David Schwartz responded to Solana with a meme, fueling the ongoing XRP-Solana rivalry.
  • XRP’s integration on Solana through wrapped tokens highlights growing blockchain collaboration.
  • XRP Ledger sees increased activity, but AI tools may cause failed transactions and higher fees.

Meanwhile, the interaction occurred after a statement from Solana Foundation President Lily Liu, which sparked reactions from the crypto community, particularly surrounding the future of blockchain gaming.

The conversation began when Solana’s official X account responded to a tweet from the Solana Foundation President, Lily Liu, who had stated that blockchain gaming was “not coming back.” In response, an X user jokingly announced they were switching chains and asked for a recommendation. Solana’s official account replied, saying, 

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“we hear XRP is nice this time of year.”

This prompted Ripple CTO emeritus David Schwartz to engage with the tweet from XRP-friendly exchange Bitrue. Bitrue had shared Solana’s tweet, and Schwartz responded with a GIF meme saying, “You’re goddamn right,” further fueling the ongoing discussion about XRP and Solana’s relationship. This playful back-and-forth highlighted the ongoing rivalry and camaraderie between the two blockchain ecosystems.

In December 2025, XRP made its way onto the Solana blockchain via Hex Trust’s wrapped XRP (wXRP) token. This move allowed XRP to be traded alongside the Ripple USD stablecoin (RLUSD) on the Solana network, marking a significant step in the collaboration between the two blockchains. The integration also raised curiosity about how these ecosystems could coexist and complement each other.

Schwartz’s response reflects the growing relationship between the two projects. Despite the ongoing competition in the blockchain space, it appears that XRP and Solana are finding ways to collaborate and engage with each other’s communities.

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XRP Ledger activity and AI coding

Meanwhile, XRP Ledger (XRPL) has seen a spike in activity recently, with XRPL validator Vet suggesting that increased use of AI tools and scripts might be contributing to the rise in transactions. While this increase in activity is positive, Vet pointed out that it often results in complex queries or failed transactions, which can overload public infrastructure.

One user experienced a costly mishap, spending over $2,000 in transaction fees due to failed XRP Ledger transactions. Vet cautioned that while AI tools may improve efficiency, users should remain cautious and oversee their transactions to prevent potential issues.

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VanEck reveals Bitcoin’s defensive options market amid price decline

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The chart shows Bitcoin put premiums hitting a record high in January 2026 | Source: Glassnode

VanEck, a prominent investment firm, has observed a shift in the Bitcoin (BTC) options market, highlighting growing defensive positioning from investors. The recent surge in put option demand and the drop in call option premiums signal a cautious outlook for Bitcoin’s price. This trend reflects investor concerns about macroeconomic factors and market volatility.

Summary

  • Bitcoin’s put/call ratio hits 0.84, showing increased demand for downside protection.
  • Put premiums hit record highs, signaling growing caution in the market.
  • Despite price declines, Bitcoin shows signs of stabilization with reduced volatility and leverage.

In early 2026, the Bitcoin options market has shown signs of heightened caution. VanEck’s analysis reveals that the put/call open interest ratio has risen to 0.84, the highest level since June 2021, reflecting stronger demand for downside protection. 

Over the past 30 days, investors spent approximately $685 million on put options, signaling their concern for further price declines. Meanwhile, premiums on call options fell about 12%, to around $562 million, suggesting that bullish sentiment has waned.

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This shift in sentiment coincides with a 19% decline in Bitcoin’s price over the last month. Despite this drop, spot prices have stabilized, and the market has entered a phase of consolidation, with volatility decreasing from 80 to 50. The drop in futures funding rates, which fell from 4.1% to 2.7%, further suggests that leverage in the market has cooled.

The chart shows Bitcoin put premiums hitting a record high in January 2026 | Source: Glassnode
The chart shows Bitcoin put premiums hitting a record high in January 2026 | Source: Glassnode

VanEck’s report indicates that the demand for downside protection is at its highest level in recent cycles. The put premiums relative to spot volume have reached an all-time high, with put premiums three times higher than levels seen during the market stresses of mid-2022. This suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium to hedge against further price drops, signaling a defensive stance.

The options skew, where put options are more expensive than call options, reflects this growing concern. As of March 2026, the cost of protecting against price drops is significantly higher than the cost of betting on price increases, with implied volatility on puts averaging 66, which is 16 points higher than realized volatility. Historically, this type of skew has often been seen before Bitcoin’s price rebounds.

Industry trends and network activity

Despite the heightened caution in the options market, other indicators show that the Bitcoin market is stabilizing. On-chain activity, such as transaction volume and daily active addresses, has declined, reflecting a more subdued speculative environment. However, long-term holder selling seems to be slowing down, which could be a positive sign for the market’s stability.

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Bitcoin’s price recently surged to $70,000 before correcting, indicating potential signs of a cyclical bottom. VanEck’s CEO, Jan VanEck, has suggested that this may signal a recovery for Bitcoin, as the market adjusts to lower volatility and reduced leverage.

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Bitcoin’s Growing US Stocks Correlation Triggers 50% BTC Price Crash Setup

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Bitcoin's Growing US Stocks Correlation Triggers 50% BTC Price Crash Setup

Bitcoin (BTC) erased much of its US-Iran war-driven gains this week, moving back in sync with the broader downtrend in risk assets, mainly US equities.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin’s positive flip in S&P 500 correlation has historically preceded average declines of around 50% since 2018.

  • BTC is exposed to a broader risk-asset sell-off due to rising macro pressure.

As of Sunday, BTC/USD had fallen 5.65% week-to-date to about $68,700, while the S&P 500 (SPX) closed the week down 1.90%.

BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: TradingView

That renewed correlation is now signaling a greater risk of further downside in the Bitcoin market.

BTC drops 50% on average when it starts following stocks

The bearish warning for Bitcoin comes from a weekly correlation metric comparing BTC and the S&P 500 (SPX), the US equity benchmark index.

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As of Saturday, the 20-week rolling correlation between BTC and SPX was 0.13, up from its recent nadir of around -0.5.

BTC/USD weekly chart ft correlation coefficient with SPX. Source: TradingView

Since 2018, such sharp recoveries in BTC-SPX correlation have been preceding broader Bitcoin market declines, averaging at about -50%.

“It is a warning sign that the stock market is going to collapse and take BTC with it,” said analyst Tony Severino.

Source: X

A 50% drop from Bitcoin’s current price would imply a downside target of roughly $34,350 if the historical pattern repeats. Multiple analysts have projected Bitcoin to drop as low as $30,000–$40,000 in 2026.

In 2020 and 2022, Bitcoin’s declines lagged by several months, unfolding after classic “bull traps” in which BTC rallied alongside rising SPX correlation before reversing and wiping out those gains.

Related: Bitcoin options signal fear even as BTC ETF outflows remain relatively low

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Macro conditions, such as elevated oil prices, inflation, and lower odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, support the bearish outlook for Bitcoin and equities over the coming months.

Strategy pause adds to cautious outlook

Bitcoin’s renewed correlation with equities is also coinciding with a pause in corporate accumulation.

Strategy (MSTR), one of the largest Bitcoin holders, hasn’t bought BTC via the sales of its STRC preferred stock this week, according to data resource STRC.LIVE.

Strategy’s BTC purchase in the week ending March 22. Source: STRC.LIVE

Its last acquisition, announced March 16, added 22,337 BTC worth $1.57 billion, bringing total holdings to 761,068 BTC. Bitcoin rallied by around 10.50% in the same period, beating US stocks.

Strategy’s STRC-fueled buying helped support Bitcoin’s rally during the US–Iran war. With no fresh purchases this week, BTC is more exposed to the potential sell-off in stocks.

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