Connect with us

Crypto World

What Is the Most Likely Scenario for BTC After Crash to $74K?

Published

on

What Is the Most Likely Scenario for BTC After Crash to $74K?

Bitcoin’s recent sell-off has stalled after reaching a critical demand zone around $74K, opening the door for short-term consolidation. While downside pressure has eased for now, the broader structure suggests that a corrective rebound followed by a pullback into internal supply zones remains likely, allowing the market to cool off before its next decisive move.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, Bitcoin remains under notable selling pressure after a sharp decline into the $74K demand zone. This area coincides with a major weekly swing low, reinforcing its importance as a key defensive level for buyers.

Just below this support lies a significant liquidity cluster composed largely of long liquidation levels. The price behavior around this region is critical in defining the next market phase. A decisive bearish breakdown would likely trigger another wave of sell-side expansion, sweeping additional long positions.

However, from a short-term perspective, consolidation followed by a bullish retracement toward the lower boundary of the previously broken wedge, around the $90K region, appears to be the more probable scenario.

Advertisement

BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart

A closer look at the 4-hour chart indicates that BTC has likely entered a consolidation phase around the $73K area. Following strong impulsive declines, markets typically transition into a corrective range to absorb selling pressure and rebuild momentum.

In this context, Bitcoin appears positioned for a short-term range-bound move, with a potential pullback toward the internal supply zones located around $83K and $89K. Until a clear breakout occurs, price action is expected to remain confined within the $73K–$89K range, with the next directional move hinging on how the market reacts at these key levels.

Sentiment Analysis

The liquidation heatmap reveals a well-defined liquidity cluster below the recent market low, with the densest concentration extending toward the $70K region. This zone represents a large pocket of resting leverage, primarily tied to vulnerable long positions. In bearish or risk-off environments, such liquidity pools often act as magnetic targets, as price tends to seek areas where forced liquidations can provide the necessary liquidity for larger market participants.

Although the recent decline has already triggered a long liquidation cascade, the heatmap suggests that downside liquidity has not yet been fully cleared. After a brief thinning of liquidity below current price levels, leverage builds significantly closer to $70K, increasing the probability of a deeper sweep in the mid-term. Should price remain weak and fail to reclaim higher liquidity zones above, this lower cluster may ultimately act as an absorption area, where sell-side pressure is met by stronger bid interest, potentially stabilizing price following the drawdown.

Advertisement

SPECIAL OFFER (Exclusive)

SECRET PARTNERSHIP BONUS for CryptoPotato readers: Use this link to register and unlock $1,500 in exclusive BingX Exchange rewards (limited time offer).

Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

Pumpfun Unveils Investment Arm and $3 Million Hackathon

Published

on

Pumpfun Unveils Investment Arm and $3 Million Hackathon


PUMP rallied as much as 10% but erased its gains as crypto markets dipped.

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Spot Bitcoin ETF AUM Hits Lowest Level Since April 2025

Published

on

Spot Bitcoin ETF AUM Hits Lowest Level Since April 2025

Assets in spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs slipped below $100 billion on Tuesday following a fresh $272 million in outflows.

According to data from SoSoValue, the move marked the first time spot Bitcoin ETF assets under management have fallen below that level since April 2025, after peaking at about $168 billion in October

The drop came amid a broader crypto market sell-off, with Bitcoin sliding below $74,000 on Tuesday. The global cryptocurrency market capitalization fell from $3.11 trillion to $2.64 trillion over the past week, according to CoinGecko.

Altcoin funds secure modest inflows

The latest outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs followed a brief rebound in flows on Monday, when the products attracted $562 million in net inflows.

Advertisement

Still, Bitcoin funds resumed losses on Tuesday, pushing year-to-date outflows to almost $1.3 billion, coming in line with ongoing market volatility.

Spot Bitcoin ETF flows since Jan. 26, 2026. Source: SoSoValue

By contrast, ETFs tracking altcoins such as Ether (ETH), XRP (XRP) and Solana (SOL) recorded modest inflows of $14 million, $19.6 million and $1.2 million, respectively.

Is institutional adoption moving beyond ETFs?

The ongoing sell-off in Bitcoin ETFs comes as BTC trades below the ETF creation cost basis of $84,000, suggesting new ETF shares are being issued at a loss and placing pressure on fund flows.

Market observers say that the slump is unlikely to trigger further mass sell-offs in ETFs.

“My guess is vast majority of assets in spot BTC ETFs stay put regardless,” ETF analyst Nate Geraci wrote on X on Monday.

Advertisement
Source: Nate Geraci

Thomas Restout, CEO of institutional liquidity provider B2C2, echoed the sentiment, noting that institutional ETF investors are generally resilient. Still, he hinted that a shift toward onchain trading may be underway.

Related: VistaShares launches Treasury ETF with options-based Bitcoin exposure

“The benefit of institutions coming in and buying ETFs is they’re far more resilient. They will sit on their views and positions for longer,” Restout said in a Rulematch Spot On podcast on Monday.

“I think the next level of transformation is institutions actually trading crypto, rather than just using securitized ETFs. We’re expecting the next wave of institutions to be the ones trading the underlying assets directly,” he noted.