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Bitcoin Hovers Around $69,000 as Trump’s Iran Deadline Looms

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BTC Chart

Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their strongest daily inflows since February on Monday despite ongoing geopolitical tensions.

Crypto markets retreated on Tuesday as President Donald Trump’s self-imposed deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz drew closer, dampening risk appetite across global markets.

Bitcoin is trading at $69,200, according to CoinGecko, recovering from an intraday dip below $68,000 but still well off Monday’s brief push above $70,000. Ethereum is changing hands at $2,112, while Solana trades at $82. XRP fell 1.6% to $1.32.

BTC Chart
BTC Chart

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization stands at approximately $2.45 trillion, down less than 1% in the past 24 hours.

Among the top 100 tokens by market cap, Rain (RAIN) led gainers with a 9.8% rise, followed by Zcash (ZEC), up 8% to $276. On the downside, Algorand (ALGO) dropped 7%, and Avalanche (AVAX) fell 6.2% to $8.75.

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Iran Deadline Dominates Sentiment

Trump escalated his rhetoric early Tuesday, posting on Truth Social that “a whole civilization will die tonight” if Iran fails to comply with demands to reopen the critical shipping lane that handles roughly one-fifth of global oil and gas flows. Vice President J.D. Vance said the military objectives of the war in Iran have been achieved, but the administration’s ceasefire demands remain unmet.

U.S. equities ended the day mostly unchanged, while West Texas Intermediate crude held above $110 per barrel as fears of continued supply disruption weighed on energy markets.

Traders widely expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady at its April meeting, reflecting the view that wartime inflation will keep the central bank sidelined.

ETF Inflows Defy Risk-Off Mood

Despite the geopolitical turmoil, spot Bitcoin ETFs posted $471 million in net inflows on Monday, the largest single-day intake since Feb. 25, according to SoSoValue.

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The figure sits well below January’s peak flow regime, when multiple trading days topped $700 million, but marks a notable acceleration after BTC and ETH ETFs reversed a multi-week outflow streak in late February. March saw $1.32 billion in total net inflows, coinciding with Bitcoin’s first green monthly candle in six months.

Liquidations and Derivatives

Bitcoin alone accounted for roughly $92 million in liquidations over the past 24 hours, according to CoinGlass. Liquidations were almost equally shared between long and short positions amid choppy trading.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at 11, deep in extreme-fear territory and near the lowest sustained readings since the Terra collapse in mid-2022.

Looking Ahead

The immediate catalyst for market direction is the 8 PM ET Iran deadline. Trump has repeatedly extended similar ultimatums in recent weeks, blunting their market impact, but the scale of rhetoric suggests tonight could break the pattern in either direction.

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Bitcoin has been range-bound between $62,000 and $75,000 since early February. A resolution in the Strait of Hormuz standoff would likely trigger a relief rally across risk assets.

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Crypto World

Covenant AI Leaves Bittensor Amid Decentralization Concerns, TAO Drops 18%

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Covenant AI Leaves Bittensor Amid Decentralization Concerns, TAO Drops 18%

Bittensor subnet developer Covenant AI said Friday that it is leaving the decentralized artificial intelligence network, accusing Bittensor of operating under a concentrated governance structure that undermines its decentralization claims.

In a Friday post on X, Covenant AI founder Sam Dare said the team could no longer build on or raise for Bittensor because its governance was not meaningfully distributed.

“It is decentralization theatre,” Dare said. “Jacob Steeves maintains effective control over the triumvirate, resists any meaningful transfer of authority, and deploys changes unilaterally whenever he chooses, without process and without consensus.”

The dispute cuts to the core of Bittensor’s decentralization pitch. Covenant AI alleged that founder Jacob Steeves, known as Const, exerts outsized influence over governance and network operations, an accusation Steeves denied.

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Bittensor’s governance documents describe a transitional system in which a “Triumvirate” of Opentensor Foundation employees holds root permissions alongside a senate, rather than a fully open governance model.

Source: Covenant AI

Covenant AI claims subnet emissions were suspended, Bittensor founder denies allegations

Covenant AI said Steeves had taken several actions against the project in recent weeks, including suspending emissions to its subnet, restricting moderation powers in community channels and applying “direct economic pressure” through visible token sales during the dispute.

Steeves rejected the allegations, claiming that he cannot suspend subnet emissions and that he does not hold “any privilege beyond what normal TAO holders have.”

In a Friday X response, Steeves said he sold some of his “alpha holdings on his three subnets because they were not running and were on near 100% burn code,” which changed the emissions the same way “all buys and sells on Bittensor do.”

Source: Const

Steeves also denied stripping Covenant AI of its moderation rights, saying he only temporarily removed the team’s ability to delete posts before restoring it. He added that large token sales would have been visible onchain.

“Less than 1% of what i had invested in his teams. Visibility is impossible to avoid in my position. I reserve my right to buy and sell tokens which is what underpins the entire system of dTao,” he added.

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Bittensor previously garnered mainstream attention after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang praised the decentralized training run on Bittensor Subnet 3, calling Covenant’s milestone of pre-training the largest decentralized LLM a “remarkable technical achievement,” during the All-In Podcast on March 19.

Related: Bittensor’s TAO price may plunge 40% within five weeks: Fractal data

TAO’s sales volume skyrockets ahead of Covenant AI’s departure announcement

The governance dispute also weighed on Bittensor’s (TAO) token, which was down around 18% over the previous 24 hours as of Friday morning, according to market data.

TAO/USD, 1-week chart. Source: CoinMarketCap

However, sell volume on TAO rose to its highest level since December 2024, about 24 hours before Covenant AI announced its departure. “If you think that’s a coincidence, you don’t understand the game you’re playing. This was a calculated exit and execution,” wrote crypto analyst Ardi in a Friday X post.

Cointelegraph reached out to Covenant AI and Bittensor for comment but had not received a response by publication.

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Source: Ardi

The dispute raises wider concerns for projects striving for decentralization, according to David and Daniil Liberman, co-creators of the decentralized layer-1 blockchain Gonka protocol.

“Decentralized networks that want serious builders have to answer one question: can the infrastructure you build on be used against you? If the answer is yes, the decentralization is cosmetic,” they told Cointelegraph.

Magazine: Michael Heinrich loves AI coins Goat, Turbo & Aethir… but not TAO