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Rise in the number of Welsh shoppers on the high street

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Retail footfall was up in March shows new figures from MRI Software.

Shoppers in Swansea..(Image: SWEP/John Corbett)

The retail sector in Wales has been boosted with a healthy rise in shopping numbers, shows new research.

According to data from MRI Software, based on a survey of 700 store managers, in the five week period from March 1st to April 4th, footfall increased by 6.3% on February across all retail destinations and was up 2.8% year-on-year. This sustained growth reflects the impact of key calendar events, including Mother’s Day, St Patrick’s Day and the early start to Easter trading, which encouraged consumers back into physical retail destinations.

High streets experienced the strongest growth up 8.7%, followed by retail parks, up 6.3% and shopping centres 1.6%. The broad uplift across the board highlights the strength of in‑person visits to retail stores and destinations as spring trading begins.

READ MORE: Welsh Government big win in legal challenge from Bristol AirportREAD MORE: New HQ for housing association Hedyn in the centre of Newport

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As expected, Mother’s Day played an important role in shaping March’s footfall patterns. The week leading up to Easter delivered a 1.8% uplift week on week. However, when compared with the same period last year leading into Mother’s Day, footfall was 1.6% lower, suggesting shoppers were more considered in their spending.

Earlier in the month, St Patrick’s Day celebrations combined with warmer weather also helped in driving activity, particularly on Wales’ high streets where footfall rose 7.5% week on week during mid-March. Strong weekday increases during that week suggest social occasions combined with warmer weather continue to shape how consumers combine retail, leisure and hospitality visits.

The upward trend continued into the early Easter trading period, with the week leading into the holiday delivering a 7.5% increase in footfall across all Welsh retail destinations week on week. High streets led the growth recording an increase in footfall of 8.7% highlighting Easter as one of the year’s major retail trading periods outside of Christmas.

When measured against the equivalent week leading up to Easter 2025, footfall declined slightly by 0.2% overall. This suggests that while seasonal events still drive strong bursts of activity, consumers are approaching holiday spending more cautiously this year.

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Jenni Matthews, analyst at MRI Software, said: “Despite ongoing economic uncertainty, footfall growth across Wales suggests that consumers are continuing to prioritise physical retail visits, particularly where value, convenience and a clear purpose are evident.

With Easter falling earlier in the calendar this year, March effectively marked the starting point for spring trading. While footfall trends remain stable, the data shows that events, holidays and social activities continue to drive visits to retail destinations, but shoppers are becoming more intentional as economic pressures persist. For retail stores and destinations, the challenge will be in demonstrating value to its shoppers as they become increasingly deliberate with their purchases.”

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Corning Stock Surges Past $170 on AI Fiber Optics Boom and Upgraded Growth Targets

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Oil Prices Plunge Below $95 as US-Iran Ceasefire Sparks Relief

CORNING, N.Y. — Corning Inc. shares climbed more than 3% Thursday to trade around $170.30 as investors rewarded the materials science giant’s deepening role in powering artificial intelligence data centers with high-density optical fiber, cable and connectivity solutions amid explosive hyperscale demand.

Corning Stock Surges Past $170 on AI Fiber Optics Boom
Corning Stock Surges Past $170 on AI Fiber Optics Boom and Upgraded Growth Targets

The NYSE-listed company (GLW) rose as high as $172.22 intraday Thursday, building on a series of strong sessions that have propelled the stock sharply higher in recent weeks. Corning has delivered roughly 89% year-to-date gains in 2026, turning it into one of the standout performers in the broader technology supply chain as AI infrastructure spending accelerates.

Corning, a 175-year-old innovator in specialty glass, ceramics and optical physics, has repositioned itself as a critical enabler of next-generation data center networks. Its Optical Communications segment — which includes fiber, cable and connectivity products — has seen surging enterprise sales driven by Gen AI adoption, with hyperscalers requiring far more fiber density and bandwidth than traditional cloud setups.

The momentum intensified in January when Corning announced a multiyear agreement with Meta Platforms valued at up to $6 billion. Under the deal, Corning will supply advanced optical fiber, cable and connectivity solutions to support Meta’s AI data center buildout across the United States. The partnership includes a major expansion of Corning’s optical cable manufacturing capacity in Hickory, North Carolina, with Meta serving as the anchor customer. Construction on the expansion officially began in late March.

“Building the most advanced data centers in the U.S. requires world-class partners and American manufacturing,” Meta’s Joel Kaplan said in the announcement. The pact underscores Corning’s commitment to domestic production while addressing the massive connectivity needs of AI training and inference clusters.

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Corning showcased additional AI-focused innovations at the Optical Fiber Communication Conference (OFC) 2026 in March. Highlights included a multicore fiber solution that delivers four times the capacity per fiber strand within a standard footprint, reducing the number of connectors by up to 75%, cable mass by 70% and installation time by 60%. The company also introduced the Contour Flow micro cable for denser inter-data-center links, next-generation connectors and co-packaged optics systems designed to scale GPU density in AI networks.

These products address the “nervous system” of AI infrastructure, where fiber optics handle the enormous data movement between thousands of GPUs. Demand for such connectivity is growing at more than 50% annually in some estimates, creating a sustained tailwind for Corning’s optical business.

Financially, Corning delivered record results for full-year 2025. Core sales rose 13% to $16.41 billion, while core EPS jumped 29% to $2.52. In the fourth quarter, core sales grew 14% to $4.41 billion and core EPS increased 26% to $0.72, exceeding expectations. Management highlighted margin expansion, with core operating margin reaching 20.2% in the quarter.

The company upgraded its Springboard growth plan, now targeting an additional $11 billion in incremental annualized sales by the end of 2028 — up from the original $8 billion goal. For 2026 specifically, internal plans call for $6.5 billion in incremental sales, with a high-confidence figure of $5.75 billion.

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For the first quarter of 2026, Corning guided for core sales of $4.2 billion to $4.3 billion, representing about 15% year-over-year growth, with core EPS expected in the range of $0.66 to $0.70. The outlook reflects accelerating momentum in optical communications and other segments.

Analysts have grown increasingly bullish. Recent price target hikes include Mizuho raising its target to $160 from $155, BofA moving to $155 from $144 earlier, and UBS to $171. Consensus ratings lean toward Moderate Buy, with average targets in the $130-$150 range, though some firms see potential well above current levels if AI demand sustains. Zacks recently upgraded the stock to a #2 Buy rank on improving earnings estimates.

Corning’s broader portfolio continues to contribute. Its Specialty Materials segment, home to Gorilla Glass used in consumer electronics, benefits from innovations like the new Gorilla Glass Ceramic 3 for foldable devices. Display Technologies and Environmental Technologies segments provide diversification, though Optical Communications has been the standout growth driver tied to AI.

The company maintains a healthy balance sheet and returned capital to shareholders through a quarterly dividend of $0.28 per share. Adjusted free cash flow nearly doubled in 2025, supporting both growth investments and shareholder returns.

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Still, risks remain. Corning’s valuation has expanded significantly with the rally, trading at elevated multiples that assume continued strong AI spending. Competition in optical components could intensify, and any slowdown in hyperscaler capex — or shifts in technology architectures that reduce fiber needs — could pressure results. Broader supply chain issues for data center equipment also pose execution challenges.

Management expressed confidence in the outlook. CEO Wendell Weeks noted the transformed financial profile since launching Springboard two years ago, with meaningful margin and return on invested capital gains providing a strong base for future expansion.

“AI growth is expected to be unprecedented,” Weeks and other executives have emphasized, positioning Corning’s 175 years of materials innovation as uniquely suited to solve the density, power and scalability challenges of massive GPU clusters.

The stock’s recent surge accelerated in early April amid broader market optimism and sector tailwinds, with Thursday’s gains coming on solid volume. By mid-afternoon, shares traded near $170.30, up about 3.1% on the session.

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Corning employs thousands worldwide and operates manufacturing facilities across North America, Europe and Asia. Its optical products are deployed in data centers globally, but the Meta partnership highlights a strategic push to strengthen U.S.-based production amid national focus on AI leadership and supply chain security.

As hyperscalers including Meta, Microsoft, Google and Amazon pour hundreds of billions into AI infrastructure in 2026, suppliers like Corning that provide the essential “plumbing” for high-speed, high-density interconnects are drawing fresh investor attention.

Upcoming first-quarter 2026 earnings, expected around late April, will be closely watched for further color on optical demand trends, margin performance and any updates to the upgraded Springboard targets.

For now, sentiment favors continued growth. With record backlog visibility from major AI deals, innovative new products and a proven ability to scale manufacturing, Corning appears well-positioned to capitalize on what many describe as a multi-year AI infrastructure supercycle.

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Whether the blistering pace can persist will depend on execution, sustained hyperscaler spending and the company’s ability to convert innovation into profitable, recurring revenue streams.

Corning Inc., headquartered in Corning, New York, traces its roots to 1851 and has evolved from early glassmaking to a global leader in materials science. Its technologies touch everything from smartphone screens and automotive emissions control to the fiber optic networks that increasingly form the backbone of the AI economy.

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iFabric Corp. (IFA:CA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Deborah Honig
Adelaide Capital

All right. Good morning or good afternoon, depending on where you’re dialing in from. Thanks for joining us today. We have a very exciting update with iFabric. They just put out their Q4 and full year 2025 numbers, which were fantastic and offered some guidance on Q1 ’26 as well.

With me today, I have Hylton Karon, CEO; Hilton Price, CFO; and Giancarlo Beevis, COO. We’re not going to work off a presentation. The format will be a quick overview of the company for anyone that’s new to the story, then we’re going to get right into the financial numbers and then open it up for Q&A. There is a Q&A box at the bottom of your screen, so feel free to use that. And even though we’re not working off a presentation, this session will contain forward-looking statements. If you’d like to know more about those, you can find them on the presentation on the company’s website.

With that out of the way, I’d like to introduce and hand the mic over to Giancarlo Beevis, who’s COO of the company and CEO of Intelligent Fabrics division.

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Giancarlo Beevis
President & CEO of Intelligent Fabric Technologies (North America) Inc. and Director

Thanks, Deb, very much. Hi, how are you?

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Deborah Honig
Adelaide Capital

I’m good, I’m good. Yes, why don’t you tell us a little bit about the company for people that are less familiar?

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Housing finance stocks near inflection point, Bernstein picks 2 favourites

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Housing finance stocks near inflection point, Bernstein picks 2 favourites
Housing finance stocks look poised near an inflection point as Bernstein argues that affordable housing financiers are set for a turnaround in both growth and asset quality, and names HomeFirst and Aadhar Housing Finance as its two preferred bets in the segment.

The brokerage notes that the recent macro-led selloff has dragged down Indian banks, NBFCs and affordable housing finance companies (AHFCs) alike, but contends that “beyond now-attractive valuations, we see several compelling reasons to turn constructive on the segment, driven by an impending inflection in both growth and asset quality.”

It adds that the current correction “is a favorable entry point” and reiterates its Outperform ratings on HomeFirst, Aadhar and Aptus, while maintaining Market-Perform on Aavas and PNB Housing Finance.

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What makes Bernstein bullish on housing finance stocks?

Bernstein flags that AHFCs have already undergone a sharp derating over the last 6-9 months, with stock price declines steeper than those of larger NBFC peers. Current price-to-earnings multiples are now at three-year lows despite comparable or superior earnings growth.

“The sharp derating has also meant that valuations are at the lowest point in the last three years, with PE multiples now significantly lower than those of larger NBFCs despite earnings growth being comparable or superior,” the report says, highlighting the valuation gap as a key part of the upside argument.


On fundamentals, the analysts argue that both growth and asset quality are “now approaching an inflection point,” pointing to 3QFY26 data where disbursement growth showed sequential improvement and early-stage delinquencies (1+ DPD) began to stabilise or improve across most lenders. While AHFCs had earlier faced a slowdown in disbursements and a marginal rise in credit costs, Bernstein emphasises that return on assets has stayed above 3% for the segment, supported by improving net interest margins and stable operating expenses.
The report also underlines structural advantages that could help AHFCs ride out any prolonged macro stress. In an environment of tighter liquidity and higher inflation, “AHFCs are better positioned versus their larger NBFC peers,” it says, citing the secured nature of their loan books in both home loans and loan-against-property, and a funding profile marked by longer-tenor borrowings, a high floating-rate share, and access to National Housing Bank (NHB) funding.This combination, Bernstein argues, reduces the risk of sharp margin compression and insulates asset quality relative to unsecured-focused NBFCs.

At a thematic level, Bernstein reiterates that “the long-term thesis remains intact,” anchored in India’s still-low mortgage penetration as a share of GDP and the need for an operationally intensive, opex-heavy model to serve the mass-market borrower that many banks are reluctant to adopt.

The report notes that this model has translated into healthy earnings growth of around 20% and RoAs above 3% even in recent quarters, underscoring the medium-term potential of the affordable housing theme despite near-term volatility.

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Top 2 stock picks

Within its coverage, Bernstein’s top picks are HomeFirst and Aadhar Housing Finance, which it describes as “the best franchises in this segment” thanks to diversified geographic presence and a proven ability to scale across markets.

It values HomeFirst using a 22x FY27 earnings multiple with a target price of Rs 1,430, and Aadhar at 20x FY27 earnings with a target of Rs 600, implying strong upside from current levels.

“While valuations are attractive across the sector, we continue to prefer HomeFirst and Aadhar,” the analysts say, adding that Aptus also looks attractive on low valuations, even as structural concerns keep them more cautious on Aavas and PNB Housing for now.

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USPS freezes pension contributions, sounds alarm over looming financial crunch

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USPS warns Congress it will run out of cash within a year without reforms

The United States Postal Service is suspending employer pension contributions for workers beginning Friday, citing a looming cash shortfall, the agency announced Thursday.

The move, which affects the Federal Employees Retirement System (FERS), comes just weeks after the Postal Service warned Congress it could run out of cash in under a year without significant reforms, including changes to pension funding and stamp prices.

USPS emphasized that the pause will have no immediate impact on current or future retirees.

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“There will not be any immediate detrimental impact to our current or future retirees if normal FERS cost payments are temporarily withheld,” Postal Service Chief Financial Officer Luke Grossmann said. 

POSTAL SERVICE SAYS CASH COULD RUN OUT IN UNDER A YEAR WITHOUT CHANGES

A United States Postal Service (USPS) worker delivering packages.

A United States Postal Service worker delivers packages on Cyber Monday in New York Dec. 1, 2025.  (Bess Adler/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)

USPS has previously reported mounting losses over the years, totaling $118 billion since 2007, as volumes of its most profitable product, first-class mail, fell to their lowest levels since the late 1960s.

The financial strain was further exacerbated by global tariffs, high inflation and recent spikes in gasoline prices, along with growing competition from private carriers such as Amazon, which now delivers many of its own packages.

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USPS said it typically sends the Office of Personnel Management (OPM), which oversees federal retirement accounts, about $200 million every two weeks to cover pension costs.

By suspending the payments, the agency expects to free up roughly $2.5 billion in the current fiscal year. 

While the agency has suspended its employer contributions, it said it will continue transferring employee payroll deductions into retirement accounts.

USPS COULD SLOW SERVICE IN CERTAIN AREAS AS IT SEEKS TO CUT COSTS

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usps packages

An Amazon Inc. package sits on a conveyor belt at the United States Postal Service Merrifield processing and distribution center in Merrifield, Va., Dec. 19, 2018.  (Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)

Separately, the agency said its Thrift Savings Plan (TSP), a separate retirement savings program similar to a government 401(k), remains unaffected.

USPS will continue processing employee-funded contributions and matching funds into the Thrift Savings Plan (TSP), and noted that workers will be able to contribute more in 2026 under new IRS limits.

In March, Postmaster General David Steiner told a House Oversight subcommittee that the Postal Service could run out of cash within a year without major changes.

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Steiner outlined potential cost-cutting steps, including reducing six-day delivery, raising first-class mail prices from 78 cents to $1 or more and expanding borrowing authority after USPS hit its $15 billion debt cap.

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“In order to survive beyond the next year, we need to increase our borrowing capacity so that we don’t run out of cash,” Steiner said in prepared testimony. “The failure to do this could lead to the end of the Postal Service as we know it now.”

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Hot in the city: Energy crisis tests Singapore's air-con addiction

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Hot in the city: Energy crisis tests Singapore's air-con addiction

The rise in energy prices has hit Asia particularly hard as many nations are heavily reliant on Gulf oil.

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Elon Musk’s xAI sues Colorado over state’s new AI law

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Elon Musk’s xAI sues Colorado over state’s new AI law


Elon Musk’s xAI sues Colorado over state’s new AI law

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American homeowners faced rising property tax burden in 2025, report finds

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American homeowners faced rising property tax burden in 2025, report finds

American homeowners around the country are feeling the squeeze of higher property taxes, with new data showing that the property tax burden rose last year.

Data from analytics firm ATTOM showed that the effective tax rate for single-family homes was 0.9% in 2025, up from 0.86% in 2024 and the highest level since 2020 when the national effective tax rate was 1.1%, according to a Realtor.com report.

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It also found that while the estimated value for a single-family home was down 1.7% year over year in 2025, it was still one of the highest recorded readings for single-family home values because 2024’s values were higher than those that preceded it.

“Property taxes in 2025 demonstrate that tax bills reflect more than just home values,” said ATTOM CEO Rob Barber. “Even with a slight dip in prices, higher tax bills combined with declining home values led to an increase in effective tax rates, underscoring the role of local government costs and shifting tax policies.”

NEWSOM RENEWS CLAIM TEXAS, FLORIDA ARE ‘HIGH-TAX’ STATES, CRITICS DISPUTE FRAMING

Homes in Queens.

Homes in the Queens borough of New York City. (Lindsey Nicholson/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)

The effective tax rate for property taxes varies by state and the report found that the states with the highest effective tax rates for single-family homes tended to be located in the Northeast.

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New Jersey led the way with an effective tax rate of 1.58% and a median home price of $544,450. It was followed by Vermont, which had a 1.4% effective tax rate, and Connecticut at 1.36%, both with median home prices at roughly $500,000.

New Hampshire’s effective tax rate was 1.29% based on a $587,450 median home price, while New York had a 1.23% effective tax rate along with a $672,000 median home price.

MAJOR US CITY OFFERS CASH INCENTIVES TO SPARK GROWTH, ATTRACT NEWCOMERS

Housing subdivision in Loudonville, New York

Some states with lower median home prices also faced higher relative property tax burdens. (Angus Mordant/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Several states with lower median home prices also made the rankings for the highest effective property tax rates. Ohio’s was 1.32%, while Iowa at 1.25%, Pennsylvania at 1.24%, and Nebraska at 1.24% rounded out the top 10 with median home prices ranging between $272,000 and $345,000.

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States with the lowest effective tax rates tended to have notable differences in terms of the median home price for a given state.

Hawaii had the lowest effective tax rate at 0.33% with a median home value of $747,545, while other Western states had similarly low effective tax rates with higher home prices.

HOUSING MARKET GAINING MOMENTUM AS SPRING SEASON BEGINS

A house is for sale in Arlington, Virginia.

States in the West tended to have lower relative property tax burdens. (Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images.)

Idaho (0.39%), Wyoming (0.4%), Arizona (0.43%), Utah (0.48%) and Nevada (0.52%) were among the states with the lightest property tax burdens and had median home prices ranging between $444,000 and $575,000.

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Two Southern states with lower relative property tax burdens included Alabama with a 0.43% effective tax rate and $333,675 median home price, while Tennessee (0.5%) with a $425,250 median.

Delaware’s 0.48% effective tax rate and its location in the Northeast made it a regional outlier among the ranks of the states with lower property tax burdens, with a median home price just shy of $500,000.

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West Virginia also had a 0.48% effective tax rate with the lowest median home price of $249,750.

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White House warned staff not to place market bets amid Iran war, WSJ reports

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White House warned staff not to place market bets amid Iran war, WSJ reports


White House warned staff not to place market bets amid Iran war, WSJ reports

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RBC Capital raises Nuvation Bio stock price target on glioma potential

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RBC Capital raises Nuvation Bio stock price target on glioma potential

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Oil Prices Tumble Below $100 After US-Iran Ceasefire Eases Mideast Supply Fears

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Oil Prices Plunge Below $95 as US-Iran Ceasefire Sparks Relief

World oil prices plunged Thursday as a U.S.-brokered two-week ceasefire between the United States, Israel and Iran triggered a sharp unwinding of geopolitical risk premiums, sending Brent crude below $100 a barrel for the first time in weeks after it had spiked above $110 amid fears over disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures fell as much as 15% in early trading before paring some losses to trade around $96.84 per barrel by midday in London on April 9. West Texas Intermediate crude dropped similarly, hovering near $97 per barrel. The dramatic reversal followed President Donald Trump’s announcement of the conditional truce, which includes Iran’s commitment to reopen the critical shipping chokepoint that carries about one-fifth of global oil supplies.

The ceasefire, described as fragile and conditional on de-escalation steps including resumed tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, provided immediate relief to energy markets that had been on edge for weeks. Oil had surged dramatically in March and early April as tensions escalated, with Brent briefly topping $111 and WTI crossing $112 — levels not seen in nearly four years — amid reports of attacks, blockades and supply concerns in the Persian Gulf.

Analysts described Thursday’s move as one of the largest single-day drops since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic, reflecting the rapid removal of a “panic premium” that had built up as traders priced in potential prolonged disruptions. However, prices remained well above pre-conflict levels of around $70-$80 per barrel, signaling that underlying risks and a baseline risk premium persist even as immediate fears subside.

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The volatility underscores oil’s sensitivity to Middle East geopolitics. The Strait of Hormuz had faced effective disruptions or heightened threats, prompting rerouting of tankers, insurance spikes and temporary shut-ins of production in the region. Saudi Arabia and other Gulf producers reportedly set record premiums for their flagship crudes as buyers scrambled for alternative supplies. U.S. oil premiums also hit records as global markets hunted for barrels.

OPEC+ responded to the earlier tensions with measured production adjustments. In March, the group of eight key members — including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq and the UAE — agreed to increase output by 206,000 barrels per day starting in April, gradually unwinding some voluntary cuts from 2023. The move aimed at market stability amid low inventories and steady economic signals, even as conflict risks loomed. Earlier in the year, the alliance had paused further hikes during the first quarter due to seasonal factors.

With the ceasefire news, attention shifted quickly to fundamentals. The International Energy Agency and U.S. Energy Information Administration have projected global oil supply growth outpacing demand in 2026, with non-OPEC+ producers — led by the United States, Brazil and Guyana — adding significant volumes. World oil supply is forecast to rise by roughly 2.4 million to 2.5 million barrels per day this year, potentially building surpluses once Hormuz flows normalize.

Demand growth forecasts have been tempered. The IEA sees global consumption rising by only about 640,000 to 930,000 barrels per day in 2026, down from prior estimates, partly due to higher prices curbing usage in March and April along with economic uncertainties. The EIA similarly lowered its 2026 demand growth projection to around 0.6 million barrels per day. Non-OECD countries, particularly in Asia, are expected to drive nearly all the incremental demand.

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Longer-term outlooks from analysts like J.P. Morgan point to Brent averaging around $60 per barrel later in 2026 once surpluses materialize and any conflict-related disruptions fully unwind. Goldman Sachs had raised its near-term forecast amid the Hormuz risks but sees easing later in the year. S&P Global Ratings adjusted its 2026 assumptions higher to $75 WTI and $80 Brent to account for prolonged flows issues, though the ceasefire could alter that trajectory.

U.S. shale production remains a key buffer. Output has stayed resilient, with forecasts for record levels around 13.6 million barrels per day. American producers benefit from higher prices but also stand ready to ramp up as geopolitics stabilize.

Gasoline and diesel prices at the pump, which had climbed in response to crude spikes, are expected to ease in coming weeks if the truce holds, though the lag in retail adjustments means drivers may not feel immediate relief. Broader market reactions were positive, with global stocks surging on reduced uncertainty and lower input costs for energy-intensive industries.

Still, caution dominates. The two-week ceasefire is short-term and conditional, with reports of cracks emerging over issues like Lebanon and ongoing tanker navigation challenges. Any resumption of hostilities could quickly reverse Thursday’s losses and send prices spiking again. Analysts warn that full normalization of Hormuz traffic could take time even under a sustained peace, as shipping schedules, insurance and confidence rebuild slowly.

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OPEC+ faces a delicate balancing act. The group has signaled willingness to adjust output further based on market conditions, but sustained high prices could encourage more non-OPEC supply while curbing demand. Saudi Arabia, as de facto leader, has historically stepped in with cuts or increases to prevent extreme volatility.

For consumers and businesses worldwide, the wild swings highlight energy’s vulnerability. Airlines canceled flights in the region, chemical and fertilizer producers faced higher costs, and industries dependent on stable fuel prices braced for pass-through effects. Renewable energy advocates noted that prolonged high oil prices could accelerate the shift away from fossils, though the current drop may temper that momentum in the short run.

Thursday’s trading reflected choppy conditions as investors weighed relief against lingering risks. Brent settled around the mid-$90s after the initial plunge, while WTI showed similar patterns. Volume was elevated as hedge funds and speculators adjusted positions rapidly.

Looking ahead, the next OPEC+ meeting in June will be closely watched for any signals on further production unwinding. In the meantime, traders will monitor on-the-ground developments in the Gulf, satellite data on tanker movements and inventory reports from the EIA and others.

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The episode serves as a reminder of oil’s dual nature as both a physical commodity tied to supply-demand balances and a financial asset heavily influenced by geopolitics and sentiment. Even with the ceasefire providing breathing room, structural factors — rising non-OPEC supply, moderating demand growth amid efficiency gains and the energy transition — suggest downward pressure on prices over the medium term.

For now, the market has exhaled. Whether the relief proves temporary or marks the start of a sustained de-escalation will determine if oil returns to the $60-$80 trading range many forecasters envision for late 2026 or remains elevated by persistent uncertainties.

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