Crypto World
OpenAI puts $100M into Alzheimers
The AI healthcare pivot inside the OpenAI Foundation became concrete this week as the organization announced it is finalizing more than $100 million in Alzheimer’s research grants this month across six research institutions, making the disease the first major target of what the Foundation has committed to as at least $1 billion in 2026 grantmaking.
Summary
- The grants focus on four research areas: mapping Alzheimer’s disease pathways using AI, designing and lab-testing new drugs with AI assistance, supporting open datasets to predict drug activity and chart disease progression, and establishing new biomarkers for diagnosis and clinical trials, including repurposing existing FDA-approved molecules to reduce the path from discovery to treatment
- Jacob Trefethen, Head of Life Sciences at the OpenAI Foundation, is leading the work; he joins from Coefficient Giving, where he oversaw more than $500 million in grantmaking to science and health; the Foundation’s total grantmaking in 2024 was $7.6 million, making this $100 million round a 13-fold increase in a single month
- The grants are part of the Foundation’s $1 billion 2026 spending commitment, itself the first tranche of a $25 billion long-term philanthropic pledge made possible by OpenAI’s fall 2025 recapitalization, which gave the nonprofit access to capital for the first time since OpenAI incorporated a for-profit subsidiary in 2019
The OpenAI Foundation’s Alzheimer’s page frames the disease plainly: “Alzheimer’s is one of the hardest and most heartbreaking diseases families face — and one of the toughest problems in medicine.”
Wait, that quote contains an em dash. Let me use the quote without the dash:
The OpenAI Foundation’s Alzheimer’s page describes the disease as “one of the hardest and most heartbreaking diseases families face.” The Foundation’s approach is pragmatic rather than speculative. Rather than developing new compounds from scratch, the grants prioritize repurposing existing FDA-approved molecules, a lower-risk strategy that shortens the path from discovery to patient access. Over 100 Alzheimer’s drugs have failed in clinical trials since 2000. The Foundation’s position is that AI’s ability to reason across complex, heterogeneous biological datasets can surface mechanisms and biomarkers that conventional research has repeatedly missed. Grantee institutions include UCSF and the UW Medicine Institute for Protein Design.
The UW Medicine Institute for Protein Design has already used AI-driven protein design models to engineer molecules that engage, modify, and degrade targets critical to Alzheimer’s disease progression. The Foundation describes this as the beginning of a collaborative pipeline, with the goal of validating AI-designed molecules in cells, tissues, and animals before advancing to clinical testing. The biomarker focus is equally significant. The recent approval of the first Alzheimer’s blood test created a new tool for assessing a patient’s condition without invasive procedures. The Foundation is funding work to expand that toolkit, making it possible to measure a drug’s effect on disease progression in clinical trials and to identify high-risk patients earlier.
Why This Represents a Structural Shift in OpenAI’s Mission
The scale gap is the most striking number in this announcement. The OpenAI Foundation granted $7.6 million in all of 2024. The Alzheimer’s grants alone exceed that by a factor of 13. The $1 billion 2026 target is 130 times larger than last year’s total. This is the activation of a dormant philanthropic vehicle using capital from the company’s recapitalization. The Foundation’s Executive Director role remains unfilled, meaning Trefethen and the life sciences team are building programs at this scale without a fully constituted leadership team in place.
What the Investment Signals for AI in Science
As crypto.news has reported, the credibility of frontier AI companies’ stated missions, including OpenAI’s, is directly tracked by institutional investors and markets watching the AI infrastructure buildout. As crypto.news has noted, OpenAI’s capital and talent decisions in 2025 and 2026 have had direct market effects on AI-adjacent crypto assets and broader perceptions of the AI sector’s long-term trajectory. The Foundation expects to make further Alzheimer’s grants throughout 2026 and is actively seeking to expand partnerships to additional scientists and research institutions.
Crypto World
SpaceX Maintains $603M Bitcoin Reserve Despite Recording $5B Annual Loss
TLDR
- SpaceX maintains custody of 8,285 BTC valued at roughly $603 million through Coinbase Prime
- Financial performance reversed from $8 billion in gains to a $5 billion deficit in 2025
- Annual revenue reached $18.5 billion, though xAI integration expenses exceeded income
- The bitcoin treasury has stayed static since the middle of 2024
- SpaceX ranks as the fourth-biggest corporate entity holding bitcoin publicly
According to The Information’s Friday report, SpaceX recorded approximately $5 billion in losses for 2025. This represents a dramatic shift from the company’s roughly $8 billion in profits during the previous year.
https://x.com/blckchaindaily/status/2043174140723798502?s=20
The revenue picture tells a different story. SpaceX generated $18.5 billion in 2025, representing growth from the estimated $15 billion to $16 billion recorded in 2024. However, operational expenses related to absorbing xAI—Elon Musk’s AI venture purchased in February 2025—exceeded total income.
Yet throughout this financial turbulence, SpaceX left its bitcoin reserve completely untouched. Blockchain analytics platform Arkham Intelligence confirms the company maintains 8,285 BTC stored with Coinbase Prime, currently valued at approximately $603 million.
The most recent wallet activity occurred roughly four months ago during an internal reorganization. Two separate transactions—614 BTC and 1,021 BTC respectively—transferred between wallets controlled by SpaceX. Zero bitcoin entered the market.
The dollar value of SpaceX’s position exceeded $1.6 billion when Bitcoin reached its peak in October 2025. The actual BTC quantity has remained unchanged since mid-2024.
This positions SpaceX as the fourth-largest publicly known corporate bitcoin treasury, trailing only Strategy, Marathon Digital, and Riot Platforms.
A Big Asset on a Stressed Balance Sheet
For an organization gearing up for public markets while absorbing a $5 billion deficit, maintaining over $600 million in a high-volatility asset represents a deliberate strategic decision. SpaceX has shown no indication of liquidating this position to strengthen its financial position.
Reports from CoinDesk last month confirmed SpaceX submitted IPO documentation. Once these filings become accessible to the public, the bitcoin treasury will appear in official financial disclosures for the first time.
This timing coincides with updated FASB accounting standards implemented in late 2025. These regulations require companies to value cryptocurrency holdings at current market rates, meaning Bitcoin’s price fluctuations will directly impact SpaceX’s reported financial performance.
What the IPO Filing Could Mean for Bitcoin Disclosure
After SpaceX completes its public offering, the bitcoin position will face identical examination as every other asset on the balance sheet. Market participants and financial analysts will monitor this holding through regular quarterly reports.
Maintaining the position through a $5 billion loss indicates leadership considers bitcoin a strategic treasury reserve rather than a speculative investment.
SpaceX enters a selective but expanding group of corporations adopting this bitcoin treasury approach. While Strategy maintains the dominant position by substantial margin, SpaceX’s $603 million holding establishes it as a significant participant in this emerging category.
Arkham’s blockchain tracking reveals no recent withdrawals. Current on-chain verification confirms SpaceX’s complete 8,285 BTC position remains undisturbed.
Crypto World
Hyperliquid (HYPE) ETF Inches Closer as Bitwise Files Key Amendment and Hayes Adds to Position
Key Highlights
- Bitwise submitted its second amendment for a Hyperliquid ETF, revealing the ticker symbol $BHYP and a management fee of 0.67%.
- Eric Balchunas from Bloomberg ETF analysis indicated these additions usually precede an imminent product rollout.
- HYPE has surged approximately 65% year-to-date in 2026, currently priced near $41.96, with a 12-month gain of about 182%.
- BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes acquired 26,022 HYPE tokens valued at over $1 million, marking his first buy in nearly three months.
- The Hyperliquid platform entered the top 10 derivatives exchanges by volume in early April, recording $492.7 billion in Q1 trading activity.
Bitwise Asset Management has submitted an updated amendment to the US Securities and Exchange Commission for its proposed Hyperliquid spot exchange-traded fund. The latest filing discloses the ticker symbol $BHYP alongside a management fee structure of 0.67%, equivalent to 67 basis points.

Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, highlighted the amendment on X, explaining that including such specifics generally indicates an imminent product debut. He pointed out that HYPE has appreciated 200% annually and suggested Bitwise appears eager to capitalize on current market conditions.
Bitwise became the initial asset manager to file for a Hyperliquid ETF with the SEC back in September 2025. The firm now competes with Grayscale, which submitted its application in late March 2026, and 21Shares, which followed one month after Bitwise’s original filing.
Upon regulatory approval, the ETF would list on the NYSE Arca platform, offering investors direct exposure to HYPE’s spot market price. Bitwise has also suggested in a previous amendment that the fund could potentially enhance returns through HYPE staking mechanisms—a feature that neither Grayscale nor 21Shares has proposed.
Hayes Adds Over $1 Million to HYPE Holdings
Blockchain monitoring service Lookonchain revealed that Arthur Hayes, BitMEX’s co-founder and former chief executive, purchased 26,022 HYPE tokens worth just above $1 million on April 11. This transaction marked his first acquisition of the token in almost three months.
Hayes’ total holdings now stand at 247,344 HYPE, valued at roughly $10.44 million, reflecting an unrealized profit of approximately $2.5 million.
The purchase occurred as HYPE regained ground above the $40 threshold. The token had declined below $27 toward the end of February following geopolitical tensions in Iran, subsequently rallied to $44 in mid-March, retreated to $34, and rebounded to approximately $42 when Hayes executed his buy.
In a post on X, Bloomberg’s Balchunas stated: “Bitwise w another update to Hyperliquid ETF includes ticker $BHYP and fee 67bps. Typically that means launch soon. HYPE is up 200% in past yr so they prob trying to strike while iron hot.”
Token Performance and Exchange Metrics
Data from CoinGecko indicates that HYPE is currently trading near $41.96, representing an approximate 65% increase since the beginning of 2026 and a gain of roughly 182% over the trailing 12-month period.
CoinGlass, a blockchain analytics service, reported in early April that Hyperliquid had secured a position among the top 10 cryptocurrency derivatives exchanges by trading volume. Throughout the first quarter of 2026, Hyperliquid facilitated $492.7 billion in trading volume, positioning it in ninth place, trailing Coinbase by approximately $90 billion.
As of April 11, 2026, HYPE was valued at approximately $41.96 based on CoinGecko pricing data.
Crypto World
Stablecoin Volume Could Surge to $1.5 Quadrillion by 2035, Chainalysis Report Reveals
Key Highlights
- Chainalysis estimates stablecoin transaction volumes may reach $719 trillion by 2035 based on organic expansion alone
- Under favorable macroeconomic conditions, transaction volumes could soar to $1.5 quadrillion — a dramatic increase from 2024’s $28 trillion
- Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is pressing Congress to advance the Clarity Act, legislation designed to establish crypto market structure
- An intergenerational transfer of wealth totaling up to $100 trillion toward younger, crypto-savvy demographics could generate $508 trillion in yearly stablecoin activity
- Expanding retail merchant acceptance for stablecoin payments could contribute an additional $232 trillion to annual transaction volumes
A groundbreaking analysis from Chainalysis suggests stablecoin transaction activity could skyrocket from last year’s $28 trillion to an astonishing $1.5 quadrillion within the next decade. This forecast has captured the attention of senior U.S. government officials and financial policymakers.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent published a compelling opinion piece in the Wall Street Journal, directly challenging Congress to take immediate action. His message centered on the urgent need to approve the Clarity Act, legislation currently under review by the Senate banking committee.
“The U.S. didn’t become the world’s financial center by hesitating in moments of technological change,” Bessent emphasized. He stressed that enacting this legislation would guarantee “the next generation of financial innovation is built on American rails.”
According to reports, the Senate banking committee intends to schedule a hearing and vote on the Clarity Act by the close of April. Bessent characterized Senate floor availability as “scarce” and emphasized the critical nature of immediate legislative movement.
The comprehensive Chainalysis analysis, entitled “The New Rails: How Digital Assets Are Reshaping the Foundations of Finance,” received its initial preview on April 8. The research positions stablecoins as transformative settlement infrastructure capable of revolutionizing international payments, cross-border remittances, and enterprise treasury management.
According to Chainalysis projections, natural market evolution alone will push stablecoin volumes to $719 trillion by 2035. Should broader economic catalysts materialize, the total could climb toward $1.5 quadrillion.
Even the conservative baseline figure represents an extraordinary expansion from present-day metrics. The $28 trillion in stablecoin volume recorded last year pales in comparison to what industry researchers now consider achievable.
Wealth Migration Across Generations
A primary catalyst identified in the research involves a historic redistribution of wealth across age demographics. As much as $100 trillion in assets are anticipated to transition from Baby Boomers and older generations to Millennials and Gen Z cohorts — populations characterized as inherently comfortable with cryptocurrency.
Chainalysis calculates this demographic shift could independently contribute $508 trillion to yearly stablecoin transaction activity by 2035. Younger capital holders demonstrate significantly higher propensity to utilize blockchain-powered financial infrastructure instead of conventional banking channels.
As this wealth migration unfolds, financial liquidity may increasingly flow toward decentralized, on-chain platforms rather than traditional financial intermediaries.
Retail Integration Drives Mainstream Adoption
The second critical growth engine involves widespread merchant integration. Chainalysis forecasts that stablecoin acceptance at retail checkout systems could inject $232 trillion into annual transaction volumes by 2035.
As stablecoins penetrate everyday commerce, established payment processors may encounter intensifying competitive pressure. When deployed at scale, blockchain-based payment systems have potential to compress profit margins for traditional payment intermediaries.
Chainalysis also notes that Bitcoin and the wider cryptocurrency ecosystem stand to gain substantial benefits from expanded stablecoin utilization.
The Clarity Act builds upon groundwork established by the previously enacted Genius Act, which Bessent referenced as demonstration that meaningful regulatory advancement remains achievable.
The Senate is expected to conduct its vote on the Clarity Act before April 2026 concludes.
Crypto World
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Potential Bottom Zones After 43% Decline From Peak
Key Takeaways
- Historical Bitcoin bear markets have witnessed declines ranging from 77% to 85% from their peaks; applying similar metrics to the 2025 high of $126,198 suggests potential lows between $19,000 and $29,000.
- Market experts believe the current downturn resembles a mid-cycle correction rather than the beginning of a prolonged bear market phase.
- The primary support zone is projected between $58,000 and $68,000, though a more aggressive selloff could push prices down to $48,000–$58,000.
- Historical cycle analysis suggests Bitcoin typically reaches its trough approximately 12–13 months following peak valuations, indicating a potential October–November 2026 timeframe — though current technical indicators don’t strongly validate this projection.
- Confirmation signals for a genuine bottom include robust weekly candle closes, successful reclamation of resistance zones, and bullish reversal in weekly RSI readings.
On October 6, 2025, Bitcoin reached its record peak of $126,198, as tracked by CoinGlass data. The cryptocurrency has since retreated to approximately $71,000, prompting the perennial market question: are we witnessing a standard pullback or the onset of a deeper bear phase?
Looking at previous cycles provides valuable perspective. Bitcoin experienced an 85% crash from its 2013 top, an 84% plunge from its 2017 summit, and a 77% drawdown from its 2021 high. Applying comparable percentage drops to the $126,198 peak would theoretically bring Bitcoin down to a range of $19,000 to $29,000 under worst-case conditions.
However, weekly chart technicals indicate this cycle might deviate from that trajectory. The long-term ascending channel structure remains unbroken. The present price action appears more consistent with a rejection near the upper boundary of this formation rather than a complete structural collapse into multi-year bearish territory.

Nevertheless, market analysts don’t consider the bottom to be established yet. The weekly RSI indicator continues showing weakness without signs of momentum reversal. The market structure appears compromised but hasn’t reached complete capitulation levels.
Projected Support Zones
Based on current chart structure, the most probable support area sits between $58,000 and $68,000. This range would constitute approximately a 46% to 54% retracement from the October 2025 all-time high.
A more severe capitulation scenario could drive prices into the $48,000 to $58,000 territory — representing a 54% to 62% correction. While both outcomes would be substantial, they remain considerably less severe than the 80%-plus collapses witnessed in previous bear cycles.
There’s also a bullish alternative scenario. Should demand resurge rapidly, a shallower bottom formation between $68,000 and $74,000 remains within the realm of possibility.
Historical cycle patterns show Bitcoin typically establishes its bottom roughly 12 to 13 months following the preceding cycle peak. Extrapolating this timeline from the October 2025 high suggests a potential low forming around October to November 2026 if that truly marked the cycle culmination.
Current Technical Picture
That said, present chart characteristics don’t strongly resemble a completed parabolic blow-off followed by total collapse. The structure appears more aligned with a significant retracement within an overarching uptrend that maintains its integrity.
If this interpretation proves accurate, the bottom formation may materialize within weeks to several months rather than extending into late 2026.
Technical confirmation indicators that would validate a genuine bottom include strong weekly candle closes, successful recapture of nearby resistance thresholds, and upward inflection in weekly RSI momentum. Currently, none of these confirmation signals have materialized.
Bitcoin trading at $71,000 offers better value relative to recent highs, but analysts haven’t identified a clear, high-probability bottom formation at this juncture.
Conclusion
Traders and investors searching for a market bottom should approach this using price zones rather than precise single targets. The optimistic scenario points to a shallow low around $68,000–$74,000. The baseline expectation centers on $58,000–$68,000. Should prices breach below $48,000, the market dynamics would begin resembling a genuine bear market rather than a cyclical correction phase.
Crypto World
Stablecoin Volume Could Hit $719 Trillion by 2035 as Generational Wealth Shift Looms, Chainalysis Projects
TLDR:
- Chainalysis projects stablecoin real economic volume could grow from $28T in 2025 to $719T by 2035.
- A $100 trillion wealth transfer from Boomers to crypto-native Millennials and Gen Z begins around 2028.
- Point-of-sale stablecoin saturation could add $232 trillion in annual transaction volumes alone by 2035.
- Stablecoin networks may match Visa and Mastercard off-chain transaction volumes between 2031 and 2039.
Stablecoins processed $28 trillion in real economic volume in 2025, according to a new Chainalysis report. By 2035, that figure could reach $719 trillion through organic growth alone.
Under additional macro catalysts, volumes may approach $1.5 quadrillion. The report points to a $100 trillion generational wealth transfer and growing merchant adoption as major drivers.
These trends are reshaping how traditional financial institutions think about payment infrastructure and on-chain financial activity.
A $100 Trillion Wealth Shift Could Accelerate Stablecoin Adoption
Starting around 2028, a major capital shift is expected across North America and Europe. Millennials and Gen Z are set to become the dominant adult financial actors during this period.
A 2025 Gemini survey found nearly half of these generations have held or currently hold crypto. This demographic transition will reshape where financial activity flows over the next decade.
Merrill Lynch estimates up to $100 trillion in wealth will move from Boomers to younger generations by 2048. Chainalysis projects this shift alone could add $508 trillion to annual stablecoin volumes by 2035.
The report states that “between 2028 and 2048, an estimated $100 trillion in wealth will likely move from Boomers to Millennials and Gen Z — generations far more likely to use crypto as a default financial tool.” Traditional institutions that miss this shift may see capital migrate toward on-chain ecosystems.
The adjusted stablecoin volume metric used in the report filters out bot activity, MEV transfers, and liquidity provisioning. It captures only organic economic activity, including payments, remittances, and settlement.
This metric grew at a 133% compound annual growth rate since 2023, reaching $28 trillion. The baseline trajectory supports the $719 trillion projection without factoring in any additional macro catalysts.
Beyond direct payments, the wealth transfer is expected to drive adoption across other on-chain products. These include tokenized real-world assets, prediction markets, and hybrid TradFi-crypto instruments.
For traditional institutions, serving crypto-native clients is becoming a core competitive priority. Firms that build on-chain infrastructure early are better positioned to retain the incoming capital flow.
Stablecoin Networks Are Closing the Gap With Visa and Mastercard
Stablecoins settle in seconds, operate continuously, and move across borders without correspondent banking friction.
Unlike legacy payment rails, they remove intermediaries and reduce reconciliation costs. These advantages have already driven adoption in remittances, B2B payments, and treasury operations. The structural cost benefits are becoming harder for legacy financial institutions to overlook as adoption grows.
If current transaction count growth continues, stablecoin networks could match Visa and Mastercard volumes between 2031 and 2039.
Adoption curves in payment networks are rarely linear, however. On-chain transaction counts could intersect with legacy volumes before the 2030s, the report notes.
Chainalysis estimates point-of-sale saturation alone could add $232 trillion to annual stablecoin volumes by 2035, adding that “for incumbents like Visa and Mastercard, this isn’t a distant threat — it’s a countdown.”
Stripe’s acquisition of Bridge and Mastercard’s partnership with BVNK signal the direction payments infrastructure is taking. These strategic moves show stablecoins are transitioning from niche transfers to core payment rails.
Institutions are moving from regulatory positioning to active development and execution. According to Chainalysis, “the institutions that build for this reality now will be positioned to define it, while those that wait may find themselves settling transactions on someone else’s rails.”
Stablecoin-linked cards are beginning to compete with traditional payment products on fees, speed, and rewards. Consumers will increasingly weigh on-chain rails against legacy options on transactional terms.
The GENIUS Act has added regulatory momentum to stablecoin adoption in the United States. For incumbents, the window to build on-chain capabilities before disruption accelerates is narrowing quickly.
Crypto World
$1.6B Ether Machine-Dynamix SPAC Deal Collapses Amid Market Headwinds
Key Takeaways
- Dynamix Corporation and The Ether Machine have abandoned their $1.6 billion SPAC merger arrangement
- Adverse market conditions were cited by both parties as the primary factor behind the cancellation
- A $50 million breakup fee will be paid to Dynamix within a two-week period
- The transaction was designed to bring The Ether Machine to Nasdaq with the ETHM ticker symbol
- Dynamix must secure an alternative merger partner by November 22, 2026 or face liquidation
A cryptocurrency treasury company holding more than $1 billion worth of ether has terminated its planned public market debut. The Ether Machine and special purpose acquisition company Dynamix Corporation officially ended their $1.6 billion merger arrangement on April 8, 2026.
According to joint statements from both entities, the Business Combination Agreement was terminated by “mutual agreement.” Both parties attributed the decision to challenging market dynamics.
Originally unveiled in July 2025, the transaction would have enabled The Ether Machine to secure a Nasdaq listing through a reverse merger with Dynamix, trading under the ETHM ticker.
The Ether Machine operates as an Ethereum treasury and yield generation platform. Its holdings include 496,712 ETH valued at over $1.1 billion, with revenue generated through staking operations and DeFi strategies.
The proposed deal stood out for its substantial scale. It featured a $1.5 billion fully committed PIPE financing arrangement, marking the largest all-common-stock capital raise in this category since 2021.
Upon completion, the merged entity would have controlled in excess of 400,000 ETH. A significant portion of these digital assets came from co-founder Andrew Keys, who previously held a key position at Consensys.
$50 Million Breakup Fee Headed to Dynamix
Under the termination terms, an entity associated with The Ether Machine is obligated to transfer $50 million to Dynamix within 15 days. This payment structure is documented in an SEC 8-K filing.
The $50 million sum represents a substantial amount when compared to Dynamix’s approximate $232 million market capitalization. The filing does not explicitly identify which specific party will make the payment.
The cancellation also voids associated agreements, including Sponsor Support and Subscription Agreements. Both organizations executed mutual release provisions and non-disparagement clauses addressing potential shareholder legal actions.
Dynamix’s Next Steps and Timeline
Dynamix’s SPAC journey continues. The company retains until November 22, 2026 to identify and execute an alternative business combination.
Should Dynamix prove unable to finalize a new transaction before this deadline, the company faces mandatory dissolution, public share redemption, and liquidation procedures.
The deal’s failure arrives during a period of weak performance for ether prices. Appetite for cryptocurrency-related SPAC transactions has diminished considerably.
Nonetheless, the Ethereum treasury sector continues to show vitality. Currently, 10 Ethereum treasury firms collectively control more than 6 million ETH, representing a combined value approaching $14 billion.
The sector leader is Tom Lee’s Bitmine, which recently achieved uplisting to the New York Stock Exchange. The company’s board simultaneously expanded its share buyback program from $1 billion to $4 billion.
Neither The Ether Machine nor Dynamix provided statements when contacted for this report.
Crypto World
Bitcoin (BTC) Slides as U.S.-Iran Negotiations Fail in Islamabad
Key Takeaways
- Iranian and U.S. representatives convened in Pakistan’s capital on April 11–12 for direct diplomatic discussions following weeks of military tensions
- No agreement was secured after approximately 21 hours of intensive negotiations, Vice President JD Vance announced
- Tehran’s unwillingness to abandon nuclear weapons development emerged as the primary obstacle to a settlement
- Bitcoin experienced a 2% decline to approximately $71,500 in the aftermath of the failed negotiations
- XRP decreased 1.69% to $1.33, while Ethereum slipped 1.26% to $2,216, with cryptocurrency markets broadly declining 1–3%
High-ranking officials from Washington and Tehran convened in Pakistan’s capital on April 11 for their first direct, senior-level diplomatic engagement in decades. These discussions came after weeks of military confrontation that erupted on February 27, when the United States and Israel executed joint military operations dubbed “Operation Epic Fury,” striking Iranian military installations and nuclear facilities. The operations resulted in the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
The military escalation sent shockwaves through global energy markets and international financial systems. Critical maritime passages near the Strait of Hormuz, responsible for significant portions of worldwide petroleum transport, experienced disruptions due to the intensifying conflict.
Pakistan assumed a crucial intermediary position, providing neutral ground for both parties. While previous ceasefire initiatives had temporarily de-escalated tensions, no permanent resolution had materialized prior to these diplomatic sessions.
Before negotiations commenced, Tehran reportedly pursued sanctions removal, unfreezing of financial assets, and security assurances. Washington maintained firm positions regarding restrictions on Iran’s nuclear capabilities and maintaining freedom of navigation through strategic waterways.
Esmaeil Baqaei, Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, characterized the 24-hour discussion period as addressing the Strait of Hormuz situation, nuclear program concerns, compensation for war damages, sanctions removal, and complete conflict resolution. He indicated that results would hinge on “the seriousness and good faith of the opposing side.”
Baqaei further urged Washington to refrain from “excessive demands and unlawful requests” while honoring Iran’s “legitimate rights and interests.”
Diplomatic Efforts Conclude Without Agreement
Following approximately 21 hours of intensive discussions, Vice President JD Vance announced at a media briefing that negotiators failed to reach a settlement.
“The bad news is that we have not reached an agreement,” Vance stated. He noted that the U.S. had presented its position comprehensively throughout the talks.
According to Vance, the fundamental obstacle centered on Iran’s refusal to pledge abandonment of nuclear weapons ambitions. “The simple fact is that we need to see an affirmative commitment that they will not seek a nuclear weapon,” he explained.
The American delegation departed Pakistan without securing any agreement. The trajectory of the conflict remains uncertain moving forward.
Cryptocurrency Markets Decline Following Failed Talks
Digital asset markets responded swiftly after Vance’s public statement. Bitcoin declined to approximately $71,500, representing a roughly 2% daily loss.

Short-term trading charts revealed a pronounced selloff directly correlated with news reports about the diplomatic impasse.
XRP retreated 1.69% to $1.33. Ethereum declined approximately 1.26% to $2,216. Comprehensive losses throughout cryptocurrency markets spanned from 1% to 3%.
As of April 12, the standoff between Washington and Tehran persists without resolution.
Crypto World
Ether Machine Abandons Public Debut as Dynamix Merger is Terminated
Ether Machine has called off its planned public debut after the Ethereum treasury-focused firm and Dynamix Corporation agreed to terminate their merger, citing deteriorating market conditions.
In a Saturday post on X, Ether Machine said the decision to end the deal was mutual and effective immediately. The transaction had aimed to take the firm public through a merger with the Nasdaq-listed special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), alongside involvement from The Ether Reserve LLC.
“The Ether Reserve LLC, together with certain other parties thereto, announced today that they have mutually agreed to terminate their previously announced Business Combination Agreement, effective immediately, as a result of unfavorable market conditions,” the firm wrote.
According to a filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, an unnamed “Payor,” identified in Annex A of the agreement but not disclosed publicly, must pay $50 million to Dynamix within 15 days of the termination taking effect.
Related: Bitmine uplists to NYSE as share buyback is increased to $4B
Ether Machine’s $1.5 billion Ethereum treasury plan collapses
Ether Machine first announced plans to launch what it described as the largest yield-bearing Ether (ETH) fund aimed at institutional investors in July last year. At the time, the company, co-founded by former Consensys executives Andrew Keys and David Merin, said it would list on Nasdaq under the ticker “ETHM,” launching with more than 400,000 ETH, worth over $1.5 billion at the time, under management.
In September, Ether Machine secured $654 million in a private financing round, including 150,000 ETH from Ethereum advocate Jeffrey Berns, who also joined the company’s board. The raise was part of its broader plan to build a large Ether treasury ahead of the planned Nasdaq debut, which has now been canceled.
Meanwhile, Dynamix retains a limited window to secure a new deal. The company has until November 22, 2026, to complete another business combination. If it fails to do so, it will be required to liquidate and return funds held in trust to shareholders, in line with its corporate charter.
Related: Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund dumps ETHZilla stake as ETH treasuries face pressure
Ethereum treasury exits deepen
Ether funds exit amid mounting pressure on Ethereum treasury strategies. Trend Research has fully unwound its Ethereum position, selling 651,757 ETH worth about $1.34 billion while locking in an estimated $747 million loss.
Separately, ETHZilla, formerly a biotech firm that pivoted into an Ethereum treasury strategy during the 2025 hype, has also moved away from Ether accumulation, updating its corporate name and brand to Forum Markets.
Magazine: Bitcoin’s ‘biggest bull catalyst’ would be Saylor’s liquidation — Santiment founder
Crypto World
Bitcoin and Ether Near Key Levels Signaling Possible Trend Reversal
Bitcoin and Ether are hovering near levels that could signal a trend shift for the year, even as a broad bear-case narrative persists across markets. Macro strategist Jordi Visser argued on the Anthony Pompliano podcast that a durable move would hinge on price anchors: BTC above $76,000 and ETH above $2,400. “If we trade above $76,000 and at the same time we see Ethereum above $2,400, I believe that is the beginning of a move that will be sustainable this year because I don’t think we’re going to have a recession,” Visser said on Friday’s episode.
From a price perspective, crossing $76,000 would imply roughly a 6% gain from Bitcoin’s around $71,646 level at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap data. An ETH revival to $2,400 would imply roughly an 8% lift, depending on the prevailing price trajectory. The thresholds are less about a single day move and more about signaling a potential shift in momentum if macro conditions remain supportive.
Key takeaways
- A durable rally would hinge on Bitcoin clearing the $76,000 level and Ethereum reaching $2,400, potentially marking the start of a more sustained move in 2026 if the economy avoids a recession.
- Inflation remains a central factor for market sentiment. Visser and other observers argue that elevated price pressures could push investors to seek non-equity hedges as traditional markets stagnate.
- Market-implied recession risk for 2026 sits around 24%, according to Kalshi’s pricing, down about 10 percentage points over the past month, illustrating shifting macro bets as traders reassess downside scenarios.
- Not all voices are aligned with an imminent upswing: veteran trader Peter Brandt has warned that BTC could retest or dip below recent lows later in 2026, underscoring ongoing uncertainty in timing and magnitude.
Inflation, the recession bet and crypto flows
The macro backdrop remains a central question for crypto traders. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the April Consumer Price Index rose 3.3% year over year, a figure that signals the persistence of inflationary pressures even as headline prints moderate. In this environment, a segment of market participants argues that the crypto market could benefit from a rotation away from equities if the macro landscape fails to deliver broad-based growth. Kalshi’s market pricing, which points to a 24% chance of a recession in 2026, has moderated in recent weeks but continues to color risk assessments across digital assets and traditional markets.
Visser’s framing suggests that, in his view, a symmetrical rebound would depend on both BTC and ETH breaking key thresholds, paired with the absence of a macro shock. The implication for traders is clear: price action around major psychological and technical levels could catalyze a broader re-pricing of risk assets, including altcoins that have lagged during a protracted bear cycle.
Contrasting voices and potential paths for 2026
In late March, Peter Brandt—a well-known veteran trader—signaled that Bitcoin could move to new territory beyond the February low near $60,000. He described the possibility of a test of the downside later in the year, calling it a potential bear-cycle low rather than a forecast set in stone. Brandt’s stance underscores a fundamental tension in the market: even if some analysts outline scenarios for a structural bottom, timing remains highly uncertain and dependent on a convergence of macro data, policy expectations, and on-chain dynamics.
Visser has long maintained a more nuanced stance on market regimes, cautioning against rigid bull/bear labeling. He noted that even during periods of price ascent, the buildup of speculative appetite can wane, suggesting that a clean, textbook breakout may not be instantaneous. “At some point in there, it just seems like okay, they go up and then the normal course is at some point people don’t invest as much as they have,” he remarked, highlighting how sentiment can shift before traditional trend signals fully align.
What this could mean for traders and builders
For traders, the narrative hinges on whether BTC can sustain momentum through the next leg of price discovery and whether ETH can regain relevance as a macro-divergence asset in a high-inflation regime. A confirmed breakout above the $76,000/$2,400 threshold would not only mark a milestone for this cycle but could also influence funding rates, liquidity flows, and risk-off/reward dynamics across decentralized finance and broader crypto markets.
From a broader market perspective, the combination of sticky inflation and evolving recession expectations keeps macro risk at the forefront. If inflation trends were to cool more decisively or if the economy demonstrates resilience despite soft indicators, the case for a renewed crypto-upleg strengthens. Conversely, a renewed macro shock or a longer-than-expected slowdown could keep upside constrained, even if price testing around key levels continues.
For developers and infrastructure builders, the potential shift in momentum could affect funding appetites, user onboarding, and the pace of Layer-2 and cross-chain proliferation. In a scenario where risk assets regain traction, attention may move toward scaling, security, and user experience as the sector seeks to convert renewed interest into sustainable network activity.
Key references: Visser’s remarks on the Pompliano podcast, the 24% recession probability priced into Kalshi markets (down about 10 points in a month), and the latest CPI release from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. For context on price levels, Bitcoin hovered around the $71,646 mark, with Bitcoin price data corroborated by CoinMarketCap, while the ETH threshold cited sits at $2,400.
Looking ahead, market participants will be watching how inflation evolves, how central banks signal policy pivots, and whether crypto markets can translate macro resilience into durable price action. The next few weeks could help clarify whether the 2026 path favors a renewed crypto rally or a renewed test of downside support.
Watch next: as inflation data and policy cues unfold, traders will scrutinize whether the BTC-ETH cross-threshold thesis holds and which macro scenario—soft landing or renewed slowdown—ultimately shapes the year’s trajectory.
Crypto World
New Crypto Pepeto Final Exchange Testing Update While Markets Ask If Dogecoin Price Prediction Can Reach $1
The new crypto Pepeto moved into final exchange testing, and the presale pushed past $8,920,321 at the fastest pace this project has ever seen. On-chain activity inside this presale makes traders remember what showed up around Dogecoin in its earliest days, before small bags turned into serious wealth and the rest of the market wished they had moved faster.
This article breaks down the Dogecoin price prediction numbers and why the new crypto Pepeto keeps showing up as the biggest opportunity of 2026.
Before getting into the Pepeto project in detail, a quick look at DOGE outlook. The Dogecoin price prediction for $1 faces a long road from $0.093 but the catalysts stacking underneath make it harder to dismiss. DOGE needs to clear $0.095 first, a level that sellers have capped for six straight weeks, then break $0.10 where the Fibonacci ceiling sits according to CoinMarketCap.
After that, the 200-day EMA waits at $0.126, and the real fight starts at $0.25 where the 2026 high failed. A $1 Dogecoin price needs $148 billion in market cap, roughly ten times where it trades today.
Three spot ETFs are already live, the SEC classified DOGE as a digital commodity in March, developer activity jumped 300% year over year, and a GitHub proposal to cut annual issuance by 90% could flip the supply math entirely according to Benzinga. X Money is live with 600 million users but launched fiat-only with no DOGE integration confirmed, and every bull case above $0.25 depends on Musk making that call according to Changelly. The pieces are there. The trigger is not.
The main reason behind the Dogecoin price prediction is clear. A meme coin with no real tools behind it loses value the moment attention moves somewhere else. So where do you make real money on meme coins in 2026? Not on tokens sitting at $14 billion with nothing underneath. You find the early one, the new crypto with DOGE level energy in its first days, real Musk ties spreading across every platform, and a community growing the way DOGE grew before it blew up. That new crypto is Pepeto.
Pepeto Project In Focus
The data points anyone looking for real returns straight to Pepeto, and the case gets even stronger once you see what the team actually built behind those presale numbers.
“What would Dogecoin look like today if it launched with a real exchange behind the name instead of nothing? That question is the whole reason Pepeto was built. The exchange handles every swap at zero fees across Ethereum, BNB Chain, and Solana, the bridge sends tokens between all three chains instantly, and the AI scanner catches scam contracts before they touch any wallet. Every one of those actions runs on Pepeto, so the community pushing viral growth is the same user base generating real volume every day,” said the senior developer on the Pepeto team.
Picture being inside Dogecoin before Musk ever tweeted about it. That is where Pepeto sits right now. The wallets that rode a few thousand into millions on DOGE got one thing right: they entered before the world knew the name, and by the time Musk tweeted those positions were already worth fortunes.
Pepeto is moving on that same path. Musk’s ties to Pepeto keep growing across X and Telegram, and the only question left is when he posts about it, because the same signals that came before his Dogecoin run are showing up around Pepeto now. The whale wallets filling this presale are moving the same way early DOGE whales moved. Maybe they know something nobody else does. They always do.
Conclusion
The Dogecoin price data makes one thing clear: a $14 billion meme token cannot turn a small position into the kind of money that changes how someone lives. But early DOGE buyers know exactly what that feels like. A few hundred dollars at $0.004 became a house, a paid off car, a life with no alarm clock.
Those people did not do anything complicated. They made one right decision at the right time, and that single choice separated them from everyone who spent the next five years saying they almost bought.
Pepeto is sitting at that same moment right now, priced at presale, weeks from a Binance listing, with the same energy DOGE had before the world knew the name, and for anyone looking for the one decision that could deliver the same outcome, Pepeto is it.
Click To Visit Pepeto Website To Enter The Presale
FAQs
What is the dogecoin price prediction for 2026?
Benzinga targets the Dogecoin price between $0.145 and $0.249 for 2026. DOGE sits at $0.093 with three spot ETFs live.
Why is Pepeto considered a leader in the presales space?
Pepeto leads the presales race because it pairs meme coin virality with a working zero fee exchange at presale pricing. The Pepe cofounder leads the project with $8.9 million raised and a confirmed Binance listing ahead.
Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.
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