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Bittensor price outlook as top subnet operator Convent AI exits

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Bittensor price has broken from an ascending parallel channel pattern on the daily chart.

Bittensor price crashed over 25% within hours after Covenant AI, one of the largest and most active subnets on Bittensor, recently exited the network over centralization concerns. 

Summary

  • Bittensor (TAO) plunged 25.6% from $340 to $253 after Covenant AI exited the network, triggering nearly $9 million in long liquidations.
  • Covenant AI founder Sam Dare accused Jacob Steeves of centralization, alleging emission cuts and unilateral control over subnet operations.
  • Technical breakdown below key support levels signals further downside risk, with price eyeing $236 and potentially $175 if selling pressure continues.

According to data from crypto.news, Bittensor (TAO) price fell 25.6% from $340 to an intraday low of $253 on Friday, erasing close to $900 million from its market capitalization. Trading at $266.7, the token has dropped to levels not seen since mid March. 

The sharp drop in price triggered nearly $9 million in liquidations from long positions as bulls were caught off guard after weeks of betting on continued upside. 

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Bittensor price tanked after Covenant AI, the biggest operator of several high-emission subnets, including SN3, SN81, and SN39, officially announced its departure from the Bittensor network. 

In an official statement on April 10 on X, Covenant AI founder Sam Dare accused Bittensor founder Jacob Steeves of betraying the network’s core promise of decentralization. 

The post, which garnered over 1 million views and nearly 800 likes, claimed Steeves suspended emissions to Covenant’s subnets, stripped their moderation rights over their own community channels, and unilaterally abandoned critical subnet infrastructure. The team also said leadership deprecated infrastructure and applied direct economic pressure during the height of the conflict. 

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“Jacob Steeves maintains effective control over the triumvirate, resists any meaningful transfer of authority, and deploys changes unilaterally whenever he chooses, without process and without consensus,” said Dare. 

For context, decentralized, permissionless AI training is not just a theoretical concept for this team; Covenant AI successfully tested decentralized LLM models on the network, notably completing the 72 billion parameter Covenant 72B run across more than 70 independent contributors. 

Following the exit, community members noted that Dare has sold all of his subnet holdings, effectively rugging Bittensor and crushing demand for the token. The founder’s wallet held more than 37,000 TAO tokens, and its liquidation led to the wipeout of nearly $900 million from the market cap. 

On the daily chart, Bittensor has broken below an ascending parallel channel pattern that has formed since late February this year. A breakdown from such a pattern usually signals a trend reversal and a potential for further declines as investors rush to exit. 

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Bittensor price has broken from an ascending parallel channel pattern on the daily chart.
Bittensor price has broken from an ascending parallel channel pattern on the daily chart — April 10 | Source: crypto.news

Subsequently, the token fell below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $294.2, a level that had served as a strong support floor in recent weeks. 

Hence, the token eyes a drop to $236 next, which aligns with the next Fibonacci retracement in the series, specifically the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Failure to hold above this could lead to a reset of the early March low around $175. 

Technical indicators seem to support the bearish bias at least in the short term. Notably, the Supertrend has flipped red for the first time since March 10, indicating a shift in market momentum. 

Also, the RSI has plummeted to 41, suggesting that while the asset is approaching oversold territory, the current selling pressure remains dominant

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Crypto World

The magic word for digital assets adoption and success: choice

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Digital assets have moved well beyond the hype cycle. What began as an experiment in decentralized value transfer has evolved into a serious conversation about how capital markets, custody, settlement and asset ownership could be re-imagined for the digital age. Tokenization, programmable money and distributed ledgers may deliver faster settlement, greater transparency and new efficiencies across the financial system.

The opportunity is both real and transformative, but accelerated adoption of digital assets is not guaranteed.

The ecosystem’s success will not be determined by any single technology, protocol, innovator or platform. Instead, it will hinge on whether the industry embraces a principle that traditional markets have relied on and come to expect for more than a century: choice.

If investors, issuers and intermediaries are forced into narrow paths and left without options, the promise of digital assets risks being constrained by the very silos they were meant to dismantle. For Web3 to flourish, market participants must be able to choose how, where and when they engage.

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Choice in blockchain networks: avoiding silos

One of the most pressing challenges facing digital assets adoption today is fragmentation. New blockchains and networks continue to emerge, each optimized for different use cases, governance models or performance requirements. While innovation is healthy, disconnected ecosystems can quickly become a barrier to scale.

Without interoperability, assets risk being locked into isolated environments, limiting liquidity, mobility and investor access. The result is a digital version of the same inefficiencies that have historically plagued financial markets, with the added benefits of being faster and more complex.

Interoperability has the potential to change that result. A “network of networks” approach enables assets to move securely across platforms, enabling market participant firms and investors to take full advantage of tokenization’s potential while preserving market integrity and scale. It simplifies use cases, unlocks new business models and supports regulatory consistency, without forcing the industry to converge on a single chain.

Indeed, some investors may prefer open, public blockchains, while others may gravitate toward private blockchains. It’s not a matter of ‘or’ – both can and should be available.

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Achieving this vision will require collaboration. Market infrastructure providers, technology firms and regulators must work together to establish frameworks that prioritize compatibility and interoperability over control. In a recent white paper authored by The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) in collaboration with Clearstream, Euroclear and BCG, we explored how shared standards and coordinated governance could help advance interoperability while maintaining trust and resilience. The message was and remains clear: interoperability is foundational to scale and the future growth of digital markets.

Choice in what assets to tokenize (and when!)

Tokenization is often discussed as an inevitability, but inevitability should not be confused with immediacy. Not every asset will tokenize, and those that do will not do so at the same pace.

For example, while The Depository Trust Corporation (DTC), as a securities depository, facilitates the post‑trade settlement of securities representing over $100 trillion in value, we are not advocating for broad, indiscriminate, or immediate tokenization. Particularly in the early stages of this ecosystem, disciplined sequencing, intentionality, and caution are essential.

Certain asset classes, especially those with clear operational inefficiencies, high reconciliation costs or settlement frictions, are natural early candidates for tokenization. Others may follow as technology matures, regulatory clarity increases, and market demand evolves. Giving issuers and investors the ability to decide what makes sense for their needs, and on their timeline, reduces risk and builds confidence.

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Choice, in this context, is about sequencing and needs. It allows the market to learn, adapt and scale responsibly rather than forcing adoption before the infrastructure is ready.

Choice in how investors want to hold real-world assets

Digital transformation does not mean abandoning established investing principles and processes.

For many institutional investors, tokenized assets will coexist with traditional holdings for many years to come. Some will prefer onchain representations for their operational efficiency or programmability. Others will continue to rely on established custody models, particularly as compliance and risk frameworks evolve.

A successful digital asset ecosystem can support both. Investors should be able to hold assets in tokenized form alongside traditional securities – and even switch back and forth between them – without sacrificing legal certainty, operational continuity or even the feeling of being in control. Flexibility ensures participation is driven by value, not obligation, and that trust is earned, not assumed.

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Choice in wallets: empowering the client

Perhaps the most tangible expression of choice is the wallet.

As digital assets enter mainstream financial markets, participants will bring different preferences, risk tolerances and operational requirements. Some will prioritize self-custody. Others will rely on institutional-grade solutions. Many will want the freedom to change over time.

Wallet selection should belong to clients (market participant firms). No prescribed wallet. No mandated standard. This model empowers market participants to choose based on their own security needs, regulatory considerations, geographic requirements or internal controls.

This flexibility is essential for adoption at scale. Markets will thrive when financial institutions have the opportunity to engage on their own terms and can make decisions based on their clients’ and investors’ strategies, needs and preferences.

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The path forward

The success of the digital assets ecosystem will not be built on constraints and limitations. Instead, it will be built on options: choice in blockchain, in assets, in custody and in wallets. These are practical requirements for facilitating growth.

If the industry gets this right, digital assets can deliver on their promise: more inclusive, efficient and resilient markets. If it gets it wrong, it risks recreating the limitations of the past on faster rails.

Choice is the key to making digital assets work for everyone.

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White House Warns Staff as Iran Bets Spark Insider Concerns

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White House Warns Staff as Iran Bets Spark Insider Concerns

The White House warned staff against improperly using confidential information to place bets in futures markets after suspicious oil trades ahead of President Donald Trump’s March 23 Iran announcement drew scrutiny, according to Reuters.

Reuters reported on Thursday that the White House sent the internal email on March 24, a day after Trump ordered a five-day delay in attacks on Iran’s energy infrastructure.

The warning followed a roughly $500 million bet on Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude futures placed in a one-minute burst shortly before Trump’s March 23 announcement, according to Reuters calculations based on exchange data. Oil prices fell about 15% after the policy shift.

The episode has intensified scrutiny of whether officials or politically connected traders could profit from nonpublic information tied to military or policy decisions. It has also added momentum to a broader push in Washington to tighten rules around prediction-market trading.

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The STOCK Act amendment in the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) prohibits federal officials, congress members, executive staff and judicial officers from using non-public information derived from their positions to trade commodity, futures or options markets. The amendment was signed into law on April 4, 2012.

Cointelegraph has approached the White House for a copy of the internal email.

Related: US Senate bill targets prediction markets on war and assassinations

Lawmakers respond to prediction market insider trading concerns

Lawmakers have also stepped up scrutiny of prediction markets, where well-timed bets tied to military and political events have raised similar concerns about the misuse of privileged information. Polymarket traders netted around $1 million by accurately betting when the US would strike Iran.

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In response to the concerns, Congressman Adrian Smith and Congresswoman Nikki Budzinski introduced the Preventing Real-time Exploitation and Deceptive Insider Congressional Trading Act (PREDICT Act) on March 25, a bipartisan bill seeking to ban members of Congress and federal officials from prediction market trading.

On March 26, US lawmakers Todd Young, Elissa Slotkin, John Curtis and Adam Schiff unveiled the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, a bill aimed at curbing prediction market insider trading by government officials.

End Prediction Market Corruption Act. Source: Merkley.senate.gov

The same day, Senator Jeff Merkley introduced the End Prediction Market Corruption Act, seeking to ban event contract trading by government officials with “material non-public information,” including the president, vice president and members of Congress.

Magazine: Crypto traders ‘fool themselves’ with price predictions — Peter Brandt