Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Crypto World

Iran war oil shock revives inflation trade and a new stablecoin play

Published

on

Why bitcoin is rising even as the S&P 500 and tech stocks stumble

As the war with Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz send oil prices higher, inflation is once again at the forefront of investors’ minds.

In the U.S., inflation accelerated last month to 0.9%, driven mostly by energy costs linked to the Middle East conflict; core inflation, which excludes energy and food costs, surprisingly fell short of estimates. February’s headline increase was just 0.3%.

For Michael Ashton, co-founder of the USDi stablecoin along with Andrew Fately, the figures underscore a flaw in crypto’s monetary architecture.

“The stablecoin boom has accidentally rebuilt only half of the monetary system,” Ashton told CoinDesk in an interview. “Stablecoins solved the medium-of-exchange problem for crypto, but nobody solved the store-of-value problem. USDi is the first serious attempt to finish building the monetary system onchain.”

Advertisement

The $300 billion stablecoin market, dominated by dollar-pegged tokens, has become essential plumbing for crypto trading and payments. But those tokens, typically backed by cash or Treasury bills, are designed to hold a nominal value of $1, not preserve purchasing power. In real terms, Ashton argues, they are losing value.

“As stablecoins graduate from crypto-trading tools to genuine payment infrastructure, the store-of-value gap becomes a real institutional concern, not just a philosophical one,” he said. “Treasurers, neobanks, and cross-border payment platforms holding float in stablecoins are quietly taking inflation risk they probably haven’t priced.”

USDi

USDi is an attempt to fill that gap.

Instead of tracking the dollar, the token is designed to track inflation itself. Its value increases in line with changes in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), effectively making it a blockchain-native version of an inflation-protected principal.

Advertisement

Ashton describes USDi as closer to the principal value of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), but without some of the drawbacks that have caught investors off guard in recent years.

While TIPS offer inflation linkage, they are still bonds, meaning their market price can fall when interest rates rise. USDi, by contrast, aims to function more like an inflation-linked savings instrument.

The stablecoin’s reserves are invested in a in a low-volatility private fund called the Enduring U.S. Inflation Tracking Fund, which uses TIPS, U.S. Treasury debt, foreign exchange and commodity futures and options; to generate return.

“There isn’t really an inflation-protected savings account,” Ashton said. “That’s the gap we’re trying to fill.”

Advertisement

Oil-fueled inflation

Oil markets have been on a sharp and volatile upswing since the outbreak of the Iran war in late February. Prices initially jumped into the $80s before rapidly breaking above $100 a barrel as fears mounted over disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, a key artery for roughly 20% of global supply.

Elevated oil prices can stoke inflation by raising transportation and production costs across the economy, which are often passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices.

The moves have been marked by extreme volatility, with daily swings driven less by fundamentals than by headlines as markets price in a persistent war premium tied to the risk of prolonged supply disruption

“T-bills are around 3.5%, inflation is around 3%, but historically, inflation has often outpaced short rates over longer periods,” Ashton said. “We may be returning to that pattern.”

Advertisement

The dynamic, he added, strengthens the case for an asset explicitly designed to track inflation rather than nominal yields.

Still, Ashton frames USDi as more than a tactical trade. He sees it as a structural evolution in crypto, one that completes the system bitcoin began.

“Bitcoin was conceived as an alternative monetary system, and potentially as a store of value like gold,” he said. “But its volatility makes it difficult to use that way over shorter horizons. Stablecoins solved the payments side. Now we need to solve the store-of-value side.”

Customizable inflation exposure

Beyond its core design, USDi plans to introduce something Ashton says is difficult, or impossible, to replicate in traditional finance: customizable inflation exposure.

Advertisement

CPI itself is a composite of multiple categories, including housing, health care, transportation and education. USDi’s architecture, Ashton said, could eventually allow users to tailor exposure to specific components of inflation.

“You don’t have to hold one aggregate basket,” he said. “You could isolate health-care inflation, or tuition, or energy. You could even tailor it by geography: Dutch inflation, French inflation, U.S. core CPI.”

That flexibility allows for more specialized applications, particularly in industries with direct exposure to specific cost pressures.

Insurance companies, for example, face inflation risk in areas like medical costs but lack precise hedging tools. Traditionally, they’ve managed such risks by holding more capital or transferring exposure through reinsurance or catastrophe bonds. But those tools are blunt and often unavailable for certain types of inflation risk.

Advertisement

“There’s never really been a direct hedge for something like health-care inflation,” Ashton said. “If you can hedge that exposure more precisely, you can reduce the capital you need to hold, or expand the amount of business you can underwrite.”

He expects insurers and reinsurers to be among the earliest institutional adopters in a second phase of USDi’s rollout.

Other potential applications include education financing. Programs already exist in parts of the U.S. that allow families to prepay tuition years in advance, effectively locking in prices. Ashton sees a tokenized inflation hedge as a more flexible alternative.

“Tuition is a classic inflation risk,” he said. “Being able to hedge that directly, that’s powerful.”

Advertisement

Fundraising

USDi is already up and running, with Ashton targeting a seed raise of around $1.5 million in the coming months.

The broader pitch, however, is less about funding and more about reframing how investors think about risk.

“You’re born with inflation risk,” Ashton said. “You’re not born with credit risk or equity risk.”

Read more: Oil shock, Iran war risk keep crypto investors on sidelines: Grayscale

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

Foundry’s institutional Zcash pool captures a third of new issuance

Published

on

Cyclops raises $8m for enterprise stablecoin infrastructure

Foundry’s U.S.‑based, compliance‑first Zcash pool has already grown to roughly one‑third of network hashrate, giving institutional miners a regulated way into privacy coins while stoking fresh centralisation fears.

Summary

  • Bitcoin mining giant Foundry has launched an institutional Zcash pool that already accounts for roughly one‑third of new ZEC issuance.
  • The U.S.‑based, compliance‑focused pool is pitched at institutional and public miners as a “purpose‑built” alternative to offshore privacy‑coin infrastructure.
  • Foundry argues Zcash’s zero‑knowledge privacy with selective disclosure makes it more compatible with regulation than rivals like Monero.

Foundry Digital, operator of the Foundry USA Bitcoin mining pool, has officially launched an institutional‑grade Zcash (ZEC) mining pool that has quickly grown to around 30% of the network’s hashrate, consolidating a significant share of new ZEC issuance under a single U.S.‑regulated operator. The Rochester, New York‑based firm, which Fortune notes already commands about 31% of global Bitcoin production, is positioning its new pool as the default home for institutional miners seeking exposure to privacy‑focused assets without abandoning compliance.finance.

In a Business Wire release, Foundry said the Zcash pool has seen “rapid and sustained hashrate growth reaching ~30% of the current Zcash network hashrate” since it was first announced on March 11, with “multiple institutional mining customers already onboarded and contributing hashrate.” The company stressed that the pool is “designed for professional mining organizations and public companies that require a U.S.-based, compliance-ready partner, including KYC verification in line with Foundry’s institutional standards,” mirroring the governance of its Bitcoin operation.

Advertisement

Foundry CEO Mike Colyer framed the move as both a bet on Zcash and a response to unmet institutional demand. “Zcash has matured into an institutional‑grade asset, but the mining infrastructure supporting it hasn’t kept pace,” he said, adding that the new pool is “purpose‑built for the operational and compliance requirements of institutional and public miners.”

A CoinMarketCap summary of the launch notes that the pool will offer know‑your‑customer and anti‑money‑laundering checks, transparent payout calculations, reporting tools and 24/7 technical support, with no minimum hashrate required to join.

Zcash, launched in 2016, relies on zero‑knowledge proofs (zk‑SNARKs) to enable shielded transactions that hide sender, receiver and amount while still allowing selective disclosure to auditors or regulators. Foundry and several commentators have argued that this “privacy with a view key” model is more compatible with institutional compliance than fully opaque systems like Monero, which lack native mechanisms for selective transparency.

Advertisement

At the same time, the arrival of a U.S. pool with roughly one‑third of Zcash’s hashrate raises familiar centralisation questions. Unfolded and other mining trackers have previously highlighted that Foundry USA already coordinates about 30% of Bitcoin’s global hashrate, and Mempool.space data shows the pool averaging more than 340 exahashes per second on Bitcoin alone. Adding a Zcash operation that quickly captures around one‑third of ZEC issuance further concentrates influence over block production in a single corporate group, albeit one that stresses its role in “contribut[ing] to the decentralization of Bitcoin’s hashrate” by anchoring North American capacity.

For Zcash, the trade‑off is stark: institutional capital and hashpower are flowing in through a U.S.‑regulated gateway that validates the project’s positioning as a compliant privacy coin, but at the cost of a more concentrated mining landscape. As regulators in the U.S., EU and Hong Kong tighten their grip on stablecoins, exchanges and tokenized assets — a trend explored in recent crypto.news coverage of HKDAP’s launch, MiCA implementation and the CLARITY Act — Zcash’s bet is that privacy with selective disclosure, plus a mining pool built for auditors rather than cypherpunks, is a price worth paying for long‑term relevance.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin’s 50% Drawdown ‘Priced In’ Quantum Computing Threat: Bernstein

Published

on

Bitcoin's 50% Drawdown ‘Priced In’ Quantum Computing Threat: Bernstein

Bernstein said Monday that Bitcoin’s selloff has already priced in much of the market’s fear around quantum computing, arguing that the threat is real but still manageable rather than an immediate existential risk.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) near 50% drawdown from its $126,198 all-time high in October 2025 is proof that the market has “priced in” several risks tied to a quantum breakthrough, partly thanks to technological progress on zero-knowledge privacy and quantum-proof cryptography that “counterbalance” the AI and quantum acceleration, Bernstein said in a Monday note shared with Cointelegraph.

The note lands two weeks after Google researchers said future quantum computers could break the elliptic-curve cryptography used across many blockchains with fewer than 500,000 physical qubits in some architectures, reviving debate over how quickly Bitcoin needs a post-quantum upgrade path. This research suggested a quantum computer could crack a Bitcoin private key in nine minutes, in a theoretical scenario, which is less than Bitcoin’s 10-minute block production time.

However, Bernstein said Bitcoin core developers have “adequate time” to determine a post-quantum path. Last week, Bernstein predicted that Bitcoin has about three to five years to prepare for a post-quantum security upgrade, Cointelegraph reported on Wednesday.

Advertisement
Graph showing the risk that an on-spend quantum attack that takes 9 minutes to derive a private key succeeds against Bitcoin. Source: Google Quantum AI

Institutions will play constructive role in quantum-proofing Bitcoin

Bernstein said large institutional holders, including exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuers and corporate treasury buyers such as Strategy, are likely to play a constructive role in any eventual consensus on a post-quantum upgrade.

“We expect institutional partners with now billions at stake to play a constructive role in building consensus on the post-quantum path.”

The note also highlighted the recently introduced BIP-360 proposal and added that slower consensus from Bitcoin developers is seen as responsible behavior when it comes to a $1.5 trillion asset.

BIP-360 is a draft Bitcoin Improvement Proposal that proposes a Pay-to-Merkle-Root output type designed to reduce long-exposure quantum risk by removing Taproot’s key-path vulnerability, though it does not itself add post-quantum digital signatures.

Bernstein said BIP-360 could be implemented as a soft fork for exposed Bitcoin addresses, but added that this would still leave around 8% of the BTC supply in inactive addresses vulnerable to future quantum breakthroughs.

Related: Bitcoiners push for quantum-resistant BIP-360 upgrade as debate heats up

Advertisement

Quantum-proofing Bitcoin is a social issue, not technical

The real challenge of quantum-proofing Bitcoin lies in the societal adoption element of the new standards, not the technical development, according to Arthur Breitman, co-founder of Tezos blockchain.

“The coding work could be done this afternoon,” but Bitcoin holders would still need to migrate to this new standard, Breitman told Cointelegraph during an interview at EthCC 2026.

“If Bitcoin needed to migrate in the next month, they could do it from a technical perspective […] but they can’t get everyone to migrate their key in a month, Breitman said. “It’s going to take years for people to properly migrate their keys,” he added.

Arthur Breitman, co-founder of Tezos, interview at EthCC 2026. Source: Cointelegraph

Asset manager Grayscale’s head of research, Zach Pandl, shared a similar view in a research report last Monday. He said Bitcoin’s quantum-proofing challenges are “more social than technical,” provided that its UTXO model does not have native smart contracts and that some address types are not quantum vulnerable.

However, he warned that the community needs to find consensus on how to quantum-proof wallets where the private key has been lost or is otherwise inaccessible.

Advertisement

Magazine: AI has dramatically accelerated the quantum threat to Bitcoin: AI Eye