Business
Bitcoin Surges Past $75,000 as Geopolitical Easing and ETF Inflows Spark Crypto Rebound
NEW YORK — Bitcoin climbed above $75,000 on Tuesday, gaining more than 1% to trade around $75,249.84 as investors shrugged off lingering Middle East tensions and embraced signs of de-escalation in U.S.-Iran relations along with steady institutional buying through spot exchange-traded funds.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency rose $807.61, or 1.08%, by 3:39 p.m. UTC, extending a sharp rebound from earlier in the week when prices dipped amid uncertainty over a U.S. naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. The move pushed Bitcoin firmly above the psychologically important $75,000 level, a threshold it had tested but failed to hold consistently in recent sessions.
Analysts attributed the surge to a combination of technical short-covering, a weakening U.S. dollar and renewed risk appetite as diplomatic signals suggested progress toward easing the conflict that had rattled energy markets and global equities. Oil prices eased modestly Tuesday, relieving some pressure on broader risk assets and allowing Bitcoin to reclaim ground lost during the weekend dip below $71,000.
“This rebound shows Bitcoin’s growing role as a hedge that can benefit from both risk-on sentiment and its scarcity narrative,” said one crypto strategist at a major Wall Street firm. “When geopolitical fears ease even slightly, capital flows back into high-beta assets like BTC.”
The rally triggered significant liquidations in the derivatives market, with more than $541 million in crypto positions wiped out in the past 24 hours, the majority of them short bets against Bitcoin. Short sellers absorbed roughly $440 million in losses, amplifying the upward momentum as leveraged positions unwound.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs continued to provide a structural tailwind. Cumulative inflows into the products have now exceeded $53 billion since their 2024 launch, far surpassing initial projections. Recent daily inflows have remained positive even during periods of volatility, with institutions including BlackRock, Fidelity and ARK Invest adding hundreds of millions in recent sessions. On one standout day earlier in April, the ETFs recorded nearly $471 million in net purchases, underscoring persistent institutional conviction despite macroeconomic headwinds.
Bitcoin’s performance Tuesday aligned with a broader recovery in risk assets. The Nasdaq Composite also advanced, reflecting renewed optimism that corporate earnings and artificial intelligence spending could outweigh near-term geopolitical or inflationary risks. Ethereum rose alongside Bitcoin, gaining over 8% in some sessions earlier Tuesday, while the total crypto market capitalization added roughly $115 billion in a single day.
The latest price action comes after a choppy start to April 2026. Bitcoin opened the month near $71,000 following a ceasefire-related bounce in early April, but tensions reignited with reports of the U.S. blockade, briefly pressuring prices toward the low $70,000s. Optimism around potential peace talks, including comments from administration officials about “progress” in negotiations, helped reverse the sentiment.
Market observers noted that Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience during the conflict period. While traditional safe havens like gold faced pressure in certain phases, Bitcoin often moved with risk assets, rising on hopes of resolution and holding support levels during spikes in oil prices. Some analysts described it as behaving more like a “tech-growth proxy” in the current environment than a pure inflation hedge.
Institutional adoption remains a core driver. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have absorbed billions in 2026 alone, with first-quarter inflows estimated around $12 billion to $18 billion globally for crypto ETPs. This demand has helped offset selling from miners and early holders while creating a steady bid under the market. Morgan Stanley’s recent launch of its own Bitcoin trust further signals growing acceptance among traditional financial giants.
Regulatory developments also factored into sentiment. Progress on crypto-friendly legislation, including discussions around the CLARITY Act, has kept long-term bulls engaged. Pro-crypto policies under the current administration continue to contrast with earlier uncertainty, providing a supportive backdrop even as the Federal Reserve maintains a cautious stance on interest rates.
The Fed’s data-dependent approach has left markets pricing in limited rate cuts for the remainder of 2026, with some traders even contemplating the possibility of no cuts or modest hikes if inflation reaccelerates due to energy costs. Producer price data released this week showed tame increases, helping ease those concerns and supporting growth assets.
Technically, Bitcoin faced resistance near the upper Bollinger Band after its quick surge to the $74,000-$75,000 zone. Stochastic indicators flashed overbought readings, suggesting the possibility of a near-term pause or consolidation. However, sustained volume — with Binance spot trading alone exceeding $1.9 billion in recent sessions — pointed to genuine buying interest rather than purely speculative momentum.
Looking ahead, investors will watch several catalysts. Any concrete breakthroughs in U.S.-Iran talks could further boost risk appetite. Upcoming corporate earnings from tech and financial giants may reinforce the narrative of economic resilience. On the crypto-specific front, continued ETF inflows and potential updates on tokenized assets or Layer-2 scaling solutions could provide fresh fuel.
Longer-term, the post-2024 halving supply dynamics continue to play out. With the block reward at 3.125 BTC and the next halving not due until 2028, new Bitcoin issuance remains constrained. Combined with institutional accumulation, this scarcity thesis underpins many bullish forecasts that see Bitcoin testing $80,000 or higher in the coming months if macro conditions stabilize.
Challenges persist. Prolonged conflict or renewed energy shocks could weigh on liquidity and risk sentiment. April tax-related selling has historically created headwinds, though institutional flows appear to have mitigated that effect so far this year. Volatility remains elevated, with Bitcoin capable of sharp swings on headline news.
Broader crypto market breadth improved Tuesday, though gains remained concentrated in major assets. Altcoins showed selective strength, but many smaller tokens lagged as investors favored established names with deeper liquidity.
For retail and institutional participants alike, the message from Tuesday’s action was one of cautious optimism. Bitcoin’s ability to push through $75,000 despite recent macro noise highlights its maturing status as an asset class. Yet disciplined position sizing remains essential given the potential for rapid reversals.
As the week progresses, focus will shift to whether this rebound can sustain or if profit-taking will emerge near key resistance levels. Stronger-than-expected earnings or clearer diplomatic progress could extend the rally, while any escalation in the Middle East or hawkish Fed commentary might prompt a pullback.
Bitcoin’s climb to $75,249 demonstrates the market’s focus on long-term structural drivers — institutional adoption, supply scarcity and Bitcoin’s evolving role in portfolios — even amid short-term geopolitical noise. With ETF demand showing no signs of abating and global liquidity conditions still accommodative overall, many analysts maintain constructive outlooks for the remainder of 2026.
Whether this surge marks the start of a sustained move toward new highs or another volatile chapter in Bitcoin’s journey will depend on the interplay of macro developments and continued capital inflows. For now, the cryptocurrency is once again flashing its potential as a high-conviction bet on technological and financial innovation.
Business
Traders ready to put war behind, dial up the risk
In the first half of April, investors bought a net $500 million of bonds in the lowest tier of investment grade, and sold $7.3 billion of the higher tiers, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. That helped BBB bonds perform comparatively better than higher-rated notes, pushing the gap between spreads for BBB and A corporates to the tightest since before the war.
There may be good reason for these slightly riskier bonds to be performing better: BBB rated companies have outperformed analysts’ average forecasts more than A companies have, according to a Bloomberg News analysis.
Buyers are hoping a more lasting peace in West Asia can be forged by negotiators, and that companies in the lower edges of investment grade can keep performing well.
“There is some value in the BBB space and issuers there have been good stewards of the balance sheet and generally improving credit quality,” said Gene Tannuzzo, global head of fixed income at Columbia Threadneedle Investments.
Investors have also been snatching up junk bonds, although with a preference for the higher-rated end of the spectrum, implying that money managers still see risk ahead even as they grow moderately more hopeful. Overall spreads for junk bonds are at their tightest since the war began, averaging 2.72% as of Thursday’s close.
Business
Nifty has a bit of momentum, but faces resistance at 24,300-24,700
ROHAN SHAH
TECHNICAL ANALYST, ASIT C MEHTA INVESTMENT
Where is Nifty headed this week?
Nifty staged a strong comeback this month after a prolonged four-month decline, supported by easing geopolitical tensions and lower crude prices. The index has approached a resistance band of 24,300–24,700, which aligns with multiple technical studies. However, sustained strength above this zone is essential for the continuation of the upward momentum, potentially paving the way toward 25,500. Inability to hold above this zone may trigger profit booking, dragging the index lower towards 23,500–23,200. Trading Strategy: Buy Nifty futures above 24,700 for an upside target of 25,500, maintaining a stop-loss below 24,250.
TOP STOCK BETS
Jubilant FoodWorks
Buy at CMP Rs 459 | Stop-loss Rs 420 | Target Rs 525
The stock shows early reversal signs, backed by one-year high volumes and a high-wave candle near a demand zone, indicating selling exhaustion. The Rs 420–440 zone is key support; RSI shows bullish divergence.
Maruti Suzuki India
Buy at CMP Rs 13,453 | Stop-loss Rs 12,500 | Target Rs 15,500
The stock has witnessed a strong rebound after confirming a bullish ABCD harmonic pattern. The formation of a cup-and-handle pattern alongside improving volumes signals accumulation. RSI holding above its breakout level suggests a positive bias.
AgenciesAJIT MISHRA
SVP – RESEARCH, RELIGARE BROKING
Where is Nifty headed this week?
Nifty is now approaching key moving averages (100 and 200 DEMA) in the 24,600– 24,800 zone. Sustained strength above this band could open room for further upside towards 25,200. In case of profit booking or consolidation, the 23,700–24,000 zone is likely to provide strong support.
Trading Strategies: For the short term, traders may consider a “buy on dip” approach in the 24,150–24,250 range, with a stop-loss at 23,900 and potential targets of 24,800 and 25,200. Among sectoral themes, the Nifty Energy Index has witnessed a fresh breakout after spending more than one-anda-half years in a consolidation phase. Participants can consider playing this theme through an ETF, i.e., Mirae Asset Nifty Energy ETF. It is currently trading at Rs 39.11, and one can accumulate it in the Rs 37–40 zone with a stoploss at Rs 34 for a positional target of Rs 52.
TOP STOCK BETS
Federal Bank Buy. CMP Rs 293 | Stop-loss Rs 278 | Target Rs 325
Federal Bank is in a steady uptrend with higher highs and lows post-base formation. A strong breakout near the 200-DMA signals a sentiment shift; price holds above key averages, with RSI supporting continuation.
JSW Energy
Buy. CMP Rs 538 | Stop-loss Rs 504 | Target Rs 598
JSW Energy is in a stage-2 uptrend, consolidating after a strong rally. The range-bound move near the 200-DMA suggests a healthy pause, with price now attempting an upward breakout supported by improving momentum.
RAJESH PALVIYA
HEAD OF TECHNICAL AND DERIVATIVES, AXIS SECURITIES
Where is Nifty headed this week?
Nifty is fast approaching 24,415—the upper boundary of the bearish gap etched on March 9. A conviction close above 24,500, however, could open the floodgates. The next logical pit stops are 24,762— the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the Feb March decline—and the psychologically significant 25,000 mark. A slip below the 24,000–23,900 support band would be a warning shot, potentially dragging the index back to retest its weekly low of 23,555. Traders on the long side would do well to respect this floor. The overall outlook remains positive, as the weekly RSI continues to stay above its reference line. This indicates that positive momentum is still intact and not yet exhausted.
Trading Strategies: The recommended strategy for Nifty options for the April 28, 2026, expiry is a call spread, ideal for a moderately bullish market outlook. The trader buys one lot of the 24,400-strike Call option at a premium of Rs 260–240 and simultaneously sells one lot of the 24,700-strike Call option at a premium of Rs 130–150. This strategy limits both risk and reward, creating a defined range for outcomes. The break-even point is at 24,530, with a maximum potential loss of Rs 8,450 and a maximum profit of Rs 11,050.
TOP STOCK BETS
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders
Buy at Rs 2,618, CMP Rs 2,620| Stop-loss Rs 2,550 | Target Rs 2,800-2,850
A breakout above Rs 2,430 signals a shift to a primary uptrend, with RSI strength confirming bullish momentum. Resistance lies at Rs 2,800–2,850; sustained strength could extend gains to Rs 3,000–3,050.
Polycab India
Buy at Rs 8,184, CMP Rs 8,188.50 | Stop-loss Rs 7,900 | Target Rs 8,600-8,900
An uptrend supported by a rising trendline and a doublebottom near Rs 6,650 underpins strength. Resistance at Rs 8,700; a breakout could target Rs 9,000+. Maintain Rs 7,600 as a stop-loss; below this, risks a breakdown.
Business
AMD: $600 Bullseye (NASDAQ:AMD) | Seeking Alpha
Stone Fox Capital is an RIA from Oklahoma. Mark Holder is a CPA with degrees in Accounting and Finance. He is also Series 65 licensed and has 30 years of investing experience, including 15 years as a portfolio manager. Mark leads the investing group Out Fox The Street where he shares stock picks and deep research to help readers uncover potential multibaggers while managing portfolio risk via diversification. Features include various model portfolios, stock picks with identifiable catalysts, daily updates, real-time alerts, and access to community chat and direct chat with Mark for questions. Learn more.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing in this article should be taken as a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. Before buying or selling any stock, you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion or consult a financial advisor. Investing includes risks, including loss of principal.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
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